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Mobile Commerce &
  Alternative Payments:
  S P E C I AL EDITION                                                                    A supplement to the Navigator, published
                                                                                          by First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.


Overview of Our Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice

First Annapolis has been advising clients on emerging payment products and technologies since the late 1990s when prepaid, P2P, and Internet payments were
in vogue. In the last three years the Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice has been focused almost exclusively on the impact of mobile across
the payments landscape. The team’s client experience spans most of the major constituents in the mobile value chain including: issuers, processors, payment
networks, acquirers, MNOs, TSMs, and other specialized providers of mobile technology. Our clients are primarily based in North America and Western Europe,
but our research efforts extend around the globe to capture important mobile developments in Asia and emerging markets. Given the nascent stage of the
development of mobile, First Annapolis’s project work is focused in areas such as... More

                                                               Will 2012 Be the Breakout Year for Mobile Payments?

                                                              2011 was an exciting year in the development of mobile payments. Among others, the year will likely be
                                                              remembered by events such as:
                                                              •     The launch of the Google mobile wallet;
                                                              •     Isis’s continuing development, including forging relationships with all of the major US payment
                                                                    networks;
                                                              •     The rapid growth of Square and support... More
                                                               The Mobile Wallet Landscape

                                                              Digital wallets have been around for several years in the form of online payment tools for e-commerce.
                                                              Smartphones are shaking up this space, though, by driving intense competition to develop and own the
                                                              next killer app: the mobile wallet.
                                                              There is a lot of debate about what the mobile wallet... More

                                                               Mobile Fuels M&A Activity

                                                              First Annapolis has been tracking deal activity in the mobile commerce and alternative payments spaces
                                                              over the last two years. In that period of time, over 60 transactions, totaling over $25 billion in disclosed
    Top 100 Remote                                            mergers, acquisitions, and investments, were completed. Specifically, mobile payments, banking, and
  Commerce Payments                                           commerce deals totaled... More

  Acceptance & Mobile                                          Retailer Alternative Payments Acceptance: Online and Mobile
  Functionality Study
                                                              First Annapolis regularly tracks the acceptance of payments products at the leading e-commerce retailers.
          Coming in late                                      These merchants represent a significant portion of overall e-commerce and therefore provide an important
            February                                          perspective on the opportunity for new payment products. This year, the mobile channel and... More

  Tracking alternative payments acceptance,
  mobile app/wallet deployment, & mobile                       The Other Guys in Mobile POS
        commerce activity at leading
          e-/m-commerce retailers
                                                              Much has been written about Square’s mobile POS offering and Intuit’s Go Payment offering and for good
            For more information &                            reason as these two pioneers continue to generate an impressive ramp in users and processed volume.
         purchase options please contact                      However, the focus on these two organizations raises the question – where are other mainline acquirers
          paul.grill@firstannapolis.com                        on the... More


Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator                     1 of 7                                              © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
Overview of Our Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice

By Paul Grill                                                                       services industry. Paul is a noted expert on the adoption of new technologies
                                                                                    in payments, and has been featured in the media and events in the past year
First Annapolis has been advising clients on emerging payment products and
                                                                                    such as American Public Media’s Marketplace, the Chicago Federal Reserve’s
technologies since the late 1990s when prepaid, P2P, and Internet payments
                                                                                    Symposium on Immediate Funds Transfer for General Purpose Payments, the
were in vogue. In the last three years our Mobile Commerce & Alternative
                                                                                    ETA’s Inaugural Mobile Payments Summit, and the American Banker. Paul
Payments Practice has been focused almost exclusively on the impact of
                                                                                    manages a dedicated team of consultants and analysts that track the growth,
mobile across the payments landscape. Our client experience spans most of
                                                                                    adoption, technologies, competitors, economics, regulations, and other trends
the major constituents in the mobile value chain including: issuers, processors,
                                                                                    impacting mobile payments.
payment networks, acquirers, MNOs, TSMs, and other specialized providers
of mobile technology. Our clients are primarily based in North America and          In addition to completing customized engagements, the Mobile Commerce &
Western Europe, but our research efforts extend around the globe to capture         Alternative Payments team develops data-driven reports on several important
important mobile developments in Asia and emerging markets. Given the               mobile and emerging payments topics. Past reports have included:
nascent stage of the development of mobile, First Annapolis’s project work is
                                                                                    1.	 Top 500 e-Commerce Alternative Payments Acceptance Payments
focused in areas such as:
                                                                                        Study (tracking acceptance and promotion of various emerging payment
1.	 Defining the value chains for the enablement of mobile commerce and                 products at leading e-tailers)
    payments                                                                        2.	 Top 100 Mobile Banking Study (analyzing the mobile banking functionality
2.	 Estimating the revenue potential/business case for mobile offerings                 offered by the largest US financial institutions)
3.	 Researching and evaluating the potential impacts of emerging mobile             3.	 Mobile P2P Study (reviewing the functionality, pricing, and consumer
    technologies and competitors                                                        experience associated with the emerging mobile person-to-person
4.	 Prioritizing and describing likely mobile consumer/merchant use cases,              payments products)
    and identifying the key capabilities required to fulfill these
                                                                                    The team’s tentative report release schedule for 2012 is as follows:
5.	 Forming partnership and service provider relationships between suppliers
    and buyers of mobile infrastructure services                                    1.	 Late Winter: Top 100 Remote Commerce Payments Acceptance &
                                                                                        Mobile Functionality Study (tracking alternative payments acceptance,
Importantly, payments is only one component of the mobile subject matter
                                                                                        mobile app/wallet deployment, & mobile commerce activity at leading
expertise provided by First Annapolis. Since the consumer mobile experience
                                                                                        e-/m-commerce retailers)
comprises a broad set of use cases that surround payments, First Annapolis
                                                                                    2.	 Late Spring: Mobile P2P Study (updated from 2011)
has expanded its capabilities to include many aspects of the commerce
                                                                                    3.	 Late Summer: Top 100 Mobile Banking Study (updated from 2010 &
(e.g., advertising, offers, coupons, location-based services, loyalty program
                                                                                        2011, and including any in-market mobile payments functionality from
support) and account management (e.g., banking, bill payment, fraud
                                                                                        leading FIs)
warnings) services being enhanced by mobile. In particular, much of our recent
                                                                                    4.	 Late Fall: Mobile Payments Study (review and comparison of NFC and
project work has focused on evaluating the revenue opportunity associated
                                                                                        cloud-based payments solutions in-pilot/launched by mid-2012)
with enabling commerce transactions, understanding the key capabilities
and relationships required to profit from targeted mobile marketing, and            Additionally, First Annapolis will create sponsored or syndicated reports on
conceptualizing integrated offers and payments solutions.                           specific topics not listed above.
The Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments practice is headed by Paul               Please contact paul.grill@firstannapolis.com to inquire about these reports or
Grill, a partner with 15 years of payments industry consulting experience, and      any of our Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments advisory services.
a background in authentication and encryption technology in the financial


