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Monday, 30th September 2013: Business & policy Dialogue
Tuesday 1 October to Thursday, 3rd October: Academic and Policy Dialogue
www.isngi.org
ENDORSING PARTNERS
The following are confirmed contributors to the business and policy dialogue in Sydney:
• Rick Sawers (National Australia Bank)
• Nick Greiner (Chairman (Infrastructure NSW)
smart.uow.edu.au
Global Best Practice
Infrastructure – Who Does it Best
and What Can Australia Learn?
Presented by: Mr Ross Love, Senior Partner,
Boston Consulting Group, Australia and New Zealand
Leading practices in infrastructure
Presentation to SMART Infrastructure
Business and Policy Dialogue
August 2014
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 2Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Introduction
There is a pressing need to address the growing global infrastructure gap
• Under current conditions, up to $25t shortfall in global infrastructure capacity expected by 2030
• Over the long-term, this could be worth 3–5% of global GDP
Closing this gap requires improvements across the infrastructure life-cycle
• Credible infrastructure pipelines that prioritise the right investments
• Rigorous preparation and procurement to set them up for success
• Ongoing optimisation of operations and maintenance to maximise their value over time
• A supportive, predictable and transparent enabling environment
Australia has a strong foundation to build on, but there is clear room for improvement, e.g.
• Ensure IA reforms translate into real improvements in project selection
• Make more systemic use of user charging and alternative revenue sources
• Promote greater innovation in project delivery and execution
• Improve data capture and availability, and enable super funds to take greater responsibility for
long-term capital formation
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 3Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Under current conditions, up to $25t shortfall in global
infrastructure capacity expected by 2030
20
40
60
80
100
120
2025202020152013 2030
Cumulative infrastructure capacity required (2012 US$t)
92-103
13
Existing stock4
Potential public
investment (consistent
with stabilising
debt-to-GDP ratios)3
13-24
30
36
Remaining
capacity gap
Current private
investment levels2
$49t
expected
to be met
under
current
conditions
$62–73t
total need1
1. Consensus estimate based on BCG, McKinsey, and WEF forecasts to 2030. 2. BCG estimate of global private investment average for 2006-2010. 3. BCG estimate of reduction in public investment
required to meet IMF debt -to-GDP targets (typically 60% of GDP) by 2030 (IMF Fiscal Monitor, October 2013 estimates of adjustments required to the cyclically adjusted primary balance (CAPB) to
meet debt-to-GDP targets while funding expected additional health and pension costs; Heritage Foundation 2014 Index of Economic Freedom estimates of government expenditure as a % of GDP;
BCG analysis 4. Assumes existing infrastructure stock of ~70% of global GDP (McKinsey, 2013) depreciating at 2.5% p.a. (BCG analysis; McKinsey, 2013). Source: BCG analysis.
Over the longer term, this could be worth
3–5% of global GDP
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 4Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Closing this gap will require improvements across the
infrastructure lifecycle ...
20
40
60
80
100
120
20302025202020152013
Cumulative infrastructure capacity required (2012 US$t)
Increased availability of financing
Enhanced enabling environment
Improved project execution
Rigorous preparation and
procurement
Improved project selection and
prioritisation
~15%
10-15%
~30%
~30-35%
~10%
Maximum lever potential
Note: Based on estimates: of the benefits of improved project selection and prioritisation (BCG; McKinsey); the 'privatisable' share of current government non-financial assets (Infrastructure Australia;
The Economist; OECD; BCG analysis); increased revenue potential of user charges, land value capture, and ancillary revenue (African Infrastructure Country Diagnostic; IEA; WEF; BCG analysis);
cost efficiencies in construction and O&M (WEF; BCG; McKinsey); the impact of improving all countries' regulatory environment to current best practice (World Bank; BCG analysis); and the impact of
increasing depth of national financial markets towards world best practice (World Bank; BCG analysis). Source: BCG analysis.
