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Bridge over troubled waters
Sofia, 7th June 2010


Michal Ron – Head of International Relations and Network
THE LEADING ITALIAN CREDIT MANAGEMENT COMPANY



                                       Export credit and Project Finance
      We offer solutions for the       Protection of foreign investments
       integrated management           Financial guarantees
of commercial and political risks      Credit insurance
                                       Surety and construction risks




                                                                            2
Our strengths


                           Over 30 years of providing risk management
    EXPERIENCE             solutions to small and medium-sized business and
                           large corporations

                           Aa2 credit rating (Moody’s)
FINANCIAL SOUNDNESS
                           Shareholders’ equity: € 5.9 Bn

                           Outstanding commitments for over € 50 Bn to
    RELIABILITY            insure commercial and financial transactions in
                           over 180 countries

                           Insured business: € 34 Bn, + 22% yoy
 FINANCIAL RESULTS         Consolidated net income: € 460 Mn, + 32% yoy
                           Gross written premiums: € 430 Mn, + 13% yoy



                                                                              3
Risks insured by geographical area (31/03/2010)
                                                       Turkey
                                                       7,1 %

SACE Exposure
                                                                                   Others
                                                                                   25,0 %
1.   Italy  15%
                                   Russia & CIS
2.   Russia 13%                       16,3%
3.   Turkey  8%
…
6.   Balkans 4.5%                   North                                                     Sub
     of which:                     America                                                  Saharian
                                    4,5 %                                                    Af rica
     Bulgaria 2%    € 0.5 Bn                                                                 2 ,1%

                                     LATAM                                             Asia Pacif ic
                                      5,5%                                                6,5 %


                                                                                 Balkans
                                              Europe                              4,5 %
                                              28,4 %




                                                                TOTAL 35,3 bln

                                                        Outstanding Guarantees


                 We cover political and commercial risk in over 180 countries

                                                                                                       4
Economic trends in recession: ECAs’ role


•   The contraction of international trade in 2009 has been dramatic. The
    main drivers of the trade collapse have been the strong reduction of demand
    combined with an increase in the elasticity of world trade.

•   Part of the international response to the global crisis has involved, and
    is involving, support to trade financing. Export Credit Agencies have
    played an important role in the recovery, and their contribution is still
    essential in supporting economic growth.

•   In a global context of growing uncertainty, where risks are more unpredictable
    and banks that greatly scaled down their lending facilities, dramatically
    increased their liquidity spreads and show little or no willingness to share risk,
    the role of ECAs appear even more determinant in helping enterprises to
    carry on their activities.




                                                                                         5
The evolution of an ECA: a time pattern
    Marketable risk



                                                                                                         Pure
                                                                                                        Market
                                                                                                        Player
                                                                          EDC (Canada)

                                                                                         SACE (Italy)

                                                                                         ONDD (Belgium)
                                                                                         Nordic Agencies
                                                                          NEXI (Japan)   European Emerging
                                                                                         Markets Agencies
                                                                                         EFIC (Australia)
                                                              Sinosure (China)
Non marketable risk




                                                              KEIC (Korea)


                                                Euler (Germany)
                                                Coface (France)
                                                Atradius (Netherlands)
                      Pure                      CESCE (Spain)
                                   U.S EXIM
                                                OekB (Austria)
                      ECA          ECGD (UK)


                      Traditional products                                               Advanced products



                                                                                                                 6
The evolution of SACE: increasing our scope
                                 as a global partner
                                                   PRODUCTS



                                                   Export Bank


                                                    Factoring


                                                 Bonding & Surety


                                                Financial Guarantee


                                                  PRI insurance
DURATION




                                                                                                      CONTENT
           Credit Insurance   Working Capital     Export Credit       Export Credit   Export Credit
             (Short Term)        Facilities      OECD regulated         MADE BY         UNTIED

                                                       SME
                                                 Credit Insurance/
                                                  Enhancement

                                                     Domestic
                                                 Strategic Sectors



                                                    MARKETS
                                                                                                                7
Our outlook on the Region

•   Before global crisis, large capital inflows into Bulgaria generated a robust
    GDP growth.

•   At the end of 2008, capital inflows sharp decrease led to a contraction of
    domestic demand, whereas the recession in Bulgaria’s trading partners
    caused a drop in exports (GDP growth: -5,1% in 2009)

•   In 2010, due to the recovery in global GDP, which growth will stimulate
    exports, Bulgarian GDP is projected to increase by 0.2%

•   The main challenge for the banking system will be to absorb the increase in
    NPLs. Anyway, thanks to prudent regulation, the banking system has built
    up substantial buffers during the boom years.

