Weitere ähnliche Inhalte Kürzlich hochgeladen (20) HOW TO PUT A VALUE TO YOUR WEB SITE1. -2013-HOW TO PUT A VALUE ON YOUR WEBSITE
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HOW TO PUT AVALUE ON
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2. -2013-HOW TO PUT A VALUE ON YOUR WEBSITE
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How to PUT A value ON
your website
The market is ultimately what determines the value. When you sell something at a certain price,
that value becomes what you sell it for. International valuation standards defines market value
as ”the estimated amount for which a property should exchange on the date of valuation between
a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arm’s-length transaction after proper marketing wherein
the parties had each acted knowledgeably, prudently, and without compulsion.” where property in
this instance can be exchanged for website or web business.
1. WHY VALUATIONS ARE TRICKY
As value is derived from a sale, there is no true correct answer, only opinions. Only the opinion of
the valuing party can alter value. Value can vary based on the buyer, market conditions,
valuation methodology applied, purpose of the valuation, presentation of the assets and more.
There is no “set criteria” nor is there rules of thumb that apply in everyone scenario. In this article I
will try to help you on how to form one.
2. HOW VALUATION CAN VARY
The purpose of a valuation and the model that you apply to a website will result in drastically
different values. Let’s say, for simplicity you had a website making $10 million dollars a year in sales
and $9 million in expenses. Making the total net profit of the business $1 million. If you applied
a multiple of earnings model at say 3 times earnings the business would sell for $3 million dollars.
However if you applied a liquidation valuation to the business and the business had $7 million
dollars in assets on the books at auction value you would get $7 million dollars for the business. A
drastic difference!!! A public example of this is Digg.com. which had about $10 million dollars in
revenue per year and a similar amount of expenses. According to TechCrunch the sale value of Digg
was about $16 million, Washington Post Co. paid about $12 million for the Digg team; LinkedIn paid
$3.75-$4 million for patents; and Betaworks bought Digg’s remaining assets for $500,000-$725,000.
3. WHAT IS MARKET VALUE TO WEBSITE BUYERS
The reason that a website has a market value to a buyer is because of a potential profit from it.
Buyers are solely motivated by return on investment, so if you are thinking “my website has so much
potential” by economics you are wrong. But hang on, Instagram was sold for $1 billion dollars and it
hadn’t even made a cent! Well i’m sorry to say your website is no instagram. And when you are
dealing in the private markets (which is what you are dealing in), value is determined by what
someone is willing to pay for your website which is determined by its ability to make a profit and
present a reasonable rate of return for its purchaser.
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4. WHAT DOES NOT ADD VALUE
The assets that make up a website (like domain name, trademarks, copyright, graphics,
programming, databases, email lists, form, content and traffic) are what determine the revenue
(more specifically profit) of the website, and it is that profit that will determine value to buyers.
Some website owners struggle with the idea that, just because they’ve put all this effort into
creating content and doing SEO, their website inherently has value. I’m sorry to tell you this, but in
terms of valuation 1 + 1 doesn’t equal 2.
5. HOW DO WEBSITE BUYER DETERMINE VALUE
Let’s have a look at some general facts about valuations
Valuation is a combination of objective and subjective tasks
A valuation is really only an opinion of what something will sell for
Real value only materializes when something is sold
Website sellers generally over value their website
The higher quality data (proof of income, traffic stats etc.) the higher quality valuation
There are always macro factors out of the control of the buyer and seller that affect value
Valuation models vary and there is no one “correct” valuation for a business
Website buyers typically pay a multiple of earnings for a website. That is they pay a multiplication of
how much net profit the website makes per year. For example if your website makes $100,000 per
year. A buyer may adopt an earnings multiple of 1.5X thus they will offer you $150,000 for the
website. Generally the higher the risk the website holds, the lower the multiple they will offer. The
basic valuation method used to value websites: Net Income x A Multiplier = Your Website Value
Here is a breakdown of the two:
a) Net Income (profit) is calculated by taking revenues and adjusting for the cost of doing business,
depreciation, interest, taxes and other expenses, or in accounting speak EBITDA. Generally
speaking there are less expenses for a web business as you don’t normally have things (rent,
office expenses and general normal business expenses). So there is normally less calculation to
do than in a normal business valuation. A lot of money can be saved by understanding the actual
profit that you are really making. That is why bigger companies pay ridiculous multiples for
companies. They can see the synergy and economies of scale by cutting costs and expenses to
bring the overall profit level up.