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 5Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Origination
Preparation and
procurement
Execution
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum
... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right
Project
cycle
 Needs-based, long-term
infrastructure vision
 Bankable feasibility studies that
rigorously forecast demand,
revenue and cost
 Optimised asset value and
utilisation
 Integrated, evidence-based
selection and prioritisation
 Clear allocation of risks to parties
best able to manage them
 Lifecycle-focus in maintenance
and investment to increase
lifetime value
 Rigorous 'value for money'
analysis to determine delivery
model
 Rigorous, standardised project
preparation processes
 Lean organisation and processes
to minimise construction and
operating costs
 Transparent, competitive, and
efficient procurement processes
Enabling
environment
 Stable, transparent and effective
legal & regulatory framework
 High quality, widely accessible
data and benchmarks
 Efficient regulatory and
approvals processes
 High capability workforce
 Adequate access to long-term
finance
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 6Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Origination
Preparation and
procurement
Execution
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum
... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right
Project
cycle
 Needs-based, long-term
infrastructure vision
 Bankable feasibility studies that
rigorously forecast demand,
revenue and cost
 Optimised asset value and
utilisation
 Integrated, evidence-based
selection and prioritisation
 Clear allocation of risks to parties
best able to manage them
 Lifecycle-focus in maintenance
and investment to increase
lifetime value
 Rigorous 'value for money'
analysis to determine delivery
model
 Rigorous, standardised project
preparation processes
 Lean organisation and processes
to minimise construction and
operating costs
 Transparent, competitive, and
efficient procurement processes
Enabling
environment
 Stable, transparent and effective
legal & regulatory framework
 High quality, widely accessible
data and benchmarks
 Efficient regulatory and
approvals processes
 High capability workforce
 Adequate access to long-term
finance
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 7Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Origination
Preparation and
procurement
Execution
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum
... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right
Project
cycle
 Needs-based, long-term
infrastructure vision
 Bankable feasibility studies that
rigorously forecast demand,
revenue and cost
 Optimised asset value and
utilisation
 Integrated, evidence-based
selection and prioritisation
 Clear allocation of risks to parties
best able to manage them
 Lifecycle-focus in maintenance
and investment to increase
lifetime value
 Rigorous 'value for money'
analysis to determine delivery
model
 Rigorous, standardised project
preparation processes
 Lean organisation and processes
to minimise construction and
operating costs
 Transparent, competitive, and
efficient procurement processes
Enabling
environment
 Stable, transparent and effective
legal & regulatory framework
 High quality, widely accessible
data and benchmarks
 Efficient regulatory and
approvals processes
 High capability workforce
 Adequate access to long-term
finance
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 8Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Origination
Preparation and
procurement
Execution
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum
... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right
Project
cycle
 Needs-based, long-term
infrastructure vision
 Bankable feasibility studies that
rigorously forecast demand,
revenue and cost
 Optimised asset value and
utilisation
 Integrated, evidence-based
selection and prioritisation
 Clear allocation of risks to parties
best able to manage them
 Lifecycle-focus in maintenance
and investment to increase
lifetime value
 Rigorous 'value for money'
analysis to determine delivery
model
 Rigorous, standardised project
preparation processes
 Lean organisation and processes
to minimise construction and
operating costs
 Transparent, competitive, and
efficient procurement processes
Enabling
environment
 Stable, transparent and effective
legal & regulatory framework
 High quality, widely accessible
data and benchmarks
 Efficient regulatory and
approvals processes
 High capability workforce
 Adequate access to long-term
finance
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 9Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Origination
Preparation and
procurement
Execution
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum
... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right
Project
cycle
 Needs-based, long-term
infrastructure vision
 Bankable feasibility studies that
rigorously forecast demand,
revenue and cost
 Optimised asset value and
utilisation
 Integrated, evidence-based
selection and prioritisation
 Clear allocation of risks to parties
best able to manage them
 Lifecycle-focus in maintenance
and investment to increase
lifetime value
 Rigorous 'value for money'
analysis to determine delivery
model
 Rigorous, standardised project
preparation processes
 Lean organisation and processes
to minimise construction and
operating costs
 Transparent, competitive, and
efficient procurement processes
Enabling
environment
 Stable, transparent and effective
legal & regulatory framework
 High quality, widely accessible
data and benchmarks
 Efficient regulatory and
approvals processes
 High capability workforce
 Adequate access to long-term
finance
Selected examples
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 10Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Institutional set-up is critical to establishing a credible
infrastructure pipeline that prioritises the right investments
Needs-based
long-term
infrastructure vision
Integrated,
evidence-based selection
and prioritisation
Rigorous 'value for
money' analysis
Preparation and
procurement
Early and effective public involvement
E.g. France's National Commission for Public Debate (CNDP) is charged with organising public consultation
as early as possible in the project lifecycle
Formal requirement for independent, expert review (incl. ex-post evaluation) and advice
E.g. South Korea's PIMAC is required to verify CBA and value-for-money analyses before a project can proceed
Transparency of assessments and decision-making
E.g. Infrastructure Ontario ensures value-for-money methodology and assessments are publicly disclosed
Clearly defined stage gates
E.g. UK Major Projects Authority is responsible for formal stage gate reviews, including explicit option to halt projects
based on updated information
Project selection clearly separated
from choice of delivery model
Unfettered choice to review
projects, incl. unsolicited proposals
Source: BCG.
