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Broadband and Mobile Device
Landscape in Africa

David H. Page
Naman Gupta
Broadband and Device Landscape: Africa
• Executive Summary
• Landscape
• Key Growth Markets: Nigeria, Ghana, South Africa
• Highest Value Opportunity: Nigeria
• Appendix

2
Executive Summary
• Nigeria, Ghana and South Africa are areas of
immediate growth for mobile broadband
• Government support of mobile broadband will
ensure ubiquity and 4G/LTE infrastructure
• Smart phone adoption by Africans is large and
growing
• Entertainment from US is desired
• Now is the time to build infrastructure

3
Landscape: Africa Exploding Growth

Africa currently ranks 3rd in continents with 781 million in
mobile subscriptions 1
Mobile broadband growth CAGR (2010 – 2013) - 82% 6,7
4
Africa Telecom Landscape: Major Players
•

Vodafone
Group

•

Bharti Airtel

•

MTN

•

Globacom

•

Orange

•

Etisalat

•

Sudatel

•

Millicom

5
Africa: Key Growth Markets
NIGERIA
4G status
Number of Telecom Operators
Mobile Connections
Growth Rate for Mobile
Connections
Smart phone as percentage of
total mobile connections
Mobile Penetration
Internet Penetration Rate
Broadband penetration Rate
3G as at Dec 2011
Internet Users
Can Video Streaming be well
viewed on 3G ?

GHANA

SOUTH AFRICA

4G WiMAX Mobitel Nigeria; 4G LTE
Swift;Glo

4G LTE Alcatel-Lucent and Surfline in Q1
2014

4G LTE Vodacom and 4G LTE MTN
in Johannesburg, Cape Town; 8ta
LTE trials

8+
125 Miliion Subscribers

6+
25 Million Subscribers

5+
67.9 Million

18.70%

20.73%

13.60%

8.00%
69.01%
28.40%

84%
14.10%

25%+
123%
17.40%

5.00%
48.3 Million

2%
3.5Million

22%
8.5Million

Yes depending on Service Provider

Yes

Yes
Mobile video traffic will grow 16fold from 2012 to 2017, a
compound annual growth rate of
73%;Video will be 73% of South
Africa's mobile data traffic in 2017

Video data landscape

Entertainment which includes video,audio
and gaming constitutes about 46% of
online activity

New revenue stream for
Telecos

Mobile money and banking,Content Audio
and video streaming,ecommerce,mobile
advertising,e government initiative

6

N/A
Mobile money and banking,Content
Audio and video
streaming,ecommerce,mobile
advertising,mobile health

Mobile money and
banking,Content Audio and video
streaming,mobile advertising
Focus Now: Nigeria
•Total number of mobile
subscription in Nigeria is around
120 million active Mobile
subscriptions 1
•Added 4 million net mobile
additions in Q2 2013 only 1
•Mobile broadband outpacing
regular broadband adoption
•Has potential to become the
biggest smartphone market on the
continent 3

Largest African country by population - 177 million
Ethiopia is the 2nd largest – only 86.5 million by comparison
7
Nigeria: The Telco Landscape

• 50MM Active Internet Subscriptions 4

• Teledensity between 80-85% 4

8
Nigeria: The Telco Landscape

• Telecom is 8.53% of 2013 GDP 4;
CAGR of 22% since 2001

• Plans to increase cable capacity by ~1000%
by 2014 5

9
Nigeria: 1-3 years of growth
On-going measures that will drastically
accelerate mobile broadband growth:

Current Numbers:
•Internet penetration ~ 33% 4
•Broadband penetration ~ 6%

4

•Billions of US$ in investments per year, tens of
thousands of new base stations to be built

•3G coverage ~ 35% 4

•Major network infrastructure outsourcing deals

•Smart phone adoption ~ 25% 2

•Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) among smaller
operators

Current State:

•Several LTE networks preparing to launch (current
operation of high speed 3.5G and 3.75G networks)

•Delays in allocating bandwidth
•Lack of built LTE infrastructure
•High cost of smartphones
•Most phones still running Symbian
and S40

•Regulator cracks down on poor quality of service
•New price caps and lower interconnection rates
•Number portability finally introduced
•Extensive government support & planning for
infrastructure development and mobile adoption
•30 million smartphones were expected to be sold
in the country between now and 2015 3

10
Appendix A – Mobile web page views

http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats/b

11
Appendix B – Active mobile broadband subscriptions

http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats/b

12
Appendix C – Major African telecom operators

13
Sources
1.

http://www.vanguardngr.com/2013/09/nigeria-other-african-countries-record-781m-mobile-subscription-inq2/#sthash.A1TnsD6j.dpuf

2.

http://www.technologybanker.com/mobile/mobile-internet-penetration-in-nigeria-stands-at28percent#.UlskwmRgYn0

3.

http://www.punchng.com/business/technology/25-of-nigerian-mobile-subscribers-use-smartphones-tns/

4.

http://www.ncc.gov.ng/

5.

http://www.slideshare.net/eddodds/fmct-the-nigerian-national-broadband-plan-2013

6.

http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats/b

7.

http://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/stat/default.aspx

8.

