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Good morning
Welcome to 1508
Mathias Dahl-Spangby
Service Designer
Kristian Ohm
Head of Business Design
1508
Business Thinking
driven by Design Doing
We have 23 years of experience developing strategies,
brands, and digital products which areboth user-
centric and generate business value, today and
tomorrow.
50’ish Designers, UX’ers, Strategists, and Developers
100+ Innovation sprints
500+ Brands, strategies, websites, and apps
45+ Awards
→ Customers all over Scandinavia
Let's start with what we do today.
Design Thinkingis a process for solving
problemswhich prioritises the
consumer’s needs above all else. It
relies on observing, with empathy, how
people interact with their
environments,and employsan
iterative,hands-on approachto creating
innovativesolutions.
What is Design Thinking?
Think
Think Create
Think Create Build
reactive
solutions for
today’s world
Design Thinking inspires to create…
Climate
Consciousness
on the rise
As is
Car design
matters
Interest in self-
driving vehicles
You want to be more proactive
in your solutions?
And want to explore the
uncertainties of tomorrow?
What if
Futures thinking provides a range of
techniques which help you think about
the drivers of change that are shaping
the possible futures and explore the
implications of these for making
decisions today – not only about what
to do, but how and when to do it.
What is Futures Thinking?
to proactively
explore possible
probably, plausible
and/or preferable,
future worlds
Futures Thinking inspires…
Intentional
Evolution
Monoptic
Holoptic
What if
What if car
design has
become
obsolete
What if the
car is free to
use but
we’re the
product
What if
we’re
designing
for a darker
world
The Fundamentals
• There is multiple futures
• Being proactive
• Make up with a present forward mentality
• Not avoidbut embrace uncertainty
• A iterativeproces
Futures Thinking is not
• A crystal ball
• Facts
• About being correct
• Non-biased
So, what if we combine
Futures and Design
Thinking?
mds@1508.dk
mds@1508.dk
mds@1508.dk
Scan Identify Vision Think Create Build
The 2035 challenge
We are an NGO
The Question
How might we
make donating an
engaging digital
experience?
🫠
🫠
Design fiction aims to explore potential
future scenarios by envisioning them
through tangible objects that serve as
manifestations of the consequences
and indications of change.
What is Design Fiction?
FuturesThinking
outputs arenot
strategies by
themselves
Theyindicate an
externalchange that
thenneeds tobe
connectedtoyour
internalstrategy.
Without strategy,
Futures Thinking
is speculation
disconnected
from purpose
WebelieveBusiness
Designis awaytorelate
FuturesThinkingtothe
currentstrategyand
initiatives
A definition of
business
design
Balancing empathy for
your users with
empathy for your
business
A definition of business design
Design thinking 101
Who has what
problem?
User Problem
User Aspiration
Solution
Business design 101
Who has
what problem and
why should you
solve it?
User Problem
User Aspiration
Solution
Strategy
Let’s see
that in practise…
Imagineagain that weare approachby a
charity organisation.
They want helpdeveloping a new digital
platformfor their members…
Interpreting strategy
What is your strategy and
what parts are we
adressing?
When working with strategy,
we often meet various types of
ambiguity.
Strategic goal
Member retention
Strategic goal
Streamline portfolio
Strategic goal
Digital sign-up
Strategy
2025 Strategy
Focus areas
Digitalfirst
Focus areas
Ease of use
Strategic goal
Member retention
Strategy
2025 Strategy
Interpreting strategy
What is your strategy and
what parts are we
adressing?
However tempting, refrain
from reformulating the strategy
until we have more substance
to build upon.
Focus areas
Digitalfirst
Prioritising problems
What user problems should
we solve to
realise the strategy?
Ensure that user problems:
• align with strategy
• have clear target groups*
• are based on evidence
• reflect root causes
• are not order-like
* Target groups can be both
internal and external
Strategic goal
Member retention
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
User Problem / Existing member
”I want to pay with MobilePay
instead of bank transfers”
Focus areas
Digitalfirst
Prioritising problems
What user problems should
we solve to realise the
strategy?
