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Q4
Quarterly Market Review
         Fourth Quarter 2012
Quarterly Market Review
Fourth Quarter 2012


This report features world capital market         Overview:
performance and a timeline of events for
the last quarter. It begins with a global
overview, then features the returns of stock
                                                  Market Summary
and bond asset classes in the US and
international markets.                            Timeline of Events
The report also illustrates the performance       World Asset Classes
of globally diversified portfolios and features
a topic of the quarter.                           US Stocks
                                                  International Developed Stocks
                                                  Emerging Markets Stocks
                                                  Select Country Performance
                                                  Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
                                                  Commodities
                                                  Fixed Income
                                                  Global Diversification
                                                  Quarterly Topic: The Top Ten
                                                  Money Excuses




                                                                                          2
Market Summary
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns




                  US                  International            Emerging                 Global                                                  Global
                  Stock               Developed                Markets                  Real                          US Bond                   Bond
                  Market              Stocks                   Stocks                   Estate                        Market                    Market



                  +0.25%                +5.93%                  +5.58%                 +3.82%                           +0.22%                 +0.89%




                                                   STOCKS                                                                          BONDS




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Stock Market (Russell 3000 Index), International Developed Stocks (MSCI World
ex USA Index [net div.]), Emerging Markets (MSCI Emerging Markets Index [net div.]), Global Real Estate (S&P Global REIT Index), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate
Bond Index), and Global Bond Market (Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index [Hedged to USD]). The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell
data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US
long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A.
Sinquefield).                                                                                                                                                                     3
Timeline of Events: Quarter in Review
Fourth Quarter 2012




  Euro zone                                                                                                                          Swiss bank UBS agrees to
  unemployment                                                                                                                       pay $1.5 billion in fines to
  continues to rise,                                                                                                                 international regulators in
  reaching new high of                                                        Consumer debt in Canada                                connection with LIBOR scandal.
  11.6% in September.                                                         reaches record 166% of
                                                                              disposable income.

                                                                                                                                                                       US Congress
                                                                                                                    Japan launches additional
                               Hurricane Sandy devastates                                                                                                              struggles to
                                                                                                                    stimulus to help boost
                               portions of Caribbean and                                                                                                               come to deal to
                                                                                                                    country’s declining GDP.
                               Mid-Atlantic coast of US.                                                                                                               avert “fiscal
                                                                                                                                                                       cliff.”
                                                                                                     Barack Obama
        Growth in China’s                                  Euro zone officially
                                                                                                     re-elected president
        economy continues                                  falls back into
                                                                                                     of United States.
        to slow for seventh                                recession, marking
        straight quarter.                                  its second downturn
                                                           in four years.




                                                                                      S&P 500 Index


1,444                                                                                                                                                                           1,426
9/30/2012                                                                                                                                                                  12/31/2012




The graph illustrates the S&P 500 Index price changes over the quarter. The return of the price-only index is generally lower than the total return of the index that also includes the
dividend returns. Source: The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. The events highlighted are not intended to explain market movements.                       4
World Asset Classes
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns



Global equity markets followed a strong third quarter with positive returns in the fourth quarter, as most major global
indices ended the year with gains. Developed markets outside the US led equity returns, followed by global REITs.




             MSCI World ex USA Value Index (net div.)                                                                                                                    6.96

                 S&P Global ex US REIT Index (net div.)                                                                                                       6.19

                     MSCI World ex USA Index (net div.)                                                                                                    5.93

                MSCI Emerging Markets Index (net div.)                                                                                                5.58

  MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index (net div.)                                                                                             5.10

       MSCI World ex USA Small Cap Index (net div.)                                                                                         4.84

        MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index (net div.)                                                                                      4.70

                      Dow Jones US Selected REIT Index                                                    2.31

                                            Russell 2000 Index                                     1.85

                                    Russell 1000 Value Index                                   1.52

                       Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index                      0.22

                               One-Month US Treasury Bills                 0.02

                                                         -0.38             S&P 500 Index




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), US Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), US Value
(Russell 1000 Value Index), US Real Estate (Dow Jones US Select REIT Index), Global Real Estate (S&P Global ex US REIT Index), International Developed Large, Small, and
Value (MSCI World ex USA, ex USA Small, and ex USA Value Indexes [net div.]), Emerging Markets Large, Small, and Value (MSCI Emerging Markets, Emerging Markets
Small, and Emerging Markets Value Indexes), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index), and Treasury (One-Month US Treasury Bills). The S&P data are provided by
Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved.
Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow Jones Indexes. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data ©
Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield).                                5
US Stocks
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns



US small cap stocks and US value stocks                                     Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)
experienced positive performance in the
fourth quarter, which contributed to slightly
positive broad market returns of 0.25%.                                                      Small Cap Value                                           3.22
Large cap and large cap growth stocks had
negative returns of -0.38% and -                                                                    Small Cap                            1.85
1.32%, respectively. Small cap value stocks
enjoyed the best performance, up 3.22%                                                      Large Cap Value                           1.52
for the quarter.
                                                                                           Small Cap Growth                 0.45
US stocks across the board were positive for
the year ended December 31, 2012.                                                                  Marketwide             0.25


