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2011 METRO-PHOENIX BUSINESS STUDY
     NEW STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS




                          PRESENTED BY




                          IN COLLABORATION WITH
FOREWORD

The past several years have been economically challenging for families, businesses and every
level of government. Everyone felt the pinch of our recent economic downturn. As a company
doing business in Arizona for more than 100 years, SRP knows the vitality of our community is
directly related to the success of our local businesses.

Arizona businesses promote job growth, drive the economy and improve the vitality of our
community. We all want to see our economy move forward and our business environment
improve. That’s why we worked with Arizona State University, the Arizona Small Business
Association, the Greater Phoenix Chamber of Commerce, the Phoenix Business Journal and
WestGroup Research to bring you the 2011 Metro-Phoenix Business Study.

The findings in this research provide excellent insights and stories from more than
830 Phoenix-area business owners, who candidly share information about not only the
challenges they recently experienced but also the solutions they incorporated to sustain
their businesses during those economic challenges. Fortunately, they had a lot to say and
I think you will find their experiences helpful.

In addition to partnering on this report with Valley stakeholders, this past year SRP actively
began looking for opportunities to help local businesses navigate the challenges of the poor
economy by creating the SRP Business Resource Center (BRC).

The BRC is a free, online, one-stop information center created by business to help business. At
srpbizresource.com, important business information, resources and helpful advice are available
to help take businesses to the next level.

SRP wants to be part of the solution that keeps the Valley moving forward. We believe this study
and our BRC are a step in the right direction. We view both as tools to move us closer to a
stronger and prosperous Phoenix economy.

I want to thank the Phoenix-area businesses that participated in this study and acknowledge our
partners that made this study possible.


Mark Bonsall
General Manager & Chief Executive Officer
SRP




■     i
2011 METRO-PHOENIX BUSINESS STUDY TABLE OF CONTENTS

Foreword .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  i     ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Acknowledgments .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  ii
                                                                                          COLLABORAT ING ORGANI Z A TI ON
Overview .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  1
                                                                                          Arizona State University (ASU)
Background .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  5

Findings  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .   7   INSIGHT S/ANALYSIS

   •	Challenges, Impact and Strategies .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  7                             Gary Naumann,
   •	The Future  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 19                  Director of the Spirit
                                                                                                      of Enterprise Center, ASU
   •	Information Resources .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  25
   •	Technology .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  27
                                                                                                      Todd Sanders, President
   •	Sustainability .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  32
                                                                                                      and CEO, Greater Phoenix
                                                                                                                                          SM




Methodology  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  33                     Chamber of Commerce

End Notes  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 36
                                                                                                      Kristen Wilson,
                                                                                                      COO, Arizona Small
PROFILES                                                                                              Business Association

Sherry Michaels, Michaels & Associates Docntrain Ltd.  .  .  17
                                                                                                      Don Henninger,
Ed Goff, Blockwise Engineering .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 23                            Publisher,
                                                                                                      Phoenix Business Journal
F E ATU R E S

Impact of the Economy by Industry .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  10                  RESEARCH T EAM
Ready to Grow  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  22          SRP                              ASU

Trying to Figure This Out  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  . 31           Jim Briggs, Senior Market        Dennis Hoffman, Director,
                                                                                          Research Analyst                 L. William Seidman Research
                                                                                                                           Institute, Department of
                                                                                          Brian Cary, Manager,             Economics
                                                                                          Forecasting, Research &
                                                                                          Economic Development             Elizabeth Farquhar, Managing
                                                                                                                           Editor, KnowWPCarey
                                                                                          Denise Hayes, Senior Marketing
                                                                                          Program Manager                Sidnee Peck, Director and
                                                                                                                         Instructor, Entrepreneurial
                                                                                          Linda Murphy-Lessor, Principal Initiatives
                                                                                          Market Research Project
                                                                                          Manager                        WestGroup Research
                                                                                                                           Katy Gallert, Research Analyst

                                                                                                                           Glenn Iwata, Executive
                                                                                                                           Vice President




                                                                                                                                                    ii   ■
OVERVIEW

NEW STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS                                             In other words, is there a “new normal” that is being
                                                                       established as a result of the past four years? This year’s
Businesses across the country have spent the past four years           study, “2011 Metro-Phoenix Business Study: New Strategies
“re-inventing,” “right-sizing,” “re-skilling,” “re-branding,”          for Success,” focuses on the issues and steps these survivors
“viral marketing,” “organically growing” and using a                   have taken.
                           multitude of other buzzword
                                    strategies to survive.             This study is the result of collaboration between SRP and ASU,

                                             According to the          along with support from a number of endorsing organizations.
               “Our Arizona small
               businesses are doing
                                               National Bureau of      The purpose of this collaborative effort is to provide a resource
          extraordinary things, even in a
       challenging economic environment.        Economic Research,     to companies, government agencies, educators and supporting
    It is so important to give businesses an                           organizations that want to help develop solutions for
           opportunity to tell their story.      the recession
   Organizations like SRP and ASU pulling        officially began in   businesses in the midst of the economic slowdown.
  their resources together allows businesses
    to do that without having to turn away       December 2007         The findings in this report are based on input received from
   from what is most important to them —         and ended in June
             running their business.”1                                 833 Phoenix-area businesses. Interviews were conducted
                                             20092; however, the       primarily by telephone with business owners and management
           Kristen Wilson, COO,
          Arizona Small Business           reality has been a          from August–November 2011. Most of those interviewed were
                 Association
                                        painful, four-year             considered “small businesses.” Respondents were contacted
                                   economic slowdown that has          and given the option of participating in the research using
forced businesses to change the way they operate.                      phone or Web methods. Quotas were set by industry type and

Businesses in metropolitan Phoenix have been especially                number of employees to achieve a representative sample of

hard-hit by this slowdown, with real estate and construction           metro-Phoenix businesses. When applicable, results from this

sectors leading the downturn. Dennis Hoffman, Director of the          2011 study were compared with a 2007 study conducted by

L. William Seidman Research Institute at ASU, observed:                SRP, ASU and WestGroup Research.4 In addition, one-on-one
                                                                       interviews were conducted with local business experts and
   “Housing and construction slowed to a standstill in late            focus groups were held with area businesses to provide
   ’06/early ’07; there wasn’t much going on … so we                   perspective to the issues businesses are facing.
   lost jobs in virtually all sectors. Retail sales adjusted in
   a fashion that it’s never adjusted. … The pace of                   The following highlights key findings from the research.

   growth drivers like utility hookups plummeted. … It’s
   the worst recession in the postwar period.”3                        CHALLENGES

A number of questions arise when considering the impact on             ❯❯ Refocus/rethinking — In 2007, the top challenge facing
                                                                          businesses was managing cash flow (21%); only 1% had
area businesses during this slowdown.
                                                                          concerns about the economy. In a comparable unaided
❯❯ What are the biggest obstacles facing businesses?                      question asked in 2011, 56% mentioned being affected by
❯❯ What steps are businesses taking to survive?                           the economic slowdown. This figure grew to 86% after
                                                                          businesses were directly asked, “How has the current
❯❯ Which strategies are successful?
                                                                          economic environment/conditions affected your business, if
❯❯ How will businesses operate differently going into the future?        at all?”
                                                                       ❯❯ Barriers — Businesses were asked to rate a series of
                                                                          specific “challenge” questions (an “aided” version of the
                                                                          most significant challenges they face).




■    1
M OST SIGN I F I C A NT C H A LLE NGE S ( A IDED)
                                                                            IM PACT
                         Total 2011 Responses
                                                                            ❯❯ Shrinking businesses — The most significant impact on
             Access                                                            businesses from the economic slowdown is the “shrinking”
          to capital
                        41%                19%        34%             6%
                                                                               of businesses. Seventy-one percent experienced a decrease
Growing business/                                                              in sales/profit/customers because of the economy, resulting
retaining customers
                        35%             40%                  23%      2%
                                                                               in businesses being smaller today than they were a few
       Marketing/                                                              years ago.
                        34%             41%                  23%      2%
promoting business
                                                                            ❯❯ Suppliers — Although most businesses did not feel the
       Planning for
    financial future
                        29%          43%                    26%       2%       economic environment has had an impact on supplier
        Managing                                                               relationships, more than one-third (38%) feel their
                        27%          31%            41%               1%
        cash flow
                                                                               relationships have been affected in some manner and
 Finding/retaining
                        22%       24%         41%                     13%
                                                                               11% feel suppliers are more stringent in their policies.
        employees
                                                                               Six percent gave the opposite view and said suppliers
            How to
                        21%       28%           49%                   2%       provided more leeway with credit policies, increased
       run business
         Managing                                                              services or found ways to improve customer relations.
          staff size
                        16%    21%       44%                          19%

         Applying
   new technology
                        15% 34%                 47%                   4%    ST RAT EGIES
       Negotiating      15%    26%         50%                        9%    ❯❯ Retreat or attack — Companies tend to take one of two
            prices
                                                                               strategies in order to survive — retreat or attack — and
  Significant          Somewhat         Not a challenge       Don’t know       most have chosen to retreat in the economic downturn
                                                                               (cutbacks were mentioned by 39% as their primary
❯❯ In order, the most significant challenges are:                              strategy). The attack/aggressive strategy involves the
                                                                               opposite approach — expanding operations, increasing
   •	Access to capital (41% consider this a significant
                                                                               advertising/marketing, launching new products/services
     challenge; combining the top two responses, 60%
                                                                               and adding new locations (mentioned by 28% as their
     consider this either a significant or somewhat of a
                                                                               primary strategy). Businesses feel the
     challenge) — The limits on available capital will result in
                                                                               attack strategy is more risky than
     growth occurring at a slower pace.
                                                                               retreating and is not always
   •	Rebuilding the customer base (34%–35% significant                                                                    “You can’t
                                                                               as successful.                       (shrink) forever. You
     challenge) — Businesses are still trying to figure out how to                                             shrink to survive, but in the
                                                                            ❯❯ Limits on retreating —
     market and build their customer base in this new economy.                                               long run, the way capitalism
                                                                               Companies can become          works, that’s a death spiral.”
   •	Financial planning (29% significant challenge)/managing                   only so small and still stay   Brian Cary, SRP Manager,
     cash flow (27% significant challenge) — The uncertainty                   in business. Businesses         Forecasting, Research &
     of the marketplace makes it difficult to forecast and                     appear to be at a point         Economic Development5
     prepare for the future. Cash flow represents one of the                   where they have stretched
     key financial factors affected by this challenge.                         the productivity of their
   •	New rules/new tools (mentioned by 15%–22% as                              workforce and have already tried
     a significant challenge for each one listed) — Once                      cutting costs.
     businesses reach beyond the survival stage, they want
                                                                            ❯❯ Leading the recovery — Larger companies (20-plus
     to know the impact of new rules (e.g., health care
                                                                               employees) appear to be more likely to lead the economic
     reform) and tools (e.g., social media) to help with their
                                                                               recovery. These companies tend to be more optimistic about
     operations. Also included in this list are how to retain
                                                                               their economic future and more likely to expand than
     and hire employees, manage staff and negotiate
                                                                               smaller companies (those with one to four employees).
     with suppliers.




