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Hva skjer i Kina?
-Tilførsel, bearbeiding og eksport av
                hvitfisk




  Jinghua Xie
  Tromsø Business School, University of Tromsø
Chinese Import of White Fish




2              16.08.2012
Main Exporting Countries to China




3               16.08.2012
Import Price of Cod and Pollack




4              16.08.2012
Main Exporting Countries to China




5               16.08.2012
Chinese Export of White Fish




6              16.08.2012
Chinese Export of White Fish




7              16.08.2012
Chinese Export of Salted Fish




8              16.08.2012
Chinese Export of Salted Fish




9              16.08.2012
Processing


10      16.08.2012
Proportion Change of Main Provinces’ Aquatic Products
               Outputs in National Aquatic Products Outputs
                             from 2005 to 2010
45.00%
40.00%
35.00%
30.00%                                                     Shandong Province
25.00%                                                     Zhejiang Province
20.00%
                                                           Fujian Province
15.00%
10.00%                                                     Liaoning Province
 5.00%                                                     Guangdong Province
 0.00%
          2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   Year




                                                                                                       黑龙江


                                                                                                     吉
                           新疆                                                                        林
                                                                                              Liaoning
                                                 甘肃                     内蒙古          北京
                                                                                          天
                                                                  宁夏
                                             青                                 山西     Shandong
                                             海
                                                                        陕西      河南            江苏
                            西藏
                                                                                       安徽
                                                       四川
                                                                    重庆       湖南                  Zhejiang
                                                                                      江
                                                                                      江
                                                                             湖南       西
                                                                                      西
                                                                  贵州                          Fujian
                                                    云南
                                                                        广西

                                                                                    Guangdong


     11                                                    16.08.2012
河
                     南




                 The Number of The Aquatic Product Processing
                    Enterprises in China from 2006 to 2010
        Number
        10100
        10000
         9900
         9800
         9700
         9600
         9500
         9400
         9300
                   2006      2007           2008   2009    2010   Year




     Data Resource: China Fishery Statistical Yearbook

12                                  16.08.2012
Scale Map of Main Ground Fish Exporting Countries of
                                                                                             Dalian's Entriprises in 2011


The Main Products Exporting Countries in Shandong Province

             3.79%
                                                                                                          U.S.
       2.61%         6.91%
     2.30%
                                                                                       European
                                                                                      Countries

      29%                                       55.39%
                                                                                      Others(South                 Brazil
                                                                                      Africa,erc.)        Canada
EU   America     Spain   Brazil   Japan&South Kerea   Others


                                                                          European Countries U.S. Brazil Canada Others(South Africa,erc.)


13                                                           16.08.2012
Import Price Export Price
                 ($/T)        ($/T)

Pacific cod    2350-2800       4400-5000

Atlantic cod   2500-2900       4500-5000

Haddock        2400-2500       4000-4500

Pollock        1300-1400       2400-2600
14                16.08.2012
• Yield rate
Pollack: 67%-72%
Cod: 75%-80%.
In general: 70%

• Cost
Total: $1010-$1060/T
Labor: 49%
Water& electricity: 10%.

• Profit
Maximum: $100-200/T

 15                   16.08.2012
2012 Cod

Import price of                                Cost of raw fish in value
                                               of produce frozen fillets
Atlantic cod                 processing
                                                     ($3333-3867)
 ($2500-2900)

                                   Cost
                               ($1010-1060)


     water and electricity         wage             quality control and
         $105 (10%)             $490 (49%)             management
                                                         $25 (2%)

                                depreciation           transportation and
     low-value consumables
                                 $80 (8%)              customs control
          $60 (6%)
                                                       $200-250 (25%)



                Expected Export price of frozen fillet
                           ($4343-4877)
16                               16.08.2012
($4343-4877)
               Import Price Export Price
                 ($/T)        ($/T)

Pacific cod    2350-2800         4400-5000

Atlantic cod   2500-2900         4500-5000

Haddock        2400-2500         4000-4500

Pollock        1300-1400         2400-2600
17                 16.08.2012
Increasing Wage Cost



                  The Trend of Workers’ Average Wage in Aquatic Product
                   Processing Enterprises from 2007 to 2012 in Shandong
                                         Province
           3500
           3000
Wage (¥)




