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GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  BRAZIL
  Research and collaboration in the new geography of science

JUNE 2009
JONATHAN ADAMS
CHRISTOPHER KING
THE AUTHORS
Jonathan Adams is Director, Research Evaluation.
He was a founding Director of Evidence Ltd, the UK specialist on research performance analysis and interpretation.

Christopher King is Editor of Science Watch (ScienceWatch.com), a newsletter and web resource tracking trends and performance in basic research.

This report has been published by
           Evidence Ltd         103 Clarendon Road, Leeds LS2 9DF, UK
           T/                   +44 113 384 5680
           F/                   +44 113 384 5874
           E/                   enquiries@evidence.co.uk

Copyright © 2009 Thomson Reuters

ISBN: 1-904431-20-8




.......................................................................................................................
GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
THE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF SCIENCE:
RESEARCH AND COLLABORATION IN BRAZIL : JUNE 2009


INTRODUCTION
                        This report is the first in a new series            The report shows that Brazil’s output has
                        launched by Thomson Reuters to inform              doubled in ten years to 2007, part of a
                        policymakers about the changing dynamics           long-term trend of growth that far exceeds
                        of the global research base.                       established G7 economies. Relative to the
                        In 2006, Evidence, Ltd. published a report         rest of the world, Brazil has exceptional
                        with UK think-tank Demos on the future of          capacity in biology-based disciplines and
                        the UK’s research collaboration with other         research related to natural resources.
                        countries. That report focused on the growth       Brazil’s main international partners are led
                        of the research base in China and the chang-       by G7 economies with very large research
                        ing geography of research from a trans-            bases of their own. It also has excellent
                        Atlantic axis to a wider global network.           and fast growing links with Portugal, and
                        China is a key player in a grouping which          appears to be a key player in an emerging
                        policymakers call the ‘BRIC countries’: Brazil,    regional network. The organizations which
                        Russia, India and China. This report builds        underpin this collaborative web are interna-
                        further on that analysis by examining the          tionally excellent in their own countries.
                        state of play in another member: Brazil.           International collaboration provides access
                        Brazil is an increasingly important and            to new ideas as well as knowledge, and the
                        competitive research economy. Its research         expanding BRIC economies will be a key
                        workforce capacity and R&D investment are          source of this innovation. The compass of
                        expanding rapidly, offering many new pos-          research and innovation is swinging more
                        sibilities in a diversifying research portfolio.   and more strongly to the east and south.
                        It has received much less policy attention         Policymakers in well-established research
                        than China, however, and the research base         economies need to understand what is hap-
                        in Latin America in general is unfamiliar to       pening and be prepared to engage with new
                        many in Europe and Asia.                           research landscapes.




.......................................................................................................................
                                                                                             GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
THE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF SCIENCE:
RESEARCH AND COLLABORATION IN BRAZIL

   Brazil is an exciting and innovative research-based economy, with a much longer history
   of cutting-edge technology than most people outside South America recognize. In the
   future, they remain ignorant at their peril. Brazil’s research economy is expanding rapidly
   and strongly and its knowledge strength has led one well-informed think-tank to name it
   ‘the natural knowledge economy.’


Peaks in the geography of knowledge                       Emerging indicators of research excellence
and innovation                                            Does this investment yield results and change maps
Demos’s detailed and information-rich Brazil reportii     of research strength? It is starting to. Indicators of
draws attention to the 2005 launch of Empresa             innovation can be hard to pin down, but scientific
Brasiliera de Aeronáutica’s Ipanema, the world’s first     publications are one of the most useful places to
commercial aircraft to run solely on biofuels. What       start.iii Thomson Reuters is the world’s leading sup-
is less familiar is the story of Alberto Santos Dumont    plier of information about research publications and
from Minas Gerais who claimed in 1906 to have             their citations. According to ISI Web of KnowledgeSM,
built the world’s first practical airplane following the   Latin America’s share of the world’s scientific papers
Wright Brothers demonstration of the feasibility of       rose from 1.7% in 1990 to 4.8% in 2008. In certain
powered flight.                                            fields critical to technology and innovation, one
                                                          of the most marked changes in this trend is the
Today, Brazil produces more than 40% of the
                                                          inexorable and steep rise of Brazil.
world’s bio-ethanol, a response to the government’s
PróAlcool bio-ethanol policy in 1975. It aims for more
than three-quarters of its cars to run on biofuels,       DATA ON RESEARCH
backed by its programmes for engine development.
                                                          The data described in this report are drawn from
It is a major player in other innovation areas, draw-
                                                          the databases of Thomson Reuters, which regularly
ing on its fantastic natural resources and its rich
                                                          indexes data on articles in about 10,000 journals
agricultural economy.
                                                          published world-wide. Numerous studies have
Annual increases in R&D spend                             confirmed that Thomson Reuters data manage-
Headline numbers give pause for thought. Brazil           ment policy ensures that its databases cover serials
has 190 million people and predicted 4.6% annual          regarded by researchers as the most significant in
GDP growth prior to recent global crises. In 2007, its    their field.
R&D expenditure reached $US13 Billion (adjusted
                                                          The Thomson Reuters data allow us to look both
PPP): almost 1% of GDP. That is behind the USA and
                                                          at Brazil’s internal research economy and at its
western European leaders and an OECD average
                                                          international links. International collaboration is
over 2% but well ahead of anywhere else in Latin
                                                          an important marker of the significance of research
America and many European nations. It is now in
                                                          activity to partners and of those other countries’
a similar relative position to Portugal and not far
                                                          ability to engage with the domestic research base.
behind Spain.
                                                          Indicators of collaboration
Increases in the pool of talent
                                                          Research collaboration is marked by a range of
Brazil has 0.92 researchers for every 1,000 work-
                                                          programs for investment in joint projects, in a multi-
ers. That is low compared to well-established G7
                                                          tude of formal and informal collaborative work, and
economies, typically around 6-8 researchers per
                                                          in the emergence of new ideas fed by intellectual
thousand, but is entirely comparable with other
                                                          development on all sides of these partnerships.
large, growing research bases such as China. Brazil
also produces over 500,000 new graduates and              Lists of joint projects are not, by themselves, a
about 10,000 new PhD researchers each year, a             sufficient marker of the strength of relationships.
similar number to France and South Korea. This is a       Such projects may be substantive and depend on
ten-fold increase in twenty years: Brazil’s research-     real and ongoing activity, but others represent an
skilled workforce is growing.                             intellectual commitment that has yet to produce
                                                          tangible results.
As in China and India, the most striking feature of
the new geography of science is the sheer scale           Money is a potentially strong marker, but the
of investment and mobilization of people behind           absence of funds set up specifically for interna-
innovation that is underway, driven by a high-tech        tional liaison means that many joint projects are
vision of how to succeed in the global economy.           funded at two home locations by national agencies
                                                          and are functionally indistinguishable from other
                                                          national research.


