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Path dependency and windows of 
opportunities – lessons learned on policy-making 
in post-conflict settings 
The case of HRH policies in Sierra Leone, 2002-2012 
3rd Global Symposium on Health System Research 
Maria Paola Bertone, Mohamed Samai, 
Joseph Edem-Hotah, Sophie Witter 
ReBUILD is a 6 year £6million research project funded by the UK Department for International Development (DFID) 
Funded by
What is ReBUILD? 
6 partners; 
four 
countries 
2011 - 
2017 
DFID funded 
research 
consortium 
Understanding how to 
strengthen health 
financing and human 
resource policy and 
practice in countries 
recovering from conflict
Initial hypotheses 
Decisions made early 
post-conflict can steer 
the long term 
development of the 
health system (path 
dependency) 
The immediate post-conflict 
period may 
allow for the opening 
of a political ‘window 
of opportunity’ for 
reform 
Starting point for this study 
Case study Research questions 
Longitudinal study 
to explore the HRH 
policy making 
trajectory in post-conflict 
Sierra 
Leone 
2002-2012 
1. How have HRH policies 
evolved in the shift away 
from conflict? 
2. What have been the 
reform objectives and 
mechanisms? 
3. What influenced the 
trajectory? What are the 
drivers of policy making? 
What defines the timing 
and the political space for 
reform? 
4. What lessons can be 
learned?
Methods 
 Study within the larger research project on HW incentives 
 Qualitative data collection 
 Documentary review (n=76) 
 Half-day stakeholder meeting (23 participants) 
 Interviews with key informants at central level (n=23) 
 Chronological narration + policy analysis tools to identify key 
issues 
Limitations: 
 Majority of participants, key informants and documents are from MoHS; 
 Few documents refer to the HRH situation prior to 2009; 
 Only a few respondents were present in Sierra Leone and engaged in HRH 
policy-making during the immediate post conflict period.
Three phases of HRH policy-making 
First phase: recovery & early development of 
HRH policies 
Second phase: launch of 
FHCI and related HRH 
policies 
Third phase: post-FHCI policy-making 
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 
2002-2009 2009-2010 2011-2012
Fire-fighting phase: 2002-2009 
 Initially: many players (NGOs) and limited control by the MoHS 
“After the war, it was complete chaos. The NGOs came and went […]. They employed the nurses 
directly, without even consulting the Ministry. […] But this was a war. We had to bend backwards in the 
Ministry” (SM – MoHS). 
 Start of recovery: broad HRH policies developed but limited ability to 
implement them; limited data. Official documents highlight challenges 
and describe potential solutions, while they rarely propose actual 
implementation plans 
 Lack of clear strategic view, and fluid and uncertain policy context 
The HRH Development Plan 2004–2008 states that “a certain flexibility will be allowed in the proposed 
activities, given the current level of uncertainty regarding the exact nature of the reforms” (p.80 – 
italics added).
Strengthening and 
reforming phase: 2009 - 
2010 
FHCI triggered series of sectoral and HRH changes 
 Improved coordination (HRH working group) and specific TA for the 
design of necessary HRH reforms 
 Several-fold increase of HWs salaries, skewed towards higher cadres (2010) 
 Introduction of a Staff Sanction Framework to reduce absenteeism (2010-11) 
 Payroll cleaning (2010) – 850 phantom HWs were removed (around 12% of the 
total), while 1000 new HWs were added 
 Fast-track recruitment in districts (2010) 
 As the implementation of reforms became more coherent and 
operational, budgeted plans and expenditure frameworks begun to 
appear. 
 Substantial donors’ funding to sustain these reforms (DfID and GF)
Post big-bang: 2011- 
2012 
 Reforms discussed during FHCI preparation are introduced : 
 Implementation of a Performance-Based Incentive scheme in primary 
healthcare units (2011) 
 Introduction of a rural allowances for health workers in remote posts (2011) 
 Performance contracts introduced for Ministers, Permanent Secretary and 
Directors (2011-12) 
 New HRH Policy and HRH Strategic Plan, including training policy 
(2012) 
 Official documents which give ex-post shape to the reforms and changes that 
had already taken place at operational level 
 Pace of change now slowing: less momentum and many 
implementation challenges
Policy drivers and enablers 
 Impossible to separate from FHCI drivers 
“I believe, for the past 10 years, that free health care was a big turning point, because before 
gradually everything was coming up. The free health care was big turning point to accelerate the 
improvement”. (KII – donor). 
 High-level political pressure and leadership. Urgency and political 
pressure for successful FHCI were key to push MoHS and partners 
to approve and design HRH reforms. 