Narrow down the number of
problems to solve is a necessity –
we can’t solve everything, at once.
Strategic goal
Member retention
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
Focus areas
Digitalfirst
Informing strategy
If these are the problems we
want to solve, what is our
strategy then? Strategic goal
Member retention
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
Focus areas
How might we make donating an
engaging digital experience?
Informing strategy
If these are the problems we
want to solve, what is our
strategy then? Strategic goal
Member retention
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
Focus areas
How might we make donating an
engaging digital experience?
Informing strategy
If these are the problems we
want to solve, what is our
strategy then? Strategic goal
Improve member relationship
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
Focus areas
How might we make donating an
engaging digital experience?
Creating solutions
How do we best solve the
user problem at hand?
We like to use the user aspiration
to clearly define the solution
space before embarking on
conceptual development
workshops and the like.
Strategic goal
Improve member relationship
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Aspiration / Existing member
"My contribution to charity is an
event that I look forward to"
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
User Aspiration / Existing member
“I understand and care about the
impact my donations make”
Focus areas
How might we make donating an
engaging digital experience?
Creating solutions
How do we best solve the
user problem at hand?
When the solution space is
defined, you can either revisit
previous ideas or concepts or
create new ones through
conceptual development
workshops, as e.g. a design sprint.
Strategic goal
Improve member relationship
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Aspiration / Existing member
"My contribution to charity is an
event that I look forward to"
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
User Aspiration / Existing member
“I understand and care about the
impact my donations make”
Solution
Tales from the real world
Solution
Incentive program
Solution
Feel good receipt
Focus areas
How might we make donating an
engaging digital experience?
Strategic goal
Improve member relationship
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Aspiration / Existing member
"My contribution to charity is an
event that I look forward to"
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
User Aspiration / Existing member
“I understand and care about the
impact my donations make”
Solution
Tales from the real world
Solution
Incentive program
Solution
Feel good receipt
Prioritise solutions based on
hypotheses
Which solutions do we
continue with to solve the
user problems?
Until validated they’re all just
hypothetical solutions.
Userexperience
Webelieve
[oursolutiontobecomprehended
inacertainwaybythe user]
Userbehaviour
whichwillleadto
[the usercommittingtoand
applying the solution]
Businessimpact
andimpact our businessby
[movingtheneedleona strategic
goal]
Prioritise solutions based on
hypotheses
Which solutions do we
continue with to solve the
user problems?
Uncertainty as a
business and design tool
Focus areas
How might we make donating an
engaging digital experience?
Strategic goal
Improve member relationship
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Aspiration / Existing member
"My contribution to charity is an
event that I look forward to"
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
User Aspiration / Existing member
“I understand and care about the
impact my donations make”
Solution
Tales from the real world
Solution
Incentive program
Solution
Feel good receipt
Everything’s a hypothesis
The terminology allow us to
continuously question if we are…
solving the right problems,
the right way
for the right reasons.
Focus areas
How might we make donating an
engaging digital experience?
Strategic goal
Improve member relationship
Strategy
2025 Strategy
User Aspiration / Existing member
"My contribution to charity is an
event that I look forward to"
User Problem / Existing member
”I donate a monthly amount, but
It’s just something automated –
like taxes”
User Problem / Existing member
“I often wonder if my donations
just pay for administration”
User Aspiration / Existing member
“I understand and care about the
impact my donations make”
Solution
Tales from the real world
Solution
Incentive program
Solution
Feel good receipt
Pivoting can happen on
smaller scales
Because we are working within
opportunity spaces, we allow
ourselves to stray away from
concepts that don’t solve our
problems as intended.
While keeping the overall
structure intact.
The Dynamic Roadmap
Current strategy versus probable futures
Doesyourstrategy
fitthefuture you
wanttobuild?
Or doesyourstrategyleave a
gap betweenyour organisation
andyour desired future?
