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MSU Graduate Council Presentation February 2013
   The GRE is The Graduate Record Exam, a
    multiple-choice exam created by the
    Educational Testing Service (ETS). It is
    administered to hundreds of thousands of
    students each year and is used as an
    admission criterion by about 60% of American
    graduate schools. There are two types of GRE:
    General Test and Subject Specific Tests.
   Admission to graduate schools
   Admission to post-graduate programs
   Scholarship decisions
   The GRE is designed to predict success in
    graduate school
       first year graduate grades
       eventually earning a degree
   There is no way to know.
       Students with the lowest scores are not admitted.
        As a result, there is no way to know if they would
        have proved the predictor wrong.
   Phillips and McAuliffe (2004) found only 9% of
    students who dropped out said it was because
    they couldn’t hack the coursework.
       GRE scores don’t much differ between students
        who graduate and students who don’t.
   No.
       its own developer says undergraduate college
        grades do a better job of forecasting graduate
        achievement
            The test’s manufacturer studied 12,000 test takers and
             found the exam accounted for only 9% of the difference
             (variation) among students first-year grades.
            The 1989 study found undergraduate grades were a
             stronger predictor, accounting for 14% of the variation.
   No.
       an independent study (Morrisons, 1995) found only
        6% of variation in grades could be predicted by GRE
        scores
       it does not accurately assess a test-taker’s full
        potential for achievement in scholastic,
        professional, personal endeavors
       it does not measure critical skills associated with
        scholarly and professional competence
   Yes (Kuncel, 2001 meta-analysis).
       combinations of measures drawn from a completed
        program of graduate study predict everything but
        time taken to earn graduate degrees
            overall GPA, 1st-year GPA, comprehensive exam scores,
             faculty ratings, degree earned, time taken to complete
             degree, research productivity, & times cited by others
       subject tests outperform the general test in
        predicting grades and graduation but are rarely
        required
   Yes, if student has (1) the ability to think and
    learn; (2) knowledge within a field, and (3)
    motivation, persistence, drive, and initiative.
    Kuncel’s meta-analysis said GRE scores have
    varying abilities to measure these three factor
    groups.
          GRE general attempts to measure (1), GRE subject tests
           attempt to measure (2), and biographical record,
           undergraduate work indicates (3).
   Yes (ETS, 2005).
          GRE verbal and quantitative scores and undergraduate
           grade point average were evaluated as predictors of
           multiple measures of long-term graduate school success.
          The measures of success were cumulative graduate
           grade point average and faculty ratings on student
           characteristics: (1) mastery of the discipline, (2)
           professional productivity, and (3) communication skill.
          The combination of GRE scores and undergraduate
           grade point average strongly predicts cumulative
           graduate grade point average and faculty ratings.
   Yes, sort of (Perez, 2011).
       Graduation rate & graduate GPA correlated w/GRE
        scores then w/wider range of traits of 11 students
       GRE Quantitative & Verbal predicted success for
        master’s students but Quantitative did not predict
        success for doctoral students; Phase 2 findings
        inconclusive except that GRE influenced access to
        graduate programs; student involvement, faculty-
        peer interaction, motivation, program structure also
        important
What do Major U Studies say of the GRE? 1984-1997

   UT Social Work utilized grades, degree completion,
    and fieldwork quality in finding the GRE was not a
    valid predictor of success.
   Bowling Green State found students with high GRE
    scores took longer to complete the geology
    program.
   Cornell & Yale Psychology found GRE test scores
    explained only 3% of the difference in grades in
    the first two years of study.
          Adding comprehensive measures of performance such as
           faculty ratings and evaluations reduced the predictive power
           of the GRE to 1% or less.
   Some researchers find the GRE predicts high-
    performing classroom behaviors, such as
    earning high GPAs and receiving better ratings
    from faculty (Jamieson, 2011).
   The GRE’s predictive power diminishes over
    time because basics are more important than
    abstract skills, imagination, and critical
    thinking for both introductory courses and the
    GRE (Jamieson, 2011).
