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CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES
CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE




CBO
       Recent
   Development
     Efforts for
  Military Airships




     NOVEMBER 2011
Pub. No. 4239
CBO
Recent Development Efforts for
       Military Airships
                       November 2011




 The Congress of the United States O Congressional Budget Office
Notes and Definitions
      The cover shows a U.S. Navy MZ-3A manned airship landing at Lake Front Airport, New Orleans, Louisiana, to
      provide support for the Deepwater Unified Command and the Gulf of Mexico oil spill. Photo by Mass Communication
      Specialist 2nd Class Andrew Geraci.

      Aerostat: A tethered, unmanned airship.

      Airlift: The transportation of people, equipment, or other cargo by air.

      Airship: An aircraft that obtains buoyant lift from a contained volume of helium or other gas that is less dense than the
      surrounding air. Also referred to as a lighter-than-air vehicle.

      Conventional Aircraft: An aircraft that does not rely on buoyant lift to achieve flight. In this document the term
      includes fixed-wing aircraft, tilt-rotor aircraft, and helicopters.

      Conventional Airship: An airship that uses only buoyant lift to achieve flight.

      Envelope: The external structure of an airship within which the helium or other buoyant gas is located. There are three
      categories of envelopes: rigid, semirigid and nonrigid. Rigid envelopes use an internal frame to keep their shape.
      Semirigid envelopes use a “keel” along the bottom of the envelope to distribute weight. Nonrigid envelopes have no
      frame and use only gas and envelope design to keep their shape.

      Hybrid Airship: An airship that uses a combination of buoyant lift from helium, aerodynamic lift from the shape of the
      envelope, and variable-direction thrust (more commonly called vectored thrust) to stay aloft.

      Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR): Reconnaissance operations observe an area to collect
      information. Surveillance is the systematic observation of a particular area. Intelligence is the product of surveillance
      and reconnaissance once the information from those operations has been analyzed and evaluated.

      Orbit: In this document, orbit refers to the region in the sky in which an aircraft operates while it is observing the
      activities below. In military parlance, an aircraft orbit is often called a combat air patrol, or CAP.

      Payload-duration: Payload-duration is the weight (payload) that could be carried to a location multiplied by the
      amount of time it could remain there (duration).


CBO
Preface


      Airships—also known as lighter-than-air vehicles—have been proposed as alternatives to some of the aircraft the
      Department of Defense uses today for two types of missions: intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; and airlift.
      The unique characteristics of airships offer some advantages and disadvantages for those missions relative to aircraft
      currently in the fleet.

      At the request of the Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO)
      examined the Department of Defense’s plans and proposals for airships. In keeping with CBO’s mandate to provide
      objective, impartial analysis, this study makes no recommendations.

      Alec Johnson, formerly of CBO’s National Security Division, prepared the document, with assistance from David
      Arthur, under the general supervision of David Mosher. The line drawings of airships were done by Bernard Kempinski.
      Charles Whalen of CBO provided helpful comments on the report, as did Mark T. Lewellyn of the Johns Hopkins
      University Applied Physics Laboratory. The assistance of an external reviewer implies no responsibility for the final
      product, which rests solely with CBO.

      Jeanine Rees and John Skeen edited the document. Maureen Costantino and Jeanine Rees prepared the study for
      publication, and Maureen Costantino designed the cover. Monte Ruffin printed the initial copies, and Linda Schimmel
      coordinated the print distribution. This publication is available on CBO’s Web site (www.cbo.gov).




                                                              Douglas W. Elmendorf
                                                              Director

      November 2011



CBO
List of Exhibits

      Exhibit                                                                                                                           Page
           1.   Illustrations of Airships                                                                                                  6

           2.   Wind Speed and Location, Altitude, and Time of Year                                                                        7

           3.   General Characteristics of Airships Under Consideration by DoD                                                             8

      Low-Altitude Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance
           4.   Low-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance                                                  10

           5.   Payload, Endurance, and Speed of Low-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                            11

           6.   Payload-Duration of Low-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                                         12

      High-Altitude Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance
           7.   High-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance                                                 14

           8.   Payload, Endurance, and Speed of High-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                           15

           9.   Payload-Duration of High-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                                        16

      Airlift
          10.   Proposed Airships for Airlift                                                                                             18

          11.   Approximate Performance Characteristics of Proposed Airships for Airlift                                                  19

          12.   Airlift Performance for an Illustrative Deployment to the Middle East                                                     20

          13.   Illustration of the Number of Aircraft Needed to Provide 1,000 Tons per Day Throughput Within a Theater of Operations     21



CBO
Recent Development Efforts for
                                                                      Military Airships

      During the past decade’s operations in Afghanistan          In light of the demand for aircraft capable of              resulting craft could serve effectively in the ISR
      and Iraq, the U.S. military has come to rely heavily        remaining aloft for long periods of time,                   and airlift roles;
      on the continuous or nearly continuous presence             considerable interest in airships as alternatives to
      overhead of both manned and unmanned aircraft               conventional aircraft exists. Although unmanned         B   Airships’ performance characteristics would
      to support ground troops. Unmanned aircraft that            airships are unproven, they have the potential to           provide some advantages and suffer from some
      remain aloft in particular locations (or “orbits”)          remain in the air for long periods—providing                disadvantages relative to those of the conven-
      have been primarily used to provide timely infor-           mission durations that are many times longer than           tional aircraft currently used for ISR and airlift
      mation about activities on the ground and to                would be practical for conventional aircraft. Con-          missions; and
      attack ground targets on short notice. Most promi-          sequently, the military services are exploring a
      nent among these aircraft are the Department of             variety of designs for unmanned airships capable of     B   Airships would present new operational chal-
      Defense’s (DoD’s) fleets of unmanned Predators,             carrying ISR sensors.                                       lenges such as greater sensitivity to weather
      Reapers, and Global Hawks; however, satellites and                                                                      conditions and the need to provide unique
      manned conventional aircraft, including fighters            The technology needed to field airships for ISR             types of maintenance and support.
      and long-range bombers, have also contributed.              could also be applied to airships meant for airlift—
                                                                  that is, for the transportation of people, equip-       Because the development of the technology needed
      The demand for those so-called “persistent” or              ment, or other cargo. Whether airships designed         for modern military airships is at an early stage, in
      “loitering” missions has led the Air Force to sub-          to carry cargo would be manned or unmanned              most cases cost estimates would be highly specula-
      stantially enlarge its fleet of unmanned aircraft,          would depend on the specific missions they per-         tive; therefore, CBO does not examine the costs of
      and the Army, Navy, and Marine Corps to field               formed. Although the military services’ investment      airships here. Although CBO does compare the
      or plan to field similar aircraft to provide intelli-       in developing airships for airlift has been limited,    capabilities of airships to those of other aircraft,
      gence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) and           several private companies are exploring potential       assessing cost-effectiveness would require analyzing
      light-attack capabilities of their own.1 Unmanned           designs or are in the process of building prototypes.   costs as various technologies mature.
      aircraft are particularly attractive for such missions
      because they can be designed to provide durations           In this document, the Congressional Budget Office
      beyond the physical endurance of human air crews            (CBO) examines the potential capabilities of air-       Background
      and because they do not put humans at risk during           ships for ISR and airlift missions. In brief, CBO       Airships were among the first aircraft to see useful
      operations in potentially hostile airspace.                 finds that:                                             military service. German Navy airships were flying
                                                                                                                          maritime patrol missions as early as 1914, and the
                                                                  B   If the speed, payload, and endurance proposed
      1. See Congressional Budget Office, Policy Options for                                                              first zeppelin bombing raids on Great Britain were
                                                                      for unmanned airships can be achieved, the
         Unmanned Aircraft Systems (June 2011).                                                                           staged in early 1915. Beginning in 1917, the U.S.




CBO
INTRODUCTION                                                                                                                   RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   2


      Navy operated a variety of airships for maritime      allowing aircraft with limited self-defense                       on such aircraft did not progress much past paper
      patrol and fleet reconnaissance. The best known of    features—in particular, the fixed-wing MQ-1 Pred-                 designs or small-scale demonstration vehicles.
      those were the large rigid-framed airships—such as    ator and MQ-9 Reaper unmanned aircraft—to
      the U.S.S. Shenandoah and the U.S.S. Akron—           operate effectively in nearly uninterrupted flights               Modern airships and aerostats (tethered airships
      built in the 1920s and early 1930s. In commercial     over unsecured territory. The nature of the con-                  usually limited to altitudes of about 1,000 feet)
      service, airships were used for the first regularly   flicts in those countries and elsewhere has placed                derive some or all of their lift from the buoyancy of
      scheduled passenger flights across the Atlantic in    an emphasis on persistently remaining aloft to pro-               helium gas contained within their external struc-
      the early 1930s, several years before fixed-wing      vide ISR and limited missile attacks against ground               ture, or envelope. There are three categories of
      aircraft.                                             targets. The Department of Defense is exploring                   envelope: rigid, semirigid and nonrigid. Rigid
                                                            the use of airships for long-endurance missions                   envelopes use an internal frame to keep their shape;
      Airships were attractive during the early days of     such as those.2 Although DoD’s current focus is on                early airships such as the German zeppelins had
      military aviation because, with buoyancy provided     airships for ISR, there have been proposals for                   rigid envelopes. Semirigid envelopes use a keel
      by hydrogen or helium, the engines needed only        equipping airships with weapons as well.                          along the bottom of the envelope to distribute
      enough power to move the aircraft at relatively low                                                                     weight. Nonrigid airships have no frame and use
      speed, and airframes needed only enough strength      Using airships for airlift has also periodically stirred          only gas and envelope design to keep their shape.
      to support their own weight and to withstand the      interest in military circles. In particular, concern              The blimps frequently present above large sporting
      relatively mild stresses associated with low-speed    arose during the 1990s that rapid deployments by                  events are usually nonrigid airships. Unlike many
      flight. Fixed-wing aircraft, in contrast, required    air, like those to the large airbases in Saudi Arabia             early airships, which had a significant risk of catch-
      stronger airframe structures and more powerful        during the first Iraq war, would not be possible in a             ing fire because they used a flammable gas in their
      and reliable engines because their lift is derived    future conflict if such airbases were not available.              envelopes (hydrogen), modern airships almost
      from pushing wings through the air at high speed.     Transport airships capable of landing in any suit-                exclusively use helium gas, which cannot catch fire.
      Rapid improvements in airframe design, airframe       ably large open area, proponents argued, could                    (But even helium-filled airships face the risk of
      materials technology, and aircraft engines during     reduce the military’s dependence on overseas bases.               being lost to fire if other components such as fuel
      World War II largely overcame the shortcomings of     Although advocates of airships suggested designs                  burn.)
      fixed-wing aircraft. Moreover, improvements in        capable of carrying payloads many times larger
      antiaircraft weapons during and after the war led     than those of the largest fixed-wing aircraft, work               Conventional airships, whether rigid, semirigid, or
      military planners to conclude later that airships                                                                       nonrigid, achieve flight from the buoyancy of
      would be too slow and too vulnerable to attack                                                                          helium alone. “Hybrid” airships, a more recent
      from the ground, particularly when facing a tech-                                                                       innovation, use a combination of buoyant lift from
      nologically capable adversary such as the Soviet      2. Of course, circumstances will not always permit those          helium, aerodynamic lift from the shape of the
      Union. Therefore, interest in airships waned.            types of missions. In the 1991 Iraq war and in operations      envelope, and variable-direction thrust (more com-
                                                               over the former Yugoslavia later in the 1990s, for example,    monly called vectored thrust) to stay aloft. The
      The end of the Cold War, however, ushered in an          it was possible to attack or otherwise suppress air defenses   combination of three different forms of lift allows
                                                               to the point at which fighters and bombers could operate
      era in which operations against less capable adver-      in relative safety. However, the suppression of air defenses
                                                                                                                              hybrid airships to carry heavier loads (larger
      saries have been more common. In Iraq and                in those conflicts was probably insufficient to allow air-     payloads) for a given volume of helium and also
      Afghanistan during the past decade, for example,         craft such as Predators or airships to orbit continuously      provides a greater ability to control upward forces
      air defenses have been essentially nonexistent,          overhead.