•   Some concerns derive from the fact that 28% of the Bulgarian banking
    sector is held by Greek banks. Anyway the general assumption is that
    Greek parent banks will support their investments in the Region.


                                                                                   8
SACE Market Risk Index



                  BULGARIA
SACE Terms of Cover

Sovereign Risk                open
Corporate Risk                open
Bank Risk                     open


OECD Country Risk Category

                              4/7


Consensus Category

                              2      RISK: M2




                                                9
SACE’s support in Bulgaria


                                                 € 454 Mn (2% of total portfolio, 13th Country in
Total Exposure
                                                 terms of total exposure)
                                                 21 new operations in the last three years,
New Guarantees
                                                 mostly transactions involving Italian SMEs

                                                 Several potential transactions under current
    Pipeline
                                                 evaluation, for a total amount of € 70 Mn




          € 659 Mn                              € 12 Mn                           € 1.5 Mn
         Financial Guarantee                      Buyer Credit                       Buyer Credit

   Modernisation of Stara Zagora plant   Supply of a four-high combination   Plant for the production of tiles
                                                   reversing mill

             2006 Bulgaria                        2007 Bulgaria                      2009 Bulgaria




                                                                                                                 10
SACE’s Balkans Programme


•   After a long period of political instability and economic distress related to the breakup
    of ex-Yugoslavia, the Balkans have reached a more stable situation and
    commenced implementing important reform programs.

•   In December 2006 SACE adopted a more open approach towards the Region in
    response to the growing request for SACE’s support from Italian exporters.

•   SACE’s cover policy takes into consideration the improvements in the Countries’
    political and economic situation and, regarding sovereign risk, the presence of IMF
    ceilings on public or publicly guaranteed debt.

•   The Balkans Programme has allocated an amount of € 300 Mn to directly support
    transactions in the Region.




                                                                                                11
SACE’s future office in Balkans


Balkans region plays a strategic role for Italy. Trade flows between our firms and these
Countries have been increasing significantly in the last years. New business
opportunities have emerged for Italian firms in the context of growing political stability
and economic expansion.

Considering the positive market outlook and the business opportunities under current
evaluation, SACE wishes to establish a formal presence in the Region through the
opening, in 2010, of a Representative Office in Bucharest.

The new office will act as a reference point for Italian exporters and their local partners
and will enable SACE to further expand its Balkan operations and meet the growing
demand for our support provided to investments in the Balkan Region.




                                                                                              12
SACE’s International Network




                       MOSCOW

              BUCHAREST*



                   ISTANBUL*


                                           HONG KONG
                                 MUMBAI*




  SAO PAULO
                  JOHANNESBURG




                                             * To be opened in 2010


                                                                      13
How to contact us
                                            ITALY                                        WORLDWIDE
www.sace.it
Customer care: +39 06 6736000               Bari                                         China
                                            Via Amendola 172/5 - 70125 Bari              40/f Suite 4001 - Central Plaza 18
                                            Tel. +39 080 5467763 • Fax +39 080 5467764   Harbour Road - Wanchai, Hong Kong
                                                                                         Tel. +852 36202323 • Fax +852 36210227
                                            Lucca
HEAD OFFICE                                 Via Dante Alighieri 167 - 55100 Lucca        South Africa
Rome                                        Tel. +39 0583 40071 • Fax +39 0583 400790    Two Commerce Square
Piazza Poli 37/42 - 00187 Rome                                                           39, Rivonia Road
Tel. +39 06 67361 • Fax +39 06 6736225      Milan                                        Corner Melville Road Sundhurst
                                            Via A. De Togni 2 - 20123 Milan              2196 Sandton, Johannesburg
                                            Tel. +39 02 4344991 • Fax +39 02 434499749   Tel. +27 11 2680623 • Fax +27 11 2680617