                                                                                                                                       2    ■
O VE R VI E W CONTINU E D



T H E F U TU R E                                                   T ECHNOLOGY
❯❯ Optimism — Businesses are anxious to return to the boom         ❯❯ Actively using social media — Three out of four of the
   years. Half of businesses (50%) anticipate their financial         businesses maintain a website, and half of them actively use
   position will improve in the next 12 months; only 12%              social media. Facebook and LinkedIn are the top business
   expect their situation to become worse. Almost half (46%)          social media tools.
   are expecting to expand within their next planning cycle,       ❯❯ Advertising/promotion/communication — Businesses are
   and another 46% plan to stay about the same size.                  primarily using social media for two purposes:
❯❯ Flexibility — Most of these businesses have relatively short      •	As a marketing tool to advertise and promote their
   planning cycles. More than one-third (38%) can make                 services — For example, 45% of Facebook users said
   significant changes to staffing within a year’s time; 67%           they apply social media to market/promote their business.
   have planning cycles of two years or less. Younger, smaller
                                                                     •	To communicate with customers — For example, 63% of
   companies appear to be more flexible and can adjust
                                                                       LinkedIn users said they apply social media to stay in
   quickly to changes in the marketplace.
                                                                       touch with their customers.
IN F O R M A TI O N R E SO U RC E S                                ❯❯ Trying to figure it out — Most businesses are still trying to
                                                                      determine how social media can benefit them. They see
❯❯ Staying in-house — One-third of the businesses rely on
                                                                      great potential but need more information about how to
   outside resources for advice about how to plan and run
                                                                      apply social media and measure its success. Among active
   their business. Those that do are most likely to use industry
                                                                      Facebook users, 14% said they added more customers and
   publications and trade organizations to get information
                                                                      8% experienced an increase in sales because of their
   specific to their business (26%). Even fewer have taken
                                                                      Facebook involvement.
   advantage of government-backed resources.
❯❯ Marketing/forecasting — Businesses that have sought help        SUST AINABILIT Y
   from outside organizations need help regarding marketing
                                                                   ❯❯ Beginning stages — Some businesses (59%) are making
   and supporting the growth of business (25%). Businesses
                                                                      efforts to be more environmentally sensitive in their
   also need forecasting information to help them understand
                                                                      processes and operations, with 21% saying they recycle.
   the impact of future trends and enable them to plan
                                                                      Almost half of businesses (41%) admit to not taking any
   accordingly (22%).
                                                                      steps to be more environmentally conscious or are not sure
                                                                      what steps their company is taking.
                                                                   ❯❯ Low- and no-cost solutions — Most companies undertaking
                                                                      sustainability efforts are using low- and no-cost solutions,
                                                                      such as recycling office products and turning off lights.




■    3
CONCLUSIONS

S U R VI VA L STRA TE G IE S                                       T HE NEW NORM AL
❯❯ Shrinking — Compared with pre-recession days, today             Most businesses want the future to look more like the
   businesses have lower sales revenues, tighter profit margins,   pre-recession days of growth, profit, more employees, more
   smaller operations, and fewer product and service lines.        office space, available resources (both human and financial),
   Companies had to shrink in order to survive.                    and greater demand for their products/services. The new
❯❯ Flexibility — As organizations became smaller, they also        normal will involve growth but with the following challenges.
   became more efficient, with less overhead and shorter
                                                                   ❯❯ Slower growth — The availability of resources such as
   planning cycles. Bottom line, they found ways of staying in
                                                                      commercial office space and an underemployed workforce
   business using fewer resources. Companies that have
                                                                      will help with growth; however, limitations from credit
   survived the past four years have had to be more flexible in
                                                                      markets will rein in the temptation to quickly expand. Even
   order to adapt to lower customer demand and compete for
                                                                      during stronger markets, businesses considered access to
   the limited number of profitable products/services.
                                                                      capital and cash flow management their two most
❯❯ Risk taking — Some businesses have successfully taken              significant challenges.
   more aggressive strategies and grown during this
                                                                   ❯❯ New rules/new tools — Businesses need help marketing in
   slowdown. Businesses that have successfully executed these
                                                                      this slow-recovering economic environment. Although
   strategies tend to be smaller (in terms of annual revenue)
                                                                      demand for products/services will naturally increase as the
   but not necessarily home-based. They are also more likely
                                                                      economy strengthens, marketing strategies and methods
   to be active on social media.
                                                                      have changed over the past four years. Businesses will
                                                                      need to figure out how to use social media and new
                                                                      technology and then implement these strategies in order to
                                                                      reach their customers.
                                                                   ❯❯ New markets — During the slowdown, companies
                                                                      commented about reducing their products/services to only
                                                                      their most profitable core offerings. Businesses could not
                                                                      afford to take too much risk during an era of tighter profit
                                                                      margins and uncertain customer demand. If businesses want
                                                                      to jump-start their growth in this new normal, they will need
                                                                      to broaden their products, test new markets and take some
                                                                      risks in their approach. At some point, they need to step
                                                                      beyond the conservative, safe approach.
                                                                   ❯❯ Losing efficiencies/flexibility — Another challenge
                                                                      businesses will face as they grow will be maintaining the
                                                                      efficiencies and flexibility they have attained during the
                                                                      economic slowdown. For example, adding staff or
                                                                      increasing office space would mean increasing payroll or
                                                                      locking into lease agreements. These types of growth steps
                                                                      reduce flexibility and potentially add long-term expenses.




                                                                                                                            4   ■
C ONC L U S I O N S C ONTINU E D                                      BACKGROUND

P R I O R I TI E S                                                    What is the history behind the study?

Businesses provided a clear list of priorities to “supporting”        The 2011 Metro-Phoenix Business Study is the fourth in a
organizations that want to help them navigate through the             series of business research studies that began in 2005
new normal.                                                           sponsored by SRP, in collaboration with ASU, and conducted
                                                                      by WestGroup Research. The original study was conducted as
❯❯ Finding capital — The No. 1 priority is obtaining capital in
                                                                      part of an annual tracking study conducted through the
   this tight credit market. Businesses, financial institutions and
                                                                      Hispanic Research Center at ASU. The study evolved from
   policymakers need to find solutions to make both short- and
                                                                      2005–07 to include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic
   long-term funding available. It’s a simple formula: No
                                                                      minorities as well as women-owned businesses. From
   capital means no growth.
                                                                      2007–10, SRP and ASU chose not to conduct the research
❯❯ Marketing in the new economy — The second priority is
                                                                      after earlier trending analyses identified minimal changes in
   rebuilding customer bases. Businesses seem anxious to find
                                                                      demographics and attitudes from year to year.
   ways to reach potential customers. They need help
   identifying new opportunities, learning how to use new tools
                                                                      Why did SRP and ASU conduct this research?
   and technologies (e.g., social media and iPads), and
   changing the way they market their products/services.              In 2011, SRP and ASU took a different angle than in previous
   What worked in 2007 may not work as well today.
                                                                      years. Instead of focusing the research on specific target
   Supporting organizations need to educate businesses about
                                                                      groups (e.g., minority businesses), this year’s study researched
   the new basics of marketing.
                                                                      the impact of the recent economic downturn on businesses in
❯❯ Re-learning how to run their business — The third priority         the Phoenix area. The study was designed to be a resource for
   is a natural progression that flows from the marketing step.
                                                                      a broad range of audiences, including government officials;
   As companies move past survival mode, they need help with
                                                                      planners and analysts; business and community leaders; and
   the infrastructure to support them. Growth means more
                                                                      educators who want to understand the marketplace better.
   planning and forecasting, responding to new regulations,
   managing staff and finding resources. In the same way              This research provides a snapshot of the challenges businesses
   companies learned how to operate with less during the past         face during a slow-recovering economy as well as the
   four years, they now need to learn how to grow with new
                                                                      successes experienced. Findings provide a blueprint of where
   rules, new demands and new opportunities. A significant
                                                                      to focus efforts to support Phoenix-area businesses as well as
   challenge for supporting organizations is teaching owners
                                                                      possible opportunities and solutions for businesses to consider.
   how to run their business when they do not have the time or
                                                                      SRP and ASU have made significant long-term commitments to
   patience to learn.
                                                                      providing resources to support local businesses. This research
                                                                      is just one part of their continuing efforts.




■    5
How will the findings be reported?                              What businesses participated in the survey?

Study findings will be incorporated into SRP’s Business
Resource Center (BRC) and ASU’s KnowWPC online business         BUSINESS CHARACT ERIST I C S OV E RV I E W
resource. Stakeholder groups will have access to this
                                                                                                                   TOTALS
information through a number of different channels, such as
                                                                 Number of completed interviews                      833
the websites, workshops and press releases.
                                                                 Ownership:
The SRP BRC provides business solutions in one location to
                                                                   Sole proprietorship                              33%
help businesses become more successful. It includes locally
                                                                   Corporation                                      17%
focused information, such as the economy at a glance, local
business resources, legislation updates and advice from local      S corporation                                    18%
business experts.                                                  Partnership                                       9%

SRP BRC: srpbizresource.com                                        LLC                                              20%

ASU will be writing articles and providing information from        Other/refused                                     3%
this study through the W.P. Carey KnowWPC website,               2010 median revenue                              $241,400
knowwpcarey.com.                                                 Median number of employees                           3

                                                                 Median age of company                           14 years old

                                                                 Business descriptions:

                                                                   Home-based                                       40%

                                                                   Not-for-profit                                    8%

                                                                A breakdown of industry type and number of employees is
                                                                listed in the “Methodology” section (Page 33).

                                                                Primarily small businesses — The majority of the Phoenix-
                                                                area businesses that participated in this study are organized
                                                                as a corporation (limited liability company [LLC], corporation,
                                                                S corporation or C corporation). It should be noted that an
                                                                LLC can also be considered a corporation, S corporation or
                                                                C corporation. The companies are relatively small, with a
                                                                median of three employees and revenue of $241,400 in
                                                                2010; 40% are considered home-based businesses.

                                                                There were minimal changes in overall company
                                                                firmographics between the 2007 and 2011 studies.
                                                                Firmographic comparisons between 2011 study results
                                                                and 2007 census data were also comparable.




                                                                                                                           6    ■
FINDINGS

THE CHALLENGES, THEIR IMPACT AND STRATEGIES
This section reviews the challenges Phoenix-area businesses have been facing over the past few years, the impact these issues have
been making on businesses and the solutions businesses have tried to overcome the difficulties.


THE CHALLENGES
                                                                                     What a difference four years makes — Not surprisingly, the
What are the most significant challenges
                                                                                     top challenge among Phoenix-area businesses today is the
Phoenix-area businesses have faced over
                                                                                     economic downturn/recession. Even those not specifically
the past few years?
                                                                                     mentioning the economic downturn list other factors that could
These responses represent businesses’ “top-of-mind” reactions                        be affected by the economy. The chart highlights businesses’
when asked about their most significant challenges. Results                          severe shift in focus over the past four years. In spring 2007,
were compared with a similar 2007 study6 conducted by SRP,                           cash flow was the top challenge businesses were trying to
ASU and WestGroup Research (see “Methodology” section)                               address; only 1% mentioned the economy. Companies still
that involved responses from 850 Phoenix-area businesses. A                          considered cash flow a top issue in 2011, followed by
more detailed and “aided” version of these challenges is listed                      building or rebuilding their customer base.
later in the report.

MO ST SIGNIFICA NT C H A LLE NGE S ( U NA I DED) *

  Overcoming economic 1%
   downturn/economy 56%**


                      Cash 21%**
                      flow 14%


        Finding/retaining 14%
               customers 11%


                    Rising 0%
                 expenses 10%**                           2007

            Marketing — 7%                                2011
          how/costs/ROI
                             6%

               Increasing 6%
              competition
                             5%

        Finding/retaining    18%**
               employees
                             5%

Question: To begin, what have been the most significant challenges or barriers you
have faced in your business in the past two or three years?
*Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses.
**Significantly different at 95% confidence level between 2007 and 2011.




