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The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
Median Sales Price
$250,000

Median Sale Price

$50,000

Wake
County

$0

Durham
County

Johnston
County

Orange
County

$294,900

$283,499

$285,750

$153,000

$150,485

$273,500

Current Month

$168,100

$164,900

$100,000

$209,055

$450,000
$400,000
$350,000
$300,000
$250,000
$200,000
$150,000
$100,000
$50,000
$0

$217,500

One Year Ago

$199,000

$213,500

$209,045

$208,500

$208,000

$198,000

$199,900

$187,000

$185,500

$197,000

$204,000

$192,500

$192,000

$199,000

$205,000

$197,000

$196,000

$193,000

$182,000

$179,900

$194,500

$193,325

$189,700

Chatham
County

Median Sale Price
Percent Change Year/Year

7%

Highlights

2%

4%

4%
1%

1%

4%

3%

4%
3%

3%

6%

-2%

0%

-1%

0%

-5%

-5%

-6%

-5%

-4%

-4%

● The current median sale price was 7%
lower than in August.

2%

2%

3%

3%

4%

3%

6%

2%

● This September, the median sale price
was $199,000, an increase of 4%
compared to last year.

6%

8%

1%

$150,000

$189,000

$200,000

$200,000

Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold

38
The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
Total Units Sold
3,500

Total Units Sold
2,724

1,842

2,151

One Year Ago

Current Month

1,000
800

76

60

99

91

200

225

171

400

274

253

600

1,553

1,428

1,699

1,860

1,110

2,952

2,910

2,963
2,489

1,200

2,152

2,271

2,160

1,880

1,805

1,682

1,400

1,067

1,380

1,431

1,330

1,000

1,398

1,500

1,568

2,000

2,477

2,204

2,500

1,285

Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units
Sold

3,000

0

500

Wake
County

Durham
County

Johnston
County

Orange
County

Chatham
County

0

Total Units Sold
Percent Change Year/Year

● There was a decrease of 21% in total
units sold in September compared to
August.

14%

20%

37%
17%

34%

38%
13%

28%

34%

33%

26%

20%

26%

22%

6%

12%
4%

1%

7%

10%

14%

20%

13%

30%

27%

27%

40%

● This month's total units sold was
higher than at this time last year, an
increase of 14% versus September 2012.

29%

50%

28%

Highlights

0%
-10%
-20%
-30%

-40%

39
The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
Total Units Sold by Type

Total Units Sold by Type
Detached

Attached

Current Month

Condo

3,500

Detached

Attached

Condo

3,000
2,500

335
16%

2,000

90
4%

1,500
1,000
500

1,726
80%

0

Total Units Sold by Price Range
< 150K

150K to < 300K

300K to < 450K

450K to < 600K

600K and up

Total Units Sold by Price Range
Current Month

1,600
1,400

< 150K
450K to < 600K

150K to < 300K
600K and up

300K to < 450K

1,200

108 56
5% 3%

1,000

800
600

357
16%

625
29%

400
200
0

1,005
47%

40
The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
Total Active Inventory
20,000

4,000

7,182

8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0

728

Orange
County

541

930

Johnston
County

657

1,515

Durham
County

1,147

1,925

Wake
County

2,000

1,310

6,000

Current Month

4,711

10,012

10,354

10,431

10,660

10,690

8,000

10,761

10,966

11,098

11,099

13,270

11,254

10,000

13,879

One Year Ago
14,250

14,698

14,852

15,105

15,337

15,306

15,058

14,516

14,293

14,208

12,000

Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold

16,198

14,000

Total Active Inventory
16,815

16,000

17,482

18,000

Chatham
County

0

Total Active Inventory

Highlights
● September's total active inventory of
10,012 units was 3% lower than the
previous month's supply of inventory.

Percent Change Year/Year
0%

-5%
-10%

-30%

-30%

-30%

-29%

-30%

-22%

-24%

-21%

-17%

-18%

-18%

-20%

-21%

-21%

-22%

-19%

-22%

-24%

-27%

-30%

-35%

-24%

-30%

-20%

-25%

-18%

-20%

-17%

● Versus last September, the total
number of homes available was lower
by 4,238 units or 30%.

