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COMMODITY FUTURES IN INDIA
Why Commodity?


              Diversification


            Less Manipulations
             / Intrinsic Value


              High Leverage
History of Commodity Derivative
              Market
        Chicago businessman formed CBOT in1848

In 1898 Chicago Mercantile Exchange start trading on Future
                        Contract

For Spot Market Forward Market Commission (FMC) setup in
                         1953

     In 1875 establishment of Cotton Trade Association


 4 National level exchanges MCX, NCDEX, NMCE, ICEX
Benefits
1.         • Driven on demand & supply

2.         • Easy to understand & invest

3.        • Less investment i.e. 5 - 7 %

4.      • Market timing 10 am – 11.55 pm

     • Price manipulation not possible because
5.
                  of global market
      • Volatility gives chance for easy entry
6.
                       and exit
Opportunities

Hedging


Arbitrage

             • Intra Day
Trading
             • Positional
Indian Commodity Exchange
                     NBOT
         Regional
                     Others

FMC                 NCDEX

                     MCX
         National
                     NMCE

                     ICEX
Multi Commodity Exchange of
         India Ltd.
         An independent and demutualised exchange



         Promoted by Financial Technologies (India)
                         Limited


         Introduced a state –of –the –art, online digital
               exchange for commodities trading


         On the first week of November, 2004 signed
         MOU with the Tokyo commodity Exchange
National Commodity & Derivatives
   Exchange Limited (NCDEX)
A public limited company incorporated on April 23,
       2003 under the Companies Act,1956

 Professionally Managed online Multi Commodity
                   Exchange

A only commodity exchange promoted by National
               Level Institution


    Regulated by Forward Market Commission
Difference & Similarities between
        MCX & NCDEX
                                  MCX                                 NCDEX
Month              Different for each commodity          Normally monthly
Expiry day         Different for commodities             20th of each contract month
Timing             Summer (May to October) : All         Summer (May to October): All
                   Commodities : 10 am to 5 pm           Commodities : 10 am to 5 pm
                   International Commodities :           International Commodities :
                   5 pm to 11.30 pm                      5 pm to 11.30pm
                   Winter (Nov to April) :               Winter (Nov to April) :
                   10 am to 5 pm                         10 am to 5 pm
                   International Commodities:            International Commodities :
                    5 pm to 11.55 pm                     5 pm to 11.55

Active Commodity   Gold, Silver, Crude, Oil, Copper,     Pulses, Sugar, Wheat, Spices, Gold,
                   Natural Gas, Nickel, Ref. Oil, Menthe Silver, Steel, Soy Complex
                   Oil
Exchange Volume of MCX &



                                             NCDEX
                                                       MCX




                                                                                             Jul-09
         NCDEX




                                                                                             Mar-09
                                                                                             Nov-08
                                                                                             Jul-08
                                                                                             Mar-08
                                                                                             Nov-07
                                                                                             Jul-07
                                                                                             Mar-07
                                                                                             Nov-06
                                                                                             Jul-06
                                                                                             Mar-06
                                                                                             Nov-05
                                                                                             Jul-05
                                                                                             Mar-05
                                                                                             Nov-04
                                                                                             Jul-04
                                                                                             Month




                                                                                         0
                           600000

                                    500000

                                                     400000

                                                              300000

                                                                       200000

                                                                                100000
Classification of Commodities

Bu l l i on     Gol d an d S i l ve r

Me tal s        Zi n c,Le ad, C oppe r, Ni ck e l , S te e l i n gots

En e rgy        C ru de O i l , Natu ral Gas, He ati n g oi l , Gasol i n e

Pu l se s       C h an a

                Ru bbe r, Gu ar S e e d , Gu argu m , C ash e w,
O th e rs       Al mon d,Gu r, C offe e

O il &          C astor S e e ds, S oy S e e ds, C astor O i l , Re fi n e d S oy
O i l se e ds   O i l , S oyme al , Mu stard S e e d

S pi ce s       Pe ppe r, Re d C h i l l i , Je e ra,Tu rme ri c
Contact Specification (MCX)
                                     Lot Size (Qty) / 1                              Approx Margin
Commodity    LTP     Price Quotation     Rs (+ & -)       Margin %   Lot Value(Rs)        (Rs)     Contract Months
                                                                                                    Feb, April, June,
  GOLD       17700      10GRMS               100           4.00%       1,770,000        70,800       Aug, Oct, Dec.
                                                                                                    Mar, May, July,
  SILVER     28300        1KGS               30            5.00%       849,000          42,450        Sep, Dec.