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 11Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Sustainable revenue models leverage a broad range of
funding sources: not just taxes or user charges
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum.
50% of RDE PPPs rely on
user fees vs. few in
developed countries
Potential can range from
010% of revenue utilities
to 50% in airports
Metro lines have
recovered 50-85% of
required funding
India limits viability gap
funding to 20% of total
project cost
User
charges
Ensure public buy-in
• Clearly link to quality
improvements (e.g.
Stockholm congestion
charge)
Optimise pricing
• Minimise 'pain' of
payment (e.g. e-
tolling)
• Diversify service
levels to balance cost
and revenue (e.g.
Manila Water's 'Water
for the Poor')
Ancillary
revenue
Address user needs
holistically
• Satisfy advanced
needs in core
business (e.g. energy-
saving solutions)
• Pursue adjacent
services (e.g. sell
warehousing at ports)
• Consider unrelated
revenue sources (e.g.
cabling under roads)
Partner effectively to up
the odds of success
Land value
capture
Choose an appropriate
level of risk
• Tradable development
rights (e.g. CEPACs
in Brazil)
• Joint-develop land
with concessionaire
(e.g. MTR in HK)
• Buy and re-sell land
before announcement
(e.g. Copenhagen
metro)
Act quickly to exploit
window of opportunity
Government
payments
Use to bridge 'viability-
gap' where necessary
• Based on rigorous
analysis, not by default
Ensure risk allocation
incentivises outcomes
• Availability payments
reflect service-levels
(e.g. UK A1 payments
inversely proportional
to congestion levels)
• Shadow tolling (e.g.
Belras road in
Portugal)
KeysuccessfactorsPotential
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 12Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Operations
control
Maintenance
User
self-regulation
Time-based
charging
3
2
1
Data-driven technology can drive significant improvements
in asset utilisation and maintenance
ImpactLeading practice
OperatorsUsers
Increasinginterventionwithuserbehaviour
Provide users
with data they
need to change
behavior
Impose usage
limitations only
when/where
necessary
Use social
mitigation
measures to
ensure public
buy-in
Monitor data to
predict
deterioration in
asset condition
Example
• SF Smart Parking program uses a
smart phone app to broadcast the
location of available parking spaces in
real-time (including their demand-
adjusted parking prices)
• Average time
searching for parking
has decreased 43%;
target occupancy
met 31% more often
• NYC system, Midtown in Motion
monitors real-time microwave sensors,
cameras and e-tolling readers to
identify choke points, adjust signals
and clear traffic
• Travel speeds
improved by 10%
• Proportion of
potholes closed
within 2 days
increased from 48 to
92%
• Boston's pothole-finding app, Street
Bump crowdsources asset condition
data to locate patches of road that
need or will need repair
• Washington State Route 167
dynamically prices HOT (High
Occupancy Toll) lanes based on real-
time traffic levels updated every 5
minutes
• Vehicle numbers
reduced by 5%;
collisions down 2%
and speeds have
increased by 20%
4
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum; San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency; City of Boston Public Works Department.
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 13Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Dramatic efficiency improvements in approvals possible
without compromising the integrity of the process
Source: BCG; European Commission (2011) Permitting procedures for energy infrastructure projects in the EU: evaluation and legal recommendations; Canada MPMO (Major Projects Management
Office; OECD (2010) Better regulation in Europe: France; Memorandum of Understanding (2009) Transmission Siting on Federal Lands.
