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© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 1
@rshevlin
The Future of Retail Banking
Ron Shevlin
Senior Analyst
Next Bank Madrid
June 2013
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 2
@rshevlin
“We’re one
Bad Axe Bank.”
Bad Axe Bank
“If you want to get rich,
there’s Little Hope for you.”
Bank of Little Hope
“UBS. So we BS. It’s only
fair.”
UBS
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 3
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 4
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 5
@rshevlin
Theme
A new competitive dynamic
in retail banking is emerging
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 6
@rshevlin
Agenda
•  What’s driving change?
•  What is the future of retail banking?
•  What does this mean for banks?
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 7
@rshevlin
-­‐2%
3%
8%
13%
18%
1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
Source: Federal Reserve Bank
US bank return on equity
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 8
@rshevlin
Spanish bank ROE
Source: European Banking Federation
2007
1.1%
2011
0.2%
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 9
@rshevlin
Non-interest income % of assets
Source: “The Impact of Strengthened Basel III Banking
Regulation on Lending Spreads,” Chun, Kim, Ko
2007
1.0%
2011
0.4%
Sample=670 banks in 16 developed countries, including 25 Spanish
banks
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 10
@rshevlin
The future of retail banking
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 11
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 12
@rshevlin
The future of retail banking
•  NeoChecking: The new type of product
•  Mobile shopping: The new points of interaction
•  Performance: The new competitive dynamic
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 13
@rshevlin
The growth of prepaid
Source: MasterCard
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 14
@rshevlin
The Debanked
Mainstream consumers who
willingly opt out of the
traditional banking system
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 15
@rshevlin
NeoChecking accounts
•  Mobile-first design
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 16
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 17
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 18
@rshevlin
NeoChecking accounts
•  Mobile-first design
•  Point-of-decision input/feedback
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 19
@rshevlin
Digital receipt
provides real-time
feedback to
consumers on their
purchase along with
contextual
transaction insights.
Spend tracking
tracks how fast
consumers spend
month-to-date
compared to
historical spending
patterns.
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 20
@rshevlin
NeoChecking accounts
•  Mobile-first design
•  Point-of-decision input/feedback
•  Dynamic account structure
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 21
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 22
@rshevlin
The new points of interaction
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 23
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 24
@rshevlin
JIMMY CHOO
$400
Can I afford it?
How should I pay?
Can I get an offer?
What did others pay?
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 25
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 26
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 27
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 28
@rshevlin
The new point of interaction
PurchaseIdentification
of need
Old point of
interaction
New point of
interaction
Google’s point
of interaction
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 29
@rshevlin
Theme
A new competitive dynamic
in retail banking is emerging
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 30
@rshevlin
Performance: New competitive dynamic
1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2025
Location
Rates
Performance
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 31
@rshevlin
•  Monthly fees
Costs Benefits
•  Penalties
•  Service fees
•  Interest earned
•  Rewards redeemed
•  Savings generated
TBO: Total Benefits of Ownership
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 32
@rshevlin
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 33
@rshevlin
The performance hierarchy
Oversight
Insight
Foresight
•  Where did it go?
•  How did I do?
•  What should I do?
•  What do I have?
PFM
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 34
@rshevlin
Theme
A new competitive dynamic
in retail banking is emerging
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 35
@rshevlin
What it means
•  Branches
–  Low (not high) transaction automation
•  Pricing
–  Alignment of price and value
•  Revenue
–  Googlification of sources
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 36
@rshevlin
The future of retail banking
•  NeoChecking: The new type of product
•  Mobile shopping: The new points of interaction
•  Performance: The new competitive dynamic
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 37
@rshevlin
“The	
  secret	
  to	
  crea,ng	
  
strong	
  rela,onships	
  is	
  
honesty	
  and	
  fair	
  
dealing.”	
  
“If	
  you	
  can	
  fake	
  those,	
  
you	
  have	
  it	
  made.”	
  