   No (Fairtest.org, 2007). The GRE limits access to
    graduate school, particularly for women, students
    of color, and non-conventional applicants:
          Large disparities in scores exist between different groups of
           students.
                 females score lower than males despite higher course grades
                 African-American, Latino, and Native American students score lower
                  than White and Asian American students
                Researchers found the culturally-laden language of the GRE, its
                  insensitivity to the translation of skills and resources into
                  performance, and the influence of socioeconomic differences led to
                  the score disparities.
          These disparities can create graduate student bodies that are
           disproportionately male and white when test scores play a
           major role in admission decisions.
   No (Fairtest.org, 2007).
       Ranges rely on cut-off scores and studies have
        found cut-off scores are particularly arduous for
        low-income individuals and students of color, who
        on average score markedly below affluent and
        White students.
               The Ford and Danforth Foundations tracked hundreds of
                students of color they had funded for graduate school and
                concluded that more than half the students who earned a
                doctorate would not have been admitted to graduate school to
                begin with had cut-off scores and ranges been in use.
   In November 2011 Mark McClendon (MSU
    Institutional Research) presented a correlation
    analysis of GRE Scores and Graduation Rates
    as part of MSU TLRC.
   In December 2011 ETS hosted a webinar about
    the GRE and changes coming up in its scoring.
   In May 2012 McClendon elaborated on his
    2011 research in a meeting about it.
   Graduate students entering 2001-2009
    analyzed for graduated or not graduated;
    correlations run by McClendon.
       GRE scores and graduated, then by college = minor
        correlation
       GRE scores and GPA, then by college = stronger
        relationship
       These findings are in accord with the
        literature reviewed in discussing GRE as a
        predictor.
   Highlights of McClendon Correlations
       Graduated, Verbal = .009
       Science & Math Graduated Quantitative = .052;
        Total (Combined) = .018
       Graduated, Overall GPA = .000
       Graduated, Overall GPA, Business = .017
       Graduated, Overall GPA, Education = .000
       Graduated, Overall GPA, Science & Math = .043
   Following the ETS scoring changes to GRE,
    MSU applicant scores for Fall 2012 and Spring
    2013 were reviewed. Percent of examinees
    scoring lower than selected scaled scores on
       Verbal Reasoning = 1-99% for MSU applicants
       Quantitative Reasoning = 1-88% for MSU applicants
       Analytical Writing = 1-96% for MSU applicants
   Challenge for admissions decisions could be in
    relating results to meaningful performance
   Some studies suggest undergraduate GPA is a
    better predictor of graduate achievement than
    GRE.
   The best advice that emerges is that if the GRE
    is used, it should only be one measure among
    many. It is clear the GRE is not required as a
    measure of likely graduate school success, and
    ETS never says it is required (Orlando, 2005).
   ETS says,
       Regardless of the decision to be made, multiple
        sources of information should be used to ensure
        fairness and balance the limitations of any single
        measure of knowledge, skills, or abilities. These
        sources may include undergraduate grade point
        average, letters of recommendation, personal
        statement, samples of academic work, prior
        research, and professional experience related to
        proposed graduate study.
   Many schools do not require the test.
   Fairtest.org (2007) identified some graduate
    programs that have proven that institutions can
    conduct a successful admissions process
    without GRE tests. Such institutions rely on
    multi-dimensional approaches that avail
    themselves of application process information,
    including essays, grades, recommendations,
    writing samples, and interviews.
   *A brief list of such programs includes: Harvard
    Divinity School, Simmons College School of
    Social Work, Bank Street College School of
    Education, Pratt Institute School of
    Architecture, Brown University Division of
    Engineering, and Columbia University Masters
    of Science in Journalism* Fairtest (2007).
   Peer Institutions List.
   NYU, Columbia, Pace, St. Johns, LIU, CUNY, Case
    Western Reserve and a few others. It all depends
    on the programs.
   MIT, Johns Hopkins, and Cornell
   DePaul University
   MSWs –USC, Washington University in St. Louis,
    Columbia University (CUSSW does not require
    GRE scores, however, they are accepted.) ,
    University of Pennsylvania, Boston College, University
    of Michigan, Loyola University Chicago
   The University of Arizona does not require the
    Graduate Record Exam (GRE) for admission.