           2500
           2000
           1500
           1000
            500
              0
                  2007       2008         2009          2010   2011       2012
                                                 Year


      18                            16.08.2012
2013 Cod

Import price of                                    Cost of raw fish in value
                                                   of produce frozen fillets
Atlantic cod                 processing
                                                         ($3333-3867)
 ($2500-2900)

                                    Cost
                                ($1108-1158)
                             $490

     water and electricity             wage             quality control and
         $105 (9%)                  $588 (53%)             management
                                                            $25 (2%)

                                    depreciation           transportation and
     low-value consumables
                                     $80 (7%)              customs control
          $60 (5%)
                                                           $200-250 (23%)



                Expected Export price of frozen fillet
                           ($4441-4975)
19                                   16.08.2012
($4441-4975)
               Import Price Export Price
                 ($/T)        ($/T)

Pacific cod    2350-2800       4400-5000

Atlantic cod   2500-2900       4500-5000

Haddock        2400-2500       4000-4500

Pollock        1300-1400       2400-2600
20                16.08.2012
2012 Pollack

Import price of                                 Cost of raw fish in value
                                                of produce frozen fillets
   pollack                   processing
                                                      ($1733-1867)
 ($1300-1400)

                                    Cost
                                ($1010-1060)


     water and electricity          wage            quality control and
         $105 (10%)              $490 (49%)             management
                                                        $25 (2%)

     Low-value consumables       depreciation           transportation and
             $60 (6%)                                   customs control
                                  $80 (8%)
                                                        $200-250 (25%)



                     Expected Export price of frozen fillet
                                ($2743-2877)
21                                16.08.2012
($2743-2877)
                    Import Price Export Price
                      ($/T)        ($/T)

     Pacific cod    2350-2800        4400-5000

     Atlantic cod   2500-2900        4500-5000

     Haddock        2400-2500        4000-4500

     Pollock        1300-1400        2400-2600
22                    16.08.2012
Possible Structural Change


                    China’s Total Value and Added Value of Processed Aquatic Products
                                            from 2006 to 2010

               250000
Millions(¥)




               200000
               150000                                                   Total Processing Value
               100000                                                   Added Value
               50000
                    0
                        2006     2007      2008       2009   2010
                                        Year
Data source: China Fishery Statistical Yearbook



          23                                   16.08.2012
Conclusion

1.The processing cost in China has
  been significantly increasing due to
  the wage increase.
2. It becomes more difficult to find
  skilled worker due to one child policy.
3.Due to economic crisis in US and
  recently in EU, the Brazil market
  becomes more important.
4.Profit margin is very tiny, a lot of
  small industries closed.
24                16.08.2012
Thank You




25      16.08.2012

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Hva skjer i Kina? - Norfishing 2012

