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ANALYTICS THAT INFORM & EMPOWER
Activity-based metrics lack research value, and are not actionable

Actionable metrics provide research analysts with new consumer intelligence

            Analyze global consumer opinion on public and private companies
            Identify and explain shifts in consumer product tastes over time
            Gauge consumer reaction to disruptive technologies
            Uncover and quantify the factors driving customer pain and praise
            Evaluate appeal of competing solutions in the industry
            LIKES       FOLLOWERS            SENTIMENT           MENTIONS
            Learn the impact of news events and advertising on brand affinity
                                                                                          PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                   © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
CASE STUDY: MOBILE PAYMENTS
                     Product Comparisons
INDUSTRY
PLAYERS:    Square  Google Wallet

BUSINESS
QUESTION:   How is my new mobile payment technology being received
            by consumers?

METHOD:     Develop a framework for evaluating competing mobile payment
            products to inform marketing initiatives, and new product
            development, by analyzing online consumer discussion during
            2011 and 2012.
                                                                          PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                   © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
    How Do Consumers Feel About Mobile Payments?    FINDINGS:
      (5/1/11 – 11/1/12)  42, 277 Relevant Posts
                                                      A. Consumers are bullish about the
                                                         industry, driven by excitement to
A                                                        use new technology (43%)
                                                      B. Over an 18-month period, the
                                                         proportion of consumer excitement
B                                                        increased 15%, while total bearish
                                                         sentiment fell by 13%
                                                      C. Security of payment products is the
                                                         greatest concern for consumers

                        C
                                                                                          PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                   © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE (BRAND)
       Square: Brand Perception
(5/1/12 – 11/1/12)  71,312 Relevant Posts
                                                   FINDINGS:
                                                     A. Square brand is perceived very
                                                        positively, driven by healthy
                                                        product discussion (47%)
                                             A B
                                                     B. Proportion of consumer
                                                        excitement and satisfaction with
                                              C         Square increased 14% since
                                                        May 2012
                                                     C. While negative opinion
                                                        wanes, brand discussion enters
                                                        November on a very positive
                                                        trajectory                     PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE WALLET
       Consumer Reactions to Square Wallet         FINDINGS
       (9/1/11 – 11/1/12)  2,647 Relevant Posts     A. Over the past 14 months, reactions
                           A                            to Square Wallet (Pay With Square)
                                                        have been very positive (86%)
                                        B
                                                     B. 24% say the technology is the
                                                        future of payments
C                                                    C. Over half of total conversation is
                                                        consumer praise of Square Wallet
                                                        and clamor for a more widespread
                                                        implementation

                                                                                         PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                  © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE WALLET
                                                                “I LOVE that I can pay for my
       Consumer Reactions to Square Wallet         FINDINGS         @starbucks with my
       (9/1/11 – 11/1/12)  2,647 Relevant Posts     A. Over the past 14 months,believe
                                                              @SquareWallet! I can't
                                                                                       reactions
                                                              how fast it seems @square has
                           A                            to Square Wallet (Pay With Square)
                                                              grown! #futurenow #winning”
                                                        have been very positive (86%)
                                                                      -@eriktimmons

                                        B
                                                     B. 24% say the technology is the
                                                        future of payments
                                                                   “Just bought lunch w/
C                                                    C. Over@PayWithSquare from @Square-
                                                             half of total conversation is
                                                        consumer praise of Square Wallet
                                                             once you do this you want EVERY
                                                        and clamor for a more offer it. So
                                                             retailer/restaurant to widespread
                                                        implementation so great.”
                                                                    seamless,
                                                                           -@ronxo

                                                                                            PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                     © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE-STARBUCKS
PARTNERSHIP
 Consumer Reactions to Square-Starbucks Partnership   FINDINGS
        (8/8/12 – 11/1/12)  54,252 Relevant Posts
                                                        A. Reactions to the announcement
                          A
                                                           were overwhelmingly positive
                                                           (96%); many excited to use Square
                                                           Wallet at Starbucks locations
                                                        B. 45% decree this partnership will
                                                           change the landscape of mobile
                                         B                 payments, and ignite the industry