                                                                                                         -0.38          Large Cap

                                                                                                -1.32                   Large Cap Growth




World Market Capitalization—US                                              Period Returns (%)

                                                                               Asset Class                        1 Year       3 Years**       5 Years** 10 Years**

                                                                               Marketwide                         16.42          11.20            2.04             7.68
                                                                               Large Cap                          16.00          10.87            1.66             7.10

      46%
        US Market
                                                                               Large Cap Value
                                                                               Large Cap Growth
                                                                                                                  17.51
                                                                                                                  15.26
                                                                                                                                 10.86
                                                                                                                                 11.35
                                                                                                                                                  0.59
                                                                                                                                                  3.12
                                                                                                                                                                   7.38
                                                                                                                                                                   7.52
        $15.7 trillion                                                         Small Cap                          16.35          12.25            3.56             9.72
                                                                               Small Cap Value                    18.05          11.57            3.55             9.50
                                                                               Small Cap Growth                   14.59          12.82            3.49             9.80
                                                                               * Annualized


Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Marketwide (Russell 3000 Index), Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), Large Cap Value
(Russell 1000 Value Index), Large Cap Growth (Russell 1000 Growth Index), Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), Small Cap Value (Russell 2000 Value Index), and Small Cap Growth
(Russell 2000 Growth Index). World Market Cap: Russell 3000 Index is used as the proxy for the US market. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all
rights reserved. The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group.                                                                                        6
International Developed Stocks
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns


                                                                                                                                                      US Currency
International developed equities posted                                     Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)                                        Local Currency
strong performance, with all major asset
classes showing gains for the quarter.

The US dollar appreciated relative to most                                                                                                                6.96
major foreign developed currencies.                                                  Value
                                                                                                                                                                  7.87

Across the size and style spectrum, large
                                                                                                                                                  5.93
caps outperformed small caps and value                                         Large Cap
outperformed growth.                                                                                                                                      6.90


                                                                                                                                         4.90
                                                                                   Growth
                                                                                                                                                  5.95


                                                                                                                                         4.84
                                                                               Small Cap
                                                                                                                                                         6.68




World Market Capitalization—
International Developed                                                     Period Returns (%)

                                                                               Asset Class                  1 Year           3 Years**        5 Years**         10 Years**

                                                                               Large Cap                     16.41              3.65             -3.43             8.60

41%
International
                                                                               Small Cap
                                                                               Value
                                                                                                             17.48
                                                                                                             17.29
                                                                                                                                7.19
                                                                                                                                2.78
                                                                                                                                                 -0.70
                                                                                                                                                 -3.72
                                                                                                                                                                  12.04
                                                                                                                                                                   9.06
 Developed                                                                     Growth                        15.48              4.46             -3.18             8.05
   Market
 $13.8 trillion                                                                * Annualized




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI World ex USA Index), Small Cap (MSCI World ex USA Small Cap
Index), Value (MSCI World ex USA Value Index), and Growth (MSCI World ex USA Growth). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. World Market Cap: Non-US
developed market proxies are the respective developed country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. Proxies for the UK, Canada, and Australia are the
relevant subsets of the developed market proxy. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved.                                                                          7
Emerging Markets Stocks
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns


                                                                                                                                                          US Currency
Emerging markets returned 5.58%, with                                        Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)                                           Local Currency
all other major equity sub-classes posting
positive returns. The growth effect was
mixed across the size spectrum. Value
outperformed growth in mid cap and small                                                                                                                  6.42
                                                                                    Growth
cap stocks but underperformed in large caps.                                                                                                            6.20

The US dollar depreciated against most of the                                                                                                      5.58
main emerging markets currencies.                                              Large Cap
                                                                                                                                                 5.33


                                                                                                                                                5.10
                                                                                Small Cap
                                                                                                                                            4.82


                                                                                                                                           4.70
                                                                                      Value
                                                                                                                                         4.43




World Market Capitalization—
Emerging Markets                                                             Period Returns (%)

                                                                                Asset Class                  1 Year          3 Years**          5 Years**      10 Years**

                                                                                Large Cap                     18.22              4.66             -0.92           16.52

    13%Emerging
                                                                                Small Cap
                                                                                Value
                                                                                                              22.22
                                                                                                              15.87
                                                                                                                                 4.21
                                                                                                                                 4.06
                                                                                                                                                   0.21
                                                                                                                                                   0.07
                                                                                                                                                                  17.27
                                                                                                                                                                  18.17
        Markets                                                                 Growth                        20.56              5.24             -1.95           14.84
       $4.4 trillion
                                                                                * Annualized




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets Index), Small Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets
Small Cap Index), Value (MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index), and Growth (MSCI Emerging Markets Growth Index). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends.
World Market Cap: Emerging markets proxies are the respective emerging country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all
rights reserved.                                                                                                                                                             8
Select Country Performance
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns



Europe led developed markets returns, as the IMF, ECB, and EU provided additional aid to Greece. Egypt, the
worst-performing emerging markets country, recently ratified a new Islamist-backed constitution, which has resulted
in violent uprisings from opposition forces. The best-performing emerging market was Turkey, which experienced its
first investment-grade rating in almost two decades.