CBO
INTRODUCTION                                                                                                         RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   3


      on the aircraft than is the case with conventional      only modest payloads to accommodate the               to a fixed-wing aircraft such as the RQ-4 Global
      airships that rely on buoyancy alone.                   appropriate sensor packages, and nearly or totally    Hawk, airships operating at high altitude (around
                                                              absent air defenses. Under such circumstances,        60,000 feet or higher) could be more difficult to
      Today, the Navy is using a conventional, nonrigid       the performance characteristics of airships offer     detect by adversaries looking for acoustic, thermal,
      airship—the MZ-3A—to experiment with poten-             some significant advantages but also have various     or radar reflections because they could be designed
      tial airship payloads and explore how airships          disadvantages when compared with those of the         to be quiet and cool and, in some designs, have a
      might be used in actual operations. The Army,           fixed-wing aircraft and space satellites that the     structure made of radar-absorbent materials or lit-
      Air Force, and the Defense Advanced Research            Department of Defense currently uses to meet its      tle rigid structure for radar to detect. They would
      Projects Agency (DARPA) are working on designs          needs for aerial ISR.                                 also be out of range for most surface-to-air missiles
      for other airships, with a primary focus on                                                                   or guns. In contrast, airships operating at low
      unmanned craft for ISR. Other organizations             Performance of Airships Relative to Other             altitudes would probably be easier to detect than
      within DoD—for example, the Missile Defense             Aircraft                                              conventional aircraft at similar altitudes because of
      Agency and the Joint Improvised Explosive                                                                     their lower speed and much larger size. Once
                                                              Unmanned airships have the potential to perform
      Device Defeat Organization—have made invest-                                                                  detected, those airships might be easier to hit with
                                                              ISR tasks with greater efficiency than conventional
      ments in airship technologies as well. Over the past                                                          ground fire than smaller, faster conventional air-
                                                              unmanned aircraft systems. Because unmanned
      two years alone, DoD has funded more than                                                                     craft, but they might prove to better withstand
                                                              airships could remain aloft for much longer periods
      $500 million for projects related to lighter-than-air                                                         damage. For example, the low speed of airships
                                                              than conventional aircraft, maintaining continuous
      platforms, and additional spending is planned for                                                             makes them less susceptible to the dynamic stresses
                                                              ISR orbits with a smaller number of aircraft might
      the future.                                                                                                   that can cause conventional aircraft to break up in
                                                              be possible. Airships may also offer greater basing
      Other government agencies such as the Depart-           flexibility than conventional aircraft because air-   flight when damaged, and because the gas enve-
      ment of Homeland Security and the National              ships could operate without the need for a long       lopes rely on just a slightly higher pressure than the
      Aeronautics and Space Administration also have          runway. However, airships would probably offer        ambient atmosphere, helium leaks slowly out of
      explored or are exploring potential designs and uses    less flexibility to operate in poor weather condi-    holes that are not too large.
      for airships, albeit at lower funding levels than       tions. High winds can make airships difficult to
                                                                                                                    Because airships sacrifice speed in exchange for
      DoD. Additionally, several privately funded             control, especially when near the ground, and the
                                                                                                                    endurance relative to fixed-wing aircraft, they
      development efforts are under way that could yield      increased fuel consumption that would be needed
                                                                                                                    might offer less flexibility to quickly shift the
      airship designs suitable for adoption by DoD.           to remain over one area in the face of high winds
                                                                                                                    location of ISR orbits in response to changing cir-
                                                              could significantly reduce an airship’s time on
                                                                                                                    cumstances on the ground. Similarly, if air defense
                                                              station.
                                                                                                                    threats materialized in a previously benign environ-
      Intelligence, Surveillance and                          Like other unmanned aircraft besides stealth ones,    ment, airships would need more time to exit the
      Reconnaissance (ISR)                                    ISR airships would probably be primarily used in      area and reach safe airspace. Slower speeds could
      The ISR missions of the type common in Afghani-         secure airspace. If, however, airships encountered    also reduce search rates for missions that need to
      stan and Iraq have been characterized by the desire     air defenses, their survival would depend on the      cover very large areas. (All else being equal, search
      for nearly continuous aerial presence, the need for     specific circumstances of the engagement. Relative    rate—the area covered in a given period of time




CBO
INTRODUCTION                                                                                                               RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS        4


      that is theoretically defined as the product of the      Other Factors                                            Airlift
      aircraft’s speed and the sensor’s detection range to     Advances in airship technology have not been             Although most current interest in airships is in ISR
      either side of the flight path—is lower for lower        tested in actual operations, and considerable risks      platforms, airships could also be developed to
      speeds.) Such a limitation, however, would be less       remain for modern airships relative to conventional      move cargo—equipment, supplies, or people—
      significant for missions calling for close observa-      unmanned aircraft systems. Many of the technolo-         within or between combat theaters. Hybrid air-
      tion of smaller areas.                                   gies needed for critical systems—propulsion and          ships would probably be the preferred design for
                                                               power, fabric for airship envelopes, flight control      airlift because they provide greater lift for a given
      Performance of Airships Relative to                      systems, and sensors able to operate for weeks or        gas volume and they can be easier to handle while
      Satellites                                               months without maintenance—are in the early              near the ground, particularly during loading and
      Airships can employ much less sophisticated and          stages of development. Furthermore, the military         unloading, when the total vehicle weight (aircraft
      less costly sensors than satellites use. Because air-    has little contemporary experience in airship opera-     plus cargo) changes substantially.
      ships operate at a much lower altitude, they can         tion, maintenance, and support. Concerns include
      employ smaller, less sensitive antennas for detect-      storage of the gas needed to fill airships; storage of   Airships would have several advantages over other
      ing electronic emissions and smaller, less capable       the vehicles themselves; maintenance of the vast         means of transportation. In particular, airships are
      optics for a given image resolution. Also, sensors       areas of fabric from which airships’ envelopes are       likely to rely on fixed ground facilities to a lesser
      for use on airships would not need to operate for        constructed; and safe ground maneuvering, espe-          extent than conventional aircraft, which need air-
      their entire lives without maintenance or repair, as     cially in the presence of winds.                         bases, and ships, which need seaports. Airships,
      satellite sensors must. Moreover, satellites are lim-                                                             therefore, could deliver large payloads to locations
      ited to the sensors that they are carrying when they     Cost is another crucial issue. Some proponents           that lack such facilities. Moreover, if some pro-
      are launched, but the type of sensor carried by an       have asserted that airships could cost less to pur-      posed designs prove technologically feasible,
      airship could be selected on a mission-by-mission        chase and operate than satellites or other aircraft.     airships would be able to carry much larger pay-
      basis, and improved sensors could be used as they        Those advocates cite, for example, the significantly     loads than fixed-wing aircraft and reach their
      became available.                                        lower fuel consumption of airships relative to           destination more quickly than ships. Additionally,
                                                               fixed-wing aircraft. The costs of airships remain        if airships prove to be as fuel efficient as their pro-
      Airships can be continuously located wherever            unknown, however, because technology is at an            ponents assert, airships might be able to operate at
      ISR is needed (subject to the constraints of             early stage of development and the details of pur-       substantially lower cost than existing aircraft, an
      weather, air defenses, and otherwise restricted air-     chases, operation, maintenance, and support are
      space), while satellite observations are limited to      yet to be determined. For example, the cost of
      when orbits pass overhead. Satellites, however, have     obtaining large volumes of helium and the equip-         3. Indeed, some reports indicate that DoD has already
      the advantage of a very large field of view because      ment needed to store and distribute it to combat            encountered challenges meeting the helium storage and
      of their great distance above the ground. Addition-      theaters around the world is unclear.3 Because of           distribution demands in Iraq and Afghanistan that have
      ally, although satellites fly in predictable Earth       such uncertainty, cost estimates would be highly            resulted from the widespread use of tethered blimps to
                                                                                                                           provide security surveillance at fixed locations. The
      orbits that can be easy to track, they are very diffi-   speculative. In this document, therefore, CBO
                                                                                                                           deployment of much larger airships would dramatically
      cult to attack. Also, satellites are free of airspace    does not examine the costs of airships relative to          increase the demand for helium. Although those chal-
      restrictions.                                            other types of aircraft and satellites.                     lenges can most likely be resolved, the cost and complexity
                                                                                                                           of doing so has not been determined.




CBO
INTRODUCTION                                                                                                            RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   5


      advantage that would grow if fuel prices increase.         conventional cargo aircraft provide and lesser pay-   threats. Furthermore, airships would need to
      (Fuel for transport aircraft represented nearly            loads but greater speed than cargo ships provide.     demonstrate sufficient dependability in day-to-day
      40 percent of the Air Force’s energy costs in fiscal       The feasibility of constructing and operating such    operations before they could be relied on to main-
      year 2009.) Savings from lower fuel consumption,           enormous aircraft—by some estimates, about            tain continuous flows of cargo.
      however, could be offset by costs that have not yet        1,000 feet in length and 300 feet in width for a
      been identified or quantified.                             500-ton capacity airship—remains in doubt,            Whether or not airships would be worthwhile
                                                                 however.                                              additions to the military’s strategic force providing
      Proposals have been put forward for hybrid air-                                                                  airlift over intercontinental distances will also
      ships that could accommodate payloads of various           Other risks remain in using airships for airlift.     depend in part on the progress of their technologi-
      sizes. Airships carrying 20 tons (about the payload        Airships would still have the disadvantages dis-      cal development as well as their acquisition and
      of a C-130 intratheater airlift aircraft) could oper-      cussed above for ISR missions, such as greater        operation costs relative to those of conventional
      ate independently of runways and only slightly             sensitivity to weather conditions. As with other      aircraft. The future of airships in airlift will also
      more slowly than helicopters but with substantially        types of airships, those used for tactical airlift    depend on whether there is a demand for increased
      larger payloads. Airships carrying 50 tons (about          (airlift within a theater of operations) would be     deliveries before ships can be expected to arrive and
      the average payload of a C-17 intertheater airlift         vulnerable to hostile fire if required to fly over    whether there is a need to deliver cargo directly to
      aircraft) or more could complement today’s strate-         unsecured territory. Those airships would operate     locations that cannot be easily supplied with exist-
      gic airlift aircraft and sealift ships. Very large cargo   at similar altitudes and not dramatically lower       ing transportation systems. 
      airships capable of carrying a few hundred tons            speeds than helicopters, but they would be much
      would offer greater payloads but lower speed than          less maneuverable and thus less able to avoid