    However, many graduate departments do;
    every program at the University of Arizona has
    its own set of specific requirements.
   Because each West Texas A & M program has
    its own admissions requirements, some do not
    require you to take the GRE or the GMAT.
   Rice Master of Liberal Studies program does not
    require its applicants to have taken the GRE or any
    other standardized test.
   DeVry University's Keller Graduate School of
    Management does not require completion of the
    GMAT or GRE exams if your undergraduate grade point
    average was at least 2.70, based on a 4.00 scale, and
    you earned a grade of B or better in college algebra
    and English composition.
   The University of Wisconsin does not require
    the GRE for admittance, but does require the
    GRE for funding.
   Univ. of Vermont and Michigan State don't
    require them. However, some programs require
    it if you want an assistantship.

These last two resonate with the earlier noted
  use of GRE for scholarship decisions
   University of Hawaii doesn’t require scores, but they're
    encouraged. I was admitted into the program based
    on my application, essays, interviews, and transcripts.
   The University of Washington has several nationally
    ranked graduate programs that have dropped or are
    considering dropping the GRE as a requirement based
    on this analysis. They are, however, using other
    measures in the application process to determine a
    student’s ability to succeed in graduate school.
   Make GRE optional, at program discretion
   Waive GRE for students returning for additional
    graduate degrees or after a decade or more
    away from higher education
   Use multiple criteria
   Consider entry into a program simply the first of
    many assessments during a student’s
    academic career (California State University, Long Beach, 2007)
   retrieved 01 29 2013, (not properly styled)
       Does the GRE Measure Anything Related to Graduate School?, Jamie
        Hale, 2010, Psych Central,
        http://psychcentral.com/blog/archives/2010/12/09/does-the-gre-measur
       ETS-GRE, 2012, Interpretative Data Used on Score Reports
       Examining the GRE: Myths, Misuses, and Alternatives, Submitted by
        fairtest on August 20, 2007 - 12:29pm, The National Center for Fair &
        Open Testing (FairTest), http://fairtest.org/facts/gre.htm,
        http://fairtest.org/examining-gre-myths-misuses-and-alternatives
       GRE as a predictor of graduate student success at a Hispanic serving
        institution of higher education, Katherine Perez, Dissertation, 2011,
        http://udini.proquest.com/view/gre-as-a-predictor-of-graduate-
        pqid:2445875611/
   retrieved 01 29 2013, (not properly styled)
       GRE Predicts Success in Graduate School, Kuncel, 2001, University of
        Minnesota,
        http://mentalhealth.about.com/library/sci/0301/blgre301.htm
       Importance of GRE exam in Your Career, Saqib Ali Ateel, 2004-2012,
        http://www.personality-and-aptitude-career-tests.com/gre-exam.html
       Orgtheory.net, an inconvenient truth about GRE scores, May 2011,with
        93 comments to December 2012,
        http://orgtheory.wordpress.com/2011/05/09/an-inconvenient-truth-
        about-gre-scores/
       McClendon, Mark, 2012, GRE and MSU Grads
       Predicting Long-Term Success in Graduate School: A Collaborative
        Validity Study, Nancy W. Burton and Ming-mei Wang, April 2005, ETS,
        Princeton, NJ, http://www.ets.org/Media/Research/pdf/RR-05-03.pdf
   retrieved 01 29 2013, (not properly styled)
       Study of Graduate Record Exam shows it does little to predict graduate
        school success, 08 04 97,
        http://www.news.cornell.edu/releases/Aug97/GRE.study.ssl.html
       The GRE; What it tells us, and what it doesn't, Dave Jamieson,
        gradPSYCH Magazine, January 2011,
        http://www.apa.org/gradpsych/2011/01/gre.aspx
       The Reliability of GRE Scores in Predicting Graduate School Success, a
        Meta-Analytic, Cross-functional, Regressive, Unilateral, Post-Kantian,
        Hyper-empirical, Quadruple Blind, Verbiage-intensive, and Hemorrhoid-
        inducing Study, John Orlando, July 2005,
        http://ubiquity.acm.org/article.cfm?id=1071921
   Your remarks and questions are welcome now,
    or can be sent later to

       Dr. Phyllis I. Behrens, Assistant Professor,
        Department of Health and Public Administration,
        Midwestern State University, Wichita Falls, TX

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GRE, measure of graduate school success (fnl)

  • 1. MSU Graduate Council Presentation February 2013
  • 2.  The GRE is The Graduate Record Exam, a multiple-choice exam created by the Educational Testing Service (ETS). It is administered to hundreds of thousands of students each year and is used as an admission criterion by about 60% of American graduate schools. There are two types of GRE: General Test and Subject Specific Tests.