■     7
An “aided” version of the question was asked by reading                               BUSINESS COMMENT S
businesses a list of potential challenges and having them rate
each one as a significant challenge, somewhat of a challenge                          “The economy (is the top challenge); how the economy has
or not a real challenge.                                                              gone up and down. People do not want to spend money to
                                                                                      buy bikes and repair bikes. People are hanging on to their
MO S T S I GN IFICA NT CHA LLENG ES (AIDED)                                           money.”
                         Total 2011 Responses
                                                                                      Bicycle repair company
             Access
                        41%                   19%        34%                   6%
          to capital                                                                  “The biggest barrier would be rising costs and not being able
Growing business/                                                                     to keep up with the economy. The cost of the product and
retaining customers
                        35%                40%                   23%           2%
                                                                                      using the material that is in demand (has been rising). For the
       Marketing/
promoting business
                        34%                41%                    23%          2%     customer, not being able to use the money for things that are
                                                                                      broken, they are using (the funds) for other day-to-day use.”
       Planning for
                        29%             43%                    26%             2%
    financial future                                                                  Glass replacement business
         Managing
                        27%           31%               41%                   1%
         cash flow                                                                    “The challenges are whether I should grow and hire
 Finding/retaining
                        22%         24%          41%                          13%
                                                                                      employees or just continue on my own without employees.
        employees
                                                                                      Also, being so busy that I might have to turn away potential
            How to
                        21%        28%             49%                         2%     new clients because I’m the only employee. (Another challenge
       run business
         Managing
                        16%     21%         44%                               19%     is) keeping quality at a level so that people won’t check out
          staff size
                                                                                      the competition.”
         Applying
   new technology
                        15% 34%                   47%                          4%
                                                                                      Investment company
        Negotiating     15%     26%            50%                             9%
             prices
                                                                                      “Renting the units (is the top challenge), because there are a
  Significant          Somewhat           Not a challenge          Don’t know         lot of people losing their jobs!”

                                                                                      Apartment complex
Question: For each one, please indicate how much of a challenge — if any — you
find this area by rating as a significant challenge, somewhat of a challenge, not a
real challenge or don’t know/does not apply.                                          “The tire business is way down. With the cost of tires going
                                                                                      up, the service side is going up. The economy has not hurt us
Top priorities — Businesses’ ratings tend to cluster around
                                                                                      too bad. We are not generating as much on tires. Our (profit)
four categories in the following order:
                                                                                      margins are down. We had our first sales decrease in
❯❯ Capital — Where and how to borrow money is the most
                                                                                      24 months.”
   significant challenge.
                                                                                      Tire retailer
❯❯ Growth — How to grow and marketing/promoting the
   business are the top challenges when combining the top two                         “I would say the economy. My clients have gone out of
   categories — significant and somewhat of a challenge —                             business. Clients have had to downsize, and I had to
   together.
                                                                                      downsize at one point. I had five employees, and now I’m
❯❯ Financial management — Planning for the future and                                 down to myself.”
   managing cash flow are in the third level of challenges
                                                                                      Accounting firm
   businesses face.
❯❯ Knowledge — The fourth level involves know-how in
   running the business — human resources, management
   skills, negotiating skills and technology applications.




                                                                                                                                               8      ■
The 2011 study asked businesses to rate some of the same              Big challenges for smaller companies — Younger and smaller
challenges as the 2007 study .        7
                                                                      companies (in terms of revenue) are significantly more likely to
                                                                      have challenges gaining access to capital.
   MOST SIGNIF I C A NT C H A LLE NGE S ( A I D ED) *
                                                                                              A CCESS T O CA PITA L (AI DED) *
                    Access 28%                                                       AGE OF BUSINESS
                 to capital 41%**
                                                                                                1–9 years 50%**

      Growing business/ 25%
      retaining customers 35%**                                                              10–19 years 38%


             Marketing/ 21%                                                                     20+ years 33%
      promoting business 34%**

                                                               2007           2010 ANNUAL REVENUE
                Managing 23%
                cash flow 27%                                  2011                              < $100K 51%**


        Finding/retaining 42%**                                                              $100K–$1M 43%
               employees
                              22%
                                                                                                     $1M+ 37%
                   How to 26%**
              run business 21%
                                                                                                 Percent rating as a “significant challenge”


*Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses.          *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive.

**Significantly different between 2007 and 2011.                      **Significantly higher than the other categories.


Shifting challenges — There has been a significant shift in
priorities in five of the top six “significant” challenges over the
past four years. In 2007, the priority was focused more on
finding/retaining employees (42% rated it a significant
challenge). In 2011, priorities changed to finding capital
(41%), growing the business/retaining customers (35%) and
marketing/promoting the business (34%).

More challenges — In general, businesses are more likely
now than in 2007 to consider the items listed in the chart
above as significant challenges. Economic conditions appear
to be increasing the intensity of these challenges.




■     9
IMPACT OF THE ECONOMY BY INDUSTRY

The economic slowdown significantly affected all industries                          A further look at these six industries highlights ways the
over the past four years. Most of the top challenges, impacts                        economic slowdown has affected them.
and solutions mentioned by the businesses were common
across industry types. For example, one of the top challenges                        RET AIL
encountered by all six industries in this analysis was gaining
                                                                                     ❯❯ More experiencing declines in sales/revenues/profit and
access to capital. How to grow the business/retain customers
                                                                                        number of customers (84% vs. 70% for all other businesses)
and marketing/promoting the business were also among the
most significant common challenges.
                                                                                     ACCOM MODAT IONS/F OO D SE RV I C E S
                                        TOP CHALLENGES (AIDED)*                      ❯❯ More likely to feel retaining/finding employees is a
                                        PERCENT RATING AS A                             significant challenge (34% vs. 21% for all other businesses)
                                        SIGNIFICANT CHALLENGE
                                                                                     ❯❯ Among those most affected by the economy (68% unaided
                                        Marketing: 34%                                  vs. 55% for all other businesses)
 Professional/scientific
                                        Access to capital: 33%
 n = 129**                                                                           ❯❯ More likely to actively use Facebook for business (50% vs.
                                        Growth: 32%
                                                                                        31% for all other businesses)
                                        Access to capital: 36%
 Health care/
                                        Financial planning: 35%
 social services                                                                     HEALT H CARE/SOCIAL SER V I C E S
                                        Growth: 31%
 n = 118**
                                        Marketing: 29%
                                                                                     ❯❯ Less likely to mention being affected by the economy
                                        Access to capital: 47%
 Retail                                                                                 (44% unaided vs. 59% for all other businesses)
                                        Growth: 41%
 n = 96**
                                        Marketing: 41%
                                                                                     REAL EST AT E
 Accommodations/                        Access to capital: 46%
 food services                          Marketing: 36%                               ❯❯ Among the industries more likely to feel affected by the
 n = 80**                               Retaining employees: 34%
                                                                                        economy (65% unaided vs. 56% for all other businesses)
                                        Access to capital: 39%
 Real estate                            Growth: 39%                                  FINANCE/INSURANCE
 n = 72**                               Marketing: 31%
                                        Financial planning: 31%                      ❯❯ More likely to increase marketing efforts as a way to
                                        Access to capital: 43%                          address the economic slowdown (43% vs. 27% for all
 Finance/insurance
                                        Growth: 36%                                     other businesses)
 n = 56**
                                        Marketing: 36%

*Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive.
                                                                                     PROF ESSIONAL/SCIENT IF I C
**The top six industries with the largest sample size representation are listed in
this analysis.
                                                                                     ❯❯ More likely to feel accessing capital is not a problem
                                                                                        (49% vs. 31% for all other businesses) nor is finding/
                                                                                        retaining employees (50% vs. 39% for all other industries)
                                                                                     ❯❯ More likely to actively use LinkedIn (38% vs. 16% for all
                                                                                        other businesses) and less likely to use Facebook (8% vs.
                                                                                       20% for all other businesses)




                                                                                                                                             10     ■
BU S I NE S S C O MME NTS                                            THE IMPACT
“We have a couple of part-time contractors that we had to lay
                                                                     How have Phoenix-area businesses been affected
off. Sales volume is down 40%.”
                                                                     by the economic downturn?
Nonprofit industry alliance organization

“I put out coupons and do as much online marketing as                                       IMPA CT / CHA L L ENGES
possible, and I have seen a dramatic decrease in phone calls                               OF CURRENT ECONOMY *
as of May. But the traffic on my website has gone up.”

Real estate                                                             71% Decrease in sales/profits/customers


“Our customer is the federal government. When you see the               9%         Prices for supplies/inventories increasing
federal budget go down, these opportunities for government
                                                                        5% Finding new business opportunities
contracts go down, so our budget is really tied to the federal
government.”
                                                                        4% Had to lower prices
Technology/personnel company
                                                                        4% Tougher to get loan
“There are a lot of winter visitors here in Arizona. With the
current economic environment, a lot of these patients haven’t           4% Difficult to collect on payments
been back. A lot of them come down and don’t see the
physician, where they used to come down and get the                  Note: Companies that did not mention anything about the economy in the first
                                                                     question were specifically asked, “How has the current economic environment/
(treatment) they needed.”                                            conditions affected your business, if at all?” The responses to this question were
                                                                     combined with those mentioning something about the economy in the first question to
Physician (private practice)                                         provide the findings in this table.
                                                                     *Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses.
“We often rely on volunteers, and there are more people that
are in need of jobs than are volunteering. “                         Shrinking companies — Most Phoenix-area businesses (86%

Nonprofit that supports senior citizens                              unaided and aided combined) have been affected by the
                                                                     current economic conditions. The economy’s most significant
“The economy affected our cash flow; our customers are               impact is the shrinking of businesses — lower revenues,
getting paid slow, so our receivables have increased.                smaller profits and fewer customers.
Sometimes I feel that commercial construction is done on the
                                                                     ❯❯ The 14% unaffected by the economy are distributed equally
backs of contractors and suppliers; owners are
                                                                        across a number of categories, including industry type,
undercapitalized to get their projects done. If it weren’t for the
                                                                        company size and length of time in business.
government work we (had) last year and into this year, our
financial condition here would be really bad.”

Wholesale supplier for manufacturer




■    11
How has the economy affected the growth                                                 Another factor to consider is that the typical business has
of companies?                                                                           only a few paid employees (a median of three in 2011).
                                                                                        Smaller businesses would have difficulty cutting back on
                                                                                        current staff levels.
        COM PA NY S I ZE I N PA S T S I X MONT HS

                                                                                              A DDED EMPL OY EES IN PA ST S I X MONTHS *
                                                                                          NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES
                                                                  Don’t
                                            Increased             know                                             1–4 5%
                                            13%                    4%
                       Decreased
                       19%                                                                                        5–19 22%


                                                                                                                   20+ 41%**



                                                                                          2010 ANNUAL REVENUE
                                Stayed the same                                                               < $100K 4%
                                64%

                                                                                                         $100K–$1M 13%

                                                                                                                 $1M+ 28%**



Question: In the past six months, has your business seen an increase or a decrease in   *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive.
the number of employees?
                                                                                        **Significantly higher than the other categories.

The number of employees has held even — The impact of the                               Larger companies are more likely to have grown — Larger
economic downturn has leveled off. Most companies have                                  companies (in terms of employee size and annual revenue)
already laid off workers and cut expenses. A slightly higher                            are more likely than smaller organizations to have increased
percentage of businesses have decreased rather than                                     the number of employees in the past six months.
increased their workforce (19% decreased/13% increased),
but most stayed the same size.