 COPPER      322          1KGS              1000           5.00%       322,000          16,100      Nov, Feb, April.
                                                                                                    Jan, Feb, Mar.
 CRUDEOIL    3550         1BBL               100           5.00%       355,000          17,750        (Monthly)
                                                                                                       Nov, Dec,
NATURALGAS   240        1mmBtu              1250           8.00%       300,000          24,000       Jan.(Monthly)
                                                                                                       Nov, Dec,
  NICKEL     750          1KGS               250           7.00%       187,500          13,125       Jan.(Monthly)
Contact Specification (NCDEX)
                       Price                           Variant (1                    Approx         Contract
Commodity   LTP      Quotation   Lot Size   Margin %   Rs + & - )   Lot Value(Rs)   Margin (Rs)     Months



                                                                                                   Nov, Dec,
 Turmeric   10700   Rs/Quintal    10 MT      34.00%       100         1,070,000      363,800         Apr.

                                                                                                    Nov, Dec,
                                                                                                    Jan, Feb,
                                                                                                       Mar,
Guar Seed   2800    RS/QUINTAL    10 MT      7.00%        100         280,000         19,600      Apr.(Monthly)



                                                                                                    Nov, Dec,
 Soy Oil    495      Rs/10Kgs     10 MT      5.00%       1000         495,000         24,750      Jan.(Monthly)

                                                                                                    Nov, Dec,
                                                                                                    Jan, Feb,
                                                                                                       Mar,
 Pepper     15650   RS/QUINTAL    1 MT       5.00%        10          156,500         7,825       Apr.(Monthly)


                                                                                                   Nov, Dec,
                                                                                                   Jan, Feb,
  Chana     2620    RS/QUINTAL    10 MT      6.00%        100         262,000         15,720      Mar.(Monthly)


                                                                                                   Nov, Dec,
                                                                                                   Jan, Feb,
Soy Bean    2420    RS/QUINTAL    10 MT      6.00%        100         242,000         14,520      Mar.(Monthly)
International commodity
International Commodity Exchange
              exchange
New York Mercantile Exchange
            (NYMEX)
Biggest exchange for trading in Physical Commodity
                       Future


       NYMEX                        COMEX


              Natural
Crude oil                    Gold         Silver
               Gas
London Metal Exchange (LME)
1877 as a direct consequence of the industrial revolution witnessed in Britain in 19th 1877


                              Primary focus on base metals


                               LME trades 24 hours a day

LME also offer option contract (Trade Average Price Option Contract – TAPOC) based
                    on Monthly Average Settlement Price (MASP)

           Trading turnover value is more than US $ 2,000 billion per annual


            Commodity traded –Aluminum, Coppers, Nickel, Lead, Tin, Zinc
Chicago Mercantile Exchange
         (CME)


                Trade heavily    Commodities
     1898        interest rate      trade –
primarily to    future, stock    Butter, Milk,
   trade in       indices &      Frozen Pork
 agricultural      foreign       bellies, live,
commodities       exchange       cattle, Non –
                    futures      fat Dry Milk
Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM)

               • Second largest commodity future exchange
1.

     • TOCOM initiative towards establishing Asia as the benchmark
2.       for price discovery & risk management in commodities


     • Platform for future price discovery in Asian for Asian players in
3.                                 Crude Oil


                • Commodity Traded- Crude Oil, Gasoline
4.
Market Players


               Exporters /
Producers                    HNI / F & O
               Importers




                              Traders /
              Consumers
                              Brokers
Concept of Commodity
     Derivative

                   Gold Jeweler



 Example:-
For making jewellery XYZ buy 1 kg gold at 21000 for &
it sell jewellery in 3 month cycle after 3 month gold
prices are 19000.
Strategy

       XYZ Buy              Spot Price            21000 / 10gm

XYZ Sell 1 kg hold short    Future Price               21050


            Net Payoff – 21,000*100 + Initial Margin
                 = 21,00,000 + 5% of 21,00,000
            Expiry 3 months = 1,05,000 + 21,00,000
                          = 22,05,000
Pay Off Schedule
On Expiry    Physical Gold    Future     Net Payoff
Closes At                    Position
                             (21,050)
  17000        -4,00,000     +4,05,000     +5000
  18000        -3,00,000     +3,05,000     +5000
  19000        -2,00,000     +2,05,000     +5000
  20000        -1,00,000     +1,05,000     +5000
  21000            0            0            0
  22000         1,00,000      -95000       +5000
  23000         2,00,000      -85000       +5000
  24000         3,00,000      -75000       +5000
Mechanism of Hedging (Agent)

