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TOD: Technology Opportunity
Discovery
Seonho Kim Ph.D. (seonhokim@gmail.com)
Future Information Research Center
Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information
II-SDV 2015 (April 20-21)
Nice, France
Contents
 KISTI introduction
 TOD (Technology Opportunity Discovery) Project
 How TOD works
 TOD architecture
 Opportunity Search
 Information Extraction
 Interface design
 Usage Scenarios of TOD
 Search for Products of Opportunity
 Competitor Benchmarking
 Product-Technology Relations
 Examples of TOD result
KISTI
 KISTI (Korea Institute of Science and
Technology Information)
 Missions
 Proliferate science and technology
Information
 Support scientists, engineers, SMEs(small
and medium size enterprise), and decision
makers
 Develop the Supercomputing
Infrastructure
 Since 1962
 590 Employees
TOD Project
 TOD (Technology Opportunity Discovery) System
 Technology Opportunity?
 Strategic technologies to concentrate on (decision makers)
 Emerging research chances ( researchers)
 in TOD ?
 Possibly profitable technologies or artifacts (SMEs)
 Technology Opportunity for whom?
 Opportunity for mankind?
 Opportunity for you and me (and SMEs)
 Customized for each user
 Realistic and tangible
 Low cost to realize
 Maximize utilization of pre-owned technologies and resources
 Input my current technology and artifact, discover next technology
and artifact for me  TOD system
Three Ways to Discover
Opportunities
 Anticipate Future Needs
 Forecast Future Life and Technology… too hard! (X)
 Analyze the trend and forecast near future
 Exploring the industrial knowledge and
technology of products and their components
 Search for patterns of recombination of ideas and
artifacts
 Exploring Supply chain
 Imitating competitors and partners
 Benchmarking
 Portfolio analysis
How TOD Works
 Predicting
 Analyze latest trends in patents and Trademark, predict
the needs of near future
 Exploring
 Supply chain to find
 Upstream/Downstream products
 Sibling products
 Similar products
 Benchmarking, Portfolio Analysis
 Patent Assignees
 Competitors
 Partners
TOD Architecture
Industrial
Trend Analysis
Supply Chain
Exploring
Competitor/P
artner
Analysis
Opportunity
Suggestion
Attractivenes
s Evaluation
Supply Chain Exploring
 Opportunities can be
discovered from…
 Co-occuring products
 Patents referred by patents
about current products
 Upstream products
 Downstream products
 Sibling products
 Products of competitors (similar
assignees)
 Competitor’s searches
Source Data of TOD
 US Trademark DB
 Patent (USPTO)
 1993-2014 (3,799,190 patents)
 IPC code: A,B,C,D,E,F,G,H
 Title, abstract, background, summary, description of drawing, and
claims
A Human Necessities 626,402
B Performing Operations; Transporting 655,772
C Chemistry; Metallurgy 339,189
D Textiles; Paper 28,888
E Fixed Constructions 82,498
F Mechanical Engineering; Lighting; Heating; Weapons; Blasting 244,917
G Physics 1,034,492
H Electricity 787,032
Supply Chain
 Network of artifacts
 Made from “Entity” (parts, products, technologies…)
and “Relation” (is-a, part-of, comprising,
substitutable…) extracted from USPTO
 E.g.
Information Extraction
 Build Product name Dictionary from US Trademark
DB
IC 009. US 021 023 026 036 038. G & S: Automated teller machines (ATM); Computer application software
for automated teller machines, namely, software for operating automated teller machines
IC 037. US 100 103 106. G & S: Installation and maintenance of automated teller machines
Word Mark DIEBOLD RIVO
Goods and Services
IC 009. US 021 023 026 036 038. G & S: Automated teller machines (ATM); Computer application software
for automated teller machines, namely, software for operating automated teller machines
IC 037. US 100 103 106. G & S: Installation and maintenance of automated teller machines
Standard Characters Claimed
Mark Drawing Code (4) STANDARD CHARACTER MARK
Serial Number 85896550
Filing Date April 5, 2013
Current Basis 1B
Original Filing Basis 1B
Owner
(APPLICANT) Diebold, Incorporated CORPORATION OHIO 5995 Mayfair Road North Canton OHIO
44720
Attorney of Record Patricia A. Walker
Prior Registrations 2802243;3875502;4194288;AND OTHERS
Type of Mark TRADEMARK. SERVICE MARK
Register PRINCIPAL
Live/Dead Indicator LIVE
IC 009. US 021 023 026 036 038. G & S: Automated teller machines (ATM); Computer application software
for automated teller machines, namely, software for operating automated teller machines
IC 037. US 100 103 106. G & S: Installation and maintenance of automated teller machines
Goods and Services
Product Name Dictionary
 Product name Dictionary
 328,288
 E.g.