  • 1. Hva skjer i Kina? -Tilførsel, bearbeiding og eksport av hvitfisk Jinghua Xie Tromsø Business School, University of Tromsø
  • 2. Chinese Import of White Fish 2 16.08.2012
  • 3. Main Exporting Countries to China 3 16.08.2012
  • 4. Import Price of Cod and Pollack 4 16.08.2012
  • 5. Main Exporting Countries to China 5 16.08.2012
  • 6. Chinese Export of White Fish 6 16.08.2012
  • 7. Chinese Export of White Fish 7 16.08.2012
  • 8. Chinese Export of Salted Fish 8 16.08.2012
  • 9. Chinese Export of Salted Fish 9 16.08.2012
  • 10. Processing 10 16.08.2012
  • 11. Proportion Change of Main Provinces’ Aquatic Products Outputs in National Aquatic Products Outputs from 2005 to 2010 45.00% 40.00% 35.00% 30.00% Shandong Province 25.00% Zhejiang Province 20.00% Fujian Province 15.00% 10.00% Liaoning Province 5.00% Guangdong Province 0.00% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year 黑龙江 吉 新疆 林 Liaoning 甘肃 内蒙古 北京 天 宁夏 青 山西 Shandong 海 陕西 河南 江苏 西藏 安徽 四川 重庆 湖南 Zhejiang 江 江 湖南 西 西 贵州 Fujian 云南 广西 Guangdong 11 16.08.2012
  • 12. 南 The Number of The Aquatic Product Processing Enterprises in China from 2006 to 2010 Number 10100 10000 9900 9800 9700 9600 9500 9400 9300 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Data Resource: China Fishery Statistical Yearbook 12 16.08.2012
  • 13. Scale Map of Main Ground Fish Exporting Countries of Dalian's Entriprises in 2011 The Main Products Exporting Countries in Shandong Province 3.79% U.S. 2.61% 6.91% 2.30% European Countries 29% 55.39% Others(South Brazil Africa,erc.) Canada EU America Spain Brazil Japan&South Kerea Others European Countries U.S. Brazil Canada Others(South Africa,erc.) 13 16.08.2012
  • 14. Import Price Export Price ($/T) ($/T) Pacific cod 2350-2800 4400-5000 Atlantic cod 2500-2900 4500-5000 Haddock 2400-2500 4000-4500 Pollock 1300-1400 2400-2600 14 16.08.2012
  • 15. • Yield rate Pollack: 67%-72% Cod: 75%-80%. In general: 70% • Cost Total: $1010-$1060/T Labor: 49% Water& electricity: 10%. • Profit Maximum: $100-200/T 15 16.08.2012
  • 16. 2012 Cod Import price of Cost of raw fish in value of produce frozen fillets Atlantic cod processing ($3333-3867) ($2500-2900) Cost ($1010-1060) water and electricity wage quality control and $105 (10%) $490 (49%) management $25 (2%) depreciation transportation and low-value consumables $80 (8%) customs control $60 (6%) $200-250 (25%) Expected Export price of frozen fillet ($4343-4877) 16 16.08.2012
  • 17. ($4343-4877) Import Price Export Price ($/T) ($/T) Pacific cod 2350-2800 4400-5000 Atlantic cod 2500-2900 4500-5000 Haddock 2400-2500 4000-4500 Pollock 1300-1400 2400-2600 17 16.08.2012
  • 18. Increasing Wage Cost The Trend of Workers’ Average Wage in Aquatic Product Processing Enterprises from 2007 to 2012 in Shandong Province 3500 3000 Wage (¥) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Year 18 16.08.2012
  • 19. 2013 Cod Import price of Cost of raw fish in value of produce frozen fillets Atlantic cod processing ($3333-3867) ($2500-2900) Cost ($1108-1158) $490 water and electricity wage quality control and $105 (9%) $588 (53%) management $25 (2%) depreciation transportation and low-value consumables $80 (7%) customs control $60 (5%) $200-250 (23%) Expected Export price of frozen fillet ($4441-4975) 19 16.08.2012
  • 20. ($4441-4975) Import Price Export Price ($/T) ($/T) Pacific cod 2350-2800 4400-5000 Atlantic cod 2500-2900 4500-5000 Haddock 2400-2500 4000-4500 Pollock 1300-1400 2400-2600 20 16.08.2012
  • 21. 2012 Pollack Import price of Cost of raw fish in value of produce frozen fillets pollack processing ($1733-1867) ($1300-1400) Cost ($1010-1060) water and electricity wage quality control and $105 (10%) $490 (49%) management $25 (2%) Low-value consumables depreciation transportation and $60 (6%) customs control $80 (8%) $200-250 (25%) Expected Export price of frozen fillet ($2743-2877) 21 16.08.2012
  • 22. ($2743-2877) Import Price Export Price ($/T) ($/T) Pacific cod 2350-2800 4400-5000 Atlantic cod 2500-2900 4500-5000 Haddock 2400-2500 4000-4500 Pollock 1300-1400 2400-2600 22 16.08.2012
  • 23. Possible Structural Change China’s Total Value and Added Value of Processed Aquatic Products from 2006 to 2010 250000 Millions(¥) 200000 150000 Total Processing Value 100000 Added Value 50000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Year Data source: China Fishery Statistical Yearbook 23 16.08.2012
  • 24. Conclusion 1.The processing cost in China has been significantly increasing due to the wage increase. 2. It becomes more difficult to find skilled worker due to one child policy. 3.Due to economic crisis in US and recently in EU, the Brazil market becomes more important. 4.Profit margin is very tiny, a lot of small industries closed. 24 16.08.2012
  • 25. Thank You 25 16.08.2012