SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 10
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                                Risk Management in the Exchange
                                Fund Account
                                Michel Rochette, Risk-Management Unit, Financial Markets Department
                                       Mr. Michel Rochette can be reached at michel.rochette@enterprise-risk-advisory.com

                                                                               rency liabilities and swaps that are used to fund them.
                               •
                          In managing the Exchange Fund Account (EFA),*


                                                                                                                  T
                          the Bank of Canada and the Department                              his article follows up on a paper published in
                          of Finance strive to limit the risks to which the                  last winter’s issue of the Review, which dealt
                          Government of Canada is exposed in financing                        with the Bank’s management of Canada’s
                          and investment operations that involve foreign                     official international reserves (De León 2000–
                          currencies.                                          2001). Its goal is to explain the methods that the Bank
                                                                               has used to analyze and model the principal risks
                       • The EFA is exposed to various types of risk: credit   inherent in the financing and investment operations of
                          risk, market risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, the EFA, and the rules put in place to manage these
                          and legal risk. The approach used to manage them     risks.1
                          collectively has allowed risk to be held at a low    Before examining the actual management of these
                          level.                                               risks, it is important to clarify the nature and the goals
                       • The EFA governance process involves close
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). and to underline the unique character
                                                                               of the Account
                          collaboration between the Department of Finance      of the institutional framework that is used to manage
                          and the Bank of Canada. This collaboration covers    the government’s official international reserves.
                          management of the Account and administrative
                          tasks. Financing and investment operations are       The Nature and Goals of the EFA
                          carried out by the Bank in its role as fiscal agent   In many countries, the official international reserves
                          for the government.                                  are owned by either the central bank alone or by both
                       • The first step in managing the EFA’S risks             the central bank and the government. For example, in
                          involves identifying, analyzing, evaluating, and     Denmark and Switzerland, the reserves belong to the
                                                                               central bank, whereas in the United States they are
                          modelling them. The second involves establishing
                                                                               split between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury. In
                          guidelines to limit these risks, while the third     Canada, these reserves belong to the government and
                          ensures day-to-day adherence to those guidelines,    are held in a special account at the Bank of Canada in
                          as well as periodically proposing new risk-control   the Minister of Finance’s name. This account is called
                          mechanisms.                                          the Exchange Fund Account, and it is funded by cur-
                                                                                                                  rency swaps and direct foreign currency borrowings
                                                                                                                  in international capital markets by the government .2
                                                                                                                  The EFA’S goals and objectives are defined in the Minister

                                                                                                                  1. This analysis is part of a larger effort to analyze and manage the risks associated
                                                                                                                  with the transactions carried out by the Bank of Canada in its role as fiscal agent for
                                                                                                                  the federal government. In addition to direct EFA investment and financing operations,
                                                                                                                  these transactions include the EFA’s securities-lending operations and sale and
                                                                                                                  repurchase agreements, as well as the management of gold stocks (options and loans),
                               * In the context of this article, the term “Exchange Fund Account” is used to
                                                                                                                  the government’s Canadian-dollar debt and the Receiver General’s cash balances.
                               describe the liquid foreign currency assets held in the EFA and the foreign cur-




                                                                                                                        BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002                                     27



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                        of Finance’s annual report to Parliament on the opera-                      shows how these principles influence the various enti-
                        tions of the Account for 2000 (Finance Canada 2001, p. 1).                  ties responsible for managing the Account.
                        Since risk management is one of the major considera-                        Sound risk management also implies the implementa-
                        tions underlying the various operations of the EFA, it                      tion of an appropriate governance process. To achieve
                        is useful to review the fundamentals and specific fea-                       this, the decision-making framework and the roles
                        tures of its management regime.                                             of the different stakeholders have been well defined
                                                                                                    and adapted to the governance, organizational, and
                        Managing the EFA’s Risks:                                                   operational framework of the EFA (see Chart 1 and
                                                                                                    Appendix).3 This framework provides for direction,
                        Principles, Internal Governance,                                            accountability, and reporting of activities related to the
                        and Rules                                                                   management of the EFA consistent with best practices.
                        One of the fundamental principles of sound financial                         Finally, sound risk management requires not only that
                        management is the maintenance of a balance between                          the risks be expressly identified and contained by
                        the desired return and the risk level: the return-risk                      clear operational rules, but also skilled personnel and
                        relationship. Every organization establishes this rela-                     adequate computer support. This is why the Risk-
                        tionship as a function of its financial goals and its pref-                  Management Unit was created in 1997 in the Bank of
                        erences in matters of risk. In the case of the EFA, the                     Canada’s Financial Markets Department. Overall, the
                        stated objective is to protect the reserves against risk                    results obtained in managing the risks of the EFA are
                        while minimizing the net cost of carry and maintain-                        consistent with the guidelines of the International
                        ing adequate liquidity in various currencies. Box 1

                        2. For more information on the government’s currency swap operations, see
                                                                                                    3. For more information on EFA governance, see De León (2000-2001).
                        Kiff, Ron, and Ebrahim (2000–2001).




                             Box 1
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
                             Principles Governing the Management of the EFA

                             General                                                                Specific
                             • The reserve assets and the liabilities that fund them                • To ensure liquidity and to facilitate general interven-
                               are managed like portfolios, using an approach inte-                   tion operations, the EFA must hold sufficient high-
                               grating many of the principles applied by financial                     quality liquid assets.
                               institutions in the private sector, especially the
                               prudent management of risk.                                          • The spread between the interest paid on funds raised
                                                                                                      by the government to finance the EFA’S assets and the
                             • In the case of assets, considerable attention must be                  interest earned on those assets must be minimized.
                               paid to their liquidity, quality, and diversification, as
                               well as to credit ceilings set for the counterparties.               • Foreign exchange reserves must be managed so that,
                                                                                                      as much as possible, assets and liabilities are matched
                             • In the case of liabilities, the same attention must be
                                                                                                      both in terms of currencies and durations.
                               paid to methods for raising capital, diversification of
                               the investor clientele, the costs of the different sources           • A prudent structure and profile of maturities must be
                               of financing, and the maturity profile of the commit-                    maintained to limit refinancing requirements.
                               ments.
                                                                                                    • Foreign currency borrowing that finances the EFA’S
                             • Exemplary risk-management practices must be
                                                                                                      reserves must be conducted in a manner that protects
                               applied.
                                                                                                      Canada’s reputation as a “successful borrower” in
                                                                                                      international capital markets.




                        28       BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).



                        Chart 1
                        Structure of EFA


                                                                                 Parliament



                                                                             Minister of Finance




                                              Department                         EFA Policy
                                                                                                               Bank of Canada
                                               of Finance                        Committee




                                                                             Risk-Management
                                                                                Committee




                             Operations         Fund               Risk                             Risk          Fund             Operations
                              managers         managers           managers                         managers      managers          managers

Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).


                                                                              EFA Investment
                                                                               and Financing
                                                                               Management
                                                                                Committee




                        Monetary Fund (IMF) and with the performance of                 out the foreign currency investments and foreign cur-
                        other major industrialized countries (IMF 2000, 2001).          rency liabilities of the Government of Canada to fund
                                                                                        the EFA, in the form of a balance sheet.
                        The EFA Balance Sheet                                           As the table shows, the EFA’S investments and liabili-
                        From the legal and accounting perspectives, the EFA is          ties are denominated in three currencies, the U.S. dol-
                        an autonomous entity with its own asset base. But               lar, the euro, and the yen. These investments make up
                        examination of the official balance sheet published in           the so-called liquid reserves of the EFA, and they are
                        the Minister of Finance’s report for the year 2000              recorded at par value. Risk analyses and the day-to-
                        reveals that its sole liability is “Advances” from the          day management of the EFA are conducted on the
                        Consolidated Revenue Fund. This is because the                  basis of either the market value or, when the market
                        Account was originally created through an advance               value is unknown, an estimate of fair value.
                        from the government, which also funds it (and is, in            The table shows that, on 31 December 2000, assets and
                        the final analysis, its only creditor). Nonetheless, the         liabilities in euros and yen were more or less matched,
                        government regularly incurs foreign currency liabili-           but liabilities in U.S. dollars exceeded the correspond-
                        ties, the value of which must always be assessed                ing assets by US$6.8 billion. This situation arose
                        against its foreign currency investments. Table 1 sets          largely as a result of foreign exchange intervention


