Continuing its slide for a fourth consecutive day, gold prices on Thursday dipped below Rs 25,000, having lost Rs 40 to trade, reaching its lowest in over four-year at Rs 24,980 per 10 grams (g) at the domestic bullion market.
4. MCX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
INTERNATIONAL NEWS
Gold
✍
Continuing its slide for a fourth consecutive day, gold prices on Thursday dipped below Rs
25,000, having lost Rs 40 to trade, reaching its lowest in over four-year at Rs 24,980 per 10
grams (g) at the domestic bullion market.The precious was trading at five-year lows in the
global market. There was an easing of demand from jewelers too, as retailers deferred their
buying plans in the hope of further dip in the yellow metal prices.
On the other hand, silver managed to recover some grounds on the back of scattered demand
from consuming industries and rose by Rs 100 to Rs 33,800 per kg. Bullion traders saw a weak
trend in gold where it traded at nearly five-year lows in global markets in anticipation of a
possible rate hike by the US Federal Reserve in coming months.The sentiment lifted dollar,
eroding demand for the precious metal as an alternative investment, and dragged down gold
prices to over four-year lows in the national capital. Drying up of demand from retailers as well
as jewelers on hopes of further dip in prices too dampened trading sentiments.
Globally, gold in Singapore, which normally determines price trend on the domestic front, was
trading lower at USD 1,085.08 an ounce, near the lowest level in five years.In the national
capital, gold of 99.9 and 99.5 per cent purity fell by Rs 40 each to Rs 24,980 and Rs 24,830 per
10 grams respectively, its weakest level since August 6, 2011.The precious metal has now lost
Rs 280 in last three days. Strengthening dollar, possible hike in rates by the US Fed and
considerable fall in demand, dragged down the precious metal below the psychological Rs
25,000-mark.
Tracking gold, sovereign fell by Rs 100 to close at Rs 22,100 per piece of eight grams.In
contrast, silver ready managed to close higher by Rs 100 to Rs 33,800 per kg and weekly-based
delivery by Rs 135 to Rs 33,565 per kg.Silver coins remained unchanged at Rs 48,000 for
buying and Rs 49,000 for selling of 100 pieces.
Silver
✍
Tracking a weak global trend, silver prices moved down Rs 36 to Rs 33,445 per kg in futures
trade on wednesday as speculators cut down bets.At Multi Commodity Exchange, silver for
delivery in September contracts declined Rs 36, or 0.11%, to Rs 33,445 per kg in a business
turnover of 300 lots.Also, the white metal for delivery in far-month December contracts eased
Rs 27, or 0.08%, to Rs 34,199 per kg in three lots.
Speculators trimmed bets following a weak global trend after a voting member of the US
Federal Reserve said the central bank is close to raising interest rates, lifting the dollar to a
four-month high.
5. Zinc
✍
Supported by a firming trend overseas and pickup in domestic demand, zinc futureson thurday
edged up 0.25% as participants built up positions.At Multi Commodity Exchange, zinc for
delivery in August gained 30 paise, or 0.25%, to Rs 121 per kg with a business turnover of 691
lots.The metal for delivery in September contracts rose by a similar margin to Rs 121.75 per kg
in a business turnover of 16 lots.Fresh positions created by speculators on the back of improved
demand at the spot market and gains in base metals in global market, supported the upside in
zinc futures.
Nickel
✍
Nickel futures traded lower by 0.28% to Rs 701.20 per kg largely in tune with weak overseas
trend amidst subdued demand from alloy-makers at domestic spot markets on wednesday.At the
Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in September weakened by Rs 2, or 0.28%, to
Rs 701.20 per kg in a business turnover of 36 lots.Similarly, the metal for delivery in August
was down by Rs 1.90, or 0.27%, at Rs 694.20 per kg in 683 lots.It can be said ,part from weak
demand from alloy makers at domestic spot markets, a weak trend in the base metals pack at
the London Metal Exchange on speculation US interest rates will be increased as soon as next
month weighed on nickel prices at futures trade here.
Crude Oil
✍
Oil prices looked set to continue a multi- week decline in Asian trade on friday on concerns
over a global oversupply of crude and mixed prospects for energy demand.
US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for September delivery was at $44.83, down
from $47.12 a week ago, and on course for its eighth consecutive week of declines.Brent crude
for September, meanwhile, was trading at $49.73 compared to $52.21 last week, and set for a
sixth straight weekly fall.In Asian trade through the day, both contracts were up slightly, with
WTI rising 17 cents from $44.66 in New York and Brent gaining 21 cents from $49.52.A glut
of crude oil supply is seen as the main driver for a sharp decline in oil prices that has seen crude
fall about 50% from mid-2014 levels.The risks remain substantially skewed to the downside."
The United States is producing crude at high levels and output by the Organisation of the
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) continues to exceed the cartel's quota of 30 million
barrels per day.In addition, investors were looking ahead to additional supplies of oil coming
into the market as part of last month's historic deal between six major powers and Iran over its
nuclear programmed.In exchange for curbing its nuclear activities, Tehran will see the lifting of
sanctions, which have slashed its oil exports.
