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ThinkForum: Cuba




                                                 The Gallup Organization’s Cuba
                                                 ThinkForum
                                                 Executive Summary
                                                 The Gallup Poll of Cuba offers a rare look at the island’s understudied
                                                 population. The findings represent a fascinating portrayal of a populace
                                                 living with the paradoxes of a communist regime. Cuban respondents are
                                                 satisfied with their well-funded schools, for example, but they may become
                                                 dissatisfied workers who see limited opportunities to make use of their
                                                 talents. They enjoy long lives thanks to a universal healthcare system — but
                                                 few are satisfied with the freedom to choose what they will do with their
                                                 lives.

                                                 Between Sept. 1 and Sept. 15, 2006, in-person interviews were conducted
                                                 with 1,000 residents of Havana (600) and Santiago (400), aged 15 and
                                                 older. The state of Cuba’s transportation infrastructure made it unfeasible to
                                                 collect a nationwide sample; thus, the results are representative only of the
                                                 nearly 3 million inhabitants of Cuba’s two largest cities. Comparison results
                                                 for all of Latin America are based on data from urban populations in 20 Latin
                                                 American countries.

                                                 Leadership

                                                 Cuban President Fidel Castro’s illness has generated much speculation
                                                 about possible social and political changes after his death. Castro’s brother,
                                                 Raul, has been Cuba’s acting president since late July and would succeed
                                                 his brother if Fidel does not recover. Nevertheless, preparations for the
                                                 transition of political power appear to be underway. The poll results support
                                                 the idea that any changes are likely to take place within the existing political
                                                 system.

                                                 •    Having been born in Castro’s era, the majority of respondents see
                                                      themselves as children of the revolution. Asked whether a series of
                                                      adjectives describe the Cuban people, respondents were much more
                                                      likely to say Cubans are “fair” (78%) and “equalitarian” (69%) than they
                                                      were to say they are “democratic” (47%).

                                                 •    When asked about the country’s current leadership, respondents split
                                                      fairly evenly: 49% said they approve of Cuba’s leadership, while 39%
                                                      disapproved, and 13% did not offer a response.




Copyright © 2006 The Gallup Organization, Princeton, NJ. All rights reserved. Gallup® and The Gallup Poll® are trademarks of The Gallup Organization.
ThinkForum: Cuba
  40
                                                                                •   On the other hand, respondents in the Cuban
          Personal Traits: Cuba vs. Latin American Region
                                                                                    study were slightly less likely than urbanites
          I am now going to read a series of personal traits that
                                                                                    across Latin America to say they are satisfied
          may or may not describe your country’s people. As I read
                                                                                    with their personal health — 76% vs. 85%,
          them to you, please tell me whether you believe the trait
                                                                                    respectively.
          describes your country’s people well or not.
              24
                                                                                Education
                              Cuba*         Latin America**
                         18
                                                                                Respondents were also extremely positive about
                                                                                the country’s schools, reflecting the success of a
                                                    47%
                                                                                concerted effort by the state beginning in 2002 to
                                    8
           Democratic                                                           make education a higher priority. In 2004, education
                                              5                                 spending represented more than 11% of GDP,
                                                                 73%
                                                                                compared with 6.3% in 1998.

 Israel      USA Hezbollah         Iran     Syria                               •   As they did regarding healthcare services,
                                                                                    almost all respondents (98%) agreed that all
                                                                69%
                                                                                    Cubans, regardless of economic status, have
                                                                                    access to education. A high 78% say they are
          Equalitarian
                                                                                    satisfied with the schools in their communities.
                                                          55%
                                                                                    Perhaps most impressively, more than half of the
                                                                                    Cuban respondents (60%) say the quality of the
                              *Residents of Havana and Santiago only                education students receive from Cuba’s colleges
                              **Urban residents only
                                                                                    is superior to that in other countries, more than
                                                                                    twice the regional percentage for urban Latin
    •     One area in which Cubans appear particularly                              America (26%).
          likely to support change is that of trade with the
          United States. Respondents were asked, “If Cuba                              Education Ratings: Cuba vs. Latin American Region
          wanted to increase its commercial relations with
          one other country, which country would be the                                              Cuba*         Latin America**
          ideal partner for Cuba?” The United States was
          the country most commonly mentioned, by 44%
          of respondents. China (17%) and Venezuela                                                                                        98%
                                                                                      Is education accessible
          (15%) were distant runners-up. Trade relations
                                                                                       to anybody who wants
          between Cuba and the United States are currently                              to study, regardless of
          suspended by a U.S.-imposed embargo that took                                                                      51%
                                                                                    their economic situation?
          effect in 1962.                                                                              (% yes)


