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Winning in
India’s retail
sector
Factors for success
2	PwC
Foreword
   We are delighted to launch our new thought leadership report, Winning in India’s retail
   sector: Factors for success. PwC research indicates that although the Indian retail sector is
   worth US$ 350 billion, it has a low organised retail penetration of 8%. Modern trade is growing
   between 15 and 20% per annum. India is becoming an exciting and dynamic retail destination
   due to the following:
   •	 A large market size
   •	 Low organised retail penetration
   •	 Strong GDP growth
   •	 Increasing personal incomes
   •	 Large number of aspirational consumers (middle-class, young Indians, rural population, etc.)

   The Indian retail market is evolving rapidly and we observe the following features:
   •	 Previously, shopping was viewed as a functional activity. It meant buying only the essentials.
        In fact, unnecessary shopping or self-indulgence was frowned upon. However, liberalisation in
        the 90s, increasing incomes and foreign trips, exposure to the internet, growing confidence in
        one’s personal success, etc. are making it acceptable to not only buy non-essential products but
        also to splurge on luxury goods.
   •	 India’s retail sector is developing quickly and becoming more competitive. Retailers
        understand the importance of meeting consumer demands.
   •	 Supply chain mastery will be a driver of competitive advantage. As the retail sector becomes
        more crowded, the use of supply chain and logistics will enable retailers to become agile and
        cost-competitive.

   In this report, we present the following:
   •	 An in-depth look at the main drivers, trends and issues in India’s retail sector
   •	 An overview of the key tax and regulatory issues
   •	 A discussion on the benefits of modern trade
   •	 Three factors for succeeding in the Indian market

   We also present three key examples of retailers in value fashion, fashion jewellery and online retail,
   who have been able to achieve double digit growth.
   We hope that this report will provide you with a detailed view of the Indian retail sector.




   Bharti Gupta Ramola                                 Rohit Bhasin
   Executive Director and Leader                       Partner and Leader
   Markets and Industries                              Retail and Consumer Practice




                                                                    Winning in India’s retail sector   	    3
4	PwC
Contents
     Executive summary	                                                                                   6
1.	India: Economic growth and demographic dividends	                                                      10
    Case example 1                                                             Case example 2
    E-commerce                                                                 Value fashion
    Flipkart: Pioneering India’s online commerce market                        Max Retail: Offering value fashion at keen prices
    Customer service will be a critical success factor for online retailers.   Succeeding at value fashion is a combination of
                                                                               Fashion and       The customer      Freshness        Long-term
                                                                               pricing           experience                         business model



2.	Regulatory framework 	                                                                                 22
3.	The benefits of modern trade 	                                                                         32
4.	Critical success factors	                                                                              38
    Case example 3
    Fashion jewellery
    Swarovski: Providing Indian consumers with stylish jewellery
    Offering the best value proposition is key to long-term success.



     Looking ahead 	                                                                                      52




                                                                                                                            Winning in India’s retail sector   	   5
Executive summary
  #1
                                                   •	                         India has a large and aspirational
                                                                              middle-class of 75 million households       Indian consumers are driving
                                                                              or 300 million individuals. Middle-class
                                                                              consumers want products which are
                                                                                                                          purchases in:
  India is one of the most                                                    value-driven.                               •	 Two-wheelers
                                                                                                                          •	 Skin care
  desirable retail destinations                    •	                         India also has 500 million Indians
                                                                              under the age of 25. Young Indians          •	 Hair care
  in the world.                                                               are driving purchases in mobile             •	 Apparel
  India’s twin growth engines of economic                                     phones, fashion, accessories, food and      •	 Accessories
  growth and demographic profile set it apart                                 beverages, quick service restaurants,       •	 Mobile phones
  from other nations and present a compelling                                 etc. Young Indians have access to more
  business case for global retailers looking to                               money than before and with this has
                                                                              come independence, aspirations and a               Strong GDP growth
  enter the market.
                                                                              demand for products.
                                                                                                                                 Business and consumer
                                                   •	                         According to the 2010 World Wealth
                                                                              Report by Capgemini and Merrill Lynch
                                                                                                                                 confidence
                                                                              Wealth Management, the rise in the                 Capital markets buoyancy
                                                                              total number of millionaires (or Indians
                                                                              with investible assets, excluding main
                                                                              residence and consumer durables, of        Since 2005-06, India has been growing at an
                                                                              more than US$ 1 million) grew almost       average GDP of 8.6%. Foreign investment
                                                                              51%, the second fastest in the Asia-       into India is increasing, Indian companies
                                                                              Pacific region.                            are stepping outside their national borders
                                                   •	                         The 700 million Indians residing in        to acquire companies overseas, incomes are
                                                                              rural India are an opportunity that        increasing and capital markets are buoyant
                                                                              retail and consumer (R&C) companies        reflecting the strength of the company.
                                                                              cannot ignore. Penetration levels for      Studies have also ranked Indian consumers
                                                                              several products, such as personal care,   as some of the most confident in the world.
                                                                              hair care, skin care, consumer durables    The more confident consumers are about
                                                                              and electronics are low in rural India.    the strength of the economy, their personal
                                                                              Retail and consumer companies who          finances, their career growth, etc., the
                                                                              localise their products for this market,   more they will increase their consumption,
                                                                              with regard to price points, packaging,    purchase non-essential products,
                                                                              stock-keeping units (SKU) size,            experiment with products, brands,
                                                                              promotion, will succeed.                   categories, etc.


                                                   Strong and stable economic growth
                                                  GDP at current and market




                                                                                                                                          Growth in percentage
                                                  prices (USD billion)




                                                    Source: Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, Government of India

6	PwC
#2
                              We discuss the following aspects of India’s     Most major global brands and retailers who
                              tax and regulatory framework, which is          are not yet in India are assessing the market
                              relevant to retailers either operating or       with keen interest, recognising its strengths
                              setting up presence in India:                   as a retail destination. India’s retail sector is
Understanding the tax and     •	   FDI policy framework                       not yet fully liberalised. That said, the entry
regulatory framework is                                                       of single brand retail in 2006 is viewed as
                              •	   Direct tax framework                       a major step forward towards liberalising
essential to starting or      •	   Transfer pricing framework                 the sector. Another development is the
operating a retail business                                                   Committee of Secretaries’ recommendation,
                              •	   Indirect tax framework                     in July 2011, of allowing FDI in multi-brand
in India.
                              •	   Tax issues faced by retailers operating    retail, subject to conditions.
                                   in India




#3
                              The benefits of modern trade to India will      Farmers/producers
                              positively impact several constituencies.
                                                                              Establishing an efficient supply chain that
                              What are the benefits of FDI?                   links farmers and small manufacturers
                                                                              directly with retailers, will maximise value
FDI in the retail sector      Consumers                                       for stakeholders. Together with back-end
will benefit several          Modern trade allows for an explosion of         infrastructure, this will minimise wastage
                                                                              (especially of fresh foods and vegetables),
constituencies and            choice. Consumers can access products that
                                                                              increase farmers’ realisations, encourage
                              improve the quality of life. Modern trade
stakeholders.                                                                 best practices in crop management and
                              will benefit consumers in several ways:
                                                                              improve food safety and hygiene. While
                              • 	 Avail rationalised prices that better       inefficiencies increase consumer prices,
                                  reflect market value due to competition     farmers suffer from extremely low
                              •	   Access better quality food products        realisations.
                                   resulting from knowledge transfer          Unorganised trade
                                   regarding best practices in grading,
                                   sorting and processing techniques, the     Kiranas (i.e., mom-and-pop stores) can exist
                                   establishment of a robust cold chain       alongside modern trade players and can
                                                                              explore partnership models (e.g., sourcing,
                                   system, etc.
                                                                              franchise partners) in a rapidly changing
                              Government exchequer                            retail environment.
                              Modern trade players are tax-compliant
                              and are large tax-payers. The organised
                              retail sector also facilitates the generation
                              of significant tax revenues through the
                              building of a sophisticated supply chain.
                              This impacts the logistics, transportation,
                              warehousing, freight forwarding and
                              other similar service sectors, all of which
                              contribute to the exchequer through
                              payment of indirect taxes, primarily the
                              service tax.


                                                                                       Winning in India’s retail sector   	       7
Why should the retail sector be                   Strengthen India’s position as a sourcing
  liberalised?                                      hub
  Reduce wastage across India’s food supply         Global retailers have been sourcing from
  chain                                             India for years and their retail presence
                                                    in the Indian market will enhance exports
  When entering new countries, most major
  food and grocery retailers engage and work        from India, as they develop and leverage
  with local farmers. Empirical studies in          relationships with local suppliers. Most
  emerging market economies have shown              global retailers who have entered India have
  that the growth of organised retail results in    expressed their intentions to source and
  several eventualities:                            export a range of products from the country.
                                                    The extent of sourcing from India will
  •	    Technology transfer                         increase when global retailers are allowed
  •	    Improvements to the quality of produce      to operate in the Indian market.
        locally available
  •	    Boosts to local economy since local
        suppliers are engaged and integrated
        into global retailers’ food and grocery       FDI creates better retail infrastructure, which helps to support
        procurement practices
                                                      overall sector growth.
  •	    More competitively priced products
  Increase employment
  FDI in retail will generate employment
  since new entrants will need to hire staff.       Access to funds
  Current employees of unorganised retail
  players do not receive healthcare or other        Best practices transfer
  benefits. Once individuals become absorbed        Supply chain mastery
  in retailer operations, they can access more
  equitable wages and benefits. Modern              Reduced wastage in the food
  trade’s effect will be most apparent at the       supply chain
  bottom of the population pyramid, as it           More products, better prices
  will unleash opportunities such as non-
  agricultural employment for rural youth           Boost to employment
  and a better quality of living for the existing   Higher levels of sourcing and
  agricultural society.
                                                    exports
                                                    Higher tax revenues




8	PwC
#4
                                         Succeeding in India’s retail market is not
                                         easy given the following:
                                         •	   There is a large heterogeneous group
                                              of consumers who have significantly
Key success factors are                       varying buying power.
finding the right real estate,           •	   The majority of Indian consumers are
localising products and                       value-conscious.
mastering the supply chain.              •	   India-based retailers with a first-
                                              mover advantage have aggressive and
                                              ambitious expansion plans.
                                         •	   New brands are entering the Indian
                                              market
                                         Succeeding in India’s retail sector is a
                                         combination of the following factors:


                   #1                     When it comes to the retail sector, it is location, location, location! A fundamental aspect of retailers
                                          operations is the availability of good quality retail real estate.
                   Securing the right     A few years ago, there were not enough retail real estate options and many retailers were forced
                   retail real estate     to rent (high-priced) space that skewed their profitability metrics. Today, the scenario is different
                                          in that there are more retail real estate options to choose from. Positive market and consumer
                                          sentiments, the entry of new foreign brands, incumbents’ expansion plans and increasing hiring
                                          needs are helping drive demand for retail space in Tier I cities. Industrial growth and expansion is
                                          also ensuring that several retailers are planning to expand operations to Tier II and Tier III cities
                                          given that there are aspirational consumers earning increased incomes who would like better access
                                          to products.