Will 2012 Be the Breakout Year for Mobile Payments?
By Paul Grill
2011 was an exciting year in the development of mobile payments. Among              development of this vision, several trends are having a strong impact on how
others, the year will likely be remembered by events such as:                       mobile is evolving.
•	   The launch of the Google mobile wallet;                                        •	   Commerce (marketing, advertising, coupons, offers, etc.), rather than
•	   Isis’s continuing development, including forging relationships with all of          payments, is driving mobile business cases for new entrants and
     the major US payment networks;                                                      established payments competitors. Many companies view commerce
•	   The rapid growth of Square and support the company has attracted from               transactions as having several times the economic potential of payments
     investors such as Visa;                                                             transactions, but few organizations have in-house expertise to be
•	   PayPal’s significant growth in mobile transaction volume ($4.0 billion),            successful in the segments of the commerce value chain that drive the
     acquisition of Zong, and announcement of plans to expand mobile                     greatest revenues (i.e., sourcing offers from merchants and leveraging
     functionality beyond payments;                                                      unique data to target offers).
                                                                                    •	   Many banks aren’t prepared to enable mobile payments. Mobile requires
Despite progress that’s been made, the industry still has a lot of work to do            new technologies, processing capabilities, and servicing approaches
to realize the full vision of mobile commerce, where consumers can efficiently           that differ from established practices. While providers are quickly
use their mobile devices to find what they are looking for, redeem targeted              deploying Trusted Service Manager (TSM) and other solutions to enable
offers, and pay for their goods. While no single roadblock is holding up the             mobile, committing resources to implementation in the current market


Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator              2 of 7                                             © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
environment is challenging for many banks without a clear business case.        •	   Whether emerging, cloud-based solutions can provide a mobile payment
     Furthermore, banks that may be concerned about potential customer data               experience that rivals NFC;
     or relationship impacts need to evaluate the range of economic, data use,       •	   If mobile can transform offers and other promotional tactics to the “surgical
     handset access, and other value propositions being offered by mobile                 strike” vehicles they are envisioned to be (or whether consumers and
     payments enablers.                                                                   merchants grow fatigued of “carpet bombing” approaches); and,
•	   Merchants haven’t yet embraced NFC. Perhaps only 5% of US terminals             •	   If banks are willing to begin making the investments in mobile
     have been enabled for NFC. However, shipments of NFC-capable                         payments and commerce that are necessary to head-off the long-term
     terminals are increasing, and the upcoming ISIS trials and Visa EMV                  disintermediation of their payments products.
     requirements may spur more deployment. More important, most leading
                                                                                     These learnings, while they may be slow and sporadic to realize, will provide
     retailers are enabling other forms of mobile functionality (e.g., shopping
                                                                                     valuable insights into how mobile will eventually transform the payments
     apps, store locators, loyalty programs) that will provide a foundation for
                                                                                     landscape. Despite that some (maybe many) approaches to mobile commerce
     future mobile payments functionality.
                                                                                     not will flourish, it is not too soon for banks, merchants, acquirers, and other
Despite expectations that 2012 will deliver a wave of NFC-enabled handsets           established payments players to take action to develop their own mobile
in the US market, viewing 2012 as the breakout year for mobile payments              knowledge base and capabilities. The mobile payments growth “hockey
is probably wishful thinking. Rather, 2012 will be a year of learning. Among         stick” is inevitable; at this point, it’s just a question of when and with what
others, we expect to find out:                                                       technologies.
•	   If merchants are willing to embrace NFC-based mobile technology (and            For more information, please contact Paul Grill, Partner specializing in
     as a by-product whether the currently envisioned Google and Isis models         the Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice Area, paul.grill@
     will be the driving platforms for NFC development);                             firstannapolis.com

The Mobile Wallet Landscape

By Ben Brown                                                                              for e-commerce, another for mobile content, and a third for brick-and-
                                                                                          mortar will be less convenient for consumers and will prevent marketers
Digital wallets have been around for several years in the form of online
                                                                                          from seeing a comprehensive picture of the consumer’s preferences and
payment tools for e-commerce. Smartphones are shaking up this space,
                                                                                          behavior. Many offerings seem to be evolving in this direction; services
though, by driving intense competition to develop and own the next killer app:
                                                                                          that are built and managed separately by sales channel will face some
the mobile wallet.
                                                                                          challenges.
There is a lot of debate about what the mobile wallet should do and how it
                                                                                     •	   Most initial mobile wallet offerings are being developed by payments
should work. Some think narrowly, categorizing only multi-issuer, multi-service,
                                                                                          industry outsiders. Aside from Visa’s and American Express’s proprietary
NFC-based solutions as true mobile wallets. Some think broadly, scoping any
                                                                                          wallet solutions (V.me and Serve, respectively), most other major players
mobile payment service – or app with payment capability – as a mobile wallet.
                                                                                          – including payment schemes, issuers, and acquiring processors –
In our view, the answer lies between both extremes. A mobile wallet provides
                                                                                          are largely taking a secondary role in supporting wallets from Internet
secure digital storage for account credentials (and other personal data) for the
                                                                                          brands and mobile networks. Mobile is a big opportunity that incumbents
purpose of enabling open-loop payments from a mobile device.
                                                                                          shouldn’t fight, but insiders need to evaluate which wallet offerings
Much of the discussion from pundits in 2011 looked at mobile wallets in                   are better suited to deepening, rather than disintermediating existing
terms of how they worked – how are funds loaded, where is data stored, how                customer relationships.
credentials are transmitted to the merchant, and so on – but overlooked the
                                                                                     •	   Retailers are a critical partner, and for mobile wallets. Merchants must
most important question: what is the value proposition of the wallet? In the
                                                                                          be willing to make changes to their POS systems and processes to
chart below, we look at select offerings along two dimensions: the functions
                                                                                          enable wallets’ value-added services. At the same time, many retailers
the wallet supports and the sales environments in which the wallet works. This
                                                                                          are investing in their own mobile apps that integrate shopping, offers
perspective highlights a few important themes, in our view.
                                                                                          discovery, loyalty account management, and a card vault for “on-us”
•	   Payments are a core function for mobile wallets, but value-added                     payments. Co-opting the merchant community will be an important part
     services create the strongest proposition for consumers and providers.               of building tomorrow’s leading wallet scheme.
     Bundling payments, offers, loyalty, and more in a “one-tap” or “one-click”
                                                                                     •	   Banks are likely to face challenges from the rise of new and innovative
     experience is supremely simple for consumers. Doing so may also let
                                                                                          mobile wallets. Issuers want today’s mobile card management (and
     mobile wallet providers earn a piece of the highly lucrative revenues likely
                                                                                          mobile banking) tools to evolve into tomorrow’s mobile wallets, but
     to be enabled by mobile marketing.
                                                                                          it’s hard to see how these services effectively deliver the value-added
•	   Mobile wallets are likely to act as a catalyst in bringing together today’s          services that consumers will demand. And regardless of which solutions
     different sales channels. These tools will let brick-and-mortar retailers            win, digital wallets are likely to shake up conventional wisdom about
     add some magic to the offline shopping experience. At the same time, the             what it means to be “top of wallet” and how to get there. Banks need to
     technology is likely to act as a bridge for e-commerce schemes to enter              seriously consider how to enhance their offerings or develop strategic
     the physical world. This creates serious new competitive considerations              partnerships with other wallets to ensure their payment products stay
     for merchants, acquirers, and issuers alike.                                         relevant.
•	   Winning wallets will work for all shopping channels. Maintaining one wallet     Consumers will have a lot of options in mobile wallets and these options will


Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator               3 of 7                                               © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
The Mobile Wallet Landscape in 2012: Based on Organizational Capabilities of Selected Providers