                                                                                              BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002          29



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                                 Table 1                                                                                       AAA by Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch IBCA, and
                                 The EFA’s Investments and Liabilities on                                                      Dominion Bond Rating Service.
                                 31 December 2000                                                                              To limit the credit risks inherent in EFA operations,
                                 US$ millions, par value
                                                                                                                               there are restrictions on the types of counterparties
                                 Currency                      Assets                         Liabilities                      and on the types of transactions that the EFA may
                                 U.S. dollar                   20,730                         27,512                           undertake with these counterparties. Under this sys-
                                 Euro                           6,674                          7,245                           tem, the credit rating serves not only to determine the
                                 Yen                              506                            492                           choice of counterparties, but also the magnitude of the
                                 Total                         27,910                         35,249
                                                                                                                               credit risk allowed.
                                 Source: Finance Canada 2001, Table 4, p.10.
                                 Note: These values differ from the entries in Table I2 of the Bank of Canada Banking and
                                                                                                                               Among the ceilings implemented, some are specific,
                                 Financial Statistics, which are expressed at market value. That table also contains data on   while others are more global. Overall, the ceilings gen-
                                 gold holdings, special drawing rights, and the reserve position in the IMF, which are
                                 not discussed in this article.                                                                erally vary according to the counterparty’s category
                                                                                                                               (sovereign government, public institution, suprana-
                                 and important commitments to the IMF in 1998. This
                                                                                                                               tional organization, commercial financial institution)
                                 imbalance, which reached about US$13.2 billion at its
                                                                                                                               and credit rating. Furthermore, they consolidate all
                                 widest point, has been gradually reduced through a
                                                                                                                               the transactions undertaken with any given counter-
                                 program of U.S.-dollar acquisitions—designed to equal-
                                                                                                                               party, they take into account actual and potential
                                 ize assets and liabilities denominated in that currency—
                                                                                                                               exposure in the case of certain derivatives, and the
                                 implemented jointly in 1998 by the Department of
                                                                                                                               term and type of transactions involving the eligible
                                 Finance and the Bank of Canada (Finance Canada 2001).
                                                                                                                               counterparties. Specific ceilings ensure that risk is
                                                                                                                               spread among the counterparties, especially those in
                                 Types of Risk                                                                                 the private sector, while global ceilings provide for a
                                 Credit Risk
                                                                                                                               Table 2
                       The term “credit risk” refers to the possibility that a
                       counterparty to an EFA investment operation will        Breakdown of Risk Exposure in the EFA on
                                                                               29 June 2001
Changed with the DEMO VERSION a commitment or declare bankruptcy. In the
                       renege on of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
                                                                               (Following BIS 1988, 1994, and 1995 methodology)
                       case of a private corporation, non-repayment of debt
                       may result from bankruptcy or dissolution; in the case  US$ millions
                       of a sovereign counterparty, from a moratorium on       Category of counterparty      Unweighted Risk-weighted Allocation
                       repayment of external debt, the institution of          and weighting coefficient      exposure   exposure      of risk
                       exchange controls, or repudiation. Credit risk also
                                                                               OECD-member sovereign states
                       covers financial losses caused by a downgrading of         and their fully guaranteed                           74% in AAA
                       the counterparty’s credit rating if the portfolio is      agencies (0%)               14,060          0          26% in AA
                       defined at market value.                                 Other agencies of OECD-member
                                                                                                                                 sovereign governments and                                       98% in AAA
                                 To measure exposure to credit risk, the approach cur-                                           supranational entities (20%)      11,500         2,300            2% in AA
                                 rently used is that recommended to international                                              Private financial institutions of                                   5% in AAA
                                                                                                                                 OECD-member countries (20%)       4,485            897             95% in AA
                                 banks by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervi-
                                 sion (Bank for International Settlements 1988, 1994,
                                 1995).4 This approach yields a risk-weighted expo-
                                 sure (RWE). Using the RWE formula, the actual
                                 exposure for each type of product is calculated each                                          4. These guidelines were set out in publications of the Basel Committee on
                                                                                                                               Banking Supervision (Bank for International Settlements 1988, 1994, 1995).
                                 day using fair value, which is then broken down by
                                                                                                                               The 1988 guidelines set capital requirements for international banks at a level
                                 counterparty. Finally, the potential exposure for                                             consistent with the credit risk associated with balance-sheet transactions. In
                                 derivatives used in managing market risk is added.                                            1994 and 1995, modifications were made to cover derivatives. Globally, this
                                                                                                                               approach allows the estimation of actual exposure based on market value, to
                                 The results of these computations for the EFA are
                                                                                                                               which potential exposure for derivatives is added. This latter risk is estimated
                                 presented in Table 2, which shows a breakdown of                                              using projection factors recommended in the 1995 guidelines. The total obtained
                                 RWE in June 2001.                                                                             by this method is then weighted by a risk factor varying between zero per cent
                                                                                                                               for risks associated with securities issued in the domestic currency by OECD-
                                 As the table illustrates, the overall credit risk of the                                      member sovereign states and their fully-guaranteed agencies, 20 per cent for
                                 Account’s operations is minimal, given the high pro-                                          other agencies of OECD-member sovereign governments, supranational institu-
                                                                                                                               tions, and private banks of OECD-member countries, and 100 per cent for other
                                 portion of the RWE allocated to organizations rated                                           private sector organizations. Examples of these computations can be found in
                                                                                                                               Kiff, Ron, and Ebrahim (2001).



                                 30         BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).



                                      similar dispersion of risk among broad categories of
                                      counterparties.                                                                            To minimize market risk associated with interest rate
                                                                                                                                 fluctuations in the case of non-matching or incomplete

                                                                                                                                 matching, EFA fund managers start by matching
                                                                                                                                 assets and liabilities with the longest terms. Since total
                                                   To limit the credit risks inherent in
                                                                                                                                 liabilities in U.S. dollars exceed the corresponding
                                                 EFA operations, there are restrictions                                          assets, this matching has been only partial; i.e., only in
                                                on the types of counterparties and on                                            the long and medium term.
                                                the types of transactions that the EFA
                                                      may undertake with these
                                                            counterparties.                                                                  In the EFA, foreign reserves are
                                                                                                                                           managed to ensure . . . that the assets
                                                                                                                                           match the liabilities in currency and
                                                                                                                                           duration. . . . Indeed, matching is an
                                      Other methods of limiting credit risk include: bilateral                                             integral means of managing market
                                      netting agreements with the counterparties in the case                                                         risk for the EFA.
                                      of swaps and forward foreign exchange contracts; a
                                      system of collateral for transactions involving certain
                                      derivatives (to be established soon) allowing for a fur-
                                      ther decrease in associated credit risk; and a more
                                                                                  Furthermore, since the EFA was created to give the
                                      thorough analysis of the credit risk presented by vari-
                                                                                  federal government access to liquid foreign currency,
                                      ous entities (subsidiaries, brokerage houses, etc.) con-
                                                                                  the analysis of risk managers focuses on potential
                                      nected to a single counterparty.
                                                                                  changes in the market value of the EFA’s assets and
                       Market Risk                                                liabilities. Since variations in these values are often
Changed with the DEMO VERSION“market risk” refers to fluctuations in the
                       The term of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).    caused by significant events in financial markets, the
                       values of securities arising from changes in interest      Risk-Management Unit develops scenarios to measure
                       and exchange rates. In the case of the EFA, market risk    and limit this aspect of market risk. For these pur-
                       has two sources: non-matching and partial matching         poses, they sometimes use traditional methods and, in
                       of assets and liabilities. When assets and liabilities are some instances, apply “extreme value” theory.6
                       matched by term and currency, this risk is low,            The so-called traditional scenario approach is gener-
                       because the impact of interest rate and exchange rate      ally developed on the basis of observation and quali-
                       fluctuations on both assets and liabilities will cancel     tative analysis of past events; for example, the Asian
                       each other out.                                            crisis of 1997–98, the Russian debt restructuring in
                       Fund managers in the private sector begin by estab-        1998, and the collapse of U.S. Long-Term Capital
                       lishing benchmarks from which they deliberately            Management in 1998. This approach allows for the
                       assume market risk in order to increase the yields         development of scenarios on the basis of real events,
                       from their investments. In the EFA, foreign reserves       but it is difficult to assign probabilities, and thus
                       are managed to ensure, as much as possible, that the       requires judgment in estimating the probability of
                       assets match the liabilities in currency and duration.     similar events that are likely to affect the value of the
                       In this way, market risk is minimized. Indeed, match-      Account’s investments.
                       ing is an integral means of managing market risk for       Scenarios based on extreme value theory are derived
                       the EFA. This goal has been met for the euro and the       from the historical distribution of the probability of
                       yen, but not completely for the U.S.-dollar portfolio
                       (Table 1).5                                                6. The Bank’s staff consider the scenario method more suited to evaluating the EFA’s
                                                                                                                                 market risks than the Value-at-Risk, or VaR, method recommended by the Basel
                                                                                                                                 Committee. Indeed, this latter approach was developed for managing trading
                                      5. The goal of matching assets and liabilities is pursued for each currency and            accounts, and it generally relies on past values of volatility indexes and correlation
                                      for each maturity group; i.e., 0 to 6 months, 6 to 12 months, 18 months to 2 years,        coefficients, which unfortunately do not hold during periods of pronounced volatility
                                      2 to 3 years, 3 to 4 years, 4 to 5 years, 5 to 7 years, 7 to 9 years, and 9 to 10 years.   in financial markets.




