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Gas Development Master Plan
Regional PSC Competition of Fiscal Terms


Presented by:
Rita Jolly
Petroleum Development Consultants, UK


Shangri-La Hotel, Jakarta
21 June 2012
Contents
• Petroleum Fiscal Systems
• Elements of Fiscal Terms
• Indonesia Evolution of Fiscal Terms
• Regional PSC Country Comparison
• Designing Fiscal Terms




                                        2
Petroleum Fiscal Systems

                               Petroleum Fiscal System




            Contractual                                  Concessionary




                                    Production
     Service                                              Royalty/Tax
                                      Sharing
    Contracts
                                     Contracts



                       Risk Service
                        Contracts
  Pure Service
                      (the service fee is
                    linked to the profit)
                                                                         3
Petroleum Fiscal Systems
Concessionary System
• Allows private ownership to mineral resources
• Oil company have exclusive right to explore and produce at its
  own risk and expense
• Oil company owns production
• Oil Company pays royalty, surface rent and taxes
• Investor typically responsible for abandonment
Contractual System
• The State retains ownership to mineral resources
• Contractor gets share of production
• Contractor does not own the production
• Contractor shares the risk with the Government
• The State/NOC is typically legally responsible for abandonment



                                                                   4
Main Difference Between Concessionary System
   and PSC System


                             Concessionary                      Production
                               Systems                       Sharing Contracts

  Ownership of nation’s
                               Held by sovereign state          Held by sovereign state
   mineral resources

   Title transfer point            At the wellhead                 At the export point

  Company entitlement        Gross production less royalty     Cost oil/gas + profit oil/gas

 Entitlement percentage             Typically 90%                   Typically 50–60%

 Ownership of facilities          Held by company                   Held by the state

                              Typically less government        More direct government
Management and control
                                        control                control and participation
Government participation
                                      Less likely                      More likely
(carried working interest)

      Ring fencing                    Less likely                      More likely


                                                                                               5
Petroleum Fiscal Systems
Production Sharing Contracts
• PSC’s are most widely used form of contracts
• Host country grants FOC right to explore and are
  negotiated per acreage
• Each contract will address how FOC costs will be
  recovered
• The FOC is considered a Contractor to the Government
• The Contractor takes a % of production to recover costs
  and a profit split with the government from production
  of oil
• PSC environment has a tendency for FOC to over explore
  because in effect the government picks 65% to 85% of
  the costs

                                                            6
Petroleum Fiscal Systems
Tax/Royalty Contracts
• Mostly occur in developing countries and account for about
  50% worldwide
• Government imposed royalty and tax
• Alternative taxes may be imposed
• Applicable to all licences with fixed guidelines

Risk Service Contracts
• Most often in Latin America
• FOC explore, develop and produce reserves with no
  restraints from the Host country
• FOC is reimbursed for its investment and paid for the
  services only if there is a commercial production.

                                                           7
Simple Flow-chart comparison of Fiscal Terms

  Royalty Tax                           PSC                         Service
                Gross
                                                 Gross
                                               Production          Contract
              Production                                                      Gross
                                                                            Production
                           Royalty
Royalty

                                                Cost Oil                     Cost Oil



              Less Costs


                                        Profit Oil                State
                                                               Production
Income
  Tax                                                                          Contractor
                             State               Contractor                       Fee
                           Profit Oil             Profit Oil
              Company’s
              Production                                          Income
                             Income
                               Tax                                  Tax
                                                Contractor                     Contractor
                                                Profit After                   Profit After
                                                    Tax                            Tax
                                                                                              8
Fiscal Terms Around the World
                             Royalty/Tax                              PSC
EUROPE      Bulgaria               Italy          Albania
            Czech Republic         Netherlands    Malta
            Denmark                Norway         Poland
            France                 Poland         Turkey
            Greece                 Portugal
            Hungary                Romania
            Ireland                Spain
                                   UK
AFRICA      Chad                   Namibia        Algeria                   Kenya
            Congo (K)              Nigeria        Angola                    Libya
            Madagascar             Senegal        Cameroon                  Mauritania
            Malawi                 South Africa   Congo (Br)                Montenegro
            Mali                                  Cote D’Ivoire             Sudan
            Morocco                               Egypt                     Tanzania
                                                  Equatorial Guinea         Tunisia
                                                  Gabon                     Uganda
                                                  Ghana
MIDDLE      Abu Dhabi Ajman        Turkey         Bahrain                   Qatar
            Kazakhstan                            Iraq                      Syria
EAST                                              Jordan                    Turkmenistan
                                                  Libya                     Yemen
FAR         Australia              Thailand       Bangladesh                Mongolia
            Brunei                 Timor Gap B    Cambodia                  Myanmar
EAST/ASIA   Korea                                 China                     Nepal
            Pakistan (on)                         India                     Pakistan (off)
            PNG                                   Indonesia                 Sri Lamka
            New Zealand                           Laos                      Timor Gap A
                                                  Malaysia                  Vietnam
AMERICAS    Argentina              Costa Rica     Belize                    Ecuador
            Bolivia                Falklands      Cuba                      Peru
            Brazil                 Venezuela      Guatemala                 Uruguay
            Canada Colombia        USA            Guyana                    Venezuela
                                                  Jamaica
                                                                                             9
Fiscal Terms Around the World