.......................................................................................................................
GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
Publications are a pervasive currency                                   the names and addresses of the authors. Thus,
                                                                                              Joint publications are a sound and valid marker.                        both the country of origin of the authors and the
                                                                                              Publication data are readily available, cover a                         association between co-authoring nations can
                                                                                              wide range of countries, and can be grouped by                          be checked and indexed.
                                                                                              year and subject. Every research paper includes


                                                                                              BRAZIL AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS
                                                                                              In this report we will concentrate on the ten-year                      there will be about 20,000 papers. The rest of the
                                                                                              period from 1998-2007, but we will first put the rise                    world changed in that period as well, but that still
                                                                                              of Brazil in context for a longer period.                               represents a ten-fold increase in papers indexed by
                                                                                                                                                                      the same standard global database.
                                                                                              Ten-fold growth in papers
                                                                                              The sheer publication volume change of Brazil                           We can look at this another way, because the world
                                                                                              is phenomenal. In 1981 there were about 2,000                           literature is growing, We can index each country’s
                                                                                              papers with an author address for Brazil. In 2008                       share, by setting the volume of publication output
                                                                                                                                                                      on Web of Science® for each of a set of nations at
FIGURE 1                                                                                                                                                              a standard ‘100’ in 1981, and then work forwards.
Brazil has increased its research output from about 8,000 to over 17,500                                                                                              Comparing Brazil to such well-established
papers in ten years                                                                                                                                                   research nations as Japan, the UK, Germany and
                                                                                                                                                                      the USA we see how dramatically it has grown over
                                                                 20000
                                                                                                                                                                      more than 20 years and also how it leads the pack
                                                                                                                                                                      of ‘Latin Tigers’.
                                                                                                                                                                      Latin American partners also growing
                                                                                                                                                                      The graph shows the impressive growth of Mexico
                       Annual publications in Web of Science




                                                                                                                                                                      and Argentina. With Brazil, these changes point
                                                                  15000
                                                                                                                                                                      towards a new axis of innovation for the 21st
                                                                                                                                                                      century. The UK and Germany have essentially held
                                                                                                                                                                      their share of world outputs, while the USA has
                                                                                                                                                                      actually grown at a slower pace than the rest of the
                                                                                                                                                                      world (a world total benchmark is included above
                                                                  10000
                                                                                                                                                                      for reference). Japan, having been the growth focus
                                                                                                                                                                      of the 1980s, has recently begun to slip back.
                                                                                                                                                                      Where is Brazil focused?
                                                                                                                                                                      Brazil’s research base is growing. But where does
                                                                  5000
                                                                                                                                                                      its focus lie and how does this map to the rest
                                                                             1998    1999   2000          2001   2002    2003     2004   2005      2006     2007      of the world? This is an important question for
                                                                                                                                                                      observers, because we need to know where we can
                                                                                                                                                                      best engage with this vibrant research base — and
                                                                                                                                                                      no two growing economies are alike. If we look
FIGURE 2                                                                                                                                                              at China then we see an initial powering up of
Brazil’s share of world output is growing increasingly rapidly                                                                                                        traditional core sciences and a recent shift towards
                                                                                                                                                                      life sciences and health. If we look at Ireland — the
                                                               1200
                                                                                                                                                                      Celtic tiger — then the focus is on a strong clini-
                                                                                                                                                                      cal base, biotechnology, and nanoscience. Each
                                                                                                                                                                      country is different.
                                                               1000
Volume of publications compared to 1981=100