Standardised
approval
pathways
with a single
point of
accountability
Early and
effective
public
participation
Clear
allocation of
responsibility
between
agencies
Rationalised
regulatory
objectives
• Legislation enforces strict
timeframes for overall approvals
• Responsible agency can take
decision in lieu of local authorities if
input not provided
Netherlands
• 9 Federal agencies signed an MoU
to speed up approval of transmission
lines, reduce duplication and ensure
seamless processes
United StatesCanada
• Created single point of entry for
resource projects
• Reduced number of agencies
involved from 40 to 3
• Legislation requires public
involvement as early as possible in
the approval process to improve
buy-in and identify areas of tension
France
Clear time limits
for overall approvals
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 14Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Origination
Preparation and
procurement
Execution
Source: BCG; World Economic Forum
Australia has a strong foundation to build from, but
there is clear room for improvement
Project
cycle
 Needs-based, long-term
infrastructure vision
 Bankable feasibility studies that
rigorously forecast demand,
revenue and cost
 Optimised asset value and
utilisation
 Integrated, evidence-based
selection and prioritisation
 Clear allocation of risks to parties
best able to manage them
 Lifecycle-focus in maintenance
and investment to increase
lifetime value
 Rigorous 'value for money'
analysis to determine delivery
model
 Rigorous, standardised project
preparation processes
 Lean organisation and processes
to minimise construction and
operating costs
 Transparent, competitive, and
efficient procurement processes
Enabling
environment
 Stable, transparent and effective
legal & regulatory framework
 High quality, widely accessible
data and benchmarks
 Efficient regulatory and
approvals processes
 High capability workforce
 Adequate access to long-term
finance
Ensure Infrastructure
Australia reforms
translate into real
improvements in
practice
Make more systemic
use of user charging
and alternative revenue
sources
Promote greater
innovation in execution
Improve data capture and availability
Enable super funds to take greater responsibility for long-term capital formation
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 15Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Direct user charges are a small proportion of Australian
road-related revenue
50
100
0
11%
25%
9%
50%
75%
91%
FranceSwitzerland
8%
81%
44%
41%
Australia
41%
Germany UK
19%
2%
98%
US
5%
75%
Norway
% of annual road-related revenue
25%
Note: Direct usage charges comprise tolls; indirect usage charges include fuel and motor vehicle taxes; one-off fees include vehicle registration and licensing fees; unrelated income includes e.g.
investment income; for Australia, Fringe Benefits Tax was treated as a one-off fee; for the US, motor-vehicle and other taxes and fees were split among one-off fees and indirect usage charges.
Source: Australian Department of Infrastructure and Transport 2011; Comité des Constructeurs Français d'Automobiles 2009; Eidgenössische Finanzverwaltung 2009; Bundesministerium der
Finanzen 2009; HM Revenue and Customs 2009; Bråthen & Odeck, 'Funding of Road Construction in Norway' 2006; US Federal Highway Administration 2011.
Unrelated income
One-off fees
Indirect usage charges
Direct user charges
Backup
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 16Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Australian construction firms and infrastructure operators
amongst the least innovative sectors of the economy
31 31 30
28
25 25
22 22
19 18
14
12 11 11 11 11 10
20
24
30
19 18
14
17
15 16
20 18
15
25
12
16 16
10
0
10
20
30
40
Agriculture
Electricity,Gas&
Waterservices
% of Australian businesses introducing innovation, 2012-13
Transport&
Warehousing
Construction
RealEstate
services
Administrative
services
Financiall
services
Hospitality
Healthcare
Recreation
services
Otherservices
Professional
services
Media&
Teleco
Wholesale
Manufacturing
Retail
Mining
Operational processesGoods or services
Source: ABS, Summary of IT Use and Innovation in Australian Business, 2012-13
Operational processes
(Average=18%)
Goods or services
(Average=19%)
Backup
SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 17Draft—for discussion only
Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved.
Australian super funds have relatively high allocations to
infrastructure, particularly in unlisted equity
0
5
10
15
20
25
Endesa
AustralianSuper
SustainabilityFund
OMERS
GEPF
CalPERS
Previ
AFPProvida
PFZW
ABP
Ø 0.9
Ø 3.3
CGDPensões
AP3
BancoBPI
AFPHorizontePeru
OYAK
PensionFund
FAPES
FUNCEF
CanadaPPIBoard
PFAPension
Immarinen
AforeXXIBanorte
Fonditel
PMT
Pension fund infrastructure investments (% of total assets)
Menora-Mivtachim
NZSuperFund
QuebecPensionPlan
AP4
USS
BTPensionScheme
OTPP
FutureFund
Sunsuper
33 selected funds
69 surveyed funds
Debt
Unlisted Equity
Listed Equity
Note: Average infrastructure investments shown include debt and unlisted equity as a % of total assets under management for the 69 funds reflects the average of all funds in the OECD Annual
Survey of Large Pension Funds (0.9%). The higher 3.3% figure reflects the weighted average of the 33 funds with any infrastructure allocation.