                   #2                     R&D, innovation and new product development are emerging as key drivers of success. As part of
                                          this effort, product localisation has emerged as a driver of sales, customer excitement, customer
                   Localising             interest, etc. Indian consumers, while they want access to products available overseas, also want to
                   products to delight    feel that a product has been created especially for them.
                   and excite Indian      Localisation can take several forms which include but are not limited to the following:
                   consumers              •	 Creating and launching products specifically for Indian consumers
                                          •	 Making changes to store layout to appeal to Indian consumers
                                          •	 Customising production or food preparation practices for cultural sensitivities and local palettes


                   #3                     Mastery of supply chain dynamics is a critical enabler for the growth of modern trade. India is a
                                          large and fragmented country and the absence of strong infrastructure and logistics systems make it
                   Mastering the          challenging to reach consumers located across vast distances. With the Indian government making
                   supply chain           investments into state highways, an overall decline of logistics costs is bound to occur. Studies
                   as a driver of         suggest that logistics costs are between 10 to 12% of total GDP.
                   competitive            Creating efficient supply chains and achieving competitive advantage for retailers is a function of
                   advantage              the following:
                                          •	 Integrating vendor-managed inventory programmes with planning and forecasting processes
                                          •	 Integrating components of the value chain
                                          •	 Using a multimodal transport network
                                          •	 Encouraging skill development
                                          •	 Using innovative techniques such as use of voice-based solutions in retail logistics
                                          •	 Leveraging technology

                                                                                                           Winning in India’s retail sector   	       9
1                     The Indian retail sector is one of the most exciting
                         and underpenetrated markets in the world


   Economy and demographics              The Indian economy was liberalised in the                of the country is reflected in its growing
                                         1990s and since then, the country has seen               personal income. The Indian government
   make India the envy of many           booming capital markets, the emergence of                is supporting this growth through reforms
   nations.                              new industries, an evolution in consumer                 and by improving the state of infrastructure
                                         shopping habits, the entry of global                     (roads, highways, ports, airports, special
                                         companies, etc. India is a vibrant economy               economic zones, etc.).
                                         and since 2005-06, has been growing at                   Powered by strong internal demand, the
                                         an average gross domestic product (GDP)                  country has displayed robust growth which
                                         of 8.6%. The six core industries of crude                is likely to be sustained in the coming
                                         oil, petroleum refinery products, coal,                  years. A large and educated middle-class
                                         electricity, cement and finished carbon steel            and young consumers are helping drive
                                         grew by 6.8% in February 2011 as compared                demand across categories. Studies have also
                                         to 4.2 % in February 20101. According to                 ranked Indian consumers as some of the
                                         the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy,                most confident consumers in the world. This
                                         private final consumption expenditure is                 is based on the strength of the economy,
                                         projected to grow by 7.5%2.                              personal finances, career growth, increase
                                         While the influx of foreign capital is                   in consumption, purchase of non-essential
                                         increasing, Indian companies are also                    products, brand awareness, etc.
                                         acquiring assets overseas. Also, the strength


                                         Indian economy displays resilience in the midst of global crisis (GDP, %)




                                         Source: Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, Government of India


                                         India—macro-economic details

                                          Indicator                        Unit             2010         2011        2012       2013       2014
                                          GDP, purchasing power            International     3453.826 3777.925 4103.794 4434.577            4819.58
                                          parity (per capita)              dollars
                                          GDP, purchasing power            %                    12.013      9.3838     8.6256     8.0604     8.6819
                                          parity (per capita growth)
                                          Gross disposable income per      USD                5295.26      6151.04     6867.1    7627.55    8447.77
                                          household, USD(absolute)
                                          Gross disposable income per      %                  16.3786      16.1612    11.6413    11.0738    10.7534
                                          household, USD (growth)
                                          Rural population as % of         %                  70.2085      69.9835    69.7581    69.5317    69.3049
                                          total population (absolute)
   1
    http://www.ibef.org/india/economy/    Urban population as % of         %                  29.7915      30.0165    30.2419    30.4683    30.6951
   economyoverview.aspx                   total population (absolute)
   2
    http://www.ibef.org/india/economy/
   economyoverview.aspx                  Source: Datamonitor Country Insight, 2011

10	PwC
India’s two decades                                                            Also, India’s unique demography makes
                                                                               it an attractive market for companies
of growth                                                                      operating across categories. These include
GDP per capita (PPP basis)           Middle-class consumers (million people)   apparel, footwear, accessories, mobile
                                                                               phones, personal care, food and beverages,
                                                                               hair care, etc.
                                                                               •	   India has a large and aspirational
                                                                                    middle-class of 75 million households
                                                                                    or 300 million individuals. Often
                                                                                    referred to as the growth engine of
                                                                                    the Indian economy, the middle-class
                                                                                    wants products which provide value for
                                                                                    money.
                                                                               •	   India has a population of 500 million
Foreign investment (USD million)     Forex reserves (USD billion)                   under the age of 25. These young
                                                                                    Indians are independent, have high
                                                                                    aspirations and access to money.
                                                                                    Therefore, they drive purchases in
                                                                                    mobile phones, fashion, accessories,
                                                                                    food and beverages, quick service
                                                                                    restaurants, etc.
                                                                               •	   According to the 2010 World Wealth
                                                                                    Report by Capgemini and Merrill Lynch
                                                                                    Wealth Management, the rise in the
                                                                                    total number of Indian millionaires
Literacy (%)                         People below the poverty line (%)              with investible assets, excluding main
                                                                                    residence and consumer durables of
                                                                                    more than US$ 1 million, grew almost
                                                                                    51%. This is the second fastest in the
                                                                                    Asia-Pacific region after Hong Kong.
                                                                               •	   India’s rural population of 700
                                                                                    million presents an opportunity for
                                                                                    R&C companies, which they cannot
                                                                                    ignore. The agriculture sector has been
                                                                                    witnessing record foodgrain output,
                                                                                    giving a boost to agro-industries and
Average age of house-owner (years)   Cellphone subscribers (million people)         rural incomes. But, penetration levels
                                                                                    for several products, such as personal
                                                                                    care, hair care, skin care, consumer
                                                                                    durables and electronics are low in
                                                                                    rural India. However, R&C companies,
                                                                                    who are localising products for the
                                                                                    Indian market (price points,
                                                                                    packaging, SKU size, promotion, etc.),
                                                                                    will succeed.




                                                                                       Winning in India’s retail sector   	   11
Number of Indians with investible assets of over US$ 1 million          Ownership of consumer durables by households in rural India



                                                                           All states*    DVD    Electric         Computer TV        Fridge Washing Digital
                                                                                          player iron                                       machine camera
                                                                           Penetration    3         12.7          0.3          34.9 5.4        0.8        0.1
                                                                           %




   Source: Capgemini, Merrill Lynch Wealth Management                      *Estimated households (000s) 157,454. Source: IRS, 2009 R1, Hansa
                                                                           Research, The Marketing Whitebook 2010-2011 (Businessworld)



   The power of India’s
   consumer groups

                                     Major demographic groups are driving purchases across categories
         •	   Shampoo, toothpaste
         •	   Some electronic
              products
         •	   Food and beverages      •	    Two-wheelers
                                      •	    Mobile phones
                                      •	    Apparel and
                                            accessories             •	   Apparel
                                                                    •	   Consumer electronics
                                                                    •	   Personal care


                                                                                                   •	    Luxury cars
                                                                                                   •	    Luxury products
                                                                                                   •	    Homes and apartments




         Rural Indian                 Young Indian                   Middle-class                      USD
         consumers                     consumers                     consumers                     millionaires




   Equivalent to almost          Larger than                   Equivalent to
   half the size of              the combined                  almost the size of
   Chinese population            populations of                the US population                                         Sources: PwC analysis
                                                                                                                         * Capgemini, Merrill Lynch Wealth Management
   (1.3 billion people)          Brazil, Russia,               (312 million)                                             **Income levels for middle-class consumers,
                                 Germany and the                                                                         according to the NCAER, range from INR140,000
                                 UK (484 million)                                                                        to 780,00o, which using a conversion rate of
                                                                                                                         USD1 equivalent to INR45, is IUSD3,111 to
                                                                                                                         17,333.

12	PwC
India’s evolving retail sector                  Whether global or domestic, retailers               Supply drivers
                                                want to capitalise on the India growth
is exciting and dynamic.                        story. An aspiring middle-class of 300              Expansion: The growth of modern trade and
                                                                                                    expansion plans are enabling consumers to
PwC research indicates that India’s retail      million consumers, a large demand-driven
                                                                                                    easily access retail products and services across
sector is worth US$ 350 billion and has a       population of 500 million young consumers
                                                                                                    urban, Tier II and Tier III cities and towns.
low organised retail penetration (ORP) of       and a relatively untapped rural population
5 to 8%. Modern trade emerged during            of 700 million people constitute the growth         New entrants: Some of the world’s largest and
the 90s, primarily in the food and grocery      story. Besides, a strong GDP growth, rising         most prestigious brands and retailers have a
                                                                                                    presence in India. Most global retailers believe
sector, and is now growing at a CAGR of 15      consumer confidence, consumption-based
                                                                                                    that the next wave of growth will come from
to 20%.                                         behaviour, increasing incomes and a                 the emerging market economies. Those who
A large market potential for a range            large pool of consumers have made India             have not yet entered India are assessing the
of categories is indicated by low ORP,          one of the world’s most attractive retail           market with interest.
increasing urbanisation, growing incomes,       destinations.
                                                                                                    Growth opportunities: Some high growth
increasing consumer confidence, etc.                                                                categories in the retail sector include the
                                                India’s retail fundamentals
                                                                                                    following:
India’s retail sector comprises organised
                                                Market size                US$ 350 billion          •	 Children’s wear
and unorganised participants. Given the
                                                CAGR                       15-20%                   •	 Accessories
size of the country’s retail market, PwC                                                            •	 Consumer durables
research and other reports suggest that the     Unorganised retail         12 million mom-          •	 Leisure
12 million mom-and-pop stores comprising                                   and- pop stores          •	 Apparel
India’s unorganised market can co-exist         Organised retail           5-8 %                    •	 Footwear
with modern trade players.                      penetration
Recognising the long-term growth                Retail density             6%
potential of India’s retail market, some of     Contribution to GDP        14%                            India’s retail sector is an evolving
the country’s largest conglomerates have
allocated billions of dollars to launch large   Drivers fuelling the growth of the retail
                                                                                                          market. The sector will grow
scale retail initiatives that span cash-and-    sector are below:                                         and develop over the next four
carry, food and grocery, books, music and                                                                 to six decades, since consumers
leisure, gems and jewellery, footwear,          Demand drivers                                            will earn more, those below the
apparel, accessories, etc. India-based retail   Demanding consumers: Indian consumers are                 poverty line will cross over, the
incumbents are expanding their presence         demanding access to products and services that            gains from economic growth
across a range of categories, experimenting     delight and excite them, are of good quality,             will be felt more inclusively,
with formats, launching private labels,         and provide value for money.                              etc. As more retailers enter the
strengthening supply chain systems              Increasing incomes: Strong GDP performance,               market and expand operations,
and more.                                       capital market growth and the emergence of                consumers’ buying patterns and
Global retailers are also assessing the         new industries are creating new millionaires
                                                and boosting income levels. This acts as an
                                                                                                          shopping habits will also evolve.
Indian market with keen interest. They have                                                               Retailers currently operating in
                                                incentive for consumers to spend more on
recognised that the next wave of growth in
                                                products. They are also experimenting with                the market, and those who plan
terms of generating revenues, reaching new
customers (including the large number of
                                                brands, trying new products, etc.                         to enter the market, will have
middle-class consumers) and harnessing          Evolving consumption patterns: Traditionally,             enough time to understand local
research and development (R&D) and              the focus of Indian consumers was on                      market dynamics, develop robust
                                                saving. However, positive macro-economic                  supply chains, establish formats
innovative skills will come from emerging
                                                fundamentals, an evolving retail market,
markets. PwC’s 14th Annual Global CEO                                                                     and choose the right product
                                                lifestyle influencers, etc. are ensuring that
Survey indicated that 93% of retail CEOs        consumers spend more across categories. Other             assortment to meet the needs of
believed that they will expand their Asian      aspects, like the emergence of double-income              diverse Indian consumers.
operations over the next 12 months.             households, easier access to credit and society’s
                                                acceptance of self-indulgence, are changing
                                                purchasing habits.

                                                                                                            Winning in India’s retail sector   	        13
Opportunities exist across retail categories in India.