                                                                                                                                                                      We looked at Brazil from two different levels of
                                                                                                                                                                      focus: first, a broad overview across the twenty-two
                                                               800                                                                                        BRAZIL      major areas in Thomson Reuters Essential Science
                                                                                                                                                          MEXICO
                                                                                                                                                                      Indicators®; then, a more detailed exploration of
                                                                                                                                                          ARGENTINA
                                                                                                                                                                      the 250 specific Web of Science® fields.
                                                               600                                                                                        JAPAN

                                                                                                                                                          WORLD       Fields are scaled by journal groupings rather than
                                                                                                                                                          GERMANY
                                                                                                                                                                      by any measure equating to research
                                                                                                                                                          UK
                                                               400
                                                                                                                                                                      activity so Clinical Medicine (14,408 Brazil
                                                                                                                                                          USA
                                                                                                                                                                      addressed papers in 2003-2007) and other core sci-
                                                                                                                                                                      ences feature high on any list ranked by sheer scale.
                                                               200




                                                                 0
                                                                      1981          1986           1991           1996          2001        2006




.......................................................................................................................
                                                                                             GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
Physics (10,121 papers), Biology (10,006 papers for           during 2003-2007. How did that share pan out
organismal biology and 5,240 in molecular biology)            across different subject areas?
and Chemistry (9,635) all stand out.
                                                              Brazil’s publications are analyzed here by Essential
Brazil produces 1.83% of world papers                         Science Indicators categories for two successive
But what if we scale against the balance in the rest          five-year periods. The top ten categories ranked by
of the world? With around 85,000 papers over five              Brazil’s share of world publications in 2003-2007
years, Brazil had about 1.83% of the world’s papers           are shown.
published in journals indexed by Thomson Reuters

TABLE 1
Share of world publications
                                             1998-2002                   2008-2007                     Rank
                                      Count       Share(%)            Count      Share(%)      Share      Growth
 Plant & Animal Science                5,857           2.62          10,006          3.91         1           1
 Agricultural Sciences                 2,155           3.07           3,308          3.72        2            9
 Microbiology                          1,438           2.2            2,192          2.86        3            8
 Environment/Ecology                   1,353           1.47           3,209          2.63        4            2
 Pharmacology & Toxicology             1,156           1.65           2,152          2.55        5            3
 Neuroscience & Behavior               2,106           1.68           3,394            2.4       6            6
 Physics                              8.645            2.28           10,121         2.28        7            22
 Immunology                             725            1.28           1,225            2.11      8            5
 Space Science                         1,000           1.95           1,208          2.08        9            20
 Biology & Biochemistry                3,189           1.29           5,240          1.97        10           7


Brazil clearly has very real strength in life sciences,       Important areas crossing into bio-medicine are also
particularly related to natural resources. It really is       strongly represented.
the ‘natural knowledge’ economy. Both organismal
                                                              Now, we can dig a little deeper and find out which
biology and environment/ecology are ranked high on
                                                              more specific fields within these broad areas stand
share relative to the global research base as a whole
                                                              out as key parts of Brazil’s research capacity.
and high on growth between successive periods.


TABLE 2
Brazil’s share of world output in ten fields in Web of Science
                                      Share                                    Volume
 Field                                (% of world)                             (papers 2003-07)
 Tropical Medicine                    18.40                                    1,433
 Parasitology                         12.34                                    1,635
 Multidisciplinary Agriculture        8.61                                     1,627
 Oral Surgery & Medicine              8.19                                     2,203
 Entomology                           7.06                                     1,629
 Dairy & Animal Sciences              6.49                                     1,617
 Biology                              6.43                                     1,999
 Soil Sciences                        5.84                                     947
 Veterinary Sciences                  5.79                                     3,421
 Zoology                              5.57                                     2,264




.......................................................................................................................
GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
Brazil is, not surprisingly perhaps, a key player glob-    As our broader view indicated, Brazil is also strong
                        ally in two areas of critical importance to the health     in areas related to animal and plant biology,
                        of its population: tropical medicine and parasitol-        agriculture and veterinary science. Its greater than
                        ogy. It authors or co-authors a very high percentage       5% share of world publications has underpinned key
                        - in both cases more than one paper in ten - of the        economic sectors but also gives it the knowledge
                        world’s scientific publications in these areas.             base to develop its ‘natural knowledge’.



                        BRAZIL COLLABORATION – SPECIFIC PARTNERS
                        Key partner countries                                      co-author about 3% of Brazil’s output. The UK and
                        Brazil’s top ten research partners appear to have          Germany have both increased their collaboration,
                        changed little over the last decade but this impres-       with the UK overtaking France to move into second
                        sion is superficial. The USA remains by far the larg-       place. It is no surprise to find that many of Brazil’s
                        est partner; this is unsurprising, given its capacity      papers linked to one EU nation are also co-authored
                        to collaborate with an important regional neighbor.        with others, a consequence of the EU’s collaborative
                        But Brazil also has strong links with three lead-          policy drive for research cohesion.
                        ing European research economies, each of which