                                                                                                                                                    12   ■
BU S I NE S S C O MME NTS                                          How has the current economic environment
                                                                   affected supplier relationships?
“The economy has definitely put a strain on my suppliers. It
has limited us on asking favors. It has made negotiating                          IMPA CT OF ECONOMY
agreements difficult.”                                                         ON SUPPL IER REL AT IONSHIPS*
Restaurant                                                                                       Top responses

                                                                                       Not affected/
“They are more restrictive in their ability to extend credit and                      did not recall/   62%
                                                                                      not mentioned
don’t do extra things. They limit their products to smaller core
products and services. Their product inventory is much less
                                                                                      Buying less/
and (they) have longer delivery times. They are slower and                                              11%
                                                                                  more strategically
less available.”

Printing company                                                           More stringent policies/     11%
                                                                         higher prices by suppliers
“I’ve done a lot more searching for better pricing for the
products that I have to buy, and I also negotiated with my                  More flexible policies/
                                                                                                        6%
                                                                         lower pricing by suppliers
primary shipping for better rates.”

Automotive parts supplier
                                                                   Question: How has the current economic environment/conditions affected the
                                                                   business relationships or arrangements you have made with your suppliers/vendors,
“It hasn’t affected me. I guess some of my vendors are in the      if at all?
same boat. I think the vendors are getting out and visiting me     *Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses.

more to get more business. Of course the economy has slowed
                                                                   The economic environment has had a mixed impact on
them down as well.”
                                                                   supplier relationships — More than one-third (38%) of
Insurance agent                                                    businesses feel their relationships with suppliers have been

“I would say we are becoming less flexible on terms of payment.”   affected. While most of those who have been affected
                                                                   mentioned a negative impact (e.g., increased costs), some feel
Propane distributor
                                                                   the economy has had a positive affect (e.g., suppliers are
“For us, the economic situation actually gave us the               more flexible with payment terms).
opportunity to make relationships stronger, because they
                                                                   Business suppliers appear to have taken one of two routes
looked to us for advice about what was going on.”
                                                                   with their strategies during the economic slowdown.
Commercial real estate
                                                                   ❯❯ More stringent — Eleven percent mentioned that suppliers
                                                                      took this approach. These suppliers want to minimize losses
                                                                      and lessen risk/exposure. They tend to raise prices, cut
                                                                      supplies/services or tighten credit practices.
                                                                   ❯❯ More flexible — Six percent mentioned that suppliers
                                                                      took this approach. These suppliers want to find ways
                                                                      to build their business and provide more leeway with
                                                                      credit policies, increase services or find ways to improve
                                                                      customer relations.




■    13
THE STRATEGIES                                                                 More aggressive — The aggressive/growth actions include
                                                                               increasing advertising/marketing (12% of the 28% that
What steps have businesses taken to address the                                mentioned aggressive/growth actions) and changing pricing
current economic conditions?                                                   strategies (10% of the 28%). Other growth strategies include:

                                                                               ❯❯ Becoming more diverse/trying new products/adding
 STE P S TO A DDR E S S E C ONOM I C C O NDIT IONS *
                                                                                  product lines
                                Top responses
                                                                               ❯❯ Expanding the business in general
                  Cutbacks 39%                                                 ❯❯ Hiring more employees
                                                                               ❯❯ Looking for new ways to grow
                Expand/
                          28%
          more aggressive                                                      ❯❯ Spending more time on sales

            No steps taken 15%                                                 More individual sacrifice — The fourth category of responses
                                                                               involves more individual sacrifice from business owners.
 More individual sacrifice                                                     Responses that fell into this category include:
                              5%

                                                                               ❯❯ Working harder/taking on more of the workload
       Change processes/      4%
                practices                                                      ❯❯ Becoming more efficient

Question: What steps, if any, has your company taken to address the economic   ❯❯ Getting another job to supplement the income
environment?
                                                                               ❯❯ Using retirement money
*Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses.
                                                                               ❯❯ Getting family members to help out
The main solutions businesses have taken fall in two divergent
categories: cutting back their operations or taking more                       Changing processes/practices — Responses that fell into this
aggressive actions.                                                            category include:

                                                                               ❯❯ Changing suppliers
Cutbacks — The top responses that fell within the “cutbacks”
category include cutting back on costs in general (21% of                      ❯❯ Setting up own website
the 39% that mentioned cutbacks) followed by layoffs (14% of                   ❯❯ Offering payment plans to clients
the 39%).
                                                                               ❯❯ Screening buyers
Other comments that fell within this category include:                         ❯❯ Investing more conservatively

❯❯ Cutting back pay/salaries                                                   Other solutions mentioned range from going back to school
❯❯ Reducing work hours/days of operation                                       for more education to praying more.

❯❯ Decreasing advertising/marketing efforts
❯❯ Moving to smaller/less expensive locations
❯❯ Cutting less profitable inventory
❯❯ Stopping the hiring of new employees




                                                                                                                                    14    ■
BU S I N E S S C O MME NTS                                       How effective have these strategies been in
                                                                 helping businesses?
“We negotiated with our landlord to lessen the rent.”

Restaurant
                                                                                EFFECT IVENESS OF ST EPS TAK EN
“All of my therapists are trying to take on more clients; they                      T O A DDRESS ECONOMY *
are working more. We’ve cut back on some materials that we
                                                                                       Cut pay    87%
would normally buy, such as therapy tools for the children.”
                                                                            Cut back on costs     85%
Counseling service
                                                                           Lay off employees      85%
“We have trimmed our expenses. We do more email marketing
and provide more discounts to our existing customers.”                               Cut hours    82%

Beauty salon
                                                                                  Lower prices    75%
“Building customer relationships — going back to older clients
                                                                        Increase advertising/
and reconnecting with them.”                                                       marketing
                                                                                                  59%

Office communications supplies
                                                                 Note: Small sample sizes on each response, especially cut hours (n = 23) and lower
“(We) reduced the number of printing from quarterly to twice     prices (n = 48).

a year and raised the prices by 50%.”                            Question: Has this step been effective in helping you address the economy?
                                                                 *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive.
Rehabilitation facility
                                                                 Cutbacks have worked so far — Most feel the steps they
                                                                 have taken to address the economic downturn have been
                                                                 effective. Cutting back business expenses has been the most
                                                                 effective method.

                                                                 Some success with greater risk —Those trying marketing
                                                                 strategies (lower prices and increased advertising/marketing)
                                                                 are willing to take risks (e.g., increasing costs in order
                                                                 to increase revenue), and some experienced success with
                                                                 these efforts.

                                                                 The chart below identifies the types of companies that
                                                                 successfully implemented a more aggressive approach
                                                                 (increased advertising/marketing or expanded).


                                                                       SUCCESSFULLY IMPLEMENTED AGGRESSIVE STRATEGY


                                                                  Smaller (median gross revenue)                             $105,000

                                                                  Not as likely to be
                                                                                                                   Only 27% home-based
                                                                  home-based businesses

                                                                  Active on Facebook                                           49%




■    15
K E Y F I NDING S
❯❯ Refocus — The economic downturn has drastically changed             ❯❯ Barriers — Although companies would like to return to
   how businesses think and operate. Four years ago, the top              doing business as they had in the past, the new normal will
   challenge facing businesses was cash flow management                   include more restrictions and slower growth. The main
   and less than 1% had concerns about the economy. Today,                barriers companies face are:
   surviving and overcoming the economic slowdown is the top             •	Access to capital — Limits on available capital will cause
   objective of most companies.                                            slower growth.
                                ❯ Shrinking businesses —                 •	Rebuilding the customer base — Businesses are still
               “Businesses
                                       Seventy-one percent                 trying to figure out how to market and build their
          that have weathered
      these challenging economic         experienced a decrease            customer base in this new economy.
    times are coming out stronger,
    more focused and with a better         in sales/profit/
                                                                         •	Planning — The uncertain marketplace makes it difficult
   foundation to effectively manage         customers because of
growth when things really start to turn                                    to forecast and prepare for the future.
around. They will be able to react and       the economy,
adapt quickly to new opportunities and                                   •	New rules/new tools — Once businesses reach beyond
                                             resulting in businesses
 challenges — making them extremely                                        the survival stage, they want to know the impact of new
 competitive in the local, regional and      being smaller today
            global market.”8
                                                                           rules (e.g., health care reform) and leverage tools (e.g.,
                                          than in 2007. The top            social media) to help with their operations. Also included
        Kristen Wilson, COO,            survival strategy has
       Arizona Small Business                                              in this list are how to retain and hire employees, manage
              Association             been to shrink the business          staff and negotiate with suppliers.
                                 to match decreasing revenue.
                                                                       ❯❯ Suppliers — Most businesses’ relationships with suppliers
❯❯ Retreat or attack — Companies tend to take one of two                  have not changed significantly over the past four years.
   approaches during the economic slowdown: retreat or                    While some suppliers have been more stringent in their
   attack. Most have chosen to retreat, hence the shrinking               approach to credit, others have provided more leeway with
   businesses mentioned above. The attack/aggressive strategy             credit policies, increased services or found ways to improve
   involves the opposite approach: expanding operations,                  customer relations.
   increasing advertising/marketing, launching new products/
   services and adding new locations. This aggressive strategy
   is more risky than retreating and not always as successful.
❯❯ Limits on retreating — Companies can become only so
   small and still stay in business. Businesses appear to be at a
   point where they have stretched the productivity of their
   workforce and exhausted cost-cutting measures.




                                                                                                                             16    ■
PROFILE




SHERRY MICHAELS,
MICHAELS & ASSOCIATES DOCNTRAIN LTD.

                                       THE BUSINESS
                                       Michaels & Associates Docntrain Ltd. is a consulting business
                                       that develops customized training solutions specific to individual
                                       businesses’ needs. The company consists of a network of
                                       instructional designers, programmers, media specialists and
                                       technical writers who build and execute training and




■   17
information systems for large corporations, such as Avnet and          THE STRATEGIES
MetLife Bank. The company provides a full range of services,
                                                                       Michaels had to cut back her expenses in order to survive. A
such as needs assessments, training systems design, online
                                                                       concern she had was how to cut expenses without affecting her
portals, tutorials and other various training tools for its clients.
                                                                       core business or product quality. Since personnel costs
The company has 16 full-time and eight part-time employees,
                                                                       represent a significant part of her company’s expenses,
who all work from home and are connected by webcams,
                                                                       Michaels met with her staff and determined the best ways to cut
online conference systems and Internet-based communication
                                                                       salaries and hours and still stay in business. Michaels speaks
tools. Michaels & Associates positions this technology to access
                                                                       highly of the sacrifice and commitment her team made during
a pool of talented, hardworking, at-home professionals while
                                                                       this time in order to keep the business alive.
minimizing the company’s operating costs (e.g., there’s no need
for office space).                                                     In addition to making cuts, Michaels evaluated her business
                                                                       model and took steps to reach new markets through innovation.

