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WHEN WORLDS COLLIDE - BIG
                           DATA & WEB ANALYTICS IN 2013
                           Presented by
                           Jean-François Bélisle
                           Director – Consulting Services
                           @K3Media




K3 MEDIA INC. | 204 du Saint-Sacrement, 7ème étage | Montréal (Québec) | H2Y 1W8 T : 514.861.3332 | F : 514.861.3398
GAME PLAN



    1. Where is my money?                 4


    2.   Off-line Customer Intelligence   14


    3.   On-line Customer Intelligence    23



    4.   Conclusion                       34




2
THE GUY IN FRONT

                 Jean-François (JF) Bélisle
                 Director - Consulting Services @ K3 Media


Formation    B.Sc. Economics, Université de Montréal

             M.Sc. Marketing, HEC Montréal
             Award of Achievement, Web Analytics, University of British Columbia
             Ph.D Studies, Marketing & Computational Stats , McGill University
             Executive Training in Customer Analytics, University of Pennsylvania (Wharton)


Experience
             Jean-François is the Director – Consulting Services at K3 Media. He is responsible for: (1) New Business
             Development, (2) Training partners, and (3) Supervising the Consulting Services team.

             He has a background in Economics and Computational Statistics, and used to be a Lecturer at HEC Montréal
             where he created the eMarketing class. He is also a web expert who has given more than 100 conferences.

             He has solid critical thinking and analytical skills and more than 8 years of experience as a consultant gained
             as a Manager at AIR MILES and as an independent consultant. He has worked for clients such as P&G, Bell,
             Jean Coutu, Rona and the Quebec Government to name a few, where he used his knowledge in Interactive
             Marketing, CRM and Data Mining.
SECTION 1
WHERE IS MY MONEY?
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?

    ASK BRIAN OR HIRE A PRO?




5
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?

       4 AREAS = 1 GOAL

    1. Business Intelligence: Designates the ways, tools and methods used to
       collect, consolidate, model and restore the material or immaterial
       business data used to support the decision making process and help the
       decision maker have a better overview of the activity.

    2. Customer Intelligence: The Customer part of Business intelligence.

    3. Big Data Analytics: Analytics with humongous datasets –> When the
       data doesn’t fit in an Excel file (thx @shamelCP).

    4. Web Analytics: What most of us are doing here!




6
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?

       LINKS BETWEEN AREAS, NOW!

                                Business Intelligence

    Customer Intelligence
                                       Web Analytics




    Big Data Analytics




7
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?

       LINKS BETWEEN AREAS, TOMORROW!
                                Business Intelligence
    Customer Intelligence                               Web Analytics

    Big Data Analytics




8
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?

       WHO’S GROWING FASTER?

    1. Big Data Analytics

    2. Web Analytics

    3. Customer Intelligence

    4. Business Intelligence




9
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?


        GALACTIC DATA EXPLOSION

                                                                    More Data

                                                                               ≠

                                                                More Insights


     Source: 2011 IBM Global Chief Marketing Officer: From Streched to Strengthened (www.ibm.com/cmostudy)


10
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?


      …CLEAN RELATIONAL DATABASES
            Social &
            Mobile                                                   Customer Attributes
                                                                     and Interactions



     Traffic                                                                      Off-line
     Sources                                                                      Interactions



           Lifetime                                                           Systems of
           Website                                                            Record
           Behavior
                           Source: IBM Customer Profiles (LIVE) terminology


11
1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY?


     ADVANCED CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE
 A dichotomy:

 Off-line Customer Intelligence
 –> Manual analysis by an analyst (or any other             Take your
       type of humans)                                       time for
 • Supervised methods (predictive analysis)                  analysis
 • Non-supervised methods


 On-line Customer Intelligence (real-time)
 –> Algorithmic Recommendation Systems                      Real-time
 May include algorithms based on off-line supervised         analysis
 methods (predictive analysis) and non-supervised methods


12
SECTION 2
OFF-LINE CUSTOMER
  INTELLIGENCE
2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE

     SOFTWARE




14
2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE

     SUPERVISED METHODS

     •




15
2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     SUPERVISED METHODS
 Churn analysis: Type of analysis that helps
 detecting beforehand customers that have the
 highest probability of churning.