    Selected high demand categories
    Apparel
    Demand for:                                            Demand in Asia                                         Demand in India
    •	   Branded apparel                                   The Asian fashion market will witness a healthy        Compared to other Asian countries, the Indian
    •	   Children’s wear                                   average annual demand growth of approximately          apparel market is significantly smaller. However,
    •	   Club wear                                         5% through 2014.                                       over the past few years, clothing sales have
    	    Private label apparel                                                                                    been increasing steadily. This is supported by
                                                           Among global fashion retailers, China evokes
    •	   Uniforms                                                                                                 a growing market of young consumers and an
                                                           confidence.
    •	   Women’s professional attire                                                                              increasing interest in western fashion.
                                                           The Indian apparel market is relatively untapped
                                                           across categories.
    Consumer durables and electronics
    Demand for:                                            Demand in Asia                                         Demand in India
    •	   Air-conditioners                                  In 2010, Asian countries witnessed an increase in      Most consumer durables sold in India are
    •	   Cameras                                           sales of consumer durables.                            manufactured in the country.
    •	   Laptops
                                                           China, India and Hong Kong will drive growth in        Cost is an important factor that determines the
    •	   Media tablets
                                                           Asia in the appliance and houseware category.          sales of consumer goods. Production capabilities
    •	   Mobile phones
                                                                                                                  for budget models are also well developed.
    •	   Refrigerators
    •	   TVs
    Food, beverage and tobacco
    Demand for:                                            Demand in Asia                                         Demand in India
    •	   Cooking                                           Demand for food, beverage and tobacco in Asia is       Beer, processed foods, fast food and coffee will be
    •	   Energy drinks                                     expected to increase in the next two to four years.    strong sellers during the forecast period.
    •	   Frozen foods                                      In value terms, food sales are set to almost double
                                                                                                                  Groceries account for two-thirds of India’s total
    •	   Noodles                                           from US$ 2.7 trillion in 2010 to US$ 4.6 trillion in
                                                                                                                  retail sales and were a driver of growth in 2009.
    •	   Ready-to-eat foods                                2014. The growth in demand will be the strongest
    •	   Value-added dairy                                 in China, with an average of 5.7% in the forecast      Innovations in packaging are making products
    •	   Non-carbonated beverages                          period of 2010 to 2014. India will witness a 3.2%      more affordable.
                                                           average annual demand growth.


   Source: PwC analysis. Strong and Steady 2011 Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products Sector in Asia




14	PwC
Sector snippets
                                                                                                 Retailers are using a mix of formats which
                                                                                                 consider availability of the right real estate,
                                                                                                 fundamentals relating to the catchment
                                                                                                 area, value propositions, etc.
                                                                                                 A relatively new but rapidly growing retail
                                                                                                 format is the online channel, which offers
                                                                                                 consumers convenience, price benefits and
                                                                                                 the ability to shop 24 hours a day.




India’s modern trade category comprises global and domestic participants
Food and grocery                                    Consumer electronics/durables                       Apparel


 Global            Carrefour                         Global          Bang and Olufsen                    Global           Diesel
                   Max Hypermarket-SPAR                              Bose                                                 Esprit
                   Metro                                             LG                                                   Levi’s
                   Tata Tesco                                        Samsung                                              Mango
                                                                     Sony                                                 Marks & Spencer
                                                                     Whirlpool
 Indian            Bharti-Walmart                    Indian          Croma                               Indian           Chemistry
                   Food Bazaar                                       eZone                                                Dolphin
                   More                                              Pai Electronics                                      Lilliput
                   Nature’s Basket                                   Reliance Digital                                     Mustard Seed
                   Reliance Fresh                                    The Electronics Store                                Provogue
                   Spencer’s                                         Vivek’s                                              Wills Lifestyle

Luxury products                                     Footwear                                            Watches


 Global            Chanel                            Global          Aldo                                Global           Baume & Mercier
                   Christian Dior                                    Bata                                                 Cartier
                   L’ladro                                           Charles & Keith                                      Chopard
                   LVMH                                              Hush Puppies                                         Citizen
                   Mont Blanc                                        Nike                                                 Longines
                                                                     Nine West                                            Omega
 Indian            Amrapali                          Indian          Catwalk                             Indian           Ethos
                   Manish Arora                                      Inc. 5                                               Fastrack
                   Rohit Bal                                         Reliance Footprint                                   Helios
                   Ritu Kumar                                        Woodland                                             Titan
                   Tarun Tahiliani                                                                                        Watches and More
                   Titan Nebula


Since the mid-to late 2000s, some of India’s        Retailers use a mix of formats that include         •	   Hypermarkets
largest conglomerates set aside billions of         the following:                                      •	   Malls
dollars to launch large-scale retail initiatives    •	 Cash-and-carry                                   •	   Shop-in-shop
spanning food and grocery, cash-and-carry,          •	 Convenience stores                               •	   Specialty retail
apparel, footwear, gems and jewellery, etc.         •	 Department stores                                •	   Supermarkets
                                                    •	 Discount or value                                •	   Rural retail
                                                    •	 E-commerce

 Reliance Retail                                    Bharti Retail                                      AV Birla Retail
 Projected investment of US$ 5.5 billion in food    Projected investment of US$ 2.5 billion in        Projected investment of US$ 2.5 billion in food
 and grocery, leisure, apparel, accessories, gems   cash-and-carry and food and grocery.              and grocery. Market rumors suggest that the
 and jewellery, hypermarkets, home and living,                                                        retailer may launch an offering in specialty retail.
 eyewear, etc.




                                                                                                                  Winning in India’s retail sector   	       15
Category: Online commerce
   Flipkart: Pioneering India’s online commerce market


   Sector snapshot

   Online retail is nascent in India and will over time, evolve and                 …resemble E-commerce markets in mature retail environments.
   more closely…
   PwC’s thought leadership report Strong and Steady - 2011                         Since 2007, PwC has been conducting surveys on online shopping,
   Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products Sector in Asia                      in the UK, examining new and emerging retail developments
   predicts online commerce to be the next major area for retail growth             in the digital space. Since then, the value of online retail has
   in Asia. Though nascent, India’s online retail market is growing at              increased to almost eight percent of the total retail market, with
   double-digit rates and is likely to be the next format that retailers            growth expectations of 10% per year. Interviews with more than
   will incorporate into their array of channels.                                   1,000 consumers in the last quarter of 2010 revealed that we are
                                                                                    witnessing a new pattern in consumer behaviour. When PwC began
   Growth drivers include the following:
                                                                                    this series in 2007, only 63% of the people we spoke to were actually
   •	    Internet penetration, the use of broadband, etc. are making it             using the internet regularly to shop. In 2010, things had changed.
         easy (and quick!) for consumers to shop online at home, at the
                                                                                    •	    Nearly 20% of respondents were spending more than half their
         office, etc.
                                                                                          disposable income online.
   •	    Global and local E-commerce participants have launched
                                                                                    •	    Fourteen percent were buying on the web every week.
         websites that offer Indian consumers a range of products
         (apparel, baby products, electronics, etc.).                               •	    Fourteen percent were doing it more often—a figure that was
                                                                                          four percent only two years ago.
   •	    The market has seen the emergence of a range of buying
         propositions, such as group buying sites, direct sales sites, etc.
   •	    Consumers are more willing to experiment with new forms of
         retail purchase and feel confident to search for and buy goods
         online.
   •	    Convenience, speed and 24-hour accessibility in purchasing
         products is being valued increasingly.
                                                                                    Source: Pick ‘n’ Mix - Meeting the Demands of the New Multi-channel
                                                                                    Shopper, PwC

   Company profile
   Flipkart: Offering new categories, reaching more customers, expanding operations


   India’s E-commerce market is growing at 20 to 30% CAGR and…                      …online retail players have aggressive growth plans.
   Flipkart offers a range of goods online, including books, music,                 By 2013-14, Flipkart plans to:
   consumer electronics, etc. Several factors are driving the growth                •	    Offer new categories on its website
   of India’s online retail market, including internet penetration, the
   convenience of purchasing products online, etc. Senior management                •	    Increase its footprint of warehouses
   at Flipkart believes that consumer behaviour is changing and in a                •	    Expand operations into new cities
   few years, “Everyone will be buying everything online, just like they
   buy only their tickets online today.” As the market evolves, so will             •	    Increase staff size from 2000 to over 10,000
   the consumer.                                                                    •	    Grow revenues 10 to 30 times over

    Customer insights
    Indian consumers are generally perceived as price-driven and value-conscious. While that may be true, senior management
    at Flipkart believes that their online consumer is driven by both price as well as a minimum level of quality (in terms of the
    end-to-end experience). As the economy grows, incomes rise and aspirations increase, the Indian consumer will evolve into
    a more quality-conscious consumer.

16	PwC
Customer service will be a critical success factor for online retailers.

Customer service is important for online customers since it
builds trust and comfort. When online customers have a positive
experience with Flipkart’s customer service, they convey this to
their friends (word-of-mouth).

Customer service and satisfaction                                          Social media
Flipkart maintains customer service teams to manage customer               As part of its efforts to enhance the customer experience, Flipkart
queries, track the movement of goods ordered, ensure timely                manages its social media presence carefully. A part of Flipkart’s
delivery, etc. Providing good customer service enables Flipkart to         customer support team manages the company’s presence on
enjoy high levels of customer satisfaction, generate repeat business       Facebook and Twitter. Only five or six of the 200 tweets each day
and ensure positive word-of-mouth.                                         are negative. The group’s SLA for responding to negative feedback
                                                                           on social media sites is one hour but on an average, customers are
Senior management believes that as the retail sector evolves,
                                                                           responded to within 15 minutes.
customer satisfaction will be a key driver of success for most
brands and organisations.


Source: Discussions with senior management at Flipkart, PwC analysis




                                                                                                           Winning in India’s retail sector   	   17
Sector snippets
                                                                                         Indian consumers are value- conscious.
                                                                                         Private labels offer consumers the twin
                                                                                         benefits of quality and value for money.




   Retailers are expanding operations.              Increasing consumer confidence                    Workforce management

   Key trends                                       Reports suggest that Indian consumers are         •	   Retail is a respectable career path
                                                    some of the most confident in the world.               that provides opportunities for
   Growth of private labels                         Buoyed by a sense of confidence in the                 advancement for men and women in
   Most retailers in India are bullish about        economy, their job prospects, industrial               rural, semi-urban and urban India.
   the success of their private label products      growth, capital markets, etc., they are
                                                                                                      •	   The retail sector is relatively new
   across food and non-food categories. PwC’s       more willing to spend across non-essential
                                                                                                           in India considering modern trade
   Strategic Issues for Retail CEOs indicates       product categories. The increasing use of
                                                                                                           emerged in the 90s. Therefore, there is
   that retailers are launching new private         credit cards has enabled consumers to buy
                                                                                                           an absence of retail training academies.
   label offerings, enhancing their private         products that may be out of their reach.
                                                                                                           Some large modern trade players are
   label portfolios and will be launching                                                                  either establishing their own retail
   robust promotional offers to quickly move        Key issues to address
                                                                                                           academies or are partnering with
   their own brands. India’s major retailers        Infrastructure and supply chain                        business schools to develop retail
   are expected to embark upon the following                                                               accreditation programmes to develop
                                                    The absence of world-class roads, highways,
   strategies for their private label products:                                                            retail talent.
                                                    ports, etc. is a major challenge for retailers
   •	 Increase the range of offerings
                                                    who are looking to move goods efficiently         India’s retail sector is a study in evolution.
   •	 Increase share of revenue from private
                                                    from point of source or procurement
        label sales                                                                                   We outline the five forces shaping the Indian
                                                    to the shelf. Related to this is the idea
   •	 Embark upon promotional offers and                                                              retail sector:
                                                    of supply chain, logistics, warehousing
        sales
                                                    and distribution. Indian retailers are            1. Splurging is pleasurable.
   •	 Increase the visibility of products in
                                                    experiencing high levels of demand and
        store outlets                                                                                 Prior to the liberalisation policy, shopping
                                                    need to deliver on time by managing
   •	 Offer selected products through other                                                           was viewed as a functional necessity
                                                    stock keeping units (SKUs), maintaining
        retailers’ outlets                                                                            i.e. buying only the essentials and not
                                                    inventory, guarding against stock-outs,
                                                                                                      purchasing extra or unnecessary products.
   Experimenting with formats                       etc. The use of IT optimisation systems and
                                                                                                      In fact, unnecessary shopping or self-
   Most of the large modern trade players are       overall synchronisation from both suppliers
                                                                                                      indulgence was frowned upon. However,
   experimenting with formats and launching         and retailers will enable the latter to use
                                                                                                      increasing incomes, frequent overseas
   hypermarkets, supermarkets, electronic           supply chain efficiency as a lever for success.
                                                                                                      travel, exposure to the internet, growing
   kiosks, shop-in-shops, etc. Retailers are        A heterogeneous market                            confidence in one’s personal drivers, etc. are
   also experimenting with size even within                                                           making it acceptable to:
                                                    •	   Indian consumers vary in terms of
   the same format category. For example,
                                                         socio-economic grouping, education           •	   Buy more non-essential products than
   instead of having one standard size for
                                                         levels, attitudes, purchase drivers,              before
   hypermarkets, some retailers are varying
                                                         buying preferences, behaviours, etc.
   the size according to considerations like                                                          •	   Switch between products and brands,
                                                         As a result, it becomes imperative for
   real estate rentals, the size of the catchment                                                          often making first purchases in new
                                                         stores to stock a mix of merchandise.
   area, etc. The hypermarket is a popular                                                                 categories
   format especially for many of India’s            •	   Indian consumers are often referred
                                                                                                      •	   Splurge on luxury products like fine
   food and grocery operators. According to              to as value-conscious. This does not
                                                                                                           wine and scotch, expensive handbags,
   PwC’s thought leadership report Strong                necessarily imply that consumers ‘want
                                                                                                           branded jewellery, etc.
   and Steady 2011 Outlook for the Retail                a steal.’ Instead, they want a well-made
   and Consumer Products Sector in Asia,                 product that is priced fairly, and that      2. Innovation is imperative.
   “Hypermarket expansion is sweeping across             meets its stated promises.                   Today, the focus on innovation and R&D is
   Asia, with China in the lead.”                   •	   Indian consumers are demanding               greater than before. R&C companies who
                                                         access to more, improved and better          want to assume leadership positions will use
                                                         priced products.                             R&D and innovation as a lever for growth.