-16%

-15%

-40%

41
The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
Total Active Inventory by Type
Detached

Attached

Total Active Inventory
by Type

Condo

Current Month

Detached

20,000

Attached

Condo

18,000
16,000

415
1,039 4%
10%

14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000

8,558
86%

4,000
2,000

0

Total Active Inventory by Price Range
< 150K

20,000

150K to < 300K

300K to < 450K

450K to < 600K

600K and up

Total Active Inventory by
Price Range
Current Month

< 150K
450K to < 600K

150K to < 300K
600K and up

300K to < 450K

18,000

16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000

774
8%

848
8%

2,666
27%

1,647
16%

6,000
4,000

2,000

4,077
41%

0

42
The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
Sale Price as % of List Price

Average Sale Price as a Percent of List Price

Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units
Sold

95.5%

Wake
County

95.0%

Durham
County

Days on Market
Current One Year
Month
Ago

94.5%

96

140
130
120
110

134

133
126

132
126

90

96.4%

96.0%

96.7%

96.9%

Chatham
County

117

97.5%

96.8%

Up 0.7% Vs. Year Ago

by Price Range

136

100%

< 150K

150K to < 300K

300K to < 450K

450K to < 600K

600K and up

99%

125
115

119 120

116 117

121

117 116

119

98%

121

97%

112

96%

109

95%

100
100

Orange
County

Average Sale Price as a Percent of List Price

Days on Market
138

Johnston
County

Avg Sale Price as % of List Price
Current
One Year
Month
Ago

Down -18% Vs. Year
Ago

150

Current Month

97.4%

97.8%

96.5%

97.7%

97.5%

100.0%
99.0%
98.0%
97.0%
96.0%
95.0%
94.0%
93.0%

97.0%

One Year Ago

97.9%

97.8%

97.8%

97.9%

97.6%

97.3%

96.9%

97.2%

97.1%

97.3%

96.8%

97.0%

97.0%

97.0%

96.1%

96.3%

96.2%

95.9%

96.0%

96.2%

96.3%

96.5%

96.9%

96.7%

97.0%

97.2%

97.5%

97.6%

98.0%

97.1%

98.5%

95 94
93

96

94%
93%
92%
91%

80

90%

43
The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
Total Dollar Volume Sold
In Thousands

Highlights

$100,000

$509,990

$682,904

$734,211

$735,991

$595,059

$510,778

$338,021

$321,002

$437,300

$405,775

$428,300

$424,250

$548,227

$417,622

$383,806

$295,248

$232,419

$331,096

$200,000

$302,972

$300,000

$312,073

$359,964

$400,000

$513,109

$500,000

$524,186

$600,000

$615,271

$700,000

$733,342

$800,000

● Total volume sold this September was
20% greater than the same month one
year ago.
● In September, there was 4.7 months of
supply available, compared to 7.6 in
September 2012. That was a decrease
of 39% versus a year ago.

$0

Months of Supply

Total Dollar Volume Sold
Current
One Year
Month
Ago

Current Month's Active Inventory/Current Month's Unit Sales
16

14

13.4

12.2

7.2

4.7

3.8

3.7

3.6

4.3

6.1

7.8

7.8

7.5

7.6
6.5

6.9

6.1

8.5

10.5

12.0

$424,250,493

Months of Supply
Current
One Year
Month
Ago
3.5

2

5.1

4

7.0

6

9.0

8

$509,990,449

Up 20% Vs. Year Ago
9.9

10

11.2

12

4.7

7.6

Down -39% Vs. Year Ago

0

44
The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report
The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013
New Listings & New Contracts

Johnston
County

Orange
County

99

101

137

333

288

403

1,716

1,474

342

Durham
County

Current Month

139

3,434

Wake
County

3,044

3,246

Chatham
County

One Year Ago

66

56

89

87

500

0

224

232

1,000

144

1,500

279

2,000

Current Month

1,336

2,500

1,010

2,423

Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold
2,209

3,583

One Year Ago

New Contracts
2,455

3,026

2,735

3,908

4,147
3,053

2,251

2,823

3,299

2,904
1,954

1,650

2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0

1,422

1,521

1,864

1,702

1,963

2,072

2,053

2,767

2,654

3,005

2,951

3,143

3,348
2,426

2,160

2,207

1,773

2,234

2,883

1,181

1,263

500

1,395

1,000

1,386

1,500

1,613

2,000

1,621

2,082

2,500

2,417

3,000

2,539

3,500

2,981

4,000

3,482

3,946

4,500

New Listings
Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold

New Contracts (Under Active Contract Status)

3,997

New Listings

0

Wake
County

New Listings
Current One Year
Month
Ago
3,044

2,654

Up 15% Vs. Year Ago

New Contracts
Current One Year
Month
Ago
2,209

1,702

Highlights
● Based on this month's amount of new
listings and new contracts, the ratio of
home supply (new listings) to current
home demand (new contracts) was 1.4,
a decrease of 12% from September
2012.