                        TABLE 3
                        Brazil’s leading international research partners in the last decade
                                                                                                                Share (%) of
                                              Papers collaborative with Brazil                                  Brazil Total
                                      1998-2002                                 2003-2007
                         USA                8,754                13,349            USA                               11.1
                         France             2,773                4,162             UK                                3.5
                         UK                 2,628                4,131             France                            3.4
                         Germany            2,249                3,727             Germany                           3.1
                         Italy              1,403                2,358             Italy                             2.0
                         Canada             1,294                2,382             Canada                            2.0
                         Spain              1,245                2,313             Spain                             1.9
                         Argentina          1,176                2,092             Argentina                         1.7
                         Russia             790                  1,381             Portugal                          1.1
                         Japan              779                  1,226             Netherlands                       1.0
                         Netherlands        636                  1,165             Japan                             1.0
                         Portugal           634                  953               Russia                            0.8
                         Mexico             494                  913               Mexico                            0.8
                         Chile              457                  795               Chile                             0.7




.......................................................................................................................
                                                                                             GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
There is change among the diversity of other nations      Limits to growth?
with links to the Brazilian research base. Russia         It will also be of policy interest to track the possible
drops out of the top ten but remains an important         competition between BRIC nations for research
partner. The Netherlands moves up. But one of the         partnerships. Rarely discussed, this may be a
biggest movers is Portugal which has more than            constraint to growth. The most attractive partner
doubled its collaboration between the early and late      organizations can only support so many links, and
five-year periods: a clear signal of the benefits of a      existing partnerships may exclude the possibility of
shared language and cultural heritage                     taking up new opportunities.
Regional partners                                         Collaboration across continents is expensive, in time
Regionally, Argentina, Mexico and Chile are favored       as well as material resources. That cost is only worth
partners. They show very high rates of growth in          paying if the benefits are significant. In research that
collaboration, well ahead of Europe and the USA           means partnering with high quality organizations
but not higher than Canada which collaborates with        and leading research groups.
a surprisingly high 2% of Brazil’s papers. Perhaps
                                                          Key organizations
these are all signs of an emerging American
                                                          Who partners with Brazil? We looked at the ten
research network that extends well beyond the
                                                          years from 1998-2007 and counted the number of
region’s biggest player but may make the region
                                                          Brazilian authored papers with a co-author address
a far more dynamic and stimulating target as a
                                                          for an identifiable organization elsewhere around
research partner for the rest of the world.
                                                          the world. Those at the top of the list, the most
Links among the BRIC countries                            frequent co-authoring institutions with Brazilian
What is noteworthy, given preoccupations about            universities and institutes, include names familiar
Asian tiger economies is the absence from the             throughout the research world.
leader’s table of China, India, and other nations.
China and India are, in fact, not far outside the list
and slightly behind Chile. It will be interesting to
see whether a more significant BRIC partnership
develops or whether these three rely primarily on
the ‘older’ geography as they grow.


TABLE 4
International organizations collaborating frequently with Brazil
 Organization                           Country                              Number of co-authored papers
 Univ Texas                             USA                                  1,021
 Harvard Univ                           USA                                  813
 Univ Paris 06                          France                               792
 Centre National de la Recherche        France                               756
 Scientifique
 McGill Univ                            Canada                               559
 Imperial Coll London                   UK                                   482
 Istituto Nazionale di Fisica           Italy                                472
 Nucleare
 Univ Oxford                            UK                                   442
 Univ Toronto                           Canada                               424
 Lund Univ                              Sweden                               423


The list in this Table is not a complete reflection of     institutions which would, in their own countries, be
the top ten organizations: that would include some        regarded as key players contributing to international
more universities from the USA. It has been selec-        research excellence. This is a strong signal of the
tively edited to give a more diverse flavor to the rich-   perceived rewards of working with Brazil.
ness of Brazil’s links. The spread we report includes




.......................................................................................................................
GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION:
                        A SOURCE OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE
                        Growth through collaboration, not competition             Its culture will be different, however, so a key task
                        Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that there    for research base managers in the North will be to
                        is a growing interest in the quantity and quality of      ensure they have the mechanisms in place for their
                        research links with Brazil. Some view the rise of         researchers to take advantage of opportunities to
                        the BRIC nations as a threat, worrying that it will       collaborate when they arise. They will learn from
                        damage high-technology sectors in the USA and EU.         Brazil’s ‘why’ and ‘how’ as well as ‘what’ is done.
                        But most policymakers recognize that science is not
                                                                                  Policymakers also recognize that collaboration is the
                        a zero-sum game: more in Asia and South America
                                                                                  best way of accessing the knowledge development
                        doesn’t necessarily mean less in the old geography.
                                                                                  and innovation that comes out of research invest-
                        Alongside new sources of competition, the rise of
                                                                                  ments made by other nations. It is part of knowledge
                        Brazil, China and, in the near future, India creates
                                                                                  networking. It is also a source of real gain, because
                        new opportunities for collaboration.
                                                                                  joint projects benefit from joint intellectual invest-
                        The cost of not making a commitment to partner-           ment and rich synergies. Collaborative research
                        ship with Brazil will be significant in terms of both      produces more highly cited publications.iv
                        intellectual and economic development. Europe has
                                                                                  Despite the signs of increased collaboration, there
                        benefited financially from trading goods in the past.
                                                                                  is no room for complacency. Given the ambition
                        The new ‘must have’ is knowledge, and Europe and
                                                                                  and investment that Brazil, China, India, and other
                        the USA must be fully involved in its future trade, or
                                                                                  emerging players are pouring into science and
                        become marginalized intellectually.
                                                                                  innovation, collaboration should become a higher
                        Gain through attitudes as well as knowledge               strategic priority for well-established research
                        Brazil’s profile, its sheer size, its improving            economies. Over time, the depth and quality of
                        excellence, and its interface with the rest of the        networks in South America and Asia are likely to
                        international research base make it an essential          become more crucial to sustaining global long-term
                        partner in any future international research portfolio.   scientific and economic success.