                                                                                                                                       BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002                                     31



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                            significant events.7 For example, the numbers shown                            denominated in U.S. dollars, euros, or yen—must be
                            in Table 3 correspond to some plausible scenarios (at a                       very liquid. First, given that the market for securities
                            given level of confidence) for shocks affecting the                            issued by the U.S. government and its many agencies
                            Canada-U.S. exchange rate on a single day. For exam-                          is considered the most liquid in the world, and that
                            ple, the single-day variation of the Canadian dollar                          the U.S. dollar is generally used in the Account’s for-
                            vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar over the past five years was                         eign exchange operations, the share of U.S. dollars in
                            1.36 per cent in only 0.1 per cent of the cases observed.                     the EFA’S liquid assets has been fixed at a minimum of
                            These statistics allow us to assess the results of statisti-                  50 per cent. Also, the outstanding par value of such
                            cal sensitivity tests.                                                        securities must be at least US$500 million, and must be
                                                                                                          issued by eligible counterparties. This rule must
                                                                                                          always be respected, whether the investments are in
                                                                                                          long- or short-term securities. Moreover, the Account
                                                                                                          may not hold more than 10 per cent of the securities
                                                                                                          issued by any one counterparty—a restriction which,
                            Table 3
                                                                                                          incidentally, is found in various laws and regulations,
                            Extreme-Shock Scenarios Affecting the Canada-U.S.                             especially those applying to the securities industry
                            Exchange Rate Between 1995 and 2000                                           and private pension plans. Finally, the total amount of
                            Probability of occurrence          Largest single-day depreciation observed   securities unredeemable before maturity, for which
                            (per cent)                         (per cent)
                                                                                                          there is no secondary market, cannot exceed 15 per cent
                             5.0                               0.72                                       of the Account’s liquid assets.
                             2.5                               0.89
                             1.0                               1.16
                             0.1                               1.36

                                                                                   Since the purpose of the EFA is to
                                                                                    provide general foreign currency
Changed with the DEMO VERSIONbe noted that, compared with other floating
                       It should of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).   liquidity for the government and to
                       currencies, the Canadian dollar is relatively stable: it    promote orderly conditions in the
                       rarely fluctuates more than one per cent over the               foreign exchange market for
                       course of a single day.
                                                                                    Canadian dollars, it must be in a
                       Liquidity Risk                                            position to rapidly sell securities and
                       Liquidity risk has two aspects. The first deals with the      obtain liquid money to deal with
                       ability to sell certain assets at the appropriate moment.
                       This is crucial, since fund managers must be able to             extreme market swings.
                            sell assets at fair value and obtain payment immedi-
                            ately through the settlement system. Since the pur-
                            pose of the EFA is to provide general foreign currency
                            liquidity for the government and to promote orderly                           Since the liquidity of investments is closely related to
                            conditions in the foreign exchange market for Cana-                           their maturity, there are rules governing the maxi-
                            dian dollars, it must be in a position to rapidly sell                        mum maturity of financial securities eligible to be
                            securities and obtain liquid money to deal with                               included in the EFA portfolio (Table 4). Also, the matu-
                            extreme market swings.                                                        rities of the government’s foreign currency liabilities
                            Moreover, various policies have been adopted to limit                         to fund the EFA must be spread so that no more than
                            liquidity risk. In keeping with these rules, the securi-                      one-third of them are redeemed or rolled over during
                            ties in which the EFA invests—eligible securities                             the upcoming year. Finally, in order to cope with any
                                                                                                          eventuality, the EFA has several other means of rap-
                            7. For more information on extreme value theory, see Bensalah (2000). This    idly increasing its liquid holdings, including its short-
                            approach essentially tries to model extreme events.
                                                                                                          term U.S.-dollar commercial paper program, the
                                                                                                          possession of assets denominated in euros and yen
                                                                                                          (which also have very large secondary markets), and a




                            32        BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                              Table 4                                                                              become familiar with the controls needed to remedy
                              Maximum Maturity of Financial Securities in                                          them. This approach is consistent with the concept of
                              the EFA                                                                              total quality management as implemented by many
                                                                                                                   financial institutions, and which the Bank applies to
                              Type of investment                                    Maximum maturity               analyzing the operational risk to which the EFA is
                              Securities having a secondary market                  10.5 years                     exposed.
                              Liquidity-management securities issued
                                by a private sector institution and for
                                which there is a secondary market
                                (e.g., commercial paper)                            1 year
                              Securities for which there is                                                                In the case of the EFA, the managers
                                no secondary market
                                (e.g., commercial deposits)                         3 months                              consider direct losses and factors that
                              Gold lendinga                                         1 year
                                                                                                                          might have a financial impact on the
                              a. The goal of these operations is essentially to earn income on this type of non-            operations managed by the Bank of
                                 interest-bearing asset.
                                                                                                                                          Canada.

                              US$6 billion line of credit with various foreign finan-
                              cial institutions.
                                                                                In keeping with this approach, the Bank analyzes
                              Operational Risk
                                                                                operational processes, establishes controls that are
                       Operational risk refers to the possibility of financial   regularly reviewed, and closely monitors employee
                       losses being caused by a malfunction or crash of com-    turnover and changes in the skill mix of the staff. The
                       puter systems, by employee error or fraud, by faulty     Bank has also developed several indicators of sources
                       operational processes, or by external events over        of risk and helps evaluate solutions and relevant tech-
                       which the organization has no control.                   nological applications. These include a new computer
                       In the private sector, the consequences of this risk are program for integrated (or “straight-through”)
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). operations. The Bank monitors the
                       usually evaluated in terms of the resulting direct and   processing of
                       indirect losses from foregone earnings. In the case      integrity of the financial data used by models and has
                       of the EFA, the managers consider direct losses and      begun to monitor back-office operations. Finally,
                       factors that might have a financial impact on the oper-   emergency measures have been put in place to deal
                       ations managed by the Bank of Canada.                    with extraordinary events.
                              There are two major approaches for measuring opera-                                  Legal Risk
                              tional risk: “top-down” and “bottom-up.” The top-                                    Like operational risk, legal risk has several aspects.
                              down approach yields an estimate of the financial                                     The term refers to the possibility that duly concluded
                              impacts of different aspects of operational risk based                               contracts do not have legal force because they are not
                              on calculations of losses that the organization has                                  supported by the necessary documents, do not carry
                              incurred in the past. This more actuarial approach is                                the required signatures, or because one or several of
                              probably best suited to modelling substantial and                                    the signatories does not have the appropriate signing
                              infrequent losses resulting from failure of the controls                             authority. This risk also covers the situation of a pri-
                              in place. However, since the available data are not suf-                             vate sector financial institution failing to comply with
                              ficiently reliable for the calculations this method                                   the requirements of the relevant regulatory body.
                              requires, it is not widely used at this time. Several
                              organizations are working to fill this gap.                                           It is unlikely that a real legal risk will arise if the oper-
                                                                                                                   ation unfolds as expected. If one of the parties
                              As the name suggests, the bottom-up method follows                                   defaults, however, this risk takes on a whole new
                              the opposite path. It starts from the different aspects of                           dimension, since it is at that moment that the courts
                              the operations performed by the organization and                                     become involved to determine whether the rights
                              integrates all operational sectors from which risks are                              negotiated in the contracts can, in fact, be exercised.
                              likely to occur. In general, these sectors actively partic-
                              ipate in identifying the sources of risks, and they




                                                                                                                       BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002              33



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                       The methods used to control this type of risk have so       in the EFA’S operations, as well as the means used to
                       far resembled those used in the private sector. One         manage them.
                       essential aspect involves retaining all documentation       In the area of market risk, the Bank is working on
                       relating to the different operations in order to be able    increasing the sophistication of benchmarks and
                       to clarify the rights and obligations of each party as      developing financial scenarios for measuring the
                       needed. For example, in the case of swap operations,        impact of market developments on the value and
                       the government uses and keeps the documentation             liquidity of the securities in the EFA. This should make
                       standardized by the International Swap Dealers              it possible to develop a more integrated approach to
                       Association and closely follows its evolution.              managing market risk and to facilitate an evaluation
                                                                                   of the net cost of carry of the EFA’S reserves in light of
                       Conclusion                                                  the various goals.
                       Efforts to manage risk in the EFA have been aimed at        Finally, it is necessary to take account of the interde-
                       limiting credit risk by imposing ceilings to ensure a       pendence of these risks, rather than to assume that
                       diversification of risk and containing exposure in           they are independent of one another. For example,
                       terms of counterparties. Moreover, by monitoring and        high volatility in financial markets affects the liquidity
                       perfecting methods and models for evaluating credit         of the negotiated securities as well as the credit risk
                       risk, the Bank expects to be able to fine-tune its tools     they present. Furthermore, the liquidity of these secu-
                       for analyzing and modelling the credit risks inherent       rities depends on the reliability of the settlement and
                                                                                   payments systems, the orderly functioning of which is
                                                                                   considered in many countries to be a responsibility of
                                                                                   the central bank. Finally, the various legal aspects of
                                                                                   the contracts affect the ability to exercise the rights
                                                                                   they create and carry with them financial conse-
                                                                                   quences for the different contracting parties.


Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
                       Bibliography
                       Bank for International Settlements. 1988. International     International Monetary Fund. 2000. Sound Practices
                          Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital               in the Management of Foreign Exchange Reserves.
                          Standards, Basel Committee on Banking Regula-                (March).
                          tions and Supervisory Practices, amended July
                                                                                   ———. 2001. Guidelines for Foreign Exchange Reserve
                          1994 and April 1995.
                                                                                     Management. (September).
                       Bensalah, Y. 2000. “Steps in Applying Extreme Value
                                                                                   Jensen, P.K. 2001. “Management of the Interest-Rate
                          Theory to Finance: A Review.” Bank of Canada
                                                                                       Risk on the Foreign-Exchange Reserve.” Monetary
                          Working Paper No. 2000-20.
                                                                                       Review, Danmarks Nationalbank (first quarter).
                       Crouhy, M., D. Galai, and R. Mark. 2001. Risk Manage-
                                                                                   Jorion, P. 2001–2002. Financial Risk Manager Handbook
                          ment. New York: McGraw Hill.
                                                                                       2001/2002. New York: Wiley (GARP Risk Manage-
                       De León, J. 2000–2001. “The Bank of Canada’s Man-               ment Library).
                          agement of Foreign Currency Reserves.” Bank of
                                                                                   Kiff, J., U. Ron, and S. Ebrahim. 2000–2001. “The Fed-
                          Canada Review (Winter): 13–21.
                                                                                        eral Government’s Use of Interest Rate Swaps and
                       Finance Canada. 2001. 2000 Annual Report to Parlia-              Currency Swaps.” Bank of Canada Review (Winter):
                           ment on the Operations of the Exchange Fund Account          23–34.
                           by the Minister of Finance and Report of the Auditor
                           General to the Minister of Finance on the Examination
                           of the Accounts and Financial Statements of the
                           Exchange Fund Account. Ottawa: Department of
                           Finance.