Broadband Commission; Sub Shaharan African Mobile Observatory 2012,

9.

Deloitte; Nigerian Communication Commission International Telecommunication Union, GSMA 2012

14

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Social Media Listening Dashboard

  • 1. Broadband and Mobile Device Landscape in Africa David H. Page Naman Gupta
  • 2. Broadband and Device Landscape: Africa • Executive Summary • Landscape • Key Growth Markets: Nigeria, Ghana, South Africa • Highest Value Opportunity: Nigeria • Appendix 2
  • 3. Executive Summary • Nigeria, Ghana and South Africa are areas of immediate growth for mobile broadband • Government support of mobile broadband will ensure ubiquity and 4G/LTE infrastructure • Smart phone adoption by Africans is large and growing • Entertainment from US is desired • Now is the time to build infrastructure 3
  • 4. Landscape: Africa Exploding Growth Africa currently ranks 3rd in continents with 781 million in mobile subscriptions 1 Mobile broadband growth CAGR (2010 – 2013) - 82% 6,7 4
  • 5. Africa Telecom Landscape: Major Players • Vodafone Group • Bharti Airtel • MTN • Globacom • Orange • Etisalat • Sudatel • Millicom 5
  • 6. Africa: Key Growth Markets NIGERIA 4G status Number of Telecom Operators Mobile Connections Growth Rate for Mobile Connections Smart phone as percentage of total mobile connections Mobile Penetration Internet Penetration Rate Broadband penetration Rate 3G as at Dec 2011 Internet Users Can Video Streaming be well viewed on 3G ? GHANA SOUTH AFRICA 4G WiMAX Mobitel Nigeria; 4G LTE Swift;Glo 4G LTE Alcatel-Lucent and Surfline in Q1 2014 4G LTE Vodacom and 4G LTE MTN in Johannesburg, Cape Town; 8ta LTE trials 8+ 125 Miliion Subscribers 6+ 25 Million Subscribers 5+ 67.9 Million 18.70% 20.73% 13.60% 8.00% 69.01% 28.40% 84% 14.10% 25%+ 123% 17.40% 5.00% 48.3 Million 2% 3.5Million 22% 8.5Million Yes depending on Service Provider Yes Yes Mobile video traffic will grow 16fold from 2012 to 2017, a compound annual growth rate of 73%;Video will be 73% of South Africa's mobile data traffic in 2017 Video data landscape Entertainment which includes video,audio and gaming constitutes about 46% of online activity New revenue stream for Telecos Mobile money and banking,Content Audio and video streaming,ecommerce,mobile advertising,e government initiative 6 N/A Mobile money and banking,Content Audio and video streaming,ecommerce,mobile advertising,mobile health Mobile money and banking,Content Audio and video streaming,mobile advertising
  • 7. Focus Now: Nigeria •Total number of mobile subscription in Nigeria is around 120 million active Mobile subscriptions 1 •Added 4 million net mobile additions in Q2 2013 only 1 •Mobile broadband outpacing regular broadband adoption •Has potential to become the biggest smartphone market on the continent 3 Largest African country by population - 177 million Ethiopia is the 2nd largest – only 86.5 million by comparison 7
  • 8. Nigeria: The Telco Landscape • 50MM Active Internet Subscriptions 4 • Teledensity between 80-85% 4 8
  • 9. Nigeria: The Telco Landscape • Telecom is 8.53% of 2013 GDP 4; CAGR of 22% since 2001 • Plans to increase cable capacity by ~1000% by 2014 5 9
  • 10. Nigeria: 1-3 years of growth On-going measures that will drastically accelerate mobile broadband growth: Current Numbers: •Internet penetration ~ 33% 4 •Broadband penetration ~ 6% 4 •Billions of US$ in investments per year, tens of thousands of new base stations to be built •3G coverage ~ 35% 4 •Major network infrastructure outsourcing deals •Smart phone adoption ~ 25% 2 •Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) among smaller operators Current State: •Several LTE networks preparing to launch (current operation of high speed 3.5G and 3.75G networks) •Delays in allocating bandwidth •Lack of built LTE infrastructure •High cost of smartphones •Most phones still running Symbian and S40 •Regulator cracks down on poor quality of service •New price caps and lower interconnection rates •Number portability finally introduced •Extensive government support & planning for infrastructure development and mobile adoption •30 million smartphones were expected to be sold in the country between now and 2015 3 10
  • 11. Appendix A – Mobile web page views http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats/b 11
  • 12. Appendix B – Active mobile broadband subscriptions http://mobithinking.com/mobile-marketing-tools/latest-mobile-stats/b 12
  • 13. Appendix C – Major African telecom operators 13