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Business Opportunities in Brazil
2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo
October 28, 2011 Los Angeles


Moderator
- Luiz Antonio Campos Mello
                                    www.camposmelloadv.com.br

Speakers
- Clay Dickinson
                                    www.joneslanglasallehotels.com


- Pat McCudden
                                    www.hyatt.com



- Ted Tanner
                                    www.aegworldwide.com


- Marcos Lessa Mendes
                                    www.odebrecht.com
Business Opportunities in Brazil
2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo
October 28, 2011 Los Angeles




Clay Dickinson
Executive Vice President
Jones Lang LaSalle - expertise serving a range of needs
Integrated Global Team Servicing Global Companies

Our real estate services                                   Our real estate specialties
•  Agency Leasing              •  Investment Management    •  Office             •  Critical environments
•  Corporate Capital Markets   •  Project Development      •  Retail             •  Museums
•  Development and Asset          Services                 •  Shopping centers   •  R&D centers
   Strategy                    •  Property Management      •  Industrial         •  Hospitals
•  Energy and Sustainability   •  Real Estate Investment   •  Hotels             •  Sports arenas
•  Government Services            Banking                  •  Mixed use          •  Transportation centers
•  Hotels                      •  Retail
•  Integrated Facilities       •  Strategic Consulting
   Management                  •  Tenant Representation




                                                                                   Month 00, 2002            3
Jones Lang LaSalle in Brazil
Providing services to iconic companies across all real estate types since 1996




                                                             Month 00, 2002
Trends in key real estate drivers
        Brazil is THE growth market in the Americas; middle class emerging strongly




      Brazil’s real GDP growth                          Brazil’s middle class now
      outpacing U.S. growth by two to                   represents 50% of population, up
      four percentage points annually                   from 38% in 2003
Source: IHS Global Insight, Getulio Vargas Foundation



                                                                      Month 00, 2002
Trends in key real estate drivers
       FDI rising as investors seek to capitalize on country’s growth; additional future
       upside lies in Brazil’s recently discovered massive oil reserves




      Gross FDI to average $58 billion                       Oil fields discovered off coast of
      per year through 2014                                  Rio de Janeiro conservatively
                                                             estimated at 30 to 80 billion barrels.
                                                             Production to triple by 2035
Source: IHS Global Insight, Empresa de Pesquisa Energética



                                                                              Month 00, 2002
Trends in key real estate drivers
         Upcoming sporting events accompanied by large-scale investment; though not
         without challenges
      Planned investments for FIFA World Cup (R$ billions)    FIFA World Cup host cities spread across country


                                                                          RR                      AP

                                                                                                                                   Fortaleza
                                                                                                                                           Natal
                                                                   AM Manaus                  PA                    MA             CE       RN
                                                                                                                              PI                 PB
                                                                                                                                     Recife     PE
                                                             AC      RO                                                                        AL
                                                                                                            TO
                                                                                                                                         SE
                                                                                        MT                                    BA
                                                                                                                                        Salvador
                                                                               Cuiabá                       DF
                                                                                                       GO          Brasília
                                                                                                                     MG
                                                                                        MS                                     ES
                                                                                                                  Belo Horizonte
                                                                                                        SP
                                                                                                                           RJ
                                                                                                 PR                      Rio de Janeiro
                                                                                             Curitiba            São Paulo
                                                                                                    SC
                                                                                             RS
                                                                                                        Porto Alegre




         Estimated infrastructure spending of US$32 billion for FIFA World Cup and
         US$14 billion for Summer Olympic Games
Source: Ernst & Young, Jones Lang LaSalle




                                                                                             Month 00, 2002
Overview of real estate trends: office market




     Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro office markets encompass 14 million m2;
     country’s growth leading to significant opportunity for expansion of stock
Source: Jones Lang LaSalle



                                                             Month 00, 2002
Overview of real estate trends: retail market
                                                          GLA per 1,000 inhabitants (sqm) - 2008




     Gross leasable area (GLA) of shopping malls grew 88% over past ten years but
     still greatly lags other countries’ on per capita basis, highlighting growth potential
     for expansion of shopping malls and big-box stores

Source: ICSC/BR Mall, Jones Lang LaSalle



                                                                              Month 00, 2002
Overview of real estate trends: hotel market

                                    Brazil Lodging Performance – 2003 – 2010




      Brazil’s hotel market running on all cylinders with 2010 RevPAR 79% above
      2004 level. International investors are evaluating potential of scale roll-out of
      branded mid market hotels; for now, front runner Accor still dominating space
Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels



                                                                               Month 00, 2002
Overview of real estate trends: residential market

       •     6 million low-end units shortage
       •     Evolving mortgage market
       •     Developers going public
       •     Active JV market
       •     High volume of launches in all classes
       •     Land prices quickly increasing
       •     Going towards main cities
       •     Supported by government




Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, World Bank



                                                      Month 00, 2002
Brazil real estate market SWOT analysis

                              Strengths                                                          Weaknesses
 –  Stable, democratic government and solid macro-economic              –  Lack of long term financing
    fundamentals
                                                                        –  Early termination of typical lease contracts
 –  Rich natural resources
                                                                        –  Development concentrated in a few cities - southeast
 –  Demographic bonus
                                                                        –  Not enough infrastructure investments
 –  Leading recipient of both portfolio and direct foreign investment
                                                                        –  Complex, expensive labor environment
 –  Evolving capital market
                                                                        –  Difficult tax environment
 –  Earnings can be repatriated on a tax free basis
                                                                        –  Leasing payment must be in BRL currency


                         Opportunities                                                                 Threats
 –  Rapidly growing middle class                                        –  Strong demand for land drives prices up
 –  Increasingly integrated with global economy                         –  Lack of specialized human resources
 –  PAC and private infrastructure investment creates commercial        –  Cap rates compression drive prices beyond and returns below
    demand in secondary and tertiary cities                                acceptable risk-adjusted levels for international investors.
 –  Increased economic decentralization                                 –  Global recession drives commodity prices down
 –  World Cup, Olympic Games and recently discovered oil reserves       –  Foreign funds flock home to protect the flank
 –  Interest of international funds and lenders




                                                                                                           Month 00, 2002                 12
Is there a real estate bubble?

We think there isn’t, here’s why:

•  The average use of personal funds for purchasing real estate assets is still very high (around 40%)

•  Many purchasers opt to purchase with shorter installments and amortization schedules

•  Leverage is relatively insignificant and derivative products are underdeveloped

•  Prudent monetary policy and regulation of the Brazilian market after the reforms passed in the 90’s

•  Growing price levels indicate heated demand justified by low unemployment and larger salaries

•  Increasing factor prices (land, labor and capital) impede supply growth




                                                                                                   Month 00, 2002
Business Opportunities in Brazil
2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo
October 28, 2011 Los Angeles




Pat McCudden
Senior Vice President
Grand	
  Hya)	
  Rio	
  de	
  Janeiro	
  
•  Mixed	
  use	
  project	
  with	
  408	
  hotel	
  keys	
  and	
  approximately	
  40-­‐50	
  
   branded	
  whole	
  ownership	
  residences.	
  
•  46,000	
  square	
  meter	
  site	
  across	
  the	
  street	
  from	
  the	
  beach	
  in	
  Barra	
  
   da	
  Tijuca	
  secIon	
  of	
  Rio	
  de	
  Janeiro.	
  
•  Hya)	
  purchased	
  approximately	
  70%	
  of	
  the	
  land	
  for	
  the	
  
   development	
  of	
  the	
  Grand	
  Hya)	
  Hotel	
  in	
  December	
  2010.	
  
•  Hotel	
  budget	
  is	
  approximately	
  BRL$450	
  million,	
  approximately	
  US
   $250	
  million.	
  
•  Approximately	
  50%	
  of	
  the	
  hotel	
  development	
  costs	
  will	
  be	
  funded	
  
   via	
  a	
  loan	
  from	
  the	
  Brazilian	
  NaIonal	
  Development	
  Bank	
  (BNDES)	
  
   under	
  a	
  special	
  line	
  of	
  credit	
  established	
  for	
  the	
  development	
  of	
  
   new	
  hotels	
  that	
  offers	
  “below	
  market	
  financing”.	
  
Grand	
  Hya)	
  Rio	
  de	
  Janeiro	
  
•  Hotel	
  construcIon	
  is	
  anIcipated	
  to	
  begin	
  in	
  mid	
  2012	
  and	
  be	
  
   completed	
  in	
  early	
  2015.	
  
•  Design	
  consultants	
  are	
  a	
  mix	
  of	
  internaIonal	
  and	
  local	
  firms.	
  