                                10
Elements of Petroleum Fiscal Systems
      PSC Fiscal Terms                     Royalty/Tax Fiscal Terms

• Work Commitment                      • Work Commitment
• Bonus Payments                       • Bonus Payments
• Royalties                            • Royalties
• Cost Recovery (Cost Oil)             • Government
• Profit Oil                             Participation
• Government                           • Domestic Market
  Participation                          Obligation
• Domestic Market                      • Indirect Taxes
  Obligation                           • Corporation Tax
• Indirect Taxes
• Corporation Tax

     Indonesia led the world in development of Production Sharing
                           Contracts (1954)
                                                                      11
Gas Fiscal Terms
There are more fiscal systems in the world than there are countries
  due to:
 Negotiation of Terms
 Numerous vintages
Trends in Gas Taxation 2003- 2008
 Increases in tax percentage for gas have been much less than oil because
  there are still considerable gas reserves around the World
 Government takes for gas in some countries stabilized or continued to
  decline and governments seek instead greater market access: Qatar,
  Venezuela, Norway and Egypt
 However, government takes for gas have also increased in some
  jurisdictions: Algeria, Bolivia, UK, Trinidad and Tobago
Trend for gas taxation systems are becoming more different from oil taxation
                                       systems.




                                                                         12
Regional PSC Country Comparison




                                  13
Indonesia – Evolution of Fiscal Terms
First Generation PSCs 1960 - 1975
Cost Recovery 40%
                             Second Generation PSCs 1976 - 1988
Profit split post tax:
                             Abolition of Cost Oil               Third Generation PSCs
65% State
35% Contractor               Profit Oil increased to 85%         1988 onwards
                             Profit Gas 70% or 65%               Fist Tranche Petroleum 15% to
                             Investment incentives 20% of        20%
Carry forward of
unrecovered costs            production subject to a guarantee   Cost Recovery 80% - 85%
                             to the government of 49% of
                             revenue over life of field          CT rate 48% or 44%
Oil price set by State for   Interest recoverable                Investment credit 17% to 20%
tax calculations                                                 DMO oil 10% of export price
                             Cost Recovery period improved
                             from 14 to 7yrs
Signature bonus $1mm to 1978 Pre-Tax PO share of 34.1%           Progressive sharing split
$5mm                    subject to CT of 56%
                             1984 – CT 48%, dividend tax 20%;    Deregulation in certain areas
Production bonus ranged      Profit split reset at 28.86% to
from $15mm to $50mm          contractor; Investment credit
                             reduced to 17% subject to govt      Contractor provide
                             guarantee of 25% of gross revenue   abandonment
DMO 25% ay 0.2c/bbl          over life of field


                                                                                                 14
Indonesia – Evolution of Fiscal Terms

Forth Generation PSCs 1995
FTP 15%
                            Fifth Generation PSCs Post 2001
Cost Recovery 85%
                            FTP 10% to BP MIGAS and not
Profit split post tax:      shared                            New PSCs 2008 onwards
Oil 85%/15%                 Cost Recovery 90%
                                                              Cost Recovery 90%
Gas 60%/40%                 Profit split post tax:
                                                              Profit split post tax:
CT 44%                      Oil 75%/25%
                                                              Oil 80%/20%
DMO 25% oil at full first   Gas 60%/40%
5yrs, 25% thereafter of                                       Gas 70%/30%
export price                CT 44%
                                                              CT 44%
                            Investment credit:
                            oil 17%
                                                              No investment credit
                            gas 55%
                                                              DMO 25% oil at full first 5yrs,
                                                              25% thereafter of export price
                            DMO floor % of total oil production DMO 25% proven gas reserves
                            DMO floor % of total gas            Depreciation 5 to 10 yrs DB
                            production at avg contract price
                                                                No interest



                                                                                                15
Indonesia – Evolution of Fiscal Terms

                                                       Equity Share - Gas
                                                1995 Eastern
                           New Contracts *      Province PSC                1995            1985 - 1994              Old
Tax Rate                           44%              44%                     44%                48%                   56%
Share of Production after Tax:
Government                        varies              60                    70                   70                   70
Contractor                        varies              40                    30                   30                   30
Contractor's Share of Production before Tax
                               44.64 - 62.5
35/(100-44)                                          71.43
15/(100-44)                                                               53.57
15/(100-48)                                                                                    57.69
15/(100-56)                                                                                                          68.18


 * General combined "C&D" tax rate fell to 42.4% in 2009 and 40% in 2010. However, gross sharing rates have not been adjusted for
                                                         these new PSCs.




