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Singapore’s Electricity
        Market after Market Reform




David Tan
Deputy Chief Executive
Energy Market Authority
Agenda


• Timeline of Market Reform


• Regulatory Principles and Tensions


• Outcomes of Market Liberalisation
Before Liberalisation

• Public Utilities Board (PUB) has been the sole
  provider of electricity in Singapore up to 1995.


• Infrastructure is built to meet forecasted demand.


• Upward pressure on prices has led the Government
  to ask whether the industry is as efficient as it is, as
  the electricity system continues to grow.
  Competition through industry reforms would
  encourage companies to be cost-efficient.
Industry Reforms (1)

• Electricity industry reforms started in 1995 –
  electricity and gas undertakings of PUB corporatised
  under Singapore Power. PUB remained the
  regulatory body.


• Singapore Power was a vertically integrated power
  company, owning the generation, transmission and
  retail segments of the industry
Electricity Industry Structure in 1995
                                                                              ENV        Tuas      SembCorp
Singapore Power Ltd                                                                                            IPPs
                                                                                       Power Ltd   Cogen Pte
Senoko Power Ltd    PowerSeraya Ltd                                                                   Ltd

 PP GT          Senoko              Jurong           Seraya




                                       PowerGrid Ltd
                            T&D               System                Pool
                                             Operations           Operations
                                                                                            since Apr 98



              Power Supply Ltd                         Private Electricity
                          Non-                             Suppliers
          Franchised   franchised   Utilities
                                    Support               Utilities        Non-
            Sector       Sector     Services              Support       franchised
                                                          Services        Sector
                                                                                               Contestable Business
                                                                                               Non-contestable
                                             Progressive              Non-franchised           Business
               Franchised
                                             extension of              Consumers
               Consumers                     competition
Industry Reforms (2)

• New power companies were not forthcoming in
  investing in new plants, since Singapore Power
  owns grid and generation.


• In 2000, Govt took further steps in industry reform:
  separation of the natural monopolies (i.e. grid) from
  the competitive domain (i.e. generation and retail)


• Grid remained under Singapore Power, while each
  power plant was set up as a separate company to
  compete with one another
Industry Reforms (3)

• EMA was formed in 2001 as the industry regulator
  and power system operator.


• Energy Market Company became the market
  operator.


• New generation companies came into operation:
  SembCorp Cogen in 2001 and Keppel Merlimau
  Cogen in 2007. Island Power Company is expected
  to come into operation in 2010.
Electricity Industry Structure in April 2001

 Senoko Power   PowerSeraya       ENV        Tuas Power           IPPs
     Ltd            Ltd        (now NEA)         Ltd


                                                                         Energy Market Authority
                                                                              of Singapore


                                                                                 Industry
                                                                                Regulator

                                    PowerGrid Ltd                                System
                                                                                 Operator
                                           T&D

Singapore Power Ltd


        Power Supply Ltd                               Electricity                Market
      (now SP Services Ltd)                            Retailers                 Operator

                                                                            Energy Market
                                                                           Company Pte Ltd
    Franchised (Small)    Market to be       Non-franchised (Large
    Consumers             fully opened       Industrial & Commercial)
                             ultimately      Consumers
                                                                            Electricity Flow
Key Electricity Licensees

 Electricity Generation (8)             Market Company
   Senoko Power Ltd                        Energy Market Company Pte Ltd
   PowerSeraya Ltd
   Tuas Power Ltd                       Electricity Retail (6)
   SembCorp Cogen Pte Ltd                  Keppel Electric Pte Ltd
   National Environment Agency             SembCorp Power Pte Ltd
   Island Power Company Pte Ltd            Tuas Power Supply Pte Ltd
   Keppel Merlimau Cogen Pte Ltd           Senoko Energy Supply Pte Ltd
   Keppel Seghers Tuas Waste-To-           Seraya Energy Pte Ltd
   Energy Plant Pte Ltd
                                           Island Power Supply Pte Ltd
Electricity Transmission
   SP PowerAssets Ltd                    Market Support Services
   SP PowerGrid Ltd (as agent to
                                            SP Services Ltd
   electricity transmission licensee)
Industry Reforms (4)

• National Electricity Market of Singapore (NEMS)
  commenced operation in Jan 2003.


• Vesting Contracts was introduced in Jan 2004 to
  curb vesting contracts.