                        34     BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                            Appendix
                            Roles and Responsibilities within the EFA

                            Minister of Finance                                   EFA Investment and Financing
                            • Approve policies governing the investment and       Management Committee (Bank of Canada
                              financing activities of the EFA.                     and Department of Finance)
                            • Approve policies for managing market, credit,       • Consists of fund managers and representatives of
                              and liquidity risk, as well as operational and        the Department of Finance and the Bank of Can-
                              legal risks.                                          ada.
                            • Approve the EFA’S investment rules (current and     • Evaluates investment and financing proposals
                              future activities).                                   developed by the fund managers.
                            • Approve risk-management rules: level of toler-      • Ensures that investment and financing activities
                              ance to risk and means envisioned to manage           follow the rules in place.
                              risk.                                               • Meets on a monthly basis.
                            • Present an annual report to Parliament on the
                              operations of the EFA.                              Fund Managers (Bank of Canada and
                                                                                  Department of Finance)
                            EFA Policy Committee (Bank of Canada
                                                                          • Execute investment and financing operations in
                            and Department of Finance)                      conformity with the applicable regulations and
                       • Consists of senior representatives from the Bank   policies.
                         and the Department of Finance.                   • Develop tactics for financing and investment
                       • Generally oversee the Account.                     operations.
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS accountability (http://www.cadkas.com).
                       • Provides direction and
                                                 PDF-Editor to major
                                                                          • Propose new investments and financing
                         policy initiatives.                                approaches.
                       • Review EFA operations.                           • Participate in monthly meetings of the EFA
                       • Make recommendations on policy changes.            Investment and Financing Management Commit-
                       • Meets semi-annually.                               tee and attend quarterly meetings of the Risk-
                                                                            Management Committee.
                            Risk-Management Committee (Bank of
                                                                                  Risk Managers (Bank of Canada and
                            Canada and Department of Finance)
                                                                                  Department of Finance)
                            • Consists of managers from the Department of
                              Finance, the Bank of Canada, and including two      • Identify risks.
                              representatives with no connection to the opera-    • Develop risk-management rules in collaboration
                              tions of the EFA, one from the Department of          with the fund managers.
                              Finance and one from the Bank of Canada.            • Analyze and model risks.
                            • Ensures that EFA operations reflect the policies,    • Propose measures and management techniques
                              rules, and ceilings with regard to financial and       for overall risk inherent in current and future EFA
                              operational risks.                                    activities.
                            • Plays an advisory role for the elaboration of new   • Monitor the EFA’S credit, market, and liquidity
                              rules and methods of managing certain risks and       risks on a daily basis, and ensure that the fund
                              of appropriate performance measures.                  managers respect the rules in effect.
                            • Reviews the reports generated by the Risk-Man-      • Participate in the monitoring of operational and
                              agement Unit.                                         legal risks in collaboration with representatives
                            • Meets on a quarterly basis.                           of other departments of the Bank and other
                                                                                    branches of the Department of Finance.



                                                                                      BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002            35



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                        • Report to the fund managers daily, to the Gov-    Operations Managers (Bank of Canada and
                          ernment Debt-Management Committee monthly,        Department of Finance)
                          to the Risk-Management Committee quarterly, to
                                                                            • Verify the transactions records before their final
                          senior officials from the Bank of Canada and the
                                                                              approval.
                          Department of Finance semi-annually, and to the
                          Minister of Finance annually.                     • Confirm transactions with the counterparties.
                                                                            • Approve transactions and enter the relevant
                                                                              information in the systems.
                                                                            • Record the different aspects of the transactions.
                                                                            • Effect the payments provided for and register
                                                                              income.
                                                                            • Generate certain management reports.




Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).




                        36    BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002



Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

External Ratings - Basel II
External Ratings - Basel IIExternal Ratings - Basel II
External Ratings - Basel IIAditya
 
Basel II – Integrated Risk Capital
Basel II – Integrated Risk CapitalBasel II – Integrated Risk Capital
Basel II – Integrated Risk CapitalWalid Saafan
 
Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...
Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...
Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...Macropru Reader
 
ALCO Process - Liquidity Risk Management
ALCO Process - Liquidity Risk ManagementALCO Process - Liquidity Risk Management
ALCO Process - Liquidity Risk Managementenelson13
 
Basel III And Its Implications
Basel III And Its ImplicationsBasel III And Its Implications
Basel III And Its ImplicationsAli Zeeshan
 
Debt Management Tarun Das
Debt Management Tarun DasDebt Management Tarun Das
Debt Management Tarun Dastarundas
 
Investing for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market Review
Investing for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market ReviewInvesting for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market Review
Investing for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market ReviewLFGmarketing
 
2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?
2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?
2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?Michael Trickey
 
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation RequirementsBasel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation RequirementsRodrigo Zepeda LLB, LLM, Chartered MCSI
 
Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008
Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008 Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008
Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008 Viết Nội Dung
 
A Guide to Currency Overlay Management
A Guide to Currency Overlay ManagementA Guide to Currency Overlay Management
A Guide to Currency Overlay ManagementMichael Collins
 
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation RequirementsBasel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation RequirementsRodrigo Zepeda LLB, LLM, Chartered MCSI
 

Was ist angesagt? (15)

External Ratings - Basel II
External Ratings - Basel IIExternal Ratings - Basel II
External Ratings - Basel II
 
Basel II – Integrated Risk Capital
Basel II – Integrated Risk CapitalBasel II – Integrated Risk Capital
Basel II – Integrated Risk Capital
 
Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...
Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...
Kang Tae Soo -- Riksbank Macroprudential Conference Stockholm, Sweden, Nove...
 
ALCO Process - Liquidity Risk Management
ALCO Process - Liquidity Risk ManagementALCO Process - Liquidity Risk Management
ALCO Process - Liquidity Risk Management
 
Basel III And Its Implications
Basel III And Its ImplicationsBasel III And Its Implications
Basel III And Its Implications
 
Basel iii ppt.
Basel iii ppt.Basel iii ppt.
Basel iii ppt.
 
Debt Management Tarun Das
Debt Management Tarun DasDebt Management Tarun Das
Debt Management Tarun Das
 
Investing for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market Review
Investing for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market ReviewInvesting for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market Review
Investing for Physicians | 4th Quarter Market Review
 
Basel standards
Basel standardsBasel standards
Basel standards
 
2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?
2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?
2014 - How Does Basel III Impact You?
 
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation RequirementsBasel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Practical Implementation Requirements
 
13289772 Basel
13289772 Basel13289772 Basel
13289772 Basel
 
Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008
Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008 Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008
Thiet ke Bao cao thuong nien - Vina 2008
 
A Guide to Currency Overlay Management
A Guide to Currency Overlay ManagementA Guide to Currency Overlay Management
A Guide to Currency Overlay Management
 
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation RequirementsBasel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation Requirements
Basel III NSFR Liquidity Framework: Theoretical Implementation Requirements
 

Andere mochten auch

Special Issues in the Administration of Economic Development
Special Issues in the Administration of Economic DevelopmentSpecial Issues in the Administration of Economic Development
Special Issues in the Administration of Economic DevelopmentJo Balucanag - Bitonio
 
Effects of public expenditure on economy production distribution
Effects of public expenditure on economy production distributionEffects of public expenditure on economy production distribution
Effects of public expenditure on economy production distributionBhaumiki
 
Public expenditure
Public expenditurePublic expenditure
Public expenditurejyotsanalal
 
Public finance
Public financePublic finance
Public financepalash420
 
India public expenditure recent
India public expenditure recentIndia public expenditure recent
India public expenditure recentSnehanka Kadge
 
public expenditure
public expenditurepublic expenditure
public expenditureCtsalwa
 
Chapter 9- public finance for BBA
Chapter 9- public finance for BBAChapter 9- public finance for BBA
Chapter 9- public finance for BBAginish9841502661
 
Public finance
Public finance Public finance
Public finance Tarek Aziz
 

Andere mochten auch (10)

Special Issues in the Administration of Economic Development
Special Issues in the Administration of Economic DevelopmentSpecial Issues in the Administration of Economic Development
Special Issues in the Administration of Economic Development
 
Effects of public expenditure on economy production distribution
Effects of public expenditure on economy production distributionEffects of public expenditure on economy production distribution
Effects of public expenditure on economy production distribution
 
Public expenditure
Public expenditurePublic expenditure
Public expenditure
 
Public finance
Public financePublic finance
Public finance
 
India public expenditure recent
India public expenditure recentIndia public expenditure recent
India public expenditure recent
 
public expenditure
public expenditurepublic expenditure
public expenditure
 
Chapter 9- public finance for BBA
Chapter 9- public finance for BBAChapter 9- public finance for BBA
Chapter 9- public finance for BBA
 
PUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCEPUBLIC FINANCE
PUBLIC FINANCE
 
Public Finance
Public FinancePublic Finance
Public Finance
 
Public finance
Public finance Public finance
Public finance
 

Ähnlich wie RISK MANAGEMENT OF FX RESERVES

Credit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money Banks
Credit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money BanksCredit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money Banks
Credit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money Banksijtsrd
 
The Future Of The IMF
The Future Of The IMFThe Future Of The IMF
The Future Of The IMFAFRIKASOURCES
 