                                                                                                                                16
Indonesia – PSC Fourth Generation
 Contractor                                                      Government
PO - 28.8462%                                                    PO - 71.1538%
                   Gross Revenue                       100

 5.8                                                                   14.2
                  First Tranche Petroleum               20%


                   Net Revenue                          80

 28
                   Cost Oil                           35%

 15                                                                    37
                   Profit Oil                           52


                   Taxable Income                     20.8

 -10
                   Tax                                48%              10
10.8
                              After Tax Cash flow                      61.2

15%
                ===Contractor       Take           State ===         85%
                                                                                 17
Indonesia – PSC Current gas
 Contractor                                                      Government
 PO – 53.571%                                                    PO – 46.429%
                   Gross Revenue                       100


                  First Tranche Petroleum               10%           10

                   Net Revenue                          90


  28               Cost Oil                           90%


 33.2              Profit Oil                           62           24.8

                   Taxable Income                     33.2


                   Tax                                44%            14.6
 -14.6

 18.6                         After Tax Cash flow                    49.4


25.8%           ===Contractor       Take           State ===      74.2%
                                                                                18
Indonesia Evolution of Fiscal Terms




                                      19
Regional PSC Country Comparison
                 Fiscal Systems in Selected Asia/Pacific Countries
                               Exploration   Development                     Exploitation    Extension
               Fiscal System                               Retention (yrs)                                Bonuses
                                  (yrs)         (yrs)                           (yrs)          (yrs)

THAILAND II         RT            6+3             4                               20            10        Negotiable

THAILAND III       PSC             5              5          5 gas only      Oil 25 Gas 20                Negotiable

                               Offshore 17                                   30 Onshore 23
  BRUNEI            RT                                                                          30        Negotiable
                               Onshore 8                                        Offshore

 MALAYSIA          PSC             5                                         Oil 15 Gas 20   Negotiable   Negotiable

 VIETNAM           PSC             5                                            20 - 25      Negotiable   Negotiable

PHILIPPINES         SC           1 - 10                                           30         Negotiable   Negotiable


   CHINA           PSC            7-8                                             15                      Negotiable


 PAKISTAN
                   PSC                                                                                    Negotiable
 (Offshore)

 MYANMAR           PSC            3-5                                             20         Negotiable   Negotiable

CAMBODIA           PSC             8              4                               30             5        Negotiable

INDONESIA          PSC           6 - 10                                         20 - 25       20 - 30     Negotiable




                                                                                                                       20
Regional PSC Country Comparison
                       Fiscal Systems in Selected Asia/Pacific Countries
                                                                               Profit Oil Contractor
                    Royalties         Cost Recovery          Excess Oil                              State Participation      DMO
                                                                                       Share

THAILAND II           12.5%

               5% - 15% (deep sea
THAILAND III                         Oil 50% Gas 60%                                   50%
                reduced by 30%)


                                                                                Cum prod          <
                Oil 8% - 12.5% Gas                                                                     50% will repay past
  BRUNEI                                   80%                                  1.5tcf 40%        >
                        8%                                                                                   costs
                                                                                    1.5tcf 60%


               10% + 0.5% Research     20% - 100%        Varies with THV Gas     30% - 80%< THV
 MALAYSIA                                                                                                     25%
                       levy           R/C Factor 0-3         THV 0.75tcf         10% - 40% >THV


                                                                                                       15% will repay past
 VIETNAM                                                                          65% - 70% (V)
                                                                                                             costs

PHILIPPINES           7.50%                                                            60%

               Oil 0% - 12.5% Gas
  CHINA         0% - 3% (0% post                                                    35% - 60%
                    Nov 2011)


 PAKISTAN                                                                      oil 20% - 80% (V) Gas
                   0% - 12.5%
 (Offshore)                                                                          20% - 90%

                                     oil 50% - 70% Gas                          Oil 10% - 55% Gas
 MYANMAR              10%                                                                                                    20% Gas
                                          80% - 90%                                    60%

CAMBODIA           5% - 12.5%                                                     40% - 65% (V)

                                                                               oil 80% Gas 70% post 10% will repay past
INDONESIA           FTP - 10%              90%                                                                                25%
                                                                                        tax               costs
                                                                                                                                       21
Regional PSC Country Comparison
                                                Resource Rent                                                            Avg Government
                    VAT           Export Duty                        Income Tax        Witholding Tax    Incentives
                                                    Tax                                                                       Take

THAILAND II                                                              50%                               Yes (A)            59%
                                                                   Tax holiday 8yrs,
THAILAND III                         10%                           10% for next 7yrs                       Yes (D)            31%
                                                                    thereafter 20%

  BRUNEI                                                                 55%                20%            Yes (A)            48%

                                                                   38% JDA 0% to
 MALAYSIA                            10%            70% (Pr)                                              Yes (H,D)           57%
                                                                       20%
                                                Oil 7% - 29% Gas
 VIETNAM                             10%                              32% - 50%             15%         Yes (T,RD,I)          45%
                                                     1% - 10%
PHILIPPINES                                                              30%             15% - 32%          Yes E             31%

                                                20% - 40% above
               5% on oil 17% on
  CHINA                                         $40/bbl; CCT 7%          25%                10%            Yes (I)            26%
                  costs ???
                                                    + ES 3%

 PAKISTAN
                                                                         40%                               Yes (D)            32%
 (Offshore)

MYANMAR                                                                  30%                               Yes (H)            30%

CAMBODIA                                                                 30%                                Yes E             27%