CBO
RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   6


      Exhibit 1.
                                                                                                                                           Airship programs that have been proposed or
      Illustrations of Airships                                                                                                            that are being pursued today range in technical
                                                                                                                                           maturity: Some are concepts on paper, others
      High-Altitude ISR                                                                                                                    are being developed to demonstrate technical
                                                                                                                                           feasibility, and a few are based on well-
                                                                                                                                           established technologies that could be quickly
                                                                                                                                           put to use in the field. In this document, the
                                                                                                                                           Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analyzes
                                                                                                                                           airships designed for intelligence, surveillance,
                                                                                                      ISIS (Technology demonstrator)
                                                                                                                                           and reconnaissance (ISR) missions and for
                                                                                                                                           airlift of cargo. They range in size from roughly
                                                                                                                                           that of a Goodyear blimp to about the size of
                                    ISIS (Full scale; proposed)                                                                            an aircraft carrier. CBO has not analyzed
                                                                                                                                           aerostats—tethered, unmanned airships com-
                                                                                                                                           monly used for observation.
                                                                                                                     HALE-D
                        HiSentinel
                (Technology demonstrator)
                                                                                                            (Technology demonstrator)      The airships discussed in this study fall into
                                                       High Altitude
                                                       Shuttle System
                                                                                                                                           three operational regimes: high-altitude ISR,
                                                                                    Star Light                                             low-altitude ISR, and airlift. In this exhibit, six
                                                                                                                                           designs, including both subscale demonstration
      Low-Altitude ISR                                                                                                                     models intended to test new technologies and
                                                                                                                                           full-scale aircraft capable of conducting actual
                                                                                                                                           operations, show aircraft proposed for opera-
                                Blue Devil Block II                         MZ-3A                                   LEMV                   tion at high altitudes. High-altitude operation
                                                                                                                                           is preferred when large fields of view or long
      Airlift                                                                                                                              viewing ranges are needed, for example, when
                                                                                                                                           looking deep within a country’s border while
                     Project Pelican                                                                                                       remaining outside its airspace. Four of those
                (Technology Demonstrator)                          SkyTug                        LEMV-Heavy (Proposed)                     high-altitude vehicles are conventional airships,
                                                                                                                                           and two—the Star Light and the High Altitude
      Reference Vehicles                                                                                                                   Shuttle System—are payload-return airships.
                                                                                                                                           (Upon completion of a mission, the payload
                                                                                                                                           detaches from the gas envelope and returns to
                                                                                                                                           base, and the envelope is not recovered.) Three
                                                                                                                           747-400
                                                                                                                                           designs show aircraft that would operate at low
                                                                                                    Goodyear                               altitudes. Full-motion video sensors are com-
                                       Nimitz Class Aircraft Carrier
                                                                                                           (Feet)                          monly carried by the low- to medium-altitude
                                                                                                           0        100              300
                                                                                                                                           ISR aircraft flown today, and would probably
                                                                                                                           200
                                                                                                                                           be used on airships operating at similar alti-
      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.                                                         tudes. Finally, three designs show aircraft
      Note: ISR = intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; ISIS = Integrated Sensor Is the Structure;                               proposed for the transportation of cargo. 
             HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator; LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle.
CBO
RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   7


      Exhibit 2.
                                                                                                                                            Because airships are large, are relatively light-
      Wind Speed and Location, Altitude, and Time of Year                                                                                   weight, and use small engines for thrust, they
                                                                                                                                            would be affected by weather conditions more
                                        Average Wind Speeds at 40,000 Feet Above Sea Level (Knots)                                          than are the conventional aircraft currently
                     90° North                                                         NOAA/ES L Physical Science Division
                                                                                                                                            used by the military. In particular, airships
                                                                                                                                            could be, at best, difficult to control or, at
                     50° North                                                                                                              worst, destroyed by high winds when near the
                                                                                                                                            ground during launch and recovery. Also,
                     30° North                                                                                                              maintaining position in the face of strong
                                                                                                                                            winds would increase fuel consumption and
                        Equator                                                                                                             thus reduce an airship’s time on station. Air-
                                                                                                                                            ships might not be able to maintain position at
                     30° South                                                                                                              all if winds were too strong.

                     60° South                                                                                                              Airships’ difficulties in high winds generally
                                                                                                                                            constrain their operations to below 20,000 feet
                     90° South                                                                                                              and above 60,000 feet because prevailing wind
                                               60°           120°         180°        120°              60°                                 speeds tend to be greatest between those alti-
                                               East          East                     West              West
                                                                                                                                            tudes. High winds at intermediate altitudes are
                                                                                                                                            especially prevalent over the Earth’s middle
                                        30         40         50           60         70              80                90
                                                                                                                                            latitudes, which include areas of particular
                                                                                                                                            interest to today’s military planners. Airships
               Average Wind Speeds (Kabul, Afghanistan)                           Seasonal Wind Speed (Baghdad, Iraq)                       operating at high altitudes would have to pass
              (Altitude in feet)                                    (Fraction of time wind exceeds 40 knots)                                through intermediate altitudes and, although
              100,000                                               1.0                                                                     not necessarily a hazard to structural integrity,
                                                                                                                                            winds could be strong enough to blow an air-
               80,000                                               0.8                                                                     ship off course. Consequently, careful planning
                                                                                                                                            would be needed to route a high-altitude air-
               60,000                                               0.6                                                                     ship to its orbit location and back to its base.
                                                                                              24,000 Feet
                                                                                                                                            Average wind speed calculations, however,
               40,000                                               0.4
                                                                                       18,000 Feet
                                                                                                                                            obscure the fact that winds can vary substan-
                                                                                                                                            tially at a given place depending on the time of
               20,000                                               0.2
                                                                                    68,000 Feet                                             year. For example, the probability of encoun-
                                                                                                                                            tering winds in excess of 40 knots over
                    0                                                0
                                                                                                                                            Baghdad is considerably higher from Novem-
                        0   10     20    30   40   50   60   70            Jan.      Mar.       May          July            Sept.   Nov.   ber to May than it is at other times of the year.
                                 Average Speed (Knots)
                                                                                                                                            Such variations mean that maintaining control
      Sources: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and U.S. Air Force.                                                          of airships over a given location could be very
      Note: NOAA = National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; ESRL = Earth System Research Laboratory.                                difficult or even impossible for long periods of
CBO                                                                                                                                         time. 
RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   8


      Exhibit 3.
                                                                                                                         Commercially produced military airships are
      General Characteristics of Airships Under Consideration by DoD                                                     at various stages of development, with a num-
                                                                                                                         ber of companies across Europe, Asia, and
                 Operating        Airship        Altitude      Endurance       Status of                                 North America involved in their design and
      Mission    Altitude         Type           (Feet)        or Range        Technology        Characteristics         manufacture. Analysis in this document is lim-
                                  Conventional   Up to about   100 to 300      One system        Relatively mature       ited to airships designed for ISR that were
                                                 20,000        hours           currently         technology              recently funded by the Department of Defense
                                                                               operating;                                (DoD) and to selected proposed vehicles for
                                                                               others under                              airlift.
                                                                               construction
                                                                                                                         As a result of Earth’s atmospheric conditions,
                  Low Altitude    Hybrid         Up to about   500 hours       Technology        Uses static lift from   ISR missions for airships are typically classified
                                                 20,000                        demonstrations    helium, aero-           as either low-altitude or high-altitude—that is,
                                                                               ongoing           dynamic lift from       operating at less than 20,000 feet and at more
                                                                                                 the shape of the        than 60,000 feet, respectively. Altitudes
                                                                                                 envelope, and           between 20,000 and 60,000 feet are less suit-
         ISR                                                                                     vectored thrust to      able for airship operations because of the
                                                                                                 stay aloft              stronger winds that tend to be prevalent at
                                  Conventional   65,000 to     Greater than    Technology        Very large envelope     those altitudes. If the airships being designed
                                                 75,000        400 hours       demonstrations    volume to sustain       for ISR missions prove to be feasible, they
                                                                               ongoing           lift                    would be able to remain aloft longer than con-
                                                                                                                         ventional aircraft, with proposed endurance of
                  High Altitude   Payload-       65,000 to     100 to 300      Technology        Payload is              more than 100 hours. Airlift missions would
                                  Return         75,000        hours           demonstrations    detachable and          be undertaken only at low altitudes. 
                                                                               ongoing           returns to point of
                                                                                                 origin; airship is
                                                                                                 single-use
                                  Hybrid         9,000 to      Hundreds to     Technology        Uses static lift from
                                                 12,000        thousands of    demonstrations    helium, aero-
                                                               miles,          ongoing           dynamic lift from
       Airlift    Low Altitude                                 depending                         the shape of the
                                                               on design                         envelope, and
                                                                                                 vectored thrust to
                                                                                                 stay aloft
      Source: Congressional Budget Office.
      Note: DoD = Department of Defense; ISR = intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance.




CBO
Low-Altitude Intelligence,
      Surveillance, and Reconnaissance




CBO
LOW-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE                                                              RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   10


      Exhibit 4.
                                                                                                                          DoD is currently funding several efforts to
      Low-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and                                                           field airships that would conduct ISR missions
                                                                                                                          at low altitudes. The most prominent of those
      Reconnaissance                                                                                                      are the Navy’s MZ-3A, the Air Force’s Blue
                                                                                                                          Devil Block II (BD2), and the Army’s Long-
                                                             Date for                                                     Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle
                               Platform        Sponsor       First Flight   Goal            Type           Status         (LEMV). Conducting ISR missions from lower
                               LEMV            Army          Late           3 deployable    Hybrid         Under          altitudes has the advantage of needing a smaller
                                                             2011           systems                        construction   volume of buoyant gas to carry a given payload
                                                                                                                          weight. In addition, lighter and less sophisti-
                                                                                                                          cated sensors are usually sufficient at lower
                               BD2             Air Force     Late           1 deployable    Conventional   Under          altitudes for a given level of performance
                                                             2011           system                         construction   because those sensors are closer to the objects
                                                                                                                          and activities they are attempting to observe.
                                                                                                                          Low-altitude operations, however, have the
                               MZ-3A           Navy          2006           1 operational   Conventional   Currently      disadvantage of a smaller field of view than is
                                                                            system                         operating      possible from higher altitudes, and low-altitude
                                                                                                                          aircraft are easier for an adversary to detect and
      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.                                        attack.
      Note: LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle; BD2 = Blue Devil Block II.
                                                                                                                          The Navy’s MZ-3A, a nonrigid conventional
                                                                                                                          airship that entered service in 2006, is the only
                                                                                                                          currently operational airship. The Navy has no
                                                                                                                          announced plans to deploy the MZ-3A over-
                                                                                                                          seas, but it was used to help monitor the
                                                                                                                          Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of
                                                                                                                          Mexico, and today it is being used as an experi-
                                                                                                                          mental platform to test different sensors and to
                                                                                                                          determine how airships could be used in actual
                                                                                                                          operations. In its current configuration, the
                                                                                                                          MZ-3A is the only ISR airship considered here
                                                                                                                          that must carry a crew. The Air Force’s non-
                                                                                                                          rigid conventional BD2 is about twice the
                                                                                                                          length and has eight times the gas volume of
                                                                                                                          the MZ-3A. The Air Force’s near-term goals
                                                                                                                          for the BD2 are to achieve a first flight in late
                                                                                                                          2011 and to deploy the aircraft to support
                                                                                                                          operations overseas in 2012. The Army’s
                                                                                                                          LEMV, a semirigid hybrid design, will be simi-
                                                                                                                          lar in volume to the BD2 but shorter and wider
                                                                                                                          to create an airfoil-shaped envelope. The first-
                                                                                                                          flight and deployment goals for the LEMV are
CBO                                                                                                                       similar to those for the BD2. 
LOW-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE                                                                  RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   11