THE BEGINNING                                                          One major step involved investing heavily in the development
                                                                       of an online learning management system. She also changed
Sherry Michaels began her career in a technical position,
                                                                       her company’s website during this time.
where she learned aspects of her job through self-paced
tutorials. It was in this position that she developed her              Another important move was to change marketing strategies.
understanding of how training affects an employee’s                    Michaels and her staff determined that the best way to grow
performance and ability to execute the job in a manner                 the company was through the networking efforts of the
consistent with the company’s goals and standards.                     executive team, rather than through a sales force. The executive
                                                                       team was more familiar with the training processes and more
After a 30-year career in the training industry, and upon
                                                                       effective in selling and servicing the clients.
moving to Arizona, Michaels left her former employer and
decided to start her own business. In 1998, she started
                                                                       THE LESSONS
Michaels & Associates to pursue her passion for employee
training and has built a successful consulting business over the       The past four years have taught Michaels about persistence,
past 14 years.                                                         especially during hard times. She points to the length of time it
                                                                       took Steve Jobs to bring the iPad to the market as a great

THE IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN                                    example of the persistence businesses need to demonstrate in
                                                                       order to survive.
One of the biggest challenges Michaels has faced is selling the
value of custom training development, because it can be                Another lesson Michaels learned is to include employees in
difficult to demonstrate a financial return on investment from         decisions and solutions. Her employees’ commitment and
these efforts. Custom training budgets tend to be “soft budget”        involvement with the organization are critical for its survival
dollars and are among the first to be cut, especially during tight     and growth.
financial times. When the recession hit, revenues declined. Or
                                                                       Michaels and her executive team are now more deliberate in
as Michaels describes it, “When the music stopped, the
                                                                       their decision-making process. New ideas are evaluated more
business literally froze for Michaels & Associates.”
                                                                       carefully using feasibility studies and business planning.
                                                                       Employees are still encouraged to be innovative but need to
                                                                       justify the risks.




                                                                                                                                 18      ■
THE FUTURE                                                                           Businesses remain optimistic — Businesses are cautiously
                                                                                     looking ahead to the next 12 months. Only 12% said they feel
Businesses were asked to forecast their financial future and                         they will be in a worse financial situation by the end of 2012;
broadly set forth what they plan for the coming years.                               half feel their situation will improve. In 2007, forecasts for the
                                                                                     next 12 months were significantly more positive than in 2011
What do businesses predict will happen to their                                      (69% felt their situation would improve vs. 50% in 2011).9
business in the next year?
                                                                                                                   FINA NCIA L SIT UATI ON
              FUTUR E F I NA NC I A L S I T U AT I ON                                                              WIL L IMPROVE IN 2 0 1 2 *
                NE XT 1 2 M ONT H S ( 2 0 1 1 )
                                                                                                      AGE OF BUSINESS
                                                                                                                 1–9 years     59%**
                                                                Don’t
                                            Become              know                                         10–19 years       47%
                                            worse                4%
                                            12%
                                                                                                                20+ years      41%
                   Stay the same
                   34%
                                                                                               NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES
                                                                                                                        1–4    45%***

                                      Improve                                                                         5–19     57%
                                      50%
                                                                                                                       20+     64%


                                                                                     *Responses in each category are mutually exclusive.
                                                                                     **Significantly higher than the other categories.
                                                                                     ***Significantly lower than the other categories.


                                                                                     Younger and larger businesses tend to be more optimistic —
           FUTUR E F I NA NC I A L S I T U AT I ON
                                                                                     Companies younger than 10 years old and those with more
             NE XT 1 2 M ONT H S ( 2 0 0 7 ) *
                                                                                     than four employees tend to be more likely to feel their
                                                           Become                    financial situation will improve in the next 12 months. See the
                                                           worse
                                                           4%                        “Ready to Grow” feature for more information about these
                           Stay the same                       Don’t
                           26%                                 know                  optimistic companies.
                                                                 1%




                                 Improve
                                 69%




Question: Thinking about the next 12 months, do you anticipate that your company’s
financial situation will improve, stay the same or become worse?




■     19
How far in advance do businesses plan?                                             Planning cycles vary widely among businesses — Most
                                                                                   businesses have relatively short planning cycles. More than
              L E NGT H OF PLA NNI NG C YCL E                                      one-third (38%) may make plans to expand or contract in less
                                                                                   than one year; 67% have planning cycles of two years or less.
                                                            > 5 years              It is interesting that 13% admit to not doing any business
                                                            4%
                                  3–5 years                                        planning. Smaller (based on employee size), younger
                            No    12%                            Don’t
                         business                                know              companies appear to have shorter planning cycles.
                                                                   4%
                         planning
                           13%
                                                                                                                 PL A NNING CYC LE
                                                                                                             OF L ESS T HA N ONE YEAR *
                   1–2 years                                                                     AGE OF BUSINESS
                   29%
                                                < 1 year                                                    1–9 years     43%
                                                38%
                                                                                                         10–19 years      45%

                                                                                                            20+ years     30%**


                                                                                          NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES
                                                                                                                   1–4    39%
Question: How far in advance does your business plan to make decisions
regarding expanding, maintaining or decreasing the size of your business?
Do you plan less than one year, one to two years, three to five years, more than                                 5–19     44%
five years or not at all?
                                                                                                                   20+    29%**


                                                                                   *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive.
                                                                                   **Significantly lower than the other categories.




                                                                                                                                               20   ■
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study
SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study

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SRP Metro Phoenix Business Study

