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Synthesizing Extant Knowledge
for Practitioners in a
Carnegie Knowledge Network
Chris Thorn, Managing Director
Analytics and Program Technology
September 16, 2013⦁ Columbus, OH
Triple Aims of Educational Improvement
Context: We Live in Extraordinary Times
More
Relevance
Ambitious Learning
For All Students

More Efficient
Systems

ENGAGEMENT

EFFECTIVENESS
EFFICIENCY
2
Why focus on value added?
Value-added methods are relatively new, use is increasingly
wide spread, but many technical questions remain
unresolved.
The Problem We’re Trying to Address:
•
•
•
•

The state of knowledge in the field is changing rapidly
The vast amount of information can be overwhelming
Most findings are written in highly technical language
Many experts are tied to commercial interests or policy
stances
What a teacher interested
in learning more about
value-added might find
through an online search.

McCaffrey, D. F., Lockwood, J. R., Koretz, D.,
Louis, T. A., & Hamilton, L. (2004). Models for
value-added modeling of teacher effects. Journal
of educational and behavioral statistics,29(1), 67101.
Carnegie’s Distinctive Role: Integrative Agent
Policy
Advocates

Legislators

Union Leaders

Rules & Regulations

Local Teacher
Union Officials

Economists
Designers
Statisticians
Applied
Researchers

State
Education
Officials

Instrument Design

Actual Practices of
Use
External Service
Providers

Principals

Teachers
District
leaders
The Carnegie Knowledge Network
www.carnegieknowledgenetwork.org

• Identifies high priority areas characterized by
significant knowledge gaps between research and
practice
• Builds on an R&D agenda focused on practitioner
needs
• Engages the community of practitioners
• Assembles balanced technical expertise
• Acts as an integrative agent
• Builds scholarly consensus
• Informs policy
CKN Online
Most common value added models in use
Vendor

Name of Model

Brief Description

American Institutes for
Research (AIR)

Varied

Usually control for student
background

Mathematica

Varied

Usually control for student
background

National Center for the
Improvement of Educational
Assessment (NCIEA)

Student Growth Percentile
(SGP) Models

Models a descriptive measure
of student growth within a
teacher’s classroom

SAS

EVAAS

Models control for prior test
scores but not other student
background variables

Value Added Research Center
(VARC)

Varied

Usually control for student
background
Highlights of the recommendations
• Teachers of advantaged students benefit from models
that do not control for student background factors,
while teachers of disadvantaged students benefit
from models that do control for student background
factors
• Even when correlations between models are high,
different models will categorize many teachers
differently
• Rules for combining measures should reflect the
qualities of those measures
Highlights of the recommendations
• High quality linkage is critical (dosage/teams/mobility)
• Consider the level of precision and balance the risks

• Bias may arise when comparing the value-added
scores of teachers who work in different schools
• The properties of value-added measures differ across
grades and subjects
• There is only a moderate, and often weak,
correlation between value-added calculations for the
same teacher based on different tests
What’s on the Horizon for Carnegie
• We have little research to draw upon for designing
systems or for predicting the effects of emerging
evaluation systems
• The Foundation leveraging the pressure of
accountability as the gateway drug to improvement
• Variation in effectiveness is the problem to solve
An Interesting Case Example
• First year results from a
large randomized field trial
of
Reading Recovery
(I3 initiative)
• Key: a multi-site trial

12
RCT (average) Treatment Effect: Reading Recovery
N=141 schools
16

14

12

It is a success

10

8

6

4

2

0

-0.5

-0.3

-0.1

0.1

0.3

0.5

0.7

0.9

Effect Size

1.1

1.3

1.5

1.7

1.9
Distribution of RCT Treatment Effects: Reading Recovery
N=141 schools
16

14

12

Count

10

Positive
Deviants

Undesirable/
Weak Outcomes

8

6

4

2

0

-0.5

-0.3

-0.1

0.1

0.3

0.5

0.7

0.9

Effect Size

1.1

1.3

1.5

1.7

1.9
Distribution of Letter grade of
Overall Value-Added for Ohio Schools
1200
1000

800
600
400
200
0
F

D

C

B

A
See the System to Improve it

We cannot improve outcomes
without understanding the processes that
generate them and the interconnections
between the processes.
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Documents oerc_160913_va_symp_thorn