Source: OECD, Annual Survey of Large Pension Funds and Public Pension Reserve Funds, October 2013, BCG analysis.
Backup
Thank you
bcg.com | bcgperspectives.com

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SMART Infrastructure Business and Policy Dialogue 2014:Global Best Practice Infrastructure - Who does it best and what can Australia learn?

  • 1. Monday, 30th September 2013: Business & policy Dialogue Tuesday 1 October to Thursday, 3rd October: Academic and Policy Dialogue www.isngi.org ENDORSING PARTNERS The following are confirmed contributors to the business and policy dialogue in Sydney: • Rick Sawers (National Australia Bank) • Nick Greiner (Chairman (Infrastructure NSW) smart.uow.edu.au Global Best Practice Infrastructure – Who Does it Best and What Can Australia Learn? Presented by: Mr Ross Love, Senior Partner, Boston Consulting Group, Australia and New Zealand
  • 2. Leading practices in infrastructure Presentation to SMART Infrastructure Business and Policy Dialogue August 2014
  • 3. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 2Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Introduction There is a pressing need to address the growing global infrastructure gap • Under current conditions, up to $25t shortfall in global infrastructure capacity expected by 2030 • Over the long-term, this could be worth 3–5% of global GDP Closing this gap requires improvements across the infrastructure life-cycle • Credible infrastructure pipelines that prioritise the right investments • Rigorous preparation and procurement to set them up for success • Ongoing optimisation of operations and maintenance to maximise their value over time • A supportive, predictable and transparent enabling environment Australia has a strong foundation to build on, but there is clear room for improvement, e.g. • Ensure IA reforms translate into real improvements in project selection • Make more systemic use of user charging and alternative revenue sources • Promote greater innovation in project delivery and execution • Improve data capture and availability, and enable super funds to take greater responsibility for long-term capital formation
  • 4. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 3Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Under current conditions, up to $25t shortfall in global infrastructure capacity expected by 2030 20 40 60 80 100 120 2025202020152013 2030 Cumulative infrastructure capacity required (2012 US$t) 92-103 13 Existing stock4 Potential public investment (consistent with stabilising debt-to-GDP ratios)3 13-24 30 36 Remaining capacity gap Current private investment levels2 $49t expected to be met under current conditions $62–73t total need1 1. Consensus estimate based on BCG, McKinsey, and WEF forecasts to 2030. 2. BCG estimate of global private investment average for 2006-2010. 3. BCG estimate of reduction in public investment required to meet IMF debt -to-GDP targets (typically 60% of GDP) by 2030 (IMF Fiscal Monitor, October 2013 estimates of adjustments required to the cyclically adjusted primary balance (CAPB) to meet debt-to-GDP targets while funding expected additional health and pension costs; Heritage Foundation 2014 Index of Economic Freedom estimates of government expenditure as a % of GDP; BCG analysis 4. Assumes existing infrastructure stock of ~70% of global GDP (McKinsey, 2013) depreciating at 2.5% p.a. (BCG analysis; McKinsey, 2013). Source: BCG analysis. Over the longer term, this could be worth 3–5% of global GDP
  • 5. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 4Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Closing this gap will require improvements across the infrastructure lifecycle ... 20 40 60 80 100 120 20302025202020152013 Cumulative infrastructure capacity required (2012 US$t) Increased availability of financing Enhanced enabling environment Improved project execution Rigorous preparation and procurement Improved project selection and prioritisation ~15% 10-15% ~30% ~30-35% ~10% Maximum lever potential Note: Based on estimates: of the benefits of improved project selection and prioritisation (BCG; McKinsey); the 'privatisable' share of current government non-financial assets (Infrastructure Australia; The Economist; OECD; BCG analysis); increased revenue potential of user charges, land value capture, and ancillary revenue (African Infrastructure Country Diagnostic; IEA; WEF; BCG analysis); cost efficiencies in construction and O&M (WEF; BCG; McKinsey); the impact of improving all countries' regulatory environment to current best practice (World Bank; BCG analysis); and the impact of increasing depth of national financial markets towards world best practice (World Bank; BCG analysis). Source: BCG analysis.