 Supervised statistical methods:
 1. Multinomial Logit (MNL)
 2. Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA)      9. Support Vector Machines (SVM)
 3. Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA)   10. Classification and Regression
 4. Flexible Discriminant Analysis (FDA)    Trees (CART)
 5. Penalized Discriminant Analysis (PDA)   11. Bagging
 6. Mixture Discriminant Analysis (MDA)     12. Boosting
 7. Naïve Bayes Classifier (NBC)            13. Random Forests
 8. K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN)                14. Neural Networks
 9. Support Vector Machines with multiple
 Kernels (SVM)

16
2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     SUPERVISED METHODS

 A few application:
 1. Identify customers who have a higher
    probability of buying a product based on
    their tastes and previous purchases.
 2. Isolate the impact of advertising campaigns
    on     sales    (taking    in    consideration
    cannibalization)
 3. Compute the impact of each communication
    channel on sales
 4. Identify    the    characteristics   of    the
    respondents vs. Non-respondents in an
    email offer.
 5. Identify the causes (X) of (Y)


17
2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE

     NON-SUPERVISED METHODS

 X = multiple independent variables (all the variables we
 can collect: navigation data, psychographics,
 sociodemographics)

 Example 1 – Segmentation through clustering

 Question: Based on the independent             variables
 available, how can we segment our market?

 Segmentation: Strategy that involves creating groups of
 customers based on similar caracteristics in a way that
 every segment created is different from the others.



18
2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     NON-SUPERVISED METHODS
 Example 2 – RFM Analysis

 Segmentation method that allows the
 creation of a classification of customers
 based on their buying habits. The RFM
 classification is based on 3 criteria:

 (1) Recency: date of the last purchase or the
 last customer contact,
 (2) Frequency: frequency of the purchased
 on a given reference period, and
 (3) Monetary: cumulated amount of
 purchases on that period.


19
2 - OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     NON-SUPERVISED METHODS
 Example 3 - Affinity analysis
 Analysis that helps uncovering relations of
 cooccurrences between activities realized by
 customers or groups of customers.

 Other examples
 1. Personas Optimization
 2. Market Basket Analysis
 3. Front page flyer optimization
 4. Assortment optimization




20
SECTION 3
ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     RECOMMENDATION SYSTEMS
 Définition: Specific form of filtering that seeks to present elements of
   information (movies, music, books, news, pictures, web pages, etc.) that
   should be of interest to a user.

 Generally, a recommendation system allows the comparaison of a user’s
   profile to certain reference features and seeks to offer informations that are
   as relevant as possible to the user using predictive algoritmns.

 Those features can come from :
 1. The object itself -> Content-Based Approach
 2. The user
 3. The social environment-> Collaborative Filtering




22
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     AMAZON.COM’S PATENT




23
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     … BASED ON PURCHASE HISTORY




                 Recommendations based on the purchase history



24
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     … BASED ON A REQUEST




25
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     … BASED ON SIMILARITY




     Recommendations based on the similarity with the purchases of
                           other users

26
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     GOING FOR THE BUNDLE




      Bundle: combining several products in one offer based on the
     similarity between your purchase and those of other customers.




27
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


      MORE RECOMMENDATION SYSTEMS

 1.   Avail Intelligence
 2.   Barilliance
 3.   Baynote
 4.   Certona
 5.   Peerius
 6.   Predictive intent
 7.   RichRelevance




28
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


     …AND THE INTEGRATION WITH THE CMS




29
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


        … AND WEB ANALYTICS SOLUTIONS
     • IBM Intelligent Offer generates personalized product recommendations for each
       visitor based on current session and historical browsing, shopping and purchasing
       data collected by IBM.

     • An offer is a collection of settings that includes the type, algorithm affinity
       weighting, data analysis time period, and business rules that generates a list of
       recommended items.

     • The offers can be on the:
         • Homepage
         • Product page
         • Shopping card
         • Email
         • Search results page


 Source: 2011 IBM Coremetrics Intelligent offer guide

30
3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE


       REMARKETING
     Remarketing: Action taken on by companies to reintroduce
     a product or service to the market in response to declining sales. The
     company remarkets the product as something that has been improved to
     reignite interest and hopefully improve sales. (businessdictionary.com)




31
SECTION 4
CONCLUSION
4 – CONCLUSION

       THE FUTURE IS BRIGHT

     Possibilities related to customer Intelligence are countless. The only thing
     needed for a strategist is to understand the potential of the methods (off-
     line and on-line) to generate ideas and then try to convince the HiPPO.




33
4 – CONCLUSION

     GET SOME TRAINING … IN FRENCH

             http://www.k3media.com/services/formation-google-
             analytics/




             PROMO CODE = EMETRICS for 20%




34
THANKS AND I HOPE YOU’VE
          APPRECIATED!




         Jean-François (JF) Bélisle
     Phone number: 514-861-3332 ext 50
        Email: jfbelisle@k3media.com
          Corp.: www.k3media.com
      LinkedIn: Linkedin.com/in/jfbelisle
              Twitter: @jfbelisle
              Site: jfbelisle.com
35
            Any Questions ? 