Capital adequacy norms (1)
Capital adequacy norms (1)Capital adequacy norms (1)
Capital adequacy norms (1)guulu
 
Treasury management – a perspective ssld
Treasury management – a perspective ssldTreasury management – a perspective ssld
Treasury management – a perspective ssldAbhijeet Deshmukh
 
Lecture 10 - Financial Regulation
Lecture 10 - Financial RegulationLecture 10 - Financial Regulation
Lecture 10 - Financial RegulationRyan Herzog
 
Strengthening oversight and regulation of shadow banking
Strengthening oversight and regulation of shadow bankingStrengthening oversight and regulation of shadow banking
Strengthening oversight and regulation of shadow bankingInvestors Europe Stock Brokers
 
IARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdf
IARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdfIARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdf
IARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdfvishwasmahajan6
 
ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS A DYNAMIC APPROACH
ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS  A DYNAMIC APPROACHASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS  A DYNAMIC APPROACH
ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS A DYNAMIC APPROACHAaron Anyaakuu
 
Metric issue-19-april
Metric issue-19-aprilMetric issue-19-april
Metric issue-19-aprilrohiniuppal
 
Sovereign Wealth Funds I M F
Sovereign Wealth Funds  I M FSovereign Wealth Funds  I M F
Sovereign Wealth Funds I M FRod Medallion
 
Ayman El Far CV
Ayman El Far CVAyman El Far CV
Ayman El Far CVaymanelfar
 

Ähnlich wie RISK MANAGEMENT OF FX RESERVES (20)

OFSAA-ALM
OFSAA-ALMOFSAA-ALM
OFSAA-ALM
 
Credit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money Banks
Credit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money BanksCredit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money Banks
Credit Risk Management and Loan Recovery in Nigerian Deposit Money Banks
 
Basel 3 by_khawar_nehal_18_sep_2010-2
Basel 3 by_khawar_nehal_18_sep_2010-2Basel 3 by_khawar_nehal_18_sep_2010-2
Basel 3 by_khawar_nehal_18_sep_2010-2
 
The Future Of The IMF
The Future Of The IMFThe Future Of The IMF
The Future Of The IMF
 
Capital adequacy norms (1)
Capital adequacy norms (1)Capital adequacy norms (1)
Capital adequacy norms (1)
 
Ssg risk mgt_doc_final_2008
Ssg risk mgt_doc_final_2008Ssg risk mgt_doc_final_2008
Ssg risk mgt_doc_final_2008
 
Rbi
RbiRbi
Rbi
 
Treasury management – a perspective ssld
Treasury management – a perspective ssldTreasury management – a perspective ssld
Treasury management – a perspective ssld
 
A034201013
A034201013A034201013
A034201013
 
Lecture 10 - Financial Regulation
Lecture 10 - Financial RegulationLecture 10 - Financial Regulation
Lecture 10 - Financial Regulation
 
11490p841 851
11490p841 85111490p841 851
11490p841 851
 
Strengthening oversight and regulation of shadow banking
Strengthening oversight and regulation of shadow bankingStrengthening oversight and regulation of shadow banking
Strengthening oversight and regulation of shadow banking
 
IARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdf
IARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdfIARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdf
IARE_FM_Lecture _Notes_2-converted.pdf
 
ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS A DYNAMIC APPROACH
ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS  A DYNAMIC APPROACHASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS  A DYNAMIC APPROACH
ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT IN BANKS A DYNAMIC APPROACH
 
Metric issue-19-april
Metric issue-19-aprilMetric issue-19-april
Metric issue-19-april
 
Sovereign Wealth Funds I M F
Sovereign Wealth Funds  I M FSovereign Wealth Funds  I M F
Sovereign Wealth Funds I M F
 
Ayman El Far CV
Ayman El Far CVAyman El Far CV
Ayman El Far CV
 
Final
FinalFinal
Final
 
Session 29 unit 5
Session 29   unit 5Session 29   unit 5
Session 29 unit 5
 
Indu finance
Indu financeIndu finance
Indu finance
 

Mehr von Michel Rochette

3ceapaffichecommunication2016MR
3ceapaffichecommunication2016MR3ceapaffichecommunication2016MR
3ceapaffichecommunication2016MRMichel Rochette
 
Gestion du risque du compte du fond des changes
Gestion du risque du compte du fond des changesGestion du risque du compte du fond des changes
Gestion du risque du compte du fond des changesMichel Rochette
 
Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...
Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...
Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...Michel Rochette
 
Proposition d'une liste électorale informatisée
Proposition d'une liste électorale informatiséeProposition d'une liste électorale informatisée
Proposition d'une liste électorale informatiséeMichel Rochette
 
L'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatique
L'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatiqueL'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatique
L'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatiqueMichel Rochette
 
Assurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réforme
Assurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réformeAssurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réforme
Assurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réformeMichel Rochette
 
Unemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reform
Unemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reformUnemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reform
Unemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reformMichel Rochette
 
Operational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-Mandarin
Operational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-MandarinOperational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-Mandarin
Operational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-MandarinMichel Rochette
 
Operational risk in IT project
Operational risk in IT projectOperational risk in IT project
Operational risk in IT projectMichel Rochette
 
Emergence of the Chief Risk Officer function
Emergence of the Chief Risk Officer functionEmergence of the Chief Risk Officer function
Emergence of the Chief Risk Officer functionMichel Rochette
 
Operational risk: the new frontier
Operational risk: the new frontierOperational risk: the new frontier
Operational risk: the new frontierMichel Rochette
 
Operational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERM
Operational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERMOperational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERM
Operational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERMMichel Rochette
 
1er colloque étudiant en administration publique
1er colloque étudiant en administration publique 1er colloque étudiant en administration publique
1er colloque étudiant en administration publique Michel Rochette
 
Risk Treatment Standard-ASB
Risk Treatment Standard-ASBRisk Treatment Standard-ASB
Risk Treatment Standard-ASBMichel Rochette
 
Introduction to economic capital
Introduction to economic capitalIntroduction to economic capital
Introduction to economic capitalMichel Rochette
 
Advanced Economic Capital
Advanced Economic CapitalAdvanced Economic Capital
Advanced Economic CapitalMichel Rochette
 
Role of a Chief Risk Officer
Role of a Chief Risk OfficerRole of a Chief Risk Officer
Role of a Chief Risk OfficerMichel Rochette
 

Mehr von Michel Rochette (20)

3ceapaffichecommunication2016MR
3ceapaffichecommunication2016MR3ceapaffichecommunication2016MR
3ceapaffichecommunication2016MR
 
Gestion du risque du compte du fond des changes
Gestion du risque du compte du fond des changesGestion du risque du compte du fond des changes
Gestion du risque du compte du fond des changes
 
Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...
Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...
Proposition de la création d'un fond de capital de risque pour l'industrie to...
 
Proposition d'une liste électorale informatisée
Proposition d'une liste électorale informatiséeProposition d'une liste électorale informatisée
Proposition d'une liste électorale informatisée
 
L'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatique
L'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatiqueL'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatique
L'intérêt public: Étalon de la gouvernance étatique
 
Assurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réforme
Assurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réformeAssurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réforme
Assurance-chômage au Canada: propositions de réforme
 
Unemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reform
Unemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reformUnemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reform
Unemployment Insurance in Canada: proposals for reform
 
Operational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-Mandarin
Operational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-MandarinOperational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-Mandarin
Operational and reputation risk: Essential components of ERM-Mandarin
 
Operational risk in IT project
Operational risk in IT projectOperational risk in IT project
Operational risk in IT project
 
Emergence of the Chief Risk Officer function
Emergence of the Chief Risk Officer functionEmergence of the Chief Risk Officer function
Emergence of the Chief Risk Officer function
 
Operational risk: the new frontier
Operational risk: the new frontierOperational risk: the new frontier
Operational risk: the new frontier
 
Operational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERM
Operational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERMOperational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERM
Operational and reputational risk: Essential components of ERM
 
From Risk to ERM
From Risk to ERMFrom Risk to ERM
From Risk to ERM
 
1er colloque étudiant en administration publique
1er colloque étudiant en administration publique 1er colloque étudiant en administration publique
1er colloque étudiant en administration publique
 
Risk Treatment Standard-ASB
Risk Treatment Standard-ASBRisk Treatment Standard-ASB
Risk Treatment Standard-ASB
 
Introduction to economic capital
Introduction to economic capitalIntroduction to economic capital
Introduction to economic capital
 
PPP: Risky proposition?
PPP: Risky proposition?PPP: Risky proposition?
PPP: Risky proposition?
 
Advanced Economic Capital
Advanced Economic CapitalAdvanced Economic Capital
Advanced Economic Capital
 
Role of a Chief Risk Officer
Role of a Chief Risk OfficerRole of a Chief Risk Officer
Role of a Chief Risk Officer
 
Environmental Risk
Environmental RiskEnvironmental Risk
Environmental Risk
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex
 
Financial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and Disadvantages
Financial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and DisadvantagesFinancial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and Disadvantages
Financial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and Disadvantagesjayjaymabutot13
 
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Sonam Pathan
 
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...Henry Tapper
 
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACTGOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACTharshitverma1762
 
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasThe Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasCherylouCamus
 
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...Amil Baba Dawood bangali
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)ECTIJ
 
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintGovernor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintSuomen Pankki
 
The AES Investment Code - the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...
The AES Investment Code -  the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...The AES Investment Code -  the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...
The AES Investment Code - the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...AES International
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...Amil baba
 
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170Sonam Pathan
 
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...Amil baba
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfMichael Silva
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一S SDS
 
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
 
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)twfkn8xj
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfshaunmashale756
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results PresentationBladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
Bladex 1Q24 Earning Results Presentation
 
Financial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and Disadvantages
Financial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and DisadvantagesFinancial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and Disadvantages
Financial Leverage Definition, Advantages, and Disadvantages
 
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
Call Girls Near Golden Tulip Essential Hotel, New Delhi 9873777170
 
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
letter-from-the-chair-to-the-fca-relating-to-british-steel-pensions-scheme-15...
 
