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Decision Support andDecision Support and
Business IntelligenceBusiness Intelligence
SystemsSystems
Chapter 1:Chapter 1:
Decision Support SystemsDecision Support Systems
and Business Intelligenceand Business Intelligence
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-2
Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives
 Understand today's turbulent business
environment and describe how organizations
survive and even excel in such an environment
(solving problems and exploiting opportunities)
 Understand the need for computerized support
of managerial decision making
 Understand an early framework for managerial
decision making
 Learn the conceptual foundations of the
decision support systems (DSS)
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-3
Learning Objectives – cont.Learning Objectives – cont.
 Describe the business intelligence (BI)
methodology and concepts and relate them to
DSS
 Describe the concept of work systems and its
relationship to decision support
 List the major tools of computerized decision
support
 Understand the major issues in implementing
computerized support systems
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-4
Opening Vignette:Opening Vignette:
“Norfolk Southern Uses BI for Decision
Support to Reach Success”
 Company background
 Problem
 Proposed solution
 Results
 Answer and discuss the case questions
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-5
Changing Business EnvironmentChanging Business Environment
 Companies are moving aggressively to
computerized support of their
operations => Business Intelligence
 Business Pressures–Responses–
Support Model
 Business pressures result of today's
competitive business climate
 Responses to counter the pressures
 Support to better facilitate the process
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-6
Business Pressures–Responses–Business Pressures–Responses–
Support ModelSupport Model
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-7
The Business EnvironmentThe Business Environment
 The environment in which organizations
operate today is becoming more and
more complex, creating:
 opportunities, and
 problems
 Example: globalization
 Business environment factors:
 markets, consumer demands, technology,
and societal…
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-8
Business Environment FactorsBusiness Environment Factors
FACTOR DESCRIPTION
Markets Strong competition
Expanding global markets
Blooming electronic markets on the Internet
Innovative marketing methods
Opportunities for outsourcing with IT support
Need for real-time, on-demand transactions
Consumer Desire for customization
demand Desire for quality, diversity of products, and speed of delivery
Customers getting powerful and less loyal
Technology More innovations, new products, and new services
Increasing obsolescence rate
Increasing information overload
Social networking, Web 2.0 and beyond
Societal Growing government regulations and deregulation
Workforce more diversified, older, and composed of more women
Prime concerns of homeland security and terrorist attacks
Necessity of Sarbanes-Oxley Act and other reporting-related legislation
Increasing social responsibility of companies
Greater emphasis on sustainability
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-9
Organizational ResponsesOrganizational Responses
 Be Reactive, Anticipative, Adaptive, and
Proactive
 Managers may take actions, such as
 Employ strategic planning
 Use new and innovative business models
 Restructure business processes
 Participate in business alliances
 Improve corporate information systems
 Improve partnership relationships
 Encourage innovation and creativity …cont…>
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-10
Managers actions, continuedManagers actions, continued
 Improve customer service and relationships
 Move to electronic commerce (e-commerce)
 Move to make-to-order production and on-demand
manufacturing and services
 Use new IT to improve communication, data access
(discovery of information), and collaboration
 Respond quickly to competitors' actions (e.g., in
pricing, promotions, new products and services)
 Automate many tasks of white-collar employees
 Automate certain decision processes
 Improve decision making by employing analytics
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-11
Closing the Strategy GapClosing the Strategy Gap
 One of the major objectives of
computerized decision support is to
facilitate closing the gap between the
current performance of an organization
and its desired performance, as
expressed in its mission, objectives,
and goals, and the strategy to achieve
them
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-12
Managerial Decision MakingManagerial Decision Making
 Management is a process by which
organizational goals are achieved by
using resources
 Inputs: resources
 Output: attainment of goals
 Measure of success: outputs / inputs
 Management ≅ Decision Making
 Decision making: selecting the best
solution from two or more alternatives
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-13
Mintzberg's 10 Managerial RolesMintzberg's 10 Managerial Roles
InterpersonalInterpersonal
1. Figurehead
2. Leader
3. Liaison
InformationalInformational
4. Monitor
5. Disseminator
6. Spokesperson
DecisionalDecisional
7. Entrepreneur
8. Disturbance handler
9. Resource allocator
10. Negotiator
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-14
Decision Making ProcessDecision Making Process
 Managers usually make decisions by
following a four-step process (a.k.a. the
scientific approach)
1. Define the problem (or opportunity)
2. Construct a model that describes the real-
world problem
3. Identify possible solutions to the modeled