INDONESIA                                                                44%                            Yes (I,A,Cr,U)        37%




                                                                                                                                      22
Notes
                       Key
  D    Deep water
  H    Tax holiday
  V    Sliding Production
  E    Costs expensed
  A    Accelerated depreciation
  I    Investment Incentive
  Cr   Tax credit
  P    Profit linked
  T    Reduced Tax rate
  RD   R&D fund
  U    Unconventional Resources




                                  23
Regional Fiscal Terms Comparison

   Fiscal Terms in selected
  Asia/Pacific Countries (OIL)
   Country          State Take %   Fiscal System
   • Indonesia        • 86 – 88        • PSC
      • China         • 84 – 88        • PSC
      • Brunei        • 84 – 86         • RT
     • Vietnam        • 82 – 88        • PSC
    • Malaysia        • 82 – 85        • PSC
    • Myanmar         • 80 – 84        • PSC
• Indonesia (gas)     • 66 – 70        • PSC
    • Thailand        • 60 – 74         • RT
   • Cambodia         • 60 – 66         • RT
   • PNG (gas)        • 52 – 62         • RT
   • Philippines      • 52 – 58         • SA
 • New Zealand        • 44 - 48         • RT




                                                   24
Fiscal Comparison by Daniel Johnston




            Indonesia




     2008                2001
                                       25
Indonesia Government take




                            26
NO GAS COMPARISON STUDIES??????


     Crude calc use
          with
       caution!!!!




                                  27
NO GAS COMPARISON STUDIES??????

                                       Commercial
                     Fiscal Systems
                                       Assumptions




          Location                                   Development
                                                      Scenarios




                                 Fiscal                   Economic
 Gas Field Size
                               Comparison                  Analysis




                                                                      28
Designing of Fiscal Terms

        Government
                                       FOC Objectives
         Objectives
•   Impact on oil/gas output     •   Investment Risk
•   Encourage Marginal Fields    •   Minimise front end loading
•   Pace of development          •   High Returns
•   Timing of abandonment        •   Tax stability
•   Sensitive to Price           •   Risk/Reward portfolio
•   Stability / flexibility      •   High Risk Takers
•   Concessionary/Contractual
•   Maximise Revenue
•   Social Economic benefits
•   Limit undue administration
•   Low Risk Takers

                                                                  29
Designing of Fiscal Terms
The following basic questions have to be addressed before a country
decides on its gas strategy:
 How much gas is available?
 What are the types and composition of the gas produced?
 What are the potential markets for selling the gas at the highest added
  value?
 How the local gas industry can be organized and what is the impact of the
  global outlook for gas?
 Different cost environments: deep water, onshore, LNG encouraging FOC
  efficiency
Most recent forecasts estimate that the world gas demand by 2035 may reach 4,250-
4,500 Bcm(150 to 160 Tcf), an increase of 40 to 50% relative to 2008, with a share of
gas in the primary energy mix of 21%. Around 80% of the increase in gas demand may
come from non-OECD countries, namely from developing countries. Reserves and
resources are sufficient to support such gas developments if the appropriate country
gas policies are decided allowing the required investments to be made in a timely
fashion in the entire gas supply chain.


                                                                                 30
Designing of Fiscal Terms
Egypt represents today one of the most successful gas stories in the world demonstrating the impact
of selecting the right country policy. The introduction of a drastically revised gas policy in the 1980s,
with amendments to the legal, fiscal and contractual framework designed to encourage gas
exploration and to promote gas utilization in the country led to a series of discoveries holding quite
large gas reserves. Today they are developed and in production by many operators for supplying
mostly the local markets with the balance exported.

 Egypt                             1980                      2000                      2010
 Proved gas
                                    80                      1,400                     2,200
 reserves (Bcm)
 Domestic Gas
                                     2                        20                        45
 demand (Bcm)
 Strategy                  Gas clause               New gas pricing

Nigeria, on the contrary, ist he example of a country with major gas resources which did not adopted
the appropriate gas policy for a long time. The most obvious consequence is that today a large share
of the associated gas is still flared while the country is not producing enough electricity, a use where
the gas is so valuable. Only quite recently in 2008, a modern gas policy was decided which may
change this energy picture when implemented.



                                                                                                     31
Designing of Fiscal Terms
Vietnam, where the petroleum law was amended in 2000 to introduce more favourable provisions
for gas relative to oil, in terms of extended exploration–including a retention period of up to 7 years–
and exploitation duration, royalty reduction along with the right to negotiate specific gas
development and exploitation agreements.
Indonesia, where the new Oil and Gas of 2001 covers both upstream and downstream activities–
which is not the case in most petroleum laws–and highlights the new priority to be given to
domestic gas uses versus gas exports along with the introduction for gas of a new “domestic market
supply” obligation
2000 – introduced more favourable provisions for gas
“If discovering gas with commercial value, while lacking the consumption market as well as
conditions on pipelines and suitable treatment facilities, contractors may retain the areas where gas
is found. The duration of retention of such an area shall not exceed five (5) years and may, in special
cases, be extended for two (2) more years. Pending the consumption market and the conditions on
pipelines and suitable treatment facilities, the contractors shall have to proceed with the work
already committed in the petroleum contracts.”
Article 32 as amended provides that the applicable royalty rate will be fixed in the petroleum
agreements within a more attractive range for gas: between 0 and 10% instead of 4 to 25 % for oil. In
a similar way the cost recovery gas limit and the profit gas sharing may be more favourable to the
PSC-holder.
Australia which was one of the first country to introduce the concept of a retention lease for
allowing the exploration permit-holder of an oil or gas discovery to benefit in specific cases of a
longer exploration and appraisal phase for discoveries. In addition, the possibility of joint gas
development projects combining the resources and infrastructure with third parties is encouraged
“to jointly develop or complete an access agreement for use of facilities or technology which
provides an acceptable rate of return.”


