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Sustainable Natural Resources Task Force -
   Status of Indiana’s Forest Resources
            December 8, 2011

     William L. Hoover, PhD, Professor of Forestry
Purdue School of Agriculture, Department of Forestry and
                   Natural Resources
Underlying Conditions
• Forests are a dynamic resource
  – Must be described in dynamic terms as complex
    ecosystems integrated into landscapes.
• Forests are resilient
• Status is determined by
  – Site quality (soil and climate),
  – Vegetation
  – How it is used/managed by owners.
Underlying Conditions
• Maximization of financial returns requires
  “intensive” management
• Woodland is a buffering land use,
  – Goes in and out in response to changes in the
    agricultural economy,
  – Goes out with urbanization and leapfrog
    residential development.
Area of “Forest Land” and % of Total Land Area
Strengths
• Excellent growing conditions for temperate
  hardwoods
• Timber is readily accessible and close to
  competitive markets
• Classified Forest Act reduces carrying cost,
  providing an incentive to hold forest land.
Strengths
• Competitive network of private consultants to
  meet needs of private landowners
• Network of NGO’s on call to work with private
  owners desiring to protect their land in
  perpetuity.
Strengths
• Division of Forestry has statutory and
  administrative authority to manage state
  forests for the revenue needed to sustain
  services to private landowners, manage and
  expand state forest lands, and support
  research.
• State-based research and education programs
  provide scientific basis for management and
  utilization of forest resource.
Strengths
• Aesthetic and intrinsic values make it a
  desirable asset for many families, especially
  those who want to make their homes (houses)
  in the woods.
  – Such ownership should be considered part of the
    forest land base, they are the future.
  – Programs need to be adapted to meet their
    desires for their forests.
Weaknesses
• Environmental services provided by forests
  and “wildland” in general are:
  – Not traded in a private market,
  – Nor, are owners otherwise incentivized to
    maximize their provision of these services
• Publically funded incentive programs will
  never have more than marginal impact on the
  ground
Weaknesses
• Fragmentation of tracts
  – Increased number of diverse decision makers,
  – No economies of scale for management,
     • Excludes Indiana’s woodland from national and
       international timberland markets for investment grade
       timberland
  – Owners of smaller tracts are passive owners,
     • Focused on minimizing expenses.
Acreage by Tract Size and Age of Owners
   (U. S. Forest Service estimate for 2010)
Number of Owners by Age and Tract Size Class
      (U. S. Forest Service estimate for 2010)




                                                 Acres
Tract Size Class, Acreage Covered, Number of
 Owners, and Average Tract Size per Owner




                                    100 A >
Weaknesses
• Increased acreage undergoing inter-
  generational transfer or liquidation
  – New set of decision makers,
  – Exposure to land uses change when woodland is
    not the highest and best use
• Invasive species are reducing reproduction of
  trees and changing ecology of forest floor.
Weaknesses
• Reduced disturbances, including intensive
  harvesting, have reduced regeneration of
  species needing direct sunlight to reproduce
• Management decisions are based primarily on
  need to minimize expenses, not maximize
  potential future time revenue.
Weaknesses
• Long-term downward trend in hardwood
  lumber production has moderated timber
  price increases,
  – Reducing further the likelihood that on the basis
    of discounted cash flow analyses timber
    production is competitive with other land uses.
U. S. Hardwood Lumber Production
Value of logs in average stand of timber: nominal,
deflated, and trend-line price series, 1957- to 2011.

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Status of Indiana’s Forest Resources - Sustainable Natural Resources Task Force 12/8/11

  • 1. Sustainable Natural Resources Task Force - Status of Indiana’s Forest Resources December 8, 2011 William L. Hoover, PhD, Professor of Forestry Purdue School of Agriculture, Department of Forestry and Natural Resources
  • 2. Underlying Conditions • Forests are a dynamic resource – Must be described in dynamic terms as complex ecosystems integrated into landscapes. • Forests are resilient • Status is determined by – Site quality (soil and climate), – Vegetation – How it is used/managed by owners.
  • 3. Underlying Conditions • Maximization of financial returns requires “intensive” management • Woodland is a buffering land use, – Goes in and out in response to changes in the agricultural economy, – Goes out with urbanization and leapfrog residential development.
  • 4. Area of “Forest Land” and % of Total Land Area
  • 5. Strengths • Excellent growing conditions for temperate hardwoods • Timber is readily accessible and close to competitive markets • Classified Forest Act reduces carrying cost, providing an incentive to hold forest land.
  • 6. Strengths • Competitive network of private consultants to meet needs of private landowners • Network of NGO’s on call to work with private owners desiring to protect their land in perpetuity.
  • 7. Strengths • Division of Forestry has statutory and administrative authority to manage state forests for the revenue needed to sustain services to private landowners, manage and expand state forest lands, and support research. • State-based research and education programs provide scientific basis for management and utilization of forest resource.
  • 8. Strengths • Aesthetic and intrinsic values make it a desirable asset for many families, especially those who want to make their homes (houses) in the woods. – Such ownership should be considered part of the forest land base, they are the future. – Programs need to be adapted to meet their desires for their forests.
  • 9. Weaknesses • Environmental services provided by forests and “wildland” in general are: – Not traded in a private market, – Nor, are owners otherwise incentivized to maximize their provision of these services • Publically funded incentive programs will never have more than marginal impact on the ground
  • 10. Weaknesses • Fragmentation of tracts – Increased number of diverse decision makers, – No economies of scale for management, • Excludes Indiana’s woodland from national and international timberland markets for investment grade timberland – Owners of smaller tracts are passive owners, • Focused on minimizing expenses.
  • 11. Acreage by Tract Size and Age of Owners (U. S. Forest Service estimate for 2010)
  • 12. Number of Owners by Age and Tract Size Class (U. S. Forest Service estimate for 2010) Acres
  • 13. Tract Size Class, Acreage Covered, Number of Owners, and Average Tract Size per Owner 100 A >
  • 14. Weaknesses • Increased acreage undergoing inter- generational transfer or liquidation – New set of decision makers, – Exposure to land uses change when woodland is not the highest and best use • Invasive species are reducing reproduction of trees and changing ecology of forest floor.
  • 15. Weaknesses • Reduced disturbances, including intensive harvesting, have reduced regeneration of species needing direct sunlight to reproduce • Management decisions are based primarily on need to minimize expenses, not maximize potential future time revenue.
  • 16. Weaknesses • Long-term downward trend in hardwood lumber production has moderated timber price increases, – Reducing further the likelihood that on the basis of discounted cash flow analyses timber production is competitive with other land uses.
  • 17. U. S. Hardwood Lumber Production
  • 18. Value of logs in average stand of timber: nominal, deflated, and trend-line price series, 1957- to 2011.