problem and evaluate the solutions
4. Compare, choose, and recommend a
potential solution to the problem
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-15
Decision making is difficult, becauseDecision making is difficult, because
 Technology, information systems, advanced search
engines, and globalization result in more and more
alternatives from which to choose
 Government regulations and the need for compliance,
political instability and terrorism, competition, and
changing consumer demands produce more
uncertainty, making it more difficult to predict
consequences and the future
 Other factors are the need to make rapid decisions,
the frequent and unpredictable changes that make
trial-and-error learning difficult, and the potential costs
of making mistakes
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-16
Why Use Computerized DSSWhy Use Computerized DSS
 Computerized DSS can facilitate
decision via:
 Speedy computations
 Improved communication and collaboration
 Increased productivity of group members
 Improved data management
 Overcoming cognitive limits
 Quality support; agility support
 Using Web; anywhere, anytime support
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-17
A Decision Support FrameworkA Decision Support Framework
(by Gory and Scott-Morten, 1971)(by Gory and Scott-Morten, 1971)
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-18
A Decision Support Framework – cont.A Decision Support Framework – cont.
 Degree of Structuredness (Simon,
1977)
 Decision are classified as

Highly structured (a.k.a. programmed)

Semi-structured

Highly unstructured (i.e., non-programmed)
 Types of Control (Anthony, 1965)
 Strategic planning (top-level, long-range)
 Management control (tactical planning)
 Operational control
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-19
Simon’s Decision-Making ProcessSimon’s Decision-Making Process
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-20
Computer Support for StructuredComputer Support for Structured
DecisionsDecisions
 Structured problems: encountered
repeatedly, have a high level of structure
 It is possible to abstract, analyze, and
classify them into specific categories
 e.g., make-or-buy decisions, capital
budgeting, resource allocation, distribution,
procurement, and inventory control
 For each category a solution approach is
developed => Management Science
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-21
Management Science ApproachManagement Science Approach
 Also referred to as Operation Research
 In solving problems, managers should
follow the five-step MS approach
1. Define the problem
2. Classify the problem into a standard category (*)
3. Construct a model that describes the real-world
problem
4. Identify possible solutions to the modeled problem
and evaluate the solutions
5. Compare, choose, and recommend a potential
solution to the problem
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-22
Automated Decision MakingAutomated Decision Making
 A relatively new approach to supporting
decision making
 Applies to highly structures decisions
 Automated decision systems (ADS)
(or decision automation systems)
 An ADS is a rule-based system that
provides a solution to a repetitive
managerial problem in a specific area
 e.g., simple-loan approval system
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-23
Automated Decision MakingAutomated Decision Making
 ADS initially appeared in the airline
industry called revenue (or yield)
management (or revenue optimization)
systems
 dynamically price tickets based on actual
demand
 Today, many service industries use
similar pricing models
 ADS are driven by business rules!
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-24
Computer Support forComputer Support for
Unstructured DecisionsUnstructured Decisions
 Unstructured problems can be only
partially supported by standard
computerized quantitative methods
 They often require customized solutions
 They benefit from data and information
 Intuition and judgment may play a role
 Computerized communication and
collaboration technologies along with
knowledge management is often used
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-25
Computer Support forComputer Support for
Semi-structured ProblemsSemi-structured Problems
 Solving semi-structured problems may
involve a combination of standard
solution procedures and human
judgment
 MS handles the structured parts while
DSS deals with the unstructured parts
 With proper data and information, a
range of alternative solutions, along with
their potential impacts
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-26
Automated Decision-MakingAutomated Decision-Making
FrameworkFramework
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-27
Concept of Decision SupportConcept of Decision Support
SystemsSystems
Classical Definitions of DSSClassical Definitions of DSS
 Interactive computer-based systems, which help
decision makers utilize data and models to solve
unstructured problems" - Gorry and Scott-Morton, 1971
 Decision support systems couple the intellectual
resources of individuals with the capabilities of the
computer to improve the quality of decisions. It is a
computer-based support system for management
decision makers who deal with semistructured
problems - Keen and Scott-Morton, 1978
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-28
DSS as an Umbrella TermDSS as an Umbrella Term
 The term DSS can be used as an
umbrella term to describe any
computerized system that supports
decision making in an organization
 E.g., an organization wide knowledge
management system; a decision support
system specific to an organizational function
(marketing, finance, accounting,
manufacturing, planning, SCM, etc.)