We do Futures Design to:
• Challengethe tendency to favourthe
”business as usual” future
• Collect intelligence
• Focus on exploring and learning from the
future before considering the present
• Create innovativeand creative solutions
• Embrace uncertainty
• Be pragmatic and hands-on
Current strategy versus probable futures
Mathias Dahl-Spangby
mds@1508.dk
Kristian Ohm
kpr@1508.dk

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Uncertainty as a Business and Design Tool - Morgenbooster

  • 3. 1508 Business Thinking driven by Design Doing We have 23 years of experience developing strategies, brands, and digital products which areboth user- centric and generate business value, today and tomorrow. 50’ish Designers, UX’ers, Strategists, and Developers 100+ Innovation sprints 500+ Brands, strategies, websites, and apps 45+ Awards → Customers all over Scandinavia
  • 4. Let's start with what we do today.
  • 5. Design Thinkingis a process for solving problemswhich prioritises the consumer’s needs above all else. It relies on observing, with empathy, how people interact with their environments,and employsan iterative,hands-on approachto creating innovativesolutions. What is Design Thinking?
  • 6.
  • 10. reactive solutions for today’s world Design Thinking inspires to create…
  • 11. Climate Consciousness on the rise As is Car design matters Interest in self- driving vehicles
  • 12. You want to be more proactive in your solutions? And want to explore the uncertainties of tomorrow? What if
  • 13. Futures thinking provides a range of techniques which help you think about the drivers of change that are shaping the possible futures and explore the implications of these for making decisions today – not only about what to do, but how and when to do it. What is Futures Thinking?
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. to proactively explore possible probably, plausible and/or preferable, future worlds Futures Thinking inspires…
  • 23. What if What if car design has become obsolete What if the car is free to use but we’re the product What if we’re designing for a darker world
  • 24. The Fundamentals • There is multiple futures • Being proactive • Make up with a present forward mentality • Not avoidbut embrace uncertainty • A iterativeproces
  • 25. Futures Thinking is not • A crystal ball • Facts • About being correct • Non-biased
  • 26. So, what if we combine Futures and Design Thinking?
  • 30. Scan Identify Vision Think Create Build
  • 31. The 2035 challenge We are an NGO The Question How might we make donating an engaging digital experience?
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 37.
  • 38. Design fiction aims to explore potential future scenarios by envisioning them through tangible objects that serve as manifestations of the consequences and indications of change. What is Design Fiction?
  • 39.
  • 40. FuturesThinking outputs arenot strategies by themselves Theyindicate an externalchange that thenneeds tobe connectedtoyour internalstrategy.
  • 41. Without strategy, Futures Thinking is speculation disconnected from purpose WebelieveBusiness Designis awaytorelate FuturesThinkingtothe currentstrategyand initiatives
  • 43. Balancing empathy for your users with empathy for your business A definition of business design
  • 44. Design thinking 101 Who has what problem? User Problem User Aspiration Solution
  • 45. Business design 101 Who has what problem and why should you solve it? User Problem User Aspiration Solution Strategy
  • 46. Let’s see that in practise…
  • 47. Imagineagain that weare approachby a charity organisation. They want helpdeveloping a new digital platformfor their members…
  • 48. Interpreting strategy What is your strategy and what parts are we adressing? When working with strategy, we often meet various types of ambiguity. Strategic goal Member retention Strategic goal Streamline portfolio Strategic goal Digital sign-up Strategy 2025 Strategy
  • 49. Focus areas Digitalfirst Focus areas Ease of use Strategic goal Member retention Strategy 2025 Strategy Interpreting strategy What is your strategy and what parts are we adressing? However tempting, refrain from reformulating the strategy until we have more substance to build upon.
