The document discusses risk matrix theory and operation. It defines a risk matrix as providing an integrated and comprehensive understanding of the risks facing an organization or company, and knowing when to accept or not accept those risks. A risk matrix is a method for evaluating risk exposure that shows all risks in a unified way.

1. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫دوره‬ ‫اﺳﺘﺎد‬:‫ﻳﺎور‬ ‫ﺑﻴﮋن‬ ‫ﻣﻬﻨﺪس‬
‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫دﻛﺘﺮاي‬ ‫داﻧﺸﺠﻮي‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻘﺎت‬ ‫دﺳﺘﻴﺎر‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﮔﺮاﻳﺶ‬(‫ﺗﺠﺎري‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻮم‬ ‫داﻧﺸﻜﺪه‬ ،(GSB)‫ﻣﺎﻟﺰي‬ ‫ﻣﻠﻲ‬ ‫داﻧﺸﮕﺎه‬(UKM)
‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺳﻌﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻘﻴﻘﺎت‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻋﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫آﻣﻮزش‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﻫﻴﺎت‬ ‫ﻋﻀﻮ‬
‫آﻓﺮﻳﻘﺎ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﻮب‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮرﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮان‬ ‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫اﻧﺴﺘﻴﺘﻮ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻜﺎر‬ ‫ﻋﻀﻮ‬)‫رﺳﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻮز‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎره‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬1834(
‫ﺑﺤﺮان‬ ‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺒﺎﺣﺚ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﻪ‬ ‫از‬–‫ﺳﻪ‬ ‫درس‬

2. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،

3. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ت‬ â)‫ع‬(
à‫أ‬ ‫إ‬‫و‬َ à‫أ‬ àَ à‫أ‬ 9 á3'‫إ‬ ‫ا‬ é‫ر‬
‫ا‬‫ر‬
6 5 ‫ر‬‫ا‬ à‫ا‬ à4 ‫و‬ 5 4 ‫و‬ 4‫از‬‫رود‬

4. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫نظر‬ ‫تبادل‬ ‫و‬ ‫بحث‬ ‫و‬ ‫مقدماتی‬ ‫تعارﯾف‬

5. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫و‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﻣﻮل‬ ‫داﻧﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫آﻳﺎ‬‫ﺷﻜﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬ ‫آن‬ ‫رﻳﺎﺿﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬‫اﺳﺖ؟‬

6. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫رﻳﺎﺿﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬–‫ﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﻗﺮار‬ ‫ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺎر‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺎرﻳﻒ‬ ‫اﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬
x
=
‫آﺳﻴﺐ‬
‫ﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬
‫ﺧﻄﺮ‬
‫در‬ ‫ارزﺷﻬﺎي‬
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺮض‬

7. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫رﻳﺎﺿﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬
x
=
‫آﺳﻴﺐ‬
‫ﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬
‫ﺧﻄﺮ‬
‫در‬ ‫ارزﺷﻬﺎي‬
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺮض‬

8. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫رﻳﺎﺿﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬

9. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬

10. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﮔﻮﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬:
‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺪاﻧﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﺟﺎﻣﻊ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻳﻜﭽﺎرﭼﻪ‬ ‫ﻃﻮر‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزﻣﺎن‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺷﺮﻛﺖ‬ ،‫اداره‬‫و‬ ‫ﻫﺎﻳﻲ‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬‫ﺑﺎ‬‫وﺿﻌﻴﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬‫اﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻮاﺟﻪ‬
‫اﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫و‬
‫را‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫زﻣﺎﻧﻲ‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺪاﻧﻴﺪ‬‫ﺑﭙﺬﻳﺮﻳﺪ‬
‫را‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫زﻣﺎﻧﻲ‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺪاﻧﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﻳﺎ‬ ‫و‬‫ﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮﻳﺪ‬
‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ارزﻳﺎﺑﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫روﺷﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬ ‫اﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳﺎده‬ ‫ﻋﺒﺎرت‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬

11. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻮدار‬
‫را‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬‫ﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮﻳﻢ‬
‫ﻫﺎﻳﻲ‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬
‫وﺿﻌﻴﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬
‫دارﻧﺪ‬ ‫وﺟﻮد‬
‫را‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬‫ﺑﭙﺬﻳﺮﻳﻢ‬

12. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ﻳﻚ‬‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬‫اﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﮔﺮاﻓﻴﻜﻲ‬ ‫ﺳﺎده‬ ‫اﺑﺰار‬ ،
‫ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬

13. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﺧﺪاد‬‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬
‫ﻏﻴﺮﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ‬‫ﻧﺎدر‬‫ﺧﻴﻠﻲ‬‫ﻧﺎدر‬‫ﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ‬‫ﻣﻜﺮر‬
‫ﺑﺤﺮاﻧﻲ‬ ‫اﻧﮕﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻓﺎﺟﻌﻪ‬‫درك‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺴﻮس‬‫ﻛﻮ‬‫ﭼﻚ‬‫ﻧﺎﭼﻴﺰ‬
‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮات‬

14. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،

15. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،

16. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،

17. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،

18. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
،‫اﺑﺰار‬ ‫اﻳﻦ‬‫ﻓﺮآﻳﻨﺪي‬‫را‬ ‫زﻳﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻮارد‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻴﺐ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬‫آورد‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﻓﺮاﻫﻢ‬:
-‫ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻧﺲ‬‫رﺧﺪاد‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬‫روﻳﺪاد‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬)‫اﺧﺘﻼل‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬–POF(
)‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻨﻲ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺶ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺨﻤﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﻞ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻ‬(
-‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬‫روﻳﺪاد‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬ ‫رﺧﺪاد‬ ‫ﺻﻮرت‬ ‫در‬ ،
)‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻨﻲ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺶ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺨﻤﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﻞ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻ‬(
-‫دﻫﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﻗﺮار‬ ‫ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺎر‬ ‫در‬ ‫را‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻ‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫دو‬:
)‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬(‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬=‫اﺧﺘﻼل‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬(POF)) *‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬(‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎ‬
‫ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬

19. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ﻗﺮار‬ ‫اﺳﺘﻔﺎده‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫روزاﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﮔﻴﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻗﻀﺎوت‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫را‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫اﺑﺰار‬
‫دﻫﻴﺪ‬
‫اﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﻳﻊ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺳﺎده‬ ‫اﺑﺰار‬ ‫اﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﺎر‬
‫ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬

20. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺘﺮل‬:‫ﻓﺮآﻳﻨﺪ‬
‫ﭘﺬﻳﺮﻓﺘﻦ‬ ‫درﺑﺮﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪه‬ ‫ﻛﺎر‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻛﺴﺐ‬ ‫و‬ ‫زﻧﺪﮔﻲ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﻣﻬﻢ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ‬
،‫دﻫﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﻗﺮار‬ ‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫را‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫اﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫و‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬
‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬‫ﻛﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎر‬‫ﻧﻜﻨﻴﺪ‬ ‫رﻳﺰي‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫آن‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫را‬–‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﭼﺮا‬
‫اﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ‬ ‫اﺗﻼف‬
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬‫ﺣﺪ‬ ‫از‬ ‫ﺑﻴﺶ‬‫ﻧﻜﻨﻴﺪ‬ ‫رﻳﺰي‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫آن‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫را‬–‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﭼﺮا‬
‫اﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻗﻴﻤﺖ‬ ‫ﮔﺮان‬ ‫ﺑﺴﻴﺎر‬
‫ﺑﺎﻳﺴﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻛﻨﻴﺪ‬ ‫رﻳﺰي‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ‬ ‫درﺳﺖ‬ ‫را‬ ‫ﭼﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻳﺴﺘﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎ‬
‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻴﺪ‬ ‫اﺗﺨﺎذ‬ ‫زﻣﺎﻧﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺧﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﮔﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﺪون‬ ‫ﺳﺮﻋﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫را‬ ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ‬.
‫ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻧﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎده‬ ‫اﺑﺰاري‬‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻤﻚ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫را‬‫ﻓﺮآﻳﻨﺪ‬
‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻴﺪ‬ ‫اﺳﺘﻔﺎده‬ ‫ﮔﻴﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ‬.

21. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
4‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﺧﺼﻮص‬ ‫در‬ ‫اﺳﺎﺳﻲ‬ ‫و‬ ‫اﺻﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺳﻮال‬
‫ﻣﻴﺰان‬ ‫ﭼﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻤﻞ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬)‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬(‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬‫ﺑﺎﺷﻴﺪ؟‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫دارا‬ ‫را‬
‫ﺳﺮﻧﺦ‬:‫ﻣﺠﻮز‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺪودﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬SAP‫ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪازﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻲ‬ ‫ﺧﻮد‬
‫اﺧﺘﻼل‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬*(POF)‫ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟‬
‫ﺳﺮﻧﺦ‬:‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻴﺪ‬ ‫اﺳﺘﻔﺎده‬ ‫ﻣﻬﻨﺪﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺎﺳﺐ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﮔﻴﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻗﻀﺎوت‬ ‫از‬
)‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬(‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎي‬‫ﭼﻴﺴﺖ‬ ‫رﺧﺪاد‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬
‫ﺳﺮﻧﺦ‬:‫ﻛﻨﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﺎن‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻟﻲ‬ ‫واﺣﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﺷﻮد‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﮔﻨﺠﺎﻧﺪه‬ ‫ﻋﺒﺎرت‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻮرد‬ ‫دو‬ ‫اﻳﻦ‬
‫ﺳﺮﻧﺦ‬) :‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬(‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬=‫اﺧﺘﻼل‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬(POF)) *‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬(‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎ‬
*POF=‫اﺧﺘﻼل‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬=‫ﺑﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻋﺪدي‬0)‫اﻓﺘﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻲ‬ ‫اﺗﻔﺎق‬ ‫وﻗﺖ‬ ‫ﻫﻴﭻ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ‬(‫و‬1)‫اﻓﺘﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫اﺗﻔﺎق‬ ‫ﻛﻪ‬(

22. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،‫ﭼﻴﺴﺖ؟‬ ‫ﺷﻤﺎ‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻤﻞ‬ ‫ﺗﻮان‬
‫اﺧﺘﻼل‬‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬
)‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﻫﺰﻳﻨﻪ‬(‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎ‬

23. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزي‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺎده‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺗﻤﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬

24. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ﺗﻤﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺟﺰﺋﻴﺎت‬
1-‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﻓﻬﺮﺳﺖ‬ ‫را‬ ‫ﺧﻮد‬ ‫ﺳﺎزﻣﺎن‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬ ‫ﻛﻠﻴﻪ‬ ‫اﺑﺘﺪا‬ ‫در‬
2-‫زﻳﺮ‬ ‫ﻃﺒﻘﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﻪ‬ ‫در‬ ‫را‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﺗﻬﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻓﻬﺮﺳﺖ‬:
2-1-‫ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬(Natural Hazards)‫اﺧﺘﺼﺎري‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬N
2-2-‫اﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬(Social Hazards)‫اﺧﺘﺼﺎري‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬S
2-3-‫ﺗﻜﻨﻮﻟﻮژﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬(Technological Hazards)‫ﺑﺎ‬
‫اﺧﺘﺼﺎري‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻣﺖ‬T
‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻨﺪي‬ ‫ﻃﺒﻘﻪ‬.

25. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫ﺗﻤﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺟﺰﺋﻴﺎت‬
3-‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮه‬ ،‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬ ‫ﻃﺒﻘﺎت‬ ‫از‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻣﺘﮕﺬاري‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺑﺮدن‬ ‫ﻧﺎم‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺐ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬
‫ﮔﺮدد‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﻧﺎﻣﮕﺬاري‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻃﻪ‬)‫ﻣﺜﺎل‬ ‫ﻃﻮر‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬:N12‫در‬ ‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫اﺳﺖ‬ ‫اﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻨﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬
‫دوازدﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮه‬ ،‫ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬ ‫ﻓﻬﺮﺳﺖ‬)12(‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﺪ‬(.
4-‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮد‬ ‫اﺧﺘﺼﺎري‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮان‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺷﺪه‬ ‫ﻧﺎﻣﮕﺬاري‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮه‬
‫ﻣﺜﺎل‬ ‫ﻃﻮر‬(N12)‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎي‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮات‬ ‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴﻦ‬ ‫و‬ ‫رﺧﺪاد‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺟﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬
‫ﻛﻨﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻣﺘﮕﺬاري‬ ‫را‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻃﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮه‬.
5-‫ﺑﺪﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﻴﺪ‬ ‫اﻧﺘﺨﺎب‬ ‫ﺳﺮﮔﺮوه‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮان‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺧﻮد‬ ‫ﮔﺮوه‬ ‫از‬ ‫را‬ ‫اي‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪه‬
‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﺰارش‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮاي‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫آﺧﺮ‬ ‫در‬ ‫را‬ ‫ﮔﺮوه‬ ‫در‬ ‫آﻣﺪه‬

26. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﺧﺪاد‬‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬
‫ﻏﻴﺮﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ‬‫ﻧﺎدر‬‫ﺧﻴﻠﻲ‬‫ﻧﺎدر‬‫ﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ‬‫ﻣﻜﺮر‬
‫ﺑﺤﺮاﻧﻲ‬ ‫اﻧﮕﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻓﺎﺟﻌﻪ‬‫درك‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺴﻮس‬‫ﻛﻮ‬‫ﭼﻚ‬‫ﻧﺎﭼﻴﺰ‬
‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮات‬
N12
‫ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬(Natural Disasters)
‫اﺧﺘﺼﺎري‬ ‫ﻋﻼﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬N
1-‫ﺳﻮﻧﻮﻣﻲ‬
2-‫زﻣﻴﻦ‬ ‫راﻧﺶ‬
3-‫ﺣﺸﺮات‬ ‫ﺣﻤﻠﻪ‬
4-‫ﺳﻴﻼب‬
5-‫ﺳﻮزي‬ ‫آﺗﺶ‬
6-‫زﻣﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺴﺖ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺑﺴﻴﺪاﻧﺲ‬
7-‫ﻫﻮاﻳﻲ‬ ‫و‬ ‫آب‬ ‫ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮات‬
8-‫ﺣﺮارﺗﻲ‬ ‫ﻫﺎي‬ ‫ﺟﺮﻳﺎن‬
9-‫ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻃﻮﻓﺎن‬
10-‫رواﻧﮕﺮاﻳﻲ‬
11-‫ﻧﻴﻨﻮ‬ ‫ال‬
12-‫ﻟﺮزه‬ ‫زﻣﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻳﺎ‬ ‫زﻟﺰﻟﻪ‬
N12‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻨﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺪﻳﻦ‬
‫اﺳﺖ‬ ‫روﺑﺮو‬ ‫رﻳﺴﻜﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺳﺎزﻣﺎن‬
‫در‬ ‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮه‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮان‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ‬
‫ﺷﻤﺎره‬ ‫ردﻳﻒ‬12‫ﻓﻬﺮﺳﺖ‬ ‫در‬
‫رﺧﺪاد‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺮات‬
‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮاﻧﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮات‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ‬

27. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﺧﺪاد‬‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬
‫ﻏﻴﺮﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ‬‫ﻧﺎدر‬‫ﺧﻴﻠﻲ‬‫ﻧﺎدر‬‫ﻣﺤﺘﻤﻞ‬‫ﻣﻜﺮر‬
‫ﺑﺤﺮاﻧﻲ‬ ‫اﻧﮕﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻓﺎﺟﻌﻪ‬‫درك‬ ‫ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺴﻮس‬‫ﻛﻮ‬‫ﭼﻚ‬‫ﻧﺎﭼﻴﺰ‬
‫ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺛﻴﺮات‬
N12
N11
N10
N9
N8
N7 N6
N5
N4
N3
N2
N1
S1
S3
S2
T1
T2

28. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫آﺑﺸﺎري‬ ‫و‬ ‫دوﻣﻴﻨﻮﻳﻲ‬ ‫اﺛﺮات‬‫اول‬ ‫ﺣﺎدﺛﻪ‬
‫دوم‬ ‫ﺣﺎدﺛﻪ‬

29. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫رﯾسک‬ ‫ماترﯾس‬ ‫سازی‬ ‫پياده‬ ‫تمرﯾن‬

30. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
‫تحقيقاتی‬ ‫ھای‬ ‫گروه‬ ‫نماﯾندگان‬ ‫توسط‬ ‫نتاﯾج‬ ‫ارائه‬

31. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،

32. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
1- The Australian Journal of emergency management, vol 16, February 2006-Australian Government, 2006.
2- IAEA-Method for Developing Arrangements for Response to a Nuclear or Radiological Emergency-Emergency
Preparedness and Response-September2003-A-1400-Vienna-Austria.
3- Classification of emergency management exersizes.Europe.2006
4- Jeffrey B.Bumgarner, (2008), Emergency management (a reference handbook), ABC-CLIO publications, USA
5- ICS (Incident Command system)-Basic Independent Study course-Federal Emergency Management Agency-
Emergency Management Institute-Jan1998-U.S.A.( IS195Comp).
6- H.Mirzaei, B.Yavar M.Mirtaheri, The lessons learnt from Gonu Tropical Cyclone, IDRC2008, Davos, Switzerland
7- H.Mirzaei, B.Yavar M.Mirtaheri, Lessons learnt from disaster management in Sistan drought along the worlds 7th
international pond, IDRC2008, Davos, Switzerland
8- The Australian Journal of emergency management, vol 16, Februaru 2006- Australian Govrnment, 2006.
9- IAEA-Method for Developing Arrangements for Response to a Nuclear or Radiological Emergency-Emergency
Preparedness and Response-September2003-A-1400-Vienna-Austria.
10- Classification of emergency management exersizes. Europe. 2006
11- Learning about Natural Disasters Games and projects for you and your friends-A stop disasters publication for the
International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction-IDNDR 1990-2000
12- B.Yavar, M.T Bagherizadeh M.Mirtaheri, “Lessons learnt from Tehran snow disaster management”, DMISA 2008,
ATKV GOUDINI SPA, South Africa.
13- Management of Dead Bodies in Disaster Situations, Disaster Manuals Guidelines series, No.5 –PAHO: Pan
American Health Organization-WHO: World Health Organization-Washington D.C.,U.S.A.2004
14- VCA Training Guide – Classroom Training and Learning-by-Doing, (March 2008), International Federation of Red
Cross and Red Crescent Societies, Switzerland
15- Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 2005-2015, Building the Resilience of Nations and Communities to Disasters,
Extract from the Final Report of The World Conference on Disaster Reduction (A/CONF.206/6), International Strategy
for Disaster Reduction, United Nations, 2005.
16- Amdabl, Gary, Disaster Response, GIS for Public Safety, (2001), Esri Press, Redland, California, U.S.A
‫ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ‬

33. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
17- Weathering the Storm, Participatory Risk Assessment for Informal Settlements, Disaster Mitigation for Sustainable
Livelihoods Programme, (2008), University of Cape Town, Periperi Publications, Cape Town, South Africa.
18- Talking About Disaster: Guide for Standard Messages, Produced by the National Disaster Education Coalition: American
Red Cross, FEMA, JAEM.IBHS, NFPA, NWS, USDA Csrees, and USGS.
19- ICS (Incident Command system)-Basic Independent Study course-Federal Emergency Management Agency-Emergency
Management Institute-Jan1998-U.S.A. (IS195Comp).
20- Emergency Incident Command system-Emergency Incident Commander - Job Action Sheet-FEMA-1998-U.S.A.
21- Charley Shimanski-Public Information Officers in Search and Rescue Operations-Mountain Rescue Association-Education
committee-2004-Evergreen Colorado-U.S.A.
22- FIRESCOPE (Firefighting Resources of California organized for potential emergencies)-Incident Command System-Urban
Search and Rescue Operational System Description - (ICS-USR-120-1) - Jan 2004.U.S.A.
23- FIRESCOPE (Firefighting Resources of California organized for potential emergencies)-Past, Current and Future Directions-
A Progress report-1988-U.S.A.
24- IAEA-Method for Developing Arrangements for Response to a Nuclear or Radiological Emergency-Emergency Preparedness
and Response-September2003-A-1400-Vienna-Austria.
25- What is NIMS and ICS, Dept of Homeland Security, 2005, U.S.A.
26- Disaster Response: Principles of Preparation and Coordination, THE INCIDENT COMMAND SYSTEM, by Robert L.
Irwin, 2004, U.S.A.
27- HICS , Hospital Incident Command System- Guide Book , California Emergency Medical Services Authority (EMSA),
California , U.S.A , August 2006
28- Neighborhood Disaster Volunteers NDV- NDV Resource Package – Part 2: Program Manager’s Handbook, (2005), Swiss
Agency for development and Cooperation (SDC)
29- Neighborhood Corps Pocket Guide, A Citizen’s Guide to Organizing Communities for Emergency Preparedness and
Response. A Program of DC Citizen Corps.Washington DC Neighborhood Corps.Washington.2004.
30- ICS (Incident Command system)-Basic Independent Study course-Federal Emergency Management Agency-Emergency
Management Institute-Jan1998-U.S.A.( IS195Comp).
31- Emergency Incident Command system- Emergency Incident Commander -Job Action Sheet-FEMA-1998-U.S.A.
‫ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ‬

34. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
32-‫آدرس‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻓﺎرﺳﻲ‬ ‫زﺑﺎن‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫اﻳﻨﻔﻮﮔﺮاﻓﻴﻚ‬ ‫ﺗﺨﺼﺼﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﺟﻊ‬ ‫ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ‬:www.infographics.ir
33-‫ﭼﺎپ‬ ،‫ﭼﺎﺑﻬﺎر‬ ‫اﻟﻤﻠﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻦ‬ ‫داﻧﺸﮕﺎه‬ ،‫ﺑﺤﺮان‬ ‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬ ‫در‬ ‫ﺣﺎدﺛﻪ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﻲ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﻣﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ‬ ‫اي‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺪﻣﻪ‬ ،‫ﻣﻴﺮﻃﺎﻫﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺜﻢ‬ ،‫ﻳﺎور‬ ‫ﺑﻴﮋن‬
‫اول‬1388‫ﺗﻬﺮان‬ ،.
35-‫ﺳﻠﻮارﺟﻮ‬ ،‫ﺑﺎس‬ ‫اﺳﺘﻔﺎن‬ ‫ﺗﺪوﻳﻦ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﻬﻴﻪ‬ ،‫راﻫﻨﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﺘﺎب‬ ،‫ﺳﻴﺴﺘﻤﻲ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻠﻲ‬ ،‫ﺑﺤﺮان‬ ‫از‬ ‫ﻧﺎﺷﻲ‬ ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫اﺣﺘﻤﺎل‬ ‫ﻣﺪﻳﺮﻳﺖ‬
‫ﺑﻴﮋن‬ ‫ﺗﺮﺟﻤﻪ‬ ‫ﮔﺮوه‬ ،‫ﻳﺎور‬ ‫ﺑﻴﮋن‬ ‫زﻳﺮﻧﻈﺮ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻓﺎرﺳﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺘﻮاﻳﻲ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﻓﻨﻲ‬ ‫وﻳﺮاﻳﺶ‬ ،‫ﺑﺎﺗﻴﺴﺘﺎ‬ ‫ﻓﺪرﻳﻜﺎ‬ ،‫دﻳﭙﺮﻳﻚ‬ ‫دي‬ ‫ﺟﻴﻨﻲ‬ ،‫راﻣﺎﺳﺎﻣﻲ‬
، ‫اول‬ ‫ﭼﺎپ‬ ،‫ﭼﺎﺑﻬﺎر‬ ‫اﻟﻤﻠﻠﻲ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﻦ‬ ‫داﻧﺸﮕﺎه‬ ‫اﻧﺘﺸﺎرات‬ ،‫ﻣﻬﺮﻳﺎن‬ ‫ﻓﺎﻃﻤﻪ‬ ،‫ﻣﻴﺮﻃﺎﻫﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺜﻢ‬ ،‫رﺣﻤﺎﻧﻲ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻳﻢ‬ ،‫ﻳﺎور‬1389‫ﺗﻬﺮان‬ ،.
36-2009 UNISDR Terminology on Disaster Risk Reduction
‫ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ‬

35. ‫ﺧﻄﺮﭘﺬﻳﺮي‬ ‫ﻣﺎﺗﺮﻳﺲ‬)‫رﻳﺴﻚ‬(‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫و‬ ‫ﺗﺌﻮري‬ ،‫ﺗﻌﺮﻳﻒ‬ ،
35
‫دﻳﺪار‬ ‫اﻣﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