—	
  Groucho	
  Marx	
  
© Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 38
@rshevlin
Aite: Partner, Counterpart
Aite Group (eye-tay) is an independent research and
advisory firm focused on business, technology and
regulatory issues and their impact on the financial
services industry.
Ron Shevlin
rshevlin@aitegroup.com
www.aitegroup.com
Twitter: @rshevlin
Blog: Snarketing2dot0.com

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Keynote de Ron Shevlin en Next Bank Madrid 2013

  • 1. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 1 @rshevlin The Future of Retail Banking Ron Shevlin Senior Analyst Next Bank Madrid June 2013
  • 2. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 2 @rshevlin “We’re one Bad Axe Bank.” Bad Axe Bank “If you want to get rich, there’s Little Hope for you.” Bank of Little Hope “UBS. So we BS. It’s only fair.” UBS
  • 3. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 3 @rshevlin
  • 4. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 4 @rshevlin
  • 5. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 5 @rshevlin Theme A new competitive dynamic in retail banking is emerging
  • 6. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 6 @rshevlin Agenda •  What’s driving change? •  What is the future of retail banking? •  What does this mean for banks?
  • 7. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 7 @rshevlin -­‐2% 3% 8% 13% 18% 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 Source: Federal Reserve Bank US bank return on equity
  • 8. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 8 @rshevlin Spanish bank ROE Source: European Banking Federation 2007 1.1% 2011 0.2%
  • 9. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 9 @rshevlin Non-interest income % of assets Source: “The Impact of Strengthened Basel III Banking Regulation on Lending Spreads,” Chun, Kim, Ko 2007 1.0% 2011 0.4% Sample=670 banks in 16 developed countries, including 25 Spanish banks
  • 10. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 10 @rshevlin The future of retail banking
  • 11. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 11 @rshevlin
  • 12. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 12 @rshevlin The future of retail banking •  NeoChecking: The new type of product •  Mobile shopping: The new points of interaction •  Performance: The new competitive dynamic
  • 13. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 13 @rshevlin The growth of prepaid Source: MasterCard
  • 14. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 14 @rshevlin The Debanked Mainstream consumers who willingly opt out of the traditional banking system
  • 15. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 15 @rshevlin NeoChecking accounts •  Mobile-first design
  • 16. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 16 @rshevlin
  • 17. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 17 @rshevlin
  • 18. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 18 @rshevlin NeoChecking accounts •  Mobile-first design •  Point-of-decision input/feedback
  • 19. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 19 @rshevlin Digital receipt provides real-time feedback to consumers on their purchase along with contextual transaction insights. Spend tracking tracks how fast consumers spend month-to-date compared to historical spending patterns.
  • 20. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 20 @rshevlin NeoChecking accounts •  Mobile-first design •  Point-of-decision input/feedback •  Dynamic account structure
  • 21. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 21 @rshevlin
  • 22. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 22 @rshevlin The new points of interaction
  • 23. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 23 @rshevlin
  • 24. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 24 @rshevlin JIMMY CHOO $400 Can I afford it? How should I pay? Can I get an offer? What did others pay?
  • 25. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 25 @rshevlin
  • 26. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 26 @rshevlin
  • 27. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 27 @rshevlin
  • 28. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 28 @rshevlin The new point of interaction PurchaseIdentification of need Old point of interaction New point of interaction Google’s point of interaction
  • 29. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 29 @rshevlin Theme A new competitive dynamic in retail banking is emerging
  • 30. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 30 @rshevlin Performance: New competitive dynamic 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2025 Location Rates Performance
  • 31. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 31 @rshevlin •  Monthly fees Costs Benefits •  Penalties •  Service fees •  Interest earned •  Rewards redeemed •  Savings generated TBO: Total Benefits of Ownership
  • 32. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 32 @rshevlin
  • 33. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 33 @rshevlin The performance hierarchy Oversight Insight Foresight •  Where did it go? •  How did I do? •  What should I do? •  What do I have? PFM
  • 34. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 34 @rshevlin Theme A new competitive dynamic in retail banking is emerging
  • 35. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 35 @rshevlin What it means •  Branches –  Low (not high) transaction automation •  Pricing –  Alignment of price and value •  Revenue –  Googlification of sources
  • 36. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 36 @rshevlin The future of retail banking •  NeoChecking: The new type of product •  Mobile shopping: The new points of interaction •  Performance: The new competitive dynamic
  • 37. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 37 @rshevlin “The  secret  to  crea,ng   strong  rela,onships  is   honesty  and  fair   dealing.”   “If  you  can  fake  those,   you  have  it  made.”   —  Groucho  Marx  
  • 38. © Copyright 2013 Aite Group, LLC 38 @rshevlin Aite: Partner, Counterpart Aite Group (eye-tay) is an independent research and advisory firm focused on business, technology and regulatory issues and their impact on the financial services industry. Ron Shevlin rshevlin@aitegroup.com www.aitegroup.com Twitter: @rshevlin Blog: Snarketing2dot0.com