.......................................................................................................................
                                                                                             GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
ENDNOTES AND REFERENCES
i
    Adams, Jonathan and Wilsdon, James (2006). The new geography of science: UK research
    and international collaboration. Evidence/DEMOS. ISBN 1 904431 07 0.
ii
     Bound, Kirsten (2008). Brazil: the natural knowledge economy, pp 1-164. Demos.
     London UK. ISBN 978-1-90669-300-8 www.demos.co.uk
iii
      Glanzel, W, Leta, J and Thijs, B (2006). Science in Brazil part 1: a macro-level comparative study.
      Scientometrics 67, no 1, 67-86. Leta, J, Glanzel, W, and Thijs, B (2006), Science in Brazil part 2:
      sectoral and institutional research profiles. Scientometrics 67, no1, 87-105.
iv
      Roberts, Sir Gareth (2006). International partnerships of research excellence. The report, for the UK’s
      Chief Scientific Adviser, explores collaboration between the UK and its major international partners:
      USA and Germany. It draws attention to the exceptional quality of research that involves international
      partnerships, providing gains to both parties. It also notes that there are relatively few sources of
      support dedicated to fostering international links, which is a barrier to further expansion at a time when
      such partnerships provide the scale to tackle major research challenges.
      It is available at http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/po/news/2005-06/may/4.shtml




.......................................................................................................................
GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
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Global Research Report Brazil Jun09 1