  • 50. Focus areas Digitalfirst Prioritising problems What user problems should we solve to realise the strategy? Ensure that user problems: • align with strategy • have clear target groups* • are based on evidence • reflect root causes • are not order-like * Target groups can be both internal and external Strategic goal Member retention Strategy 2025 Strategy User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration” User Problem / Existing member ”I want to pay with MobilePay instead of bank transfers”
  • 51. Focus areas Digitalfirst Prioritising problems What user problems should we solve to realise the strategy? Narrow down the number of problems to solve is a necessity – we can’t solve everything, at once. Strategic goal Member retention Strategy 2025 Strategy User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration”
  • 52. Focus areas Digitalfirst Informing strategy If these are the problems we want to solve, what is our strategy then? Strategic goal Member retention Strategy 2025 Strategy User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration”
  • 53. Focus areas How might we make donating an engaging digital experience? Informing strategy If these are the problems we want to solve, what is our strategy then? Strategic goal Member retention Strategy 2025 Strategy User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration”
  • 54. Focus areas How might we make donating an engaging digital experience? Informing strategy If these are the problems we want to solve, what is our strategy then? Strategic goal Improve member relationship Strategy 2025 Strategy User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration”
  • 55. Focus areas How might we make donating an engaging digital experience? Creating solutions How do we best solve the user problem at hand? We like to use the user aspiration to clearly define the solution space before embarking on conceptual development workshops and the like. Strategic goal Improve member relationship Strategy 2025 Strategy User Aspiration / Existing member "My contribution to charity is an event that I look forward to" User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration” User Aspiration / Existing member “I understand and care about the impact my donations make”
  • 56. Focus areas How might we make donating an engaging digital experience? Creating solutions How do we best solve the user problem at hand? When the solution space is defined, you can either revisit previous ideas or concepts or create new ones through conceptual development workshops, as e.g. a design sprint. Strategic goal Improve member relationship Strategy 2025 Strategy User Aspiration / Existing member "My contribution to charity is an event that I look forward to" User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration” User Aspiration / Existing member “I understand and care about the impact my donations make” Solution Tales from the real world Solution Incentive program Solution Feel good receipt
  • 57. Focus areas How might we make donating an engaging digital experience? Strategic goal Improve member relationship Strategy 2025 Strategy User Aspiration / Existing member "My contribution to charity is an event that I look forward to" User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration” User Aspiration / Existing member “I understand and care about the impact my donations make” Solution Tales from the real world Solution Incentive program Solution Feel good receipt Prioritise solutions based on hypotheses Which solutions do we continue with to solve the user problems? Until validated they’re all just hypothetical solutions.
  • 58. Userexperience Webelieve [oursolutiontobecomprehended inacertainwaybythe user] Userbehaviour whichwillleadto [the usercommittingtoand applying the solution] Businessimpact andimpact our businessby [movingtheneedleona strategic goal] Prioritise solutions based on hypotheses Which solutions do we continue with to solve the user problems?
  • 59. Uncertainty as a business and design tool
  • 60. Focus areas How might we make donating an engaging digital experience? Strategic goal Improve member relationship Strategy 2025 Strategy User Aspiration / Existing member "My contribution to charity is an event that I look forward to" User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration” User Aspiration / Existing member “I understand and care about the impact my donations make” Solution Tales from the real world Solution Incentive program Solution Feel good receipt Everything’s a hypothesis The terminology allow us to continuously question if we are… solving the right problems, the right way for the right reasons.
  • 61. Focus areas How might we make donating an engaging digital experience? Strategic goal Improve member relationship Strategy 2025 Strategy User Aspiration / Existing member "My contribution to charity is an event that I look forward to" User Problem / Existing member ”I donate a monthly amount, but It’s just something automated – like taxes” User Problem / Existing member “I often wonder if my donations just pay for administration” User Aspiration / Existing member “I understand and care about the impact my donations make” Solution Tales from the real world Solution Incentive program Solution Feel good receipt Pivoting can happen on smaller scales Because we are working within opportunity spaces, we allow ourselves to stray away from concepts that don’t solve our problems as intended. While keeping the overall structure intact.
  • 63. Current strategy versus probable futures
  • 65. Or doesyourstrategyleave a gap betweenyour organisation andyour desired future?
  • 66. We do Futures Design to: • Challengethe tendency to favourthe ”business as usual” future • Collect intelligence • Focus on exploring and learning from the future before considering the present • Create innovativeand creative solutions • Embrace uncertainty • Be pragmatic and hands-on
  • 67.
  • 68. Current strategy versus probable futures