Durham
County

Johnston
County

Orange
County

Chatham
County

Supply/Demand Ratio
Number of New Listings to New Contracts
2.0
1.8

1.8

1.7

1.8
1.6

1.6
1.4
1.2

1.4

1.7

1.8
1.6
1.4

1.5 1.4

1.5 1.6 1.5

1.5 1.5

1.3

1.4

1.4

1.3 1.3 1.3

1.4 1.4

1.2

1.0
0.8
0.6
0.4

Up 30% Vs. Year Ago

0.2
0.0

45

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Triangle NC Area Housing Market Report Shows Increase in Median Sale Price and Units Sold

  • 1. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 Median Sales Price $250,000 Median Sale Price $50,000 Wake County $0 Durham County Johnston County Orange County $294,900 $283,499 $285,750 $153,000 $150,485 $273,500 Current Month $168,100 $164,900 $100,000 $209,055 $450,000 $400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 $0 $217,500 One Year Ago $199,000 $213,500 $209,045 $208,500 $208,000 $198,000 $199,900 $187,000 $185,500 $197,000 $204,000 $192,500 $192,000 $199,000 $205,000 $197,000 $196,000 $193,000 $182,000 $179,900 $194,500 $193,325 $189,700 Chatham County Median Sale Price Percent Change Year/Year 7% Highlights 2% 4% 4% 1% 1% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 6% -2% 0% -1% 0% -5% -5% -6% -5% -4% -4% ● The current median sale price was 7% lower than in August. 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 6% 2% ● This September, the median sale price was $199,000, an increase of 4% compared to last year. 6% 8% 1% $150,000 $189,000 $200,000 $200,000 Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold 38
  • 2. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 Total Units Sold 3,500 Total Units Sold 2,724 1,842 2,151 One Year Ago Current Month 1,000 800 76 60 99 91 200 225 171 400 274 253 600 1,553 1,428 1,699 1,860 1,110 2,952 2,910 2,963 2,489 1,200 2,152 2,271 2,160 1,880 1,805 1,682 1,400 1,067 1,380 1,431 1,330 1,000 1,398 1,500 1,568 2,000 2,477 2,204 2,500 1,285 Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold 3,000 0 500 Wake County Durham County Johnston County Orange County Chatham County 0 Total Units Sold Percent Change Year/Year ● There was a decrease of 21% in total units sold in September compared to August. 14% 20% 37% 17% 34% 38% 13% 28% 34% 33% 26% 20% 26% 22% 6% 12% 4% 1% 7% 10% 14% 20% 13% 30% 27% 27% 40% ● This month's total units sold was higher than at this time last year, an increase of 14% versus September 2012. 29% 50% 28% Highlights 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 39
  • 3. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 Total Units Sold by Type Total Units Sold by Type Detached Attached Current Month Condo 3,500 Detached Attached Condo 3,000 2,500 335 16% 2,000 90 4% 1,500 1,000 500 1,726 80% 0 Total Units Sold by Price Range < 150K 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K 450K to < 600K 600K and up Total Units Sold by Price Range Current Month 1,600 1,400 < 150K 450K to < 600K 150K to < 300K 600K and up 300K to < 450K 1,200 108 56 5% 3% 1,000 800 600 357 16% 625 29% 400 200 0 1,005 47% 40
  • 4. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 Total Active Inventory 20,000 4,000 7,182 8,000 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 728 Orange County 541 930 Johnston County 657 1,515 Durham County 1,147 1,925 Wake County 2,000 1,310 6,000 Current Month 4,711 10,012 10,354 10,431 10,660 10,690 8,000 10,761 10,966 11,098 11,099 13,270 11,254 10,000 13,879 One Year Ago 14,250 14,698 14,852 15,105 15,337 15,306 15,058 14,516 14,293 14,208 12,000 Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold 16,198 14,000 Total Active Inventory 16,815 16,000 17,482 18,000 Chatham County 0 Total Active Inventory Highlights ● September's total active inventory of 10,012 units was 3% lower than the previous month's supply of inventory. Percent Change Year/Year 0% -5% -10% -30% -30% -30% -29% -30% -22% -24% -21% -17% -18% -18% -20% -21% -21% -22% -19% -22% -24% -27% -30% -35% -24% -30% -20% -25% -18% -20% -17% ● Versus last September, the total number of homes available was lower by 4,238 units or 30%. -16% -15% -40% 41
