Svante Axelsson, Secretary General, Swedish Society for Nature Conservation (SSNC)

1. Svante Axelsson

2. The Malthus dilemma
Två staplar i två klickningar People
Food

3. …but in reality

5. Four challenges
2.Population growth
3.Changing consumption patterns
4.Need for increased food production
5.Loss of ecosystem services

6. Tvågradersmålet
P = 20 %
P = 50 %
P = 80 %
År
Rummukainen m fl, 2011, SMHI

7. 1,5-gradersmål
P = 20 %
P = 50 %
P = 80 %

8. More of the same is not an
option
We have increased the total production by 300 % the last
50 years
But 60 % of the worlds ecosystem services are threatened

9. The planet bounderies

10. Agriculture is one of the driving
forcies
•About 30 % of the global emissions of GHG are from the
agriculture sector
•About 75 % of food crop varieties disappeared in the 20th
century
• 25 million farmers are poisoned every year (WHO)
•The increasing use of fertilizers has caused
eutrophication

11. 9 billion inside the boundaries
Restrictions
•The total use of fossil fuels must decrease approximately
100 % by 2050
•The most hazardous chemicals must be phased out
immediately and the total use must decrease
•The total use of nitrogen must decrease
•No increased loss of biodiversity and increased diversity
of heritage crops

13. How can we use fertilizers in an
optimal way ?
MC env
Marginalkostnadskurva !
Yield

14. Myths
2.The hunger can be solved by increasing total
production
3.Ecological farming produce lower yield
4.Low food price is good for reducing hunger
5.Food is a major commercial product

15. Most food insecure in rural areas
• 50 % small scale farmers
• 20 % agricultural labor
• 10 % fishermen, livestock etc.
• 20 % in urban areas

19. Productions effects
Sanning:
Industrial
Agriculture Small farmers

20. - 15 % post harvest losses
-- - 15% waste in
food chain
Sanning:
!111
increase
production
Bio ? by 50%
- 50 % of meat consumtion

21. Key issues
1. Publicly financed crop breeding
2. Payment for carbon sinks
3. No harmful subsidies
4. Polluter pays principle
5. Increase support to small scale farmers
6. Feed and food should have same boarder tax
7. Extension services focus on agroecology

22. www.naturskyddsforeningen.se
Tack för mig!