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Developing a Program Logic
What is a Program Logic?
A program logic is like a roadmap for a project
that sets out how a project will achieve its
desired outcomes.
YOUR
PLANNED
WORK
YOUR
INTENDED
RESULTS
Other terms you may use or see include:
– Outcome logic
– Outcome model
– Logic model
– Outcome hierarchy
The main thing to remember is that the program
logic outlines the theory of change (or theory of
action) that underpins your project
Program Logic
Theory of Change
This is the pathway to reaching your
destination.
For example, in order to be complete a project
evaluation, you need to learn about
evaluation (knowledge) and then undertake
an evaluation (practice) to reach the end goal.
The Process
Organise a
workshop with the
key stakeholders
involved in the
project
Identify the core
goal and objectives
of the project
Collectively
brainstorm the
theory of change
that leads to the
outcomes being
achieved
How to construct a program logic
Use a backcasting process, where you start by
envisioning the future state (i.e. the long-term
outcomes) and work backwards to identify
what needs to happen in order to create the
desired future.
Backcasting Example
LONG-TERM OUTCOME
Solar hot water
installed on all homes
Backcasting Example
LONG-TERM OUTCOME
Solar hot water
installed on all homes
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOME
Increased uptake of
solar hot water
Backcasting Example
LONG-TERM OUTCOME
Solar hot water
installed on all homes
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOME
Increased uptake of
solar hot water
SHORT-TERM OUTCOME
Increased knowledge of
benefits of solar hot
water
SHORT-TERM OUTCOME
Increased uptake of
financial incentives for
solar hot water
Backcasting Example
LONG-TERM OUTCOME
Solar hot water
installed on all homes
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOME
Increased uptake of
solar hot water
SHORT-TERM OUTCOME
Increased knowledge of
benefits of solar hot
water
SHORT-TERM OUTCOME
Increased uptake of
financial incentives for
solar hot water
OUTPUTS
Brochures added to
energy bills
OUTPUTS
Financial incentives
provided to
households
A program logic can be presented
from…..
Bottom -
Up
Left to
Right
OR
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
Presenting the final logic from left to
right…
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
ACTIVITIES
Events or
processes to
meet needs /
Objectives
Presenting the final logic from left to
right…
What will you
do in your
project?
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
OUTPUTS
Units of service
delivered to
stakeholders /
to meet project
objectives
ACTIVITIES
Events or
processes to
meet needs /
Objectives
Presenting the final logic from left to
right…
What will you
do in your
project?
What will you
deliver?
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
OUTPUTS
Units of service
delivered to
stakeholders /
to meet project
objectives
SHORT-TERM
OUTCOMES
Changes in
knowledge,
awareness,
convenience,
motivation etc
ACTIVITIES
Events or
processes to
meet needs /
Objectives
Presenting the final logic from left to
right…
What will you
do in your
project?
What will you
deliver?
What do you
hope this
achieves?
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
OUTPUTS
Units of service
delivered to
stakeholders /
to meet project
objectives
SHORT-TERM
OUTCOMES
Changes in
knowledge,
awareness,
convenience,
motivation etc
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOMES
Changes in
behaviour, actions,
practices, decisions
or policies
ACTIVITIES
Events or
processes to
meet needs /
Objectives
Presenting the final logic from left to
right…
What will you
do in your
project?
What will you
deliver?
What do you
hope this
achieves?
If the short-
term
outcomes are
achieved….?
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
OUTPUTS
Units of service
delivered to
stakeholders /
to meet project
objectives
SHORT-TERM
OUTCOMES
Changes in
knowledge,
awareness,
convenience,
motivation etc
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOMES
Changes in
behaviour, actions,
practices, decisions
or policies
LONG-TERM
OUTCOMES
Environmental,
Social,
Economic
changes
ACTIVITIES
Events or
processes to
meet needs /
Objectives
Presenting the final logic from left to
right…
What will you
do in your
project?
What will you
deliver?
What do you
hope this
achieves?
If the short-
term
outcomes are
achieved….?