• Interruptible Load Supply was introduced in 2004 –
  consumers can offer to have their electricity supply
  interrupted in exchange for payment from the
  reserve market.
Industry Reforms (5) – Retail Contestability

  Phase I          Phase II         Phase III
  started          started in      Being studied
  Jun 2003         Dec 2003


• HT consumers   • LT consumers    • Remaining one
                   with average      million
• LT consumers                       consumers
                   monthly
  with average
                   consumption     • Electricity
  monthly
                   exceeding         Vending System
  consumption
                   10,000 kWh
  exceeding
  20,000 kWh     • Another 5,000
                   contestable
• About 5,000
                   consumers
  consumers
Electricity Industry Structure in Jan 2003

 PowerSenoko    PowerSeraya        ENV       Tuas Power           IPPs
     Ltd            Ltd                          Ltd


                                                                         Energy Market Authority
                                                                              of Singapore


                                                                                 Industry
                                                                                Regulator

                                     PowerGrid Ltd                               System
                                                                                 Operator
                                           T&D

Singapore Power Ltd


         SP Services Ltd                               Electricity                Market
                                                       Retailers                 Operator

                                                                            Energy Market
                                                                           Company Pte Ltd
    Franchised (Small)     Market to be      Non-franchised (Large
    Consumers (1 mil)      fully opened      Industrial & Commercial)
                              ultimately     Consumers (10,000)
                                                                              Electricity Flow
Generation Statistics (2007)

Max System Demand            5,946 MW
Licensed Generation         12,330 MW
Capacity
Energy Generated            41,138 GWh
System Gross                    ~ 44%
Efficiency
System Losses                       ~ 9%

Generation by Fuel Fix
Fuel Oil                            18%
Natural Gas                         79%
Others (Incineration,                3%
etc.)
Regulatory Principles (1)
•   A good regulatory regime is essential for the free
    market to function efficiently.

•   Key regulatory objectives :
       a) a level playing field
       b) transparent rules and consistent application of
           rules.
       c) open access
       d) low entry and exit barriers

•   “The most expensive electricity is no electricity”
    Electricity price should be an outcome of a properly
    functioning market.
Regulatory Principles (2)

Key market principles:
a) Champion competition, not companies and allow
   market outcomes to be expressed.
b) Market to drive investments, allow entry or exit of
   new competitors/products into the market
c) Market to incentivise most cost efficient behaviour
d) Market sets electricity price
e) No distortions from subsidies, causer-pays
   principle
Price regulate monopolies (the Grid) in a way to
incentivise the companies to be cost efficient.
Regulatory Tensions (1)

• One outcome of competition is to cause companies
  to adopt the most cost efficient technology –
  Combined Cycle Gas Turbines (CCGTs).

• The reliance on gas has thrown up some dilemmas.

• Do we need a fuel mix for security? Should we
  determine the fuel mix to be used or should we
  leave it to the market to determine what mix of fuel
  to be used?
Global fuel mix is much more diverse than S’pore

 Global Electricity Fuel Mix (2004)           Singapore Electricity Fuel Mix
                     Waste                               (2006)
          Geotherm
                     0.4%    Others
             al                                                 Refuse
                              0.5%
     Hydro 0.3%                                                  2.4%     Diesel
     16.5%                                                                 0.1%
                                                                         Orimulsi
                                       Coal                                 on
                                      39.6%                               6.9%
                                                  Natural
Nuclear                                            Gas
                                                                         SynGas
 15.6%                                            77.8%
                                                                          0.9%


  Biomass
    0.9%                                                              Fuel Oil
                                                                       11.9%
              Gas             Oil
             19.5%           6.7%

Source: IEA, EMA
0%
                                                    20%
                                                          40%
                                                                60%
                                                                      80%
                                                                            100%
                                South Africa
                                   Australia




Source: IEA, EMA
                                      Israel
                                 Hong Kong
                                     Taiwan




                   Coal
                                       USA
                                   Germany




                   Hydro
                                   Denmark
                                  Indonesia




                   Oil
                                South Korea
                                North Korea




                   Gas
                                         UK
                                     Ireland


                   Nuclear
                                 Philippines
                                   Malaysia
                                    Finland
                                      Japan
                   Renewables




                                Netherlands
                                                                                   International Comparison




                                     Russia
                                New Zealand
                                     France
                                    Norway
                                Switzerland
                                  Singapore
Regulatory Tensions (2)

• We were dependent on oil for a long time. But the
  well developed global markets for oil helped to
  ensure that there is always a supplier to buy from –
  even during the oil embargo in the 1970s, we were
  able to secure fuel.