  • 1. 2011 METRO-PHOENIX BUSINESS STUDY NEW STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS PRESENTED BY IN COLLABORATION WITH
  • 2. FOREWORD The past several years have been economically challenging for families, businesses and every level of government. Everyone felt the pinch of our recent economic downturn. As a company doing business in Arizona for more than 100 years, SRP knows the vitality of our community is directly related to the success of our local businesses. Arizona businesses promote job growth, drive the economy and improve the vitality of our community. We all want to see our economy move forward and our business environment improve. That’s why we worked with Arizona State University, the Arizona Small Business Association, the Greater Phoenix Chamber of Commerce, the Phoenix Business Journal and WestGroup Research to bring you the 2011 Metro-Phoenix Business Study. The findings in this research provide excellent insights and stories from more than 830 Phoenix-area business owners, who candidly share information about not only the challenges they recently experienced but also the solutions they incorporated to sustain their businesses during those economic challenges. Fortunately, they had a lot to say and I think you will find their experiences helpful. In addition to partnering on this report with Valley stakeholders, this past year SRP actively began looking for opportunities to help local businesses navigate the challenges of the poor economy by creating the SRP Business Resource Center (BRC). The BRC is a free, online, one-stop information center created by business to help business. At srpbizresource.com, important business information, resources and helpful advice are available to help take businesses to the next level. SRP wants to be part of the solution that keeps the Valley moving forward. We believe this study and our BRC are a step in the right direction. We view both as tools to move us closer to a stronger and prosperous Phoenix economy. I want to thank the Phoenix-area businesses that participated in this study and acknowledge our partners that made this study possible. Mark Bonsall General Manager & Chief Executive Officer SRP ■ i
  • 3. 2011 METRO-PHOENIX BUSINESS STUDY TABLE OF CONTENTS Foreword . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . i ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ii COLLABORAT ING ORGANI Z A TI ON Overview . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Arizona State University (ASU) Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 INSIGHT S/ANALYSIS • Challenges, Impact and Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . 7 Gary Naumann, • The Future . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19 Director of the Spirit of Enterprise Center, ASU • Information Resources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25 • Technology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27 Todd Sanders, President • Sustainability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32 and CEO, Greater Phoenix SM Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 Chamber of Commerce End Notes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 Kristen Wilson, COO, Arizona Small PROFILES Business Association Sherry Michaels, Michaels & Associates Docntrain Ltd. . . 17 Don Henninger, Ed Goff, Blockwise Engineering . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23 Publisher, Phoenix Business Journal F E ATU R E S Impact of the Economy by Industry . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 RESEARCH T EAM Ready to Grow . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 SRP ASU Trying to Figure This Out . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 Jim Briggs, Senior Market Dennis Hoffman, Director, Research Analyst L. William Seidman Research Institute, Department of Brian Cary, Manager, Economics Forecasting, Research & Economic Development Elizabeth Farquhar, Managing Editor, KnowWPCarey Denise Hayes, Senior Marketing Program Manager Sidnee Peck, Director and Instructor, Entrepreneurial Linda Murphy-Lessor, Principal Initiatives Market Research Project Manager WestGroup Research Katy Gallert, Research Analyst Glenn Iwata, Executive Vice President ii ■
  • 4. OVERVIEW NEW STRATEGIES FOR SUCCESS In other words, is there a “new normal” that is being established as a result of the past four years? This year’s Businesses across the country have spent the past four years study, “2011 Metro-Phoenix Business Study: New Strategies “re-inventing,” “right-sizing,” “re-skilling,” “re-branding,” for Success,” focuses on the issues and steps these survivors “viral marketing,” “organically growing” and using a have taken. multitude of other buzzword strategies to survive. This study is the result of collaboration between SRP and ASU, According to the along with support from a number of endorsing organizations. “Our Arizona small businesses are doing National Bureau of The purpose of this collaborative effort is to provide a resource extraordinary things, even in a challenging economic environment. Economic Research, to companies, government agencies, educators and supporting It is so important to give businesses an organizations that want to help develop solutions for opportunity to tell their story. the recession Organizations like SRP and ASU pulling officially began in businesses in the midst of the economic slowdown. their resources together allows businesses to do that without having to turn away December 2007 The findings in this report are based on input received from from what is most important to them — and ended in June running their business.”1 833 Phoenix-area businesses. Interviews were conducted 20092; however, the primarily by telephone with business owners and management Kristen Wilson, COO, Arizona Small Business reality has been a from August–November 2011. Most of those interviewed were Association painful, four-year considered “small businesses.” Respondents were contacted economic slowdown that has and given the option of participating in the research using forced businesses to change the way they operate. phone or Web methods. Quotas were set by industry type and Businesses in metropolitan Phoenix have been especially number of employees to achieve a representative sample of hard-hit by this slowdown, with real estate and construction metro-Phoenix businesses. When applicable, results from this sectors leading the downturn. Dennis Hoffman, Director of the 2011 study were compared with a 2007 study conducted by L. William Seidman Research Institute at ASU, observed: SRP, ASU and WestGroup Research.4 In addition, one-on-one interviews were conducted with local business experts and “Housing and construction slowed to a standstill in late focus groups were held with area businesses to provide ’06/early ’07; there wasn’t much going on … so we perspective to the issues businesses are facing. lost jobs in virtually all sectors. Retail sales adjusted in a fashion that it’s never adjusted. … The pace of The following highlights key findings from the research. growth drivers like utility hookups plummeted. … It’s the worst recession in the postwar period.”3 CHALLENGES A number of questions arise when considering the impact on ❯❯ Refocus/rethinking — In 2007, the top challenge facing businesses was managing cash flow (21%); only 1% had area businesses during this slowdown. concerns about the economy. In a comparable unaided ❯❯ What are the biggest obstacles facing businesses? question asked in 2011, 56% mentioned being affected by ❯❯ What steps are businesses taking to survive? the economic slowdown. This figure grew to 86% after businesses were directly asked, “How has the current ❯❯ Which strategies are successful? economic environment/conditions affected your business, if ❯❯ How will businesses operate differently going into the future? at all?” ❯❯ Barriers — Businesses were asked to rate a series of specific “challenge” questions (an “aided” version of the most significant challenges they face). ■ 1
  • 5. M OST SIGN I F I C A NT C H A LLE NGE S ( A IDED) IM PACT Total 2011 Responses ❯❯ Shrinking businesses — The most significant impact on Access businesses from the economic slowdown is the “shrinking” to capital 41% 19% 34% 6% of businesses. Seventy-one percent experienced a decrease Growing business/ in sales/profit/customers because of the economy, resulting retaining customers 35% 40% 23% 2% in businesses being smaller today than they were a few Marketing/ years ago. 34% 41% 23% 2% promoting business ❯❯ Suppliers — Although most businesses did not feel the Planning for financial future 29% 43% 26% 2% economic environment has had an impact on supplier Managing relationships, more than one-third (38%) feel their 27% 31% 41% 1% cash flow relationships have been affected in some manner and Finding/retaining 22% 24% 41% 13% 11% feel suppliers are more stringent in their policies. employees Six percent gave the opposite view and said suppliers How to 21% 28% 49% 2% provided more leeway with credit policies, increased run business Managing services or found ways to improve customer relations. staff size 16% 21% 44% 19% Applying new technology 15% 34% 47% 4% ST RAT EGIES Negotiating 15% 26% 50% 9% ❯❯ Retreat or attack — Companies tend to take one of two prices strategies in order to survive — retreat or attack — and Significant Somewhat Not a challenge Don’t know most have chosen to retreat in the economic downturn (cutbacks were mentioned by 39% as their primary ❯❯ In order, the most significant challenges are: strategy). The attack/aggressive strategy involves the opposite approach — expanding operations, increasing • Access to capital (41% consider this a significant advertising/marketing, launching new products/services challenge; combining the top two responses, 60% and adding new locations (mentioned by 28% as their consider this either a significant or somewhat of a primary strategy). Businesses feel the challenge) — The limits on available capital will result in attack strategy is more risky than growth occurring at a slower pace. retreating and is not always • Rebuilding the customer base (34%–35% significant “You can’t as successful. (shrink) forever. You challenge) — Businesses are still trying to figure out how to shrink to survive, but in the ❯❯ Limits on retreating — market and build their customer base in this new economy. long run, the way capitalism Companies can become works, that’s a death spiral.” • Financial planning (29% significant challenge)/managing only so small and still stay Brian Cary, SRP Manager, cash flow (27% significant challenge) — The uncertainty in business. Businesses Forecasting, Research & of the marketplace makes it difficult to forecast and appear to be at a point Economic Development5 prepare for the future. Cash flow represents one of the where they have stretched key financial factors affected by this challenge. the productivity of their • New rules/new tools (mentioned by 15%–22% as workforce and have already tried a significant challenge for each one listed) — Once cutting costs. businesses reach beyond the survival stage, they want ❯❯ Leading the recovery — Larger companies (20-plus to know the impact of new rules (e.g., health care employees) appear to be more likely to lead the economic reform) and tools (e.g., social media) to help with their recovery. These companies tend to be more optimistic about operations. Also included in this list are how to retain their economic future and more likely to expand than and hire employees, manage staff and negotiate smaller companies (those with one to four employees). with suppliers. 2 ■
  • 6. O VE R VI E W CONTINU E D T H E F U TU R E T ECHNOLOGY ❯❯ Optimism — Businesses are anxious to return to the boom ❯❯ Actively using social media — Three out of four of the years. Half of businesses (50%) anticipate their financial businesses maintain a website, and half of them actively use position will improve in the next 12 months; only 12% social media. Facebook and LinkedIn are the top business expect their situation to become worse. Almost half (46%) social media tools. are expecting to expand within their next planning cycle, ❯❯ Advertising/promotion/communication — Businesses are and another 46% plan to stay about the same size. primarily using social media for two purposes: ❯❯ Flexibility — Most of these businesses have relatively short • As a marketing tool to advertise and promote their planning cycles. More than one-third (38%) can make services — For example, 45% of Facebook users said significant changes to staffing within a year’s time; 67% they apply social media to market/promote their business. have planning cycles of two years or less. Younger, smaller • To communicate with customers — For example, 63% of companies appear to be more flexible and can adjust LinkedIn users said they apply social media to stay in quickly to changes in the marketplace. touch with their customers. IN F O R M A TI O N R E SO U RC E S ❯❯ Trying to figure it out — Most businesses are still trying to determine how social media can benefit them. They see ❯❯ Staying in-house — One-third of the businesses rely on great potential but need more information about how to outside resources for advice about how to plan and run apply social media and measure its success. Among active their business. Those that do are most likely to use industry Facebook users, 14% said they added more customers and publications and trade organizations to get information 8% experienced an increase in sales because of their specific to their business (26%). Even fewer have taken Facebook involvement. advantage of government-backed resources. ❯❯ Marketing/forecasting — Businesses that have sought help SUST AINABILIT Y from outside organizations need help regarding marketing ❯❯ Beginning stages — Some businesses (59%) are making and supporting the growth of business (25%). Businesses efforts to be more environmentally sensitive in their also need forecasting information to help them understand processes and operations, with 21% saying they recycle. the impact of future trends and enable them to plan Almost half of businesses (41%) admit to not taking any accordingly (22%). steps to be more environmentally conscious or are not sure what steps their company is taking. ❯❯ Low- and no-cost solutions — Most companies undertaking sustainability efforts are using low- and no-cost solutions, such as recycling office products and turning off lights. ■ 3
  • 7. CONCLUSIONS S U R VI VA L STRA TE G IE S T HE NEW NORM AL ❯❯ Shrinking — Compared with pre-recession days, today Most businesses want the future to look more like the businesses have lower sales revenues, tighter profit margins, pre-recession days of growth, profit, more employees, more smaller operations, and fewer product and service lines. office space, available resources (both human and financial), Companies had to shrink in order to survive. and greater demand for their products/services. The new ❯❯ Flexibility — As organizations became smaller, they also normal will involve growth but with the following challenges. became more efficient, with less overhead and shorter ❯❯ Slower growth — The availability of resources such as planning cycles. Bottom line, they found ways of staying in commercial office space and an underemployed workforce business using fewer resources. Companies that have will help with growth; however, limitations from credit survived the past four years have had to be more flexible in markets will rein in the temptation to quickly expand. Even order to adapt to lower customer demand and compete for during stronger markets, businesses considered access to the limited number of profitable products/services. capital and cash flow management their two most ❯❯ Risk taking — Some businesses have successfully taken significant challenges. more aggressive strategies and grown during this ❯❯ New rules/new tools — Businesses need help marketing in slowdown. Businesses that have successfully executed these this slow-recovering economic environment. Although strategies tend to be smaller (in terms of annual revenue) demand for products/services will naturally increase as the but not necessarily home-based. They are also more likely economy strengthens, marketing strategies and methods to be active on social media. have changed over the past four years. Businesses will need to figure out how to use social media and new technology and then implement these strategies in order to reach their customers. ❯❯ New markets — During the slowdown, companies commented about reducing their products/services to only their most profitable core offerings. Businesses could not afford to take too much risk during an era of tighter profit margins and uncertain customer demand. If businesses want to jump-start their growth in this new normal, they will need to broaden their products, test new markets and take some risks in their approach. At some point, they need to step beyond the conservative, safe approach. ❯❯ Losing efficiencies/flexibility — Another challenge businesses will face as they grow will be maintaining the efficiencies and flexibility they have attained during the economic slowdown. For example, adding staff or increasing office space would mean increasing payroll or locking into lease agreements. These types of growth steps reduce flexibility and potentially add long-term expenses. 4 ■