                                                                                                   32
Designing of Fiscal Terms
                                          State                     FOC                PSA Terms

            Exploration Stage            Monitor              Unable to recover           Cost Oil
                                                                   Exploration
Reserves
                                                            If Commercial recover
            Production Stage           Participation               costs early       State Participation
                           High     Give away revenue        Trade off upside for       Sliding scale
Price                                                               downside
                           Low
Costs                             Depend on participation            Flex           Recover costs early
                                                                                     Maximum cost oil
                                                                                     Linked to Rate of
                                                                                             Return


DMO                                  Secure revenue              Profitability      Link to world market

Infrastructure/Transport                                    Costs – cost recovery   Maximise Cost Oil for
                                                                                      Early recovery

Sovereign                                                      Early payback         Maximise Cost Oil




                                                                                                            33
Fiscal Systems comparison based on Value of
              Discovery After Tax




Source: Dr Alfred Kjemperud

                              A 25mmb field in Ireland gives the same profit after tax for the
                                     oil company as a144mmb field in Indonesia
                                                                                                 34
Low
                   Government Take


                                          High

                                Less
                             attractive
                               to FOC
                                                 Summary




            from FOC
           High Interest

35

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Fiscal rita jolly (formatted)

  • 1. Gas Development Master Plan Regional PSC Competition of Fiscal Terms Presented by: Rita Jolly Petroleum Development Consultants, UK Shangri-La Hotel, Jakarta 21 June 2012
  • 2. Contents • Petroleum Fiscal Systems • Elements of Fiscal Terms • Indonesia Evolution of Fiscal Terms • Regional PSC Country Comparison • Designing Fiscal Terms 2
  • 3. Petroleum Fiscal Systems Petroleum Fiscal System Contractual Concessionary Production Service Royalty/Tax Sharing Contracts Contracts Risk Service Contracts Pure Service (the service fee is linked to the profit) 3
  • 4. Petroleum Fiscal Systems Concessionary System • Allows private ownership to mineral resources • Oil company have exclusive right to explore and produce at its own risk and expense • Oil company owns production • Oil Company pays royalty, surface rent and taxes • Investor typically responsible for abandonment Contractual System • The State retains ownership to mineral resources • Contractor gets share of production • Contractor does not own the production • Contractor shares the risk with the Government • The State/NOC is typically legally responsible for abandonment 4
  • 5. Main Difference Between Concessionary System and PSC System Concessionary Production Systems Sharing Contracts Ownership of nation’s Held by sovereign state Held by sovereign state mineral resources Title transfer point At the wellhead At the export point Company entitlement Gross production less royalty Cost oil/gas + profit oil/gas Entitlement percentage Typically 90% Typically 50–60% Ownership of facilities Held by company Held by the state Typically less government More direct government Management and control control control and participation Government participation Less likely More likely (carried working interest) Ring fencing Less likely More likely 5
  • 6. Petroleum Fiscal Systems Production Sharing Contracts • PSC’s are most widely used form of contracts • Host country grants FOC right to explore and are negotiated per acreage • Each contract will address how FOC costs will be recovered • The FOC is considered a Contractor to the Government • The Contractor takes a % of production to recover costs and a profit split with the government from production of oil • PSC environment has a tendency for FOC to over explore because in effect the government picks 65% to 85% of the costs 6