  • 1. GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT BRAZIL Research and collaboration in the new geography of science JUNE 2009 JONATHAN ADAMS CHRISTOPHER KING
  • 2. THE AUTHORS Jonathan Adams is Director, Research Evaluation. He was a founding Director of Evidence Ltd, the UK specialist on research performance analysis and interpretation. Christopher King is Editor of Science Watch (ScienceWatch.com), a newsletter and web resource tracking trends and performance in basic research. This report has been published by Evidence Ltd 103 Clarendon Road, Leeds LS2 9DF, UK T/ +44 113 384 5680 F/ +44 113 384 5874 E/ enquiries@evidence.co.uk Copyright © 2009 Thomson Reuters ISBN: 1-904431-20-8 ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 3. THE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF SCIENCE: RESEARCH AND COLLABORATION IN BRAZIL : JUNE 2009 INTRODUCTION This report is the first in a new series The report shows that Brazil’s output has launched by Thomson Reuters to inform doubled in ten years to 2007, part of a policymakers about the changing dynamics long-term trend of growth that far exceeds of the global research base. established G7 economies. Relative to the In 2006, Evidence, Ltd. published a report rest of the world, Brazil has exceptional with UK think-tank Demos on the future of capacity in biology-based disciplines and the UK’s research collaboration with other research related to natural resources. countries. That report focused on the growth Brazil’s main international partners are led of the research base in China and the chang- by G7 economies with very large research ing geography of research from a trans- bases of their own. It also has excellent Atlantic axis to a wider global network. and fast growing links with Portugal, and China is a key player in a grouping which appears to be a key player in an emerging policymakers call the ‘BRIC countries’: Brazil, regional network. The organizations which Russia, India and China. This report builds underpin this collaborative web are interna- further on that analysis by examining the tionally excellent in their own countries. state of play in another member: Brazil. International collaboration provides access Brazil is an increasingly important and to new ideas as well as knowledge, and the competitive research economy. Its research expanding BRIC economies will be a key workforce capacity and R&D investment are source of this innovation. The compass of expanding rapidly, offering many new pos- research and innovation is swinging more sibilities in a diversifying research portfolio. and more strongly to the east and south. It has received much less policy attention Policymakers in well-established research than China, however, and the research base economies need to understand what is hap- in Latin America in general is unfamiliar to pening and be prepared to engage with new many in Europe and Asia. research landscapes. ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 4. THE NEW GEOGRAPHY OF SCIENCE: RESEARCH AND COLLABORATION IN BRAZIL Brazil is an exciting and innovative research-based economy, with a much longer history of cutting-edge technology than most people outside South America recognize. In the future, they remain ignorant at their peril. Brazil’s research economy is expanding rapidly and strongly and its knowledge strength has led one well-informed think-tank to name it ‘the natural knowledge economy.’ Peaks in the geography of knowledge Emerging indicators of research excellence and innovation Does this investment yield results and change maps Demos’s detailed and information-rich Brazil reportii of research strength? It is starting to. Indicators of draws attention to the 2005 launch of Empresa innovation can be hard to pin down, but scientific Brasiliera de Aeronáutica’s Ipanema, the world’s first publications are one of the most useful places to commercial aircraft to run solely on biofuels. What start.iii Thomson Reuters is the world’s leading sup- is less familiar is the story of Alberto Santos Dumont plier of information about research publications and from Minas Gerais who claimed in 1906 to have their citations. According to ISI Web of KnowledgeSM, built the world’s first practical airplane following the Latin America’s share of the world’s scientific papers Wright Brothers demonstration of the feasibility of rose from 1.7% in 1990 to 4.8% in 2008. In certain powered flight. fields critical to technology and innovation, one of the most marked changes in this trend is the Today, Brazil produces more than 40% of the inexorable and steep rise of Brazil. world’s bio-ethanol, a response to the government’s PróAlcool bio-ethanol policy in 1975. It aims for more than three-quarters of its cars to run on biofuels, DATA ON RESEARCH backed by its programmes for engine development. The data described in this report are drawn from It is a major player in other innovation areas, draw- the databases of Thomson Reuters, which regularly ing on its fantastic natural resources and its rich indexes data on articles in about 10,000 journals agricultural economy. published world-wide. Numerous studies have Annual increases in R&D spend confirmed that Thomson Reuters data manage- Headline numbers give pause for thought. Brazil ment policy ensures that its databases cover serials has 190 million people and predicted 4.6% annual regarded by researchers as the most significant in GDP growth prior to recent global crises. In 2007, its their field. R&D expenditure reached $US13 Billion (adjusted The Thomson Reuters data allow us to look both PPP): almost 1% of GDP. That is behind the USA and at Brazil’s internal research economy and at its western European leaders and an OECD average international links. International collaboration is over 2% but well ahead of anywhere else in Latin an important marker of the significance of research America and many European nations. It is now in activity to partners and of those other countries’ a similar relative position to Portugal and not far ability to engage with the domestic research base. behind Spain. Indicators of collaboration Increases in the pool of talent Research collaboration is marked by a range of Brazil has 0.92 researchers for every 1,000 work- programs for investment in joint projects, in a multi- ers. That is low compared to well-established G7 tude of formal and informal collaborative work, and economies, typically around 6-8 researchers per in the emergence of new ideas fed by intellectual thousand, but is entirely comparable with other development on all sides of these partnerships. large, growing research bases such as China. Brazil also produces over 500,000 new graduates and Lists of joint projects are not, by themselves, a about 10,000 new PhD researchers each year, a sufficient marker of the strength of relationships. similar number to France and South Korea. This is a Such projects may be substantive and depend on ten-fold increase in twenty years: Brazil’s research- real and ongoing activity, but others represent an skilled workforce is growing. intellectual commitment that has yet to produce tangible results. As in China and India, the most striking feature of the new geography of science is the sheer scale Money is a potentially strong marker, but the of investment and mobilization of people behind absence of funds set up specifically for interna- innovation that is underway, driven by a high-tech tional liaison means that many joint projects are vision of how to succeed in the global economy. funded at two home locations by national agencies and are functionally indistinguishable from other national research. ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 5. Publications are a pervasive currency the names and addresses of the authors. Thus, Joint publications are a sound and valid marker. both the country of origin of the authors and the Publication data are readily available, cover a association between co-authoring nations can wide range of countries, and can be grouped by be checked and indexed. year and subject. Every research paper includes BRAZIL AND RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS In this report we will concentrate on the ten-year there will be about 20,000 papers. The rest of the period from 1998-2007, but we will first put the rise world changed in that period as well, but that still of Brazil in context for a longer period. represents a ten-fold increase in papers indexed by the same standard global database. Ten-fold growth in papers The sheer publication volume change of Brazil We can look at this another way, because the world is phenomenal. In 1981 there were about 2,000 literature is growing, We can index each country’s papers with an author address for Brazil. In 2008 share, by setting the volume of publication output on Web of Science® for each of a set of nations at FIGURE 1 a standard ‘100’ in 1981, and then work forwards. Brazil has increased its research output from about 8,000 to over 17,500 Comparing Brazil to such well-established papers in ten years research nations as Japan, the UK, Germany and the USA we see how dramatically it has grown over 20000 more than 20 years and also how it leads the pack of ‘Latin Tigers’. Latin American partners also growing The graph shows the impressive growth of Mexico Annual publications in Web of Science and Argentina. With Brazil, these changes point 15000 towards a new axis of innovation for the 21st century. The UK and Germany have essentially held their share of world outputs, while the USA has actually grown at a slower pace than the rest of the world (a world total benchmark is included above 10000 for reference). Japan, having been the growth focus of the 1980s, has recently begun to slip back. Where is Brazil focused? Brazil’s research base is growing. But where does 5000 its focus lie and how does this map to the rest 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 of the world? This is an important question for observers, because we need to know where we can best engage with this vibrant research base — and no two growing economies are alike. If we look FIGURE 2 at China then we see an initial powering up of Brazil’s share of world output is growing increasingly rapidly traditional core sciences and a recent shift towards life sciences and health. If we look at Ireland — the 1200 Celtic tiger — then the focus is on a strong clini- cal base, biotechnology, and nanoscience. Each country is different. 1000 Volume of publications compared to 1981=100 We looked at Brazil from two different levels of focus: first, a broad overview across the twenty-two 800 BRAZIL major areas in Thomson Reuters Essential Science MEXICO Indicators®; then, a more detailed exploration of ARGENTINA the 250 specific Web of Science® fields. 600 JAPAN WORLD Fields are scaled by journal groupings rather than GERMANY by any measure equating to research UK 400 activity so Clinical Medicine (14,408 Brazil USA addressed papers in 2003-2007) and other core sci- ences feature high on any list ranked by sheer scale. 200 0 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 6. Physics (10,121 papers), Biology (10,006 papers for during 2003-2007. How did that share pan out organismal biology and 5,240 in molecular biology) across different subject areas? and Chemistry (9,635) all stand out. Brazil’s publications are analyzed here by Essential Brazil produces 1.83% of world papers Science Indicators categories for two successive But what if we scale against the balance in the rest five-year periods. The top ten categories ranked by of the world? With around 85,000 papers over five Brazil’s share of world publications in 2003-2007 years, Brazil had about 1.83% of the world’s papers are shown. published in journals indexed by Thomson Reuters TABLE 1 Share of world publications 1998-2002 2008-2007 Rank Count Share(%) Count Share(%) Share Growth Plant & Animal Science 5,857 2.62 10,006 3.91 1 1 Agricultural Sciences 2,155 3.07 3,308 3.72 2 9 Microbiology 1,438 2.2 2,192 2.86 3 8 Environment/Ecology 1,353 1.47 3,209 2.63 4 2 Pharmacology & Toxicology 1,156 1.65 2,152 2.55 5 3 Neuroscience & Behavior 2,106 1.68 3,394 2.4 6 6 Physics 8.645 2.28 10,121 2.28 7 22 Immunology 725 1.28 1,225 2.11 8 5 Space Science 1,000 1.95 1,208 2.08 9 20 Biology & Biochemistry 3,189 1.29 5,240 1.97 10 7 Brazil clearly has very real strength in life sciences, Important areas crossing into bio-medicine are also particularly related to natural resources. It really is strongly represented. the ‘natural knowledge’ economy. Both organismal Now, we can dig a little deeper and find out which biology and environment/ecology are ranked high on more specific fields within these broad areas stand share relative to the global research base as a whole out as key parts of Brazil’s research capacity. and high on growth between successive periods. TABLE 2 Brazil’s share of world output in ten fields in Web of Science Share Volume Field (% of world) (papers 2003-07) Tropical Medicine 18.40 1,433 Parasitology 12.34 1,635 Multidisciplinary Agriculture 8.61 1,627 Oral Surgery & Medicine 8.19 2,203 Entomology 7.06 1,629 Dairy & Animal Sciences 6.49 1,617 Biology 6.43 1,999 Soil Sciences 5.84 947 Veterinary Sciences 5.79 3,421 Zoology 5.57 2,264 ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 7. Brazil is, not surprisingly perhaps, a key player glob- As our broader view indicated, Brazil is also strong ally in two areas of critical importance to the health in areas related to animal and plant biology, of its population: tropical medicine and parasitol- agriculture and veterinary science. Its greater than ogy. It authors or co-authors a very high percentage 5% share of world publications has underpinned key - in both cases more than one paper in ten - of the economic sectors but also gives it the knowledge world’s scientific publications in these areas. base to develop its ‘natural knowledge’. BRAZIL COLLABORATION – SPECIFIC PARTNERS Key partner countries co-author about 3% of Brazil’s output. The UK and Brazil’s top ten research partners appear to have Germany have both increased their collaboration, changed little over the last decade but this impres- with the UK overtaking France to move into second sion is superficial. The USA remains by far the larg- place. It is no surprise to find that many of Brazil’s est partner; this is unsurprising, given its capacity papers linked to one EU nation are also co-authored to collaborate with an important regional neighbor. with others, a consequence of the EU’s collaborative But Brazil also has strong links with three lead- policy drive for research cohesion. ing European research economies, each of which TABLE 3 Brazil’s leading international research partners in the last decade Share (%) of Papers collaborative with Brazil Brazil Total 1998-2002 2003-2007 USA 8,754 13,349 USA 11.1 France 2,773 4,162 UK 3.5 UK 2,628 4,131 France 3.4 Germany 2,249 3,727 Germany 3.1 Italy 1,403 2,358 Italy 2.0 Canada 1,294 2,382 Canada 2.0 Spain 1,245 