  • 8. C ONC L U S I O N S C ONTINU E D BACKGROUND P R I O R I TI E S What is the history behind the study? Businesses provided a clear list of priorities to “supporting” The 2011 Metro-Phoenix Business Study is the fourth in a organizations that want to help them navigate through the series of business research studies that began in 2005 new normal. sponsored by SRP, in collaboration with ASU, and conducted by WestGroup Research. The original study was conducted as ❯❯ Finding capital — The No. 1 priority is obtaining capital in part of an annual tracking study conducted through the this tight credit market. Businesses, financial institutions and Hispanic Research Center at ASU. The study evolved from policymakers need to find solutions to make both short- and 2005–07 to include both Hispanic and non-Hispanic long-term funding available. It’s a simple formula: No minorities as well as women-owned businesses. From capital means no growth. 2007–10, SRP and ASU chose not to conduct the research ❯❯ Marketing in the new economy — The second priority is after earlier trending analyses identified minimal changes in rebuilding customer bases. Businesses seem anxious to find demographics and attitudes from year to year. ways to reach potential customers. They need help identifying new opportunities, learning how to use new tools Why did SRP and ASU conduct this research? and technologies (e.g., social media and iPads), and changing the way they market their products/services. In 2011, SRP and ASU took a different angle than in previous What worked in 2007 may not work as well today. years. Instead of focusing the research on specific target Supporting organizations need to educate businesses about groups (e.g., minority businesses), this year’s study researched the new basics of marketing. the impact of the recent economic downturn on businesses in ❯❯ Re-learning how to run their business — The third priority the Phoenix area. The study was designed to be a resource for is a natural progression that flows from the marketing step. a broad range of audiences, including government officials; As companies move past survival mode, they need help with planners and analysts; business and community leaders; and the infrastructure to support them. Growth means more educators who want to understand the marketplace better. planning and forecasting, responding to new regulations, managing staff and finding resources. In the same way This research provides a snapshot of the challenges businesses companies learned how to operate with less during the past face during a slow-recovering economy as well as the four years, they now need to learn how to grow with new successes experienced. Findings provide a blueprint of where rules, new demands and new opportunities. A significant to focus efforts to support Phoenix-area businesses as well as challenge for supporting organizations is teaching owners possible opportunities and solutions for businesses to consider. how to run their business when they do not have the time or SRP and ASU have made significant long-term commitments to patience to learn. providing resources to support local businesses. This research is just one part of their continuing efforts. ■ 5
  • 9. How will the findings be reported? What businesses participated in the survey? Study findings will be incorporated into SRP’s Business Resource Center (BRC) and ASU’s KnowWPC online business BUSINESS CHARACT ERIST I C S OV E RV I E W resource. Stakeholder groups will have access to this TOTALS information through a number of different channels, such as Number of completed interviews 833 the websites, workshops and press releases. Ownership: The SRP BRC provides business solutions in one location to Sole proprietorship 33% help businesses become more successful. It includes locally Corporation 17% focused information, such as the economy at a glance, local business resources, legislation updates and advice from local S corporation 18% business experts. Partnership 9% SRP BRC: srpbizresource.com LLC 20% ASU will be writing articles and providing information from Other/refused 3% this study through the W.P. Carey KnowWPC website, 2010 median revenue $241,400 knowwpcarey.com. Median number of employees 3 Median age of company 14 years old Business descriptions: Home-based 40% Not-for-profit 8% A breakdown of industry type and number of employees is listed in the “Methodology” section (Page 33). Primarily small businesses — The majority of the Phoenix- area businesses that participated in this study are organized as a corporation (limited liability company [LLC], corporation, S corporation or C corporation). It should be noted that an LLC can also be considered a corporation, S corporation or C corporation. The companies are relatively small, with a median of three employees and revenue of $241,400 in 2010; 40% are considered home-based businesses. There were minimal changes in overall company firmographics between the 2007 and 2011 studies. Firmographic comparisons between 2011 study results and 2007 census data were also comparable. 6 ■
  • 10. FINDINGS THE CHALLENGES, THEIR IMPACT AND STRATEGIES This section reviews the challenges Phoenix-area businesses have been facing over the past few years, the impact these issues have been making on businesses and the solutions businesses have tried to overcome the difficulties. THE CHALLENGES What a difference four years makes — Not surprisingly, the What are the most significant challenges top challenge among Phoenix-area businesses today is the Phoenix-area businesses have faced over economic downturn/recession. Even those not specifically the past few years? mentioning the economic downturn list other factors that could These responses represent businesses’ “top-of-mind” reactions be affected by the economy. The chart highlights businesses’ when asked about their most significant challenges. Results severe shift in focus over the past four years. In spring 2007, were compared with a similar 2007 study6 conducted by SRP, cash flow was the top challenge businesses were trying to ASU and WestGroup Research (see “Methodology” section) address; only 1% mentioned the economy. Companies still that involved responses from 850 Phoenix-area businesses. A considered cash flow a top issue in 2011, followed by more detailed and “aided” version of these challenges is listed building or rebuilding their customer base. later in the report. MO ST SIGNIFICA NT C H A LLE NGE S ( U NA I DED) * Overcoming economic 1% downturn/economy 56%** Cash 21%** flow 14% Finding/retaining 14% customers 11% Rising 0% expenses 10%** 2007 Marketing — 7% 2011 how/costs/ROI 6% Increasing 6% competition 5% Finding/retaining 18%** employees 5% Question: To begin, what have been the most significant challenges or barriers you have faced in your business in the past two or three years? *Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses. **Significantly different at 95% confidence level between 2007 and 2011. ■ 7
  • 11. An “aided” version of the question was asked by reading BUSINESS COMMENT S businesses a list of potential challenges and having them rate each one as a significant challenge, somewhat of a challenge “The economy (is the top challenge); how the economy has or not a real challenge. gone up and down. People do not want to spend money to buy bikes and repair bikes. People are hanging on to their MO S T S I GN IFICA NT CHA LLENG ES (AIDED) money.” Total 2011 Responses Bicycle repair company Access 41% 19% 34% 6% to capital “The biggest barrier would be rising costs and not being able Growing business/ to keep up with the economy. The cost of the product and retaining customers 35% 40% 23% 2% using the material that is in demand (has been rising). For the Marketing/ promoting business 34% 41% 23% 2% customer, not being able to use the money for things that are broken, they are using (the funds) for other day-to-day use.” Planning for 29% 43% 26% 2% financial future Glass replacement business Managing 27% 31% 41% 1% cash flow “The challenges are whether I should grow and hire Finding/retaining 22% 24% 41% 13% employees or just continue on my own without employees. employees Also, being so busy that I might have to turn away potential How to 21% 28% 49% 2% new clients because I’m the only employee. (Another challenge run business Managing 16% 21% 44% 19% is) keeping quality at a level so that people won’t check out staff size the competition.” Applying new technology 15% 34% 47% 4% Investment company Negotiating 15% 26% 50% 9% prices “Renting the units (is the top challenge), because there are a Significant Somewhat Not a challenge Don’t know lot of people losing their jobs!” Apartment complex Question: For each one, please indicate how much of a challenge — if any — you find this area by rating as a significant challenge, somewhat of a challenge, not a real challenge or don’t know/does not apply. “The tire business is way down. With the cost of tires going up, the service side is going up. The economy has not hurt us Top priorities — Businesses’ ratings tend to cluster around too bad. We are not generating as much on tires. Our (profit) four categories in the following order: margins are down. We had our first sales decrease in ❯❯ Capital — Where and how to borrow money is the most 24 months.” significant challenge. Tire retailer ❯❯ Growth — How to grow and marketing/promoting the business are the top challenges when combining the top two “I would say the economy. My clients have gone out of categories — significant and somewhat of a challenge — business. Clients have had to downsize, and I had to together. downsize at one point. I had five employees, and now I’m ❯❯ Financial management — Planning for the future and down to myself.” managing cash flow are in the third level of challenges Accounting firm businesses face. ❯❯ Knowledge — The fourth level involves know-how in running the business — human resources, management skills, negotiating skills and technology applications. 8 ■
  • 12. The 2011 study asked businesses to rate some of the same Big challenges for smaller companies — Younger and smaller challenges as the 2007 study . 7 companies (in terms of revenue) are significantly more likely to have challenges gaining access to capital. MOST SIGNIF I C A NT C H A LLE NGE S ( A I D ED) * A CCESS T O CA PITA L (AI DED) * Access 28% AGE OF BUSINESS to capital 41%** 1–9 years 50%** Growing business/ 25% retaining customers 35%** 10–19 years 38% Marketing/ 21% 20+ years 33% promoting business 34%** 2007 2010 ANNUAL REVENUE Managing 23% cash flow 27% 2011 < $100K 51%** Finding/retaining 42%** $100K–$1M 43% employees 22% $1M+ 37% How to 26%** run business 21% Percent rating as a “significant challenge” *Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses. *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive. **Significantly different between 2007 and 2011. **Significantly higher than the other categories. Shifting challenges — There has been a significant shift in priorities in five of the top six “significant” challenges over the past four years. In 2007, the priority was focused more on finding/retaining employees (42% rated it a significant challenge). In 2011, priorities changed to finding capital (41%), growing the business/retaining customers (35%) and marketing/promoting the business (34%). More challenges — In general, businesses are more likely now than in 2007 to consider the items listed in the chart above as significant challenges. Economic conditions appear to be increasing the intensity of these challenges. ■ 9
  • 13. IMPACT OF THE ECONOMY BY INDUSTRY The economic slowdown significantly affected all industries A further look at these six industries highlights ways the over the past four years. Most of the top challenges, impacts economic slowdown has affected them. and solutions mentioned by the businesses were common across industry types. For example, one of the top challenges RET AIL encountered by all six industries in this analysis was gaining ❯❯ More experiencing declines in sales/revenues/profit and access to capital. How to grow the business/retain customers number of customers (84% vs. 70% for all other businesses) and marketing/promoting the business were also among the most significant common challenges. ACCOM MODAT IONS/F OO D SE RV I C E S TOP CHALLENGES (AIDED)* ❯❯ More likely to feel retaining/finding employees is a PERCENT RATING AS A significant challenge (34% vs. 21% for all other businesses) SIGNIFICANT CHALLENGE ❯❯ Among those most affected by the economy (68% unaided Marketing: 34% vs. 55% for all other businesses) Professional/scientific Access to capital: 33% n = 129** ❯❯ More likely to actively use Facebook for business (50% vs. Growth: 32% 31% for all other businesses) Access to capital: 36% Health care/ Financial planning: 35% social services HEALT H CARE/SOCIAL SER V I C E S Growth: 31% n = 118** Marketing: 29% ❯❯ Less likely to mention being affected by the economy Access to capital: 47% Retail (44% unaided vs. 59% for all other businesses) Growth: 41% n = 96** Marketing: 41% REAL EST AT E Accommodations/ Access to capital: 46% food services Marketing: 36% ❯❯ Among the industries more likely to feel affected by the n = 80** Retaining employees: 34% economy (65% unaided vs. 56% for all other businesses) Access to capital: 39% Real estate Growth: 39% FINANCE/INSURANCE n = 72** Marketing: 31% Financial planning: 31% ❯❯ More likely to increase marketing efforts as a way to Access to capital: 43% address the economic slowdown (43% vs. 27% for all Finance/insurance Growth: 36% other businesses) n = 56** Marketing: 36% *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive. PROF ESSIONAL/SCIENT IF I C **The top six industries with the largest sample size representation are listed in this analysis. ❯❯ More likely to feel accessing capital is not a problem (49% vs. 31% for all other businesses) nor is finding/ retaining employees (50% vs. 39% for all other industries) ❯❯ More likely to actively use LinkedIn (38% vs. 16% for all other businesses) and less likely to use Facebook (8% vs. 20% for all other businesses) 10 ■
  • 14. BU S I NE S S C O MME NTS THE IMPACT “We have a couple of part-time contractors that we had to lay How have Phoenix-area businesses been affected off. Sales volume is down 40%.” by the economic downturn? Nonprofit industry alliance organization “I put out coupons and do as much online marketing as IMPA CT / CHA L L ENGES possible, and I have seen a dramatic decrease in phone calls OF CURRENT ECONOMY * as of May. But the traffic on my website has gone up.” Real estate 71% Decrease in sales/profits/customers “Our customer is the federal government. When you see the 9% Prices for supplies/inventories increasing federal budget go down, these opportunities for government 5% Finding new business opportunities contracts go down, so our budget is really tied to the federal government.” 4% Had to lower prices Technology/personnel company 4% Tougher to get loan “There are a lot of winter visitors here in Arizona. With the current economic environment, a lot of these patients haven’t 4% Difficult to collect on payments been back. A lot of them come down and don’t see the physician, where they used to come down and get the Note: Companies that did not mention anything about the economy in the first question were specifically asked, “How has the current economic environment/ (treatment) they needed.” conditions affected your business, if at all?” The responses to this question were combined with those mentioning something about the economy in the first question to Physician (private practice) provide the findings in this table. *Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses. “We often rely on volunteers, and there are more people that are in need of jobs than are volunteering. “ Shrinking companies — Most Phoenix-area businesses (86% Nonprofit that supports senior citizens unaided and aided combined) have been affected by the current economic conditions. The economy’s most significant “The economy affected our cash flow; our customers are impact is the shrinking of businesses — lower revenues, getting paid slow, so our receivables have increased. smaller profits and fewer customers. Sometimes I feel that commercial construction is done on the ❯❯ The 14% unaffected by the economy are distributed equally backs of contractors and suppliers; owners are across a number of categories, including industry type, undercapitalized to get their projects done. If it weren’t for the company size and length of time in business. government work we (had) last year and into this year, our financial condition here would be really bad.” Wholesale supplier for manufacturer ■ 11