                                                                                           PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                    © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE-STARBUCKS
PARTNERSHIP
                                                                  “Excellent! Now I can
 Consumer Reactions to Square-Starbucks Partnership   FINDINGS use square wallet at
        (8/8/12 – 11/1/12)  54,252 Relevant Posts
                                                                   Starbucks. One step
                                                        A. Reactions toto not needing
                                                                  closer
                                                                         the announcement
                          A
                                                           were overwhelmingly positive
                                                                      my wallet =)”
                                                           (96%); many excited to use Square
                                                                     -@griffinkelton
                                                          Wallet at Starbucks locations
                                                       B. 45% decree this partnership will
                                                          change“Woke up to amazing news this
                                                                  the landscape of mobile
                                         B                        morning! Starbucks officially
                                                          payments, and ignite the Maybe I'll
                                                                accepts Square Wallet! industry
                                                                    start drinking their coffee.”
                                                                          -@BHisaRockstar

                                                                                            PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                     © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE-STARBUCKS
PARTNERSHIP
 Consumer Reactions to Square-Starbucks Partnership   FINDINGS
            Themes of Negative Conversation
                                                        • Despite minimal negative opinion
                                                          (4%), consumers are quick to point
                                                          out Square does not yet integrate
                                                          with Starbucks’ loyalty program
                                                        • Though not a substantial risk at
                                                          present, prudence dictates
                                                          monitoring this concern over time



                                                                                           PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                    © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: GOOGLE WALLET
   Consumer Reactions to Google Wallet              FINDINGS
   (5/1/11 – 11/1/12)  25,298 Relevant Posts   A
                                                      A. Despite 10x greater volume, net
                                                         sentiment on Google Wallet is more
                                                         unfavorable than Square
                                                      B. Absence of NFC technology in
                                           C             smartphones frustrates Google
                                                         Wallet hopefuls, stalls adoption;
                                                         Square remains unaffected
                                                      C. Compared to Square (43%), Google
                                 B                       Wallet fails to create an impetus for
                                                         merchant adoption (4%)
                                                                                          PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                   © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: KEY TAKEAWAYS

• Consumers respond to disruptive technology with considerable excitement, and are
  bullish about the industry
    •   New product messaging could emphasize security measures to address the largest public concern (22%)

• In contrast to Google Wallet, Square is perceived as game-changing technology
    •   The voice of the consumer has equated Square Wallet with overall industry appeal: the future of payments




                                                                                                       PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                                © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
MOBILE PAYMENTS: KEY TAKEAWAYS

• Consumers weigh in on the battle of technology standards
    •   The case of Google vs. Square illustrates how financial firms can take the public pulse on social media to
        learn how the voice of the customer could impact an investment decision

• Deep analysis of online consumer opinion complements due diligence on new
  market entrants and potential investment opportunities
    •   Gauge the appeal of subsequent retailer partnerships, and uncover the causes for new excitement or
        reasons for competitor migration




                                                                                                          PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL
                                                                                   © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