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACTGOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
GOODSANDSERVICETAX IN INDIAN ECONOMY IMPACT
 
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng PilipinasThe Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
The Core Functions of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas
 
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
NO1 Certified Ilam kala Jadu Specialist Expert In Bahawalpur, Sargodha, Sialk...
 
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
Economics, Commerce and Trade Management: An International Journal (ECTIJ)
 
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraintGovernor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
Governor Olli Rehn: Dialling back monetary restraint
 
The AES Investment Code - the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...
The AES Investment Code -  the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...The AES Investment Code -  the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...
The AES Investment Code - the go-to counsel for the most well-informed, wise...
 
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
NO1 Certified Amil Baba In Lahore Kala Jadu In Lahore Best Amil In Lahore Ami...
 
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth AdvisorsQ1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q1 2024 Newsletter | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
 
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
Monthly Economic Monitoring of Ukraine No 231, April 2024
 
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
Call Girls Near Delhi Pride Hotel, New Delhi|9873777170
 
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
NO1 WorldWide Genuine vashikaran specialist Vashikaran baba near Lahore Vashi...
 
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdfStock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
Stock Market Brief Deck for "this does not happen often".pdf
 
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
(办理学位证)加拿大萨省大学毕业证成绩单原版一比一
 
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️call girls in  Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
call girls in Nand Nagri (DELHI) 🔝 >༒9953330565🔝 genuine Escort Service 🔝✔️✔️
 
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
(中央兰开夏大学毕业证学位证成绩单-案例)
 
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdfgovernment_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
government_intervention_in_business_ownership[1].pdf
 