  • 15. How has the economy affected the growth Another factor to consider is that the typical business has of companies? only a few paid employees (a median of three in 2011). Smaller businesses would have difficulty cutting back on current staff levels. COM PA NY S I ZE I N PA S T S I X MONT HS A DDED EMPL OY EES IN PA ST S I X MONTHS * NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES Don’t Increased know 1–4 5% 13% 4% Decreased 19% 5–19 22% 20+ 41%** 2010 ANNUAL REVENUE Stayed the same < $100K 4% 64% $100K–$1M 13% $1M+ 28%** Question: In the past six months, has your business seen an increase or a decrease in *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive. the number of employees? **Significantly higher than the other categories. The number of employees has held even — The impact of the Larger companies are more likely to have grown — Larger economic downturn has leveled off. Most companies have companies (in terms of employee size and annual revenue) already laid off workers and cut expenses. A slightly higher are more likely than smaller organizations to have increased percentage of businesses have decreased rather than the number of employees in the past six months. increased their workforce (19% decreased/13% increased), but most stayed the same size. 12 ■
  • 16. BU S I NE S S C O MME NTS How has the current economic environment affected supplier relationships? “The economy has definitely put a strain on my suppliers. It has limited us on asking favors. It has made negotiating IMPA CT OF ECONOMY agreements difficult.” ON SUPPL IER REL AT IONSHIPS* Restaurant Top responses Not affected/ “They are more restrictive in their ability to extend credit and did not recall/ 62% not mentioned don’t do extra things. They limit their products to smaller core products and services. Their product inventory is much less Buying less/ and (they) have longer delivery times. They are slower and 11% more strategically less available.” Printing company More stringent policies/ 11% higher prices by suppliers “I’ve done a lot more searching for better pricing for the products that I have to buy, and I also negotiated with my More flexible policies/ 6% lower pricing by suppliers primary shipping for better rates.” Automotive parts supplier Question: How has the current economic environment/conditions affected the business relationships or arrangements you have made with your suppliers/vendors, “It hasn’t affected me. I guess some of my vendors are in the if at all? same boat. I think the vendors are getting out and visiting me *Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses. more to get more business. Of course the economy has slowed The economic environment has had a mixed impact on them down as well.” supplier relationships — More than one-third (38%) of Insurance agent businesses feel their relationships with suppliers have been “I would say we are becoming less flexible on terms of payment.” affected. While most of those who have been affected mentioned a negative impact (e.g., increased costs), some feel Propane distributor the economy has had a positive affect (e.g., suppliers are “For us, the economic situation actually gave us the more flexible with payment terms). opportunity to make relationships stronger, because they Business suppliers appear to have taken one of two routes looked to us for advice about what was going on.” with their strategies during the economic slowdown. Commercial real estate ❯❯ More stringent — Eleven percent mentioned that suppliers took this approach. These suppliers want to minimize losses and lessen risk/exposure. They tend to raise prices, cut supplies/services or tighten credit practices. ❯❯ More flexible — Six percent mentioned that suppliers took this approach. These suppliers want to find ways to build their business and provide more leeway with credit policies, increase services or find ways to improve customer relations. ■ 13
  • 17. THE STRATEGIES More aggressive — The aggressive/growth actions include increasing advertising/marketing (12% of the 28% that What steps have businesses taken to address the mentioned aggressive/growth actions) and changing pricing current economic conditions? strategies (10% of the 28%). Other growth strategies include: ❯❯ Becoming more diverse/trying new products/adding STE P S TO A DDR E S S E C ONOM I C C O NDIT IONS * product lines Top responses ❯❯ Expanding the business in general Cutbacks 39% ❯❯ Hiring more employees ❯❯ Looking for new ways to grow Expand/ 28% more aggressive ❯❯ Spending more time on sales No steps taken 15% More individual sacrifice — The fourth category of responses involves more individual sacrifice from business owners. More individual sacrifice Responses that fell into this category include: 5% ❯❯ Working harder/taking on more of the workload Change processes/ 4% practices ❯❯ Becoming more efficient Question: What steps, if any, has your company taken to address the economic ❯❯ Getting another job to supplement the income environment? ❯❯ Using retirement money *Note: Top responses mentioned; based on multiple responses. ❯❯ Getting family members to help out The main solutions businesses have taken fall in two divergent categories: cutting back their operations or taking more Changing processes/practices — Responses that fell into this aggressive actions. category include: ❯❯ Changing suppliers Cutbacks — The top responses that fell within the “cutbacks” category include cutting back on costs in general (21% of ❯❯ Setting up own website the 39% that mentioned cutbacks) followed by layoffs (14% of ❯❯ Offering payment plans to clients the 39%). ❯❯ Screening buyers Other comments that fell within this category include: ❯❯ Investing more conservatively ❯❯ Cutting back pay/salaries Other solutions mentioned range from going back to school ❯❯ Reducing work hours/days of operation for more education to praying more. ❯❯ Decreasing advertising/marketing efforts ❯❯ Moving to smaller/less expensive locations ❯❯ Cutting less profitable inventory ❯❯ Stopping the hiring of new employees 14 ■
  • 18. BU S I N E S S C O MME NTS How effective have these strategies been in helping businesses? “We negotiated with our landlord to lessen the rent.” Restaurant EFFECT IVENESS OF ST EPS TAK EN “All of my therapists are trying to take on more clients; they T O A DDRESS ECONOMY * are working more. We’ve cut back on some materials that we Cut pay 87% would normally buy, such as therapy tools for the children.” Cut back on costs 85% Counseling service Lay off employees 85% “We have trimmed our expenses. We do more email marketing and provide more discounts to our existing customers.” Cut hours 82% Beauty salon Lower prices 75% “Building customer relationships — going back to older clients Increase advertising/ and reconnecting with them.” marketing 59% Office communications supplies Note: Small sample sizes on each response, especially cut hours (n = 23) and lower “(We) reduced the number of printing from quarterly to twice prices (n = 48). a year and raised the prices by 50%.” Question: Has this step been effective in helping you address the economy? *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive. Rehabilitation facility Cutbacks have worked so far — Most feel the steps they have taken to address the economic downturn have been effective. Cutting back business expenses has been the most effective method. Some success with greater risk —Those trying marketing strategies (lower prices and increased advertising/marketing) are willing to take risks (e.g., increasing costs in order to increase revenue), and some experienced success with these efforts. The chart below identifies the types of companies that successfully implemented a more aggressive approach (increased advertising/marketing or expanded). SUCCESSFULLY IMPLEMENTED AGGRESSIVE STRATEGY Smaller (median gross revenue) $105,000 Not as likely to be Only 27% home-based home-based businesses Active on Facebook 49% ■ 15
  • 19. K E Y F I NDING S ❯❯ Refocus — The economic downturn has drastically changed ❯❯ Barriers — Although companies would like to return to how businesses think and operate. Four years ago, the top doing business as they had in the past, the new normal will challenge facing businesses was cash flow management include more restrictions and slower growth. The main and less than 1% had concerns about the economy. Today, barriers companies face are: surviving and overcoming the economic slowdown is the top • Access to capital — Limits on available capital will cause objective of most companies. slower growth. ❯ Shrinking businesses — • Rebuilding the customer base — Businesses are still “Businesses Seventy-one percent trying to figure out how to market and build their that have weathered these challenging economic experienced a decrease customer base in this new economy. times are coming out stronger, more focused and with a better in sales/profit/ • Planning — The uncertain marketplace makes it difficult foundation to effectively manage customers because of growth when things really start to turn to forecast and prepare for the future. around. They will be able to react and the economy, adapt quickly to new opportunities and • New rules/new tools — Once businesses reach beyond resulting in businesses challenges — making them extremely the survival stage, they want to know the impact of new competitive in the local, regional and being smaller today global market.”8 rules (e.g., health care reform) and leverage tools (e.g., than in 2007. The top social media) to help with their operations. Also included Kristen Wilson, COO, survival strategy has Arizona Small Business in this list are how to retain and hire employees, manage Association been to shrink the business staff and negotiate with suppliers. to match decreasing revenue. ❯❯ Suppliers — Most businesses’ relationships with suppliers ❯❯ Retreat or attack — Companies tend to take one of two have not changed significantly over the past four years. approaches during the economic slowdown: retreat or While some suppliers have been more stringent in their attack. Most have chosen to retreat, hence the shrinking approach to credit, others have provided more leeway with businesses mentioned above. The attack/aggressive strategy credit policies, increased services or found ways to improve involves the opposite approach: expanding operations, customer relations. increasing advertising/marketing, launching new products/ services and adding new locations. This aggressive strategy is more risky than retreating and not always as successful. ❯❯ Limits on retreating — Companies can become only so small and still stay in business. Businesses appear to be at a point where they have stretched the productivity of their workforce and exhausted cost-cutting measures. 16 ■
  • 20. PROFILE SHERRY MICHAELS, MICHAELS & ASSOCIATES DOCNTRAIN LTD. THE BUSINESS Michaels & Associates Docntrain Ltd. is a consulting business that develops customized training solutions specific to individual businesses’ needs. The company consists of a network of instructional designers, programmers, media specialists and technical writers who build and execute training and ■ 17
  • 21. information systems for large corporations, such as Avnet and THE STRATEGIES MetLife Bank. The company provides a full range of services, Michaels had to cut back her expenses in order to survive. A such as needs assessments, training systems design, online concern she had was how to cut expenses without affecting her portals, tutorials and other various training tools for its clients. core business or product quality. Since personnel costs The company has 16 full-time and eight part-time employees, represent a significant part of her company’s expenses, who all work from home and are connected by webcams, Michaels met with her staff and determined the best ways to cut online conference systems and Internet-based communication salaries and hours and still stay in business. Michaels speaks tools. Michaels & Associates positions this technology to access highly of the sacrifice and commitment her team made during a pool of talented, hardworking, at-home professionals while this time in order to keep the business alive. minimizing the company’s operating costs (e.g., there’s no need for office space). In addition to making cuts, Michaels evaluated her business model and took steps to reach new markets through innovation. THE BEGINNING One major step involved investing heavily in the development of an online learning management system. She also changed Sherry Michaels began her career in a technical position, her company’s website during this time. where she learned aspects of her job through self-paced tutorials. It was in this position that she developed her Another important move was to change marketing strategies. understanding of how training affects an employee’s Michaels and her staff determined that the best way to grow performance and ability to execute the job in a manner the company was through the networking efforts of the consistent with the company’s goals and standards. executive team, rather than through a sales force. The executive team was more familiar with the training processes and more After a 30-year career in the training industry, and upon effective in selling and servicing the clients. moving to Arizona, Michaels left her former employer and decided to start her own business. In 1998, she started THE LESSONS Michaels & Associates to pursue her passion for employee training and has built a successful consulting business over the The past four years have taught Michaels about persistence, past 14 years. especially during hard times. She points to the length of time it took Steve Jobs to bring the iPad to the market as a great THE IMPACT OF THE ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN example of the persistence businesses need to demonstrate in order to survive. One of the biggest challenges Michaels has faced is selling the value of custom training development, because it can be Another lesson Michaels learned is to include employees in difficult to demonstrate a financial return on investment from decisions and solutions. Her employees’ commitment and these efforts. Custom training budgets tend to be “soft budget” involvement with the organization are critical for its survival dollars and are among the first to be cut, especially during tight and growth. financial times. When the recession hit, revenues declined. Or Michaels and her executive team are now more deliberate in as Michaels describes it, “When the music stopped, the their decision-making process. New ideas are evaluated more business literally froze for Michaels & Associates.” carefully using feasibility studies and business planning. Employees are still encouraged to be innovative but need to justify the risks. 18 ■
  • 22. THE FUTURE Businesses remain optimistic — Businesses are cautiously looking ahead to the next 12 months. Only 12% said they feel Businesses were asked to forecast their financial future and they will be in a worse financial situation by the end of 2012; broadly set forth what they plan for the coming years. half feel their situation will improve. In 2007, forecasts for the next 12 months were significantly more positive than in 2011 What do businesses predict will happen to their (69% felt their situation would improve vs. 50% in 2011).9 business in the next year? FINA NCIA L SIT UATI ON FUTUR E F I NA NC I A L S I T U AT I ON WIL L IMPROVE IN 2 0 1 2 * NE XT 1 2 M ONT H S ( 2 0 1 1 ) AGE OF BUSINESS 1–9 years 59%** Don’t Become know 10–19 years 47% worse 4% 12% 20+ years 41% Stay the same 34% NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES 1–4 45%*** Improve 5–19 57% 50% 20+ 64% *Responses in each category are mutually exclusive. **Significantly higher than the other categories. ***Significantly lower than the other categories. Younger and larger businesses tend to be more optimistic — FUTUR E F I NA NC I A L S I T U AT I ON Companies younger than 10 years old and those with more NE XT 1 2 M ONT H S ( 2 0 0 7 ) * than four employees tend to be more likely to feel their Become financial situation will improve in the next 12 months. See the worse 4% “Ready to Grow” feature for more information about these Stay the same Don’t 26% know optimistic companies. 1% Improve 69% Question: Thinking about the next 12 months, do you anticipate that your company’s financial situation will improve, stay the same or become worse? ■ 19
  • 23. How far in advance do businesses plan? Planning cycles vary widely among businesses — Most businesses have relatively short planning cycles. More than L E NGT H OF PLA NNI NG C YCL E one-third (38%) may make plans to expand or contract in less than one year; 67% have planning cycles of two years or less. > 5 years It is interesting that 13% admit to not doing any business 4% 3–5 years planning. Smaller (based on employee size), younger No 12% Don’t business know companies appear to have shorter planning cycles. 4% planning 13% PL A NNING CYC LE OF L ESS T HA N ONE YEAR * 1–2 years AGE OF BUSINESS 29% < 1 year 1–9 years 43% 38% 10–19 years 45% 20+ years 30%** NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES 1–4 39% Question: How far in advance does your business plan to make decisions regarding expanding, maintaining or decreasing the size of your business? Do you plan less than one year, one to two years, three to five years, more than 5–19 44% five years or not at all? 20+ 29%** *Note: Responses in each category are mutually exclusive. **Significantly lower than the other categories. 20 ■