18	PwC
•	   New products are being launched              Winning the game of innovation
     across a range of categories that include
     private labels, apparel, footwear,           Lifecycle leadership               Local market needs                Game-changing ideas
     consumer durables and electronics,
                                                  Rapidly evolving customer          Establishing R&D and              R&D and innovation labs can
     personal care and grooming, hair care,
                                                  demands, technology,               innovation centres in regional    help companies identify game-
     skin care, etc.
                                                  competitor actions, etc. are       areas enables global companies    changing products.
     Innovate 	    Create 	       Dominate        ensuring that product lifecycles   to create products that meet
                                                                                                                       Discontinuous in nature,
                                                  shrink.                            local market needs. While
                                                                                                                       these products can redefine
•	   Competitors are establishing innovation                                         products may be similar in
                                                  Companies that continually                                           a category, create new
     centres in order to prepare for future                                          terms of the availability of
                                                  innovate and launch new                                              opportunities for growth, make
                                                                                     product lines around the world,
     growth, capture new target consumers,        products will extend the                                             products obsolete and help
                                                                                     local market nuances exist in
     etc. Hiring R&D talent is critical in        longevity of their products and                                      companies establish leadership
                                                                                     terms of product size, pricing,
     developing world-class centres of            product categories.                                                  positions in the minds of
                                                                                     fragrance, look-and-feel, etc.
     excellence. Most global companies                                                                                 consumers.
     recognise that the next wave of growth
     will come from India and China. These       4. The consumer is king.                             5. Customer service can be improved.
     brands are committed in increasing
     their R&D expenditure and innovating        India’s retail sector is developing quickly          As the Indian marketplace becomes
     products to cater to these markets.         and becoming more competitive. R&C                   increasingly crowded with new entrants,
                                                 companies understand the importance of               customer service will be a key factor in
•	   Companies are increasing their              meeting the demands of Indian consumers.             determining profitability and survival.
     efforts to hire senior staff and support    Non-performance will result in consumers             Today, Indian consumers are flooded with
     teams. They are entrusted with role         migrating their preferences and purchases            diverse products and services. Therefore,
     of innovating new products, product         to other brands. Retailers need to develop           it is important for retailers in India to
     development, R&D, understanding             and offer products which meet consumer               provide good customer service as a means to
     consumer behaviour, etc.                    demands and also delight and excite                  encourage repeat purchases and build brand
•	   As the market becomes more crowded,         them. To meet consumer demands, R&C                  loyalty. Retailers in mature markets have
     product differentiation will be critical    companies are using R&D as a means to                used customer service as a tool to generate
     and will separate today’s leaders from      launch new products.                                 footfalls and create a positive brand image.
     tomorrow’s game-changers.                                                                        They have developed consumer-friendly
                                                 •	   Private labels: Consumers want quality
                                                                                                      policies in terms of return and exchange,
                                                      products priced competitively. Price is
                                                                                                      loyalty programmes, customer appreciation
                                                      the primary determinant of purchase
3. Shopping with family is fun!                                                                       days, etc. Customer service aims at the
                                                      for many Indian consumers.
To enjoy their increased spending power,                                                              following:
                                                 •	   Premium personal care: With access
Indians typically prefer to shop in the                                                               •	   To help consumers differentiate
                                                      to the internet, frequent foreign
company of their families by visiting malls,                                                               between retailers
                                                      travel, increasing desire to experiment
looking at brands, experimenting between
                                                      with products, a pre-occupation                 •	   To generate customer loyalty
categories, etc. Some retailers and brands
                                                      with celebrity culture, etc., Indian
have launched family stores to cater to men,                                                          •	   To increase purchases
                                                      consumers want to look, feel and smell
women and children.                                                                                   •	   To create a positive brand image
                                                      good.
Real estate developers are also creating
                                                 •	   Non-carbonated beverages: Consumers
spaces where retail and entertainment
                                                      are focussed on health and wellness
converge, making it a fun experience for
                                                      and want to consume healthy juice-
the whole family. Modern trade has made
                                                      based, energy or fortified beverages.
shopping enjoyable, with malls offering
multiplexes, restaurants and food courts, a      •	   Ready-to-eat meals: Consumers lead
range of shops, arcades for children, etc.            busy lifestyles and want convenience in
                                                      the kitchen, the ability to prepare meals
                                                      easily, etc.

                                                                                                               Winning in India’s retail sector   	     19
Category: Value fashion
   Max Retail: Offering value fashion at keen prices


   Sector snapshot

   Growth opportunities exist in India’s apparel market…                         …across men, women, children, value, premium, plus-size, etc.
   PwC’s thought leadership report Strong and Steady - 2011                      For many Indians, low prices are a key purchase driver.
   Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products Sector in Asia                   The following factors drive the growth of value fashion retail:
   indicates that the Indian apparel market is relatively untapped
   across all categories. Clothing sales have been rising steadily in            •	   Increasing incomes are enabling Indian consumers to spend
   recent years, supported by a large market of young consumers and                   more and experiment across products, brands and categories.
   an increasing interest in Western fashion. Apparel companies are              •	   Apparel is no longer a functional category but one that conveys
   using marketing strategies to build their brand, increase awareness                appearance, prestige and image. Consumers want to buy
   and create a fashionable, lifestyle-oriented image.                                apparel that is both affordable and fashionable.
   Efforts to raise funds from PEs are enabling apparel brands to grow           •	   The growth of modern trade has helped increase the demand
   their store networks, boost production capacity, offer new styles,                 for both branded and value apparel. This, coupled with the
   hire design talent, develop larger format stores, establish shop-in-               emergence of new sectors and professional job opportunities,
   shops, etc.                                                                        has also helped drive demand for office wear.

   Clothing: Market demand growth (% real change) pa                             •	   Over 50% of India’s population is under 25. Young Indians are
                                                                                      aspirational, demanding and focussed on apparel that is both
    Country        2010        2011        2012        2013       2014                fashionable and affordable.
    China          10.9        10.8        10.3        10.9       11.4           •	   Current penetration of apparel in the organised retail category
    India          6.1         7.6         8.4         8.3        8                   is 10%. This is expected to increase to 30 to 35% by 2015.
    Japan          1.6         1.2         1           0.9        0.8
    Taiwan         3.9         4.8         4.2         3.4        3.8

   Source: Strong and Steady—2011 Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products
   Sector in Asia, PwC, 2010-14 are forecasts




   Company profile
   Max Retail: Fashion need not be expensive!


   Max’s focus on providing “fashion at keen prices” is generating strong        … and presents long-term potential for its parent company,
   current growth…                                                               Landmark Group.
   Keenly priced apparel is priced lesser than affordably priced                 By March 2013, Max will operate 100 stores, doubling operations
   apparel even! Keenly priced apparel is especially important in                from the current 51 stores.
   developing markets since customers need to be educated about                  Max is the Landmark Group’s fastest growing offering in
   fashion, before making the purchase. Max uses its design strength to          India, across its formats (food and grocery, department stores,
   produce sharply-priced apparel that has a high fashion component.             apparel, etc.).
   Designers in the Middle East along with those in India create and
   localise fashion for global and local markets, respectively.                  Tier 2 cities like Coimbatore, Indore, Bhopal, etc. are showing
                                                                                 strong growth. Consumers in these locations are aspirational and
                                                                                 view Max as a strong fashion brand.




20	PwC
Four critical success factors help define the winners in India’s apparel market.

 Fashion          Providing fashion at very competitive prices is a major driver of success for Max. Max does not compromise
 and pricing      fashion for price or vice versa. Providing apparel that is beyond normal pricing levels has enabled the chain to
                  grow rapidly both within the Landmark Group and within India. Part of offering good fashion is localising the
                  styling (necklines, hemlines, colours, embroidery, etc.). Max localises one-third of its product range sourced from
                  its global headquarters, enabling it to “be global and connect local.”

 The              Customer needs and expectations evolve given their exposure to international travel, media, the Internet, etc.
 customer         Today, the Indian consumer expects a better experience overall:
 experience
                  •	   Availability of apparel: The consumer wants sharply priced, fashionable apparel to expand their wardrobe
                       both at the workplace and at home. Customers no longer want to dress up just for work, they also want to
                       look good at home, implying access to choice and range.
                  •	   Store experience: From the time a customer enters the store to when she/he leaves, she/he must have a
                       good experience across several touchpoints that include:
                       Trial room | Interacting with staff | After-sales experience | Billing at the POS | Store ambience

 Freshness        Freshness takes into account new product promotions, new designs, new colours, new styling, etc. Keeping
 of category      fashion exciting helps engage and retain customers, results in sales, generates repeat traffic, etc.

 Long-term        Participants need to build a sustainable business model given that the gestation period for success in the retail
 business         sector is long. Sustainable product pricing, offering products that imply longevity, expanding operations in a
 model            calibrated but determined manner, etc. are some of the ways in which retailers can convey their commitment to
                  building a long-term presence.



                                                                                                            applicable for all retailers
Source: Discussions with senior management at Max Retail, PwC analysis




                                                                                                                       Winning in India’s retail sector   	   21
Selecting the right investment and transaction

   2          structure is key to developing a presence in
              India’s retail market

   Understanding India’s tax   Most major global brands and retailers who          A.	 Wholesale trading
                               are not yet in India are assessing the market
   and regulatory framework    with keen interest, recognising its strengths
                                                                                   For wholesale trading or cash-and-carry
                                                                                   wholesale trading, 100% FDI is permitted,
   is important.               as a retail destination. India’s retail sector is   without government approval. However,
                               not yet fully liberalised. That said, the entry     the government has prescribed certain
                               of single brand retail in 2006 is viewed as         operational guidelines for companies in the
                               a major step forward towards liberalising           wholesale trading sector.
                               the sector. Another development is the
                               Committee of Secretaries’ recommendation,           Some of the key principles emerging from
                               in July 2011, of allowing FDI in multi-brand        this operational guideline are set out below:
                               retail, subject to conditionalities.                •	   Wholesale trading is defined as the sale
                                                                                        of goods or merchandise to retailers,
                               FDI policy framework                                     industrial, commercial, institutional
                               India has an open-arm policy for regulating              or other professional business users
                               FDI into the country. Under the current                  or to other wholesalers and related
                               policy, foreign investment is permitted in               subordinated service providers.
                               virtually all sectors without government            •	   The yardstick for determining whether
                               approval, except for a few sectors of                    a sale is wholesale or not is the type of
                               strategic importance (such as banking,                   customer to whom the sale is made,
                               defence, media, telecom) where policy                    and not the size and/or volume of sales.
                               prescribes equity caps or certain conditions
                               for obtaining prior approval from the               •	   Licences/registrations/permits, as
                               government.                                              specified under the acts, regulations,
                                                                                        rules, orders of the government,
                               The FDI policy is framed by the Department               are required for wholesale trading
                               of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP),               operations.
                               the Ministry of Commerce and Industry and
                               implemented by the Reserve Bank of India            •	   Sales under wholesale trading can
                               (RBI) for cases falling under the automatic              only be made to customers holding the
                               route (i.e. not requiring prior government               following registrations/licences:
                               approval). For cases under the government                -	   Entities holding sales tax, VAT,
                               route, approval is granted by the Foreign                     service tax, excise duty registration
                               Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), which
                               includes representatives of various central              -	   Entities holding trade licences
                               government ministries and grants approval                -	   Entities holding permits/licences,
                               on a case-by-case basis.                                      etc. for undertaking retail trade
                               Apart from the sectors which are of strategic                 (like licences for hawkers) from
                               importance that require government                            government authorities/local self
                               approval, there is a small list of sectors in                 government bodies
                               which FDI is currently prohibited. Presently,            -	   Institutions with certificates of
                               this list includes retail trading (except for                 incorporation or registration as
                               ‘single brand’ retail trading).                               a society or registration as public
                               We provide an overview of the FDI policy                      trusts for self-consumption
                               framework prevalent for the trading sector          •	   Full records of sales need to be
                               in India:                                                maintained by the wholesale trading
                                                                                        company on a day to day basis
                                                                                   •	   Wholesale trading of goods to
                                                                                        companies within the same group
                                                                                        should not exceed 25% of the total
                                                                                        turnover of the wholesale venture.
22	PwC
B.	 E-commerce activities                       •	   The contribution of organised and             locations for large format retail stores,
E-commerce activities are also governed              unorganised retail to the Indian              primarily due to fragmented private
by the principles mentioned above i.e.               economy                                       holdings and the infrequent auctioning of
companies can engage only in Business to        •	   The need for FDI to fill the gaps that        large government- owned vacant lands. This
Business (“B2B”) E-commerce trading and              exist in the Indian system in terms of        has led to a shift in preference towards the
not in retail trading.                               weak back-end infrastructure                  suburbs of cities.