RISK MANAGEMENT OF FX RESERVES

  • 1. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). Risk Management in the Exchange Fund Account Michel Rochette, Risk-Management Unit, Financial Markets Department Mr. Michel Rochette can be reached at michel.rochette@enterprise-risk-advisory.com rency liabilities and swaps that are used to fund them. • In managing the Exchange Fund Account (EFA),* T the Bank of Canada and the Department his article follows up on a paper published in of Finance strive to limit the risks to which the last winter’s issue of the Review, which dealt Government of Canada is exposed in financing with the Bank’s management of Canada’s and investment operations that involve foreign official international reserves (De León 2000– currencies. 2001). Its goal is to explain the methods that the Bank has used to analyze and model the principal risks • The EFA is exposed to various types of risk: credit inherent in the financing and investment operations of risk, market risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, the EFA, and the rules put in place to manage these and legal risk. The approach used to manage them risks.1 collectively has allowed risk to be held at a low Before examining the actual management of these level. risks, it is important to clarify the nature and the goals • The EFA governance process involves close Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). and to underline the unique character of the Account collaboration between the Department of Finance of the institutional framework that is used to manage and the Bank of Canada. This collaboration covers the government’s official international reserves. management of the Account and administrative tasks. Financing and investment operations are The Nature and Goals of the EFA carried out by the Bank in its role as fiscal agent In many countries, the official international reserves for the government. are owned by either the central bank alone or by both • The first step in managing the EFA’S risks the central bank and the government. For example, in involves identifying, analyzing, evaluating, and Denmark and Switzerland, the reserves belong to the central bank, whereas in the United States they are modelling them. The second involves establishing split between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury. In guidelines to limit these risks, while the third Canada, these reserves belong to the government and ensures day-to-day adherence to those guidelines, are held in a special account at the Bank of Canada in as well as periodically proposing new risk-control the Minister of Finance’s name. This account is called mechanisms. the Exchange Fund Account, and it is funded by cur- rency swaps and direct foreign currency borrowings in international capital markets by the government .2 The EFA’S goals and objectives are defined in the Minister 1. This analysis is part of a larger effort to analyze and manage the risks associated with the transactions carried out by the Bank of Canada in its role as fiscal agent for the federal government. In addition to direct EFA investment and financing operations, these transactions include the EFA’s securities-lending operations and sale and repurchase agreements, as well as the management of gold stocks (options and loans), * In the context of this article, the term “Exchange Fund Account” is used to the government’s Canadian-dollar debt and the Receiver General’s cash balances. describe the liquid foreign currency assets held in the EFA and the foreign cur- BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 27 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 2. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). of Finance’s annual report to Parliament on the opera- shows how these principles influence the various enti- tions of the Account for 2000 (Finance Canada 2001, p. 1). ties responsible for managing the Account. Since risk management is one of the major considera- Sound risk management also implies the implementa- tions underlying the various operations of the EFA, it tion of an appropriate governance process. To achieve is useful to review the fundamentals and specific fea- this, the decision-making framework and the roles tures of its management regime. of the different stakeholders have been well defined and adapted to the governance, organizational, and Managing the EFA’s Risks: operational framework of the EFA (see Chart 1 and Appendix).3 This framework provides for direction, Principles, Internal Governance, accountability, and reporting of activities related to the and Rules management of the EFA consistent with best practices. One of the fundamental principles of sound financial Finally, sound risk management requires not only that management is the maintenance of a balance between the risks be expressly identified and contained by the desired return and the risk level: the return-risk clear operational rules, but also skilled personnel and relationship. Every organization establishes this rela- adequate computer support. This is why the Risk- tionship as a function of its financial goals and its pref- Management Unit was created in 1997 in the Bank of erences in matters of risk. In the case of the EFA, the Canada’s Financial Markets Department. Overall, the stated objective is to protect the reserves against risk results obtained in managing the risks of the EFA are while minimizing the net cost of carry and maintain- consistent with the guidelines of the International ing adequate liquidity in various currencies. Box 1 2. For more information on the government’s currency swap operations, see 3. For more information on EFA governance, see De León (2000-2001). Kiff, Ron, and Ebrahim (2000–2001). Box 1 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). Principles Governing the Management of the EFA General Specific • The reserve assets and the liabilities that fund them • To ensure liquidity and to facilitate general interven- are managed like portfolios, using an approach inte- tion operations, the EFA must hold sufficient high- grating many of the principles applied by financial quality liquid assets. institutions in the private sector, especially the prudent management of risk. • The spread between the interest paid on funds raised by the government to finance the EFA’S assets and the • In the case of assets, considerable attention must be interest earned on those assets must be minimized. paid to their liquidity, quality, and diversification, as well as to credit ceilings set for the counterparties. • Foreign exchange reserves must be managed so that, as much as possible, assets and liabilities are matched • In the case of liabilities, the same attention must be both in terms of currencies and durations. paid to methods for raising capital, diversification of the investor clientele, the costs of the different sources • A prudent structure and profile of maturities must be of financing, and the maturity profile of the commit- maintained to limit refinancing requirements. ments. • Foreign currency borrowing that finances the EFA’S • Exemplary risk-management practices must be reserves must be conducted in a manner that protects applied. Canada’s reputation as a “successful borrower” in international capital markets. 28 BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 3. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). Chart 1 Structure of EFA Parliament Minister of Finance Department EFA Policy Bank of Canada of Finance Committee Risk-Management Committee Operations Fund Risk Risk Fund Operations managers managers managers managers managers managers Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). EFA Investment and Financing Management Committee Monetary Fund (IMF) and with the performance of out the foreign currency investments and foreign cur- other major industrialized countries (IMF 2000, 2001). rency liabilities of the Government of Canada to fund the EFA, in the form of a balance sheet. The EFA Balance Sheet As the table shows, the EFA’S investments and liabili- From the legal and accounting perspectives, the EFA is ties are denominated in three currencies, the U.S. dol- an autonomous entity with its own asset base. But lar, the euro, and the yen. These investments make up examination of the official balance sheet published in the so-called liquid reserves of the EFA, and they are the Minister of Finance’s report for the year 2000 recorded at par value. Risk analyses and the day-to- reveals that its sole liability is “Advances” from the day management of the EFA are conducted on the Consolidated Revenue Fund. This is because the basis of either the market value or, when the market Account was originally created through an advance value is unknown, an estimate of fair value. from the government, which also funds it (and is, in The table shows that, on 31 December 2000, assets and the final analysis, its only creditor). Nonetheless, the liabilities in euros and yen were more or less matched, government regularly incurs foreign currency liabili- but liabilities in U.S. dollars exceeded the correspond- ties, the value of which must always be assessed ing assets by US$6.8 billion. This situation arose against its foreign currency investments. Table 1 sets largely as a result of foreign exchange intervention BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 29 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 4. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). Table 1 AAA by Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, Fitch IBCA, and The EFA’s Investments and Liabilities on Dominion Bond Rating Service. 31 December 2000 To limit the credit risks inherent in EFA operations, US$ millions, par value there are restrictions on the types of counterparties Currency Assets Liabilities and on the types of transactions that the EFA may U.S. dollar 20,730 27,512 undertake with these counterparties. Under this sys- Euro 6,674 7,245 tem, the credit rating serves not only to determine the Yen 506 492 choice of counterparties, but also the magnitude of the Total 27,910 35,249 credit risk allowed. Source: Finance Canada 2001, Table 4, p.10. Note: These values differ from the entries in Table I2 of the Bank of Canada Banking and Among the ceilings implemented, some are specific, Financial Statistics, which are expressed at market value. That table also contains data on while others are more global. Overall, the ceilings gen- gold holdings, special drawing rights, and the reserve position in the IMF, which are not discussed in this article. erally vary according to the counterparty’s category (sovereign government, public institution, suprana- and important commitments to the IMF in 1998. This tional organization, commercial financial institution) imbalance, which reached about US$13.2 billion at its and credit rating. Furthermore, they consolidate all widest point, has been gradually reduced through a the transactions undertaken with any given counter- program of U.S.-dollar acquisitions—designed to equal- party, they take into account actual and potential ize assets and liabilities denominated in that currency— exposure in the case of certain derivatives, and the implemented jointly in 1998 by the Department of term and type of transactions involving the eligible Finance and the Bank of Canada (Finance Canada 2001). counterparties. Specific ceilings ensure that risk is spread among the counterparties, especially those in Types of Risk the private sector, while global ceilings provide for a Credit Risk Table 2 The term “credit risk” refers to the possibility that a counterparty to an EFA investment operation will Breakdown of Risk Exposure in the EFA on 29 June 2001 Changed with the DEMO VERSION a commitment or declare bankruptcy. In the renege on of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). (Following BIS 1988, 1994, and 1995 methodology) case of a private corporation, non-repayment of debt may result from bankruptcy or dissolution; in the case US$ millions of a sovereign counterparty, from a moratorium on Category of counterparty Unweighted Risk-weighted Allocation repayment of external debt, the institution of and weighting coefficient exposure exposure of risk exchange controls, or repudiation. Credit risk also OECD-member sovereign states covers financial losses caused by a downgrading of and their fully guaranteed 74% in AAA the counterparty’s credit rating if the portfolio is agencies (0%) 14,060 0 26% in AA defined at market value. Other agencies of OECD-member sovereign governments and 98% in AAA To measure exposure to credit risk, the approach cur- supranational entities (20%) 11,500 2,300 2% in AA rently used is that recommended to international Private financial institutions of 5% in AAA OECD-member countries (20%) 4,485 897 95% in AA banks by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervi- sion (Bank for International Settlements 1988, 1994, 1995).4 This approach yields a risk-weighted expo- sure (RWE). Using the RWE formula, the actual exposure for each type of product is calculated each 4. These guidelines were set out in publications of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (Bank for International Settlements 1988, 1994, 1995). day using fair value, which is then broken down by The 1988 guidelines set capital requirements for international banks at a level counterparty. Finally, the potential exposure for consistent with the credit risk associated with balance-sheet transactions. In derivatives used in managing market risk is added. 1994 and 1995, modifications were made to cover derivatives. Globally, this approach allows the estimation of actual exposure based on market value, to The results of these computations for the EFA are which potential exposure for derivatives is added. This latter risk is estimated presented in Table 2, which shows a breakdown of using projection factors recommended in the 1995 guidelines. The total obtained RWE in June 2001. by this method is then weighted by a risk factor varying between zero per cent for risks associated with securities issued in the domestic currency by OECD- As the table illustrates, the overall credit risk of the member sovereign states and their fully-guaranteed agencies, 20 per cent for Account’s operations is minimal, given the high pro- other agencies of OECD-member sovereign governments, supranational institu- tions, and private banks of OECD-member countries, and 100 per cent for other portion of the RWE allocated to organizations rated private sector organizations. Examples of these computations can be found in Kiff, Ron, and Ebrahim (2001). 30 BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 5. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). similar dispersion of risk among broad categories of counterparties. To minimize market risk associated with interest rate fluctuations in the case of non-matching or incomplete matching, EFA fund managers start by matching assets and liabilities with the longest terms. Since total To limit the credit risks inherent in liabilities in U.S. dollars exceed the corresponding EFA operations, there are restrictions assets, this matching has been only partial; i.e., only in on the types of counterparties and on the long and medium term. the types of transactions that the EFA may undertake with these counterparties. In the EFA, foreign reserves are managed to ensure . . . that the assets match the liabilities in currency and duration. . . . Indeed, matching is an Other methods of limiting credit risk include: bilateral integral means of managing market netting agreements with the counterparties in the case risk for the EFA. of swaps and forward foreign exchange contracts; a system of collateral for transactions involving certain derivatives (to be established soon) allowing for a fur- ther decrease in associated credit risk; and a more Furthermore, since the EFA was created to give the thorough analysis of the credit risk presented by vari- federal government access to liquid foreign currency, ous entities (subsidiaries, brokerage houses, etc.) con- the analysis of risk managers focuses on potential nected to a single counterparty. changes in the market value of the EFA’s assets and Market Risk liabilities. Since variations in these values are often Changed with the DEMO VERSION“market risk” refers to fluctuations in the The term of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). caused by significant events in financial markets, the values of securities arising from changes in interest Risk-Management Unit develops scenarios to measure and exchange rates. In the case of the EFA, market risk and limit this aspect of market risk. For these pur- has two sources: non-matching and partial matching poses, they sometimes use traditional methods and, in of assets and liabilities. When assets and liabilities are some instances, apply “extreme value” theory.6 matched by term and currency, this risk is low, The so-called traditional scenario approach is gener- because the impact of interest rate and exchange rate ally developed on the basis of observation and quali- fluctuations on both assets and liabilities will cancel tative analysis of past events; for example, the Asian each other out. crisis of 1997–98, the Russian debt restructuring in Fund managers in the private sector begin by estab- 1998, and the collapse of U.S. Long-Term Capital lishing benchmarks from which they deliberately Management in 1998. This approach allows for the assume market risk in order to increase the yields development of scenarios on the basis of real events, from their investments. In the EFA, foreign reserves but it is difficult to assign probabilities, and thus are managed to ensure, as much as possible, that the requires judgment in estimating the probability of assets match the liabilities in currency and duration. similar events that are likely to affect the value of the In this way, market risk is minimized. Indeed, match- Account’s investments. ing is an integral means of managing market risk for Scenarios based on extreme value theory are derived the EFA. This goal has been met for the euro and the from the historical distribution of the probability of yen, but not completely for the U.S.