b) A Multiplier A simple multiplier will be based on a Rate of Return. If we use the following: 12
Times Month Multiple = 100% return - and your money back in one year / 24 Time Monthly
Multiple = 50% return – and your money back in two years / 36 times Monthly Multiple = 33%
return – and your money back in three years. You are beginning to see why internet businesses
are becoming a good investment as an investor. With minimal staff and expenses to worry
about, the business starts to look quite attractive. Much better than putting your money in the
back and getting 1-5% interest, depending on what country you are in.
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6. DETERMINING THE TRUE INCOME
Let’s take this simple example: A blog that is monetized through advertising.
Explanation: This business makes a total of $300,000 per year. The business has expenses of
$172,500 giving a net profit of $127,500. However when we add back in the expenses that the new
owner will not inherit the true net profit turns out to be $167,500. Now if that site sold for a
multiple of 2X. That would mean the difference between sale prices of $255,000 versus $335,000 is
$80,000.
Why do you add back those items? Repairs/Maintenance is added back as it is considered a
discretionary expense to Directors. (This expense is for repairs and maintenance on assets owned by
the directors and thus is not an expense the new owner would inherit). Auto Expenses is added back
as it is considered a discretionary expense to Directors. (This expense was for a vehicle owned by the
director and is not included). Meal, Travel and Entertainment is added back as it is considered a
discretionary expense to Directors.(this is a discretionary expense of the Director and should not be
inherited by the Director.) Interests - has been added back to achieve an adjusted EBITA for the year
(this expenses was for a loan the Director had on a property they owned and is not inherited by the
new owner). Add backs are expenses that are added back into the profits. The theory behind add
backs is that they are deemed one off, extraneous, and/or owners expenses.
Some examples of legitimate add backs include:
owners compensation
personal expenses (of the owner)
tax and benefits
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7. WHY YOU CAN’T TRUST ONLINE TOOLS
If I go and see the value of Google.com using the following tools I get the following results:
http://www.dnscoop.com: $2,246,400,000
http://www.worthofweb.com: $ 78,650,521,400
http://sitevaluecheck.com: $710
http://digsitevalue.org: $1 365 751 473
With a range between $710 and 78 billion you can appreciate why automation doesn’t equal
accuracy. That range is a factor if 100,000,000%. Why such a disparity? Because many of these
online tools operate the mathematical and scientific foundations of “ tarrot cards or astrology”.
What Multiples Do Buyers Pay? Multiples vary based on market sentiment, supply of sites coming
up for sale, number of buyers in the market, the synergies that buyers may recognize, timing,
location of listing, credit offered by seller, form of payment, or the buyer’s mood on the day!
First Timers - 1.5x – 2.5x multiples
Financial Buyers – 1x-2x multiples
Strategic Buyers – 1x-3x multiples
Investors – 1x-3x multiples
What Types Of Sites Sell For More? I don’t believe there are “common valuation multiples” or that
it would be a helpful figure if it were calculated. Each site is individual and each buyer has his own
perspective on what he can do with the site and what he’s willing to pay for the revenue streams
and risks he envisages. But it is common to throw around the multiple of 1-2 years of net income as
a starting base and things go up and down from there. I don’t think it’s really a question of an
AdSense site gets 1-2x yearly net and an ecommerce site gets 2-3x. It all depends on the site and
who’s buying it. Big dumb companies buy up companies at insane multiples to gain market share or
push out the competition. There are two major value variables that can alter value:
The consistency or scalability of revenue
The quality and reliability of website traffic
The strength of these two factors can be affected by the following variables
a) Industry
How competitive
Low barrier to entry
Future of the market
Any vertical or horizontal integration
b) Income
One source of income? Stable?