 Development partners - funding from DfID and GF, but also 
consensus to back the initiative by all major players (despite some 
discussion between donors) 
 Donor support allowed for high level of ad hoc TA which enabled changes to 
be operationalised. 
 Sense of need for change
Issues and remaining challenges 
 Urgency in the design and not enough time to discuss all possible 
options 
 Preference for one-off strategies and short term policies 
 Focus on the design, and less attention to implementation 
 Sustainability of the reform in the long run, when technical and 
financial support will diminish 
 Consequences of a series of reform based on short-lived political 
pressure 
Health system remains fragile, as evidenced in Ebola outbreak
What about the ‘post-conflict’ context? 
“Sierra Leone has moved beyond that [post-conflict phase] now. There is not much link. We can’t 
use that as an excuse”.(KII– MoHS). 
“I don’t think we are post-conflict anymore. [...] According to my feeling, I wouldn’t call the country 
‘post-conflict’, [...] and also I don’t like it because it brings us back in the past”. (KII– NGO). 
 Some possible post-conflict features: 
 Need for broader reforms in order to implement FHCI, given the weak state of 
the health system 
 Fluidity of power relations 
 Sense of need for change? 
 Path dependency? 
 Choice not to contract-out services, high levels of State engagement 
 Window of opportunity for reform in the immediate post-conflict? 
 Timing of reforms much later (8 yrs) 
 Drivers related to the political (2nd govt. after war) and international climate
Hypotheses revisited & lessons learned 
 Path dependency is important to understand health system 
reforms, but sudden shifts are also possible given the right 
conditions 
 Window of opportunities for reform may not be necessarily related 
to post-conflict 
 Political uncertainty and (politically) fragmented health systems are unlikely to 
produce ‘big non-incremental change’ (Wilsford 1994, Pavignani 2011) 
 Political leadership and stability + external support can create such 
opportunities for reform 
 But how to sustain momentum for reform (incl. implementation) over time? 
 Methodologically: longitudinal studies can be illuminating on post-conflict 
dynamics, but data are scarce and difficult to retrieve, 
especially on the immediate post-conflict period
Bertone, M., Samai, M., Edem- 
Hotah, J. and Witter, S. 
(2014) A window of 
opportunity for reform in 
post-conflict settings? The 
case of Human Resources 
for Health policies in Sierra 
Leone, 2002-2012. Conflict 
and Health, 8:11. 
http://www.conflictandhea 
lth.com/content/pdf/1752- 
1505-8-11.pdf 
Ph: Maria Paola Bertone

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Path dependency and windows of opportunities – lessons learned on policy-making in post-conflict settings

  • 1. Path dependency and windows of opportunities – lessons learned on policy-making in post-conflict settings The case of HRH policies in Sierra Leone, 2002-2012 3rd Global Symposium on Health System Research Maria Paola Bertone, Mohamed Samai, Joseph Edem-Hotah, Sophie Witter ReBUILD is a 6 year £6million research project funded by the UK Department for International Development (DFID) Funded by
  • 2. What is ReBUILD? 6 partners; four countries 2011 - 2017 DFID funded research consortium Understanding how to strengthen health financing and human resource policy and practice in countries recovering from conflict
  • 3. Initial hypotheses Decisions made early post-conflict can steer the long term development of the health system (path dependency) The immediate post-conflict period may allow for the opening of a political ‘window of opportunity’ for reform Starting point for this study Case study Research questions Longitudinal study to explore the HRH policy making trajectory in post-conflict Sierra Leone 2002-2012 1. How have HRH policies evolved in the shift away from conflict? 2. What have been the reform objectives and mechanisms? 3. What influenced the trajectory? What are the drivers of policy making? What defines the timing and the political space for reform? 4. What lessons can be learned?
  • 4. Methods  Study within the larger research project on HW incentives  Qualitative data collection  Documentary review (n=76)  Half-day stakeholder meeting (23 participants)  Interviews with key informants at central level (n=23)  Chronological narration + policy analysis tools to identify key issues Limitations:  Majority of participants, key informants and documents are from MoHS;  Few documents refer to the HRH situation prior to 2009;  Only a few respondents were present in Sierra Leone and engaged in HRH policy-making during the immediate post conflict period.
  • 5. Three phases of HRH policy-making First phase: recovery & early development of HRH policies Second phase: launch of FHCI and related HRH policies Third phase: post-FHCI policy-making 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2002-2009 2009-2010 2011-2012
  • 6. Fire-fighting phase: 2002-2009  Initially: many players (NGOs) and limited control by the MoHS “After the war, it was complete chaos. The NGOs came and went […]. They employed the nurses directly, without even consulting the Ministry. […] But this was a war. We had to bend backwards in the Ministry” (SM – MoHS).  Start of recovery: broad HRH policies developed but limited ability to implement them; limited data. Official documents highlight challenges and describe potential solutions, while they rarely propose actual implementation plans  Lack of clear strategic view, and fluid and uncertain policy context The HRH Development Plan 2004–2008 states that “a certain flexibility will be allowed in the proposed activities, given the current level of uncertainty regarding the exact nature of the reforms” (p.80 – italics added).