  • 7. Petroleum Fiscal Systems Tax/Royalty Contracts • Mostly occur in developing countries and account for about 50% worldwide • Government imposed royalty and tax • Alternative taxes may be imposed • Applicable to all licences with fixed guidelines Risk Service Contracts • Most often in Latin America • FOC explore, develop and produce reserves with no restraints from the Host country • FOC is reimbursed for its investment and paid for the services only if there is a commercial production. 7
  • 8. Simple Flow-chart comparison of Fiscal Terms Royalty Tax PSC Service Gross Gross Production Contract Production Gross Production Royalty Royalty Cost Oil Cost Oil Less Costs Profit Oil State Production Income Tax Contractor State Contractor Fee Profit Oil Profit Oil Company’s Production Income Income Tax Tax Contractor Contractor Profit After Profit After Tax Tax 8
  • 9. Fiscal Terms Around the World Royalty/Tax PSC EUROPE Bulgaria Italy Albania Czech Republic Netherlands Malta Denmark Norway Poland France Poland Turkey Greece Portugal Hungary Romania Ireland Spain UK AFRICA Chad Namibia Algeria Kenya Congo (K) Nigeria Angola Libya Madagascar Senegal Cameroon Mauritania Malawi South Africa Congo (Br) Montenegro Mali Cote D’Ivoire Sudan Morocco Egypt Tanzania Equatorial Guinea Tunisia Gabon Uganda Ghana MIDDLE Abu Dhabi Ajman Turkey Bahrain Qatar Kazakhstan Iraq Syria EAST Jordan Turkmenistan Libya Yemen FAR Australia Thailand Bangladesh Mongolia Brunei Timor Gap B Cambodia Myanmar EAST/ASIA Korea China Nepal Pakistan (on) India Pakistan (off) PNG Indonesia Sri Lamka New Zealand Laos Timor Gap A Malaysia Vietnam AMERICAS Argentina Costa Rica Belize Ecuador Bolivia Falklands Cuba Peru Brazil Venezuela Guatemala Uruguay Canada Colombia USA Guyana Venezuela Jamaica 9
  • 10. Fiscal Terms Around the World 10
  • 11. Elements of Petroleum Fiscal Systems PSC Fiscal Terms Royalty/Tax Fiscal Terms • Work Commitment • Work Commitment • Bonus Payments • Bonus Payments • Royalties • Royalties • Cost Recovery (Cost Oil) • Government • Profit Oil Participation • Government • Domestic Market Participation Obligation • Domestic Market • Indirect Taxes Obligation • Corporation Tax • Indirect Taxes • Corporation Tax Indonesia led the world in development of Production Sharing Contracts (1954) 11
  • 12. Gas Fiscal Terms There are more fiscal systems in the world than there are countries due to:  Negotiation of Terms  Numerous vintages Trends in Gas Taxation 2003- 2008  Increases in tax percentage for gas have been much less than oil because there are still considerable gas reserves around the World  Government takes for gas in some countries stabilized or continued to decline and governments seek instead greater market access: Qatar, Venezuela, Norway and Egypt  However, government takes for gas have also increased in some jurisdictions: Algeria, Bolivia, UK, Trinidad and Tobago Trend for gas taxation systems are becoming more different from oil taxation systems. 12
  • 13. Regional PSC Country Comparison 13
  • 14. Indonesia – Evolution of Fiscal Terms First Generation PSCs 1960 - 1975 Cost Recovery 40% Second Generation PSCs 1976 - 1988 Profit split post tax: Abolition of Cost Oil Third Generation PSCs 65% State 35% Contractor Profit Oil increased to 85% 1988 onwards Profit Gas 70% or 65% Fist Tranche Petroleum 15% to Investment incentives 20% of 20% Carry forward of unrecovered costs production subject to a guarantee Cost Recovery 80% - 85% to the government of 49% of revenue over life of field CT rate 48% or 44% Oil price set by State for Interest recoverable Investment credit 17% to 20% tax calculations DMO oil 10% of export price Cost Recovery period improved from 14 to 7yrs Signature bonus $1mm to 1978 Pre-Tax PO share of 34.1% Progressive sharing split $5mm subject to CT of 56% 1984 – CT 48%, dividend tax 20%; Deregulation in certain areas Production bonus ranged Profit split reset at 28.86% to from $15mm to $50mm contractor; Investment credit reduced to 17% subject to govt Contractor provide guarantee of 25% of gross revenue abandonment DMO 25% ay 0.2c/bbl over life of field 14
  • 15. Indonesia – Evolution of Fiscal Terms Forth Generation PSCs 1995 FTP 15% Fifth Generation PSCs Post 2001 Cost Recovery 85% FTP 10% to BP MIGAS and not Profit split post tax: shared New PSCs 2008 onwards Oil 85%/15% Cost Recovery 90% Cost Recovery 90% Gas 60%/40% Profit split post tax: Profit split post tax: CT 44% Oil 75%/25% Oil 80%/20% DMO 25% oil at full first Gas 60%/40% 5yrs, 25% thereafter of Gas 70%/30% export price CT 44% CT 44% Investment credit: oil 17% No investment credit gas 55% DMO 25% oil at full first 5yrs, 25% thereafter of export price DMO floor % of total oil production DMO 25% proven gas reserves DMO floor % of total gas Depreciation 5 to 10 yrs DB production at avg contract price No interest 15