 Automated Teller Machines
 ATM
 Product Idioms
 1,060,065
 E.g.
 Computer application software for automated teller
machines
 Software for operating automated teller machines
Relation Extraction
 By using NLP technique
 USPTO
Statistics
Three Usage Scenarios of
TOD
 Searching for Product of Opportunity based on
current owned technologies
1. Search for products currently producing
2. Search for products of opportunity
3. Portfolio analysis
4. Attractiveness evaluation
 Benchmarking Competitors (partners)
 Analyzing Product-Technology Relations (not
covered in this presentation)
Interface for Product
Opportunity Search
Supply Chain of
“Image Sensor”
Backward
Products
forward
Products
Patent list of
selected
product
Sibling Products
of
“Printed Circuit
Board”
Backward
Sharing
Products
Foreward
Sharing
Products
Patent trend
by year
Estimated
Growth
Patent Right
Owners
Analysis
Statistic,
scores
Product name Patents Similar Products
Interface for Competitor
Benchmarking
 Comparison of Patents
 Portfolio analysis of competitors / partners
 Clustering competitors
Patent right
owners
Select b/w ratio and number
of patents
Competitor’s
portfolio Tech
portfolio by
year
Competitor’s
portfolio
Major
products
Patent right
owners clustered
by similarity of
products
Interface for
Attractiveness Evaluation
Interface for
Summarization
IPC similarity
Growth rate
of last three
years
Promising
Similarity 
 Similarities
 Assignees
 IPC
 Upstream and
downstream product
 Degree of Promising
 Growth rate
 Mean year value
LED’s
Similarity
Promising
Best
Worst
Demo
 Official beta version is available at
 http://tod.kisti.re.kr
Example1: Highly ranked
promising item by TOD
 Client Computing Device
One of Gartner’s Top 10 tech. of 2015
Example2: Highly ranked
promising item by TOD
 Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
Example3: Highly ranked
promising item by TOD
 Beacon
Questions? Comments?

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II-SDV 2015, 20 - 21 April, in Nice

  • 1. TOD: Technology Opportunity Discovery Seonho Kim Ph.D. (seonhokim@gmail.com) Future Information Research Center Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information II-SDV 2015 (April 20-21) Nice, France
  • 2. Contents  KISTI introduction  TOD (Technology Opportunity Discovery) Project  How TOD works  TOD architecture  Opportunity Search  Information Extraction  Interface design  Usage Scenarios of TOD  Search for Products of Opportunity  Competitor Benchmarking  Product-Technology Relations  Examples of TOD result
  • 3. KISTI  KISTI (Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information)  Missions  Proliferate science and technology Information  Support scientists, engineers, SMEs(small and medium size enterprise), and decision makers  Develop the Supercomputing Infrastructure  Since 1962  590 Employees
  • 4. TOD Project  TOD (Technology Opportunity Discovery) System  Technology Opportunity?  Strategic technologies to concentrate on (decision makers)  Emerging research chances ( researchers)  in TOD ?  Possibly profitable technologies or artifacts (SMEs)  Technology Opportunity for whom?  Opportunity for mankind?  Opportunity for you and me (and SMEs)  Customized for each user  Realistic and tangible  Low cost to realize  Maximize utilization of pre-owned technologies and resources  Input my current technology and artifact, discover next technology and artifact for me  TOD system
  • 5. Three Ways to Discover Opportunities  Anticipate Future Needs  Forecast Future Life and Technology… too hard! (X)  Analyze the trend and forecast near future  Exploring the industrial knowledge and technology of products and their components  Search for patterns of recombination of ideas and artifacts  Exploring Supply chain  Imitating competitors and partners  Benchmarking  Portfolio analysis
  • 6. How TOD Works  Predicting  Analyze latest trends in patents and Trademark, predict the needs of near future  Exploring  Supply chain to find  Upstream/Downstream products  Sibling products  Similar products  Benchmarking, Portfolio Analysis  Patent Assignees  Competitors  Partners
  • 7. TOD Architecture Industrial Trend Analysis Supply Chain Exploring Competitor/P artner Analysis Opportunity Suggestion Attractivenes s Evaluation
  • 8. Supply Chain Exploring  Opportunities can be discovered from…  Co-occuring products  Patents referred by patents about current products  Upstream products  Downstream products  Sibling products  Products of competitors (similar assignees)  Competitor’s searches
  • 9. Source Data of TOD  US Trademark DB  Patent (USPTO)  1993-2014 (3,799,190 patents)  IPC code: A,B,C,D,E,F,G,H  Title, abstract, background, summary, description of drawing, and claims A Human Necessities 626,402 B Performing Operations; Transporting 655,772 C Chemistry; Metallurgy 339,189 D Textiles; Paper 28,888 E Fixed Constructions 82,498 F Mechanical Engineering; Lighting; Heating; Weapons; Blasting 244,917 G Physics 1,034,492 H Electricity 787,032
  • 10. Supply Chain  Network of artifacts  Made from “Entity” (parts, products, technologies…) and “Relation” (is-a, part-of, comprising, substitutable…) extracted from USPTO  E.g.