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Mobile Payments

  • 1. ANALYTICS THAT INFORM & EMPOWER Activity-based metrics lack research value, and are not actionable Actionable metrics provide research analysts with new consumer intelligence Analyze global consumer opinion on public and private companies Identify and explain shifts in consumer product tastes over time Gauge consumer reaction to disruptive technologies Uncover and quantify the factors driving customer pain and praise Evaluate appeal of competing solutions in the industry LIKES FOLLOWERS SENTIMENT MENTIONS Learn the impact of news events and advertising on brand affinity PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 2. CASE STUDY: MOBILE PAYMENTS Product Comparisons INDUSTRY PLAYERS: Square  Google Wallet BUSINESS QUESTION: How is my new mobile payment technology being received by consumers? METHOD: Develop a framework for evaluating competing mobile payment products to inform marketing initiatives, and new product development, by analyzing online consumer discussion during 2011 and 2012. PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 3. MOBILE PAYMENTS: INDUSTRY OVERVIEW How Do Consumers Feel About Mobile Payments? FINDINGS: (5/1/11 – 11/1/12)  42, 277 Relevant Posts A. Consumers are bullish about the industry, driven by excitement to A use new technology (43%) B. Over an 18-month period, the proportion of consumer excitement B increased 15%, while total bearish sentiment fell by 13% C. Security of payment products is the greatest concern for consumers C PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 4. MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE (BRAND) Square: Brand Perception (5/1/12 – 11/1/12)  71,312 Relevant Posts FINDINGS: A. Square brand is perceived very positively, driven by healthy product discussion (47%) A B B. Proportion of consumer excitement and satisfaction with C Square increased 14% since May 2012 C. While negative opinion wanes, brand discussion enters November on a very positive trajectory PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 5. MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE WALLET Consumer Reactions to Square Wallet FINDINGS (9/1/11 – 11/1/12)  2,647 Relevant Posts A. Over the past 14 months, reactions A to Square Wallet (Pay With Square) have been very positive (86%) B B. 24% say the technology is the future of payments C C. Over half of total conversation is consumer praise of Square Wallet and clamor for a more widespread implementation PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 6. MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE WALLET “I LOVE that I can pay for my Consumer Reactions to Square Wallet FINDINGS @starbucks with my (9/1/11 – 11/1/12)  2,647 Relevant Posts A. Over the past 14 months,believe @SquareWallet! I can't reactions how fast it seems @square has A to Square Wallet (Pay With Square) grown! #futurenow #winning” have been very positive (86%) -@eriktimmons B B. 24% say the technology is the future of payments “Just bought lunch w/ C C. Over@PayWithSquare from @Square- half of total conversation is consumer praise of Square Wallet once you do this you want EVERY and clamor for a more offer it. So retailer/restaurant to widespread implementation so great.” seamless, -@ronxo PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 7. MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE-STARBUCKS PARTNERSHIP Consumer Reactions to Square-Starbucks Partnership FINDINGS (8/8/12 – 11/1/12)  54,252 Relevant Posts A. Reactions to the announcement A were overwhelmingly positive (96%); many excited to use Square Wallet at Starbucks locations B. 45% decree this partnership will change the landscape of mobile B payments, and ignite the industry PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 8. MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE-STARBUCKS PARTNERSHIP “Excellent! Now I can Consumer Reactions to Square-Starbucks Partnership FINDINGS use square wallet at (8/8/12 – 11/1/12)  54,252 Relevant Posts Starbucks. One step A. Reactions toto not needing closer the announcement A were overwhelmingly positive my wallet =)” (96%); many excited to use Square -@griffinkelton Wallet at Starbucks locations B. 45% decree this partnership will change“Woke up to amazing news this the landscape of mobile B morning! Starbucks officially payments, and ignite the Maybe I'll accepts Square Wallet! industry start drinking their coffee.” -@BHisaRockstar PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 9. MOBILE PAYMENTS: SQUARE-STARBUCKS PARTNERSHIP Consumer Reactions to Square-Starbucks Partnership FINDINGS Themes of Negative Conversation • Despite minimal negative opinion (4%), consumers are quick to point out Square does not yet integrate with Starbucks’ loyalty program • Though not a substantial risk at present, prudence dictates monitoring this concern over time PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 10. MOBILE PAYMENTS: GOOGLE WALLET Consumer Reactions to Google Wallet FINDINGS (5/1/11 – 11/1/12)  25,298 Relevant Posts A A. Despite 10x greater volume, net sentiment on Google Wallet is more unfavorable than Square B. Absence of NFC technology in C smartphones frustrates Google Wallet hopefuls, stalls adoption; Square remains unaffected C. Compared to Square (43%), Google B Wallet fails to create an impetus for merchant adoption (4%) PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 11. MOBILE PAYMENTS: KEY TAKEAWAYS • Consumers respond to disruptive technology with considerable excitement, and are bullish about the industry • New product messaging could emphasize security measures to address the largest public concern (22%) • In contrast to Google Wallet, Square is perceived as game-changing technology • The voice of the consumer has equated Square Wallet with overall industry appeal: the future of payments PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  • 12. MOBILE PAYMENTS: KEY TAKEAWAYS • Consumers weigh in on the battle of technology standards • The case of Google vs. Square illustrates how financial firms can take the public pulse on social media to learn how the voice of the customer could impact an investment decision • Deep analysis of online consumer opinion complements due diligence on new market entrants and potential investment opportunities • Gauge the appeal of subsequent retailer partnerships, and uncover the causes for new excitement or reasons for competitor migration PROPRIETARY & CONFIDENTIAL © CRIMSON HEXAGON, INC. 2012. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.