Developed Markets (% Returns)                                                                 Emerging Markets (% Returns)


       Greece                                                             17.87                                       Turkey                                           17.66
       Austria                                                         16.79                                            China                                  13.65
     Portugal                                              12.68
                                                                                                                   Colombia                                  12.25
       Finland                                            11.93
                                                                                                                      Poland                                11.88
       France                                           10.89
                                                                                                                 Philippines                               11.48
         Spain                                     9.77
Netherlands                                       9.59                                                              Thailand                       6.67

           Italy                                  9.56                                                                   Peru                      6.39
    Germany                                      8.66                                                                 Mexico                    6.06
       Ireland                                 8.05                                                            South Africa                     5.82
 Switzerland                                 7.90
                                                                                                                        Korea                 4.12
     Australia                            6.60
                                                                                                                        Brazil              3.63
      Belgium                            6.45
                                                                                                                    Malaysia                3.28
  Hong Kong                             5.96
        Japan                        5.13                                                                             Russia             2.44

      Sweden                        4.94                                                                            Morocco             1.84
             UK                    4.47                                                                               Taiwan           1.02
New Zealand                       4.28                                                                                   India        0.88
   Singapore                     3.65
                                                                                                                  Indonesia           0.87
    Denmark                    3.14
                                                                                                                         Chile       0.05
      Norway              1.63
                                                                                                                       -1.41          Hungary
         Israel        0.38
             US       0.25                                                                                          -2.70             Czech Republic

      Canada          0.21                                                                         -10.88                             Egypt




Country performance based on respective indices in the MSCI All Country World IMI Index (for developed markets), Russell 3000 Index (for US), and MSCI Emerging Markets IMI
Index. All returns in USD and net of withholding tax on dividends. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–
2012, all rights reserved.                                                                                                                                                       9
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns



International REITs continued to outperform                                    Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)
US REITs in the fourth quarter, posting a
positive return of 6.19% vs. 2.31%.

US REITs rebounded from four consecutive
months of negative returns, while                                              Global REITs (ex US)                                                           6.19
international REITs posted their fifth straight
positive quarter.


                                                                                               US REITs                            2.31




Total Value of REIT Stocks                                                     Period Returns (%)

                                                                                  Asset Class                       1 Year         3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years**

                                                                                  US REITs                           17.12           17.94            5.08           11.48
42%                                                                               Global REITs (ex US)               31.92           12.12           -1.28           10.43
World ex US                                                                       * Annualized
$303 billion
 165 REITs
  (19 other
                                                  58%
 countries)                                             US
                                                    $413 billion
                                                     83 REITs




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Number of REIT stocks and total value based on the two indices. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones US
Select REIT Index data provided by Dow Jones ©. S&P Global ex US REIT Index data provided by Standard and Poor’s © 2012.                                                         10
Commodities
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns



Commodities sold off in the fourth                                          Individual Commodity (% Returns)
quarter, erasing much of the ground gained in
the prior period. Concerns about the pace of
global economic growth generally drove                                                                 Lean Hogs                        8.29
values lower.
                                                                                                              Cotton                5.36

Hard commodities fell. Values for petroleum-                                                           Live Cattle             2.91
based commodities also generally                                                                           Brent Oil      0.07
fell, reflecting slower global consumption                                                                                Unleaded Gas
                                                                                                                -0.29
patterns and recessionary economic
                                                                                                            -2.17         WTI Crude Oil
conditions in various markets.
                                                                                                            -2.44         Zinc
Soft commodities offered a mixed experience                                                                -3.09          Heating Oil
for investors. Lean hogs, cotton, and cattle
                                                                                                           -3.12          Copper
advanced, while coffee, wheat, and soybeans
suffered large declines.                                                                                   -3.26          Aluminum

                                                                                                        -4.46             Sugar

                                                                                                      -5.65               Gold

                                                                                                   -7.18                  Soybean Oil

                                                                                                  -8.02                   Corn

                                                                                                  -8.05                   Nickel

                                                                                           -11.15                         Natural Gas

                                                                                          -11.83                          Soybean

                                                                                        -12.80                            Silver
                                                                                   -15.19                                 Wheat

                                                                           -19.90                                         Coffee



                                                                            Period Returns (%)

                                                                               Asset Class                      Q4        1 Year      3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years**

                                                                               Commodities                    -6.33         -1.06          0.07       -5.17           4.09

                                                                                  * Annualized




Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Index is not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the
management of an actual portfolio. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return data provided by Dow Jones ©.       11
Fixed Income
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns

                                                                              US Treasury Yield Curve
Global bonds outperformed the US bond                                                                                                                              12/30/11
                                                                                3
market in the fourth quarter, and investors’                                                                                                                       12/30/12
                                                                                                                                                                   9/30/12
hunger for yield remained strong.
                                                                                2
Non-US government bonds significantly
outperformed US Treasuries, as European
political and economic conditions appeared                                      1
to stabilize.