                                            Modena                                       Brazil
                                            Via Elsa Morante 71 - 41123 Modena           Avenida Paulista 1971 - 4° andar
                                            Tel. +39 059 891240 • Fax +39 059 820832     01311-300 Sao Paulo
                                                                                         Tel. +55 11 31712138 • Fax +55 11 32664051
                                            Monza
                                            c/o Unione Industriali Monza e Brianza       Russia
                                            Viale Petrarca 10 - 20010 Monza              c/o ICE - Office n.1202
                                            Tel. +39 039 3638262 • Fax +39 039 3638208   Krasnopresnenskaja Naberejnaja 12
                                                                                         123610 Moscow
                                            Rome                                         Tel. +7 49 52582155 • Fax +7 49 52582156
                                            Piazza Poli, 37/42 - 00187 Rome
                                            Tel. +39 06 6736309 • Fax +39 06 6736770
                                                                                         New openings: Istanbul, Bucarest.
                                            Turin
                                            c/o ICE - Via Bogino 13 - 10123 Turin
                                            Tel. +39 011 836128 • Fax +39 011 836425

                                            Venice
                                            Viale Ancona 26 - 30172 Venice Mestre
                                            Tel. +39 041 2905111 • Fax +39 041 2905103

                                                                                                                                      14

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Bridge over troubled waters

  • 1. Bridge over troubled waters Sofia, 7th June 2010 Michal Ron – Head of International Relations and Network
  • 2. THE LEADING ITALIAN CREDIT MANAGEMENT COMPANY  Export credit and Project Finance We offer solutions for the  Protection of foreign investments integrated management  Financial guarantees of commercial and political risks  Credit insurance  Surety and construction risks 2
  • 3. Our strengths Over 30 years of providing risk management EXPERIENCE solutions to small and medium-sized business and large corporations Aa2 credit rating (Moody’s) FINANCIAL SOUNDNESS Shareholders’ equity: € 5.9 Bn Outstanding commitments for over € 50 Bn to RELIABILITY insure commercial and financial transactions in over 180 countries Insured business: € 34 Bn, + 22% yoy FINANCIAL RESULTS Consolidated net income: € 460 Mn, + 32% yoy Gross written premiums: € 430 Mn, + 13% yoy 3
  • 4. Risks insured by geographical area (31/03/2010) Turkey 7,1 % SACE Exposure Others 25,0 % 1. Italy 15% Russia & CIS 2. Russia 13% 16,3% 3. Turkey 8% … 6. Balkans 4.5% North Sub of which: America Saharian 4,5 % Af rica Bulgaria 2% € 0.5 Bn 2 ,1% LATAM Asia Pacif ic 5,5% 6,5 % Balkans Europe 4,5 % 28,4 % TOTAL 35,3 bln Outstanding Guarantees We cover political and commercial risk in over 180 countries 4
  • 5. Economic trends in recession: ECAs’ role • The contraction of international trade in 2009 has been dramatic. The main drivers of the trade collapse have been the strong reduction of demand combined with an increase in the elasticity of world trade. • Part of the international response to the global crisis has involved, and is involving, support to trade financing. Export Credit Agencies have played an important role in the recovery, and their contribution is still essential in supporting economic growth. • In a global context of growing uncertainty, where risks are more unpredictable and banks that greatly scaled down their lending facilities, dramatically increased their liquidity spreads and show little or no willingness to share risk, the role of ECAs appear even more determinant in helping enterprises to carry on their activities. 5
  • 6. The evolution of an ECA: a time pattern Marketable risk Pure Market Player EDC (Canada) SACE (Italy) ONDD (Belgium) Nordic Agencies NEXI (Japan) European Emerging Markets Agencies EFIC (Australia) Sinosure (China) Non marketable risk KEIC (Korea) Euler (Germany) Coface (France) Atradius (Netherlands) Pure CESCE (Spain) U.S EXIM OekB (Austria) ECA ECGD (UK) Traditional products Advanced products 6
  • 7. The evolution of SACE: increasing our scope as a global partner PRODUCTS Export Bank Factoring Bonding & Surety Financial Guarantee PRI insurance DURATION CONTENT Credit Insurance Working Capital Export Credit Export Credit Export Credit (Short Term) Facilities OECD regulated MADE BY UNTIED SME Credit Insurance/ Enhancement Domestic Strategic Sectors MARKETS 7