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-29
DSS as a Specific ApplicationDSS as a Specific Application
 In a narrow sense DSS refers to a
process for building customized
applications for unstructured or semi-
structured problems
 Components of the DSS Architecture
 Data, Model, Knowledge/Intelligence, User,
Interface (API and/or user interface)
 DSS often is created by putting together
loosely coupled instances of these
components
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-30
High-Level Architecture of a DSSHigh-Level Architecture of a DSS
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-31
Types of DSSTypes of DSS
 Two major types:
 Model-oriented DSS
 Data-oriented DSS
 Evolution of DSS into Business Intelligence
 Use of DSS moved from specialist to managers,
and then whomever, whenever, wherever
 Enabling tools like OLAP, data warehousing, data
mining, intelligent systems, delivered via Web
technology have collectively led to the term
“business intelligence” (BI) and “business analytics”
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-32
Business Intelligence (BI)Business Intelligence (BI)
 BI is an umbrella term that combines
architectures, tools, databases, analytical
tools, applications, and methodologies
 Like DSS, BI a content-free expression, so it
means different things to different people
 BI's major objective is to enable easy access
to data (and models) to provide business
managers with the ability to conduct analysis
 BI helps transform data, to information (and
knowledge), to decisions and finally to action
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-33
A Brief History of BIA Brief History of BI
 The term BI was coined by the Gartner
Group in the mid-1990s
 However, the concept is much older
 1970s - MIS reporting - static/periodic reports
 1980s - Executive Information Systems (EIS)
 1990s - OLAP, dynamic, multidimensional, ad-hoc
reporting -> coining of the term “BI”
 2005+ Inclusion of AI and Data/Text Mining
capabilities; Web-based Portals/Dashboards
 2010s - yet to be seen
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-34
The Evolution of BI CapabilitiesThe Evolution of BI Capabilities
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-35
The Architecture of BIThe Architecture of BI
 A BI system has four major components
 a data warehouse, with its source data
 business analytics, a collection of tools for
manipulating, mining, and analyzing the
data in the data warehouse;
 business performance management (BPM)
for monitoring and analyzing performance
 a user interface (e.g., dashboard)
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-36
A High-Level Architecture of BIA High-Level Architecture of BI
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-37
Components in a BI ArchitectureComponents in a BI Architecture
 The data warehouse is a large repository of
well-organized historical data
 Business analytics are the tools that allow
transformation of data into information and
knowledge
 Business performance management (BPM)
allows monitoring, measuring, and comparing
key performance indicators
 User interface (e.g., dashboards) allows
access and easy manipulation of other BI
components
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-38
Styles of BIStyles of BI
 MicroStrategy, Corp. distinguishes five
styles of BI and offers tools for each
1. report delivery and alerting
2. enterprise reporting (using dashboards
and scorecards)
3. cube analysis (also known as slice-and-
dice analysis)
4. ad-hoc queries
5. statistics and data mining
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-39
The Benefits of BIThe Benefits of BI
 The ability to provide accurate information
when needed, including a real-time view of
the corporate performance and its parts
 A survey by Thompson (2004)
 Faster, more accurate reporting (81%)
 Improved decision making (78%)
 Improved customer service (56%)
 Increased revenue (49%)
 See Table 1.3 for a list of BI analytic
applications, the business questions they
answer and the business value they bring
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-40
The DSS–BI ConnectionThe DSS–BI Connection
 First, their architectures are very similar
because BI evolved from DSS
 Second, DSS directly support specific
decision making, while BI provides accurate
and timely information, and indirectly support
decision making
 Third, BI has an executive and strategy
orientation, especially in its BPM and
dashboard components, while DSS, in
contrast, is oriented toward analysts
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-41
The DSS–BI Connection – cont.The DSS–BI Connection – cont.