           Notes: Provider logos reflect current or announced capabilities and are not indicative of the adoption, penetration, or usage of the wallet among merchants or consumers.
           Wallet placement considers services offered by the the wallet provider, but not necessarily directly within the wallet.
           Source: Provider websites and press releases, TechCrunch, NFC Times, CNN Money, VentureBeat, GigaOM, and others.

be offered by innovative companies. Mobile commerce is likely to be a highly                             presumably announce issuers and merchants leading up to the launch.
competitive space and notable initiatives have emerged around the world.
                                                                                                  •	     PayPal, for years the largest e-wallet for online payments, reported over
•	   In the United States, Google Wallet earned the distinction in 2011 of                               $4 billion in mobile payments volume in 2011. It expects this figure to grow
     being the first mainstream NFC offering to launch. Google Wallet bundles                            to $7 billion in 2012 (but it’s likely to be even higher, considering PayPal
     support for payments, offers discovery and redemption, and merchant                                 revised its 2011 estimate upwards two or three times last year). In the
     loyalty accounts in one NFC-enabled package. As Google integrates                                   last year or two, PayPal and its parent eBay have invested aggressively
     its various payment services, consumers will be able to use their Wallet                            in mobile commerce assets. We count more than a half-dozen relevant
     account for one-click online payments (via Checkout), mobile content                                transactions from RedLaser (barcode scanning) to Zong (mobile billing)
     (via Android Market), digital subscriptions (via OnePass), in-app billing,                          to WHERE (local search) and more. PayPal has laid out an innovative
     and more. It’s clear that Google is leading the market in delivering an                             vision of how payments can happen at the future POS – with PayPal
     integrated, multi-channel experience. It’s not clear, however, how Google                           payments enabled by plastic cards, NFC, and mobile phone numbers –
     can overcome the distribution challenge posed by mobile networks’                                   and a significant number of the top-200 U.S. retailers have signed up to
     control of the secure element (a necessary component to make mobile                                 bring that vision to life in 2012. PayPal is just now launching early trials
     wallets work at the POS via NFC).                                                                   of its technology but we expect they will be a deep well of innovation in
                                                                                                         the future.
•	   Isis, the mobile commerce joint venture between AT&T Mobility, T-Mobile
     USA, and Verizon Wireless, announced its intention to launch its first two                   •	     In Europe, the Euro 5 – the five largest mobile telecom conglomerates –
     markets, Austin, Texas and Salt Lake City, Utah in the summer of 2012.                              are aggressively driving forward a number of mobile payment schemes.
     Like Google Wallet, the Isis offering will integrate payments, merchant                             They are taking NFC national in France after the successful Cityzi trial
     loyalty, and offer discovery and redemption. Isis also announced support                            in Nice. In Germany, plans are in place to extend the mpass system
     from six leading global handset OEMs including HTC, LG, Motorola,                                   to the physical point of sale. And operators in the United Kingdom are
     RIM, Samsung, and Sony Ericsson, indicating the potential for wide                                  planning to launch an Isis-style coalition once they receive approval
     scale distribution of NFC devices compatible with the Isis system. Isis                             from competition regulators. Taken in combination with another half-
     has also formed relationships with the major payment networks and will                              dozen initiatives across Europe, it is clear that European consumers will


Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator                            4 of 7                                                        © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
soon be rich in mobile commerce options. European initiatives have an             the go-it-alone player or anyone who views the mobile wallet as a short-
        opportunity to grab market share today if they move quickly; if they wait         term investment.
        too long, they’ll face intense competition from American exports such as
                                                                                     Companies across industries see lucrative opportunities in the mobile wallet.
        Google Wallet, which may land in the UK as soon as this year.
                                                                                     Mobile networks see it as a way to build deep relevance with consumers.
•	      In Japan, NTT DoCoMo released its Osaifu-Keitai offering in 2004. NTT, by    Search firms see mobile as the linchpin in bringing together search, social,
        far the largest mobile network in Japan with 50% market share, developed     and local. Payment schemes from Visa to PayPal see it as a way to build new,
        its own mobile wallet – an approach that might not gain critical mass in     high-margin marketing businesses. But the opportunities don’t end at owning
        less concentrated markets. NTT has since invested billions of dollars in     the wallet. Players across the marketing, loyalty, and payments businesses
        mobile commerce through merchant incentives and equity stakes in the         can and should proactively engage with these initiatives to discover new
        bank, transaction processor, and technology assets necessary to make         revenue streams and ways to differentiate themselves in a crowded market.
        it all work. As a result, there are about 70 million compatible phones,
                                                                                     For more information, please contact Ben Brown, Associate specializing in
        and about half as many active users of the service, in Japan today.
                                                                                     Mobile Payments and Merchant Acquiring, ben.brown@firstannapolis.com
        But Japanese telcos, which leveraged NTT’s wallet, expected adoption
        to come much sooner and the market still faces challenges in driving
        adoption and usage. We view NTT’s experience as a cautionary tale for


 Mobile Fuels M&A Activity
By Dara Khan and Mike Hutton                                                         mobile payments startups, and are driven by factors such as:
First Annapolis has been tracking deal activity in the mobile commerce               1.	 Companies’ desire to build competency in mobile by acquiring the right
and alternative payments spaces over the last two years. In that period of               talent, technology, and experience;
time, over 60 transactions, totaling over $25 billion in disclosed mergers,          2.	 The vertical and horizontal integration of mobile capabilities to gain control
acquisitions, and investments, were completed. Specifically, mobile payments,            over the broad mobile value chain or offer a broader product suite; and,
banking, and commerce deals totaled over $1.5 billion, not including Google’s        3.	 Established players investing in potential leading technologies, value
$12.5 billion acquisition of Motorola Mobility. These deals span virtually every         propositions, and new segments of growth within payments and
payments category, from market-leading e/m-commerce platforms to small                   commerce.

                            Figure 1: Example Mobile Commerce Mergers, Acquisitions, and Strategic Investments




     Note: Dates on horizontal axis not to scale.
     Source: Company reports, and First Annapolis research and analysis.


Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator               5 of 7                                               © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
Several of these transactions were focused on acquiring talent, technology, or      also purchased Zappedy, which helps businesses track the activity of their
other assets, and often involve mobile startups with fewer than 20 employees.       customers. Along the same vein, AT&T subsidiary YP.com acquired Livedeal,
For instance, Boku, a provider of carrier billing solutions and startup itself,     an offers platform, to compliment its merchant search and suggestion
purchased Paymo and MobilCash, two smaller rivals that had success forming          capabilities. Amazon recently invested $175 million in LivingSocial, Groupon’s
partnerships with carriers in several countries in which Boku wished to expand.     largest daily deals competitor. Verizon recently invested in Geodelic, a
Google has purchased several small companies that specialize in offers,             location-based targeting platform. Perhaps most interesting in this series of
loyalty, and mobile acquiring, including Daily Deal, Punch’d, and Corduro,          investments are those being made in virtual goods, which are summarized
respectively. All three companies were mainly comprised of founders that            below:
launched unique mobile commerce offerings. Google also acquired Zetawire,
                                                                                    1.	 Visa and PlaySpan: micropayments platform that helps publishers
a small technology company that holds patents for identity management and
                                                                                        monetize games by offering a range of payment methods, including
mobile payments processing. PayPal bought a small provider of alternative
                                                                                        carrier billing, a mobile wallet, or a proprietary PlaySpan prepaid card.
POS enablement technology, FigCard, as part of its strategy to enable its
100 million accountholders to pay at the face-to-face point of sale. PayPal         2.	 Google and Jambool (SocialGold): enables game publishers to create
(via eBay) also acquired Milo, a local inventory search service, for $75 million        and manage their own virtual currencies; Jambool’s tech also underpins
and RedLaser, a barcode-based price comparison tool. These companies                    Google’s new in-app billing API.
were acquired before they made a significant impact in the market and they
                                                                                    3.	 American Express and Sometrics: enables game publishers to access a
will likely help PayPal with its overall strategy to expand beyond SMEs and
                                                                                        proprietary virtual currency that can be used in multiple games for digital
e-commerce.
                                                                                        goods purchases; may be integrated with Serve, which has a carrier
Many mobile payments acquisitions have enabled the buyer to integrate                   billing and remote payments component.
for better market positioning. These transactions often involve one of two
                                                                                    There are various reasons for the increase in deal activity, but one thing is
rationales: vertical integration to control more aspects of the mobile value
                                                                                    clear: mobile acquisitions are likely to continue through 2012. We expect
chain, or horizontal integration to offer multiple m-commerce products. In
                                                                                    both established and new constituents to make acquisitions and investments,
either case, the payments players making these acquisitions seek to move
                                                                                    particularly payment networks and processors that are seeking to expand their
mobile commerce adoption forward by creating a broader product set and
                                                                                    portfolio of mobile capabilities. Other potential buyers in 2012 may include
having more influence over its delivery to the market. The potential logic
                                                                                    wireless carriers, social networks, and handset and terminal manufacturers
behind these transactions is summarized below:
                                                                                    who all seek to further establish themselves in the mobile payments value
1.	 Google and Motorola Mobility: provides Google some control over the             chain. This year was characterized by deals in the remote mobile commerce
    hardware components that are key to mobile payments, including NFC              space, as well as mobile banking and offers or deal platforms. Next year, NFC
    and the secure element necessary to store credentials, as well as a             technology players may become targets for acquisition, as national mobile
    robust patent portfolio.                                                        payments initiatives at the point of sale ramp up. Offers platforms, as well
                                                                                    as mobile data targeting and analytics services, will garner more interest
2.	 Fiserv and M-Com: enables cross-sell mobile banking services to banks
                                                                                    as leading players recognize that an important portion of the overall mobile
    that utilize Fiserv for processing and servicing functions.
                                                                                    payments value proposition is the integration of m-commerce services. Of
3.	 PayPal and WHERE: integrates offers with PayPal’s initiatives at the            course, the ongoing challenge with making investments in a fast moving
    POS, providing a mobile commerce strategy within the wallet.                    environment like mobile will be picking the targets that can both take advantage
                                                                                    of near-term mobile use cases and provide platform flexibility to address the
Some deals can be characterized by a buyer’s or investor’s desire to align
                                                                                    inevitable shifts in mobile opportunities.
with leaders in mobile commerce technologies, value propositions, or those
with access to new or high-growth segments of the market within payments.           For more information, please contact Dara Khan, Associate specializing in
Groupon has realized the importance of recommendations in purchase                  tthe Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice Area, dara.khan@
decisions and has acquired two local location-based suggestion services             firstannapolis.com, or Mike Hutton, Analyst, mike.hutton@firstannapolis.com
for restaurants and activities in cities: Mob.ly and Whrrl. The daily deal site


Retailer Alternative Payments Acceptance: Online and Mobile
By Jeff Crawford                                                                    Online Acceptance
First Annapolis regularly tracks the acceptance of payments products at the         1.	 Seven out of ten leading retailers accept at least one alternative payment
leading e-commerce retailers. These merchants represent a significant portion           (including PayPal, BillMeLater, Google Checkout, eBillme, Amazon
of overall e-commerce and therefore provide an important perspective on the             Payments, and e-Check/ACH products). The dominant products are
opportunity for new payment products. This year, the mobile channel and                 PayPal and Bill Me Later (both owned by eBay). Only two leading
mobile commerce will be added the Top 100 Remote Commerce Payments                      retailers, Walmart and Sears, offer more than one of these methods,
Acceptance & Mobile Functionality Study due out in late Winter.                         which is relatively unchanged from 2009 and may indicate limited desire
                                                                                        or capacity among retailers to have a broad alternative payments strategy.
In the meantime, First Annapolis completed a first look at the online acceptance
                                                                                    2.	 Of the nine retailers that utilize plastic gift cards, only two also offer eGift
of payment products and the use of mobile payments at ten leading retailers
                                                                                        cards, a newer, virtual-only, product.
including Amazon, Staples, Apple, Office Depot, Walmart, Sears, Office Max,
                                                                                    3.	 All retailers also offer consumers the ability to store payment credentials
Best Buy, Costco and Macy’s. Highlights from this first look include:
                                                                                        for purchasing. This functionality, while not groundbreaking, is an


Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator              6 of 7                                                © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
important component of migrating to the mobile channel             Figure 1: Top Retailer Payment Practices: Online vs. Mobile (2011)
    and other device interfaces (see Figure 1).
4.	 Eight out of 10 retailers advertise either their co-brand or
    private label credit card on their home pages, and a similar
    number of the retailers studied attempt to steer consumers
    towards these products by making specific offers related
    to their co-brand or private label credit cards.
Mobile Acceptance
1.	 All 10 retailers offer a mobile solution through an
    application, a tablet solution, and a mobile web offering
    indicating a high level of interest in mobile. Only Costco
    does not have the complete set of channels, offering only
    mobile web.
2.	 Similarly all 10 of the retailers enable shopping and
    purchasing via mobile. The consumer experience and
    look and feel of the process varies widely. Some mobile
    web sites are streamlined versions of the online site, while
    other apps offer more advanced commerce and account
    management capability.
3.	 All of the retailers enable mobile purchasing through
    credit cards, while only one of the ten offers an alternative
    payment option (Sears with PayPal). Nine of the ten also
    enable stored credentials, reflecting the importance of Source: Retailer websites, and First Annapolis Consulting research and analysis.
    reducing steps and minimizing keystrokes in the mobile
    channel and key strokes on mobile phones and tablets.
    Also, the storage of payment credentials that are accessible via a mobile in particular, with the creation of the @WalmartLabs group, the acquisition of
    app represents a form of a mobile mobile wallet. These cloud-based, mobile development companies, and the roll out two new mobile apps in 2011
    retailer-driven wallets that are integrated with the mobile shopping flow confirms the importance of mobile. However, the unique features of mobile
    will be credible alternatives to the multi-account wallets that are currently including a smaller device, the potential for 1:1 marketing with location-based
    grabbing the industry spotlight.                                              services, and possible integration with the point of sale presents retailers with
4.	 Promotion of specific payments products is more limited than in the an interesting set of challenges and opportunities. The upcoming full Top 100
    on-line channel, with only one retailer, Sears, making payment specific Remote Commerce Payments Acceptance & Mobile Functionality Study will
    promotions via mobile. This is likely due to the newness of the channel expand deeper into the retailer group and explore these issues more in-depth.
    and also the limited space on the mobile device to make such offers.          For more information, please contact Jeff Crawford, Senior Consultant
This first look indicates that most top retailers are fully bought into the mobile    specializing in the Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice Area,
channel, but that the payments functionality is still evolving. Moves by Walmart,     jeff.crawford@firstannapolis.com


