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The Universe took 13 billion years to
  create the miracle that is you…




                             Guy Dauncey 2011
                            www.earthfuture.com
Josephine Wall www.josephinewall.co.uk
During the millions of years when our
 bodies were evolving we always ate
         local organic food
100% local organic
       food

No artificial additives
    flavourings
 or preservatives
We’ve come a long way from this….




                          Guy Dauncey 2011
                         www.earthfuture.com
To this …




             Guy Dauncey 2011
            www.earthfuture.com
but…


        Guy Dauncey 2011
       www.earthfuture.com
We’ve also come to this…




                             Guy Dauncey 2011
                            Smithore Dreamstime.com
                           www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2011
www.earthfuture.com
Agriculture
before the industrial age
Agriculture today
Agriculture
before the industrial age
Agriculture today
Agriculture
before the industrial age
Agriculture today
David, 1504.

Raised on 100% local
organic food.

Risk of injury or death in
combat with Goliath.




                 Guy Dauncey 2012
                www.earthfuture.com
David, 2012

Raised on junk food.

Risk of diabetes, cancer,
heart disease, stroke,
Alzheimer’s, liver damage,
sleep apnea, respiratory
problems, dyslipidemia,
arthritis and erectile
dysfunction.




               Guy Dauncey 2012
              www.earthfuture.com
Guy Dauncey 2012
www.earthfuture.com
Chinese people who eat American-style fast food four
or more times a week are nearly twice as likely to die of
cardiac illness than those who eat no fast food.
Food grown using chemical pesticides…

• Over 45 pesticides are known or
potential carcinogens: almost half are
still used in North America.

• Farmers in industrialized countries
develop and die of more cancers than
the general population.

• In a 2001 study of 96 Seattle children,
only one child, who had eaten
exclusively organic food, showed no
measurable concentration of
organophosphates from pesticides.
Alzheimer's Disease
Alzheimer's Disease
Worldwide, 36 million people
have the disease

115 million people will get
Alzheimer's by 2050

36% of people in the US are
obese, putting them at greater
risk of Alzheimer's

5.4 million adults in the US have
Alzheimer’s. Their healthcare
cost $130 billion in 2011.
Alzheimer's Disease




Current science – Alzheimer’s may be Diabetes Type 3
        and is its cause may be linked to the
             consumption of junk food.
The way we eat …
The way we eat …
The way we farm
Eager to kill the bugs,
we spray with pesticides and herbicides
Advert in TIME Magazine, late 1940s
When the soil is no longer fed with organic
nutrients, farmers turn to chemical fertilizers
Conventional   Organic
.
   Since the 1940s & 1950s,
    the mineral content of
  non-organic food has fallen:
         50% less iron
         50% less calcium
         50% less sodium
         50% less copper
         50% less magnesium
         50% less selenium

Meat / cheese:   50% less iron
Broccoli:        63% less calcium
Potatoes:        100% less vitamin A
Non-organic tomatoes:

61% less calcium
43% less Vitamin A
25% less iron
23% less protein
17% less Vitamin C
11% less phosphorus
8% less niacin

65% more fat
200% more sodium (salt)
Non-Organic Potatoes:

100% less vitamin A
57% less vitamin C
50% less iron
50% less riboflavin
28% less calcium
18% less thiamine




      Source: Globe & Mail, June 6, 2002. Story by Andre Picard
           quoted in The End of Food by Thomas Pawlick
Plants have evolved on the land over 400 million
   years. They know every trick in the book.
      When they are attacked by a fungus,
 they produce phytochemicals and metabolites
            to defend themselves.
When plants are sprayed
against pests and fungi they are
never attacked, so they have no
  need to defend themselves.
Since they are not attacked,
  they don’t use energy generating
defensive phytochemical compounds.
Organic crops must still defend themselves,
       and we are the beneficiaries:
 Organic corn:           58% more antioxidants
 Organic strawberries:   19% more antioxidants
 Organic produce:        higher levels of vitamin C
 Organic fruits:         higher levels of salvestrols
When humans and animals eat the
phytochemicals that are abundant in organic
     food, they play an important role
       in protecting against cancer.