    Healthcare
                                                                                                                                     78%
    The Cuban government has attached great
    importance to ensuring that all Cubans are provided                                  Percentage satisfied
                                                                                           with their country's
    with basic healthcare services. Cuba currently has                                                                         59%
                                                                                          educational system
    more physicians per capita even than the United
    States. That emphasis is evident in these poll results.
                                                                                                       *Residents of Havana and Santiago only
    •     Almost all respondents (96%) say they think                                                  **Urban residents only
          healthcare is accessible to anyone regardless of
          his or her economic situation, versus just 42%                        •   The vast majority of respondents also perceive
          overall across urban Latin America. Three in four                         Cuban society as a good environment for child
          respondents (74%) say they have confidence in                             development. A full 96% say they think most
          Cuba’s healthcare system.                                                 children have the opportunity to learn and grow
                                                                                    every day, head and shoulders above the 46%

    2
Copyright © 2006 The Gallup Organization, Princeton, NJ. All rights reserved.
ThinkForum: Cuba
  40
        regional figure for cities in Latin America. Nearly                     •   Lack of a sense of control may also curb
        as many Cuban respondents, 93%, say they think                              entrepreneurial impulses in Cuban society:
        the country’s children are treated with dignity and                         Although 94% of respondents say they would
        respect, compared with just one-third (33%) of                              describe the Cuban people as “entrepreneurial,”
        respondents across Latin America.                                           less than one-third (32%) say they currently have
           24                                                                       a plan, idea, or invention in mind to improve their
    Attitudes Toward Work                                                           standard of living, compared with an average of
                     18                                                             46% of urban Latin Americans.
    Somewhere along the way, the potential generated
                                                                                Freedom and Well-Being
    by Cuba’s well-developed education system gets
    truncated. State control of prices gives workers little
    control over their earning8potential, robbing them                          Cuban respondents were the least likely worldwide to
                                       5
    of motivation to work hard. Also contributing to the                        say they are satisfied with the freedom they have to
    poor use of human resources is that underemployed                           choose what to do with their lives.
    workers are often kept in their existing workplaces to
 Israel    USA Hezbollah Iran        Syria
    improve official employment statistics.                                     •   Just one in four (26%) respondents expressed
                                                                                    satisfaction, dramatically lower than the regional
   •    Just 42% of Cuban respondents say people in                                 figure of 79% for urban Latin America. Asked
        their country can get ahead by working hard; the                            more specifically about their freedom to choose
        regional figure for urban Latin America is almost                           how they spent their time the day prior to the
        twice as high (78%).                                                        survey, 55% of Cubans interviewed said they were
                                                                                    satisfied, also significantly lower than the regional
        Attitudes Toward Work: Cuba vs. Latin American Region                       finding of 74% for urban Latin America.
                         Cuba*         Latin America**
                                                                                •   Cuban respondents also posted lower-than-
                                                                                    average scores on a number of other specific
                                                                                    well-being measures. For example, 62% said
                                                42%
             Can people in your
                                                                                    they smiled or laughed a lot the day prior to the
           country get ahead by
           working hard? (% yes)                                                    interview, compared with 81% of urban Latin
                                                            78%
                                                                                    Americans region-wide. Fifty-six percent of Cuban
                                                                                    respondents said they were proud of something
             (Asked of employed
                                                                                    they had done that day, compared with 71% of
                    respondents)                         68%
                                                                                    urban Latin Americans.
                 Are you satisfied
                    or dissatisfied
                                                             83%
           with the work you do?
                                                                                Personal Characteristics
                     (% satisfied)
             (Asked of employed
                                                                                Nevertheless, Cuban respondents were more likely
                    respondents)                      60%
                                                                                than average for urban respondents in Latin America
         At work, do you have an
                                                                                to associate themselves with a series of positive
           opportunity to do what
          you do best every day?                                                characteristics, exhibiting a strong sense of pride in
                                                               84%
                          (% yes)
                                                                                who they are as a people.