  • 16. Indonesia – Evolution of Fiscal Terms Equity Share - Gas 1995 Eastern New Contracts * Province PSC 1995 1985 - 1994 Old Tax Rate 44% 44% 44% 48% 56% Share of Production after Tax: Government varies 60 70 70 70 Contractor varies 40 30 30 30 Contractor's Share of Production before Tax 44.64 - 62.5 35/(100-44) 71.43 15/(100-44) 53.57 15/(100-48) 57.69 15/(100-56) 68.18 * General combined "C&D" tax rate fell to 42.4% in 2009 and 40% in 2010. However, gross sharing rates have not been adjusted for these new PSCs. 16
  • 17. Indonesia – PSC Fourth Generation Contractor Government PO - 28.8462% PO - 71.1538% Gross Revenue 100 5.8 14.2 First Tranche Petroleum 20% Net Revenue 80 28 Cost Oil 35% 15 37 Profit Oil 52 Taxable Income 20.8 -10 Tax 48% 10 10.8 After Tax Cash flow 61.2 15% ===Contractor Take State === 85% 17
  • 18. Indonesia – PSC Current gas Contractor Government PO – 53.571% PO – 46.429% Gross Revenue 100 First Tranche Petroleum 10% 10 Net Revenue 90 28 Cost Oil 90% 33.2 Profit Oil 62 24.8 Taxable Income 33.2 Tax 44% 14.6 -14.6 18.6 After Tax Cash flow 49.4 25.8% ===Contractor Take State === 74.2% 18
  • 19. Indonesia Evolution of Fiscal Terms 19
  • 20. Regional PSC Country Comparison Fiscal Systems in Selected Asia/Pacific Countries Exploration Development Exploitation Extension Fiscal System Retention (yrs) Bonuses (yrs) (yrs) (yrs) (yrs) THAILAND II RT 6+3 4 20 10 Negotiable THAILAND III PSC 5 5 5 gas only Oil 25 Gas 20 Negotiable Offshore 17 30 Onshore 23 BRUNEI RT 30 Negotiable Onshore 8 Offshore MALAYSIA PSC 5 Oil 15 Gas 20 Negotiable Negotiable VIETNAM PSC 5 20 - 25 Negotiable Negotiable PHILIPPINES SC 1 - 10 30 Negotiable Negotiable CHINA PSC 7-8 15 Negotiable PAKISTAN PSC Negotiable (Offshore) MYANMAR PSC 3-5 20 Negotiable Negotiable CAMBODIA PSC 8 4 30 5 Negotiable INDONESIA PSC 6 - 10 20 - 25 20 - 30 Negotiable 20
  • 21. Regional PSC Country Comparison Fiscal Systems in Selected Asia/Pacific Countries Profit Oil Contractor Royalties Cost Recovery Excess Oil State Participation DMO Share THAILAND II 12.5% 5% - 15% (deep sea THAILAND III Oil 50% Gas 60% 50% reduced by 30%) Cum prod < Oil 8% - 12.5% Gas 50% will repay past BRUNEI 80% 1.5tcf 40% > 8% costs 1.5tcf 60% 10% + 0.5% Research 20% - 100% Varies with THV Gas 30% - 80%< THV MALAYSIA 25% levy R/C Factor 0-3 THV 0.75tcf 10% - 40% >THV 15% will repay past VIETNAM 65% - 70% (V) costs PHILIPPINES 7.50% 60% Oil 0% - 12.5% Gas CHINA 0% - 3% (0% post 35% - 60% Nov 2011) PAKISTAN oil 20% - 80% (V) Gas 0% - 12.5% (Offshore) 20% - 90% oil 50% - 70% Gas Oil 10% - 55% Gas MYANMAR 10% 20% Gas 80% - 90% 60% CAMBODIA 5% - 12.5% 40% - 65% (V) oil 80% Gas 70% post 10% will repay past INDONESIA FTP - 10% 90% 25% tax costs 21
  • 22. Regional PSC Country Comparison Resource Rent Avg Government VAT Export Duty Income Tax Witholding Tax Incentives Tax Take THAILAND II 50% Yes (A) 59% Tax holiday 8yrs, THAILAND III 10% 10% for next 7yrs Yes (D) 31% thereafter 20% BRUNEI 55% 20% Yes (A) 48% 38% JDA 0% to MALAYSIA 10% 70% (Pr) Yes (H,D) 57% 20% Oil 7% - 29% Gas VIETNAM 10% 32% - 50% 15% Yes (T,RD,I) 45% 1% - 10% PHILIPPINES 30% 15% - 32% Yes E 31% 20% - 40% above 5% on oil 17% on CHINA $40/bbl; CCT 7% 25% 10% Yes (I) 26% costs ??? + ES 3% PAKISTAN 40% Yes (D) 32% (Offshore) MYANMAR 30% Yes (H) 30% CAMBODIA 30% Yes E 27% INDONESIA 44% Yes (I,A,Cr,U) 37% 22
  • 23. Notes Key D Deep water H Tax holiday V Sliding Production E Costs expensed A Accelerated depreciation I Investment Incentive Cr Tax credit P Profit linked T Reduced Tax rate RD R&D fund U Unconventional Resources 23
  • 24. Regional Fiscal Terms Comparison Fiscal Terms in selected Asia/Pacific Countries (OIL) Country State Take % Fiscal System • Indonesia • 86 – 88 • PSC • China • 84 – 88 • PSC • Brunei • 84 – 86 • RT • Vietnam • 82 – 88 • PSC • Malaysia • 82 – 85 • PSC • Myanmar • 80 – 84 • PSC • Indonesia (gas) • 66 – 70 • PSC • Thailand • 60 – 74 • RT • Cambodia • 60 – 66 • RT • PNG (gas) • 52 – 62 • RT • Philippines • 52 – 58 • SA • New Zealand • 44 - 48 • RT 24
  • 25. Fiscal Comparison by Daniel Johnston Indonesia 2008 2001 25
  • 27. NO GAS COMPARISON STUDIES?????? Crude calc use with caution!!!! 27
  • 28. NO GAS COMPARISON STUDIES?????? Commercial Fiscal Systems Assumptions Location Development Scenarios Fiscal Economic Gas Field Size Comparison Analysis 28
  • 29. Designing of Fiscal Terms Government FOC Objectives Objectives • Impact on oil/gas output • Investment Risk • Encourage Marginal Fields • Minimise front end loading • Pace of development • High Returns • Timing of abandonment • Tax stability • Sensitive to Price • Risk/Reward portfolio • Stability / flexibility • High Risk Takers • Concessionary/Contractual • Maximise Revenue • Social Economic benefits • Limit undue administration • Low Risk Takers 29