      Exhibit 5.
                                                                                                                               The Air Force and the Army have both entered
      Payload, Endurance, and Speed of Low-Altitude Airships and                                                               into contracts to purchase low-altitude ISR
      Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                                                                                      airships for eventual use in Afghanistan. Two
                                                                                                                               airships being built for this purpose are the
      (Endurance, days)                                                                                                        Air Force’s BD2 and the Army’s LEMV. The
      25
                                                                                                                               BD2 is a nonrigid conventional airship; the
                                                                                                    Payload (Pounds)           LEMV is a semirigid hybrid airship.

                                                                                                          2,500                The BD2 is designed to stay aloft onsite at
                                                                                                                               20,000 feet with a 2,500-pound payload for
                               LEMV
                                                                                                                               five days. Its manufacturer, Mav6, is scheduled
      20                                                                                                   500                 to deliver one BD2 to Afghanistan in 2012.
                                                                                                                               The LEMV is designed to remain onsite at
                                                                                                                               20,000 feet with a 2,500-pound payload for
                                                                                                                               21 days. The first of three LEMVs is expected
                                                                                                                               to be delivered in time for deployment to
      15
                                                                                                                               Afghanistan by early 2012.
                                                                                                                               The planned endurance of those two airships is
                                                                                                                               substantially greater than that of operational
                                                                                                                               fixed-wing unmanned aircraft such as the
      10                                                                                                                       RQ-4 Global Hawk, MQ-9 Reaper and MQ-1
                                                                                                                               Predator, all of which can remain aloft for a
                                                                                                                               day and a half or less. The Orion, a fixed-wing
                                                                                                                               concept demonstrator, would approach the
                                                                                                                               five-day endurance of the BD2 airship.
       5                        BD2

                                            Orion
                                                                                                                               The cruise speeds of the fixed-wing aircraft are
                                                                                                                               greater than those of the airships, particularly
                                                           MQ-9 Reaper                     RQ-4 Global Hawk                    for the Global Hawk and the Reaper, which
                                    MQ-1 Grey Eagle                                                                            can both fly in excess of 200 knots. That speed
                                   Predator
       0                                                                                                                       gives them the ability to quickly shift to a new
           0            50            100           150             200        250         300            350            400   orbit location in response to changes in the sit-
                                                                                                                               uation on the ground.
                                                            Speed (Knots)

      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.
                                                                                                                               Because many of the technologies needed to
                                                                                                                               produce a modern airship are in early stages of
      Notes: Solid circles denote airships, hatched circles denote fixed-wing aircraft. Circle area is proportional to         development, the costs per airship in compari-
             payload.                                                                                                          son to fixed-wing aircraft are highly uncertain
               Performance characteristics are for typical mission profiles.                                                   and are not addressed in this report. 
               LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle; BD2 = Blue Devil Block II.
CBO
LOW-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE                                                    RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   12


      Exhibit 6.
                                                                                                                A summary measure of ISR capability,
      Payload-Duration of Low-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                         payload-duration is the weight (payload) that
                                                                                                                could be carried to a location multiplied by the
      (Payload-duration, pound-hours)                                                                           amount of time it could be kept there (dura-
      10,000,000
                                                                                                                tion). Payload weight serves as a simplified
                                                                                                                measure of the types and quality of sensors that
                                                                                                                an airship could carry. CBO estimated the
       1,000,000                                                                            LEMV (Objective)    payload-duration for individual aircraft and
                                                                                                                airships as a function of the distance between
                                                                                            BD2 (Objective)     where the vehicle is based and where its orbit is
         100,000                                                                                                located.
                                                                                            Orion (Objective)
                                                                                                                If the BD2 and LEMV meet planned objec-
          10,000                                                                                                tives, they will provide substantially greater
                                                                                               MQ-9 Reaper      payload-duration than do the three Predator-
                                                                                                  Grey Eagle    class unmanned aircraft in use today: the Air
            1,000                                                                             MQ-1 Predator     Force’s Predator and Reaper and the Army’s
                                                                                                                Grey Eagle. For example, at a 500-nautical
                                                                                                                mile combat radius, the Air Force’s BD2 would
             100                                                                                                have a payload-duration about 60 times
                    0     250     500      750     1,000   1,250    1,500   1,750   2,000                       greater than the Predator’s and more than
                                        Combat Radius (Nautical miles)                                          10 times greater than the Reaper’s, and the
                                                                                                                Army’s LEMV would have a payload-duration
      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.                              about 80 times that of the Grey Eagle. Fur-
      Notes: The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale.                                                        thermore, at combat radii greater than
             Solid lines denote airships; dashed lines denote fixed-wing aircraft.                              500 nautical miles, the payload-duration of
                                                                                                                the Predator, Reaper, and Grey Eagle falls off
             LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle; BD2 = Blue Devil Block II.
                                                                                                                more rapidly than would the payload-duration
                                                                                                                of the airships because transit time consumes
                                                                                                                most of the flight time available to the
                                                                                                                Predator-class aircraft.
                                                                                                                The objective performance for Orion does not
                                                                                                                show the same decrease in payload-duration as
                                                                                                                the other conventional aircraft because the
                                                                                                                endurance it is being designed to achieve is
                                                                                                                much greater than those aircraft’s. (The decrease
                                                                                                                occurs beyond the scale of the figure.) The
                                                                                                                Orion is, however, still in development. 

CBO
High-Altitude Intelligence,
      Surveillance, and Reconnaissance




CBO
HIGH-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE                                                                RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   14


      Exhibit 7.
                                                                                                                             High-altitude ISR vehicles are at an earlier
      High-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and                                                             stage of development than low-altitude sys-
                                                                                                                             tems. Most current concepts for high-altitude
      Reconnaissance                                                                                                         airships are of conventional design, although
                                                                                                                             there have also been proposals for hybrids.
                                                                Date for                                                     Design challenges for high-altitude airships
                                 Platform        Sponsor        First Flight   Goal              Type         Status         include manufacturing fabrics that are light,
                                                                     Traditional Designs                                     strong enough for very large envelopes, and
                                                                                                                             durable enough to survive in the upper
                                 HALE-D          Army/ASMDC July 2011          Scaled technology Conventional Prototype      atmosphere. Operational challenges include
                                                                               demonstrator                   flown—         navigating through altitudes where winds can
                                                                                                              suffered       be greater than the speed of the airship itself.
                                                                                                              failure        Once at altitude, however, the aircraft would
                                                                                                                             have the advantage of a large field of view and
                                 HiSentinel      Army/ASMDC November           Scaled technology Conventional Prototype      could be threatened only by air defense systems
                                                            2010               demonstrator                   flown—         capable of reaching that high.
                                                                                                              suffered
                                                                                                              failure        The Army’s High Altitude Airship (HAA) pro-
                                                                                                                             gram includes the HiSentinel demonstration
                                 ISIS         DARPA             2013           Scaled technology Conventional Under          aircraft and the High-Altitude Long-Endur-
                                 Demonstrator                                  demonstrator                   construction   ance Demonstrator (HALE-D) aircraft. The
                                                                                                                             Army is also working with the Defense
                                                                                                                             Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA)
                                                                                                                             on a subscale demonstrator of the Integrated
                                                        Designs with Detachable Return Vehicles                              Sensor Is the Structure (ISIS) airship, which
                                                                                                                             would integrate a radar antenna into the struc-
                                 Star Light      Navy           Undetermined Technology          Conventional Under          ture of the airship. The Star Light and the
                                                                             demonstrator        with return construction    High Altitude Shuttle System payload-return
                                                                                                 payload                     airships are also technology demonstrators. If
                                                                                                                             the demonstrators are successful, a subsequent
                                                                                                                             generation of vehicles with greater payload
                                                                                                                             capacities and endurance could be developed.
                                                                                                                             Both the HiSentinel and HALE-D programs,
                                 High Altitude   Army           2009           Technology        Conventional Prototype      however, have suffered recent setbacks. In
                                 Shuttle                                       demonstrator      with return flown           November 2010, the HiSentinel had a propul-
                                 System                                                          payload                     sion failure and landed 8 hours into a planned
      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.                                           24-hour mission. In July 2011, HALE-D had
                                                                                                                             a technical failure and was forced to land 3
      Note: HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator; ASMDC = Army Space and Missile Defense
                                                                                                                             hours into a planned 14-day mission. During
            Command; ISIS = Integrated Sensor Is the Structure; DARPA = Defense Advanced Research Projects
                                                                                                                             recovery operations, its envelope and solar cells
            Agency.
                                                                                                                             were destroyed, and its payload was damaged
CBO                                                                                                                          by a fire. 
HIGH-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE                                                                 RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   15


      Exhibit 8.
                                                                                                                               The Army’s HAA program, within which the
      Payload, Endurance, and Speed of High-Altitude Airships and                                                              HiSentinel and HALE-D are subscale demon-
      Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                                                                                      stration aircraft, has the long-term objective
                                                                                                                               of building an airship capable of carrying a
      (Endurance, days)                                                                                                        2,000-pound payload and generating 15 kilo-
                                                                                                                               watts of power (to run the payload and aircraft
      35                                                                                                                       systems) at 65,000 feet for more than 30 days.
                                                                                                     Payload (Pounds)
                        Long-Term Goal of HAA Program
                           HAA-Objective                                                                                       The HiSentinel has those speed and endurance
      30                                                                                                    3,000              capabilities but can carry a much smaller pay-
                          HiSentinel                                                                                           load—80 lbs. The HALE-D has an even
                          Hi Sentinel
                                                                                                            1,000              smaller payload and half the endurance of the
      25
                                                                                                                               HiSentinel. The goal of HiSentinel and
                                                                                                                               HALE-D, however, is to test the technologies
      20                                                                                                                       needed for long endurance at high altitude,
               HALE-D
                                                                                                                               not to demonstrate the capability to carry a
      15
                                                                                                                               large payload.
                                                                                                                               In comparison with unmanned fixed-wing air-
      10                                                                                                                       craft, such as the Global Hawk or Reaper, an
                                                                                                                               airship meeting the long-term goals of the
                                                                                                                               HAA program would have a similar payload
       5
                                                             MQ-9                               RQ-4                           and substantially longer endurance but consid-
                                                             Reaper                          Global Hawk                       erably slower cruise speed. 
       0
           0            50             100         150           200           250         300             350           400

                                                             Speed (Knots)

      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.
      Notes: Solid circles denote airships; hatched circles denote fixed-wing aircraft. Circle area is proportional to
             payload.
               Performance characteristics are for typical mission profiles.
               HAA = High Altitude Airship; HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator.