2,313 Spain 1.9 Argentina 1,176 2,092 Argentina 1.7 Russia 790 1,381 Portugal 1.1 Japan 779 1,226 Netherlands 1.0 Netherlands 636 1,165 Japan 1.0 Portugal 634 953 Russia 0.8 Mexico 494 913 Mexico 0.8 Chile 457 795 Chile 0.7 ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 8. There is change among the diversity of other nations Limits to growth? with links to the Brazilian research base. Russia It will also be of policy interest to track the possible drops out of the top ten but remains an important competition between BRIC nations for research partner. The Netherlands moves up. But one of the partnerships. Rarely discussed, this may be a biggest movers is Portugal which has more than constraint to growth. The most attractive partner doubled its collaboration between the early and late organizations can only support so many links, and five-year periods: a clear signal of the benefits of a existing partnerships may exclude the possibility of shared language and cultural heritage taking up new opportunities. Regional partners Collaboration across continents is expensive, in time Regionally, Argentina, Mexico and Chile are favored as well as material resources. That cost is only worth partners. They show very high rates of growth in paying if the benefits are significant. In research that collaboration, well ahead of Europe and the USA means partnering with high quality organizations but not higher than Canada which collaborates with and leading research groups. a surprisingly high 2% of Brazil’s papers. Perhaps Key organizations these are all signs of an emerging American Who partners with Brazil? We looked at the ten research network that extends well beyond the years from 1998-2007 and counted the number of region’s biggest player but may make the region Brazilian authored papers with a co-author address a far more dynamic and stimulating target as a for an identifiable organization elsewhere around research partner for the rest of the world. the world. Those at the top of the list, the most Links among the BRIC countries frequent co-authoring institutions with Brazilian What is noteworthy, given preoccupations about universities and institutes, include names familiar Asian tiger economies is the absence from the throughout the research world. leader’s table of China, India, and other nations. China and India are, in fact, not far outside the list and slightly behind Chile. It will be interesting to see whether a more significant BRIC partnership develops or whether these three rely primarily on the ‘older’ geography as they grow. TABLE 4 International organizations collaborating frequently with Brazil Organization Country Number of co-authored papers Univ Texas USA 1,021 Harvard Univ USA 813 Univ Paris 06 France 792 Centre National de la Recherche France 756 Scientifique McGill Univ Canada 559 Imperial Coll London UK 482 Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Italy 472 Nucleare Univ Oxford UK 442 Univ Toronto Canada 424 Lund Univ Sweden 423 The list in this Table is not a complete reflection of institutions which would, in their own countries, be the top ten organizations: that would include some regarded as key players contributing to international more universities from the USA. It has been selec- research excellence. This is a strong signal of the tively edited to give a more diverse flavor to the rich- perceived rewards of working with Brazil. ness of Brazil’s links. The spread we report includes ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 9. INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION: A SOURCE OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE Growth through collaboration, not competition Its culture will be different, however, so a key task Against this backdrop, it is not surprising that there for research base managers in the North will be to is a growing interest in the quantity and quality of ensure they have the mechanisms in place for their research links with Brazil. Some view the rise of researchers to take advantage of opportunities to the BRIC nations as a threat, worrying that it will collaborate when they arise. They will learn from damage high-technology sectors in the USA and EU. Brazil’s ‘why’ and ‘how’ as well as ‘what’ is done. But most policymakers recognize that science is not Policymakers also recognize that collaboration is the a zero-sum game: more in Asia and South America best way of accessing the knowledge development doesn’t necessarily mean less in the old geography. and innovation that comes out of research invest- Alongside new sources of competition, the rise of ments made by other nations. It is part of knowledge Brazil, China and, in the near future, India creates networking. It is also a source of real gain, because new opportunities for collaboration. joint projects benefit from joint intellectual invest- The cost of not making a commitment to partner- ment and rich synergies. Collaborative research ship with Brazil will be significant in terms of both produces more highly cited publications.iv intellectual and economic development. Europe has Despite the signs of increased collaboration, there benefited financially from trading goods in the past. is no room for complacency. Given the ambition The new ‘must have’ is knowledge, and Europe and and investment that Brazil, China, India, and other the USA must be fully involved in its future trade, or emerging players are pouring into science and become marginalized intellectually. innovation, collaboration should become a higher Gain through attitudes as well as knowledge strategic priority for well-established research Brazil’s profile, its sheer size, its improving economies. Over time, the depth and quality of excellence, and its interface with the rest of the networks in South America and Asia are likely to international research base make it an essential become more crucial to sustaining global long-term partner in any future international research portfolio. scientific and economic success. ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 10. ENDNOTES AND REFERENCES i Adams, Jonathan and Wilsdon, James (2006). The new geography of science: UK research and international collaboration. Evidence/DEMOS. ISBN 1 904431 07 0. ii Bound, Kirsten (2008). Brazil: the natural knowledge economy, pp 1-164. Demos. London UK. ISBN 978-1-90669-300-8 www.demos.co.uk iii Glanzel, W, Leta, J and Thijs, B (2006). Science in Brazil part 1: a macro-level comparative study. Scientometrics 67, no 1, 67-86. Leta, J, Glanzel, W, and Thijs, B (2006), Science in Brazil part 2: sectoral and institutional research profiles. Scientometrics 67, no1, 87-105. iv Roberts, Sir Gareth (2006). International partnerships of research excellence. The report, for the UK’s Chief Scientific Adviser, explores collaboration between the UK and its major international partners: USA and Germany. It draws attention to the exceptional quality of research that involves international partnerships, providing gains to both parties. It also notes that there are relatively few sources of support dedicated to fostering international links, which is a barrier to further expansion at a time when such partnerships provide the scale to tackle major research challenges. It is available at http://www.admin.ox.ac.uk/po/news/2005-06/may/4.shtml ....................................................................................................................... GLOBAL RESEARCH REPORT
  • 11.
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