                       •Agree to sell flour to bread
APRIL                         manufacturer
                       •Buy wheat futures contract




        WHEAT MILLER


                       •Sell wheat futures contact
                       •Buy wheat in the physical
JULY                   market for delivery of flour
                         to Bread Manufacturer
Mechanism of Hedging
                 (Producer)

                      •Sell Guar seed November
SEPTEMBER
                               Futures




             FARMER

                      •Buy Guar seed November
                         Future to square off
NOVEMBER                      transaction
                       •Sell Guar seed Harvest
Mechanism of Hedging(Exporter)

                                 •Export contract to sell
      JUNE                      (export) automobiles in
                                        October
                               •Buy steel futures contract

                AUTOMOBILE
               MANUFACTURER

                              •Sell steel futures contract to
                                 square off transaction
                                •Buy steel from Physical
   SEPTEMBER
                                 market to meet export
                                       requirement
Commodity V/S Financial
                        Derivatives

                     Commodity         Financial
                     Derivative        Derivative
   Settlement        Physical / Cash      Cash

Delivery Notice           Yes             No
    Period
 Warehousing              Yes             No

Quality Of Assets        Issue          No Issue
Parity Calculation
Crude
NYMEX Crude                         76.30
Present Exchange Rates              46.50
                                  3547.95
Parity Price Of MCX Crude         3547.95


Natural Gas
NYMEX Natural Gas ($/mmbtu)          5.14

Present Exchange Rates              46.50

                                   239.01

Parity Price Of MCX Natural Gas    239.01
Brokerage Calculation
Brokerage for Clients

Gold                                      Per 1 Kg

Gold price per 10 gm 17600/-              1760000

Brokerage 0.03%                               528

Service Tax (10.2%)                            54

Turnover Charges (0.004%)                      70

Service Tax on Turnover Charges (10.2%)         7

Stamp Duty on Turnover (0.001%)                18

Total Cost                                    677
Learning the Commodities

                                      Global
 Demand &
                  Seasonity         Commodity
  Supply
                                      Prices

                Global Political
Fx Currency
                  / economic        INR V/S - $
movement - $
                     events

           Indian
       economic data /        Weather
          policies
Factor Effecting Gold /Silver /
                            Crude / Coppers Prices
Employment Data                 First Friday of month
GDP                             Last Friday of month
ISM Mfg. Index                  First working day of month
Trade Deficit                   Third week of month
Consumer Price Index            Third week
Production Price Index          Third week
Industrial Production           Third week
Retail Sale                     Third week of month
Durable Goods Order             Last week of month
Federal Bank Meeting            Eight times in year
Important Website
 www.bulliondesk.com
 www.forexfactory.com
 www.bloombear.com
www.futureresource.com
   www.nymex.com
  www.tocom.com.jp
    www.gold.org
   www.kitco.com