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When Worlds Collide - Big Data & Web Analytics in 2013 - Jean-Francois Belisle

  • 1. WHEN WORLDS COLLIDE - BIG DATA & WEB ANALYTICS IN 2013 Presented by Jean-François Bélisle Director – Consulting Services @K3Media K3 MEDIA INC. | 204 du Saint-Sacrement, 7ème étage | Montréal (Québec) | H2Y 1W8 T : 514.861.3332 | F : 514.861.3398
  • 2. GAME PLAN 1. Where is my money? 4 2. Off-line Customer Intelligence 14 3. On-line Customer Intelligence 23 4. Conclusion 34 2
  • 3. THE GUY IN FRONT Jean-François (JF) Bélisle Director - Consulting Services @ K3 Media Formation B.Sc. Economics, Université de Montréal M.Sc. Marketing, HEC Montréal Award of Achievement, Web Analytics, University of British Columbia Ph.D Studies, Marketing & Computational Stats , McGill University Executive Training in Customer Analytics, University of Pennsylvania (Wharton) Experience Jean-François is the Director – Consulting Services at K3 Media. He is responsible for: (1) New Business Development, (2) Training partners, and (3) Supervising the Consulting Services team. He has a background in Economics and Computational Statistics, and used to be a Lecturer at HEC Montréal where he created the eMarketing class. He is also a web expert who has given more than 100 conferences. He has solid critical thinking and analytical skills and more than 8 years of experience as a consultant gained as a Manager at AIR MILES and as an independent consultant. He has worked for clients such as P&G, Bell, Jean Coutu, Rona and the Quebec Government to name a few, where he used his knowledge in Interactive Marketing, CRM and Data Mining.
  • 4. SECTION 1 WHERE IS MY MONEY?
  • 5. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? ASK BRIAN OR HIRE A PRO? 5
  • 6. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? 4 AREAS = 1 GOAL 1. Business Intelligence: Designates the ways, tools and methods used to collect, consolidate, model and restore the material or immaterial business data used to support the decision making process and help the decision maker have a better overview of the activity. 2. Customer Intelligence: The Customer part of Business intelligence. 3. Big Data Analytics: Analytics with humongous datasets –> When the data doesn’t fit in an Excel file (thx @shamelCP). 4. Web Analytics: What most of us are doing here! 6
  • 7. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? LINKS BETWEEN AREAS, NOW! Business Intelligence Customer Intelligence Web Analytics Big Data Analytics 7
  • 8. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? LINKS BETWEEN AREAS, TOMORROW! Business Intelligence Customer Intelligence Web Analytics Big Data Analytics 8
  • 9. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? WHO’S GROWING FASTER? 1. Big Data Analytics 2. Web Analytics 3. Customer Intelligence 4. Business Intelligence 9
  • 10. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? GALACTIC DATA EXPLOSION More Data ≠ More Insights Source: 2011 IBM Global Chief Marketing Officer: From Streched to Strengthened (www.ibm.com/cmostudy) 10
  • 11. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? …CLEAN RELATIONAL DATABASES Social & Mobile Customer Attributes and Interactions Traffic Off-line Sources Interactions Lifetime Systems of Website Record Behavior Source: IBM Customer Profiles (LIVE) terminology 11
  • 12. 1 – WHERE IS MY MONEY? ADVANCED CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE A dichotomy: Off-line Customer Intelligence –> Manual analysis by an analyst (or any other Take your type of humans) time for • Supervised methods (predictive analysis) analysis • Non-supervised methods On-line Customer Intelligence (real-time) –> Algorithmic Recommendation Systems Real-time May include algorithms based on off-line supervised analysis methods (predictive analysis) and non-supervised methods 12
  • 14. 2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE SOFTWARE 14
  • 15. 2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE SUPERVISED METHODS • 15
  • 16. 2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE SUPERVISED METHODS Churn analysis: Type of analysis that helps detecting beforehand customers that have the highest probability of churning. Supervised statistical methods: 1. Multinomial Logit (MNL) 2. Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) 9. Support Vector Machines (SVM) 3. Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA) 10. Classification and Regression 4. Flexible Discriminant Analysis (FDA) Trees (CART) 5. Penalized Discriminant Analysis (PDA) 11. Bagging 6. Mixture Discriminant Analysis (MDA) 12. Boosting 7. Naïve Bayes Classifier (NBC) 13. Random Forests 8. K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) 14. Neural Networks 9. Support Vector Machines with multiple Kernels (SVM) 16
  • 17. 2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE SUPERVISED METHODS A few application: 1. Identify customers who have a higher probability of buying a product based on their tastes and previous purchases. 2. Isolate the impact of advertising campaigns on sales (taking in consideration cannibalization) 3. Compute the impact of each communication channel on sales 4. Identify the characteristics of the respondents vs. Non-respondents in an email offer. 5. Identify the causes (X) of (Y) 17