Low credit quality corporate bonds                                              0
outperformed in both the US and developed                                           3M

markets, as market participants sought yield
in a global environment of low rates.
                                                                              Bond Yields across Different Issuers
The US TIPS Index generated a positive                                                                       3.58
return. US TIPS have outpaced nominal
US Treasury returns over both short- and
                                                                                       1.76
long-term horizons.                                                                                                                                        1.31
                                                                                                                                    0.59


                                                                                    10-Year US        State and Local            AAA-AA                A-BBB
                                                                                     Treasury           Municipals              Corporates            Corporates
Period Returns (%)

   Asset Class                                                                                       1 Year              3 Years**            5 Years**           10 Years**

   One-Month US Treasury Bills (SBBI)                                                                   0.06                 0.07                 0.40                 1.65
   Bank of America Merrill Lynch Three-Month T-Bills                                                    0.11                 0.11                 0.52                 1.78
   Bank of America Merrill Lynch One-Year US Treasury Note                                              0.24                 0.55                 1.42                 2.19
   Citigroup World Government Bond 1-5 Years (hedged)                                                   2.10                 2.13                 3.04                 3.32
   US Long-Term Government Bonds (SBBI)                                                                 3.31               13.42                  9.33                 7.50
   Barclays Corporate High Yield                                                                      15.81                11.86                10.34                10.62
   Barclays Municipal Bonds                                                                             6.78                 6.57                 5.91                 5.10
   Barclays US TIPS Index                                                                               6.98                 8.90                 7.04                 6.66
   * Annualized

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Yield curve data from Federal Reserve. State and local bonds are from the Bond Buyer Index, general obligation, 20 years to
maturity, mixed quality. AAA-AA Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Corporates, AA-AAA rated. A-BBB Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill
Lynch US Corporates, BBB-A rated. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, inflation, and fixed income factor data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and
Inflation (SBBI) Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Citigroup bond indices copyright 2012 by
Citigroup. The Merrill Lynch Indices are used with permission; copyright 2012 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated; all rights reserved.                          12
Global Diversification
Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns



These portfolios illustrate the performance                                    Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%)
of different global stock/bond mixes and
highlight the benefits of diversification.                                              100% Stocks                                                             3.01
Mixes with larger allocations to stocks are                                                       75/25                                             2.26
considered riskier but also have higher
                                                                                                  50/50                                 1.51
expected returns over time.
                                                                                                  25/75                     0.77
                                                                              100% Treasury Bills               0.02



                                                                               Period Returns (%)

                                                                                  Asset Class                       1 Year         3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years**
                                                                                  100% Stocks                        16.80             7.19           -0.61            8.66
                                                                                  75/25                              12.57             5.66            0.10            7.16
                                                                                  50/50                                8.37            3.95            0.50            5.48
                                                                                  25/75                                4.19            2.09            0.59            3.64
                                                                                  100% Treasury Bills                  0.06            0.07            0.40            1.65
                                                                                  * Annualized



Growth of Wealth: The Relationship between Risk and Return

                                                                                                                                                        Stock/Bond Mix
60,000
                                                                                                                                                        100% Stocks

50,000                                                                                                                                                  75/25

40,000                                                                                                                                                  50/50

                                                                                                                                                        25/75
30,000
                                                                                                                                                        100% Treasury Bills
20,000

10,000
      01/1988          01/1991          01/1994         01/1997          01/2000          01/2003         01/2006          01/2009          01/2012


Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with
the management of an actual portfolio. Asset allocations and the hypothetical index portfolio returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual
performance. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect expenses associated with the management an actual portfolio. Global Stocks
represented by MSCI All Country World Index (gross div.) and Treasury Bills represented by US One-Month Treasury Bills. Globally diversified portfolios rebalanced monthly.
Data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Treasury bills © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G.
Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield).                                                                                                                                                13
The Top Ten Money Excuses
Fourth Quarter 2012


Human beings have an astounding                               3) "I WANT TO LIVE TODAY.                                      8) "THE GUY AT THE BAR/MY
facility for self-deception when it                           TOMORROW CAN LOOK                                              UNCLE/MY BOSS TOLD ME…”
comes to our own money.                                       AFTER ITSELF.”                                                 The world is full of experts; many recycle
                                                              Often used to justify a reckless                               stuff they've heard elsewhere. But even if
We tend to rationalize our own fears.                         purchase, it's not either/or. You can                          their tips are right, this kind of advice
So instead of just recognizing how                            live today and mind your savings.                              rarely takes your circumstances into
we feel and reflecting on the thoughts                        You just need to keep to your budget.                          account.
that creates, we cut out the middle man
and construct the façade of a logical-                        4) "I DON'T CARE ABOUT CAPITAL                                 9) "I JUST WANT CERTAINTY.”
sounding argument over a vague feeling.                       GAIN. I JUST NEED THE INCOME.”                                 Wanting confidence in your investments
                                                              Income is fine. But making income                              is fine. But certainty? You can spend a
These arguments are often                                     your sole focus can lead you down a                            lot of money trying to insure yourself
elaborate, short-term excuses that we                         dangerous road. Just ask anyone who                            against every possible outcome. While it
use to justify behavior that runs counter                     recently invested in collateralized                            cannot guard against every risk, it's
to our own long-term interests.                               debt obligations.                                              cheaper to diversify your investments.