What is the ratio costs to profit
Active customer base
Clean finances
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c) Traffic
Multiple sources of traffic
Referral traffic
Reliance on Google
d) General
Age of Site
Unbroken Whois history
Brand and goodwill
Previous owners
Technical Knowledge required
Solid earnings
Positive growth trend
Processes automated
Defensible Market (a site on CD’s has little value today)
Room for growth
Strong Brand
Diversification (of revenue and traffic)
USP (some type of unique asset)
Key assets (like email list, premium domain, supplier contracts etc.)
Legal Liabilities
Quality evergreen content
A commercial demographic (10,000 doctors is better than 100,000 teenagers)
e) Other factors:
Can the owner make money from day one?
What level of input does the current owner have in making the site function (are they
too close)
Is location a factor in earnings
Are there special requirements (licenses, certificates) to run the business
Are their any special needs of vendors or suppliers
Any debts
Documented Operations Manual
Seller involvement post sale
8. HOW TO GET HIGHER VALUE WHEN SELLING
Performance Goals: pay on certain milestone or goals achieved.
Seller Financing: finance the acquisition as seller financing or some type of payment plan.
Ongoing Support: provide ongoing support this can reassure the new buyer.
Part Ownership: take a monetary interest in the future of the website can help increase price.
Non-Compete: sometimes a clause about not competing will tip the sale in your favor.
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9. CASE STUDY “A”:
Why some people can afford to pay more for a website: Let’s say you see a site that you already
own in a similar market and that this site converts at 10%. The site you are looking to purchase
converts at 5%. Let’s imagine that site has been valued at 36 times monthly earnings for a total of
$300,000 (Buy It Now Price). If you were an “unfair” buyer in that particular market you would
happily pay the 300k and get your money back in three years. However as an “fair” buyer, you can
afford to pay twice the money $600,000 giving it a 72 times monthly earnings multiple and outbid
any “unfair” competitor, knowing that by improving the conversion rate from 5% to 10% you can get
your money back in the same amount of time and thus can afford to spend more on the site to
secure it. You can now see how one person can value a site at X, then another person value a site at
Y. That is why at the end of the day the market tells you what a site is worth.
10. CASE STUDY “B”:
Same income different value: This should give you a better understanding of why similar
businesses sell for completely different amounts.
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Although the two websites have the same annual profits, the above data suggests that company 789
will probably sell for more than company 123, maybe even twice or three times the amount. This
highlights how “rules of thumb” and “industry standards” are useless in some aspects and value is
such an individually past aspect.
11. VALUATION METHODS
Below is a list of valuation models that can be applied to a business.
a) Valuation Models
Capitalisation of future maintainable earnings
Discounted cash flow
Nett asset backing
Net realisable value
Replacement cost
Liquidation value
Capitalisation of dividends
Return on investment
Industry rule of thumb
Comparable market transactions
Cost to create
Multiple of earnings.
b) Common Methods
Asset Valuation: buyers may make their valuation based on the assets of the website (traffic
or customers), they will look how to leveraging those assets to get a quicker return on
investment.
Future Maintainable Earnings: buyers might look at the rate of return they can expect from
the website by capitalizing future earnings multiplying the average profit by the desired RoR.
Earnings multiple: buyers may apply earnings multiple to your website (1.5X…)
Comparable sales: buyers may search for similar sales to find comparable sales data and use
this as a basis for making an offer.
Discounted Cash Flow: Buyers might look at the cash flow received for the investor
discounted at a return on investment rate required form the investor. This valuation model
takes into account the time value of money.
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As you can see there are a multitude of things that can come into factor in the eyes of the buyer.
Understanding them as a seller will enable you to sell better your site. Depending of all these
factors, you might get to the conclusion to hold onto the sale of your website for another year,
because you will likely get double or even triple the money at that time. It is important to remember
that the market is made of thousands of buyers and each and every one of those people will have a
different point of view and methodology to value your web site.
I hope you will be able to build this complex framework when trying to put a value on your site.
Never assume that the price you think you can get is what you will get. You will be surprised the
creative ways people come up with to get their hands on your website. At least you’ll have a tool to
help you to defend a price where both parties will be happy at.
GOOD LUCK !!!!
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Leave your questions and comments to: herve@delhumeau.com