• Gas enables 2 levels of diversification – gas turbines
  can be fired by diesel which is stockpiled and the
  LNG terminal which is being planned will enable
  source diversification.
Regulatory Tensions (3)

• Fuel diversification occurs in large countries and
  usually in countries which have indigenous sources
  of energy and is usually an outcome of economic
  viability.

• Without adequate economies of scale with each type
  of fuel used and without the circumstances to render
  the use of each type of fuel viable, fuel diversification
  can be a very expensive option.

• We are technology neutral and will be an enabler for
  what the market decides.
Outcomes of Market Liberalisation (1)

Downward pressure of electricity prices
• By 2007, about 10,000 accounts representing 75%
  of electricity consumed in Singapore are
  contestable.

• EMA is exploring how to leverage on technology
  (Electricity Vending System) to extend contestability
  to the rest of about 1 million domestic consumers

• Evident in the rise in electricity tariffs which is
  significantly smaller than rise in fuel oil price
Electricity Tariff vs Fuel Oil Price
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        96.64
                           100                                                                                                                                                                                                                  100
                                                                        Fuel Oil Prices (S$) vs Low Tension Tariff                                                                        87.49 88.52                           87.46
                           90                                                                                                                                                                                                                   90
                                                                                                                                                                            80.96 81.23
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        77.45
                           80                                                                                                                                                                           75.73                                   80
                                                                                                                                                                    72.71

                           70                                                                                                                               64.87                                               65.25                           70
Fuel Oil Prices (S$/bbl)




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Tariff (¢/kWh)
                           60                                                                                                               52.40
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                60
                                                                                            50.15                                                   49.22
                                                                                                                                    47.79
                           50                                               45.66                                                                                                                                                               50
                                                                    42.84           42.42           43.06 43.34 43.12 44.56 44.56
                                 38.30 37.18 37.18
                           40                                                                                                                                                                                                                   40
                                                       32.1332.13

                           30                                                                                                                                                                                                           22.62 30
                                                                                                                                                                                      21.15 21.64 20.02                 20.52 21.38
                                 19.87                                                                                                                      18.26   19.57 21.02 20.49                           18.88
                                         17.21 17.21                                        17.81 16.56
                           20                          15.0215.02 16.01 16.51 15.24                       15.81 15.44 15.8 15.8 16.53 16.73 16.06                                                                                               20

                           10                                                                                                                                                              Pegged Fuel Price                     LT Tariff      10

                            0                                                                                                                                                                                                                   0
                                 Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan-
                                  01 01 01 02 02 02 02 03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08

                                    •         Fuel oil price has increased by 152%
                                    •         The electricity tariff for households has however increased by 14%
                                    •         This is largely due to efficiencies gains in the industry, such as utilizing
                                              more cost-efficient technologies for electricity production.
CO2 Generated in kg/MWh in Year 2000 and 2007




         •
Source: CARMA
                30% reduction in Carbon Dioxide Generated in kg/MWh
Outcomes of Market Liberalisation (2)

    Companies are incentivised to:
a) reduce costs (sourcing for cheaper fuel);
b) lower costs of risks (hedge against volatility in fuel
   oil price);
c) adopt the most cost competitive technology (switch
   from steam plants to CCGTs),
d) develop market demand and improve efficiency
   (adopting combined heat and power plants eg co-
   gen and tri-gen).
•   On the whole, market reforms have increased
    competition among industry players and benefited
    consumers.
Singapores Electricity Market After Market Reform

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Singapores Electricity Market After Market Reform