  • 18. 2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE NON-SUPERVISED METHODS X = multiple independent variables (all the variables we can collect: navigation data, psychographics, sociodemographics) Example 1 – Segmentation through clustering Question: Based on the independent variables available, how can we segment our market? Segmentation: Strategy that involves creating groups of customers based on similar caracteristics in a way that every segment created is different from the others. 18
  • 19. 2 – OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE NON-SUPERVISED METHODS Example 2 – RFM Analysis Segmentation method that allows the creation of a classification of customers based on their buying habits. The RFM classification is based on 3 criteria: (1) Recency: date of the last purchase or the last customer contact, (2) Frequency: frequency of the purchased on a given reference period, and (3) Monetary: cumulated amount of purchases on that period. 19
  • 20. 2 - OFF-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE NON-SUPERVISED METHODS Example 3 - Affinity analysis Analysis that helps uncovering relations of cooccurrences between activities realized by customers or groups of customers. Other examples 1. Personas Optimization 2. Market Basket Analysis 3. Front page flyer optimization 4. Assortment optimization 20
  • 22. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE RECOMMENDATION SYSTEMS Définition: Specific form of filtering that seeks to present elements of information (movies, music, books, news, pictures, web pages, etc.) that should be of interest to a user. Generally, a recommendation system allows the comparaison of a user’s profile to certain reference features and seeks to offer informations that are as relevant as possible to the user using predictive algoritmns. Those features can come from : 1. The object itself -> Content-Based Approach 2. The user 3. The social environment-> Collaborative Filtering 22
  • 23. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE AMAZON.COM’S PATENT 23
  • 24. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE … BASED ON PURCHASE HISTORY Recommendations based on the purchase history 24
  • 25. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE … BASED ON A REQUEST 25
  • 26. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE … BASED ON SIMILARITY Recommendations based on the similarity with the purchases of other users 26
  • 27. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE GOING FOR THE BUNDLE Bundle: combining several products in one offer based on the similarity between your purchase and those of other customers. 27
  • 28. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE MORE RECOMMENDATION SYSTEMS 1. Avail Intelligence 2. Barilliance 3. Baynote 4. Certona 5. Peerius 6. Predictive intent 7. RichRelevance 28
  • 29. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE …AND THE INTEGRATION WITH THE CMS 29
  • 30. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE … AND WEB ANALYTICS SOLUTIONS • IBM Intelligent Offer generates personalized product recommendations for each visitor based on current session and historical browsing, shopping and purchasing data collected by IBM. • An offer is a collection of settings that includes the type, algorithm affinity weighting, data analysis time period, and business rules that generates a list of recommended items. • The offers can be on the: • Homepage • Product page • Shopping card • Email • Search results page Source: 2011 IBM Coremetrics Intelligent offer guide 30
  • 31. 3 – ON-LINE CUSTOMER INTELLIGENCE REMARKETING Remarketing: Action taken on by companies to reintroduce a product or service to the market in response to declining sales. The company remarkets the product as something that has been improved to reignite interest and hopefully improve sales. (businessdictionary.com) 31
  • 33. 4 – CONCLUSION THE FUTURE IS BRIGHT Possibilities related to customer Intelligence are countless. The only thing needed for a strategist is to understand the potential of the methods (off- line and on-line) to generate ideas and then try to convince the HiPPO. 33
  • 34. 4 – CONCLUSION GET SOME TRAINING … IN FRENCH http://www.k3media.com/services/formation-google- analytics/ PROMO CODE = EMETRICS for 20% 34
  • 35. THANKS AND I HOPE YOU’VE APPRECIATED! Jean-François (JF) Bélisle Phone number: 514-861-3332 ext 50 Email: jfbelisle@k3media.com Corp.: www.k3media.com LinkedIn: Linkedin.com/in/jfbelisle Twitter: @jfbelisle Site: jfbelisle.com 35 Any Questions ? 

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. http://www.e-marketing.fr/Definitions-Glossaire-Marketing/Remarketing-6280.htm
  2. http://www.e-marketing.fr/Definitions-Glossaire-Marketing/Remarketing-6280.htm
  3. http://www.e-marketing.fr/Definitions-Glossaire-Marketing/Remarketing-6280.htm