 Fourth, most BI systems are constructed with
commercially available tools and components,
while DSS is often built from scratch
 Fifth, DSS methodologies and even some tools
were developed mostly in the academic world,
while BI methodologies and tools were
developed mostly by software companies
 Sixth, many of the tools that BI uses are also
considered DSS tools (e.g., data mining and
predictive analysis are core tools in both)
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-42
The DSS–BI Connection – cont.The DSS–BI Connection – cont.
 Although some people equate DSS with BI,
these systems are not, at present, the same
 some people believe that DSS is a part of BI—one
of its analytical tools
 others think that BI is a special case of DSS that
deals mostly with reporting, communication, and
collaboration (a form of data-oriented DSS)
 BI is a result of a continuous revolution and, as
such, DSS is one of BI's original elements
 In this book, we separate DSS from BI
 MSS = BI and/or DSS
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-43
A Work System View of DecisionA Work System View of Decision
Support (Alter, 2004)Support (Alter, 2004)
 drop the word “systems” from DSS
 focus on “decision support”
“use of any plausible computerized or
noncomputerized means for improving decision
making in a particular repetitive or nonrepetitive
business situation in a particular organization”
 Work system: a system in which human participants
and/or machines perform a business process, using
information, technology, and other resources, to
produce products and/or services for internal or
external customers
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-44
Elements of a Work SystemElements of a Work System
1. Business process. Variations in the process
rationale, sequence of steps, or methods used for
performing particular steps
2. Participants. Better training, better skills, higher
levels of commitment, or better real-time or delayed
feedback
3. Information. Better information quality, information
availability, or information presentation
4. Technology. Better data storage and retrieval,
models, algorithms, statistical or graphical
capabilities, or computer interaction
-->
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-45
Elements of a Work System – cont.Elements of a Work System – cont.
5. Product and services. Better ways to evaluate
potential decisions
6. Customers. Better ways to involve customers in the
decision process and to obtain greater clarity about
their needs
7. Infrastructure. More effective use of shared
infrastructure, which might lead to improvements
8. Environment. Better methods for incorporating
concerns from the surrounding environment
9. Strategy. A fundamentally different operational
strategy for the work system
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-46
Major Tool Categories for MSSMajor Tool Categories for MSS
Source: Table 1.4Source: Table 1.4
TOOL CATEGORY TOOLS AND THEIR ACRONYMS
Data management Databases and database management system (DBMS)
Extraction, transformation, and load (ETL) systems
Data warehouses (DW), real-time DW, and data marts
Reporting status tracking Online analytical processing (OLAP)
Executive information systems (EIS)
Visualization Geographical information systems (GIS)
Dashboards, Information portals
Multidimensional presentations
Business analytics Optimization, Web analytics
Data mining, Web mining, and text mining
Strategy and performance
management
Business performance management (BPM)/
Corporate performance management (CPM)
Business activity management (BAM)
Dashboards and Scorecards
Communication and
collaboration
Group decision support systems (GDSS)
Group support systems (GSS)
Collaborative information portals and systems
Social networking Web 2.0, Expert locating systems
Knowledge management Knowledge management systems (KMS)
Intelligent systems Expert systems (ES)
Artificial neural networks (ANN)
Fuzzy logic, Genetic algorithms, Intelligent agents
Enterprise systems Enterprise resource planning (ERP),
Customer Relationship Management (CRM), and
Supply-Chain Management (SCM)
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-47
Hybrid (Integrated) Support SystemsHybrid (Integrated) Support Systems
 The objective of computerized decision support,
regardless of its name or nature, is to assist
management in solving managerial or organizational
problems (and assess opportunities and strategies)
faster and better than possible without computers
 Every type of tool has certain capabilities and
limitations. By integrating several tools, we can
improve decision support because one tool can
provide advantages where another is weak
 The trend is therefore towards developing
hybrid (integrated) support system
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-48
Hybrid (Integrated) Support SystemsHybrid (Integrated) Support Systems
 Type of integration
 Use each tool independently to solve different
aspects of the problem
 Use several loosely integrated tools. This mainly
involves transferring data from one tool to another
for further processing
 Use several tightly integrated tools. From the user's
standpoint, the tool appears as a unified system
 In addition to performing different tasks in the
problem-solving process, tools can support
each other
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-49
End of the ChapterEnd of the Chapter
 Questions / Comments…
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-50
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a
retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic,
mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written
permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  
Publishing as Prentice HallPublishing as Prentice Hall

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DSS and BI Systems for Decision Support