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Commodity futures in india

  • 2. Why Commodity? Diversification Less Manipulations / Intrinsic Value High Leverage
  • 3. History of Commodity Derivative Market Chicago businessman formed CBOT in1848 In 1898 Chicago Mercantile Exchange start trading on Future Contract For Spot Market Forward Market Commission (FMC) setup in 1953 In 1875 establishment of Cotton Trade Association 4 National level exchanges MCX, NCDEX, NMCE, ICEX
  • 4. Benefits 1. • Driven on demand & supply 2. • Easy to understand & invest 3. • Less investment i.e. 5 - 7 % 4. • Market timing 10 am – 11.55 pm • Price manipulation not possible because 5. of global market • Volatility gives chance for easy entry 6. and exit
  • 5. Opportunities Hedging Arbitrage • Intra Day Trading • Positional
  • 6. Indian Commodity Exchange NBOT Regional Others FMC NCDEX MCX National NMCE ICEX
  • 7. Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. An independent and demutualised exchange Promoted by Financial Technologies (India) Limited Introduced a state –of –the –art, online digital exchange for commodities trading On the first week of November, 2004 signed MOU with the Tokyo commodity Exchange
  • 8. National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) A public limited company incorporated on April 23, 2003 under the Companies Act,1956 Professionally Managed online Multi Commodity Exchange A only commodity exchange promoted by National Level Institution Regulated by Forward Market Commission
  • 9. Difference & Similarities between MCX & NCDEX MCX NCDEX Month Different for each commodity Normally monthly Expiry day Different for commodities 20th of each contract month Timing Summer (May to October) : All Summer (May to October): All Commodities : 10 am to 5 pm Commodities : 10 am to 5 pm International Commodities : International Commodities : 5 pm to 11.30 pm 5 pm to 11.30pm Winter (Nov to April) : Winter (Nov to April) : 10 am to 5 pm 10 am to 5 pm International Commodities: International Commodities : 5 pm to 11.55 pm 5 pm to 11.55 Active Commodity Gold, Silver, Crude, Oil, Copper, Pulses, Sugar, Wheat, Spices, Gold, Natural Gas, Nickel, Ref. Oil, Menthe Silver, Steel, Soy Complex Oil
  • 10. Exchange Volume of MCX & NCDEX MCX Jul-09 NCDEX Mar-09 Nov-08 Jul-08 Mar-08 Nov-07 Jul-07 Mar-07 Nov-06 Jul-06 Mar-06 Nov-05 Jul-05 Mar-05 Nov-04 Jul-04 Month 0 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000
  • 11. Classification of Commodities Bu l l i on Gol d an d S i l ve r Me tal s Zi n c,Le ad, C oppe r, Ni ck e l , S te e l i n gots En e rgy C ru de O i l , Natu ral Gas, He ati n g oi l , Gasol i n e Pu l se s C h an a Ru bbe r, Gu ar S e e d , Gu argu m , C ash e w, O th e rs Al mon d,Gu r, C offe e O il & C astor S e e ds, S oy S e e ds, C astor O i l , Re fi n e d S oy O i l se e ds O i l , S oyme al , Mu stard S e e d S pi ce s Pe ppe r, Re d C h i l l i , Je e ra,Tu rme ri c
  • 12. Contact Specification (MCX) Lot Size (Qty) / 1 Approx Margin Commodity LTP Price Quotation Rs (+ & -) Margin % Lot Value(Rs) (Rs) Contract Months Feb, April, June, GOLD 17700 10GRMS 100 4.00% 1,770,000 70,800 Aug, Oct, Dec. Mar, May, July, SILVER 28300 1KGS 30 5.00% 849,000 42,450 Sep, Dec. COPPER 322 1KGS 1000 5.00% 322,000 16,100 Nov, Feb, April. Jan, Feb, Mar. CRUDEOIL 3550 1BBL 100 5.00% 355,000 17,750 (Monthly) Nov, Dec, NATURALGAS 240 1mmBtu 1250 8.00% 300,000 24,000 Jan.(Monthly) Nov, Dec, NICKEL 750 1KGS 250 7.00% 187,500 13,125 Jan.(Monthly)
  • 13. Contact Specification (NCDEX) Price Variant (1 Approx Contract Commodity LTP Quotation Lot Size Margin % Rs + & - ) Lot Value(Rs) Margin (Rs) Months Nov, Dec, Turmeric 10700 Rs/Quintal 10 MT 34.00% 100 1,070,000 363,800 Apr. Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb, Mar, Guar Seed 2800 RS/QUINTAL 10 MT 7.00% 100 280,000 19,600 Apr.(Monthly) Nov, Dec, Soy Oil 495 Rs/10Kgs 10 MT 5.00% 1000 495,000 24,750 Jan.(Monthly) Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb, Mar, Pepper 15650 RS/QUINTAL 1 MT 5.00% 10 156,500 7,825 Apr.(Monthly) Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb, Chana 2620 RS/QUINTAL 10 MT 6.00% 100 262,000 15,720 Mar.(Monthly) Nov, Dec, Jan, Feb, Soy Bean 2420 RS/QUINTAL 10 MT 6.00% 100 242,000 14,520 Mar.(Monthly)