  • 1. Singapore’s Electricity Market after Market Reform David Tan Deputy Chief Executive Energy Market Authority
  • 2. Agenda • Timeline of Market Reform • Regulatory Principles and Tensions • Outcomes of Market Liberalisation
  • 3. Before Liberalisation • Public Utilities Board (PUB) has been the sole provider of electricity in Singapore up to 1995. • Infrastructure is built to meet forecasted demand. • Upward pressure on prices has led the Government to ask whether the industry is as efficient as it is, as the electricity system continues to grow. Competition through industry reforms would encourage companies to be cost-efficient.
  • 4. Industry Reforms (1) • Electricity industry reforms started in 1995 – electricity and gas undertakings of PUB corporatised under Singapore Power. PUB remained the regulatory body. • Singapore Power was a vertically integrated power company, owning the generation, transmission and retail segments of the industry
  • 5. Electricity Industry Structure in 1995 ENV Tuas SembCorp Singapore Power Ltd IPPs Power Ltd Cogen Pte Senoko Power Ltd PowerSeraya Ltd Ltd PP GT Senoko Jurong Seraya PowerGrid Ltd T&D System Pool Operations Operations since Apr 98 Power Supply Ltd Private Electricity Non- Suppliers Franchised franchised Utilities Support Utilities Non- Sector Sector Services Support franchised Services Sector Contestable Business Non-contestable Progressive Non-franchised Business Franchised extension of Consumers Consumers competition
  • 6. Industry Reforms (2) • New power companies were not forthcoming in investing in new plants, since Singapore Power owns grid and generation. • In 2000, Govt took further steps in industry reform: separation of the natural monopolies (i.e. grid) from the competitive domain (i.e. generation and retail) • Grid remained under Singapore Power, while each power plant was set up as a separate company to compete with one another
  • 7. Industry Reforms (3) • EMA was formed in 2001 as the industry regulator and power system operator. • Energy Market Company became the market operator. • New generation companies came into operation: SembCorp Cogen in 2001 and Keppel Merlimau Cogen in 2007. Island Power Company is expected to come into operation in 2010.
  • 8. Electricity Industry Structure in April 2001 Senoko Power PowerSeraya ENV Tuas Power IPPs Ltd Ltd (now NEA) Ltd Energy Market Authority of Singapore Industry Regulator PowerGrid Ltd System Operator T&D Singapore Power Ltd Power Supply Ltd Electricity Market (now SP Services Ltd) Retailers Operator Energy Market Company Pte Ltd Franchised (Small) Market to be Non-franchised (Large Consumers fully opened Industrial & Commercial) ultimately Consumers Electricity Flow
  • 9. Key Electricity Licensees Electricity Generation (8) Market Company Senoko Power Ltd Energy Market Company Pte Ltd PowerSeraya Ltd Tuas Power Ltd Electricity Retail (6) SembCorp Cogen Pte Ltd Keppel Electric Pte Ltd National Environment Agency SembCorp Power Pte Ltd Island Power Company Pte Ltd Tuas Power Supply Pte Ltd Keppel Merlimau Cogen Pte Ltd Senoko Energy Supply Pte Ltd Keppel Seghers Tuas Waste-To- Seraya Energy Pte Ltd Energy Plant Pte Ltd Island Power Supply Pte Ltd Electricity Transmission SP PowerAssets Ltd Market Support Services SP PowerGrid Ltd (as agent to SP Services Ltd electricity transmission licensee)
  • 10. Industry Reforms (4) • National Electricity Market of Singapore (NEMS) commenced operation in Jan 2003. • Vesting Contracts was introduced in Jan 2004 to curb vesting contracts. • Interruptible Load Supply was introduced in 2004 – consumers can offer to have their electricity supply interrupted in exchange for payment from the reserve market.
  • 11. Industry Reforms (5) – Retail Contestability Phase I Phase II Phase III started started in Being studied Jun 2003 Dec 2003 • HT consumers • LT consumers • Remaining one with average million • LT consumers consumers monthly with average consumption • Electricity monthly exceeding Vending System consumption 10,000 kWh exceeding 20,000 kWh • Another 5,000 contestable • About 5,000 consumers consumers
  • 12. Electricity Industry Structure in Jan 2003 PowerSenoko PowerSeraya ENV Tuas Power IPPs Ltd Ltd Ltd Energy Market Authority of Singapore Industry Regulator PowerGrid Ltd System Operator T&D Singapore Power Ltd SP Services Ltd Electricity Market Retailers Operator Energy Market Company Pte Ltd Franchised (Small) Market to be Non-franchised (Large Consumers (1 mil) fully opened Industrial & Commercial) ultimately Consumers (10,000) Electricity Flow
  • 13. Generation Statistics (2007) Max System Demand 5,946 MW Licensed Generation 12,330 MW Capacity Energy Generated 41,138 GWh System Gross ~ 44% Efficiency System Losses ~ 9% Generation by Fuel Fix Fuel Oil 18% Natural Gas 79% Others (Incineration, 3% etc.)