  • 7. Strengthening and reforming phase: 2009 - 2010 FHCI triggered series of sectoral and HRH changes  Improved coordination (HRH working group) and specific TA for the design of necessary HRH reforms  Several-fold increase of HWs salaries, skewed towards higher cadres (2010)  Introduction of a Staff Sanction Framework to reduce absenteeism (2010-11)  Payroll cleaning (2010) – 850 phantom HWs were removed (around 12% of the total), while 1000 new HWs were added  Fast-track recruitment in districts (2010)  As the implementation of reforms became more coherent and operational, budgeted plans and expenditure frameworks begun to appear.  Substantial donors’ funding to sustain these reforms (DfID and GF)
  • 8. Post big-bang: 2011- 2012  Reforms discussed during FHCI preparation are introduced :  Implementation of a Performance-Based Incentive scheme in primary healthcare units (2011)  Introduction of a rural allowances for health workers in remote posts (2011)  Performance contracts introduced for Ministers, Permanent Secretary and Directors (2011-12)  New HRH Policy and HRH Strategic Plan, including training policy (2012)  Official documents which give ex-post shape to the reforms and changes that had already taken place at operational level  Pace of change now slowing: less momentum and many implementation challenges
  • 9. Policy drivers and enablers  Impossible to separate from FHCI drivers “I believe, for the past 10 years, that free health care was a big turning point, because before gradually everything was coming up. The free health care was big turning point to accelerate the improvement”. (KII – donor).  High-level political pressure and leadership. Urgency and political pressure for successful FHCI were key to push MoHS and partners to approve and design HRH reforms.  Development partners - funding from DfID and GF, but also consensus to back the initiative by all major players (despite some discussion between donors)  Donor support allowed for high level of ad hoc TA which enabled changes to be operationalised.  Sense of need for change
  • 10. Issues and remaining challenges  Urgency in the design and not enough time to discuss all possible options  Preference for one-off strategies and short term policies  Focus on the design, and less attention to implementation  Sustainability of the reform in the long run, when technical and financial support will diminish  Consequences of a series of reform based on short-lived political pressure Health system remains fragile, as evidenced in Ebola outbreak
  • 11. What about the ‘post-conflict’ context? “Sierra Leone has moved beyond that [post-conflict phase] now. There is not much link. We can’t use that as an excuse”.(KII– MoHS). “I don’t think we are post-conflict anymore. [...] According to my feeling, I wouldn’t call the country ‘post-conflict’, [...] and also I don’t like it because it brings us back in the past”. (KII– NGO).  Some possible post-conflict features:  Need for broader reforms in order to implement FHCI, given the weak state of the health system  Fluidity of power relations  Sense of need for change?  Path dependency?  Choice not to contract-out services, high levels of State engagement  Window of opportunity for reform in the immediate post-conflict?  Timing of reforms much later (8 yrs)  Drivers related to the political (2nd govt. after war) and international climate
  • 12. Hypotheses revisited & lessons learned  Path dependency is important to understand health system reforms, but sudden shifts are also possible given the right conditions  Window of opportunities for reform may not be necessarily related to post-conflict  Political uncertainty and (politically) fragmented health systems are unlikely to produce ‘big non-incremental change’ (Wilsford 1994, Pavignani 2011)  Political leadership and stability + external support can create such opportunities for reform  But how to sustain momentum for reform (incl. implementation) over time?  Methodologically: longitudinal studies can be illuminating on post-conflict dynamics, but data are scarce and difficult to retrieve, especially on the immediate post-conflict period
  • 13. Bertone, M., Samai, M., Edem- Hotah, J. and Witter, S. (2014) A window of opportunity for reform in post-conflict settings? The case of Human Resources for Health policies in Sierra Leone, 2002-2012. Conflict and Health, 8:11. http://www.conflictandhea lth.com/content/pdf/1752- 1505-8-11.pdf Ph: Maria Paola Bertone

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Conflict: 1991-2002
  2. * Some reforms immediately in place (those which were easier to introduce), others introduced later on…
  3. PBF delays up to 1 year Rural Allowance: stopped since 2013 Performance contract: not in use anymore HRH Working Group: not meeting
  4. Health centre in Moyamba district