  • 3.  Admission to graduate schools  Admission to post-graduate programs  Scholarship decisions
  • 4.  The GRE is designed to predict success in graduate school  first year graduate grades  eventually earning a degree
  • 5.  There is no way to know.  Students with the lowest scores are not admitted. As a result, there is no way to know if they would have proved the predictor wrong.  Phillips and McAuliffe (2004) found only 9% of students who dropped out said it was because they couldn’t hack the coursework.  GRE scores don’t much differ between students who graduate and students who don’t.
  • 6.  No.  its own developer says undergraduate college grades do a better job of forecasting graduate achievement  The test’s manufacturer studied 12,000 test takers and found the exam accounted for only 9% of the difference (variation) among students first-year grades.  The 1989 study found undergraduate grades were a stronger predictor, accounting for 14% of the variation.
  • 7.  No.  an independent study (Morrisons, 1995) found only 6% of variation in grades could be predicted by GRE scores  it does not accurately assess a test-taker’s full potential for achievement in scholastic, professional, personal endeavors  it does not measure critical skills associated with scholarly and professional competence
  • 8.  Yes (Kuncel, 2001 meta-analysis).  combinations of measures drawn from a completed program of graduate study predict everything but time taken to earn graduate degrees  overall GPA, 1st-year GPA, comprehensive exam scores, faculty ratings, degree earned, time taken to complete degree, research productivity, & times cited by others  subject tests outperform the general test in predicting grades and graduation but are rarely required
  • 9.  Yes, if student has (1) the ability to think and learn; (2) knowledge within a field, and (3) motivation, persistence, drive, and initiative. Kuncel’s meta-analysis said GRE scores have varying abilities to measure these three factor groups.  GRE general attempts to measure (1), GRE subject tests attempt to measure (2), and biographical record, undergraduate work indicates (3).
  • 10.  Yes (ETS, 2005).  GRE verbal and quantitative scores and undergraduate grade point average were evaluated as predictors of multiple measures of long-term graduate school success.  The measures of success were cumulative graduate grade point average and faculty ratings on student characteristics: (1) mastery of the discipline, (2) professional productivity, and (3) communication skill.  The combination of GRE scores and undergraduate grade point average strongly predicts cumulative graduate grade point average and faculty ratings.
  • 11.  Yes, sort of (Perez, 2011).  Graduation rate & graduate GPA correlated w/GRE scores then w/wider range of traits of 11 students  GRE Quantitative & Verbal predicted success for master’s students but Quantitative did not predict success for doctoral students; Phase 2 findings inconclusive except that GRE influenced access to graduate programs; student involvement, faculty- peer interaction, motivation, program structure also important
  • 12. What do Major U Studies say of the GRE? 1984-1997  UT Social Work utilized grades, degree completion, and fieldwork quality in finding the GRE was not a valid predictor of success.  Bowling Green State found students with high GRE scores took longer to complete the geology program.  Cornell & Yale Psychology found GRE test scores explained only 3% of the difference in grades in the first two years of study.  Adding comprehensive measures of performance such as faculty ratings and evaluations reduced the predictive power of the GRE to 1% or less.
  • 13.  Some researchers find the GRE predicts high- performing classroom behaviors, such as earning high GPAs and receiving better ratings from faculty (Jamieson, 2011).  The GRE’s predictive power diminishes over time because basics are more important than abstract skills, imagination, and critical thinking for both introductory courses and the GRE (Jamieson, 2011).
