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Lecture 1
Dr. Audy Castañeda
   research. 1.a. the systematic investigation
    into and study of materials, sources, etc, in
    order to establish facts and reach new
    conclusions. b. an endeavour to discover
    new or collate old facts etc by the scientific
    study of a subject or by a course of critical
    investigation. [Oxford Concise Dictionary]



                                                     2
 Research is what we do when we have a question or
  a problem we want to resolve
 We may already think we know the answer to our
  question already
 We may think the answer is obvious, common sense
  even
 But until we have subjected our problem to rigorous
  scientific scrutiny, our 'knowledge' remains little
  more than guesswork or at best, intuition.



                                                        3
   First priority is to formulate your question
   Then figure out how you are going to answer
    it
     How have others answered it?
     How does your proposal fit in with what others
      have done?
     How will you know when you have answered it?
   Then you can present your answer


                                                       4
   Observation of some phenomenon
     Maybe systematic, occasional or accidental
   Some idea of an explanation (hypothesis)
     Induction, conjecture, intuition, guesswork
     Usually informed by related work
   Testing of the hypothesis
     Test and revision cycle



                                                    5
   Probability of research
     Nothing is certain
     The exception that “proves” the rule
     Scientific “truth” is actually usually a statement of what is
      most probable given the currently known data ...
     ... within the given framework
   Statistical techniques try to help us show extent to
    which our results really do support the hypothesis



                                                                      6
   A hypothesis makes a prediction of the expected
    outcome in a given situation
   Usually: how the manipulation of the independent
    variable will influence the behaviour of a
    dependent variable
   The hypothesis is tested in an experiment
   Experimental design ensures that what you are
    doing is genuinely (and solely) responsible for the
    results
   Extraneous variables have to be controlled


                                                          7
   If the experiment works, the hypothesis is
    shown to be probably correct
     Can’t prove 100% truth
   If it fails, it could be because
     The hypothesis is wrong
     The experimental design is faulty




                                                 8
 Experiments are generally set up to demonstrate or
  support (rarely “prove” , note) a hypothesis
 The null hypothesis H0 is that any observed
  changes in behaviour are due to chance
 The alternate hypothesis H1 is the hypothesis you
  are trying to demonstrate
 Usually, the best you can do is refute H0 thus
  showing that H1 is probably correct (with a
  measruable degree of likelihood: statistical
  significance)


                                                       9
   Not usually thin air
   From within a framework
     Some phenomenon is not well explained by
      current thinking
     “New” hypothesis is often just an adaptation of an
      existing hypothesis
   thesis ~ antithesis ~ synthesis


                                                           10
   Thesis
     the original statement of an idea
   Antithesis
     an argument to challenge a previous thesis
     often draws on new data
   Synthesis
     a new argument from existing sources
     typically, resolves the apparent contradiction
     between a thesis and an antithesis

                                                       11
   A good hypothesis is testable
     Not provable, in the sense of “shown to be true”
      (true = certain)
     Refutation of a thesis by proving that it is false is a
      cornerstone of modern science
     Simply refuting a hypothesis is OK but better
      science will explain why hypothesis is wrong, and
      (better still) offer an alternative hypothesis


                                                                12
By the way, have you ever wondered why we
do experiments at school, the result of which is
known beforehand?




                                                   13
   Our experimental design may make either
     a strong prediction about the behaviour we expect to
      observe:
      ▪ our manipulation of the independent variable will cause a specific
        change in the dependent variable
     a prediction about a range of behaviours we expect to
      observe, typically perhaps two
 One-tailed hypothesis: statistical significance
  means expected result was found
 Two-tailed hypothesis: only need to show that the
  different results are statistically significant

                                                                             14
   The experiment measures the “behaviour” of
    the dependent variable
   DV must be operationalised
     Some aspect of the DV must be measurable
     What to measure?
     How to measure it?
      ▪ Are you really measuring what you think you are
        measuring?