Here are ten of these excuses:                                5) "I WANT TO GET SOME OF                                      10) "I'M TOO BUSY TO
                                                              THOSE LOSSES BACK.”                                            THINK ABOUT THIS.”
1) "I JUST WANT TO WAIT TILL                                  It's human nature to be emotionally                            We often try to control things we can't
THINGS BECOME CLEARER.”                                       attached to past bets, even losing ones.                       change—like market and media noise—
It's understandable to feel unnerved                          But, as the song says, you have to know                        and neglect areas where our actions can
by volatile markets. But waiting for                          when to fold 'em.                                              make a difference—like the costs of
volatility to "clear" before investing                                                                                       investments. That's worth the effort.
often results in missing the return                           6) "BUT THIS
that can accompany the risk.                                  STOCK/FUND/STRATEGY HAS BEEN                                   Given how easy it is to pull the wool
                                                              GOOD TO ME.”                                                   over our own eyes, it can pay to seek
2) "I JUST CAN'T TAKE                                         We all have a tendency to hold on                              independent advice from someone
THE RISK ANYMORE.”                                            to winners too long. But without                               who understands your needs and
By focusing exclusively on the risk of                        disciplined rebalancing, your portfolio                        circumstances and who holds you to the
losing money and paying a premium for                         can end up carrying much more risk                             promises you made to yourself in your
safety, we can end up with insufficient                       than you bargained for.                                        most lucid moments.
funds for retirement. Avoiding risk can
also mean missing an upside.                                  7) "BUT THE NEWSPAPER SAID…”                                   Call it the "no more excuses" strategy.
                                                              Investing by the headlines is like
                                                              dressing based on yesterday's weather
                                                              report. The market has usually reacted
                                                              already and moved on to worrying about
                                                              something else.




Adapted from “The Top Ten Money Excuses” by Jim Parker, Outside the Flags column on Dimensional’s website, October 2012. This information is provided for educational
purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is an investment advisor registered with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.                                                                                                                                                   14

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4th Quarter 2012 Quarterly Market Review