•  Sales	
  of	
  the	
  branded	
  residences	
  are	
  likely	
  to	
  begin	
  in	
  2012	
  and	
  
   the	
  developer	
  of	
  these	
  residences	
  is	
  seeking	
  a	
  sales	
  price	
  of	
  
   approximately	
  US$1,600	
  per	
  square	
  foot.	
  
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro




03. Google Earth Site Plan
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
20. Perspective View from Guestroom

                                 Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
Business Opportunities in Brazil
2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo
October 28, 2011 Los Angeles




Ted Tanner
Executive Vice President
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Business Opportunities in Brazil
2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo
October 28, 2011 Los Angeles




Marcos Lessa Mendes
Chief Executive Officer
The	
  1st	
  Smart	
  City	
  in	
  f	
  laIn	
  America.	
  
              A	
  new	
  way	
  o L iving	
  
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Business Opportunities in Brazil (Ted Tanner) - ULI Fall Meeting - 102811

  • 1. Business Opportunities in Brazil 2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo October 28, 2011 Los Angeles Moderator - Luiz Antonio Campos Mello www.camposmelloadv.com.br Speakers - Clay Dickinson www.joneslanglasallehotels.com - Pat McCudden www.hyatt.com - Ted Tanner www.aegworldwide.com - Marcos Lessa Mendes www.odebrecht.com
  • 2. Business Opportunities in Brazil 2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo October 28, 2011 Los Angeles Clay Dickinson Executive Vice President
  • 3. Jones Lang LaSalle - expertise serving a range of needs Integrated Global Team Servicing Global Companies Our real estate services Our real estate specialties •  Agency Leasing •  Investment Management •  Office •  Critical environments •  Corporate Capital Markets •  Project Development •  Retail •  Museums •  Development and Asset Services •  Shopping centers •  R&D centers Strategy •  Property Management •  Industrial •  Hospitals •  Energy and Sustainability •  Real Estate Investment •  Hotels •  Sports arenas •  Government Services Banking •  Mixed use •  Transportation centers •  Hotels •  Retail •  Integrated Facilities •  Strategic Consulting Management •  Tenant Representation Month 00, 2002 3
  • 4. Jones Lang LaSalle in Brazil Providing services to iconic companies across all real estate types since 1996 Month 00, 2002
  • 5. Trends in key real estate drivers Brazil is THE growth market in the Americas; middle class emerging strongly Brazil’s real GDP growth Brazil’s middle class now outpacing U.S. growth by two to represents 50% of population, up four percentage points annually from 38% in 2003 Source: IHS Global Insight, Getulio Vargas Foundation Month 00, 2002
  • 6. Trends in key real estate drivers FDI rising as investors seek to capitalize on country’s growth; additional future upside lies in Brazil’s recently discovered massive oil reserves Gross FDI to average $58 billion Oil fields discovered off coast of per year through 2014 Rio de Janeiro conservatively estimated at 30 to 80 billion barrels. Production to triple by 2035 Source: IHS Global Insight, Empresa de Pesquisa Energética Month 00, 2002
  • 7. Trends in key real estate drivers Upcoming sporting events accompanied by large-scale investment; though not without challenges Planned investments for FIFA World Cup (R$ billions) FIFA World Cup host cities spread across country RR AP Fortaleza Natal AM Manaus PA MA CE RN PI PB Recife PE AC RO AL TO SE MT BA Salvador Cuiabá DF GO Brasília MG MS ES Belo Horizonte SP RJ PR Rio de Janeiro Curitiba São Paulo SC RS Porto Alegre Estimated infrastructure spending of US$32 billion for FIFA World Cup and US$14 billion for Summer Olympic Games Source: Ernst & Young, Jones Lang LaSalle Month 00, 2002
  • 8. Overview of real estate trends: office market Sao Paulo and Rio de Janeiro office markets encompass 14 million m2; country’s growth leading to significant opportunity for expansion of stock Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Month 00, 2002
  • 9. Overview of real estate trends: retail market GLA per 1,000 inhabitants (sqm) - 2008 Gross leasable area (GLA) of shopping malls grew 88% over past ten years but still greatly lags other countries’ on per capita basis, highlighting growth potential for expansion of shopping malls and big-box stores Source: ICSC/BR Mall, Jones Lang LaSalle Month 00, 2002
  • 10. Overview of real estate trends: hotel market Brazil Lodging Performance – 2003 – 2010 Brazil’s hotel market running on all cylinders with 2010 RevPAR 79% above 2004 level. International investors are evaluating potential of scale roll-out of branded mid market hotels; for now, front runner Accor still dominating space Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Hotels Month 00, 2002