The Other Guys in Mobile POS
By Marc Abbey                                                                         fees that range from $5 to $20, pricing that, though there are parallels at Intuit
                                                                                      and Square, is generally higher than at the two market leaders.
Much has been written about Square’s mobile POS offering and Intuit’s Go
Payment offering, and for good reason as these two pioneers continue to               Intuit and Square appear to be positioning with simpler and more transparent
generate an impressive ramp in users and processed volume. However, the               pricing than other acquirers frequently use, but they also appear to be price
focus on these two organizations raises the question – where are other mainline       competing in contrast to most other acquirers. Intuit and Square also tend to
acquirers on the mobile POS offering? In our most recent acquirer research,           be innovating in terms of sales, boarding, risk and other business processes,
69% of acquirers across the full range of non-banks and banks report offering         perhaps giving Intuit and Square a cost structure targeted to the mobile POS
a mobile POS solution. It is not a scarce product. These same acquirers,              niche, whereas there is much less evidence such innovation is occurring yet
though, estimate a penetration rate of less than 5% of their merchant bases,          at other acquirers. There are many open economic questions regarding the
a figure that contrasts with the hundreds of thousands of merchants that Intuit       mobile POS in its various use-cases, but the proliferation in the offering and
and Square cite when talking about their mobile POS user bases.                       the differences in approach between acquirers is already noteworthy.
Thus far, Square and Intuit have provided free applications and a free card           For more information, please contact Marc Abbey, Partner specializing in
reader, but the acquirers in our research describe sign up fees that average          Merchant Acquiring, marc.abbey@firstannapolis.com
nearly $60 and card reader pricing that ranges between $30 and $300.
Acquirers also utilized transaction fees averaging $0.20 - $0.22 and monthly

Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator                7 of 7                                               © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.

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First Annapolis Navigator: Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Special Edition