  • 6. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 5Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Origination Preparation and procurement Execution Source: BCG; World Economic Forum ... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right Project cycle  Needs-based, long-term infrastructure vision  Bankable feasibility studies that rigorously forecast demand, revenue and cost  Optimised asset value and utilisation  Integrated, evidence-based selection and prioritisation  Clear allocation of risks to parties best able to manage them  Lifecycle-focus in maintenance and investment to increase lifetime value  Rigorous 'value for money' analysis to determine delivery model  Rigorous, standardised project preparation processes  Lean organisation and processes to minimise construction and operating costs  Transparent, competitive, and efficient procurement processes Enabling environment  Stable, transparent and effective legal & regulatory framework  High quality, widely accessible data and benchmarks  Efficient regulatory and approvals processes  High capability workforce  Adequate access to long-term finance
  • 7. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 6Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Origination Preparation and procurement Execution Source: BCG; World Economic Forum ... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right Project cycle  Needs-based, long-term infrastructure vision  Bankable feasibility studies that rigorously forecast demand, revenue and cost  Optimised asset value and utilisation  Integrated, evidence-based selection and prioritisation  Clear allocation of risks to parties best able to manage them  Lifecycle-focus in maintenance and investment to increase lifetime value  Rigorous 'value for money' analysis to determine delivery model  Rigorous, standardised project preparation processes  Lean organisation and processes to minimise construction and operating costs  Transparent, competitive, and efficient procurement processes Enabling environment  Stable, transparent and effective legal & regulatory framework  High quality, widely accessible data and benchmarks  Efficient regulatory and approvals processes  High capability workforce  Adequate access to long-term finance
  • 8. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 7Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Origination Preparation and procurement Execution Source: BCG; World Economic Forum ... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right Project cycle  Needs-based, long-term infrastructure vision  Bankable feasibility studies that rigorously forecast demand, revenue and cost  Optimised asset value and utilisation  Integrated, evidence-based selection and prioritisation  Clear allocation of risks to parties best able to manage them  Lifecycle-focus in maintenance and investment to increase lifetime value  Rigorous 'value for money' analysis to determine delivery model  Rigorous, standardised project preparation processes  Lean organisation and processes to minimise construction and operating costs  Transparent, competitive, and efficient procurement processes Enabling environment  Stable, transparent and effective legal & regulatory framework  High quality, widely accessible data and benchmarks  Efficient regulatory and approvals processes  High capability workforce  Adequate access to long-term finance
  • 9. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 8Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Origination Preparation and procurement Execution Source: BCG; World Economic Forum ... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right Project cycle  Needs-based, long-term infrastructure vision  Bankable feasibility studies that rigorously forecast demand, revenue and cost  Optimised asset value and utilisation  Integrated, evidence-based selection and prioritisation  Clear allocation of risks to parties best able to manage them  Lifecycle-focus in maintenance and investment to increase lifetime value  Rigorous 'value for money' analysis to determine delivery model  Rigorous, standardised project preparation processes  Lean organisation and processes to minimise construction and operating costs  Transparent, competitive, and efficient procurement processes Enabling environment  Stable, transparent and effective legal & regulatory framework  High quality, widely accessible data and benchmarks  Efficient regulatory and approvals processes  High capability workforce  Adequate access to long-term finance
  • 10. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 9Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Origination Preparation and procurement Execution Source: BCG; World Economic Forum ... but this is primarily about getting 'the basics' right Project cycle  Needs-based, long-term infrastructure vision  Bankable feasibility studies that rigorously forecast demand, revenue and cost  Optimised asset value and utilisation  Integrated, evidence-based selection and prioritisation  Clear allocation of risks to parties best able to manage them  Lifecycle-focus in maintenance and investment to increase lifetime value  Rigorous 'value for money' analysis to determine delivery model  Rigorous, standardised project preparation processes  Lean organisation and processes to minimise construction and operating costs  Transparent, competitive, and efficient procurement processes Enabling environment  Stable, transparent and effective legal & regulatory framework  High quality, widely accessible data and benchmarks  Efficient regulatory and approvals processes  High capability workforce  Adequate access to long-term finance Selected examples
  • 11. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 10Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Institutional set-up is critical to establishing a credible infrastructure pipeline that prioritises the right investments Needs-based long-term infrastructure vision Integrated, evidence-based selection and prioritisation Rigorous 'value for money' analysis Preparation and procurement Early and effective public involvement E.g. France's National Commission for Public Debate (CNDP) is charged with organising public consultation as early as possible in the project lifecycle Formal requirement for independent, expert review (incl. ex-post evaluation) and advice E.g. South Korea's PIMAC is required to verify CBA and value-for-money analyses before a project can proceed Transparency of assessments and decision-making E.g. Infrastructure Ontario ensures value-for-money methodology and assessments are publicly disclosed Clearly defined stage gates E.g. UK Major Projects Authority is responsible for formal stage gate reviews, including explicit option to halt projects based on updated information Project selection clearly separated from choice of delivery model Unfettered choice to review projects, incl. unsolicited proposals Source: BCG.