  • 11. Information Extraction  Build Product name Dictionary from US Trademark DB IC 009. US 021 023 026 036 038. G & S: Automated teller machines (ATM); Computer application software for automated teller machines, namely, software for operating automated teller machines IC 037. US 100 103 106. G & S: Installation and maintenance of automated teller machines Word Mark DIEBOLD RIVO Goods and Services IC 009. US 021 023 026 036 038. G & S: Automated teller machines (ATM); Computer application software for automated teller machines, namely, software for operating automated teller machines IC 037. US 100 103 106. G & S: Installation and maintenance of automated teller machines Standard Characters Claimed Mark Drawing Code (4) STANDARD CHARACTER MARK Serial Number 85896550 Filing Date April 5, 2013 Current Basis 1B Original Filing Basis 1B Owner (APPLICANT) Diebold, Incorporated CORPORATION OHIO 5995 Mayfair Road North Canton OHIO 44720 Attorney of Record Patricia A. Walker Prior Registrations 2802243;3875502;4194288;AND OTHERS Type of Mark TRADEMARK. SERVICE MARK Register PRINCIPAL Live/Dead Indicator LIVE IC 009. US 021 023 026 036 038. G & S: Automated teller machines (ATM); Computer application software for automated teller machines, namely, software for operating automated teller machines IC 037. US 100 103 106. G & S: Installation and maintenance of automated teller machines Goods and Services
  • 12. Product Name Dictionary  Product name Dictionary  328,288  E.g.  Automated Teller Machines  ATM  Product Idioms  1,060,065  E.g.  Computer application software for automated teller machines  Software for operating automated teller machines
  • 13. Relation Extraction  By using NLP technique  USPTO
  • 15. Three Usage Scenarios of TOD  Searching for Product of Opportunity based on current owned technologies 1. Search for products currently producing 2. Search for products of opportunity 3. Portfolio analysis 4. Attractiveness evaluation  Benchmarking Competitors (partners)  Analyzing Product-Technology Relations (not covered in this presentation)
  • 17. Supply Chain of “Image Sensor” Backward Products forward Products Patent list of selected product
  • 19. Patent trend by year Estimated Growth Patent Right Owners Analysis Statistic, scores Product name Patents Similar Products
  • 20. Interface for Competitor Benchmarking  Comparison of Patents  Portfolio analysis of competitors / partners  Clustering competitors
  • 21. Patent right owners Select b/w ratio and number of patents
  • 24. Patent right owners clustered by similarity of products
  • 26. Interface for Summarization IPC similarity Growth rate of last three years Promising Similarity 
  • 27.  Similarities  Assignees  IPC  Upstream and downstream product  Degree of Promising  Growth rate  Mean year value LED’s Similarity Promising Best Worst
  • 28. Demo  Official beta version is available at  http://tod.kisti.re.kr
  • 29. Example1: Highly ranked promising item by TOD  Client Computing Device One of Gartner’s Top 10 tech. of 2015
  • 30. Example2: Highly ranked promising item by TOD  Unmanned Aerial Vehicle
  • 31. Example3: Highly ranked promising item by TOD  Beacon