-dollar portfolio (Table 1).5 6. The Bank’s staff consider the scenario method more suited to evaluating the EFA’s market risks than the Value-at-Risk, or VaR, method recommended by the Basel Committee. Indeed, this latter approach was developed for managing trading 5. The goal of matching assets and liabilities is pursued for each currency and accounts, and it generally relies on past values of volatility indexes and correlation for each maturity group; i.e., 0 to 6 months, 6 to 12 months, 18 months to 2 years, coefficients, which unfortunately do not hold during periods of pronounced volatility 2 to 3 years, 3 to 4 years, 4 to 5 years, 5 to 7 years, 7 to 9 years, and 9 to 10 years. in financial markets. BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 31 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 6. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). significant events.7 For example, the numbers shown denominated in U.S. dollars, euros, or yen—must be in Table 3 correspond to some plausible scenarios (at a very liquid. First, given that the market for securities given level of confidence) for shocks affecting the issued by the U.S. government and its many agencies Canada-U.S. exchange rate on a single day. For exam- is considered the most liquid in the world, and that ple, the single-day variation of the Canadian dollar the U.S. dollar is generally used in the Account’s for- vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar over the past five years was eign exchange operations, the share of U.S. dollars in 1.36 per cent in only 0.1 per cent of the cases observed. the EFA’S liquid assets has been fixed at a minimum of These statistics allow us to assess the results of statisti- 50 per cent. Also, the outstanding par value of such cal sensitivity tests. securities must be at least US$500 million, and must be issued by eligible counterparties. This rule must always be respected, whether the investments are in long- or short-term securities. Moreover, the Account may not hold more than 10 per cent of the securities issued by any one counterparty—a restriction which, Table 3 incidentally, is found in various laws and regulations, Extreme-Shock Scenarios Affecting the Canada-U.S. especially those applying to the securities industry Exchange Rate Between 1995 and 2000 and private pension plans. Finally, the total amount of Probability of occurrence Largest single-day depreciation observed securities unredeemable before maturity, for which (per cent) (per cent) there is no secondary market, cannot exceed 15 per cent 5.0 0.72 of the Account’s liquid assets. 2.5 0.89 1.0 1.16 0.1 1.36 Since the purpose of the EFA is to provide general foreign currency Changed with the DEMO VERSIONbe noted that, compared with other floating It should of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). liquidity for the government and to currencies, the Canadian dollar is relatively stable: it promote orderly conditions in the rarely fluctuates more than one per cent over the foreign exchange market for course of a single day. Canadian dollars, it must be in a Liquidity Risk position to rapidly sell securities and Liquidity risk has two aspects. The first deals with the obtain liquid money to deal with ability to sell certain assets at the appropriate moment. This is crucial, since fund managers must be able to extreme market swings. sell assets at fair value and obtain payment immedi- ately through the settlement system. Since the pur- pose of the EFA is to provide general foreign currency liquidity for the government and to promote orderly Since the liquidity of investments is closely related to conditions in the foreign exchange market for Cana- their maturity, there are rules governing the maxi- dian dollars, it must be in a position to rapidly sell mum maturity of financial securities eligible to be securities and obtain liquid money to deal with included in the EFA portfolio (Table 4). Also, the matu- extreme market swings. rities of the government’s foreign currency liabilities Moreover, various policies have been adopted to limit to fund the EFA must be spread so that no more than liquidity risk. In keeping with these rules, the securi- one-third of them are redeemed or rolled over during ties in which the EFA invests—eligible securities the upcoming year. Finally, in order to cope with any eventuality, the EFA has several other means of rap- 7. For more information on extreme value theory, see Bensalah (2000). This idly increasing its liquid holdings, including its short- approach essentially tries to model extreme events. term U.S.-dollar commercial paper program, the possession of assets denominated in euros and yen (which also have very large secondary markets), and a 32 BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 7. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). Table 4 become familiar with the controls needed to remedy Maximum Maturity of Financial Securities in them. This approach is consistent with the concept of the EFA total quality management as implemented by many financial institutions, and which the Bank applies to Type of investment Maximum maturity analyzing the operational risk to which the EFA is Securities having a secondary market 10.5 years exposed. Liquidity-management securities issued by a private sector institution and for which there is a secondary market (e.g., commercial paper) 1 year Securities for which there is In the case of the EFA, the managers no secondary market (e.g., commercial deposits) 3 months consider direct losses and factors that Gold lendinga 1 year might have a financial impact on the a. The goal of these operations is essentially to earn income on this type of non- operations managed by the Bank of interest-bearing asset. Canada. US$6 billion line of credit with various foreign finan- cial institutions. In keeping with this approach, the Bank analyzes Operational Risk operational processes, establishes controls that are Operational risk refers to the possibility of financial regularly reviewed, and closely monitors employee losses being caused by a malfunction or crash of com- turnover and changes in the skill mix of the staff. The puter systems, by employee error or fraud, by faulty Bank has also developed several indicators of sources operational processes, or by external events over of risk and helps evaluate solutions and relevant tech- which the organization has no control. nological applications. These include a new computer In the private sector, the consequences of this risk are program for integrated (or “straight-through”) Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). operations. The Bank monitors the usually evaluated in terms of the resulting direct and processing of indirect losses from foregone earnings. In the case integrity of the financial data used by models and has of the EFA, the managers consider direct losses and begun to monitor back-office operations. Finally, factors that might have a financial impact on the oper- emergency measures have been put in place to deal ations managed by the Bank of Canada. with extraordinary events. There are two major approaches for measuring opera- Legal Risk tional risk: “top-down” and “bottom-up.” The top- Like operational risk, legal risk has several aspects. down approach yields an estimate of the financial The term refers to the possibility that duly concluded impacts of different aspects of operational risk based contracts do not have legal force because they are not on calculations of losses that the organization has supported by the necessary documents, do not carry incurred in the past. This more actuarial approach is the required signatures, or because one or several of probably best suited to modelling substantial and the signatories does not have the appropriate signing infrequent losses resulting from failure of the controls authority. This risk also covers the situation of a pri- in place. However, since the available data are not suf- vate sector financial institution failing to comply with ficiently reliable for the calculations this method the requirements of the relevant regulatory body. requires, it is not widely used at this time. Several organizations are working to fill this gap. It is unlikely that a real legal risk will arise if the oper- ation unfolds as expected. If one of the parties As the name suggests, the bottom-up method follows defaults, however, this risk takes on a whole new the opposite path. It starts from the different aspects of dimension, since it is at that moment that the courts the operations performed by the organization and become involved to determine whether the rights integrates all operational sectors from which risks are negotiated in the contracts can, in fact, be exercised. likely to occur. In general, these sectors actively partic- ipate in identifying the sources of risks, and they BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 33 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 8. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). The methods used to control this type of risk have so in the EFA’S operations, as well as the means used to far resembled those used in the private sector. One manage them. essential aspect involves retaining all documentation In the area of market risk, the Bank is working on relating to the different operations in order to be able increasing the sophistication of benchmarks and to clarify the rights and obligations of each party as developing financial scenarios for measuring the needed. For example, in the case of swap operations, impact of market developments on the value and the government uses and keeps the documentation liquidity of the securities in the EFA. This should make standardized by the International Swap Dealers it possible to develop a more integrated approach to Association and closely follows its evolution. managing market risk and to facilitate an evaluation of the net cost of carry of the EFA’S reserves in light of Conclusion the various goals. Efforts to manage risk in the EFA have been aimed at Finally, it is necessary to take account of the interde- limiting credit risk by imposing ceilings to ensure a pendence of these risks, rather than to assume that diversification of risk and containing exposure in they are independent of one another. For example, terms of counterparties. Moreover, by monitoring and high volatility in financial markets affects the liquidity perfecting methods and models for evaluating credit of the negotiated securities as well as the credit risk risk, the Bank expects to be able to fine-tune its tools they present. Furthermore, the liquidity of these secu- for analyzing and modelling the credit risks inherent rities depends on the reliability of the settlement and payments systems, the orderly functioning of which is considered in many countries to be a responsibility of the central bank. Finally, the various legal aspects of the contracts affect the ability to exercise the rights they create and carry with them financial conse- quences for the different contracting parties. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). Bibliography Bank for International Settlements. 1988. International International Monetary Fund. 2000. Sound Practices Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital in the Management of Foreign Exchange Reserves. Standards, Basel Committee on Banking Regula- (March). tions and Supervisory Practices, amended July ———. 2001. Guidelines for Foreign Exchange Reserve 1994 and April 1995. Management. (September). Bensalah, Y. 2000. “Steps in Applying Extreme Value Jensen, P.K. 2001. “Management of the Interest-Rate Theory to Finance: A Review.” Bank of Canada Risk on the Foreign-Exchange Reserve.” Monetary Working Paper No. 2000-20. Review, Danmarks Nationalbank (first quarter). Crouhy, M., D. Galai, and R. Mark. 2001. Risk Manage- Jorion, P. 2001–2002. Financial Risk Manager Handbook ment. New York: McGraw Hill. 2001/2002. New York: Wiley (GARP Risk Manage- De León, J. 2000–2001. “The Bank of Canada’s Man- ment Library). agement of Foreign Currency Reserves.” Bank of Kiff, J., U. Ron, and S. Ebrahim. 2000–2001. “The Fed- Canada Review (Winter): 13–21. eral Government’s Use of Interest Rate Swaps and Finance Canada. 2001. 2000 Annual Report to Parlia- Currency Swaps.” Bank of Canada Review (Winter): ment on the Operations of the Exchange Fund Account 23–34. by the Minister of Finance and Report of the Auditor General to the Minister of Finance on the Examination of the Accounts and Financial Statements of the Exchange Fund Account. Ottawa: Department of Finance. 34 BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 9. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). Appendix Roles and Responsibilities within the EFA Minister of Finance EFA Investment and Financing • Approve policies governing the investment and Management Committee (Bank of Canada financing activities of the EFA. and Department of Finance) • Approve policies for managing market, credit, • Consists of fund managers and representatives of and liquidity risk, as well as operational and the Department of Finance and the Bank of Can- legal risks. ada. • Approve the EFA’S investment rules (current and • Evaluates investment and financing proposals future activities). developed by the fund managers. • Approve risk-management rules: level of toler- • Ensures that investment and financing activities ance to risk and means envisioned to manage follow the rules in place. risk. • Meets on a monthly basis. • Present an annual report to Parliament on the operations of the EFA. Fund Managers (Bank of Canada and Department of Finance) EFA Policy Committee (Bank of Canada • Execute investment and financing operations in and Department of Finance) conformity with the applicable regulations and • Consists of senior representatives from the Bank policies. and the Department of Finance. • Develop tactics for financing and investment • Generally oversee the Account. operations. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS accountability (http://www.cadkas.com). • Provides direction and PDF-Editor to major • Propose new investments and financing policy initiatives. approaches. • Review EFA operations. • Participate in monthly meetings of the EFA • Make recommendations on policy changes. Investment and Financing Management Commit- • Meets semi-annually. tee and attend quarterly meetings of the Risk- Management Committee. Risk-Management Committee (Bank of Risk Managers (Bank of Canada and Canada and Department of Finance) Department of Finance) • Consists of managers from the Department of Finance, the Bank of Canada, and including two • Identify risks. representatives with no connection to the opera- • Develop risk-management rules in collaboration tions of the EFA, one from the Department of with the fund managers. Finance and one from the Bank of Canada. • Analyze and model risks. • Ensures that EFA operations reflect the policies, • Propose measures and management techniques rules, and ceilings with regard to financial and for overall risk inherent in current and future EFA operational risks. activities. • Plays an advisory role for the elaboration of new • Monitor the EFA’S credit, market, and liquidity rules and methods of managing certain risks and risks on a daily basis, and ensure that the fund of appropriate performance measures. managers respect the rules in effect. • Reviews the reports generated by the Risk-Man- • Participate in the monitoring of operational and agement Unit. legal risks in collaboration with representatives • Meets on a quarterly basis. of other departments of the Bank and other branches of the Department of Finance. BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 35 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).
  • 10. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). • Report to the fund managers daily, to the Gov- Operations Managers (Bank of Canada and ernment Debt-Management Committee monthly, Department of Finance) to the Risk-Management Committee quarterly, to • Verify the transactions records before their final senior officials from the Bank of Canada and the approval. Department of Finance semi-annually, and to the Minister of Finance annually. • Confirm transactions with the counterparties. • Approve transactions and enter the relevant information in the systems. • Record the different aspects of the transactions. • Effect the payments provided for and register income. • Generate certain management reports. Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com). 36 BANK OF CANADA REVIEW • WINTER 2001–2002 Changed with the DEMO VERSION of CAD-KAS PDF-Editor (http://www.cadkas.com).