  • 1. Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: S P E C I AL EDITION A supplement to the Navigator, published by First Annapolis Consulting, Inc. Overview of Our Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice First Annapolis has been advising clients on emerging payment products and technologies since the late 1990s when prepaid, P2P, and Internet payments were in vogue. In the last three years the Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice has been focused almost exclusively on the impact of mobile across the payments landscape. The team’s client experience spans most of the major constituents in the mobile value chain including: issuers, processors, payment networks, acquirers, MNOs, TSMs, and other specialized providers of mobile technology. Our clients are primarily based in North America and Western Europe, but our research efforts extend around the globe to capture important mobile developments in Asia and emerging markets. Given the nascent stage of the development of mobile, First Annapolis’s project work is focused in areas such as... More Will 2012 Be the Breakout Year for Mobile Payments? 2011 was an exciting year in the development of mobile payments. Among others, the year will likely be remembered by events such as: • The launch of the Google mobile wallet; • Isis’s continuing development, including forging relationships with all of the major US payment networks; • The rapid growth of Square and support... More The Mobile Wallet Landscape Digital wallets have been around for several years in the form of online payment tools for e-commerce. Smartphones are shaking up this space, though, by driving intense competition to develop and own the next killer app: the mobile wallet. There is a lot of debate about what the mobile wallet... More Mobile Fuels M&A Activity First Annapolis has been tracking deal activity in the mobile commerce and alternative payments spaces over the last two years. In that period of time, over 60 transactions, totaling over $25 billion in disclosed Top 100 Remote mergers, acquisitions, and investments, were completed. Specifically, mobile payments, banking, and Commerce Payments commerce deals totaled... More Acceptance & Mobile Retailer Alternative Payments Acceptance: Online and Mobile Functionality Study First Annapolis regularly tracks the acceptance of payments products at the leading e-commerce retailers. Coming in late These merchants represent a significant portion of overall e-commerce and therefore provide an important February perspective on the opportunity for new payment products. This year, the mobile channel and... More Tracking alternative payments acceptance, mobile app/wallet deployment, & mobile The Other Guys in Mobile POS commerce activity at leading e-/m-commerce retailers Much has been written about Square’s mobile POS offering and Intuit’s Go Payment offering and for good For more information & reason as these two pioneers continue to generate an impressive ramp in users and processed volume. purchase options please contact However, the focus on these two organizations raises the question – where are other mainline acquirers paul.grill@firstannapolis.com on the... More Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator 1 of 7 © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
  • 2. Overview of Our Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice By Paul Grill services industry. Paul is a noted expert on the adoption of new technologies in payments, and has been featured in the media and events in the past year First Annapolis has been advising clients on emerging payment products and such as American Public Media’s Marketplace, the Chicago Federal Reserve’s technologies since the late 1990s when prepaid, P2P, and Internet payments Symposium on Immediate Funds Transfer for General Purpose Payments, the were in vogue. In the last three years our Mobile Commerce & Alternative ETA’s Inaugural Mobile Payments Summit, and the American Banker. Paul Payments Practice has been focused almost exclusively on the impact of manages a dedicated team of consultants and analysts that track the growth, mobile across the payments landscape. Our client experience spans most of adoption, technologies, competitors, economics, regulations, and other trends the major constituents in the mobile value chain including: issuers, processors, impacting mobile payments. payment networks, acquirers, MNOs, TSMs, and other specialized providers of mobile technology. Our clients are primarily based in North America and In addition to completing customized engagements, the Mobile Commerce & Western Europe, but our research efforts extend around the globe to capture Alternative Payments team develops data-driven reports on several important important mobile developments in Asia and emerging markets. Given the mobile and emerging payments topics. Past reports have included: nascent stage of the development of mobile, First Annapolis’s project work is 1. Top 500 e-Commerce Alternative Payments Acceptance Payments focused in areas such as: Study (tracking acceptance and promotion of various emerging payment 1. Defining the value chains for the enablement of mobile commerce and products at leading e-tailers) payments 2. Top 100 Mobile Banking Study (analyzing the mobile banking functionality 2. Estimating the revenue potential/business case for mobile offerings offered by the largest US financial institutions) 3. Researching and evaluating the potential impacts of emerging mobile 3. Mobile P2P Study (reviewing the functionality, pricing, and consumer technologies and competitors experience associated with the emerging mobile person-to-person 4. Prioritizing and describing likely mobile consumer/merchant use cases, payments products) and identifying the key capabilities required to fulfill these The team’s tentative report release schedule for 2012 is as follows: 5. Forming partnership and service provider relationships between suppliers and buyers of mobile infrastructure services 1. Late Winter: Top 100 Remote Commerce Payments Acceptance & Mobile Functionality Study (tracking alternative payments acceptance, Importantly, payments is only one component of the mobile subject matter mobile app/wallet deployment, & mobile commerce activity at leading expertise provided by First Annapolis. Since the consumer mobile experience e-/m-commerce retailers) comprises a broad set of use cases that surround payments, First Annapolis 2. Late Spring: Mobile P2P Study (updated from 2011) has expanded its capabilities to include many aspects of the commerce 3. Late Summer: Top 100 Mobile Banking Study (updated from 2010 & (e.g., advertising, offers, coupons, location-based services, loyalty program 2011, and including any in-market mobile payments functionality from support) and account management (e.g., banking, bill payment, fraud leading FIs) warnings) services being enhanced by mobile. In particular, much of our recent 4. Late Fall: Mobile Payments Study (review and comparison of NFC and project work has focused on evaluating the revenue opportunity associated cloud-based payments solutions in-pilot/launched by mid-2012) with enabling commerce transactions, understanding the key capabilities and relationships required to profit from targeted mobile marketing, and Additionally, First Annapolis will create sponsored or syndicated reports on conceptualizing integrated offers and payments solutions. specific topics not listed above. The Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments practice is headed by Paul Please contact paul.grill@firstannapolis.com to inquire about these reports or Grill, a partner with 15 years of payments industry consulting experience, and any of our Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments advisory services. a background in authentication and encryption technology in the financial Will 2012 Be the Breakout Year for Mobile Payments? By Paul Grill 2011 was an exciting year in the development of mobile payments. Among development of this vision, several trends are having a strong impact on how others, the year will likely be remembered by events such as: mobile is evolving. • The launch of the Google mobile wallet; • Commerce (marketing, advertising, coupons, offers, etc.), rather than • Isis’s continuing development, including forging relationships with all of payments, is driving mobile business cases for new entrants and the major US payment networks; established payments competitors. Many companies view commerce • The rapid growth of Square and support the company has attracted from transactions as having several times the economic potential of payments investors such as Visa; transactions, but few organizations have in-house expertise to be • PayPal’s significant growth in mobile transaction volume ($4.0 billion), successful in the segments of the commerce value chain that drive the acquisition of Zong, and announcement of plans to expand mobile greatest revenues (i.e., sourcing offers from merchants and leveraging functionality beyond payments; unique data to target offers). • Many banks aren’t prepared to enable mobile payments. Mobile requires Despite progress that’s been made, the industry still has a lot of work to do new technologies, processing capabilities, and servicing approaches to realize the full vision of mobile commerce, where consumers can efficiently that differ from established practices. While providers are quickly use their mobile devices to find what they are looking for, redeem targeted deploying Trusted Service Manager (TSM) and other solutions to enable offers, and pay for their goods. While no single roadblock is holding up the mobile, committing resources to implementation in the current market Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator 2 of 7 © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
  • 3. environment is challenging for many banks without a clear business case. • Whether emerging, cloud-based solutions can provide a mobile payment Furthermore, banks that may be concerned about potential customer data experience that rivals NFC; or relationship impacts need to evaluate the range of economic, data use, • If mobile can transform offers and other promotional tactics to the “surgical handset access, and other value propositions being offered by mobile strike” vehicles they are envisioned to be (or whether consumers and payments enablers. merchants grow fatigued of “carpet bombing” approaches); and, • Merchants haven’t yet embraced NFC. Perhaps only 5% of US terminals • If banks are willing to begin making the investments in mobile have been enabled for NFC. However, shipments of NFC-capable payments and commerce that are necessary to head-off the long-term terminals are increasing, and the upcoming ISIS trials and Visa EMV disintermediation of their payments products. requirements may spur more deployment. More important, most leading These learnings, while they may be slow and sporadic to realize, will provide retailers are enabling other forms of mobile functionality (e.g., shopping valuable insights into how mobile will eventually transform the payments apps, store locators, loyalty programs) that will provide a foundation for landscape. Despite that some (maybe many) approaches to mobile commerce future mobile payments functionality. not will flourish, it is not too soon for banks, merchants, acquirers, and other Despite expectations that 2012 will deliver a wave of NFC-enabled handsets established payments players to take action to develop their own mobile in the US market, viewing 2012 as the breakout year for mobile payments knowledge base and capabilities. The mobile payments growth “hockey is probably wishful thinking. Rather, 2012 will be a year of learning. Among stick” is inevitable; at this point, it’s just a question of when and with what others, we expect to find out: technologies. • If merchants are willing to embrace NFC-based mobile technology (and For more information, please contact Paul Grill, Partner