6. ✍ NCDEX - WEEKLY NEWS LETTERS
Agri Update
✍
Beside the export of traditional agricultural products like spice and sugar, Indian companies can
now look forward to supplying high-quality foodstuff to China, with consumers there becoming
more quality conscious.
“Indian companies can scout for business opportunities in China E-commerce there has grown
to 10 per cent of retail sales. Last year, China’s per capita income was $7,500 per annul;
measured by purchasing power parity, it was $13,000-14,000. Despite a slowing economy,
consumption remains a main driver. Higher disposable income has also has made consumers
more choosy about quality, safety and protein rich products. Several incidences of issues
emerging in food safety were reported in China. This is another reason why more Chinese
companies source good brands, mainly from the US and Europe.
China’s economy is now expected to grow at six to seven per cent annually till it stabilize, a
new normal for the economy. He foresees further consolidation in China’s food and agriculture
sector. It will increase import of soybean and feed-grain. At the downstream side, e-commerce
will continue to play a big role. “There are enormous opportunities in China for foreigners to
invest or tie-up with local companies, and Indian companies can look forward for such
opportunities. Products in this regard include high-value dairy, cashew, processed seafood,
basmati rice and sesame seeds.
Vegetable prices up on lower supply
✍
Vegitable prices shot up sharply in the last one month due to supply disruptions in major
producing centers following heavy rainfall that affected the plying of trucks.While bitter gourd
is costlier by 140 per cent in one month and was trading at Rs 2,400-3,200 a quintal on
Monday,cauliflower and brinjal firmed by 117 per cent and 67 per cent, respectively, to Rs
1,300-1,600 a quintal and Rs 1,000-1,200 a quintal.
Vegetable sowing was initially disrupted in Maharashtra and Gujarat by two dry weeks in July
and thereafter floods in Gujarat and heavy rainfall in Maharashtra damaged seedlings. Traders
estimate lower vegetable output this year.In the absence of customers, vegetables prices
decline. They rise when customer turnout is higher. Arrivals have been normal.Data compiled
by the National Horticulture Board (NHB) showed arrivals of brinjal in Mumbai’s mandi had
declined to 62 tonnes from 84 tonnes a month ago. Similarly, arrivals of cabbage slumped to
170 tonnes today from 195 tonnes on July 3.
The deluge in Gujarat has disrupted supply of vegetables from the state. Arrivals from other
states have also declined significantly.
7. Seed prices have gone up by 10-15%. Also, labour cost has doubled due to non availability of
farm labour. So, farmers have no choice but to sell vegetables at high prices. This level of price
will continue for two-four weeks until new season arrivals being in September.
Nath Seeds’ Managing Director Satish Kagliwal confirmed that seed prices had gone up in
those areas where rainfall remained short.
Onion prices in the retail market here jumped to Rs 50 a kg on Monday, a rise of Rs 20 a kg, or
67 per cent, in the last one month. Total arrivals of onion were reported at 64.5 tonnes here on
Monday against 90 tonnes a month ago.The season between July and September is crucial for
vegetable prices as supply declines normally due to fewer trucks to ferry commodities from
warehouses in the hinterland. Truckers fear being stalled in mud.
Castorseed
✍
Castorseed prices fell by 0.4 per cent on Thursday at the National Commodity & Derivatives
Exchange Limited (NCDEX) as a result of fresh supply of the commodity in the major mandies
as well as strong production estimates. At the NCDEX, castor seed futures for August 2015
contract was trading at Rs. 3,961 per quintal tonnes, down by 0.4 per cent, after opening at Rs.
3,981 against the previous closing price of Rs. 3,977. It touched the intra-day low of Rs. 3,948
till the trading.
Jeera
✍
Jeera prices closed lower by 2.73 per cent on Wednesday at the National Commodity &
Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) on account of a surge in the supply from the
producing regions in the midst of a decline in the export demand. At the NCDEX, jeera futures
for August 2015 contract closed at Rs. 14,800 per quintal, down by 2.73 per cent, after opening
at Rs. 15,215 against the previous closing price of Rs. 15,215. It touched the intra-day low of
Rs. 14,770.
Chana
✍
Chana prices closed lower by 0.04 per cent on Monday at the National Commodity &
Derivatives Exchange Limited (NCDEX) as a result of the steady sowing progress of pulses
along with high supplies in major producing states. At the NCDEX, chana futures for August
2015 contract closed at Rs. 4,581 per quintal, down by 0.04 per cent, after opening at Rs. 4,592
against the previous closing price of Rs. 4,583. It touched the intra-day low of Rs. 4,568. India
is the largest producer of chickpea followed by Pakistan, Turkey and Iran. India produces
around 6 to 8 million tonnes and contributes around 70 per cent of the total world production.
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