  • 12. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 11Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Sustainable revenue models leverage a broad range of funding sources: not just taxes or user charges Source: BCG; World Economic Forum. 50% of RDE PPPs rely on user fees vs. few in developed countries Potential can range from 010% of revenue utilities to 50% in airports Metro lines have recovered 50-85% of required funding India limits viability gap funding to 20% of total project cost User charges Ensure public buy-in • Clearly link to quality improvements (e.g. Stockholm congestion charge) Optimise pricing • Minimise 'pain' of payment (e.g. e- tolling) • Diversify service levels to balance cost and revenue (e.g. Manila Water's 'Water for the Poor') Ancillary revenue Address user needs holistically • Satisfy advanced needs in core business (e.g. energy- saving solutions) • Pursue adjacent services (e.g. sell warehousing at ports) • Consider unrelated revenue sources (e.g. cabling under roads) Partner effectively to up the odds of success Land value capture Choose an appropriate level of risk • Tradable development rights (e.g. CEPACs in Brazil) • Joint-develop land with concessionaire (e.g. MTR in HK) • Buy and re-sell land before announcement (e.g. Copenhagen metro) Act quickly to exploit window of opportunity Government payments Use to bridge 'viability- gap' where necessary • Based on rigorous analysis, not by default Ensure risk allocation incentivises outcomes • Availability payments reflect service-levels (e.g. UK A1 payments inversely proportional to congestion levels) • Shadow tolling (e.g. Belras road in Portugal) KeysuccessfactorsPotential
  • 13. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 12Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Operations control Maintenance User self-regulation Time-based charging 3 2 1 Data-driven technology can drive significant improvements in asset utilisation and maintenance ImpactLeading practice OperatorsUsers Increasinginterventionwithuserbehaviour Provide users with data they need to change behavior Impose usage limitations only when/where necessary Use social mitigation measures to ensure public buy-in Monitor data to predict deterioration in asset condition Example • SF Smart Parking program uses a smart phone app to broadcast the location of available parking spaces in real-time (including their demand- adjusted parking prices) • Average time searching for parking has decreased 43%; target occupancy met 31% more often • NYC system, Midtown in Motion monitors real-time microwave sensors, cameras and e-tolling readers to identify choke points, adjust signals and clear traffic • Travel speeds improved by 10% • Proportion of potholes closed within 2 days increased from 48 to 92% • Boston's pothole-finding app, Street Bump crowdsources asset condition data to locate patches of road that need or will need repair • Washington State Route 167 dynamically prices HOT (High Occupancy Toll) lanes based on real- time traffic levels updated every 5 minutes • Vehicle numbers reduced by 5%; collisions down 2% and speeds have increased by 20% 4 Source: BCG; World Economic Forum; San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency; City of Boston Public Works Department.