And what is
your overall
aim?
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
OUTPUTS
Units of service
delivered to
stakeholders /
to meet project
objectives
SHORT-TERM
OUTCOMES
Changes in
knowledge,
awareness,
convenience,
motivation etc
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOMES
Changes in
behaviour, actions,
practices, decisions
or policies
LONG-TERM
OUTCOMES
Environmental,
Social,
Economic
changes
ACTIVITIES
Events or
processes to
meet needs /
objectives
Your planned work Your intended results
INPUTS
Staff,
Money,
Previous
research
OUTPUTS
Units of service
delivered to
stakeholders /
to meet project
objectives
LONG-TERM
OUTCOMES
Environmental,
Social,
Economic
impacts
ACTIVITIES
Events or
processes to
meet needs /
objectives
Use" action”
words: eg
Engage,
develop,
deliver etc
Use past tense, eg. … reduced,
presented etc
SHORT-TERM
OUTCOMES
Changes in
knowledge,
awareness,
convenience,
motivation
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOMES
Changes in
behaviour, actions,
practices, decisions
or policies
INPUTS
OUTPUTS
SHORT-TERM
OUTCOMES
INTERMEDIATE
OUTCOMES
LONG-TERM
OUTCOMES
ACTIVITIES
From bottom - up
These are the immediate results of your outputs, such as
increased skills, knowledge, convenience, motivation
These are the results of the increased skill or knowledge,
such as changes in behaviour, or specific actions undertaken
These are often beyond the scope of the project, but are
important to identify, such as “reduced resource use”
These refer to activities like “hold 3 workshops”, “develop
brochures” etc
These refer to the results of the activities, such as “50
people attended workshops”, “500 brochures distributed”
This is what you bring to the project
An example program logic for this
online toolbox
Things to remember…
• A program logic should not be a detailed task
list of everything you will do (you can do that
in a project plan)
• It should outline what you hope to achieve
(your intended result) and how you will do
this (your planned work)
• A program logic provides a guide as to what
you should monitor and evaluate
Next Step
• Use the program logic as a guide to
developing monitoring questions for your
monitoring and evaluation (M&E) plan.

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Developing a program logic

  • 2. What is a Program Logic? A program logic is like a roadmap for a project that sets out how a project will achieve its desired outcomes. YOUR PLANNED WORK YOUR INTENDED RESULTS
  • 3. Other terms you may use or see include: – Outcome logic – Outcome model – Logic model – Outcome hierarchy The main thing to remember is that the program logic outlines the theory of change (or theory of action) that underpins your project Program Logic
  • 4. Theory of Change This is the pathway to reaching your destination. For example, in order to be complete a project evaluation, you need to learn about evaluation (knowledge) and then undertake an evaluation (practice) to reach the end goal.
  • 5. The Process Organise a workshop with the key stakeholders involved in the project Identify the core goal and objectives of the project Collectively brainstorm the theory of change that leads to the outcomes being achieved
  • 6. How to construct a program logic Use a backcasting process, where you start by envisioning the future state (i.e. the long-term outcomes) and work backwards to identify what needs to happen in order to create the desired future.
  • 7. Backcasting Example LONG-TERM OUTCOME Solar hot water installed on all homes
  • 8. Backcasting Example LONG-TERM OUTCOME Solar hot water installed on all homes INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME Increased uptake of solar hot water
  • 9. Backcasting Example LONG-TERM OUTCOME Solar hot water installed on all homes INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME Increased uptake of solar hot water SHORT-TERM OUTCOME Increased knowledge of benefits of solar hot water SHORT-TERM OUTCOME Increased uptake of financial incentives for solar hot water
  • 10. Backcasting Example LONG-TERM OUTCOME Solar hot water installed on all homes INTERMEDIATE OUTCOME Increased uptake of solar hot water SHORT-TERM OUTCOME Increased knowledge of benefits of solar hot water SHORT-TERM OUTCOME Increased uptake of financial incentives for solar hot water OUTPUTS Brochures added to energy bills OUTPUTS Financial incentives provided to households
  • 11. A program logic can be presented from….. Bottom - Up Left to Right OR
  • 13. INPUTS Staff, Money, Previous research ACTIVITIES Events or processes to meet needs / Objectives Presenting the final logic from left to right… What will you do in your project?