  • 15. New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) Biggest exchange for trading in Physical Commodity Future NYMEX COMEX Natural Crude oil Gold Silver Gas
  • 16. London Metal Exchange (LME) 1877 as a direct consequence of the industrial revolution witnessed in Britain in 19th 1877 Primary focus on base metals LME trades 24 hours a day LME also offer option contract (Trade Average Price Option Contract – TAPOC) based on Monthly Average Settlement Price (MASP) Trading turnover value is more than US $ 2,000 billion per annual Commodity traded –Aluminum, Coppers, Nickel, Lead, Tin, Zinc
  • 17. Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Trade heavily Commodities 1898 interest rate trade – primarily to future, stock Butter, Milk, trade in indices & Frozen Pork agricultural foreign bellies, live, commodities exchange cattle, Non – futures fat Dry Milk
  • 18. Tokyo Commodity Exchange (TOCOM) • Second largest commodity future exchange 1. • TOCOM initiative towards establishing Asia as the benchmark 2. for price discovery & risk management in commodities • Platform for future price discovery in Asian for Asian players in 3. Crude Oil • Commodity Traded- Crude Oil, Gasoline 4.
  • 19. Market Players Exporters / Producers HNI / F & O Importers Traders / Consumers Brokers
  • 20. Concept of Commodity Derivative Gold Jeweler Example:- For making jewellery XYZ buy 1 kg gold at 21000 for & it sell jewellery in 3 month cycle after 3 month gold prices are 19000.
  • 21. Strategy XYZ Buy Spot Price 21000 / 10gm XYZ Sell 1 kg hold short Future Price 21050 Net Payoff – 21,000*100 + Initial Margin = 21,00,000 + 5% of 21,00,000 Expiry 3 months = 1,05,000 + 21,00,000 = 22,05,000
  • 22. Pay Off Schedule On Expiry Physical Gold Future Net Payoff Closes At Position (21,050) 17000 -4,00,000 +4,05,000 +5000 18000 -3,00,000 +3,05,000 +5000 19000 -2,00,000 +2,05,000 +5000 20000 -1,00,000 +1,05,000 +5000 21000 0 0 0 22000 1,00,000 -95000 +5000 23000 2,00,000 -85000 +5000 24000 3,00,000 -75000 +5000
  • 23. Mechanism of Hedging (Agent) •Agree to sell flour to bread APRIL manufacturer •Buy wheat futures contract WHEAT MILLER •Sell wheat futures contact •Buy wheat in the physical JULY market for delivery of flour to Bread Manufacturer
  • 24. Mechanism of Hedging (Producer) •Sell Guar seed November SEPTEMBER Futures FARMER •Buy Guar seed November Future to square off NOVEMBER transaction •Sell Guar seed Harvest
  • 25. Mechanism of Hedging(Exporter) •Export contract to sell JUNE (export) automobiles in October •Buy steel futures contract AUTOMOBILE MANUFACTURER •Sell steel futures contract to square off transaction •Buy steel from Physical SEPTEMBER market to meet export requirement
  • 26. Commodity V/S Financial Derivatives Commodity Financial Derivative Derivative Settlement Physical / Cash Cash Delivery Notice Yes No Period Warehousing Yes No Quality Of Assets Issue No Issue
  • 27. Parity Calculation Crude NYMEX Crude 76.30 Present Exchange Rates 46.50 3547.95 Parity Price Of MCX Crude 3547.95 Natural Gas NYMEX Natural Gas ($/mmbtu) 5.14 Present Exchange Rates 46.50 239.01 Parity Price Of MCX Natural Gas 239.01
  • 28. Brokerage Calculation Brokerage for Clients Gold Per 1 Kg Gold price per 10 gm 17600/- 1760000 Brokerage 0.03% 528 Service Tax (10.2%) 54 Turnover Charges (0.004%) 70 Service Tax on Turnover Charges (10.2%) 7 Stamp Duty on Turnover (0.001%) 18 Total Cost 677
  • 29. Learning the Commodities Global Demand & Seasonity Commodity Supply Prices Global Political Fx Currency / economic INR V/S - $ movement - $ events Indian economic data / Weather policies
  • 30. Factor Effecting Gold /Silver / Crude / Coppers Prices Employment Data First Friday of month GDP Last Friday of month ISM Mfg. Index First working day of month Trade Deficit Third week of month Consumer Price Index Third week Production Price Index Third week Industrial Production Third week Retail Sale Third week of month Durable Goods Order Last week of month Federal Bank Meeting Eight times in year
  • 31. Important Website www.bulliondesk.com www.forexfactory.com www.bloombear.com www.futureresource.com www.nymex.com www.tocom.com.jp www.gold.org www.kitco.com