C.	 Test marketing                              •	   The impact of FDI permissibility on           Agriculture procurements
With prior government approval, 100%                 the retail sectors in China, Thailand,
                                                                                                   States and union territories have enacted
FDI is permitted for the test marketing of           Russia, Chile and Indonesia.
                                                                                                   the Agriculture Produce Marketing
items for which a company has approval          The views of stakeholders were invited             Committee (APMC) Act regulating the
for manufacture, for a period of two years.     on issues such as the proposed FDI cap             procurement of agricultural and fisheries
This is true provided investment in setting     to be imposed, mandatory investment                produce, including fresh fruits and
up a manufacturing facility commences           in developing back-end infrastructure,             vegetables. A few States permit direct
simultaneously with the test marketing.         minimum employment opportunities                   procurement from farmers. Others require
D.	 Retail trading                              for rural youth, minimum percentage                the agricultural produce to be brought into
                                                of sourcing from the small and medium              designated market yards and sold through
FDI up to 51% is permitted with prior           enterprises (SME) sector, the integration of       an auction mechanism.
government approval, for the retail trading     small retailers in the upgraded supply chain,
of ‘Single Brand’ products, subject to the                                                         With a view to streamlining the
                                                etc.
following conditions:                                                                              procurement system, the government has
                                                More than 250 responses were received              asked state governments to review their
•	   Products sold should be ‘single brand’     and a panel, including members from                APMC Acts and enable direct procurement
     only.                                      various ministries, was set up to analyse          from farmers, besides simplifying the
•	   Products should be sold under the same     the responses and formulate the policy on          procedures.
     brand internationally.                     the government permitting FDI in multi-
                                                                                                   The government has also taken measures
                                                brand retail trading. The matter is currently
•	   ‘Single brand’ product-retailing will                                                         to improve the existing supply chain and
                                                under consideration by the government.
     cover only products which are branded                                                         facilitating farm-to-fork integration. For
                                                If it is decided to allow FDI in multi-
     during manufacturing.                                                                         example, tax benefits have been provided
                                                brand retail trading, it is expected that
                                                                                                   and foreign currency loans are permissible
•	   The foreign investor should be the         the policy will impose certain obligations
                                                                                                   for establishing cold chain storage facilities.
     owner of the brand.                        on foreign investors such as a minimum
                                                capital infusion and the use of funds for the      Other important considerations
Applications seeking government
                                                development of an organised trading retail
permission for FDI in the retail trade of                                                          Some of the other significant policy
                                                infrastructure.
‘single brand’ products are to be made to                                                          considerations that a foreign investor should
the DIPP. The application should specifically   Another development is the Committee of            keep in mind for setting up/carrying out
indicate the product or product categories      Secretaries’ recommendation, in July 2011,         retail operations in India are highlighted
proposed to be sold under the ‘single brand’.   of allowing FDI in multi-brand retail, subject     below:
Any subsequent addition to the products         to conditionalities.
or product categories to be sold under the                                                         •	   High stamp duties on transfer of
‘single brand’ would require fresh approval     Property/real estate                                    properties, varying by state
from the Government.                            FDI up to 100% is permitted under                  •	   Rigid land use and zoning policies that
E.	 Recent developments—The possibility         the automatic route for construction-                   make the conversion of land use rights
    of FDI in multi brand retail trading        development projects (including shopping                time-consuming and complex
                                                malls), subject to compliance with certain         •	   Legal processes for determining clear
In July 2010, the DIPP released a discussion    minimum area and capitalisation conditions
paper inviting public comments on issues                                                                title of ownership to avoid property
                                                being met.                                              disputes
concerning FDI in multi-brand retail
trading. This discussion paper included an      In most cities, it is difficult to find suitable
analysis of the following:                      properties in central and downtown

                                                                                                            Winning in India’s retail sector   	     23
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
Pwc indian retail sector 2012
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Pwc indian retail sector 2012