  • 1. Synthesizing Extant Knowledge for Practitioners in a Carnegie Knowledge Network Chris Thorn, Managing Director Analytics and Program Technology September 16, 2013⦁ Columbus, OH
  • 2. Triple Aims of Educational Improvement Context: We Live in Extraordinary Times More Relevance Ambitious Learning For All Students More Efficient Systems ENGAGEMENT EFFECTIVENESS EFFICIENCY 2
  • 3. Why focus on value added? Value-added methods are relatively new, use is increasingly wide spread, but many technical questions remain unresolved. The Problem We’re Trying to Address: • • • • The state of knowledge in the field is changing rapidly The vast amount of information can be overwhelming Most findings are written in highly technical language Many experts are tied to commercial interests or policy stances
  • 4. What a teacher interested in learning more about value-added might find through an online search. McCaffrey, D. F., Lockwood, J. R., Koretz, D., Louis, T. A., & Hamilton, L. (2004). Models for value-added modeling of teacher effects. Journal of educational and behavioral statistics,29(1), 67101.
  • 5. Carnegie’s Distinctive Role: Integrative Agent Policy Advocates Legislators Union Leaders Rules & Regulations Local Teacher Union Officials Economists Designers Statisticians Applied Researchers State Education Officials Instrument Design Actual Practices of Use External Service Providers Principals Teachers District leaders
  • 6. The Carnegie Knowledge Network www.carnegieknowledgenetwork.org • Identifies high priority areas characterized by significant knowledge gaps between research and practice • Builds on an R&D agenda focused on practitioner needs • Engages the community of practitioners • Assembles balanced technical expertise • Acts as an integrative agent • Builds scholarly consensus • Informs policy
  • 8. Most common value added models in use Vendor Name of Model Brief Description American Institutes for Research (AIR) Varied Usually control for student background Mathematica Varied Usually control for student background National Center for the Improvement of Educational Assessment (NCIEA) Student Growth Percentile (SGP) Models Models a descriptive measure of student growth within a teacher’s classroom SAS EVAAS Models control for prior test scores but not other student background variables Value Added Research Center (VARC) Varied Usually control for student background
  • 9. Highlights of the recommendations • Teachers of advantaged students benefit from models that do not control for student background factors, while teachers of disadvantaged students benefit from models that do control for student background factors • Even when correlations between models are high, different models will categorize many teachers differently • Rules for combining measures should reflect the qualities of those measures
  • 10. Highlights of the recommendations • High quality linkage is critical (dosage/teams/mobility) • Consider the level of precision and balance the risks • Bias may arise when comparing the value-added scores of teachers who work in different schools • The properties of value-added measures differ across grades and subjects • There is only a moderate, and often weak, correlation between value-added calculations for the same teacher based on different tests
  • 11. What’s on the Horizon for Carnegie • We have little research to draw upon for designing systems or for predicting the effects of emerging evaluation systems • The Foundation leveraging the pressure of accountability as the gateway drug to improvement • Variation in effectiveness is the problem to solve
  • 12. An Interesting Case Example • First year results from a large randomized field trial of Reading Recovery (I3 initiative) • Key: a multi-site trial 12
  • 13. RCT (average) Treatment Effect: Reading Recovery N=141 schools 16 14 12 It is a success 10 8 6 4 2 0 -0.5 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 Effect Size 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9
  • 14. Distribution of RCT Treatment Effects: Reading Recovery N=141 schools 16 14 12 Count 10 Positive Deviants Undesirable/ Weak Outcomes 8 6 4 2 0 -0.5 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 Effect Size 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9
  • 15. Distribution of Letter grade of Overall Value-Added for Ohio Schools 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 F D C B A
  • 16. See the System to Improve it We cannot improve outcomes without understanding the processes that generate them and the interconnections between the processes.