  • 5. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 Total Active Inventory by Type Detached Attached Total Active Inventory by Type Condo Current Month Detached 20,000 Attached Condo 18,000 16,000 415 1,039 4% 10% 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 8,558 86% 4,000 2,000 0 Total Active Inventory by Price Range < 150K 20,000 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K 450K to < 600K 600K and up Total Active Inventory by Price Range Current Month < 150K 450K to < 600K 150K to < 300K 600K and up 300K to < 450K 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 774 8% 848 8% 2,666 27% 1,647 16% 6,000 4,000 2,000 4,077 41% 0 42
  • 6. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 Sale Price as % of List Price Average Sale Price as a Percent of List Price Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold 95.5% Wake County 95.0% Durham County Days on Market Current One Year Month Ago 94.5% 96 140 130 120 110 134 133 126 132 126 90 96.4% 96.0% 96.7% 96.9% Chatham County 117 97.5% 96.8% Up 0.7% Vs. Year Ago by Price Range 136 100% < 150K 150K to < 300K 300K to < 450K 450K to < 600K 600K and up 99% 125 115 119 120 116 117 121 117 116 119 98% 121 97% 112 96% 109 95% 100 100 Orange County Average Sale Price as a Percent of List Price Days on Market 138 Johnston County Avg Sale Price as % of List Price Current One Year Month Ago Down -18% Vs. Year Ago 150 Current Month 97.4% 97.8% 96.5% 97.7% 97.5% 100.0% 99.0% 98.0% 97.0% 96.0% 95.0% 94.0% 93.0% 97.0% One Year Ago 97.9% 97.8% 97.8% 97.9% 97.6% 97.3% 96.9% 97.2% 97.1% 97.3% 96.8% 97.0% 97.0% 97.0% 96.1% 96.3% 96.2% 95.9% 96.0% 96.2% 96.3% 96.5% 96.9% 96.7% 97.0% 97.2% 97.5% 97.6% 98.0% 97.1% 98.5% 95 94 93 96 94% 93% 92% 91% 80 90% 43
  • 7. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 Total Dollar Volume Sold In Thousands Highlights $100,000 $509,990 $682,904 $734,211 $735,991 $595,059 $510,778 $338,021 $321,002 $437,300 $405,775 $428,300 $424,250 $548,227 $417,622 $383,806 $295,248 $232,419 $331,096 $200,000 $302,972 $300,000 $312,073 $359,964 $400,000 $513,109 $500,000 $524,186 $600,000 $615,271 $700,000 $733,342 $800,000 ● Total volume sold this September was 20% greater than the same month one year ago. ● In September, there was 4.7 months of supply available, compared to 7.6 in September 2012. That was a decrease of 39% versus a year ago. $0 Months of Supply Total Dollar Volume Sold Current One Year Month Ago Current Month's Active Inventory/Current Month's Unit Sales 16 14 13.4 12.2 7.2 4.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 4.3 6.1 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.6 6.5 6.9 6.1 8.5 10.5 12.0 $424,250,493 Months of Supply Current One Year Month Ago 3.5 2 5.1 4 7.0 6 9.0 8 $509,990,449 Up 20% Vs. Year Ago 9.9 10 11.2 12 4.7 7.6 Down -39% Vs. Year Ago 0 44
  • 8. The Long & Foster ® Market Conditions Report The Triangle, NC Area - September 2013 New Listings & New Contracts Johnston County Orange County 99 101 137 333 288 403 1,716 1,474 342 Durham County Current Month 139 3,434 Wake County 3,044 3,246 Chatham County One Year Ago 66 56 89 87 500 0 224 232 1,000 144 1,500 279 2,000 Current Month 1,336 2,500 1,010 2,423 Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold 2,209 3,583 One Year Ago New Contracts 2,455 3,026 2,735 3,908 4,147 3,053 2,251 2,823 3,299 2,904 1,954 1,650 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1,422 1,521 1,864 1,702 1,963 2,072 2,053 2,767 2,654 3,005 2,951 3,143 3,348 2,426 2,160 2,207 1,773 2,234 2,883 1,181 1,263 500 1,395 1,000 1,386 1,500 1,613 2,000 1,621 2,082 2,500 2,417 3,000 2,539 3,500 2,981 4,000 3,482 3,946 4,500 New Listings Of Top Five Counties/Cities Based on Total Units Sold New Contracts (Under Active Contract Status) 3,997 New Listings 0 Wake County New Listings Current One Year Month Ago 3,044 2,654 Up 15% Vs. Year Ago New Contracts Current One Year Month Ago 2,209 1,702 Highlights ● Based on this month's amount of new listings and new contracts, the ratio of home supply (new listings) to current home demand (new contracts) was 1.4, a decrease of 12% from September 2012. Durham County Johnston County Orange County Chatham County Supply/Demand Ratio Number of New Listings to New Contracts 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 Up 30% Vs. Year Ago 0.2 0.0 45