  • 1. Decision Support andDecision Support and Business IntelligenceBusiness Intelligence SystemsSystems Chapter 1:Chapter 1: Decision Support SystemsDecision Support Systems and Business Intelligenceand Business Intelligence
  • 2. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-2 Learning ObjectivesLearning Objectives  Understand today's turbulent business environment and describe how organizations survive and even excel in such an environment (solving problems and exploiting opportunities)  Understand the need for computerized support of managerial decision making  Understand an early framework for managerial decision making  Learn the conceptual foundations of the decision support systems (DSS)
  • 3. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-3 Learning Objectives – cont.Learning Objectives – cont.  Describe the business intelligence (BI) methodology and concepts and relate them to DSS  Describe the concept of work systems and its relationship to decision support  List the major tools of computerized decision support  Understand the major issues in implementing computerized support systems
  • 4. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-4 Opening Vignette:Opening Vignette: “Norfolk Southern Uses BI for Decision Support to Reach Success”  Company background  Problem  Proposed solution  Results  Answer and discuss the case questions
  • 5. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-5 Changing Business EnvironmentChanging Business Environment  Companies are moving aggressively to computerized support of their operations => Business Intelligence  Business Pressures–Responses– Support Model  Business pressures result of today's competitive business climate  Responses to counter the pressures  Support to better facilitate the process
  • 6. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-6 Business Pressures–Responses–Business Pressures–Responses– Support ModelSupport Model
  • 7. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-7 The Business EnvironmentThe Business Environment  The environment in which organizations operate today is becoming more and more complex, creating:  opportunities, and  problems  Example: globalization  Business environment factors:  markets, consumer demands, technology, and societal…
  • 8. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-8 Business Environment FactorsBusiness Environment Factors FACTOR DESCRIPTION Markets Strong competition Expanding global markets Blooming electronic markets on the Internet Innovative marketing methods Opportunities for outsourcing with IT support Need for real-time, on-demand transactions Consumer Desire for customization demand Desire for quality, diversity of products, and speed of delivery Customers getting powerful and less loyal Technology More innovations, new products, and new services Increasing obsolescence rate Increasing information overload Social networking, Web 2.0 and beyond Societal Growing government regulations and deregulation Workforce more diversified, older, and composed of more women Prime concerns of homeland security and terrorist attacks Necessity of Sarbanes-Oxley Act and other reporting-related legislation Increasing social responsibility of companies Greater emphasis on sustainability
  • 9. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-9 Organizational ResponsesOrganizational Responses  Be Reactive, Anticipative, Adaptive, and Proactive  Managers may take actions, such as  Employ strategic planning  Use new and innovative business models  Restructure business processes  Participate in business alliances  Improve corporate information systems  Improve partnership relationships  Encourage innovation and creativity …cont…>
  • 10. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-10 Managers actions, continuedManagers actions, continued  Improve customer service and relationships  Move to electronic commerce (e-commerce)  Move to make-to-order production and on-demand manufacturing and services  Use new IT to improve communication, data access (discovery of information), and collaboration  Respond quickly to competitors' actions (e.g., in pricing, promotions, new products and services)  Automate many tasks of white-collar employees  Automate certain decision processes  Improve decision making by employing analytics
  • 11. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-11 Closing the Strategy GapClosing the Strategy Gap  One of the major objectives of computerized decision support is to facilitate closing the gap between the current performance of an organization and its desired performance, as expressed in its mission, objectives, and goals, and the strategy to achieve them
  • 12. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-12 Managerial Decision MakingManagerial Decision Making  Management is a process by which organizational goals are achieved by using resources  Inputs: resources  Output: attainment of goals  Measure of success: outputs / inputs  Management ≅ Decision Making  Decision making: selecting the best solution from two or more alternatives
  • 13. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-13 Mintzberg's 10 Managerial RolesMintzberg's 10 Managerial Roles InterpersonalInterpersonal 1. Figurehead 2. Leader 3. Liaison InformationalInformational 4. Monitor 5. Disseminator 6. Spokesperson DecisionalDecisional 7. Entrepreneur 8. Disturbance handler 9. Resource allocator 10. Negotiator
  • 14. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-14 Decision Making ProcessDecision Making Process  Managers usually make decisions by following a four-step process (a.k.a. the scientific approach) 1. Define the problem (or opportunity) 2. Construct a model that describes the real- world problem 3. Identify possible solutions to the modeled problem and evaluate the solutions 4. Compare, choose, and recommend a potential solution to the problem