  • 30. Designing of Fiscal Terms The following basic questions have to be addressed before a country decides on its gas strategy:  How much gas is available?  What are the types and composition of the gas produced?  What are the potential markets for selling the gas at the highest added value?  How the local gas industry can be organized and what is the impact of the global outlook for gas?  Different cost environments: deep water, onshore, LNG encouraging FOC efficiency Most recent forecasts estimate that the world gas demand by 2035 may reach 4,250- 4,500 Bcm(150 to 160 Tcf), an increase of 40 to 50% relative to 2008, with a share of gas in the primary energy mix of 21%. Around 80% of the increase in gas demand may come from non-OECD countries, namely from developing countries. Reserves and resources are sufficient to support such gas developments if the appropriate country gas policies are decided allowing the required investments to be made in a timely fashion in the entire gas supply chain. 30
  • 31. Designing of Fiscal Terms Egypt represents today one of the most successful gas stories in the world demonstrating the impact of selecting the right country policy. The introduction of a drastically revised gas policy in the 1980s, with amendments to the legal, fiscal and contractual framework designed to encourage gas exploration and to promote gas utilization in the country led to a series of discoveries holding quite large gas reserves. Today they are developed and in production by many operators for supplying mostly the local markets with the balance exported. Egypt 1980 2000 2010 Proved gas 80 1,400 2,200 reserves (Bcm) Domestic Gas 2 20 45 demand (Bcm) Strategy Gas clause New gas pricing Nigeria, on the contrary, ist he example of a country with major gas resources which did not adopted the appropriate gas policy for a long time. The most obvious consequence is that today a large share of the associated gas is still flared while the country is not producing enough electricity, a use where the gas is so valuable. Only quite recently in 2008, a modern gas policy was decided which may change this energy picture when implemented. 31
  • 32. Designing of Fiscal Terms Vietnam, where the petroleum law was amended in 2000 to introduce more favourable provisions for gas relative to oil, in terms of extended exploration–including a retention period of up to 7 years– and exploitation duration, royalty reduction along with the right to negotiate specific gas development and exploitation agreements. Indonesia, where the new Oil and Gas of 2001 covers both upstream and downstream activities– which is not the case in most petroleum laws–and highlights the new priority to be given to domestic gas uses versus gas exports along with the introduction for gas of a new “domestic market supply” obligation 2000 – introduced more favourable provisions for gas “If discovering gas with commercial value, while lacking the consumption market as well as conditions on pipelines and suitable treatment facilities, contractors may retain the areas where gas is found. The duration of retention of such an area shall not exceed five (5) years and may, in special cases, be extended for two (2) more years. Pending the consumption market and the conditions on pipelines and suitable treatment facilities, the contractors shall have to proceed with the work already committed in the petroleum contracts.” Article 32 as amended provides that the applicable royalty rate will be fixed in the petroleum agreements within a more attractive range for gas: between 0 and 10% instead of 4 to 25 % for oil. In a similar way the cost recovery gas limit and the profit gas sharing may be more favourable to the PSC-holder. Australia which was one of the first country to introduce the concept of a retention lease for allowing the exploration permit-holder of an oil or gas discovery to benefit in specific cases of a longer exploration and appraisal phase for discoveries. In addition, the possibility of joint gas development projects combining the resources and infrastructure with third parties is encouraged “to jointly develop or complete an access agreement for use of facilities or technology which provides an acceptable rate of return.” 32
  • 33. Designing of Fiscal Terms State FOC PSA Terms Exploration Stage Monitor Unable to recover Cost Oil Exploration Reserves If Commercial recover Production Stage Participation costs early State Participation High Give away revenue Trade off upside for Sliding scale Price downside Low Costs Depend on participation Flex Recover costs early Maximum cost oil Linked to Rate of Return DMO Secure revenue Profitability Link to world market Infrastructure/Transport Costs – cost recovery Maximise Cost Oil for Early recovery Sovereign Early payback Maximise Cost Oil 33
  • 34. Fiscal Systems comparison based on Value of Discovery After Tax Source: Dr Alfred Kjemperud A 25mmb field in Ireland gives the same profit after tax for the oil company as a144mmb field in Indonesia 34
  • 35. Low Government Take High Less attractive to FOC Summary from FOC High Interest 35