  • 14. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 13Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Dramatic efficiency improvements in approvals possible without compromising the integrity of the process Source: BCG; European Commission (2011) Permitting procedures for energy infrastructure projects in the EU: evaluation and legal recommendations; Canada MPMO (Major Projects Management Office; OECD (2010) Better regulation in Europe: France; Memorandum of Understanding (2009) Transmission Siting on Federal Lands. Standardised approval pathways with a single point of accountability Early and effective public participation Clear allocation of responsibility between agencies Rationalised regulatory objectives • Legislation enforces strict timeframes for overall approvals • Responsible agency can take decision in lieu of local authorities if input not provided Netherlands • 9 Federal agencies signed an MoU to speed up approval of transmission lines, reduce duplication and ensure seamless processes United StatesCanada • Created single point of entry for resource projects • Reduced number of agencies involved from 40 to 3 • Legislation requires public involvement as early as possible in the approval process to improve buy-in and identify areas of tension France Clear time limits for overall approvals
  • 15. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 14Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Origination Preparation and procurement Execution Source: BCG; World Economic Forum Australia has a strong foundation to build from, but there is clear room for improvement Project cycle  Needs-based, long-term infrastructure vision  Bankable feasibility studies that rigorously forecast demand, revenue and cost  Optimised asset value and utilisation  Integrated, evidence-based selection and prioritisation  Clear allocation of risks to parties best able to manage them  Lifecycle-focus in maintenance and investment to increase lifetime value  Rigorous 'value for money' analysis to determine delivery model  Rigorous, standardised project preparation processes  Lean organisation and processes to minimise construction and operating costs  Transparent, competitive, and efficient procurement processes Enabling environment  Stable, transparent and effective legal & regulatory framework  High quality, widely accessible data and benchmarks  Efficient regulatory and approvals processes  High capability workforce  Adequate access to long-term finance Ensure Infrastructure Australia reforms translate into real improvements in practice Make more systemic use of user charging and alternative revenue sources Promote greater innovation in execution Improve data capture and availability Enable super funds to take greater responsibility for long-term capital formation
  • 16. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 15Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Direct user charges are a small proportion of Australian road-related revenue 50 100 0 11% 25% 9% 50% 75% 91% FranceSwitzerland 8% 81% 44% 41% Australia 41% Germany UK 19% 2% 98% US 5% 75% Norway % of annual road-related revenue 25% Note: Direct usage charges comprise tolls; indirect usage charges include fuel and motor vehicle taxes; one-off fees include vehicle registration and licensing fees; unrelated income includes e.g. investment income; for Australia, Fringe Benefits Tax was treated as a one-off fee; for the US, motor-vehicle and other taxes and fees were split among one-off fees and indirect usage charges. Source: Australian Department of Infrastructure and Transport 2011; Comité des Constructeurs Français d'Automobiles 2009; Eidgenössische Finanzverwaltung 2009; Bundesministerium der Finanzen 2009; HM Revenue and Customs 2009; Bråthen & Odeck, 'Funding of Road Construction in Norway' 2006; US Federal Highway Administration 2011. Unrelated income One-off fees Indirect usage charges Direct user charges Backup
  • 17. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 16Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Australian construction firms and infrastructure operators amongst the least innovative sectors of the economy 31 31 30 28 25 25 22 22 19 18 14 12 11 11 11 11 10 20 24 30 19 18 14 17 15 16 20 18 15 25 12 16 16 10 0 10 20 30 40 Agriculture Electricity,Gas& Waterservices % of Australian businesses introducing innovation, 2012-13 Transport& Warehousing Construction RealEstate services Administrative services Financiall services Hospitality Healthcare Recreation services Otherservices Professional services Media& Teleco Wholesale Manufacturing Retail Mining Operational processesGoods or services Source: ABS, Summary of IT Use and Innovation in Australian Business, 2012-13 Operational processes (Average=18%) Goods or services (Average=19%) Backup
  • 18. SMART BPD Presentation - Ross Love BCG.pptx 17Draft—for discussion only Copyright©2014byTheBostonConsultingGroup,Inc.Allrightsreserved. Australian super funds have relatively high allocations to infrastructure, particularly in unlisted equity 0 5 10 15 20 25 Endesa AustralianSuper SustainabilityFund OMERS GEPF CalPERS Previ AFPProvida PFZW ABP Ø 0.9 Ø 3.3 CGDPensões AP3 BancoBPI AFPHorizontePeru OYAK PensionFund FAPES FUNCEF CanadaPPIBoard PFAPension Immarinen AforeXXIBanorte Fonditel PMT Pension fund infrastructure investments (% of total assets) Menora-Mivtachim NZSuperFund QuebecPensionPlan AP4 USS BTPensionScheme OTPP FutureFund Sunsuper 33 selected funds 69 surveyed funds Debt Unlisted Equity Listed Equity Note: Average infrastructure investments shown include debt and unlisted equity as a % of total assets under management for the 69 funds reflects the average of all funds in the OECD Annual Survey of Large Pension Funds (0.9%). The higher 3.3% figure reflects the weighted average of the 33 funds with any infrastructure allocation. Source: OECD, Annual Survey of Large Pension Funds and Public Pension Reserve Funds, October 2013, BCG analysis. Backup
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