  • 14. INPUTS Staff, Money, Previous research OUTPUTS Units of service delivered to stakeholders / to meet project objectives ACTIVITIES Events or processes to meet needs / Objectives Presenting the final logic from left to right… What will you do in your project? What will you deliver?
  • 15. INPUTS Staff, Money, Previous research OUTPUTS Units of service delivered to stakeholders / to meet project objectives SHORT-TERM OUTCOMES Changes in knowledge, awareness, convenience, motivation etc ACTIVITIES Events or processes to meet needs / Objectives Presenting the final logic from left to right… What will you do in your project? What will you deliver? What do you hope this achieves?
  • 16. INPUTS Staff, Money, Previous research OUTPUTS Units of service delivered to stakeholders / to meet project objectives SHORT-TERM OUTCOMES Changes in knowledge, awareness, convenience, motivation etc INTERMEDIATE OUTCOMES Changes in behaviour, actions, practices, decisions or policies ACTIVITIES Events or processes to meet needs / Objectives Presenting the final logic from left to right… What will you do in your project? What will you deliver? What do you hope this achieves? If the short- term outcomes are achieved….?
  • 17. INPUTS Staff, Money, Previous research OUTPUTS Units of service delivered to stakeholders / to meet project objectives SHORT-TERM OUTCOMES Changes in knowledge, awareness, convenience, motivation etc INTERMEDIATE OUTCOMES Changes in behaviour, actions, practices, decisions or policies LONG-TERM OUTCOMES Environmental, Social, Economic changes ACTIVITIES Events or processes to meet needs / Objectives Presenting the final logic from left to right… What will you do in your project? What will you deliver? What do you hope this achieves? If the short- term outcomes are achieved….? And what is your overall aim?
  • 18. INPUTS Staff, Money, Previous research OUTPUTS Units of service delivered to stakeholders / to meet project objectives SHORT-TERM OUTCOMES Changes in knowledge, awareness, convenience, motivation etc INTERMEDIATE OUTCOMES Changes in behaviour, actions, practices, decisions or policies LONG-TERM OUTCOMES Environmental, Social, Economic changes ACTIVITIES Events or processes to meet needs / objectives Your planned work Your intended results
  • 19. INPUTS Staff, Money, Previous research OUTPUTS Units of service delivered to stakeholders / to meet project objectives LONG-TERM OUTCOMES Environmental, Social, Economic impacts ACTIVITIES Events or processes to meet needs / objectives Use" action” words: eg Engage, develop, deliver etc Use past tense, eg. … reduced, presented etc SHORT-TERM OUTCOMES Changes in knowledge, awareness, convenience, motivation INTERMEDIATE OUTCOMES Changes in behaviour, actions, practices, decisions or policies
  • 20. INPUTS OUTPUTS SHORT-TERM OUTCOMES INTERMEDIATE OUTCOMES LONG-TERM OUTCOMES ACTIVITIES From bottom - up These are the immediate results of your outputs, such as increased skills, knowledge, convenience, motivation These are the results of the increased skill or knowledge, such as changes in behaviour, or specific actions undertaken These are often beyond the scope of the project, but are important to identify, such as “reduced resource use” These refer to activities like “hold 3 workshops”, “develop brochures” etc These refer to the results of the activities, such as “50 people attended workshops”, “500 brochures distributed” This is what you bring to the project
  • 21. An example program logic for this online toolbox
  • 22. Things to remember… • A program logic should not be a detailed task list of everything you will do (you can do that in a project plan) • It should outline what you hope to achieve (your intended result) and how you will do this (your planned work) • A program logic provides a guide as to what you should monitor and evaluate
  • 23. Next Step • Use the program logic as a guide to developing monitoring questions for your monitoring and evaluation (M&E) plan.