  • 8. Our outlook on the Region • Before global crisis, large capital inflows into Bulgaria generated a robust GDP growth. • At the end of 2008, capital inflows sharp decrease led to a contraction of domestic demand, whereas the recession in Bulgaria’s trading partners caused a drop in exports (GDP growth: -5,1% in 2009) • In 2010, due to the recovery in global GDP, which growth will stimulate exports, Bulgarian GDP is projected to increase by 0.2% • The main challenge for the banking system will be to absorb the increase in NPLs. Anyway, thanks to prudent regulation, the banking system has built up substantial buffers during the boom years. • Some concerns derive from the fact that 28% of the Bulgarian banking sector is held by Greek banks. Anyway the general assumption is that Greek parent banks will support their investments in the Region. 8
  • 9. SACE Market Risk Index BULGARIA SACE Terms of Cover Sovereign Risk open Corporate Risk open Bank Risk open OECD Country Risk Category 4/7 Consensus Category 2 RISK: M2 9
  • 10. SACE’s support in Bulgaria € 454 Mn (2% of total portfolio, 13th Country in Total Exposure terms of total exposure) 21 new operations in the last three years, New Guarantees mostly transactions involving Italian SMEs Several potential transactions under current Pipeline evaluation, for a total amount of € 70 Mn € 659 Mn € 12 Mn € 1.5 Mn Financial Guarantee Buyer Credit Buyer Credit Modernisation of Stara Zagora plant Supply of a four-high combination Plant for the production of tiles reversing mill 2006 Bulgaria 2007 Bulgaria 2009 Bulgaria 10
  • 11. SACE’s Balkans Programme • After a long period of political instability and economic distress related to the breakup of ex-Yugoslavia, the Balkans have reached a more stable situation and commenced implementing important reform programs. • In December 2006 SACE adopted a more open approach towards the Region in response to the growing request for SACE’s support from Italian exporters. • SACE’s cover policy takes into consideration the improvements in the Countries’ political and economic situation and, regarding sovereign risk, the presence of IMF ceilings on public or publicly guaranteed debt. • The Balkans Programme has allocated an amount of € 300 Mn to directly support transactions in the Region. 11
  • 12. SACE’s future office in Balkans Balkans region plays a strategic role for Italy. Trade flows between our firms and these Countries have been increasing significantly in the last years. New business opportunities have emerged for Italian firms in the context of growing political stability and economic expansion. Considering the positive market outlook and the business opportunities under current evaluation, SACE wishes to establish a formal presence in the Region through the opening, in 2010, of a Representative Office in Bucharest. The new office will act as a reference point for Italian exporters and their local partners and will enable SACE to further expand its Balkan operations and meet the growing demand for our support provided to investments in the Balkan Region. 12
  • 13. SACE’s International Network MOSCOW BUCHAREST* ISTANBUL* HONG KONG MUMBAI* SAO PAULO JOHANNESBURG * To be opened in 2010 13
  • 14. How to contact us ITALY WORLDWIDE www.sace.it Customer care: +39 06 6736000 Bari China Via Amendola 172/5 - 70125 Bari 40/f Suite 4001 - Central Plaza 18 Tel. +39 080 5467763 • Fax +39 080 5467764 Harbour Road - Wanchai, Hong Kong Tel. +852 36202323 • Fax +852 36210227 Lucca HEAD OFFICE Via Dante Alighieri 167 - 55100 Lucca South Africa Rome Tel. +39 0583 40071 • Fax +39 0583 400790 Two Commerce Square Piazza Poli 37/42 - 00187 Rome 39, Rivonia Road Tel. +39 06 67361 • Fax +39 06 6736225 Milan Corner Melville Road Sundhurst Via A. De Togni 2 - 20123 Milan 2196 Sandton, Johannesburg Tel. +39 02 4344991 • Fax +39 02 434499749 Tel. +27 11 2680623 • Fax +27 11 2680617 Modena Brazil Via Elsa Morante 71 - 41123 Modena Avenida Paulista 1971 - 4° andar Tel. +39 059 891240 • Fax +39 059 820832 01311-300 Sao Paulo Tel. +55 11 31712138 • Fax +55 11 32664051 Monza c/o Unione Industriali Monza e Brianza Russia Viale Petrarca 10 - 20010 Monza c/o ICE - Office n.1202 Tel. +39 039 3638262 • Fax +39 039 3638208 Krasnopresnenskaja Naberejnaja 12 123610 Moscow Rome Tel. +7 49 52582155 • Fax +7 49 52582156 Piazza Poli, 37/42 - 00187 Rome Tel. +39 06 6736309 • Fax +39 06 6736770 New openings: Istanbul, Bucarest. Turin c/o ICE - Via Bogino 13 - 10123 Turin Tel. +39 011 836128 • Fax +39 011 836425 Venice Viale Ancona 26 - 30172 Venice Mestre Tel. +39 041 2905111 • Fax +39 041 2905103 14