  • 14.  No (Fairtest.org, 2007). The GRE limits access to graduate school, particularly for women, students of color, and non-conventional applicants:  Large disparities in scores exist between different groups of students.  females score lower than males despite higher course grades  African-American, Latino, and Native American students score lower than White and Asian American students Researchers found the culturally-laden language of the GRE, its insensitivity to the translation of skills and resources into performance, and the influence of socioeconomic differences led to the score disparities.  These disparities can create graduate student bodies that are disproportionately male and white when test scores play a major role in admission decisions.
  • 15.  No (Fairtest.org, 2007).  Ranges rely on cut-off scores and studies have found cut-off scores are particularly arduous for low-income individuals and students of color, who on average score markedly below affluent and White students.  The Ford and Danforth Foundations tracked hundreds of students of color they had funded for graduate school and concluded that more than half the students who earned a doctorate would not have been admitted to graduate school to begin with had cut-off scores and ranges been in use.
  • 16.  In November 2011 Mark McClendon (MSU Institutional Research) presented a correlation analysis of GRE Scores and Graduation Rates as part of MSU TLRC.  In December 2011 ETS hosted a webinar about the GRE and changes coming up in its scoring.  In May 2012 McClendon elaborated on his 2011 research in a meeting about it.
  • 17.  Graduate students entering 2001-2009 analyzed for graduated or not graduated; correlations run by McClendon.  GRE scores and graduated, then by college = minor correlation  GRE scores and GPA, then by college = stronger relationship  These findings are in accord with the literature reviewed in discussing GRE as a predictor.
  • 18.  Highlights of McClendon Correlations  Graduated, Verbal = .009  Science & Math Graduated Quantitative = .052; Total (Combined) = .018  Graduated, Overall GPA = .000  Graduated, Overall GPA, Business = .017  Graduated, Overall GPA, Education = .000  Graduated, Overall GPA, Science & Math = .043
  • 19.  Following the ETS scoring changes to GRE, MSU applicant scores for Fall 2012 and Spring 2013 were reviewed. Percent of examinees scoring lower than selected scaled scores on  Verbal Reasoning = 1-99% for MSU applicants  Quantitative Reasoning = 1-88% for MSU applicants  Analytical Writing = 1-96% for MSU applicants  Challenge for admissions decisions could be in relating results to meaningful performance
  • 20.  Some studies suggest undergraduate GPA is a better predictor of graduate achievement than GRE.  The best advice that emerges is that if the GRE is used, it should only be one measure among many. It is clear the GRE is not required as a measure of likely graduate school success, and ETS never says it is required (Orlando, 2005).
  • 21.  ETS says,  Regardless of the decision to be made, multiple sources of information should be used to ensure fairness and balance the limitations of any single measure of knowledge, skills, or abilities. These sources may include undergraduate grade point average, letters of recommendation, personal statement, samples of academic work, prior research, and professional experience related to proposed graduate study.
  • 22.  Many schools do not require the test.  Fairtest.org (2007) identified some graduate programs that have proven that institutions can conduct a successful admissions process without GRE tests. Such institutions rely on multi-dimensional approaches that avail themselves of application process information, including essays, grades, recommendations, writing samples, and interviews.
  • 23.  *A brief list of such programs includes: Harvard Divinity School, Simmons College School of Social Work, Bank Street College School of Education, Pratt Institute School of Architecture, Brown University Division of Engineering, and Columbia University Masters of Science in Journalism* Fairtest (2007).  Peer Institutions List.
  • 24.  NYU, Columbia, Pace, St. Johns, LIU, CUNY, Case Western Reserve and a few others. It all depends on the programs.  MIT, Johns Hopkins, and Cornell  DePaul University  MSWs –USC, Washington University in St. Louis, Columbia University (CUSSW does not require GRE scores, however, they are accepted.) , University of Pennsylvania, Boston College, University of Michigan, Loyola University Chicago
  • 25.  The University of Arizona does not require the Graduate Record Exam (GRE) for admission. However, many graduate departments do; every program at the University of Arizona has its own set of specific requirements.  Because each West Texas A & M program has its own admissions requirements, some do not require you to take the GRE or the GMAT.