  • 15. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-15 Decision making is difficult, becauseDecision making is difficult, because  Technology, information systems, advanced search engines, and globalization result in more and more alternatives from which to choose  Government regulations and the need for compliance, political instability and terrorism, competition, and changing consumer demands produce more uncertainty, making it more difficult to predict consequences and the future  Other factors are the need to make rapid decisions, the frequent and unpredictable changes that make trial-and-error learning difficult, and the potential costs of making mistakes
  • 16. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-16 Why Use Computerized DSSWhy Use Computerized DSS  Computerized DSS can facilitate decision via:  Speedy computations  Improved communication and collaboration  Increased productivity of group members  Improved data management  Overcoming cognitive limits  Quality support; agility support  Using Web; anywhere, anytime support
  • 17. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-17 A Decision Support FrameworkA Decision Support Framework (by Gory and Scott-Morten, 1971)(by Gory and Scott-Morten, 1971)
  • 18. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-18 A Decision Support Framework – cont.A Decision Support Framework – cont.  Degree of Structuredness (Simon, 1977)  Decision are classified as  Highly structured (a.k.a. programmed)  Semi-structured  Highly unstructured (i.e., non-programmed)  Types of Control (Anthony, 1965)  Strategic planning (top-level, long-range)  Management control (tactical planning)  Operational control
  • 19. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-19 Simon’s Decision-Making ProcessSimon’s Decision-Making Process
  • 20. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-20 Computer Support for StructuredComputer Support for Structured DecisionsDecisions  Structured problems: encountered repeatedly, have a high level of structure  It is possible to abstract, analyze, and classify them into specific categories  e.g., make-or-buy decisions, capital budgeting, resource allocation, distribution, procurement, and inventory control  For each category a solution approach is developed => Management Science
  • 21. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-21 Management Science ApproachManagement Science Approach  Also referred to as Operation Research  In solving problems, managers should follow the five-step MS approach 1. Define the problem 2. Classify the problem into a standard category (*) 3. Construct a model that describes the real-world problem 4. Identify possible solutions to the modeled problem and evaluate the solutions 5. Compare, choose, and recommend a potential solution to the problem
  • 22. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-22 Automated Decision MakingAutomated Decision Making  A relatively new approach to supporting decision making  Applies to highly structures decisions  Automated decision systems (ADS) (or decision automation systems)  An ADS is a rule-based system that provides a solution to a repetitive managerial problem in a specific area  e.g., simple-loan approval system
  • 23. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-23 Automated Decision MakingAutomated Decision Making  ADS initially appeared in the airline industry called revenue (or yield) management (or revenue optimization) systems  dynamically price tickets based on actual demand  Today, many service industries use similar pricing models  ADS are driven by business rules!
  • 24. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-24 Computer Support forComputer Support for Unstructured DecisionsUnstructured Decisions  Unstructured problems can be only partially supported by standard computerized quantitative methods  They often require customized solutions  They benefit from data and information  Intuition and judgment may play a role  Computerized communication and collaboration technologies along with knowledge management is often used
  • 25. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-25 Computer Support forComputer Support for Semi-structured ProblemsSemi-structured Problems  Solving semi-structured problems may involve a combination of standard solution procedures and human judgment  MS handles the structured parts while DSS deals with the unstructured parts  With proper data and information, a range of alternative solutions, along with their potential impacts
  • 26. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-26 Automated Decision-MakingAutomated Decision-Making FrameworkFramework
  • 27. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-27 Concept of Decision SupportConcept of Decision Support SystemsSystems Classical Definitions of DSSClassical Definitions of DSS  Interactive computer-based systems, which help decision makers utilize data and models to solve unstructured problems" - Gorry and Scott-Morton, 1971  Decision support systems couple the intellectual resources of individuals with the capabilities of the computer to improve the quality of decisions. It is a computer-based support system for management decision makers who deal with semistructured problems - Keen and Scott-Morton, 1978
  • 28. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-28 DSS as an Umbrella TermDSS as an Umbrella Term  The term DSS can be used as an umbrella term to describe any computerized system that supports decision making in an organization  E.g., an organization wide knowledge management system; a decision support system specific to an organizational function (marketing, finance, accounting, manufacturing, planning, SCM, etc.)