                                                                                •   Almost all Cubans interviewed said they felt the
                          *Residents of Havana and Santiago only
                          **Urban residents only
                                                                                    Cuban people are creative (97%) and friendly
                                                                                    (96%).
   •    Among Cuban respondents who say they have
        jobs, about two-thirds (68%) say they are satisfied                     •   More than 9 in 10 also said they would describe
        with them. Sixty percent say their jobs give them                           Cubans as optimistic (96%), persistent (95%),
        the opportunity to do what they do best every                               entrepreneurial (94%), and brave (92%).
        day. Both figures are somewhat below the overall
        results for Latin American urbanites (83% and
        84%, respectively).                                                                The Gallup World Poll is the largest available source
                                                                                           of global public opinion data, providing access to the
                                                                                           voices of citizens in more than 130 countries and areas.
                                                                                           For more information, contact Poppy MacDonald, 202-
   3                                                                                       715-3080, or poppy_macdonald@gallup.com
Copyright © 2006 The Gallup Organization, Princeton, NJ. All rights reserved.

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Encuesta Gallup Cuba

  • 1. ThinkForum: Cuba The Gallup Organization’s Cuba ThinkForum Executive Summary The Gallup Poll of Cuba offers a rare look at the island’s understudied population. The findings represent a fascinating portrayal of a populace living with the paradoxes of a communist regime. Cuban respondents are satisfied with their well-funded schools, for example, but they may become dissatisfied workers who see limited opportunities to make use of their talents. They enjoy long lives thanks to a universal healthcare system — but few are satisfied with the freedom to choose what they will do with their lives. Between Sept. 1 and Sept. 15, 2006, in-person interviews were conducted with 1,000 residents of Havana (600) and Santiago (400), aged 15 and older. The state of Cuba’s transportation infrastructure made it unfeasible to collect a nationwide sample; thus, the results are representative only of the nearly 3 million inhabitants of Cuba’s two largest cities. Comparison results for all of Latin America are based on data from urban populations in 20 Latin American countries. Leadership Cuban President Fidel Castro’s illness has generated much speculation about possible social and political changes after his death. Castro’s brother, Raul, has been Cuba’s acting president since late July and would succeed his brother if Fidel does not recover. Nevertheless, preparations for the transition of political power appear to be underway. The poll results support the idea that any changes are likely to take place within the existing political system. • Having been born in Castro’s era, the majority of respondents see themselves as children of the revolution. Asked whether a series of adjectives describe the Cuban people, respondents were much more likely to say Cubans are “fair” (78%) and “equalitarian” (69%) than they were to say they are “democratic” (47%). • When asked about the country’s current leadership, respondents split fairly evenly: 49% said they approve of Cuba’s leadership, while 39% disapproved, and 13% did not offer a response. Copyright © 2006 The Gallup Organization, Princeton, NJ. All rights reserved. Gallup® and The Gallup Poll® are trademarks of The Gallup Organization.
  • 2. ThinkForum: Cuba 40 • On the other hand, respondents in the Cuban Personal Traits: Cuba vs. Latin American Region study were slightly less likely than urbanites I am now going to read a series of personal traits that across Latin America to say they are satisfied may or may not describe your country’s people. As I read with their personal health — 76% vs. 85%, them to you, please tell me whether you believe the trait respectively. describes your country’s people well or not. 24 Education Cuba* Latin America** 18 Respondents were also extremely positive about the country’s schools, reflecting the success of a 47% concerted effort by the state beginning in 2002 to 8 Democratic make education a higher priority. In 2004, education 5 spending represented more than 11% of GDP, 73% compared with 6.3% in 1998. Israel USA Hezbollah Iran Syria • As they did regarding healthcare services, almost all respondents (98%) agreed that all 69% Cubans, regardless of economic status, have access to education. A high 78% say they are Equalitarian satisfied with the schools in their communities. 