specializing in as a by-product whether the currently envisioned Google and Isis models the Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice Area, paul.grill@ will be the driving platforms for NFC development); firstannapolis.com The Mobile Wallet Landscape By Ben Brown for e-commerce, another for mobile content, and a third for brick-and- mortar will be less convenient for consumers and will prevent marketers Digital wallets have been around for several years in the form of online from seeing a comprehensive picture of the consumer’s preferences and payment tools for e-commerce. Smartphones are shaking up this space, behavior. Many offerings seem to be evolving in this direction; services though, by driving intense competition to develop and own the next killer app: that are built and managed separately by sales channel will face some the mobile wallet. challenges. There is a lot of debate about what the mobile wallet should do and how it • Most initial mobile wallet offerings are being developed by payments should work. Some think narrowly, categorizing only multi-issuer, multi-service, industry outsiders. Aside from Visa’s and American Express’s proprietary NFC-based solutions as true mobile wallets. Some think broadly, scoping any wallet solutions (V.me and Serve, respectively), most other major players mobile payment service – or app with payment capability – as a mobile wallet. – including payment schemes, issuers, and acquiring processors – In our view, the answer lies between both extremes. A mobile wallet provides are largely taking a secondary role in supporting wallets from Internet secure digital storage for account credentials (and other personal data) for the brands and mobile networks. Mobile is a big opportunity that incumbents purpose of enabling open-loop payments from a mobile device. shouldn’t fight, but insiders need to evaluate which wallet offerings Much of the discussion from pundits in 2011 looked at mobile wallets in are better suited to deepening, rather than disintermediating existing terms of how they worked – how are funds loaded, where is data stored, how customer relationships. credentials are transmitted to the merchant, and so on – but overlooked the • Retailers are a critical partner, and for mobile wallets. Merchants must most important question: what is the value proposition of the wallet? In the be willing to make changes to their POS systems and processes to chart below, we look at select offerings along two dimensions: the functions enable wallets’ value-added services. At the same time, many retailers the wallet supports and the sales environments in which the wallet works. This are investing in their own mobile apps that integrate shopping, offers perspective highlights a few important themes, in our view. discovery, loyalty account management, and a card vault for “on-us” • Payments are a core function for mobile wallets, but value-added payments. Co-opting the merchant community will be an important part services create the strongest proposition for consumers and providers. of building tomorrow’s leading wallet scheme. Bundling payments, offers, loyalty, and more in a “one-tap” or “one-click” • Banks are likely to face challenges from the rise of new and innovative experience is supremely simple for consumers. Doing so may also let mobile wallets. Issuers want today’s mobile card management (and mobile wallet providers earn a piece of the highly lucrative revenues likely mobile banking) tools to evolve into tomorrow’s mobile wallets, but to be enabled by mobile marketing. it’s hard to see how these services effectively deliver the value-added • Mobile wallets are likely to act as a catalyst in bringing together today’s services that consumers will demand. And regardless of which solutions different sales channels. These tools will let brick-and-mortar retailers win, digital wallets are likely to shake up conventional wisdom about add some magic to the offline shopping experience. At the same time, the what it means to be “top of wallet” and how to get there. Banks need to technology is likely to act as a bridge for e-commerce schemes to enter seriously consider how to enhance their offerings or develop strategic the physical world. This creates serious new competitive considerations partnerships with other wallets to ensure their payment products stay for merchants, acquirers, and issuers alike. relevant. • Winning wallets will work for all shopping channels. Maintaining one wallet Consumers will have a lot of options in mobile wallets and these options will Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator 3 of 7 © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
  • 4. The Mobile Wallet Landscape in 2012: Based on Organizational Capabilities of Selected Providers Notes: Provider logos reflect current or announced capabilities and are not indicative of the adoption, penetration, or usage of the wallet among merchants or consumers. Wallet placement considers services offered by the the wallet provider, but not necessarily directly within the wallet. Source: Provider websites and press releases, TechCrunch, NFC Times, CNN Money, VentureBeat, GigaOM, and others. be offered by innovative companies. Mobile commerce is likely to be a highly presumably announce issuers and merchants leading up to the launch. competitive space and notable initiatives have emerged around the world. • PayPal, for years the largest e-wallet for online payments, reported over • In the United States, Google Wallet earned the distinction in 2011 of $4 billion in mobile payments volume in 2011. It expects this figure to grow being the first mainstream NFC offering to launch. Google Wallet bundles to $7 billion in 2012 (but it’s likely to be even higher, considering PayPal support for payments, offers discovery and redemption, and merchant revised its 2011 estimate upwards two or three times last year). In the loyalty accounts in one NFC-enabled package. As Google integrates last year or two, PayPal and its parent eBay have invested aggressively its various payment services, consumers will be able to use their Wallet in mobile commerce assets. We count more than a half-dozen relevant account for one-click online payments (via Checkout), mobile content transactions from RedLaser (barcode scanning) to Zong (mobile billing) (via Android Market), digital subscriptions (via OnePass), in-app billing, to WHERE (local search) and more. PayPal has laid out an innovative and more. It’s clear that Google is leading the market in delivering an vision of how payments can happen at the future POS – with PayPal integrated, multi-channel experience. It’s not clear, however, how Google payments enabled by plastic cards, NFC, and mobile phone numbers – can overcome the distribution challenge posed by mobile networks’ and a significant number of the top-200 U.S. retailers have signed up to control of the secure element (a necessary component to make mobile bring that vision to life in 2012. PayPal is just now launching early trials wallets work at the POS via NFC). of its technology but we expect they will be a deep well of innovation in the future. • Isis, the mobile commerce joint venture between AT&T Mobility, T-Mobile USA, and Verizon Wireless, announced its intention to launch its first two • In Europe, the Euro 5 – the five largest mobile telecom conglomerates – markets, Austin, Texas and Salt Lake City, Utah in the summer of 2012. are aggressively driving forward a number of mobile payment schemes. Like Google Wallet, the Isis offering will integrate payments, merchant They are taking NFC national in France after the successful Cityzi trial loyalty, and offer discovery and redemption. Isis also announced support in Nice. In Germany, plans are in place to extend the mpass system from six leading global handset OEMs including HTC, LG, Motorola, to the physical point of sale. And operators in the United Kingdom are RIM, Samsung, and Sony Ericsson, indicating the potential for wide planning to launch an Isis-style coalition once they receive approval scale distribution of NFC devices compatible with the Isis system. Isis from competition regulators. Taken in combination with another half- has also formed relationships with the major payment networks and will dozen initiatives across Europe, it is clear that European consumers will Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator 4 of 7 © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
  • 5. soon be rich in mobile commerce options. European initiatives have an the go-it-alone player or anyone who views the mobile wallet as a short- opportunity to grab market share today if they move quickly; if they wait term investment. too long, they’ll face intense competition from American exports such as Companies across industries see lucrative opportunities in the mobile wallet. Google Wallet, which may land in the UK as soon as this year. Mobile networks see it as a way to build deep relevance with consumers. • In Japan, NTT DoCoMo released its Osaifu-Keitai offering in 2004. NTT, by Search firms see mobile as the linchpin in bringing together search, social, far the largest mobile network in Japan with 50% market share, developed and local. Payment schemes from Visa to PayPal see it as a way to build new, its own mobile wallet – an approach that might not gain critical mass in high-margin marketing businesses. But the opportunities don’t end at owning less concentrated markets. NTT has since invested billions of dollars in the wallet. Players across the marketing, loyalty, and payments businesses mobile commerce through merchant incentives and equity stakes in the can and should proactively engage with these initiatives to discover new bank, transaction processor, and technology assets necessary to make revenue streams and ways to differentiate themselves in a crowded market. it all work. As a result, there are about 70 million compatible phones, For more information, please contact Ben Brown, Associate specializing in and about half as many active users of the service, in Japan today. Mobile Payments and Merchant Acquiring, ben.brown@firstannapolis.com But Japanese telcos, which leveraged NTT’s wallet, expected adoption to come much sooner and the market still faces challenges in driving adoption and usage. We view NTT’s experience as a cautionary tale for Mobile Fuels M&A Activity By Dara Khan and Mike Hutton mobile payments startups, and are driven by factors such as: First Annapolis has been tracking deal activity in the mobile commerce 1. Companies’ desire to build competency in mobile by acquiring the right and alternative payments spaces over the last two years. In that period of talent, technology, and experience; time, over 60 transactions, totaling over $25 billion in disclosed mergers, 2. The vertical and horizontal integration of mobile capabilities to gain control acquisitions, and investments, were completed. Specifically, mobile payments, over the broad mobile value chain or offer a broader product suite; and, banking, and commerce deals totaled over $1.5 billion, not including Google’s 3. Established players investing in potential leading technologies, value $12.5 billion acquisition of Motorola Mobility. These deals span virtually every propositions, and new segments of growth within payments and payments category, from market-leading e/m-commerce platforms to small commerce. Figure 1: Example Mobile Commerce Mergers, Acquisitions, and Strategic Investments Note: Dates on horizontal axis not to scale. Source: Company reports, and First Annapolis research and analysis. Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator 5 of 7 © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
