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Using matrix population models to inform biocontrol agent selection for garlic mustard ( Alliaria petiolata ) Dr. Adam S. Davis USDA-ARS Invasive Weed Management Unit University of Illinois Department of Crop Sciences Urbana, IL
Collaborators ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Garlic mustard (Alliaria petiolata)
first record, Long Island 1868 http://plants.usda.gov/java/profile?symbol=ALPE4   Current distribution
 
Experimental eradication of ALPET (Drayton and Primack,1999) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Biocontrol ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Photos: Hariet Hinz and Esther Gerber
Drayton & Primack,1999 Rejmanek, 2000 census time = late spring, prior to seed dispersal
Drayton & Primack,1999 Rejmanek, 2000 n s n r n p n t  =
A  =
n t+1  =  A * n t n s n r n p n t  = A  =
Elasticity analysis n t+1  =  A * n t (Caswell, 2001) what are consequences of proportional changes in population growth rate? elasticity of    to lower level parameters
Literature values for  A. petiolata
Davis et al. 2006 Ecol. Apps. 16: 2399-2410.  s r s rf f g 1 g 2 s s
Ceutorhynchus scrobicollis : Feeding niche : root, root crown, shoot base Damage types : direct mortality, reduced fecundity Feeding period : Sept.-May Blossey et al., 2001 Photo: Hariet Hinz and Esther Gerber
Photos: Hariet Hinz & Esther Gerber C. scrobicollis  damage
Ceutorhynchus alliariae : Feeding niche : stem and petioles Damage types : reduced fecundity, reduced plant size Feeding period : April-May Blossey et al., 2001 - Photos: Hariet Hinz & Esther Gerber
Ceutorhynchus constrictus : Feeding niche : seed Damage types : reduced fecundity Feeding period : April-May Blossey et al., 2001 Photo: Hariet Hinz & Esther Gerber
Zero growth isoclines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Davis et al. 2006
Zero growth isoclines Davis et al. 2006
Davis et al., 2006
Current field work
Evans, 2006
 
 
Photo: J. Evans Photo: Raghu
 
 
Fecundity (seeds plant -1 ) Elasticity of    to x
Reduction in seed output (%) Rosette mortality(%) M2 I2, I3 M5, M6 M3 M7 I3 M1 M8 M4 I1 I5
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Next steps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Development of spatially-referenced functions for describing density dependence of  Alliaria petiolata  demography logistic regression of s rf  on binned data reference plant t 0 t 1
Density dependent rosette survival to reproductive maturity Odds ratio of rosette survival * *with respect to seedlings per distance bin
Y = 1.06*e -0.0087*X R 2  = 0.68, P<0.05,   0  NS P(Survive 1yr) Population density t 0  (plants m -2 ) Density dependent rosette survival to reproductive maturity
Y = 1440*e -0.014*X R 2  = 0.84, P<0.05,   0  NS Fecundity (seeds plant -1 ) Population density t 0  (plants m -2 ) Density dependent fecundity ***** The damage to reproductive output due to density is set up in the previous growing season. Over- crowded rosettes do not recover as ranks thin!
Y = 0.218*e -0.0003*X R 2  = 0.08, P<0.05,   0  NS P(Survive to rosette) Population density t 0  (plants m -2 ) Density dependent seedling survival to rosette stage
Y = 0134.*e -0.00014*X R 2  = 0.99, P<0.05,   0  NS P(Survive to rosette) Population density t 0  (plants m -2 ) Density dependent seedling survival to rosette stage, IP
Y = 0.30*e -0.0003*X R 2  = 0.99, P<0.05,   0  NS P(Survive to rosette) Population density t 0  (plants m -2 ) Density dependent seedling survival to rosette stage, H
Y = 1954*e -0.0024*X R 2  = 0.40, P<0.05,   0  NS PAR Mar 7 (umol m -2 ) Population density t 0  (plants m -2 ) Light-mediated seedling recruitment
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Garlic Mustard Demography