  • 29. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-29 DSS as a Specific ApplicationDSS as a Specific Application  In a narrow sense DSS refers to a process for building customized applications for unstructured or semi- structured problems  Components of the DSS Architecture  Data, Model, Knowledge/Intelligence, User, Interface (API and/or user interface)  DSS often is created by putting together loosely coupled instances of these components
  • 30. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-30 High-Level Architecture of a DSSHigh-Level Architecture of a DSS
  • 31. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-31 Types of DSSTypes of DSS  Two major types:  Model-oriented DSS  Data-oriented DSS  Evolution of DSS into Business Intelligence  Use of DSS moved from specialist to managers, and then whomever, whenever, wherever  Enabling tools like OLAP, data warehousing, data mining, intelligent systems, delivered via Web technology have collectively led to the term “business intelligence” (BI) and “business analytics”
  • 32. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-32 Business Intelligence (BI)Business Intelligence (BI)  BI is an umbrella term that combines architectures, tools, databases, analytical tools, applications, and methodologies  Like DSS, BI a content-free expression, so it means different things to different people  BI's major objective is to enable easy access to data (and models) to provide business managers with the ability to conduct analysis  BI helps transform data, to information (and knowledge), to decisions and finally to action
  • 33. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-33 A Brief History of BIA Brief History of BI  The term BI was coined by the Gartner Group in the mid-1990s  However, the concept is much older  1970s - MIS reporting - static/periodic reports  1980s - Executive Information Systems (EIS)  1990s - OLAP, dynamic, multidimensional, ad-hoc reporting -> coining of the term “BI”  2005+ Inclusion of AI and Data/Text Mining capabilities; Web-based Portals/Dashboards  2010s - yet to be seen
  • 34. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-34 The Evolution of BI CapabilitiesThe Evolution of BI Capabilities
  • 35. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-35 The Architecture of BIThe Architecture of BI  A BI system has four major components  a data warehouse, with its source data  business analytics, a collection of tools for manipulating, mining, and analyzing the data in the data warehouse;  business performance management (BPM) for monitoring and analyzing performance  a user interface (e.g., dashboard)
  • 36. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-36 A High-Level Architecture of BIA High-Level Architecture of BI
  • 37. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-37 Components in a BI ArchitectureComponents in a BI Architecture  The data warehouse is a large repository of well-organized historical data  Business analytics are the tools that allow transformation of data into information and knowledge  Business performance management (BPM) allows monitoring, measuring, and comparing key performance indicators  User interface (e.g., dashboards) allows access and easy manipulation of other BI components
  • 38. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-38 Styles of BIStyles of BI  MicroStrategy, Corp. distinguishes five styles of BI and offers tools for each 1. report delivery and alerting 2. enterprise reporting (using dashboards and scorecards) 3. cube analysis (also known as slice-and- dice analysis) 4. ad-hoc queries 5. statistics and data mining
  • 39. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-39 The Benefits of BIThe Benefits of BI  The ability to provide accurate information when needed, including a real-time view of the corporate performance and its parts  A survey by Thompson (2004)  Faster, more accurate reporting (81%)  Improved decision making (78%)  Improved customer service (56%)  Increased revenue (49%)  See Table 1.3 for a list of BI analytic applications, the business questions they answer and the business value they bring
  • 40. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-40 The DSS–BI ConnectionThe DSS–BI Connection  First, their architectures are very similar because BI evolved from DSS  Second, DSS directly support specific decision making, while BI provides accurate and timely information, and indirectly support decision making  Third, BI has an executive and strategy orientation, especially in its BPM and dashboard components, while DSS, in contrast, is oriented toward analysts
  • 41. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-41 The DSS–BI Connection – cont.The DSS–BI Connection – cont.  Fourth, most BI systems are constructed with commercially available tools and components, while DSS is often built from scratch  Fifth, DSS methodologies and even some tools were developed mostly in the academic world, while BI methodologies and tools were developed mostly by software companies  Sixth, many of the tools that BI uses are also considered DSS tools (e.g., data mining and predictive analysis are core tools in both)