  • 3. Foreword We are delighted to launch our new thought leadership report, Winning in India’s retail sector: Factors for success. PwC research indicates that although the Indian retail sector is worth US$ 350 billion, it has a low organised retail penetration of 8%. Modern trade is growing between 15 and 20% per annum. India is becoming an exciting and dynamic retail destination due to the following: • A large market size • Low organised retail penetration • Strong GDP growth • Increasing personal incomes • Large number of aspirational consumers (middle-class, young Indians, rural population, etc.) The Indian retail market is evolving rapidly and we observe the following features: • Previously, shopping was viewed as a functional activity. It meant buying only the essentials. In fact, unnecessary shopping or self-indulgence was frowned upon. However, liberalisation in the 90s, increasing incomes and foreign trips, exposure to the internet, growing confidence in one’s personal success, etc. are making it acceptable to not only buy non-essential products but also to splurge on luxury goods. • India’s retail sector is developing quickly and becoming more competitive. Retailers understand the importance of meeting consumer demands. • Supply chain mastery will be a driver of competitive advantage. As the retail sector becomes more crowded, the use of supply chain and logistics will enable retailers to become agile and cost-competitive. In this report, we present the following: • An in-depth look at the main drivers, trends and issues in India’s retail sector • An overview of the key tax and regulatory issues • A discussion on the benefits of modern trade • Three factors for succeeding in the Indian market We also present three key examples of retailers in value fashion, fashion jewellery and online retail, who have been able to achieve double digit growth. We hope that this report will provide you with a detailed view of the Indian retail sector. Bharti Gupta Ramola Rohit Bhasin Executive Director and Leader Partner and Leader Markets and Industries Retail and Consumer Practice Winning in India’s retail sector 3
  • 5. Contents Executive summary 6 1. India: Economic growth and demographic dividends 10 Case example 1 Case example 2 E-commerce Value fashion Flipkart: Pioneering India’s online commerce market Max Retail: Offering value fashion at keen prices Customer service will be a critical success factor for online retailers. Succeeding at value fashion is a combination of Fashion and The customer Freshness Long-term pricing experience business model 2. Regulatory framework 22 3. The benefits of modern trade 32 4. Critical success factors 38 Case example 3 Fashion jewellery Swarovski: Providing Indian consumers with stylish jewellery Offering the best value proposition is key to long-term success. Looking ahead 52 Winning in India’s retail sector 5
  • 6. Executive summary #1 • India has a large and aspirational middle-class of 75 million households Indian consumers are driving or 300 million individuals. Middle-class consumers want products which are purchases in: India is one of the most value-driven. • Two-wheelers • Skin care desirable retail destinations • India also has 500 million Indians under the age of 25. Young Indians • Hair care in the world. are driving purchases in mobile • Apparel India’s twin growth engines of economic phones, fashion, accessories, food and • Accessories growth and demographic profile set it apart beverages, quick service restaurants, • Mobile phones from other nations and present a compelling etc. Young Indians have access to more business case for global retailers looking to money than before and with this has come independence, aspirations and a Strong GDP growth enter the market. demand for products. Business and consumer • According to the 2010 World Wealth Report by Capgemini and Merrill Lynch confidence Wealth Management, the rise in the Capital markets buoyancy total number of millionaires (or Indians with investible assets, excluding main residence and consumer durables, of Since 2005-06, India has been growing at an more than US$ 1 million) grew almost average GDP of 8.6%. Foreign investment 51%, the second fastest in the Asia- into India is increasing, Indian companies Pacific region. are stepping outside their national borders • The 700 million Indians residing in to acquire companies overseas, incomes are rural India are an opportunity that increasing and capital markets are buoyant retail and consumer (R&C) companies reflecting the strength of the company. cannot ignore. Penetration levels for Studies have also ranked Indian consumers several products, such as personal care, as some of the most confident in the world. hair care, skin care, consumer durables The more confident consumers are about and electronics are low in rural India. the strength of the economy, their personal Retail and consumer companies who finances, their career growth, etc., the localise their products for this market, more they will increase their consumption, with regard to price points, packaging, purchase non-essential products, stock-keeping units (SKU) size, experiment with products, brands, promotion, will succeed. categories, etc. Strong and stable economic growth GDP at current and market Growth in percentage prices (USD billion) Source: Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, Government of India 6 PwC
  • 7. #2 We discuss the following aspects of India’s Most major global brands and retailers who tax and regulatory framework, which is are not yet in India are assessing the market relevant to retailers either operating or with keen interest, recognising its strengths setting up presence in India: as a retail destination. India’s retail sector is Understanding the tax and • FDI policy framework not yet fully liberalised. That said, the entry regulatory framework is of single brand retail in 2006 is viewed as • Direct tax framework a major step forward towards liberalising essential to starting or • Transfer pricing framework the sector. Another development is the operating a retail business Committee of Secretaries’ recommendation, • Indirect tax framework in July 2011, of allowing FDI in multi-brand in India. • Tax issues faced by retailers operating retail, subject to conditions. in India #3 The benefits of modern trade to India will Farmers/producers positively impact several constituencies. Establishing an efficient supply chain that What are the benefits of FDI? links farmers and small manufacturers directly with retailers, will maximise value FDI in the retail sector Consumers for stakeholders. Together with back-end will benefit several Modern trade allows for an explosion of infrastructure, this will minimise wastage (especially of fresh foods and vegetables), constituencies and choice. Consumers can access products that increase farmers’ realisations, encourage improve the quality of life. Modern trade stakeholders. best practices in crop management and will benefit consumers in several ways: improve food safety and hygiene. While • Avail rationalised prices that better inefficiencies increase consumer prices, reflect market value due to competition farmers suffer from extremely low • Access better quality food products realisations. resulting from knowledge transfer Unorganised trade regarding best practices in grading, sorting and processing techniques, the Kiranas (i.e., mom-and-pop stores) can exist establishment of a robust cold chain alongside modern trade players and can explore partnership models (e.g., sourcing, system, etc. franchise partners) in a rapidly changing Government exchequer retail environment. Modern trade players are tax-compliant and are large tax-payers. The organised retail sector also facilitates the generation of significant tax revenues through the building of a sophisticated supply chain. This impacts the logistics, transportation, warehousing, freight forwarding and other similar service sectors, all of which contribute to the exchequer through payment of indirect taxes, primarily the service tax. Winning in India’s retail sector 7
  • 8. Why should the retail sector be Strengthen India’s position as a sourcing liberalised? hub Reduce wastage across India’s food supply Global retailers have been sourcing from chain India for years and their retail presence in the Indian market will enhance exports When entering new countries, most major food and grocery retailers engage and work from India, as they develop and leverage with local farmers. Empirical studies in relationships with local suppliers. Most emerging market economies have shown global retailers who have entered India have that the growth of organised retail results in expressed their intentions to source and several eventualities: export a range of products from the country. The extent of sourcing from India will • Technology transfer increase when global retailers are allowed • Improvements to the quality of produce to operate in the Indian market. locally available • Boosts to local economy since local suppliers are engaged and integrated into global retailers’ food and grocery FDI creates better retail infrastructure, which helps to support procurement practices overall sector growth. • More competitively priced products Increase employment FDI in retail will generate employment since new entrants will need to hire staff. Access to funds Current employees of unorganised retail players do not receive healthcare or other Best practices transfer benefits. Once individuals become absorbed Supply chain mastery in retailer operations, they can access more equitable wages and benefits. Modern Reduced wastage in the food trade’s effect will be most apparent at the supply chain bottom of the population pyramid, as it More products, better prices will unleash opportunities such as non- agricultural employment for rural youth Boost to employment and a better quality of living for the existing Higher levels of sourcing and agricultural society. exports Higher tax revenues 8 PwC
  • 9. #4 Succeeding in India’s retail market is not easy given the following: • There is a large heterogeneous group of consumers who have significantly Key success factors are varying buying power. finding the right real estate, • The majority of Indian consumers are localising products and value-conscious. mastering the supply chain. • India-based retailers with a first- mover advantage have aggressive and ambitious expansion plans. • New brands are entering the Indian market Succeeding in India’s retail sector is a combination of the following factors: #1 When it comes to the retail sector, it is location, location, location! A fundamental aspect of retailers operations is the availability of good quality retail real estate. Securing the right A few years ago, there were not enough retail real estate options and many retailers were forced retail real estate to rent (high-priced) space that skewed their profitability metrics. Today, the scenario is different in that there are more retail real estate options to choose from. Positive market and consumer sentiments, the entry of new foreign brands, incumbents’ expansion plans and increasing hiring needs are helping drive demand for retail space in Tier I cities. Industrial growth and expansion is also ensuring that several retailers are planning to expand operations to Tier II and Tier III cities given that there are aspirational consumers earning increased incomes who would like better access to products. #2 R&D, innovation and new product development are emerging as key drivers of success. As part of this effort, product localisation has emerged as a driver of sales, customer excitement, customer Localising interest, etc. Indian consumers, while they want access to products available overseas, also want to products to delight feel that a product has been created especially for them. and excite Indian Localisation can take several forms which include but are not limited to the following: consumers • Creating and launching products specifically for Indian consumers • Making changes to store layout to appeal to Indian consumers • Customising production or food preparation practices for cultural sensitivities and local palettes #3 Mastery of supply chain dynamics is a critical enabler for the growth of modern trade. India is a large and fragmented country and the absence of strong infrastructure and logistics systems make it Mastering the challenging to reach consumers located across vast distances. With the Indian government making supply chain investments into state highways, an overall decline of logistics costs is bound to occur. Studies as a driver of suggest that logistics costs are between 10 to 12% of total GDP. competitive Creating efficient supply chains and achieving competitive advantage for retailers is a function of advantage the following: • Integrating vendor-managed inventory programmes with planning and forecasting processes • Integrating components of the value chain • Using a multimodal transport network • Encouraging skill development • Using innovative techniques such as use of voice-based solutions in retail logistics • Leveraging technology Winning in India’s retail sector 9
  • 10. 1 The Indian retail sector is one of the most exciting and underpenetrated markets in the world Economy and demographics The Indian economy was liberalised in the of the country is reflected in its growing 1990s and since then, the country has seen personal income. The Indian government make India the envy of many booming capital markets, the emergence of is supporting this growth through reforms nations. new industries, an evolution in consumer and by improving the state of infrastructure shopping habits, the entry of global (roads, highways, ports, airports, special companies, etc. India is a vibrant economy economic zones, etc.). and since 2005-06, has been growing at Powered by strong internal demand, the an average gross domestic product (GDP) country has displayed robust growth which of 8.6%. The six core industries of crude is likely to be sustained in the coming oil, petroleum refinery products, coal, years. A large and educated middle-class electricity, cement and finished carbon steel and young consumers are helping drive grew by 6.8% in February 2011 as compared demand across categories. Studies have also to 4.2 % in February 20101. According to ranked Indian consumers as some of the the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy, most confident consumers in the world. This private final consumption expenditure is is based on the strength of the economy, projected to grow by 7.5%2. personal finances, career growth, increase While the influx of foreign capital is in consumption, purchase of non-essential increasing, Indian companies are also products, brand awareness, etc. acquiring assets overseas. Also, the strength Indian economy displays resilience in the midst of global crisis (GDP, %) Source: Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, Government of India India—macro-economic details Indicator Unit 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 GDP, purchasing power International 3453.826 3777.925 4103.794 4434.577 4819.58 parity (per capita) dollars GDP, purchasing power % 12.013 9.3838 8.6256 8.0604 8.6819 parity (per capita growth) Gross disposable income per USD 5295.26 6151.04 6867.1 7627.55 8447.77 household, USD(absolute) Gross disposable income per % 16.3786 16.1612 11.6413 11.0738 10.7534 household, USD (growth) Rural population as % of % 70.2085 69.9835 69.7581 69.5317 69.3049 total population (absolute) 1 http://www.ibef.org/india/economy/ Urban population as % of % 29.7915 30.0165 30.2419 30.4683 30.6951 economyoverview.aspx total population (absolute) 2 http://www.ibef.org/india/economy/ economyoverview.aspx Source: Datamonitor Country Insight, 2011 10 PwC
  • 11. India’s two decades Also, India’s unique demography makes it an attractive market for companies of growth operating across categories. These include GDP per capita (PPP basis) Middle-class consumers (million people) apparel, footwear, accessories, mobile phones, personal care, food and beverages, hair care, etc. • India has a large and aspirational middle-class of 75 million households or 300 million individuals. Often referred to as the growth engine of the Indian economy, the middle-class wants products which provide value for money. • India has a population of 500 million Foreign investment (USD million) Forex reserves (USD billion) under the age of 25. These young Indians are independent, have high aspirations and access to money. Therefore, they drive purchases in mobile phones, fashion, accessories, food and beverages, quick service restaurants, etc. • According to the 2010 World Wealth Report by Capgemini and Merrill Lynch Wealth Management, the rise in the total number of Indian millionaires Literacy (%) People below the poverty line (%) with investible assets, excluding main residence and consumer durables of more than US$ 1 million, grew almost 51%. This is the second fastest in the Asia-Pacific region after Hong Kong. • India’s rural population of 700 million presents an opportunity for R&C companies, which they cannot ignore. The agriculture sector has been witnessing record foodgrain output, giving a boost to agro-industries and Average age of house-owner (years) Cellphone subscribers (million people) rural incomes. But, penetration levels for several products, such as personal care, hair care, skin care, consumer durables and electronics are low in rural India. However, R&C companies, who are localising products for the Indian market (price points, packaging, SKU size, promotion, etc.), will succeed. Winning in India’s retail sector 11
  • 12. Number of Indians with investible assets of over US$ 1 million Ownership of consumer durables by households in rural India All states* DVD Electric Computer TV Fridge Washing Digital player iron machine camera Penetration 3 12.7 0.3 34.9 5.4 0.8 0.1 % Source: Capgemini, Merrill Lynch Wealth Management *Estimated households (000s) 157,454. Source: IRS, 2009 R1, Hansa Research, The Marketing Whitebook 2010-2011 (Businessworld) The power of India’s consumer groups Major demographic groups are driving purchases across categories • Shampoo, toothpaste • Some electronic products • Food and beverages • Two-wheelers • Mobile phones • Apparel and accessories • Apparel • Consumer electronics • Personal care • Luxury cars • Luxury products • Homes and apartments Rural Indian Young Indian Middle-class USD consumers consumers consumers millionaires Equivalent to almost Larger than Equivalent to half the size of the combined almost the size of Chinese population populations of the US population Sources: PwC analysis * Capgemini, Merrill Lynch Wealth Management (1.3 billion people) Brazil, Russia, (312 million) **Income levels for middle-class consumers, Germany and the according to the NCAER, range from INR140,000 UK (484 million) to 780,00o, which using a conversion rate of USD1 equivalent to INR45, is IUSD3,111 to 17,333. 12 PwC