CBO
HIGH-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE AND RECONNAISSANCE                                                       RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   16


      Exhibit 9.
                                                                                                                    The fixed-wing Global Hawk is the most
      Payload-Duration of High-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft                                            prominent high-altitude unmanned ISR air-
                                                                                                                    craft in use today, and it provides a useful
      (Payload-duration, pound hours)                                                                               comparison point for proposed airship designs.
      10,000,000                                                                                                    An airship meeting the long-term performance
                                                                                                                    goals of the Army’s HAA program would have
                                                                                                                    a payload-duration significantly greater than
                                                                                                 Long-Term Goal     the Global Hawk’s and the Reaper’s as well as
       1,000,000
                                                                                                 of HAA Program     the ability to carry sensors large enough to be
                                                                                                                    useful from over 60,000 feet. To reach such
                                                                                                                    altitudes, however, an operational airship
         100,000                                                                                                    would need to be much larger than the HiSen-
                                                                                                RQ-4 Global Hawk    tinel and HALE-D demonstrators. (See, for
                                                                                                       HiSentinel   example, the relative sizes of the ISIS and the
                                                                                                                    ISIS demonstrator in Exhibit 1.)
          10,000
                                                                                                         HALE-D     Designs for unmanned aircraft with a payload-
                                                                                                    MQ-9 Reaper     duration even greater than the long-term
                                                                                                                    objective for the HAA program are also being
           1,000                                                                                                    explored. Two programs at DARPA—the ISIS
                   0     250     500      750     1,000    1,250    1,500   1,750   2,000                           airship and the Vulture, a fixed-wing aircraft—
                                       Combat Radius (Nautical miles)                                               have the goal of developing aircraft that could
      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.                                  remain continuously aloft for five years. A
                                                                                                                    vehicle with that endurance and a payload of
      Notes: The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale.
                                                                                                                    1,000 pounds (the reported goal for a Vulture
             Solid lines denote airships; dashed lines denote fixed-wing aircraft.                                  demonstration aircraft) would have a payload-
             HAA = High Altitude Airship; HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator.                       duration at least 30 times larger than even the
                                                                                                                    HAA program’s objective. 




CBO
Airlift




CBO
AIRLIFT                                                                                                           RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS   18


      Exhibit 10.
                                                                                                                   At least three cargo airship designs that could
      Proposed Airships for Airlift                                                                                be fielded to provide airlift capability within
                                                                                                                   the next few years are in development or have
                                                            Date for                                               been proposed. The Project Pelican is a pro-
                                Platform    Sponsor         First Flight    Goal           Type     Status         posed hybrid airship that would feature a rigid
                                Project     DoD RRTO        2012–2013       Scaled         Hybrid   Under          hull and use variable-buoyancy technology to
                                Pelican                                     technology              construction   assist with controlling lift. The LEMV-Heavy
                                                                            demonstrator                           would be based on the LEMV that is being
                                                                                                                   developed for ISR missions. The SkyTug is a
                                LEMV-       Privately       Undetermined Proposed          Hybrid   Designs        hybrid airship that would be based on the
                                Heavy       funded                       operational                proposed       P-791 technology demonstrator that first flew
                                                                         system                                    in January 2006.
                                                                                                                   CBO did not examine in detail proposals for
                                SkyTug      Privately       2012            Full-scale     Hybrid   Under          other, much larger cargo airships. For example,
                                            funded                          prototype               construction   from 2003 to 2006, the Defense Advanced
                                                                                                                   Research Projects Agency pursued a program
                                                                                                                   called the Hybrid Ultra-Large Aircraft
      Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers.                                 (HULA), or Walrus, with the goal of building
      Note: DoD = Department of Defense; RRTO = Rapid Reaction Technology Office; LEMV = Long-Endurance            an airship able to carry 500 to 1,000 tons up
            Multi-Intelligence Vehicle.                                                                            to 12,000 miles in less than seven days. If such
                                                                                                                   a large aircraft is ever built, it will most likely
                                                                                                                   be a larger version of a smaller hybrid airship
                                                                                                                   such as the three described above. For an
                                                                                                                   analysis of how very large cargo airships
                                                                                                                   might perform relative to sealift ships and
                                                                                                                   conventional strategic airlift aircraft, see Con-
                                                                                                                   gressional Budget Office, Options for Strategic
                                                                                                                   Military Transportation Systems (September
                                                                                                                   2005). 




CBO
Recent Development Efforts for Military Airships
Recent Development Efforts for Military Airships
Recent Development Efforts for Military Airships

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Recent Development Efforts for Military Airships