  • 1. Using matrix population models to inform biocontrol agent selection for garlic mustard ( Alliaria petiolata ) Dr. Adam S. Davis USDA-ARS Invasive Weed Management Unit University of Illinois Department of Crop Sciences Urbana, IL
  • 2.
  • 4. first record, Long Island 1868 http://plants.usda.gov/java/profile?symbol=ALPE4 Current distribution
  • 5.  
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Drayton & Primack,1999 Rejmanek, 2000 census time = late spring, prior to seed dispersal
  • 9. Drayton & Primack,1999 Rejmanek, 2000 n s n r n p n t =
  • 10. A =
  • 11. n t+1 = A * n t n s n r n p n t = A =
  • 12. Elasticity analysis n t+1 = A * n t (Caswell, 2001) what are consequences of proportional changes in population growth rate? elasticity of  to lower level parameters
  • 13. Literature values for A. petiolata
  • 14. Davis et al. 2006 Ecol. Apps. 16: 2399-2410. s r s rf f g 1 g 2 s s
  • 15. Ceutorhynchus scrobicollis : Feeding niche : root, root crown, shoot base Damage types : direct mortality, reduced fecundity Feeding period : Sept.-May Blossey et al., 2001 Photo: Hariet Hinz and Esther Gerber
  • 16. Photos: Hariet Hinz & Esther Gerber C. scrobicollis damage
  • 17. Ceutorhynchus alliariae : Feeding niche : stem and petioles Damage types : reduced fecundity, reduced plant size Feeding period : April-May Blossey et al., 2001 - Photos: Hariet Hinz & Esther Gerber
  • 18. Ceutorhynchus constrictus : Feeding niche : seed Damage types : reduced fecundity Feeding period : April-May Blossey et al., 2001 Photo: Hariet Hinz & Esther Gerber
  • 19.
  • 20. Zero growth isoclines Davis et al. 2006
  • 24.  
  • 25.  
  • 26. Photo: J. Evans Photo: Raghu
  • 27.  
  • 28.  
  • 29. Fecundity (seeds plant -1 ) Elasticity of  to x
  • 30. Reduction in seed output (%) Rosette mortality(%) M2 I2, I3 M5, M6 M3 M7 I3 M1 M8 M4 I1 I5
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33. Development of spatially-referenced functions for describing density dependence of Alliaria petiolata demography logistic regression of s rf on binned data reference plant t 0 t 1
  • 34. Density dependent rosette survival to reproductive maturity Odds ratio of rosette survival * *with respect to seedlings per distance bin
  • 35. Y = 1.06*e -0.0087*X R 2 = 0.68, P<0.05,  0 NS P(Survive 1yr) Population density t 0 (plants m -2 ) Density dependent rosette survival to reproductive maturity
  • 36. Y = 1440*e -0.014*X R 2 = 0.84, P<0.05,  0 NS Fecundity (seeds plant -1 ) Population density t 0 (plants m -2 ) Density dependent fecundity ***** The damage to reproductive output due to density is set up in the previous growing season. Over- crowded rosettes do not recover as ranks thin!
  • 37. Y = 0.218*e -0.0003*X R 2 = 0.08, P<0.05,  0 NS P(Survive to rosette) Population density t 0 (plants m -2 ) Density dependent seedling survival to rosette stage
  • 38. Y = 0134.*e -0.00014*X R 2 = 0.99, P<0.05,  0 NS P(Survive to rosette) Population density t 0 (plants m -2 ) Density dependent seedling survival to rosette stage, IP
  • 39. Y = 0.30*e -0.0003*X R 2 = 0.99, P<0.05,  0 NS P(Survive to rosette) Population density t 0 (plants m -2 ) Density dependent seedling survival to rosette stage, H
  • 40. Y = 1954*e -0.0024*X R 2 = 0.40, P<0.05,  0 NS PAR Mar 7 (umol m -2 ) Population density t 0 (plants m -2 ) Light-mediated seedling recruitment
  • 41.  
  • 42.