55% Perhaps most impressively, more than half of the Cuban respondents (60%) say the quality of the *Residents of Havana and Santiago only education students receive from Cuba’s colleges **Urban residents only is superior to that in other countries, more than twice the regional percentage for urban Latin • One area in which Cubans appear particularly America (26%). likely to support change is that of trade with the United States. Respondents were asked, “If Cuba Education Ratings: Cuba vs. Latin American Region wanted to increase its commercial relations with one other country, which country would be the Cuba* Latin America** ideal partner for Cuba?” The United States was the country most commonly mentioned, by 44% of respondents. China (17%) and Venezuela 98% Is education accessible (15%) were distant runners-up. Trade relations to anybody who wants between Cuba and the United States are currently to study, regardless of suspended by a U.S.-imposed embargo that took 51% their economic situation? effect in 1962. (% yes) Healthcare 78% The Cuban government has attached great importance to ensuring that all Cubans are provided Percentage satisfied with their country's with basic healthcare services. Cuba currently has 59% educational system more physicians per capita even than the United States. That emphasis is evident in these poll results. *Residents of Havana and Santiago only • Almost all respondents (96%) say they think **Urban residents only healthcare is accessible to anyone regardless of his or her economic situation, versus just 42% • The vast majority of respondents also perceive overall across urban Latin America. Three in four Cuban society as a good environment for child respondents (74%) say they have confidence in development. A full 96% say they think most Cuba’s healthcare system. children have the opportunity to learn and grow every day, head and shoulders above the 46% 2 Copyright © 2006 The Gallup Organization, Princeton, NJ. All rights reserved.
  • 3. ThinkForum: Cuba 40 regional figure for cities in Latin America. Nearly • Lack of a sense of control may also curb as many Cuban respondents, 93%, say they think entrepreneurial impulses in Cuban society: the country’s children are treated with dignity and Although 94% of respondents say they would respect, compared with just one-third (33%) of describe the Cuban people as “entrepreneurial,” respondents across Latin America. less than one-third (32%) say they currently have 24 a plan, idea, or invention in mind to improve their Attitudes Toward Work standard of living, compared with an average of 18 46% of urban Latin Americans. Somewhere along the way, the potential generated Freedom and Well-Being by Cuba’s well-developed education system gets truncated. State control of prices gives workers little control over their earning8potential, robbing them Cuban respondents were the least likely worldwide to 5 of motivation to work hard. Also contributing to the say they are satisfied with the freedom they have to poor use of human resources is that underemployed choose what to do with their lives. workers are often kept in their existing workplaces to Israel USA Hezbollah Iran Syria improve official employment statistics. • Just one in four (26%) respondents expressed satisfaction, dramatically lower than the regional • Just 42% of Cuban respondents say people in figure of 79% for urban Latin America. Asked their country can get ahead by working hard; the more specifically about their freedom to choose regional figure for urban Latin America is almost how they spent their time the day prior to the twice as high (78%). survey, 55% of Cubans interviewed said they were satisfied, also significantly lower than the regional Attitudes Toward Work: Cuba vs. Latin American Region finding of 74% for urban Latin America. Cuba* Latin America** • Cuban respondents also posted lower-than- average scores on a number of other specific well-being measures. For example, 62% said 42% Can people in your they smiled or laughed a lot the day prior to the country get ahead by working hard? (% yes) interview, compared with 81% of urban Latin 78% Americans region-wide. Fifty-six percent of Cuban respondents said they were proud of something (Asked of employed they had done that day, compared with 71% of respondents) 68% urban Latin Americans. Are you satisfied or dissatisfied 83% with the work you do? Personal Characteristics (% satisfied) (Asked of employed Nevertheless, Cuban respondents were more likely respondents) 60% than average for urban respondents in Latin America At work, do you have an to associate themselves with a series of positive opportunity to do what you do best every day? characteristics, exhibiting a strong sense of pride in 84% (% yes) who they are as a people. • Almost all Cubans interviewed said they felt the *Residents of Havana and Santiago only **Urban residents only Cuban people are creative (97%) and friendly (96%). • Among Cuban respondents who say they have jobs, about two-thirds (68%) say they are satisfied • More than 9 in 10 also said they would describe with them. Sixty percent say their jobs give them Cubans as optimistic (96%), persistent (95%), the opportunity to do what they do best every entrepreneurial (94%), and brave (92%). day. Both figures are somewhat below the overall results for Latin American urbanites (83% and 84%, respectively). The Gallup World Poll is the largest available source of global public opinion data, providing access to the voices of citizens in more than 130 countries and areas. For more information, contact Poppy MacDonald, 202- 3 715-3080, or poppy_macdonald@gallup.com Copyright © 2006 The Gallup Organization, Princeton, NJ. All rights reserved.