  • 1. CONGRESS OF THE UNITED STATES CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE CBO Recent Development Efforts for Military Airships NOVEMBER 2011
  • 3. CBO Recent Development Efforts for Military Airships November 2011 The Congress of the United States O Congressional Budget Office
  • 4. Notes and Definitions The cover shows a U.S. Navy MZ-3A manned airship landing at Lake Front Airport, New Orleans, Louisiana, to provide support for the Deepwater Unified Command and the Gulf of Mexico oil spill. Photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Andrew Geraci. Aerostat: A tethered, unmanned airship. Airlift: The transportation of people, equipment, or other cargo by air. Airship: An aircraft that obtains buoyant lift from a contained volume of helium or other gas that is less dense than the surrounding air. Also referred to as a lighter-than-air vehicle. Conventional Aircraft: An aircraft that does not rely on buoyant lift to achieve flight. In this document the term includes fixed-wing aircraft, tilt-rotor aircraft, and helicopters. Conventional Airship: An airship that uses only buoyant lift to achieve flight. Envelope: The external structure of an airship within which the helium or other buoyant gas is located. There are three categories of envelopes: rigid, semirigid and nonrigid. Rigid envelopes use an internal frame to keep their shape. Semirigid envelopes use a “keel” along the bottom of the envelope to distribute weight. Nonrigid envelopes have no frame and use only gas and envelope design to keep their shape. Hybrid Airship: An airship that uses a combination of buoyant lift from helium, aerodynamic lift from the shape of the envelope, and variable-direction thrust (more commonly called vectored thrust) to stay aloft. Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR): Reconnaissance operations observe an area to collect information. Surveillance is the systematic observation of a particular area. Intelligence is the product of surveillance and reconnaissance once the information from those operations has been analyzed and evaluated. Orbit: In this document, orbit refers to the region in the sky in which an aircraft operates while it is observing the activities below. In military parlance, an aircraft orbit is often called a combat air patrol, or CAP. Payload-duration: Payload-duration is the weight (payload) that could be carried to a location multiplied by the amount of time it could remain there (duration). CBO
  • 5. Preface Airships—also known as lighter-than-air vehicles—have been proposed as alternatives to some of the aircraft the Department of Defense uses today for two types of missions: intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; and airlift. The unique characteristics of airships offer some advantages and disadvantages for those missions relative to aircraft currently in the fleet. At the request of the Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) examined the Department of Defense’s plans and proposals for airships. In keeping with CBO’s mandate to provide objective, impartial analysis, this study makes no recommendations. Alec Johnson, formerly of CBO’s National Security Division, prepared the document, with assistance from David Arthur, under the general supervision of David Mosher. The line drawings of airships were done by Bernard Kempinski. Charles Whalen of CBO provided helpful comments on the report, as did Mark T. Lewellyn of the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory. The assistance of an external reviewer implies no responsibility for the final product, which rests solely with CBO. Jeanine Rees and John Skeen edited the document. Maureen Costantino and Jeanine Rees prepared the study for publication, and Maureen Costantino designed the cover. Monte Ruffin printed the initial copies, and Linda Schimmel coordinated the print distribution. This publication is available on CBO’s Web site (www.cbo.gov). Douglas W. Elmendorf Director November 2011 CBO
  • 6.
  • 7. List of Exhibits Exhibit Page 1. Illustrations of Airships 6 2. Wind Speed and Location, Altitude, and Time of Year 7 3. General Characteristics of Airships Under Consideration by DoD 8 Low-Altitude Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance 4. Low-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance 10 5. Payload, Endurance, and Speed of Low-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft 11 6. Payload-Duration of Low-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft 12 High-Altitude Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance 7. High-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance 14 8. Payload, Endurance, and Speed of High-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft 15 9. Payload-Duration of High-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft 16 Airlift 10. Proposed Airships for Airlift 18 11. Approximate Performance Characteristics of Proposed Airships for Airlift 19 12. Airlift Performance for an Illustrative Deployment to the Middle East 20 13. Illustration of the Number of Aircraft Needed to Provide 1,000 Tons per Day Throughput Within a Theater of Operations 21 CBO
  • 8. Recent Development Efforts for Military Airships During the past decade’s operations in Afghanistan In light of the demand for aircraft capable of resulting craft could serve effectively in the ISR and Iraq, the U.S. military has come to rely heavily remaining aloft for long periods of time, and airlift roles; on the continuous or nearly continuous presence considerable interest in airships as alternatives to overhead of both manned and unmanned aircraft conventional aircraft exists. Although unmanned B Airships’ performance characteristics would to support ground troops. Unmanned aircraft that airships are unproven, they have the potential to provide some advantages and suffer from some remain aloft in particular locations (or “orbits”) remain in the air for long periods—providing disadvantages relative to those of the conven- have been primarily used to provide timely infor- mission durations that are many times longer than tional aircraft currently used for ISR and airlift mation about activities on the ground and to would be practical for conventional aircraft. Con- missions; and attack ground targets on short notice. Most promi- sequently, the military services are exploring a nent among these aircraft are the Department of variety of designs for unmanned airships capable of B Airships would present new operational chal- Defense’s (DoD’s) fleets of unmanned Predators, carrying ISR sensors. lenges such as greater sensitivity to weather Reapers, and Global Hawks; however, satellites and conditions and the need to provide unique manned conventional aircraft, including fighters The technology needed to field airships for ISR types of maintenance and support. and long-range bombers, have also contributed. could also be applied to airships meant for airlift— that is, for the transportation of people, equip- Because the development of the technology needed The demand for those so-called “persistent” or ment, or other cargo. Whether airships designed for modern military airships is at an early stage, in “loitering” missions has led the Air Force to sub- to carry cargo would be manned or unmanned most cases cost estimates would be highly specula- stantially enlarge its fleet of unmanned aircraft, would depend on the specific missions they per- tive; therefore, CBO does not examine the costs of and the Army, Navy, and Marine Corps to field formed. Although the military services’ investment airships here. Although CBO does compare the or plan to field similar aircraft to provide intelli- in developing airships for airlift has been limited, capabilities of airships to those of other aircraft, gence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) and several private companies are exploring potential assessing cost-effectiveness would require analyzing light-attack capabilities of their own.1 Unmanned designs or are in the process of building prototypes. costs as various technologies mature. aircraft are particularly attractive for such missions because they can be designed to provide durations In this document, the Congressional Budget Office beyond the physical endurance of human air crews (CBO) examines the potential capabilities of air- Background and because they do not put humans at risk during ships for ISR and airlift missions. In brief, CBO Airships were among the first aircraft to see useful operations in potentially hostile airspace. finds that: military service. German Navy airships were flying maritime patrol missions as early as 1914, and the B If the speed, payload, and endurance proposed 1. See Congressional Budget Office, Policy Options for first zeppelin bombing raids on Great Britain were for unmanned airships can be achieved, the Unmanned Aircraft Systems (June 2011). staged in early 1915. Beginning in 1917, the U.S. CBO
  • 9. INTRODUCTION RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 2 Navy operated a variety of airships for maritime allowing aircraft with limited self-defense on such aircraft did not progress much past paper patrol and fleet reconnaissance. The best known of features—in particular, the fixed-wing MQ-1 Pred- designs or small-scale demonstration vehicles. those were the large rigid-framed airships—such as ator and MQ-9 Reaper unmanned aircraft—to the U.S.S. Shenandoah and the U.S.S. Akron— operate effectively in nearly uninterrupted flights Modern airships and aerostats (tethered airships built in the 1920s and early 1930s. In commercial over unsecured territory. The nature of the con- usually limited to altitudes of about 1,000 feet) service, airships were used for the first regularly flicts in those countries and elsewhere has placed derive some or all of their lift from the buoyancy of scheduled passenger flights across the Atlantic in an emphasis on persistently remaining aloft to pro- helium gas contained within their external struc- the early 1930s, several years before fixed-wing vide ISR and limited missile attacks against ground ture, or envelope. There are three categories of aircraft. targets. The Department of Defense is exploring envelope: rigid, semirigid and nonrigid. Rigid the use of airships for long-endurance missions envelopes use an internal frame to keep their shape; Airships were attractive during the early days of such as those.2 Although DoD’s current focus is on early airships such as the German zeppelins had military aviation because, with buoyancy provided airships for ISR, there have been proposals for rigid envelopes. Semirigid envelopes use a keel by hydrogen or helium, the engines needed only equipping airships with weapons as well. along the bottom of the envelope to distribute enough power to move the aircraft at relatively low weight. Nonrigid airships have no frame and use speed, and airframes needed only enough strength Using airships for airlift has also periodically stirred only gas and envelope design to keep their shape. to support their own weight and to withstand the interest in military circles. In particular, concern The blimps frequently present above large sporting relatively mild stresses associated with low-speed arose during the 1990s that rapid deployments by events are usually nonrigid airships. Unlike many flight. Fixed-wing aircraft, in contrast, required air, like those to the large airbases in Saudi Arabia early airships, which had a significant risk of catch- stronger airframe structures and more powerful during the first Iraq war, would not be possible in a ing fire because they used a flammable gas in their and reliable engines because their lift is derived future conflict if such airbases were not available. envelopes (hydrogen), modern airships almost from pushing wings through the air at high speed. Transport airships capable of landing in any suit- exclusively use helium gas, which cannot catch fire. Rapid improvements in airframe design, airframe ably large open area, proponents argued, could (But even helium-filled airships face the risk of materials technology, and aircraft engines during reduce the military’s dependence on overseas bases. being lost to fire if other components such as fuel World War II largely overcame the shortcomings of Although advocates of airships suggested designs burn.) fixed-wing aircraft. Moreover, improvements in capable of carrying payloads many times larger antiaircraft weapons during and after the war led than those of the largest fixed-wing aircraft, work Conventional airships, whether rigid, semirigid, or military planners to conclude later that airships nonrigid, achieve flight from the buoyancy of would be too slow and too vulnerable to attack helium alone. “Hybrid” airships, a more recent from the ground, particularly when facing a tech- innovation, use a combination of buoyant lift from nologically capable adversary such as the Soviet 2. Of course, circumstances will not always permit those helium, aerodynamic lift from the shape of the Union. Therefore, interest in airships waned. types of missions. In the 1991 Iraq war and in operations envelope, and variable-direction thrust (more com- over the former Yugoslavia later in the 1990s, for example, monly called vectored thrust) to stay aloft. The The end of the Cold War, however, ushered in an it was possible to attack or otherwise suppress air defenses combination of three different forms of lift allows to the point at which fighters and bombers could operate era in which operations against less capable adver- in relative safety. However, the suppression of air defenses hybrid airships to carry heavier loads (larger saries have been more common. In Iraq and in those conflicts was probably insufficient to allow air- payloads) for a given volume of helium and also Afghanistan during the past decade, for example, craft such as Predators or airships to orbit continuously provides a greater ability to control upward forces air defenses have been essentially nonexistent, overhead. CBO
  • 10. INTRODUCTION RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 3 on the aircraft than is the case with conventional only modest payloads to accommodate the to a fixed-wing aircraft such as the RQ-4 Global airships that rely on buoyancy alone. appropriate sensor packages, and nearly or totally Hawk, airships operating at high altitude (around absent air defenses. Under such circumstances, 60,000 feet or higher) could be more difficult to Today, the Navy is using a conventional, nonrigid the performance characteristics of airships offer detect by adversaries looking for acoustic, thermal, airship—the MZ-3A—to experiment with poten- some significant advantages but also have various or radar reflections because they could be designed tial airship payloads and explore how airships disadvantages when compared with those of the to be quiet and cool and, in some designs, have a might be used in actual operations. The Army, fixed-wing aircraft and space satellites that the structure made of radar-absorbent materials or lit- Air Force, and the Defense Advanced Research Department of Defense currently uses to meet its tle rigid structure for radar to detect. They would Projects Agency (DARPA) are working on designs needs for aerial ISR. also be out of range for most surface-to-air missiles for other airships, with a primary focus on or guns. In contrast, airships operating at low unmanned craft for ISR. Other organizations Performance of Airships Relative to Other altitudes would probably be easier to detect than within DoD—for example, the Missile Defense Aircraft conventional aircraft at similar altitudes because of Agency and the Joint Improvised Explosive their lower speed and much larger size. Once Unmanned airships have the potential to perform Device Defeat Organization—have made invest- detected, those airships might be easier to hit with ISR tasks with greater efficiency than conventional ments in airship technologies as well. Over the past ground fire than smaller, faster conventional air- unmanned aircraft systems. Because unmanned two years alone, DoD has funded more than craft, but they might prove to better withstand airships could remain aloft for much longer periods $500 million for projects related to lighter-than-air damage. For example, the low speed of airships than conventional aircraft, maintaining continuous platforms, and additional spending is planned for makes them less susceptible to the dynamic stresses ISR orbits with a smaller number of aircraft might the future. that can cause conventional aircraft to break up in be possible. Airships may also offer greater basing Other government agencies such as the Depart- flexibility than conventional aircraft because air- flight when damaged, and because the gas enve- ment of Homeland Security and the National ships could operate without the need for a long lopes rely on just a slightly higher pressure than the Aeronautics and Space Administration also have runway. However, airships would probably offer ambient atmosphere, helium leaks slowly out of explored or are exploring potential designs and uses less flexibility to operate in poor weather condi- holes that are not too large. for airships, albeit at lower funding levels than tions. High winds can make airships difficult to Because airships sacrifice speed in exchange for DoD. Additionally, several privately funded control, especially when near the ground, and the endurance relative to fixed-wing aircraft, they development efforts are under way that could yield increased fuel consumption that would be needed might offer less flexibility to quickly shift the airship designs suitable for adoption by DoD. to remain over one area in the face of high winds location of ISR orbits in response to changing cir- could significantly reduce an airship’s time on cumstances on the ground. Similarly, if air defense station. threats materialized in a previously benign environ- Intelligence, Surveillance and Like other unmanned aircraft besides stealth ones, ment, airships would need more time to exit the Reconnaissance (ISR) ISR airships would probably be primarily used in area and reach safe airspace. Slower speeds could The ISR missions of the type common in Afghani- secure airspace. If, however, airships encountered also reduce search rates for missions that need to stan and Iraq have been characterized by the desire air defenses, their survival would depend on the cover very large areas. (All else being equal, search for nearly continuous aerial presence, the need for specific circumstances of the engagement. Relative rate—the area covered in a given period of time CBO