  • 1. Q4 Quarterly Market Review Fourth Quarter 2012
  • 2. Quarterly Market Review Fourth Quarter 2012 This report features world capital market Overview: performance and a timeline of events for the last quarter. It begins with a global overview, then features the returns of stock Market Summary and bond asset classes in the US and international markets. Timeline of Events The report also illustrates the performance World Asset Classes of globally diversified portfolios and features a topic of the quarter. US Stocks International Developed Stocks Emerging Markets Stocks Select Country Performance Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Commodities Fixed Income Global Diversification Quarterly Topic: The Top Ten Money Excuses 2
  • 3. Market Summary Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns US International Emerging Global Global Stock Developed Markets Real US Bond Bond Market Stocks Stocks Estate Market Market +0.25% +5.93% +5.58% +3.82% +0.22% +0.89% STOCKS BONDS Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Stock Market (Russell 3000 Index), International Developed Stocks (MSCI World ex USA Index [net div.]), Emerging Markets (MSCI Emerging Markets Index [net div.]), Global Real Estate (S&P Global REIT Index), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index), and Global Bond Market (Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index [Hedged to USD]). The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). 3
  • 4. Timeline of Events: Quarter in Review Fourth Quarter 2012 Euro zone Swiss bank UBS agrees to unemployment pay $1.5 billion in fines to continues to rise, international regulators in reaching new high of Consumer debt in Canada connection with LIBOR scandal. 11.6% in September. reaches record 166% of disposable income. US Congress Japan launches additional Hurricane Sandy devastates struggles to stimulus to help boost portions of Caribbean and come to deal to country’s declining GDP. Mid-Atlantic coast of US. avert “fiscal cliff.” Barack Obama Growth in China’s Euro zone officially re-elected president economy continues falls back into of United States. to slow for seventh recession, marking straight quarter. its second downturn in four years. S&P 500 Index 1,444 1,426 9/30/2012 12/31/2012 The graph illustrates the S&P 500 Index price changes over the quarter. The return of the price-only index is generally lower than the total return of the index that also includes the dividend returns. Source: The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. The events highlighted are not intended to explain market movements. 4
  • 5. World Asset Classes Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns Global equity markets followed a strong third quarter with positive returns in the fourth quarter, as most major global indices ended the year with gains. Developed markets outside the US led equity returns, followed by global REITs. MSCI World ex USA Value Index (net div.) 6.96 S&P Global ex US REIT Index (net div.) 6.19 MSCI World ex USA Index (net div.) 5.93 MSCI Emerging Markets Index (net div.) 5.58 MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index (net div.) 5.10 MSCI World ex USA Small Cap Index (net div.) 4.84 MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index (net div.) 4.70 Dow Jones US Selected REIT Index 2.31 Russell 2000 Index 1.85 Russell 1000 Value Index 1.52 Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index 0.22 One-Month US Treasury Bills 0.02 -0.38 S&P 500 Index Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: US Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), US Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), US Value (Russell 1000 Value Index), US Real Estate (Dow Jones US Select REIT Index), Global Real Estate (S&P Global ex US REIT Index), International Developed Large, Small, and Value (MSCI World ex USA, ex USA Small, and ex USA Value Indexes [net div.]), Emerging Markets Large, Small, and Value (MSCI Emerging Markets, Emerging Markets Small, and Emerging Markets Value Indexes), US Bond Market (Barclays US Aggregate Bond Index), and Treasury (One-Month US Treasury Bills). The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Dow Jones data (formerly Dow Jones Wilshire) provided by Dow Jones Indexes. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, and inflation data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). 5
  • 6. US Stocks Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns US small cap stocks and US value stocks Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) experienced positive performance in the fourth quarter, which contributed to slightly positive broad market returns of 0.25%. Small Cap Value 3.22 Large cap and large cap growth stocks had negative returns of -0.38% and - Small Cap 1.85 1.32%, respectively. Small cap value stocks enjoyed the best performance, up 3.22% Large Cap Value 1.52 for the quarter. Small Cap Growth 0.45 US stocks across the board were positive for the year ended December 31, 2012. Marketwide 0.25 -0.38 Large Cap -1.32 Large Cap Growth World Market Capitalization—US Period Returns (%) Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** Marketwide 16.42 11.20 2.04 7.68 Large Cap 16.00 10.87 1.66 7.10 46% US Market Large Cap Value Large Cap Growth 17.51 15.26 10.86 11.35 0.59 3.12 7.38 7.52 $15.7 trillion Small Cap 16.35 12.25 3.56 9.72 Small Cap Value 18.05 11.57 3.55 9.50 Small Cap Growth 14.59 12.82 3.49 9.80 * Annualized Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Marketwide (Russell 3000 Index), Large Cap (S&P 500 Index), Large Cap Value (Russell 1000 Value Index), Large Cap Growth (Russell 1000 Growth Index), Small Cap (Russell 2000 Index), Small Cap Value (Russell 2000 Value Index), and Small Cap Growth (Russell 2000 Growth Index). World Market Cap: Russell 3000 Index is used as the proxy for the US market. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995–2012, all rights reserved. The S&P data are provided by Standard & Poor's Index Services Group. 6