  • 11. Overview of real estate trends: residential market •  6 million low-end units shortage •  Evolving mortgage market •  Developers going public •  Active JV market •  High volume of launches in all classes •  Land prices quickly increasing •  Going towards main cities •  Supported by government Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, World Bank Month 00, 2002
  • 12. Brazil real estate market SWOT analysis Strengths Weaknesses –  Stable, democratic government and solid macro-economic –  Lack of long term financing fundamentals –  Early termination of typical lease contracts –  Rich natural resources –  Development concentrated in a few cities - southeast –  Demographic bonus –  Not enough infrastructure investments –  Leading recipient of both portfolio and direct foreign investment –  Complex, expensive labor environment –  Evolving capital market –  Difficult tax environment –  Earnings can be repatriated on a tax free basis –  Leasing payment must be in BRL currency Opportunities Threats –  Rapidly growing middle class –  Strong demand for land drives prices up –  Increasingly integrated with global economy –  Lack of specialized human resources –  PAC and private infrastructure investment creates commercial –  Cap rates compression drive prices beyond and returns below demand in secondary and tertiary cities acceptable risk-adjusted levels for international investors. –  Increased economic decentralization –  Global recession drives commodity prices down –  World Cup, Olympic Games and recently discovered oil reserves –  Foreign funds flock home to protect the flank –  Interest of international funds and lenders Month 00, 2002 12
  • 13. Is there a real estate bubble? We think there isn’t, here’s why: •  The average use of personal funds for purchasing real estate assets is still very high (around 40%) •  Many purchasers opt to purchase with shorter installments and amortization schedules •  Leverage is relatively insignificant and derivative products are underdeveloped •  Prudent monetary policy and regulation of the Brazilian market after the reforms passed in the 90’s •  Growing price levels indicate heated demand justified by low unemployment and larger salaries •  Increasing factor prices (land, labor and capital) impede supply growth Month 00, 2002
  • 14. Business Opportunities in Brazil 2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo October 28, 2011 Los Angeles Pat McCudden Senior Vice President
  • 15. Grand  Hya)  Rio  de  Janeiro   •  Mixed  use  project  with  408  hotel  keys  and  approximately  40-­‐50   branded  whole  ownership  residences.   •  46,000  square  meter  site  across  the  street  from  the  beach  in  Barra   da  Tijuca  secIon  of  Rio  de  Janeiro.   •  Hya)  purchased  approximately  70%  of  the  land  for  the   development  of  the  Grand  Hya)  Hotel  in  December  2010.   •  Hotel  budget  is  approximately  BRL$450  million,  approximately  US $250  million.   •  Approximately  50%  of  the  hotel  development  costs  will  be  funded   via  a  loan  from  the  Brazilian  NaIonal  Development  Bank  (BNDES)   under  a  special  line  of  credit  established  for  the  development  of   new  hotels  that  offers  “below  market  financing”.  
  • 16. Grand  Hya)  Rio  de  Janeiro   •  Hotel  construcIon  is  anIcipated  to  begin  in  mid  2012  and  be   completed  in  early  2015.   •  Design  consultants  are  a  mix  of  internaIonal  and  local  firms.   •  Sales  of  the  branded  residences  are  likely  to  begin  in  2012  and   the  developer  of  these  residences  is  seeking  a  sales  price  of   approximately  US$1,600  per  square  foot.  
  • 17. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 18. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 19. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 20. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro 03. Google Earth Site Plan
  • 21. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 22. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 23. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 24. 20. Perspective View from Guestroom Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 25. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 26. Grand Hyatt Rio de Janeiro
  • 27. Business Opportunities in Brazil 2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo October 28, 2011 Los Angeles Ted Tanner Executive Vice President
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  • 40. Business Opportunities in Brazil 2011 ULI Fall Meeting and Urban Land Expo October 28, 2011 Los Angeles Marcos Lessa Mendes Chief Executive Officer
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  • 42. The  1st  Smart  City  in  f  laIn  America.   A  new  way  o L iving  
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  • 62. LEARN   University  campus   Primary  schools   Secondary  schools  
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  • 67. A rEh From 2025 Residential and office districts – 3rd phase.
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