  • 11. INTRODUCTION RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 4 that is theoretically defined as the product of the Other Factors Airlift aircraft’s speed and the sensor’s detection range to Advances in airship technology have not been Although most current interest in airships is in ISR either side of the flight path—is lower for lower tested in actual operations, and considerable risks platforms, airships could also be developed to speeds.) Such a limitation, however, would be less remain for modern airships relative to conventional move cargo—equipment, supplies, or people— significant for missions calling for close observa- unmanned aircraft systems. Many of the technolo- within or between combat theaters. Hybrid air- tion of smaller areas. gies needed for critical systems—propulsion and ships would probably be the preferred design for power, fabric for airship envelopes, flight control airlift because they provide greater lift for a given Performance of Airships Relative to systems, and sensors able to operate for weeks or gas volume and they can be easier to handle while Satellites months without maintenance—are in the early near the ground, particularly during loading and Airships can employ much less sophisticated and stages of development. Furthermore, the military unloading, when the total vehicle weight (aircraft less costly sensors than satellites use. Because air- has little contemporary experience in airship opera- plus cargo) changes substantially. ships operate at a much lower altitude, they can tion, maintenance, and support. Concerns include employ smaller, less sensitive antennas for detect- storage of the gas needed to fill airships; storage of Airships would have several advantages over other ing electronic emissions and smaller, less capable the vehicles themselves; maintenance of the vast means of transportation. In particular, airships are optics for a given image resolution. Also, sensors areas of fabric from which airships’ envelopes are likely to rely on fixed ground facilities to a lesser for use on airships would not need to operate for constructed; and safe ground maneuvering, espe- extent than conventional aircraft, which need air- their entire lives without maintenance or repair, as cially in the presence of winds. bases, and ships, which need seaports. Airships, satellite sensors must. Moreover, satellites are lim- therefore, could deliver large payloads to locations ited to the sensors that they are carrying when they Cost is another crucial issue. Some proponents that lack such facilities. Moreover, if some pro- are launched, but the type of sensor carried by an have asserted that airships could cost less to pur- posed designs prove technologically feasible, airship could be selected on a mission-by-mission chase and operate than satellites or other aircraft. airships would be able to carry much larger pay- basis, and improved sensors could be used as they Those advocates cite, for example, the significantly loads than fixed-wing aircraft and reach their became available. lower fuel consumption of airships relative to destination more quickly than ships. Additionally, fixed-wing aircraft. The costs of airships remain if airships prove to be as fuel efficient as their pro- Airships can be continuously located wherever unknown, however, because technology is at an ponents assert, airships might be able to operate at ISR is needed (subject to the constraints of early stage of development and the details of pur- substantially lower cost than existing aircraft, an weather, air defenses, and otherwise restricted air- chases, operation, maintenance, and support are space), while satellite observations are limited to yet to be determined. For example, the cost of when orbits pass overhead. Satellites, however, have obtaining large volumes of helium and the equip- 3. Indeed, some reports indicate that DoD has already the advantage of a very large field of view because ment needed to store and distribute it to combat encountered challenges meeting the helium storage and of their great distance above the ground. Addition- theaters around the world is unclear.3 Because of distribution demands in Iraq and Afghanistan that have ally, although satellites fly in predictable Earth such uncertainty, cost estimates would be highly resulted from the widespread use of tethered blimps to provide security surveillance at fixed locations. The orbits that can be easy to track, they are very diffi- speculative. In this document, therefore, CBO deployment of much larger airships would dramatically cult to attack. Also, satellites are free of airspace does not examine the costs of airships relative to increase the demand for helium. Although those chal- restrictions. other types of aircraft and satellites. lenges can most likely be resolved, the cost and complexity of doing so has not been determined. CBO
  • 12. INTRODUCTION RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 5 advantage that would grow if fuel prices increase. conventional cargo aircraft provide and lesser pay- threats. Furthermore, airships would need to (Fuel for transport aircraft represented nearly loads but greater speed than cargo ships provide. demonstrate sufficient dependability in day-to-day 40 percent of the Air Force’s energy costs in fiscal The feasibility of constructing and operating such operations before they could be relied on to main- year 2009.) Savings from lower fuel consumption, enormous aircraft—by some estimates, about tain continuous flows of cargo. however, could be offset by costs that have not yet 1,000 feet in length and 300 feet in width for a been identified or quantified. 500-ton capacity airship—remains in doubt, Whether or not airships would be worthwhile however. additions to the military’s strategic force providing Proposals have been put forward for hybrid air- airlift over intercontinental distances will also ships that could accommodate payloads of various Other risks remain in using airships for airlift. depend in part on the progress of their technologi- sizes. Airships carrying 20 tons (about the payload Airships would still have the disadvantages dis- cal development as well as their acquisition and of a C-130 intratheater airlift aircraft) could oper- cussed above for ISR missions, such as greater operation costs relative to those of conventional ate independently of runways and only slightly sensitivity to weather conditions. As with other aircraft. The future of airships in airlift will also more slowly than helicopters but with substantially types of airships, those used for tactical airlift depend on whether there is a demand for increased larger payloads. Airships carrying 50 tons (about (airlift within a theater of operations) would be deliveries before ships can be expected to arrive and the average payload of a C-17 intertheater airlift vulnerable to hostile fire if required to fly over whether there is a need to deliver cargo directly to aircraft) or more could complement today’s strate- unsecured territory. Those airships would operate locations that cannot be easily supplied with exist- gic airlift aircraft and sealift ships. Very large cargo at similar altitudes and not dramatically lower ing transportation systems.  airships capable of carrying a few hundred tons speeds than helicopters, but they would be much would offer greater payloads but lower speed than less maneuverable and thus less able to avoid CBO
  • 13. RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 6 Exhibit 1. Airship programs that have been proposed or Illustrations of Airships that are being pursued today range in technical maturity: Some are concepts on paper, others High-Altitude ISR are being developed to demonstrate technical feasibility, and a few are based on well- established technologies that could be quickly put to use in the field. In this document, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) analyzes airships designed for intelligence, surveillance, ISIS (Technology demonstrator) and reconnaissance (ISR) missions and for airlift of cargo. They range in size from roughly that of a Goodyear blimp to about the size of ISIS (Full scale; proposed) an aircraft carrier. CBO has not analyzed aerostats—tethered, unmanned airships com- monly used for observation. HALE-D HiSentinel (Technology demonstrator) (Technology demonstrator) The airships discussed in this study fall into High Altitude Shuttle System three operational regimes: high-altitude ISR, Star Light low-altitude ISR, and airlift. In this exhibit, six designs, including both subscale demonstration Low-Altitude ISR models intended to test new technologies and full-scale aircraft capable of conducting actual operations, show aircraft proposed for opera- Blue Devil Block II MZ-3A LEMV tion at high altitudes. High-altitude operation is preferred when large fields of view or long Airlift viewing ranges are needed, for example, when looking deep within a country’s border while Project Pelican remaining outside its airspace. Four of those (Technology Demonstrator) SkyTug LEMV-Heavy (Proposed) high-altitude vehicles are conventional airships, and two—the Star Light and the High Altitude Reference Vehicles Shuttle System—are payload-return airships. (Upon completion of a mission, the payload detaches from the gas envelope and returns to base, and the envelope is not recovered.) Three 747-400 designs show aircraft that would operate at low Goodyear altitudes. Full-motion video sensors are com- Nimitz Class Aircraft Carrier (Feet) monly carried by the low- to medium-altitude 0 100 300 ISR aircraft flown today, and would probably 200 be used on airships operating at similar alti- Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. tudes. Finally, three designs show aircraft Note: ISR = intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance; ISIS = Integrated Sensor Is the Structure; proposed for the transportation of cargo.  HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator; LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle. CBO
  • 14. RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 7 Exhibit 2. Because airships are large, are relatively light- Wind Speed and Location, Altitude, and Time of Year weight, and use small engines for thrust, they would be affected by weather conditions more Average Wind Speeds at 40,000 Feet Above Sea Level (Knots) than are the conventional aircraft currently 90° North NOAA/ES L Physical Science Division used by the military. In particular, airships could be, at best, difficult to control or, at 50° North worst, destroyed by high winds when near the ground during launch and recovery. Also, 30° North maintaining position in the face of strong winds would increase fuel consumption and Equator thus reduce an airship’s time on station. Air- ships might not be able to maintain position at 30° South all if winds were too strong. 60° South Airships’ difficulties in high winds generally constrain their operations to below 20,000 feet 90° South and above 60,000 feet because prevailing wind 60° 120° 180° 120° 60° speeds tend to be greatest between those alti- East East West West tudes. High winds at intermediate altitudes are especially prevalent over the Earth’s middle 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 latitudes, which include areas of particular interest to today’s military planners. Airships Average Wind Speeds (Kabul, Afghanistan) Seasonal Wind Speed (Baghdad, Iraq) operating at high altitudes would have to pass (Altitude in feet) (Fraction of time wind exceeds 40 knots) through intermediate altitudes and, although 100,000 1.0 not necessarily a hazard to structural integrity, winds could be strong enough to blow an air- 80,000 0.8 ship off course. Consequently, careful planning would be needed to route a high-altitude air- 60,000 0.6 ship to its orbit location and back to its base. 24,000 Feet Average wind speed calculations, however, 40,000 0.4 18,000 Feet obscure the fact that winds can vary substan- tially at a given place depending on the time of 20,000 0.2 68,000 Feet year. For example, the probability of encoun- tering winds in excess of 40 knots over 0 0 Baghdad is considerably higher from Novem- 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Jan. Mar. May July Sept. Nov. ber to May than it is at other times of the year. Average Speed (Knots) Such variations mean that maintaining control Sources: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and U.S. Air Force. of airships over a given location could be very Note: NOAA = National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; ESRL = Earth System Research Laboratory. difficult or even impossible for long periods of CBO time. 
  • 15. RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 8 Exhibit 3. Commercially produced military airships are General Characteristics of Airships Under Consideration by DoD at various stages of development, with a num- ber of companies across Europe, Asia, and Operating Airship Altitude Endurance Status of North America involved in their design and Mission Altitude Type (Feet) or Range Technology Characteristics manufacture. Analysis in this document is lim- Conventional Up to about 100 to 300 One system Relatively mature ited to airships designed for ISR that were 20,000 hours currently technology recently funded by the Department of Defense operating; (DoD) and to selected proposed vehicles for others under airlift. construction As a result of Earth’s atmospheric conditions, Low Altitude Hybrid Up to about 500 hours Technology Uses static lift from ISR missions for airships are typically classified 20,000 demonstrations helium, aero- as either low-altitude or high-altitude—that is, ongoing dynamic lift from operating at less than 20,000 feet and at more the shape of the than 60,000 feet, respectively. Altitudes envelope, and between 20,000 and 60,000 feet are less suit- ISR vectored thrust to able for airship operations because of the stay aloft stronger winds that tend to be prevalent at Conventional 65,000 to Greater than Technology Very large envelope those altitudes. If the airships being designed 75,000 400 hours demonstrations volume to sustain for ISR missions prove to be feasible, they ongoing lift would be able to remain aloft longer than con- ventional aircraft, with proposed endurance of High Altitude Payload- 65,000 to 100 to 300 Technology Payload is more than 100 hours. Airlift missions would Return 75,000 hours demonstrations detachable and be undertaken only at low altitudes.  ongoing returns to point of origin; airship is single-use Hybrid 9,000 to Hundreds to Technology Uses static lift from 12,000 thousands of demonstrations helium, aero- miles, ongoing dynamic lift from Airlift Low Altitude depending the shape of the on design envelope, and vectored thrust to stay aloft Source: Congressional Budget Office. Note: DoD = Department of Defense; ISR = intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. CBO