                                                          15
   Quantitative research
     systematically observe changes in the
     phenomena of interest while manipulating what
     are believed to be causal influences
   Qualitative research
     may be more concerned with the individual’s
     personal experiences of the problem under study



                                                       16
   Intuitive alternative to the classical scientific
    method:
     Build something specific and then claim that it can be seen
      as an example of a more general class of solutions
   High risk
     difficult to demonstrate generalisability
     in fact doing so entails making an a posteriori hypothesis
     What can you say if it goes wrong ?
   So you still need a theoretical basis



                                                                    17
   Statement of the problem
   Literature review
   Choice of research method
   Design of study
   Data collection
   Analysis of data
   Write-up


                                18

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What is research presentation

  • 1. Lecture 1 Dr. Audy Castañeda
  • 2. research. 1.a. the systematic investigation into and study of materials, sources, etc, in order to establish facts and reach new conclusions. b. an endeavour to discover new or collate old facts etc by the scientific study of a subject or by a course of critical investigation. [Oxford Concise Dictionary] 2
  • 3.  Research is what we do when we have a question or a problem we want to resolve  We may already think we know the answer to our question already  We may think the answer is obvious, common sense even  But until we have subjected our problem to rigorous scientific scrutiny, our 'knowledge' remains little more than guesswork or at best, intuition. 3
  • 4. First priority is to formulate your question  Then figure out how you are going to answer it  How have others answered it?  How does your proposal fit in with what others have done?  How will you know when you have answered it?  Then you can present your answer 4
  • 5. Observation of some phenomenon  Maybe systematic, occasional or accidental  Some idea of an explanation (hypothesis)  Induction, conjecture, intuition, guesswork  Usually informed by related work  Testing of the hypothesis  Test and revision cycle 5
  • 6. Probability of research  Nothing is certain  The exception that “proves” the rule  Scientific “truth” is actually usually a statement of what is most probable given the currently known data ...  ... within the given framework  Statistical techniques try to help us show extent to which our results really do support the hypothesis 6
  • 7. A hypothesis makes a prediction of the expected outcome in a given situation  Usually: how the manipulation of the independent variable will influence the behaviour of a dependent variable  The hypothesis is tested in an experiment  Experimental design ensures that what you are doing is genuinely (and solely) responsible for the results  Extraneous variables have to be controlled 7
  • 8. If the experiment works, the hypothesis is shown to be probably correct  Can’t prove 100% truth  If it fails, it could be because  The hypothesis is wrong  The experimental design is faulty 8
  • 9.  Experiments are generally set up to demonstrate or support (rarely “prove” , note) a hypothesis  The null hypothesis H0 is that any observed changes in behaviour are due to chance  The alternate hypothesis H1 is the hypothesis you are trying to demonstrate  Usually, the best you can do is refute H0 thus showing that H1 is probably correct (with a measruable degree of likelihood: statistical significance) 9
  • 10. Not usually thin air  From within a framework  Some phenomenon is not well explained by current thinking  “New” hypothesis is often just an adaptation of an existing hypothesis  thesis ~ antithesis ~ synthesis 10
  • 11. Thesis  the original statement of an idea  Antithesis  an argument to challenge a previous thesis  often draws on new data  Synthesis  a new argument from existing sources  typically, resolves the apparent contradiction between a thesis and an antithesis 11
  • 12. A good hypothesis is testable  Not provable, in the sense of “shown to be true” (true = certain)  Refutation of a thesis by proving that it is false is a cornerstone of modern science  Simply refuting a hypothesis is OK but better science will explain why hypothesis is wrong, and (better still) offer an alternative hypothesis 12
  • 13. By the way, have you ever wondered why we do experiments at school, the result of which is known beforehand? 13
  • 14. Our experimental design may make either  a strong prediction about the behaviour we expect to observe: ▪ our manipulation of the independent variable will cause a specific change in the dependent variable  a prediction about a range of behaviours we expect to observe, typically perhaps two  One-tailed hypothesis: statistical significance means expected result was found  Two-tailed hypothesis: only need to show that the different results are statistically significant 14
  • 15. The experiment measures the “behaviour” of the dependent variable  DV must be operationalised  Some aspect of the DV must be measurable  What to measure?  How to measure it? ▪ Are you really measuring what you think you are measuring? 15
  • 16. Quantitative research  systematically observe changes in the phenomena of interest while manipulating what are believed to be causal influences  Qualitative research  may be more concerned with the individual’s personal experiences of the problem under study 16
  • 17. Intuitive alternative to the classical scientific method:  Build something specific and then claim that it can be seen as an example of a more general class of solutions  High risk  difficult to demonstrate generalisability  in fact doing so entails making an a posteriori hypothesis  What can you say if it goes wrong ?  So you still need a theoretical basis 17
  • 18. Statement of the problem  Literature review  Choice of research method  Design of study  Data collection  Analysis of data  Write-up 18