  • 7. International Developed Stocks Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns US Currency International developed equities posted Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) Local Currency strong performance, with all major asset classes showing gains for the quarter. The US dollar appreciated relative to most 6.96 major foreign developed currencies. Value 7.87 Across the size and style spectrum, large 5.93 caps outperformed small caps and value Large Cap outperformed growth. 6.90 4.90 Growth 5.95 4.84 Small Cap 6.68 World Market Capitalization— International Developed Period Returns (%) Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** Large Cap 16.41 3.65 -3.43 8.60 41% International Small Cap Value 17.48 17.29 7.19 2.78 -0.70 -3.72 12.04 9.06 Developed Growth 15.48 4.46 -3.18 8.05 Market $13.8 trillion * Annualized Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI World ex USA Index), Small Cap (MSCI World ex USA Small Cap Index), Value (MSCI World ex USA Value Index), and Growth (MSCI World ex USA Growth). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. World Market Cap: Non-US developed market proxies are the respective developed country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. Proxies for the UK, Canada, and Australia are the relevant subsets of the developed market proxy. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. 7
  • 8. Emerging Markets Stocks Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns US Currency Emerging markets returned 5.58%, with Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) Local Currency all other major equity sub-classes posting positive returns. The growth effect was mixed across the size spectrum. Value outperformed growth in mid cap and small 6.42 Growth cap stocks but underperformed in large caps. 6.20 The US dollar depreciated against most of the 5.58 main emerging markets currencies. Large Cap 5.33 5.10 Small Cap 4.82 4.70 Value 4.43 World Market Capitalization— Emerging Markets Period Returns (%) Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** Large Cap 18.22 4.66 -0.92 16.52 13%Emerging Small Cap Value 22.22 15.87 4.21 4.06 0.21 0.07 17.27 18.17 Markets Growth 20.56 5.24 -1.95 14.84 $4.4 trillion * Annualized Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Market segment (index representation) as follows: Large Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets Index), Small Cap (MSCI Emerging Markets Small Cap Index), Value (MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index), and Growth (MSCI Emerging Markets Growth Index). All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. World Market Cap: Emerging markets proxies are the respective emerging country portions of the MSCI All Country World IMI ex USA Index. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. 8
  • 9. Select Country Performance Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns Europe led developed markets returns, as the IMF, ECB, and EU provided additional aid to Greece. Egypt, the worst-performing emerging markets country, recently ratified a new Islamist-backed constitution, which has resulted in violent uprisings from opposition forces. The best-performing emerging market was Turkey, which experienced its first investment-grade rating in almost two decades. Developed Markets (% Returns) Emerging Markets (% Returns) Greece 17.87 Turkey 17.66 Austria 16.79 China 13.65 Portugal 12.68 Colombia 12.25 Finland 11.93 Poland 11.88 France 10.89 Philippines 11.48 Spain 9.77 Netherlands 9.59 Thailand 6.67 Italy 9.56 Peru 6.39 Germany 8.66 Mexico 6.06 Ireland 8.05 South Africa 5.82 Switzerland 7.90 Korea 4.12 Australia 6.60 Brazil 3.63 Belgium 6.45 Malaysia 3.28 Hong Kong 5.96 Japan 5.13 Russia 2.44 Sweden 4.94 Morocco 1.84 UK 4.47 Taiwan 1.02 New Zealand 4.28 India 0.88 Singapore 3.65 Indonesia 0.87 Denmark 3.14 Chile 0.05 Norway 1.63 -1.41 Hungary Israel 0.38 US 0.25 -2.70 Czech Republic Canada 0.21 -10.88 Egypt Country performance based on respective indices in the MSCI All Country World IMI Index (for developed markets), Russell 3000 Index (for US), and MSCI Emerging Markets IMI Index. All returns in USD and net of withholding tax on dividends. MSCI data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Russell data copyright © Russell Investment Group 1995– 2012, all rights reserved. 9
  • 10. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns International REITs continued to outperform Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) US REITs in the fourth quarter, posting a positive return of 6.19% vs. 2.31%. US REITs rebounded from four consecutive months of negative returns, while Global REITs (ex US) 6.19 international REITs posted their fifth straight positive quarter. US REITs 2.31 Total Value of REIT Stocks Period Returns (%) Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** US REITs 17.12 17.94 5.08 11.48 42% Global REITs (ex US) 31.92 12.12 -1.28 10.43 World ex US * Annualized $303 billion 165 REITs (19 other 58% countries) US $413 billion 83 REITs Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Number of REIT stocks and total value based on the two indices. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones US Select REIT Index data provided by Dow Jones ©. S&P Global ex US REIT Index data provided by Standard and Poor’s © 2012. 10
  • 11. Commodities Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns Commodities sold off in the fourth Individual Commodity (% Returns) quarter, erasing much of the ground gained in the prior period. Concerns about the pace of global economic growth generally drove Lean Hogs 8.29 values lower. Cotton 5.36 Hard commodities fell. Values for petroleum- Live Cattle 2.91 based commodities also generally Brent Oil 0.07 fell, reflecting slower global consumption Unleaded Gas -0.29 patterns and recessionary economic -2.17 WTI Crude Oil conditions in various markets. -2.44 Zinc Soft commodities offered a mixed experience -3.09 Heating Oil for investors. Lean hogs, cotton, and cattle -3.12 Copper advanced, while coffee, wheat, and soybeans suffered large declines. -3.26 Aluminum -4.46 Sugar -5.65 Gold -7.18 Soybean Oil -8.02 Corn -8.05 Nickel -11.15 Natural Gas -11.83 Soybean -12.80 Silver -15.19 Wheat -19.90 Coffee Period Returns (%) Asset Class Q4 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** Commodities -6.33 -1.06 0.07 -5.17 4.09 * Annualized Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Index is not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. All index returns are net of withholding tax on dividends. Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return data provided by Dow Jones ©. 11