  • 16. Low-Altitude Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance CBO
  • 17. LOW-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 10 Exhibit 4. DoD is currently funding several efforts to Low-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and field airships that would conduct ISR missions at low altitudes. The most prominent of those Reconnaissance are the Navy’s MZ-3A, the Air Force’s Blue Devil Block II (BD2), and the Army’s Long- Date for Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle Platform Sponsor First Flight Goal Type Status (LEMV). Conducting ISR missions from lower LEMV Army Late 3 deployable Hybrid Under altitudes has the advantage of needing a smaller 2011 systems construction volume of buoyant gas to carry a given payload weight. In addition, lighter and less sophisti- cated sensors are usually sufficient at lower BD2 Air Force Late 1 deployable Conventional Under altitudes for a given level of performance 2011 system construction because those sensors are closer to the objects and activities they are attempting to observe. Low-altitude operations, however, have the MZ-3A Navy 2006 1 operational Conventional Currently disadvantage of a smaller field of view than is system operating possible from higher altitudes, and low-altitude aircraft are easier for an adversary to detect and Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. attack. Note: LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle; BD2 = Blue Devil Block II. The Navy’s MZ-3A, a nonrigid conventional airship that entered service in 2006, is the only currently operational airship. The Navy has no announced plans to deploy the MZ-3A over- seas, but it was used to help monitor the Deepwater Horizon oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico, and today it is being used as an experi- mental platform to test different sensors and to determine how airships could be used in actual operations. In its current configuration, the MZ-3A is the only ISR airship considered here that must carry a crew. The Air Force’s non- rigid conventional BD2 is about twice the length and has eight times the gas volume of the MZ-3A. The Air Force’s near-term goals for the BD2 are to achieve a first flight in late 2011 and to deploy the aircraft to support operations overseas in 2012. The Army’s LEMV, a semirigid hybrid design, will be simi- lar in volume to the BD2 but shorter and wider to create an airfoil-shaped envelope. The first- flight and deployment goals for the LEMV are CBO similar to those for the BD2. 
  • 18. LOW-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 11 Exhibit 5. The Air Force and the Army have both entered Payload, Endurance, and Speed of Low-Altitude Airships and into contracts to purchase low-altitude ISR Fixed-Wing Aircraft airships for eventual use in Afghanistan. Two airships being built for this purpose are the (Endurance, days) Air Force’s BD2 and the Army’s LEMV. The 25 BD2 is a nonrigid conventional airship; the Payload (Pounds) LEMV is a semirigid hybrid airship. 2,500 The BD2 is designed to stay aloft onsite at 20,000 feet with a 2,500-pound payload for LEMV five days. Its manufacturer, Mav6, is scheduled 20 500 to deliver one BD2 to Afghanistan in 2012. The LEMV is designed to remain onsite at 20,000 feet with a 2,500-pound payload for 21 days. The first of three LEMVs is expected to be delivered in time for deployment to 15 Afghanistan by early 2012. The planned endurance of those two airships is substantially greater than that of operational fixed-wing unmanned aircraft such as the 10 RQ-4 Global Hawk, MQ-9 Reaper and MQ-1 Predator, all of which can remain aloft for a day and a half or less. The Orion, a fixed-wing concept demonstrator, would approach the five-day endurance of the BD2 airship. 5 BD2 Orion The cruise speeds of the fixed-wing aircraft are greater than those of the airships, particularly MQ-9 Reaper RQ-4 Global Hawk for the Global Hawk and the Reaper, which MQ-1 Grey Eagle can both fly in excess of 200 knots. That speed Predator 0 gives them the ability to quickly shift to a new 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 orbit location in response to changes in the sit- uation on the ground. Speed (Knots) Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. Because many of the technologies needed to produce a modern airship are in early stages of Notes: Solid circles denote airships, hatched circles denote fixed-wing aircraft. Circle area is proportional to development, the costs per airship in compari- payload. son to fixed-wing aircraft are highly uncertain Performance characteristics are for typical mission profiles. and are not addressed in this report.  LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle; BD2 = Blue Devil Block II. CBO
  • 19. LOW-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 12 Exhibit 6. A summary measure of ISR capability, Payload-Duration of Low-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft payload-duration is the weight (payload) that could be carried to a location multiplied by the (Payload-duration, pound-hours) amount of time it could be kept there (dura- 10,000,000 tion). Payload weight serves as a simplified measure of the types and quality of sensors that an airship could carry. CBO estimated the 1,000,000 LEMV (Objective) payload-duration for individual aircraft and airships as a function of the distance between BD2 (Objective) where the vehicle is based and where its orbit is 100,000 located. Orion (Objective) If the BD2 and LEMV meet planned objec- 10,000 tives, they will provide substantially greater MQ-9 Reaper payload-duration than do the three Predator- Grey Eagle class unmanned aircraft in use today: the Air 1,000 MQ-1 Predator Force’s Predator and Reaper and the Army’s Grey Eagle. For example, at a 500-nautical mile combat radius, the Air Force’s BD2 would 100 have a payload-duration about 60 times 0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 greater than the Predator’s and more than Combat Radius (Nautical miles) 10 times greater than the Reaper’s, and the Army’s LEMV would have a payload-duration Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. about 80 times that of the Grey Eagle. Fur- Notes: The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale. thermore, at combat radii greater than Solid lines denote airships; dashed lines denote fixed-wing aircraft. 500 nautical miles, the payload-duration of the Predator, Reaper, and Grey Eagle falls off LEMV = Long-Endurance Multi-Intelligence Vehicle; BD2 = Blue Devil Block II. more rapidly than would the payload-duration of the airships because transit time consumes most of the flight time available to the Predator-class aircraft. The objective performance for Orion does not show the same decrease in payload-duration as the other conventional aircraft because the endurance it is being designed to achieve is much greater than those aircraft’s. (The decrease occurs beyond the scale of the figure.) The Orion is, however, still in development.  CBO
  • 20. High-Altitude Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance CBO
  • 21. HIGH-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 14 Exhibit 7. High-altitude ISR vehicles are at an earlier High-Altitude Airships for Intelligence, Surveillance, and stage of development than low-altitude sys- tems. Most current concepts for high-altitude Reconnaissance airships are of conventional design, although there have also been proposals for hybrids. Date for Design challenges for high-altitude airships Platform Sponsor First Flight Goal Type Status include manufacturing fabrics that are light, Traditional Designs strong enough for very large envelopes, and durable enough to survive in the upper HALE-D Army/ASMDC July 2011 Scaled technology Conventional Prototype atmosphere. Operational challenges include demonstrator flown— navigating through altitudes where winds can suffered be greater than the speed of the airship itself. failure Once at altitude, however, the aircraft would have the advantage of a large field of view and HiSentinel Army/ASMDC November Scaled technology Conventional Prototype could be threatened only by air defense systems 2010 demonstrator flown— capable of reaching that high. suffered failure The Army’s High Altitude Airship (HAA) pro- gram includes the HiSentinel demonstration ISIS DARPA 2013 Scaled technology Conventional Under aircraft and the High-Altitude Long-Endur- Demonstrator demonstrator construction ance Demonstrator (HALE-D) aircraft. The Army is also working with the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) on a subscale demonstrator of the Integrated Designs with Detachable Return Vehicles Sensor Is the Structure (ISIS) airship, which would integrate a radar antenna into the struc- Star Light Navy Undetermined Technology Conventional Under ture of the airship. The Star Light and the demonstrator with return construction High Altitude Shuttle System payload-return payload airships are also technology demonstrators. If the demonstrators are successful, a subsequent generation of vehicles with greater payload capacities and endurance could be developed. Both the HiSentinel and HALE-D programs, High Altitude Army 2009 Technology Conventional Prototype however, have suffered recent setbacks. In Shuttle demonstrator with return flown November 2010, the HiSentinel had a propul- System payload sion failure and landed 8 hours into a planned Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. 24-hour mission. In July 2011, HALE-D had a technical failure and was forced to land 3 Note: HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator; ASMDC = Army Space and Missile Defense hours into a planned 14-day mission. During Command; ISIS = Integrated Sensor Is the Structure; DARPA = Defense Advanced Research Projects recovery operations, its envelope and solar cells Agency. were destroyed, and its payload was damaged CBO by a fire. 
  • 22. HIGH-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE, AND RECONNAISSANCE RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 15 Exhibit 8. The Army’s HAA program, within which the Payload, Endurance, and Speed of High-Altitude Airships and HiSentinel and HALE-D are subscale demon- Fixed-Wing Aircraft stration aircraft, has the long-term objective of building an airship capable of carrying a (Endurance, days) 2,000-pound payload and generating 15 kilo- watts of power (to run the payload and aircraft 35 systems) at 65,000 feet for more than 30 days. Payload (Pounds) Long-Term Goal of HAA Program HAA-Objective The HiSentinel has those speed and endurance 30 3,000 capabilities but can carry a much smaller pay- HiSentinel load—80 lbs. The HALE-D has an even Hi Sentinel 1,000 smaller payload and half the endurance of the 25 HiSentinel. The goal of HiSentinel and HALE-D, however, is to test the technologies 20 needed for long endurance at high altitude, HALE-D not to demonstrate the capability to carry a 15 large payload. In comparison with unmanned fixed-wing air- 10 craft, such as the Global Hawk or Reaper, an airship meeting the long-term goals of the HAA program would have a similar payload 5 MQ-9 RQ-4 and substantially longer endurance but consid- Reaper Global Hawk erably slower cruise speed.  0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Speed (Knots) Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. Notes: Solid circles denote airships; hatched circles denote fixed-wing aircraft. Circle area is proportional to payload. Performance characteristics are for typical mission profiles. HAA = High Altitude Airship; HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator. CBO
  • 23. HIGH-ALTITUDE INTELLIGENCE, SURVEILLANCE AND RECONNAISSANCE RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 16 Exhibit 9. The fixed-wing Global Hawk is the most Payload-Duration of High-Altitude Airships and Fixed-Wing Aircraft prominent high-altitude unmanned ISR air- craft in use today, and it provides a useful (Payload-duration, pound hours) comparison point for proposed airship designs. 10,000,000 An airship meeting the long-term performance goals of the Army’s HAA program would have a payload-duration significantly greater than Long-Term Goal the Global Hawk’s and the Reaper’s as well as 1,000,000 of HAA Program the ability to carry sensors large enough to be useful from over 60,000 feet. To reach such altitudes, however, an operational airship 100,000 would need to be much larger than the HiSen- RQ-4 Global Hawk tinel and HALE-D demonstrators. (See, for HiSentinel example, the relative sizes of the ISIS and the ISIS demonstrator in Exhibit 1.) 10,000 HALE-D Designs for unmanned aircraft with a payload- MQ-9 Reaper duration even greater than the long-term objective for the HAA program are also being 1,000 explored. Two programs at DARPA—the ISIS 0 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 airship and the Vulture, a fixed-wing aircraft— Combat Radius (Nautical miles) have the goal of developing aircraft that could Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. remain continuously aloft for five years. A vehicle with that endurance and a payload of Notes: The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale. 1,000 pounds (the reported goal for a Vulture Solid lines denote airships; dashed lines denote fixed-wing aircraft. demonstration aircraft) would have a payload- HAA = High Altitude Airship; HALE-D = High-Altitude Long-Endurance Demonstrator. duration at least 30 times larger than even the HAA program’s objective.  CBO
  • 25. AIRLIFT RECENT DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS FOR MILITARY AIRSHIPS 18 Exhibit 10. At least three cargo airship designs that could Proposed Airships for Airlift be fielded to provide airlift capability within the next few years are in development or have Date for been proposed. The Project Pelican is a pro- Platform Sponsor First Flight Goal Type Status posed hybrid airship that would feature a rigid Project DoD RRTO 2012–2013 Scaled Hybrid Under hull and use variable-buoyancy technology to Pelican technology construction assist with controlling lift. The LEMV-Heavy demonstrator would be based on the LEMV that is being developed for ISR missions. The SkyTug is a LEMV- Privately Undetermined Proposed Hybrid Designs hybrid airship that would be based on the Heavy funded operational proposed P-791 technology demonstrator that first flew system in January 2006. CBO did not examine in detail proposals for SkyTug Privately 2012 Full-scale Hybrid Under other, much larger cargo airships. For example, funded prototype construction from 2003 to 2006, the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency pursued a program called the Hybrid Ultra-Large Aircraft Source: Congressional Budget Office based on data provided by manufacturers. (HULA), or Walrus, with the goal of building Note: DoD = Department of Defense; RRTO = Rapid Reaction Technology Office; LEMV = Long-Endurance an airship able to carry 500 to 1,000 tons up Multi-Intelligence Vehicle. to 12,000 miles in less than seven days. If such a large aircraft is ever built, it will most likely be a larger version of a smaller hybrid airship such as the three described above. For an analysis of how very large cargo airships might perform relative to sealift ships and conventional strategic airlift aircraft, see Con- gressional Budget Office, Options for Strategic Military Transportation Systems (September 2005).  CBO