  • 42. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-42 The DSS–BI Connection – cont.The DSS–BI Connection – cont.  Although some people equate DSS with BI, these systems are not, at present, the same  some people believe that DSS is a part of BI—one of its analytical tools  others think that BI is a special case of DSS that deals mostly with reporting, communication, and collaboration (a form of data-oriented DSS)  BI is a result of a continuous revolution and, as such, DSS is one of BI's original elements  In this book, we separate DSS from BI  MSS = BI and/or DSS
  • 43. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-43 A Work System View of DecisionA Work System View of Decision Support (Alter, 2004)Support (Alter, 2004)  drop the word “systems” from DSS  focus on “decision support” “use of any plausible computerized or noncomputerized means for improving decision making in a particular repetitive or nonrepetitive business situation in a particular organization”  Work system: a system in which human participants and/or machines perform a business process, using information, technology, and other resources, to produce products and/or services for internal or external customers
  • 44. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-44 Elements of a Work SystemElements of a Work System 1. Business process. Variations in the process rationale, sequence of steps, or methods used for performing particular steps 2. Participants. Better training, better skills, higher levels of commitment, or better real-time or delayed feedback 3. Information. Better information quality, information availability, or information presentation 4. Technology. Better data storage and retrieval, models, algorithms, statistical or graphical capabilities, or computer interaction -->
  • 45. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-45 Elements of a Work System – cont.Elements of a Work System – cont. 5. Product and services. Better ways to evaluate potential decisions 6. Customers. Better ways to involve customers in the decision process and to obtain greater clarity about their needs 7. Infrastructure. More effective use of shared infrastructure, which might lead to improvements 8. Environment. Better methods for incorporating concerns from the surrounding environment 9. Strategy. A fundamentally different operational strategy for the work system
  • 46. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-46 Major Tool Categories for MSSMajor Tool Categories for MSS Source: Table 1.4Source: Table 1.4 TOOL CATEGORY TOOLS AND THEIR ACRONYMS Data management Databases and database management system (DBMS) Extraction, transformation, and load (ETL) systems Data warehouses (DW), real-time DW, and data marts Reporting status tracking Online analytical processing (OLAP) Executive information systems (EIS) Visualization Geographical information systems (GIS) Dashboards, Information portals Multidimensional presentations Business analytics Optimization, Web analytics Data mining, Web mining, and text mining Strategy and performance management Business performance management (BPM)/ Corporate performance management (CPM) Business activity management (BAM) Dashboards and Scorecards Communication and collaboration Group decision support systems (GDSS) Group support systems (GSS) Collaborative information portals and systems Social networking Web 2.0, Expert locating systems Knowledge management Knowledge management systems (KMS) Intelligent systems Expert systems (ES) Artificial neural networks (ANN) Fuzzy logic, Genetic algorithms, Intelligent agents Enterprise systems Enterprise resource planning (ERP), Customer Relationship Management (CRM), and Supply-Chain Management (SCM)
  • 47. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-47 Hybrid (Integrated) Support SystemsHybrid (Integrated) Support Systems  The objective of computerized decision support, regardless of its name or nature, is to assist management in solving managerial or organizational problems (and assess opportunities and strategies) faster and better than possible without computers  Every type of tool has certain capabilities and limitations. By integrating several tools, we can improve decision support because one tool can provide advantages where another is weak  The trend is therefore towards developing hybrid (integrated) support system
  • 48. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-48 Hybrid (Integrated) Support SystemsHybrid (Integrated) Support Systems  Type of integration  Use each tool independently to solve different aspects of the problem  Use several loosely integrated tools. This mainly involves transferring data from one tool to another for further processing  Use several tightly integrated tools. From the user's standpoint, the tool appears as a unified system  In addition to performing different tasks in the problem-solving process, tools can support each other
  • 49. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-49 End of the ChapterEnd of the Chapter  Questions / Comments…
  • 50. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall-50 All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher. Printed in the United States of America. Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.  Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.   Publishing as Prentice HallPublishing as Prentice Hall