  • 13. India’s evolving retail sector Whether global or domestic, retailers Supply drivers want to capitalise on the India growth is exciting and dynamic. story. An aspiring middle-class of 300 Expansion: The growth of modern trade and expansion plans are enabling consumers to PwC research indicates that India’s retail million consumers, a large demand-driven easily access retail products and services across sector is worth US$ 350 billion and has a population of 500 million young consumers urban, Tier II and Tier III cities and towns. low organised retail penetration (ORP) of and a relatively untapped rural population 5 to 8%. Modern trade emerged during of 700 million people constitute the growth New entrants: Some of the world’s largest and the 90s, primarily in the food and grocery story. Besides, a strong GDP growth, rising most prestigious brands and retailers have a presence in India. Most global retailers believe sector, and is now growing at a CAGR of 15 consumer confidence, consumption-based that the next wave of growth will come from to 20%. behaviour, increasing incomes and a the emerging market economies. Those who A large market potential for a range large pool of consumers have made India have not yet entered India are assessing the of categories is indicated by low ORP, one of the world’s most attractive retail market with interest. increasing urbanisation, growing incomes, destinations. Growth opportunities: Some high growth increasing consumer confidence, etc. categories in the retail sector include the India’s retail fundamentals following: India’s retail sector comprises organised Market size US$ 350 billion • Children’s wear and unorganised participants. Given the CAGR 15-20% • Accessories size of the country’s retail market, PwC • Consumer durables research and other reports suggest that the Unorganised retail 12 million mom- • Leisure 12 million mom-and-pop stores comprising and- pop stores • Apparel India’s unorganised market can co-exist Organised retail 5-8 % • Footwear with modern trade players. penetration Recognising the long-term growth Retail density 6% potential of India’s retail market, some of Contribution to GDP 14% India’s retail sector is an evolving the country’s largest conglomerates have allocated billions of dollars to launch large Drivers fuelling the growth of the retail market. The sector will grow scale retail initiatives that span cash-and- sector are below: and develop over the next four carry, food and grocery, books, music and to six decades, since consumers leisure, gems and jewellery, footwear, Demand drivers will earn more, those below the apparel, accessories, etc. India-based retail Demanding consumers: Indian consumers are poverty line will cross over, the incumbents are expanding their presence demanding access to products and services that gains from economic growth across a range of categories, experimenting delight and excite them, are of good quality, will be felt more inclusively, with formats, launching private labels, and provide value for money. etc. As more retailers enter the strengthening supply chain systems Increasing incomes: Strong GDP performance, market and expand operations, and more. capital market growth and the emergence of consumers’ buying patterns and Global retailers are also assessing the new industries are creating new millionaires and boosting income levels. This acts as an shopping habits will also evolve. Indian market with keen interest. They have Retailers currently operating in incentive for consumers to spend more on recognised that the next wave of growth in products. They are also experimenting with the market, and those who plan terms of generating revenues, reaching new customers (including the large number of brands, trying new products, etc. to enter the market, will have middle-class consumers) and harnessing Evolving consumption patterns: Traditionally, enough time to understand local research and development (R&D) and the focus of Indian consumers was on market dynamics, develop robust saving. However, positive macro-economic supply chains, establish formats innovative skills will come from emerging fundamentals, an evolving retail market, markets. PwC’s 14th Annual Global CEO and choose the right product lifestyle influencers, etc. are ensuring that Survey indicated that 93% of retail CEOs consumers spend more across categories. Other assortment to meet the needs of believed that they will expand their Asian aspects, like the emergence of double-income diverse Indian consumers. operations over the next 12 months. households, easier access to credit and society’s acceptance of self-indulgence, are changing purchasing habits. Winning in India’s retail sector 13
  • 14. Opportunities exist across retail categories in India. Selected high demand categories Apparel Demand for: Demand in Asia Demand in India • Branded apparel The Asian fashion market will witness a healthy Compared to other Asian countries, the Indian • Children’s wear average annual demand growth of approximately apparel market is significantly smaller. However, • Club wear 5% through 2014. over the past few years, clothing sales have Private label apparel been increasing steadily. This is supported by Among global fashion retailers, China evokes • Uniforms a growing market of young consumers and an confidence. • Women’s professional attire increasing interest in western fashion. The Indian apparel market is relatively untapped across categories. Consumer durables and electronics Demand for: Demand in Asia Demand in India • Air-conditioners In 2010, Asian countries witnessed an increase in Most consumer durables sold in India are • Cameras sales of consumer durables. manufactured in the country. • Laptops China, India and Hong Kong will drive growth in Cost is an important factor that determines the • Media tablets Asia in the appliance and houseware category. sales of consumer goods. Production capabilities • Mobile phones for budget models are also well developed. • Refrigerators • TVs Food, beverage and tobacco Demand for: Demand in Asia Demand in India • Cooking Demand for food, beverage and tobacco in Asia is Beer, processed foods, fast food and coffee will be • Energy drinks expected to increase in the next two to four years. strong sellers during the forecast period. • Frozen foods In value terms, food sales are set to almost double Groceries account for two-thirds of India’s total • Noodles from US$ 2.7 trillion in 2010 to US$ 4.6 trillion in retail sales and were a driver of growth in 2009. • Ready-to-eat foods 2014. The growth in demand will be the strongest • Value-added dairy in China, with an average of 5.7% in the forecast Innovations in packaging are making products • Non-carbonated beverages period of 2010 to 2014. India will witness a 3.2% more affordable. average annual demand growth. Source: PwC analysis. Strong and Steady 2011 Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products Sector in Asia 14 PwC
  • 15. Sector snippets Retailers are using a mix of formats which consider availability of the right real estate, fundamentals relating to the catchment area, value propositions, etc. A relatively new but rapidly growing retail format is the online channel, which offers consumers convenience, price benefits and the ability to shop 24 hours a day. India’s modern trade category comprises global and domestic participants Food and grocery Consumer electronics/durables Apparel Global Carrefour Global Bang and Olufsen Global Diesel Max Hypermarket-SPAR Bose Esprit Metro LG Levi’s Tata Tesco Samsung Mango Sony Marks & Spencer Whirlpool Indian Bharti-Walmart Indian Croma Indian Chemistry Food Bazaar eZone Dolphin More Pai Electronics Lilliput Nature’s Basket Reliance Digital Mustard Seed Reliance Fresh The Electronics Store Provogue Spencer’s Vivek’s Wills Lifestyle Luxury products Footwear Watches Global Chanel Global Aldo Global Baume & Mercier Christian Dior Bata Cartier L’ladro Charles & Keith Chopard LVMH Hush Puppies Citizen Mont Blanc Nike Longines Nine West Omega Indian Amrapali Indian Catwalk Indian Ethos Manish Arora Inc. 5 Fastrack Rohit Bal Reliance Footprint Helios Ritu Kumar Woodland Titan Tarun Tahiliani Watches and More Titan Nebula Since the mid-to late 2000s, some of India’s Retailers use a mix of formats that include • Hypermarkets largest conglomerates set aside billions of the following: • Malls dollars to launch large-scale retail initiatives • Cash-and-carry • Shop-in-shop spanning food and grocery, cash-and-carry, • Convenience stores • Specialty retail apparel, footwear, gems and jewellery, etc. • Department stores • Supermarkets • Discount or value • Rural retail • E-commerce Reliance Retail Bharti Retail AV Birla Retail Projected investment of US$ 5.5 billion in food Projected investment of US$ 2.5 billion in Projected investment of US$ 2.5 billion in food and grocery, leisure, apparel, accessories, gems cash-and-carry and food and grocery. and grocery. Market rumors suggest that the and jewellery, hypermarkets, home and living, retailer may launch an offering in specialty retail. eyewear, etc. Winning in India’s retail sector 15
  • 16. Category: Online commerce Flipkart: Pioneering India’s online commerce market Sector snapshot Online retail is nascent in India and will over time, evolve and …resemble E-commerce markets in mature retail environments. more closely… PwC’s thought leadership report Strong and Steady - 2011 Since 2007, PwC has been conducting surveys on online shopping, Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products Sector in Asia in the UK, examining new and emerging retail developments predicts online commerce to be the next major area for retail growth in the digital space. Since then, the value of online retail has in Asia. Though nascent, India’s online retail market is growing at increased to almost eight percent of the total retail market, with double-digit rates and is likely to be the next format that retailers growth expectations of 10% per year. Interviews with more than will incorporate into their array of channels. 1,000 consumers in the last quarter of 2010 revealed that we are witnessing a new pattern in consumer behaviour. When PwC began Growth drivers include the following: this series in 2007, only 63% of the people we spoke to were actually • Internet penetration, the use of broadband, etc. are making it using the internet regularly to shop. In 2010, things had changed. easy (and quick!) for consumers to shop online at home, at the • Nearly 20% of respondents were spending more than half their office, etc. disposable income online. • Global and local E-commerce participants have launched • Fourteen percent were buying on the web every week. websites that offer Indian consumers a range of products (apparel, baby products, electronics, etc.). • Fourteen percent were doing it more often—a figure that was four percent only two years ago. • The market has seen the emergence of a range of buying propositions, such as group buying sites, direct sales sites, etc. • Consumers are more willing to experiment with new forms of retail purchase and feel confident to search for and buy goods online. • Convenience, speed and 24-hour accessibility in purchasing products is being valued increasingly. Source: Pick ‘n’ Mix - Meeting the Demands of the New Multi-channel Shopper, PwC Company profile Flipkart: Offering new categories, reaching more customers, expanding operations India’s E-commerce market is growing at 20 to 30% CAGR and… …online retail players have aggressive growth plans. Flipkart offers a range of goods online, including books, music, By 2013-14, Flipkart plans to: consumer electronics, etc. Several factors are driving the growth • Offer new categories on its website of India’s online retail market, including internet penetration, the convenience of purchasing products online, etc. Senior management • Increase its footprint of warehouses at Flipkart believes that consumer behaviour is changing and in a • Expand operations into new cities few years, “Everyone will be buying everything online, just like they buy only their tickets online today.” As the market evolves, so will • Increase staff size from 2000 to over 10,000 the consumer. • Grow revenues 10 to 30 times over Customer insights Indian consumers are generally perceived as price-driven and value-conscious. While that may be true, senior management at Flipkart believes that their online consumer is driven by both price as well as a minimum level of quality (in terms of the end-to-end experience). As the economy grows, incomes rise and aspirations increase, the Indian consumer will evolve into a more quality-conscious consumer. 16 PwC
  • 17. Customer service will be a critical success factor for online retailers. Customer service is important for online customers since it builds trust and comfort. When online customers have a positive experience with Flipkart’s customer service, they convey this to their friends (word-of-mouth). Customer service and satisfaction Social media Flipkart maintains customer service teams to manage customer As part of its efforts to enhance the customer experience, Flipkart queries, track the movement of goods ordered, ensure timely manages its social media presence carefully. A part of Flipkart’s delivery, etc. Providing good customer service enables Flipkart to customer support team manages the company’s presence on enjoy high levels of customer satisfaction, generate repeat business Facebook and Twitter. Only five or six of the 200 tweets each day and ensure positive word-of-mouth. are negative. The group’s SLA for responding to negative feedback on social media sites is one hour but on an average, customers are Senior management believes that as the retail sector evolves, responded to within 15 minutes. customer satisfaction will be a key driver of success for most brands and organisations. Source: Discussions with senior management at Flipkart, PwC analysis Winning in India’s retail sector 17
  • 18. Sector snippets Indian consumers are value- conscious. Private labels offer consumers the twin benefits of quality and value for money. Retailers are expanding operations. Increasing consumer confidence Workforce management Key trends Reports suggest that Indian consumers are • Retail is a respectable career path some of the most confident in the world. that provides opportunities for Growth of private labels Buoyed by a sense of confidence in the advancement for men and women in Most retailers in India are bullish about economy, their job prospects, industrial rural, semi-urban and urban India. the success of their private label products growth, capital markets, etc., they are • The retail sector is relatively new across food and non-food categories. PwC’s more willing to spend across non-essential in India considering modern trade Strategic Issues for Retail CEOs indicates product categories. The increasing use of emerged in the 90s. Therefore, there is that retailers are launching new private credit cards has enabled consumers to buy an absence of retail training academies. label offerings, enhancing their private products that may be out of their reach. Some large modern trade players are label portfolios and will be launching either establishing their own retail robust promotional offers to quickly move Key issues to address academies or are partnering with their own brands. India’s major retailers Infrastructure and supply chain business schools to develop retail are expected to embark upon the following accreditation programmes to develop The absence of world-class roads, highways, strategies for their private label products: retail talent. ports, etc. is a major challenge for retailers • Increase the range of offerings who are looking to move goods efficiently India’s retail sector is a study in evolution. • Increase share of revenue from private from point of source or procurement label sales We outline the five forces shaping the Indian to the shelf. Related to this is the idea • Embark upon promotional offers and retail sector: of supply chain, logistics, warehousing sales and distribution. Indian retailers are 1. Splurging is pleasurable. • Increase the visibility of products in experiencing high levels of demand and store outlets Prior to the liberalisation policy, shopping need to deliver on time by managing • Offer selected products through other was viewed as a functional necessity stock keeping units (SKUs), maintaining retailers’ outlets i.e. buying only the essentials and not inventory, guarding against stock-outs, purchasing extra or unnecessary products. Experimenting with formats etc. The use of IT optimisation systems and In fact, unnecessary shopping or self- Most of the large modern trade players are overall synchronisation from both suppliers indulgence was frowned upon. However, experimenting with formats and launching and retailers will enable the latter to use increasing incomes, frequent overseas hypermarkets, supermarkets, electronic supply chain efficiency as a lever for success. travel, exposure to the internet, growing kiosks, shop-in-shops, etc. Retailers are A heterogeneous market confidence in one’s personal drivers, etc. are also experimenting with size even within making it acceptable to: • Indian consumers vary in terms of the same format category. For example, socio-economic grouping, education • Buy more non-essential products than instead of having one standard size for levels, attitudes, purchase drivers, before hypermarkets, some retailers are varying buying preferences, behaviours, etc. the size according to considerations like • Switch between products and brands, As a result, it becomes imperative for real estate rentals, the size of the catchment often making first purchases in new stores to stock a mix of merchandise. area, etc. The hypermarket is a popular categories format especially for many of India’s • Indian consumers are often referred • Splurge on luxury products like fine food and grocery operators. According to to as value-conscious. This does not wine and scotch, expensive handbags, PwC’s thought leadership report Strong necessarily imply that consumers ‘want branded jewellery, etc. and Steady 2011 Outlook for the Retail a steal.’ Instead, they want a well-made and Consumer Products Sector in Asia, product that is priced fairly, and that 2. Innovation is imperative. “Hypermarket expansion is sweeping across meets its stated promises. Today, the focus on innovation and R&D is Asia, with China in the lead.” • Indian consumers are demanding greater than before. R&C companies who access to more, improved and better want to assume leadership positions will use priced products. R&D and innovation as a lever for growth. 18 PwC