  • 26.  Rice Master of Liberal Studies program does not require its applicants to have taken the GRE or any other standardized test.  DeVry University's Keller Graduate School of Management does not require completion of the GMAT or GRE exams if your undergraduate grade point average was at least 2.70, based on a 4.00 scale, and you earned a grade of B or better in college algebra and English composition.
  • 27.  The University of Wisconsin does not require the GRE for admittance, but does require the GRE for funding.  Univ. of Vermont and Michigan State don't require them. However, some programs require it if you want an assistantship. These last two resonate with the earlier noted use of GRE for scholarship decisions
  • 28.  University of Hawaii doesn’t require scores, but they're encouraged. I was admitted into the program based on my application, essays, interviews, and transcripts.  The University of Washington has several nationally ranked graduate programs that have dropped or are considering dropping the GRE as a requirement based on this analysis. They are, however, using other measures in the application process to determine a student’s ability to succeed in graduate school.
  • 29.  Make GRE optional, at program discretion  Waive GRE for students returning for additional graduate degrees or after a decade or more away from higher education  Use multiple criteria  Consider entry into a program simply the first of many assessments during a student’s academic career (California State University, Long Beach, 2007)
  • 30.  retrieved 01 29 2013, (not properly styled)  Does the GRE Measure Anything Related to Graduate School?, Jamie Hale, 2010, Psych Central, http://psychcentral.com/blog/archives/2010/12/09/does-the-gre-measur  ETS-GRE, 2012, Interpretative Data Used on Score Reports  Examining the GRE: Myths, Misuses, and Alternatives, Submitted by fairtest on August 20, 2007 - 12:29pm, The National Center for Fair & Open Testing (FairTest), http://fairtest.org/facts/gre.htm, http://fairtest.org/examining-gre-myths-misuses-and-alternatives  GRE as a predictor of graduate student success at a Hispanic serving institution of higher education, Katherine Perez, Dissertation, 2011, http://udini.proquest.com/view/gre-as-a-predictor-of-graduate- pqid:2445875611/
  • 31.  retrieved 01 29 2013, (not properly styled)  GRE Predicts Success in Graduate School, Kuncel, 2001, University of Minnesota, http://mentalhealth.about.com/library/sci/0301/blgre301.htm  Importance of GRE exam in Your Career, Saqib Ali Ateel, 2004-2012, http://www.personality-and-aptitude-career-tests.com/gre-exam.html  Orgtheory.net, an inconvenient truth about GRE scores, May 2011,with 93 comments to December 2012, http://orgtheory.wordpress.com/2011/05/09/an-inconvenient-truth- about-gre-scores/  McClendon, Mark, 2012, GRE and MSU Grads  Predicting Long-Term Success in Graduate School: A Collaborative Validity Study, Nancy W. Burton and Ming-mei Wang, April 2005, ETS, Princeton, NJ, http://www.ets.org/Media/Research/pdf/RR-05-03.pdf
  • 32.  retrieved 01 29 2013, (not properly styled)  Study of Graduate Record Exam shows it does little to predict graduate school success, 08 04 97, http://www.news.cornell.edu/releases/Aug97/GRE.study.ssl.html  The GRE; What it tells us, and what it doesn't, Dave Jamieson, gradPSYCH Magazine, January 2011, http://www.apa.org/gradpsych/2011/01/gre.aspx  The Reliability of GRE Scores in Predicting Graduate School Success, a Meta-Analytic, Cross-functional, Regressive, Unilateral, Post-Kantian, Hyper-empirical, Quadruple Blind, Verbiage-intensive, and Hemorrhoid- inducing Study, John Orlando, July 2005, http://ubiquity.acm.org/article.cfm?id=1071921
  • 33.  Your remarks and questions are welcome now, or can be sent later to  Dr. Phyllis I. Behrens, Assistant Professor, Department of Health and Public Administration, Midwestern State University, Wichita Falls, TX