  • 12. Fixed Income Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns US Treasury Yield Curve Global bonds outperformed the US bond 12/30/11 3 market in the fourth quarter, and investors’ 12/30/12 9/30/12 hunger for yield remained strong. 2 Non-US government bonds significantly outperformed US Treasuries, as European political and economic conditions appeared 1 to stabilize. Low credit quality corporate bonds 0 outperformed in both the US and developed 3M markets, as market participants sought yield in a global environment of low rates. Bond Yields across Different Issuers The US TIPS Index generated a positive 3.58 return. US TIPS have outpaced nominal US Treasury returns over both short- and 1.76 long-term horizons. 1.31 0.59 10-Year US State and Local AAA-AA A-BBB Treasury Municipals Corporates Corporates Period Returns (%) Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** One-Month US Treasury Bills (SBBI) 0.06 0.07 0.40 1.65 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Three-Month T-Bills 0.11 0.11 0.52 1.78 Bank of America Merrill Lynch One-Year US Treasury Note 0.24 0.55 1.42 2.19 Citigroup World Government Bond 1-5 Years (hedged) 2.10 2.13 3.04 3.32 US Long-Term Government Bonds (SBBI) 3.31 13.42 9.33 7.50 Barclays Corporate High Yield 15.81 11.86 10.34 10.62 Barclays Municipal Bonds 6.78 6.57 5.91 5.10 Barclays US TIPS Index 6.98 8.90 7.04 6.66 * Annualized Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Yield curve data from Federal Reserve. State and local bonds are from the Bond Buyer Index, general obligation, 20 years to maturity, mixed quality. AAA-AA Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Corporates, AA-AAA rated. A-BBB Corporates represent the Bank of America Merrill Lynch US Corporates, BBB-A rated. Barclays data provided by Barclays Bank PLC. US long-term bonds, bills, inflation, and fixed income factor data © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation (SBBI) Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). Citigroup bond indices copyright 2012 by Citigroup. The Merrill Lynch Indices are used with permission; copyright 2012 Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated; all rights reserved. 12
  • 13. Global Diversification Fourth Quarter 2012 Index Returns These portfolios illustrate the performance Ranked Returns for the Quarter (%) of different global stock/bond mixes and highlight the benefits of diversification. 100% Stocks 3.01 Mixes with larger allocations to stocks are 75/25 2.26 considered riskier but also have higher 50/50 1.51 expected returns over time. 25/75 0.77 100% Treasury Bills 0.02 Period Returns (%) Asset Class 1 Year 3 Years** 5 Years** 10 Years** 100% Stocks 16.80 7.19 -0.61 8.66 75/25 12.57 5.66 0.10 7.16 50/50 8.37 3.95 0.50 5.48 25/75 4.19 2.09 0.59 3.64 100% Treasury Bills 0.06 0.07 0.40 1.65 * Annualized Growth of Wealth: The Relationship between Risk and Return Stock/Bond Mix 60,000 100% Stocks 50,000 75/25 40,000 50/50 25/75 30,000 100% Treasury Bills 20,000 10,000 01/1988 01/1991 01/1994 01/1997 01/2000 01/2003 01/2006 01/2009 01/2012 Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect the expenses associated with the management of an actual portfolio. Asset allocations and the hypothetical index portfolio returns are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent actual performance. Indices are not available for direct investment. Index performance does not reflect expenses associated with the management an actual portfolio. Global Stocks represented by MSCI All Country World Index (gross div.) and Treasury Bills represented by US One-Month Treasury Bills. Globally diversified portfolios rebalanced monthly. Data copyright MSCI 2012, all rights reserved. Treasury bills © Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook™, Ibbotson Associates, Chicago (annually updated work by Roger G. Ibbotson and Rex A. Sinquefield). 13
  • 14. The Top Ten Money Excuses Fourth Quarter 2012 Human beings have an astounding 3) "I WANT TO LIVE TODAY. 8) "THE GUY AT THE BAR/MY facility for self-deception when it TOMORROW CAN LOOK UNCLE/MY BOSS TOLD ME…” comes to our own money. AFTER ITSELF.” The world is full of experts; many recycle Often used to justify a reckless stuff they've heard elsewhere. But even if We tend to rationalize our own fears. purchase, it's not either/or. You can their tips are right, this kind of advice So instead of just recognizing how live today and mind your savings. rarely takes your circumstances into we feel and reflecting on the thoughts You just need to keep to your budget. account. that creates, we cut out the middle man and construct the façade of a logical- 4) "I DON'T CARE ABOUT CAPITAL 9) "I JUST WANT CERTAINTY.” sounding argument over a vague feeling. GAIN. I JUST NEED THE INCOME.” Wanting confidence in your investments Income is fine. But making income is fine. But certainty? You can spend a These arguments are often your sole focus can lead you down a lot of money trying to insure yourself elaborate, short-term excuses that we dangerous road. Just ask anyone who against every possible outcome. While it use to justify behavior that runs counter recently invested in collateralized cannot guard against every risk, it's to our own long-term interests. debt obligations. cheaper to diversify your investments. Here are ten of these excuses: 5) "I WANT TO GET SOME OF 10) "I'M TOO BUSY TO THOSE LOSSES BACK.” THINK ABOUT THIS.” 1) "I JUST WANT TO WAIT TILL It's human nature to be emotionally We often try to control things we can't THINGS BECOME CLEARER.” attached to past bets, even losing ones. change—like market and media noise— It's understandable to feel unnerved But, as the song says, you have to know and neglect areas where our actions can by volatile markets. But waiting for when to fold 'em. make a difference—like the costs of volatility to "clear" before investing investments. That's worth the effort. often results in missing the return 6) "BUT THIS that can accompany the risk. STOCK/FUND/STRATEGY HAS BEEN Given how easy it is to pull the wool GOOD TO ME.” over our own eyes, it can pay to seek 2) "I JUST CAN'T TAKE We all have a tendency to hold on independent advice from someone THE RISK ANYMORE.” to winners too long. But without who understands your needs and By focusing exclusively on the risk of disciplined rebalancing, your portfolio circumstances and who holds you to the losing money and paying a premium for can end up carrying much more risk promises you made to yourself in your safety, we can end up with insufficient than you bargained for. most lucid moments. funds for retirement. Avoiding risk can also mean missing an upside. 7) "BUT THE NEWSPAPER SAID…” Call it the "no more excuses" strategy. Investing by the headlines is like dressing based on yesterday's weather report. The market has usually reacted already and moved on to worrying about something else. Adapted from “The Top Ten Money Excuses” by Jim Parker, Outside the Flags column on Dimensional’s website, October 2012. This information is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP is an investment advisor registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. 14