  • 19. New products are being launched Winning the game of innovation across a range of categories that include private labels, apparel, footwear, Lifecycle leadership Local market needs Game-changing ideas consumer durables and electronics, Rapidly evolving customer Establishing R&D and R&D and innovation labs can personal care and grooming, hair care, demands, technology, innovation centres in regional help companies identify game- skin care, etc. competitor actions, etc. are areas enables global companies changing products. Innovate Create Dominate ensuring that product lifecycles to create products that meet Discontinuous in nature, shrink. local market needs. While these products can redefine • Competitors are establishing innovation products may be similar in Companies that continually a category, create new centres in order to prepare for future terms of the availability of innovate and launch new opportunities for growth, make product lines around the world, growth, capture new target consumers, products will extend the products obsolete and help local market nuances exist in etc. Hiring R&D talent is critical in longevity of their products and companies establish leadership terms of product size, pricing, developing world-class centres of product categories. positions in the minds of fragrance, look-and-feel, etc. excellence. Most global companies consumers. recognise that the next wave of growth will come from India and China. These 4. The consumer is king. 5. Customer service can be improved. brands are committed in increasing their R&D expenditure and innovating India’s retail sector is developing quickly As the Indian marketplace becomes products to cater to these markets. and becoming more competitive. R&C increasingly crowded with new entrants, companies understand the importance of customer service will be a key factor in • Companies are increasing their meeting the demands of Indian consumers. determining profitability and survival. efforts to hire senior staff and support Non-performance will result in consumers Today, Indian consumers are flooded with teams. They are entrusted with role migrating their preferences and purchases diverse products and services. Therefore, of innovating new products, product to other brands. Retailers need to develop it is important for retailers in India to development, R&D, understanding and offer products which meet consumer provide good customer service as a means to consumer behaviour, etc. demands and also delight and excite encourage repeat purchases and build brand • As the market becomes more crowded, them. To meet consumer demands, R&C loyalty. Retailers in mature markets have product differentiation will be critical companies are using R&D as a means to used customer service as a tool to generate and will separate today’s leaders from launch new products. footfalls and create a positive brand image. tomorrow’s game-changers. They have developed consumer-friendly • Private labels: Consumers want quality policies in terms of return and exchange, products priced competitively. Price is loyalty programmes, customer appreciation the primary determinant of purchase 3. Shopping with family is fun! days, etc. Customer service aims at the for many Indian consumers. To enjoy their increased spending power, following: • Premium personal care: With access Indians typically prefer to shop in the • To help consumers differentiate to the internet, frequent foreign company of their families by visiting malls, between retailers travel, increasing desire to experiment looking at brands, experimenting between with products, a pre-occupation • To generate customer loyalty categories, etc. Some retailers and brands with celebrity culture, etc., Indian have launched family stores to cater to men, • To increase purchases consumers want to look, feel and smell women and children. • To create a positive brand image good. Real estate developers are also creating • Non-carbonated beverages: Consumers spaces where retail and entertainment are focussed on health and wellness converge, making it a fun experience for and want to consume healthy juice- the whole family. Modern trade has made based, energy or fortified beverages. shopping enjoyable, with malls offering multiplexes, restaurants and food courts, a • Ready-to-eat meals: Consumers lead range of shops, arcades for children, etc. busy lifestyles and want convenience in the kitchen, the ability to prepare meals easily, etc. Winning in India’s retail sector 19
  • 20. Category: Value fashion Max Retail: Offering value fashion at keen prices Sector snapshot Growth opportunities exist in India’s apparel market… …across men, women, children, value, premium, plus-size, etc. PwC’s thought leadership report Strong and Steady - 2011 For many Indians, low prices are a key purchase driver. Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products Sector in Asia The following factors drive the growth of value fashion retail: indicates that the Indian apparel market is relatively untapped across all categories. Clothing sales have been rising steadily in • Increasing incomes are enabling Indian consumers to spend recent years, supported by a large market of young consumers and more and experiment across products, brands and categories. an increasing interest in Western fashion. Apparel companies are • Apparel is no longer a functional category but one that conveys using marketing strategies to build their brand, increase awareness appearance, prestige and image. Consumers want to buy and create a fashionable, lifestyle-oriented image. apparel that is both affordable and fashionable. Efforts to raise funds from PEs are enabling apparel brands to grow • The growth of modern trade has helped increase the demand their store networks, boost production capacity, offer new styles, for both branded and value apparel. This, coupled with the hire design talent, develop larger format stores, establish shop-in- emergence of new sectors and professional job opportunities, shops, etc. has also helped drive demand for office wear. Clothing: Market demand growth (% real change) pa • Over 50% of India’s population is under 25. Young Indians are aspirational, demanding and focussed on apparel that is both Country 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 fashionable and affordable. China 10.9 10.8 10.3 10.9 11.4 • Current penetration of apparel in the organised retail category India 6.1 7.6 8.4 8.3 8 is 10%. This is expected to increase to 30 to 35% by 2015. Japan 1.6 1.2 1 0.9 0.8 Taiwan 3.9 4.8 4.2 3.4 3.8 Source: Strong and Steady—2011 Outlook for the Retail and Consumer Products Sector in Asia, PwC, 2010-14 are forecasts Company profile Max Retail: Fashion need not be expensive! Max’s focus on providing “fashion at keen prices” is generating strong … and presents long-term potential for its parent company, current growth… Landmark Group. Keenly priced apparel is priced lesser than affordably priced By March 2013, Max will operate 100 stores, doubling operations apparel even! Keenly priced apparel is especially important in from the current 51 stores. developing markets since customers need to be educated about Max is the Landmark Group’s fastest growing offering in fashion, before making the purchase. Max uses its design strength to India, across its formats (food and grocery, department stores, produce sharply-priced apparel that has a high fashion component. apparel, etc.). Designers in the Middle East along with those in India create and localise fashion for global and local markets, respectively. Tier 2 cities like Coimbatore, Indore, Bhopal, etc. are showing strong growth. Consumers in these locations are aspirational and view Max as a strong fashion brand. 20 PwC
  • 21. Four critical success factors help define the winners in India’s apparel market. Fashion Providing fashion at very competitive prices is a major driver of success for Max. Max does not compromise and pricing fashion for price or vice versa. Providing apparel that is beyond normal pricing levels has enabled the chain to grow rapidly both within the Landmark Group and within India. Part of offering good fashion is localising the styling (necklines, hemlines, colours, embroidery, etc.). Max localises one-third of its product range sourced from its global headquarters, enabling it to “be global and connect local.” The Customer needs and expectations evolve given their exposure to international travel, media, the Internet, etc. customer Today, the Indian consumer expects a better experience overall: experience • Availability of apparel: The consumer wants sharply priced, fashionable apparel to expand their wardrobe both at the workplace and at home. Customers no longer want to dress up just for work, they also want to look good at home, implying access to choice and range. • Store experience: From the time a customer enters the store to when she/he leaves, she/he must have a good experience across several touchpoints that include: Trial room | Interacting with staff | After-sales experience | Billing at the POS | Store ambience Freshness Freshness takes into account new product promotions, new designs, new colours, new styling, etc. Keeping of category fashion exciting helps engage and retain customers, results in sales, generates repeat traffic, etc. Long-term Participants need to build a sustainable business model given that the gestation period for success in the retail business sector is long. Sustainable product pricing, offering products that imply longevity, expanding operations in a model calibrated but determined manner, etc. are some of the ways in which retailers can convey their commitment to building a long-term presence. applicable for all retailers Source: Discussions with senior management at Max Retail, PwC analysis Winning in India’s retail sector 21
  • 22. Selecting the right investment and transaction 2 structure is key to developing a presence in India’s retail market Understanding India’s tax Most major global brands and retailers who A. Wholesale trading are not yet in India are assessing the market and regulatory framework with keen interest, recognising its strengths For wholesale trading or cash-and-carry wholesale trading, 100% FDI is permitted, is important. as a retail destination. India’s retail sector is without government approval. However, not yet fully liberalised. That said, the entry the government has prescribed certain of single brand retail in 2006 is viewed as operational guidelines for companies in the a major step forward towards liberalising wholesale trading sector. the sector. Another development is the Committee of Secretaries’ recommendation, Some of the key principles emerging from in July 2011, of allowing FDI in multi-brand this operational guideline are set out below: retail, subject to conditionalities. • Wholesale trading is defined as the sale of goods or merchandise to retailers, FDI policy framework industrial, commercial, institutional India has an open-arm policy for regulating or other professional business users FDI into the country. Under the current or to other wholesalers and related policy, foreign investment is permitted in subordinated service providers. virtually all sectors without government • The yardstick for determining whether approval, except for a few sectors of a sale is wholesale or not is the type of strategic importance (such as banking, customer to whom the sale is made, defence, media, telecom) where policy and not the size and/or volume of sales. prescribes equity caps or certain conditions for obtaining prior approval from the • Licences/registrations/permits, as government. specified under the acts, regulations, rules, orders of the government, The FDI policy is framed by the Department are required for wholesale trading of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP), operations. the Ministry of Commerce and Industry and implemented by the Reserve Bank of India • Sales under wholesale trading can (RBI) for cases falling under the automatic only be made to customers holding the route (i.e. not requiring prior government following registrations/licences: approval). For cases under the government - Entities holding sales tax, VAT, route, approval is granted by the Foreign service tax, excise duty registration Investment Promotion Board (FIPB), which includes representatives of various central - Entities holding trade licences government ministries and grants approval - Entities holding permits/licences, on a case-by-case basis. etc. for undertaking retail trade Apart from the sectors which are of strategic (like licences for hawkers) from importance that require government government authorities/local self approval, there is a small list of sectors in government bodies which FDI is currently prohibited. Presently, - Institutions with certificates of this list includes retail trading (except for incorporation or registration as ‘single brand’ retail trading). a society or registration as public We provide an overview of the FDI policy trusts for self-consumption framework prevalent for the trading sector • Full records of sales need to be in India: maintained by the wholesale trading company on a day to day basis • Wholesale trading of goods to companies within the same group should not exceed 25% of the total turnover of the wholesale venture. 22 PwC
  • 23. B. E-commerce activities • The contribution of organised and locations for large format retail stores, E-commerce activities are also governed unorganised retail to the Indian primarily due to fragmented private by the principles mentioned above i.e. economy holdings and the infrequent auctioning of companies can engage only in Business to • The need for FDI to fill the gaps that large government- owned vacant lands. This Business (“B2B”) E-commerce trading and exist in the Indian system in terms of has led to a shift in preference towards the not in retail trading. weak back-end infrastructure suburbs of cities. C. Test marketing • The impact of FDI permissibility on Agriculture procurements With prior government approval, 100% the retail sectors in China, Thailand, States and union territories have enacted FDI is permitted for the test marketing of Russia, Chile and Indonesia. the Agriculture Produce Marketing items for which a company has approval The views of stakeholders were invited Committee (APMC) Act regulating the for manufacture, for a period of two years. on issues such as the proposed FDI cap procurement of agricultural and fisheries This is true provided investment in setting to be imposed, mandatory investment produce, including fresh fruits and up a manufacturing facility commences in developing back-end infrastructure, vegetables. A few States permit direct simultaneously with the test marketing. minimum employment opportunities procurement from farmers. Others require D. Retail trading for rural youth, minimum percentage the agricultural produce to be brought into of sourcing from the small and medium designated market yards and sold through FDI up to 51% is permitted with prior enterprises (SME) sector, the integration of an auction mechanism. government approval, for the retail trading small retailers in the upgraded supply chain, of ‘Single Brand’ products, subject to the With a view to streamlining the etc. following conditions: procurement system, the government has More than 250 responses were received asked state governments to review their • Products sold should be ‘single brand’ and a panel, including members from APMC Acts and enable direct procurement only. various ministries, was set up to analyse from farmers, besides simplifying the • Products should be sold under the same the responses and formulate the policy on procedures. brand internationally. the government permitting FDI in multi- The government has also taken measures brand retail trading. The matter is currently • ‘Single brand’ product-retailing will to improve the existing supply chain and under consideration by the government. cover only products which are branded facilitating farm-to-fork integration. For If it is decided to allow FDI in multi- during manufacturing. example, tax benefits have been provided brand retail trading, it is expected that and foreign currency loans are permissible • The foreign investor should be the the policy will impose certain obligations for establishing cold chain storage facilities. owner of the brand. on foreign investors such as a minimum capital infusion and the use of funds for the Other important considerations Applications seeking government development of an organised trading retail permission for FDI in the retail trade of Some of the other significant policy infrastructure. ‘single brand’ products are to be made to considerations that a foreign investor should the DIPP. The application should specifically Another development is the Committee of keep in mind for setting up/carrying out indicate the product or product categories Secretaries’ recommendation, in July 2011, retail operations in India are highlighted proposed to be sold under the ‘single brand’. of allowing FDI in multi-brand retail, subject below: Any subsequent addition to the products to conditionalities. or product categories to be sold under the • High stamp duties on transfer of ‘single brand’ would require fresh approval Property/real estate properties, varying by state from the Government. FDI up to 100% is permitted under • Rigid land use and zoning policies that E. Recent developments—The possibility the automatic route for construction- make the conversion of land use rights of FDI in multi brand retail trading development projects (including shopping time-consuming and complex malls), subject to compliance with certain • Legal processes for determining clear In July 2010, the DIPP released a discussion minimum area and capitalisation conditions paper inviting public comments on issues title of ownership to avoid property being met. disputes concerning FDI in multi-brand retail trading. This discussion paper included an In most cities, it is difficult to find suitable analysis of the following: properties in central and downtown Winning in India’s retail sector 23