  • 6. Several of these transactions were focused on acquiring talent, technology, or also purchased Zappedy, which helps businesses track the activity of their other assets, and often involve mobile startups with fewer than 20 employees. customers. Along the same vein, AT&T subsidiary YP.com acquired Livedeal, For instance, Boku, a provider of carrier billing solutions and startup itself, an offers platform, to compliment its merchant search and suggestion purchased Paymo and MobilCash, two smaller rivals that had success forming capabilities. Amazon recently invested $175 million in LivingSocial, Groupon’s partnerships with carriers in several countries in which Boku wished to expand. largest daily deals competitor. Verizon recently invested in Geodelic, a Google has purchased several small companies that specialize in offers, location-based targeting platform. Perhaps most interesting in this series of loyalty, and mobile acquiring, including Daily Deal, Punch’d, and Corduro, investments are those being made in virtual goods, which are summarized respectively. All three companies were mainly comprised of founders that below: launched unique mobile commerce offerings. Google also acquired Zetawire, 1. Visa and PlaySpan: micropayments platform that helps publishers a small technology company that holds patents for identity management and monetize games by offering a range of payment methods, including mobile payments processing. PayPal bought a small provider of alternative carrier billing, a mobile wallet, or a proprietary PlaySpan prepaid card. POS enablement technology, FigCard, as part of its strategy to enable its 100 million accountholders to pay at the face-to-face point of sale. PayPal 2. Google and Jambool (SocialGold): enables game publishers to create (via eBay) also acquired Milo, a local inventory search service, for $75 million and manage their own virtual currencies; Jambool’s tech also underpins and RedLaser, a barcode-based price comparison tool. These companies Google’s new in-app billing API. were acquired before they made a significant impact in the market and they 3. American Express and Sometrics: enables game publishers to access a will likely help PayPal with its overall strategy to expand beyond SMEs and proprietary virtual currency that can be used in multiple games for digital e-commerce. goods purchases; may be integrated with Serve, which has a carrier Many mobile payments acquisitions have enabled the buyer to integrate billing and remote payments component. for better market positioning. These transactions often involve one of two There are various reasons for the increase in deal activity, but one thing is rationales: vertical integration to control more aspects of the mobile value clear: mobile acquisitions are likely to continue through 2012. We expect chain, or horizontal integration to offer multiple m-commerce products. In both established and new constituents to make acquisitions and investments, either case, the payments players making these acquisitions seek to move particularly payment networks and processors that are seeking to expand their mobile commerce adoption forward by creating a broader product set and portfolio of mobile capabilities. Other potential buyers in 2012 may include having more influence over its delivery to the market. The potential logic wireless carriers, social networks, and handset and terminal manufacturers behind these transactions is summarized below: who all seek to further establish themselves in the mobile payments value 1. Google and Motorola Mobility: provides Google some control over the chain. This year was characterized by deals in the remote mobile commerce hardware components that are key to mobile payments, including NFC space, as well as mobile banking and offers or deal platforms. Next year, NFC and the secure element necessary to store credentials, as well as a technology players may become targets for acquisition, as national mobile robust patent portfolio. payments initiatives at the point of sale ramp up. Offers platforms, as well as mobile data targeting and analytics services, will garner more interest 2. Fiserv and M-Com: enables cross-sell mobile banking services to banks as leading players recognize that an important portion of the overall mobile that utilize Fiserv for processing and servicing functions. payments value proposition is the integration of m-commerce services. Of 3. PayPal and WHERE: integrates offers with PayPal’s initiatives at the course, the ongoing challenge with making investments in a fast moving POS, providing a mobile commerce strategy within the wallet. environment like mobile will be picking the targets that can both take advantage of near-term mobile use cases and provide platform flexibility to address the Some deals can be characterized by a buyer’s or investor’s desire to align inevitable shifts in mobile opportunities. with leaders in mobile commerce technologies, value propositions, or those with access to new or high-growth segments of the market within payments. For more information, please contact Dara Khan, Associate specializing in Groupon has realized the importance of recommendations in purchase tthe Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice Area, dara.khan@ decisions and has acquired two local location-based suggestion services firstannapolis.com, or Mike Hutton, Analyst, mike.hutton@firstannapolis.com for restaurants and activities in cities: Mob.ly and Whrrl. The daily deal site Retailer Alternative Payments Acceptance: Online and Mobile By Jeff Crawford Online Acceptance First Annapolis regularly tracks the acceptance of payments products at the 1. Seven out of ten leading retailers accept at least one alternative payment leading e-commerce retailers. These merchants represent a significant portion (including PayPal, BillMeLater, Google Checkout, eBillme, Amazon of overall e-commerce and therefore provide an important perspective on the Payments, and e-Check/ACH products). The dominant products are opportunity for new payment products. This year, the mobile channel and PayPal and Bill Me Later (both owned by eBay). Only two leading mobile commerce will be added the Top 100 Remote Commerce Payments retailers, Walmart and Sears, offer more than one of these methods, Acceptance & Mobile Functionality Study due out in late Winter. which is relatively unchanged from 2009 and may indicate limited desire or capacity among retailers to have a broad alternative payments strategy. In the meantime, First Annapolis completed a first look at the online acceptance 2. Of the nine retailers that utilize plastic gift cards, only two also offer eGift of payment products and the use of mobile payments at ten leading retailers cards, a newer, virtual-only, product. including Amazon, Staples, Apple, Office Depot, Walmart, Sears, Office Max, 3. All retailers also offer consumers the ability to store payment credentials Best Buy, Costco and Macy’s. Highlights from this first look include: for purchasing. This functionality, while not groundbreaking, is an Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator 6 of 7 © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.
  • 7. important component of migrating to the mobile channel Figure 1: Top Retailer Payment Practices: Online vs. Mobile (2011) and other device interfaces (see Figure 1). 4. Eight out of 10 retailers advertise either their co-brand or private label credit card on their home pages, and a similar number of the retailers studied attempt to steer consumers towards these products by making specific offers related to their co-brand or private label credit cards. Mobile Acceptance 1. All 10 retailers offer a mobile solution through an application, a tablet solution, and a mobile web offering indicating a high level of interest in mobile. Only Costco does not have the complete set of channels, offering only mobile web. 2. Similarly all 10 of the retailers enable shopping and purchasing via mobile. The consumer experience and look and feel of the process varies widely. Some mobile web sites are streamlined versions of the online site, while other apps offer more advanced commerce and account management capability. 3. All of the retailers enable mobile purchasing through credit cards, while only one of the ten offers an alternative payment option (Sears with PayPal). Nine of the ten also enable stored credentials, reflecting the importance of Source: Retailer websites, and First Annapolis Consulting research and analysis. reducing steps and minimizing keystrokes in the mobile channel and key strokes on mobile phones and tablets. Also, the storage of payment credentials that are accessible via a mobile in particular, with the creation of the @WalmartLabs group, the acquisition of app represents a form of a mobile mobile wallet. These cloud-based, mobile development companies, and the roll out two new mobile apps in 2011 retailer-driven wallets that are integrated with the mobile shopping flow confirms the importance of mobile. However, the unique features of mobile will be credible alternatives to the multi-account wallets that are currently including a smaller device, the potential for 1:1 marketing with location-based grabbing the industry spotlight. services, and possible integration with the point of sale presents retailers with 4. Promotion of specific payments products is more limited than in the an interesting set of challenges and opportunities. The upcoming full Top 100 on-line channel, with only one retailer, Sears, making payment specific Remote Commerce Payments Acceptance & Mobile Functionality Study will promotions via mobile. This is likely due to the newness of the channel expand deeper into the retailer group and explore these issues more in-depth. and also the limited space on the mobile device to make such offers. For more information, please contact Jeff Crawford, Senior Consultant This first look indicates that most top retailers are fully bought into the mobile specializing in the Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments Practice Area, channel, but that the payments functionality is still evolving. Moves by Walmart, jeff.crawford@firstannapolis.com The Other Guys in Mobile POS By Marc Abbey fees that range from $5 to $20, pricing that, though there are parallels at Intuit and Square, is generally higher than at the two market leaders. Much has been written about Square’s mobile POS offering and Intuit’s Go Payment offering, and for good reason as these two pioneers continue to Intuit and Square appear to be positioning with simpler and more transparent generate an impressive ramp in users and processed volume. However, the pricing than other acquirers frequently use, but they also appear to be price focus on these two organizations raises the question – where are other mainline competing in contrast to most other acquirers. Intuit and Square also tend to acquirers on the mobile POS offering? In our most recent acquirer research, be innovating in terms of sales, boarding, risk and other business processes, 69% of acquirers across the full range of non-banks and banks report offering perhaps giving Intuit and Square a cost structure targeted to the mobile POS a mobile POS solution. It is not a scarce product. These same acquirers, niche, whereas there is much less evidence such innovation is occurring yet though, estimate a penetration rate of less than 5% of their merchant bases, at other acquirers. There are many open economic questions regarding the a figure that contrasts with the hundreds of thousands of merchants that Intuit mobile POS in its various use-cases, but the proliferation in the offering and and Square cite when talking about their mobile POS user bases. the differences in approach between acquirers is already noteworthy. Thus far, Square and Intuit have provided free applications and a free card For more information, please contact Marc Abbey, Partner specializing in reader, but the acquirers in our research describe sign up fees that average Merchant Acquiring, marc.abbey@firstannapolis.com nearly $60 and card reader pricing that ranges between $30 and $300. Acquirers also utilized transaction fees averaging $0.20 - $0.22 and monthly Mobile Commerce & Alternative Payments: Special Edition Navigator 7 of 7 © 2012 First Annapolis Consulting, Inc.