  • 14. Regulatory Principles (1) • A good regulatory regime is essential for the free market to function efficiently. • Key regulatory objectives : a) a level playing field b) transparent rules and consistent application of rules. c) open access d) low entry and exit barriers • “The most expensive electricity is no electricity” Electricity price should be an outcome of a properly functioning market.
  • 15. Regulatory Principles (2) Key market principles: a) Champion competition, not companies and allow market outcomes to be expressed. b) Market to drive investments, allow entry or exit of new competitors/products into the market c) Market to incentivise most cost efficient behaviour d) Market sets electricity price e) No distortions from subsidies, causer-pays principle Price regulate monopolies (the Grid) in a way to incentivise the companies to be cost efficient.
  • 16. Regulatory Tensions (1) • One outcome of competition is to cause companies to adopt the most cost efficient technology – Combined Cycle Gas Turbines (CCGTs). • The reliance on gas has thrown up some dilemmas. • Do we need a fuel mix for security? Should we determine the fuel mix to be used or should we leave it to the market to determine what mix of fuel to be used?
  • 17. Global fuel mix is much more diverse than S’pore Global Electricity Fuel Mix (2004) Singapore Electricity Fuel Mix Waste (2006) Geotherm 0.4% Others al Refuse 0.5% Hydro 0.3% 2.4% Diesel 16.5% 0.1% Orimulsi Coal on 39.6% 6.9% Natural Nuclear Gas SynGas 15.6% 77.8% 0.9% Biomass 0.9% Fuel Oil 11.9% Gas Oil 19.5% 6.7% Source: IEA, EMA
  • 18. 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% South Africa Australia Source: IEA, EMA Israel Hong Kong Taiwan Coal USA Germany Hydro Denmark Indonesia Oil South Korea North Korea Gas UK Ireland Nuclear Philippines Malaysia Finland Japan Renewables Netherlands International Comparison Russia New Zealand France Norway Switzerland Singapore
  • 19. Regulatory Tensions (2) • We were dependent on oil for a long time. But the well developed global markets for oil helped to ensure that there is always a supplier to buy from – even during the oil embargo in the 1970s, we were able to secure fuel. • Gas enables 2 levels of diversification – gas turbines can be fired by diesel which is stockpiled and the LNG terminal which is being planned will enable source diversification.
  • 20. Regulatory Tensions (3) • Fuel diversification occurs in large countries and usually in countries which have indigenous sources of energy and is usually an outcome of economic viability. • Without adequate economies of scale with each type of fuel used and without the circumstances to render the use of each type of fuel viable, fuel diversification can be a very expensive option. • We are technology neutral and will be an enabler for what the market decides.
  • 21. Outcomes of Market Liberalisation (1) Downward pressure of electricity prices • By 2007, about 10,000 accounts representing 75% of electricity consumed in Singapore are contestable. • EMA is exploring how to leverage on technology (Electricity Vending System) to extend contestability to the rest of about 1 million domestic consumers • Evident in the rise in electricity tariffs which is significantly smaller than rise in fuel oil price
  • 22. Electricity Tariff vs Fuel Oil Price 96.64 100 100 Fuel Oil Prices (S$) vs Low Tension Tariff 87.49 88.52 87.46 90 90 80.96 81.23 77.45 80 75.73 80 72.71 70 64.87 65.25 70 Fuel Oil Prices (S$/bbl) Tariff (¢/kWh) 60 52.40 60 50.15 49.22 47.79 50 45.66 50 42.84 42.42 43.06 43.34 43.12 44.56 44.56 38.30 37.18 37.18 40 40 32.1332.13 30 22.62 30 21.15 21.64 20.02 20.52 21.38 19.87 18.26 19.57 21.02 20.49 18.88 17.21 17.21 17.81 16.56 20 15.0215.02 16.01 16.51 15.24 15.81 15.44 15.8 15.8 16.53 16.73 16.06 20 10 Pegged Fuel Price LT Tariff 10 0 0 Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- Apr- Jul- Oct- Jan- 01 01 01 02 02 02 02 03 03 03 03 04 04 04 04 05 05 05 05 06 06 06 06 07 07 07 07 08 • Fuel oil price has increased by 152% • The electricity tariff for households has however increased by 14% • This is largely due to efficiencies gains in the industry, such as utilizing more cost-efficient technologies for electricity production.
  • 23. CO2 Generated in kg/MWh in Year 2000 and 2007 • Source: CARMA 30% reduction in Carbon Dioxide Generated in kg/MWh
  • 24. Outcomes of Market Liberalisation (2) Companies are incentivised to: a) reduce costs (sourcing for cheaper fuel); b) lower costs of risks (hedge against volatility in fuel oil price); c) adopt the most cost competitive technology (switch from steam plants to CCGTs), d) develop market demand and improve efficiency (adopting combined heat and power plants eg co- gen and tri-gen). • On the whole, market reforms have increased competition among industry players and benefited consumers.