                             Vitamins
                            Antioxidants
                            Salvestrols
                            Salicylic acid
CO2                CO2
  CO2
                      CO2   CO2      CO2
         100 million tonnes a day
             = 4 million tonnes an hour
                  = 67,000 tonnes a minute
            As we burn the fossil fuels…
                      = 1,000 tonnes a second



                                        Guy Dauncey 2011
Guy Dauncey 2007
www.earthfuture.com                    www.earthfuture.com
The Melting Arctic




                      BCSEA 2012
                     www.bcsea.org
California
In a worst case, up to 90% of
  the Sierra snowpack could
disappear, all but eliminating
  the natural storage system
 that feeds the valleys at the
   heart of the farm industry.

California supplies more than
   half of America’s fruits,
     vegetables and nuts.
China…
“The rule of thumb is that we lose about 10% of
world food production for every rise of one degree C
in average global temperature.
So the shortages will grow and the price of food will
rise inexorably over the years. The riots will return
again and again.”
               - Gwynne Dyer, author of Climate Wars
There are 7,702 hectares of land in the Alberni Valley ALR.
Only 3,171 hectares ‐ about 41% - are actively farmed.

4,531 hectares of ALR farmland are not being farmed.
Over 90% of the farmed land is used for livestock
production or feed for the livestock industry.
Only 239 hectares are used for vegetables, berries, grapes
and other horticultural food crops. 3% of the farmland.
The valley produces between 5% and 11% of the food
consumed locally.
Clearly, there is significant capacity for increased
agricultural production in the Alberni Valley.
So why isn’t it happening?   Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
89-95% of Port Alberni’s Food is imported…
Profitability, or lack thereof, is probably the main
reason.

The combined gross farm receipts for the 89 farms in
the area are $5.49 million – average $61,797 per farm.

Total operating expenses are $5.08 million.

The farmer keeps about 8 cents of every dollar sold –
an average of about $4,606 per farm to cover overhead
costs.




                 Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
Agricultural capability maps indicate that 5,184 ha
could be improved to prime capability with
irrigation – only 554 ha are currently irrigated.

Land could be converted to higher value crops,
with better margins, if there was more water
available for irrigation.

The average farm operator is 55 years old

It is expensive and time consuming and it may
take different resources to convert to higher
valued crops, so long term farmers are resisting
changing.

                 Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
Production is down from historic levels.

Processing and distribution facilities have shifted
to other areas so access to markets is more
challenging for many producers.

The livestock industry is in a state of decline.

In the past decade, the number of dairy farms has
dropped from seven or eight down to one active
farm.

Long‐term livestock farmers are not inclined to
switch to horticultural enterprises.

               Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
Despite this, the demand for local food has never been
stronger.
Consumers want to buy food they trust from people
they trust.
The Alberni Valley has experienced farmers and quality
soils.
There are opportunities to increase direct‐marketed
products to local consumer and to tourists.
… food for thought for developing a vision and plan for
agriculture in the Alberni Valley.
                             Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
Good farmland   Young people
  sits empty    want to farm
+ Goal 13:
 Find and create
  new ways for
young people to
    be able to
access farmland,
    and start
     farming.
Alberni Valley Farmland
4,531 hectares are not being farmed
The Agricultural Land
       Reserve is
 a great piece of policy.

         But it is
preventing young farmers
      from moving
     onto the land.
Young people want to farm!
PROPOSED ALR RULE CHANGE #1:
Allow any farm of more than than 20 hectares to
build a clustered farm village on 1 hectare.

The residents must obtain at least 50% of
income from farm-related work.

Build or self-build the village as strata-title
community housing.

Assign 1 hectare of farmland per household to
be bought or leased by the new farm villagers.
PROPOSED RULE CHANGE #2
       (Carolyn’s Rule)
Require an ALR land-holder to grow food
(not hay) on at least 10% of the land.

If a farm-owner is unable to do so, he or
she must lease the land to another farmer
or pay increased tax on the land.
Farm Villages are as old as the hills…
Hida Farming Village near Takayama, Japan
Gimmelwald Village, Switzerland
Yarrow Ecovillage, Yale, BC
Shawnigan Lake
Brithdir Mawr Community, Wales
Cob Housing
Haliburton Farm, Saanich, Victoria
    Municipal land ownership
Araxi Longtable,
North Arm Farm, Pemberton, BC
Guy Dauncey
www.earthfuture.com

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Food, Farming, Future

  • 1.
  • 2. The Universe took 13 billion years to create the miracle that is you… Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com
  • 4. During the millions of years when our bodies were evolving we always ate local organic food
  • 5. 100% local organic food No artificial additives flavourings or preservatives
  • 6. We’ve come a long way from this…. Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com
  • 7. To this … Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com
  • 8. but… Guy Dauncey 2011 www.earthfuture.com
  • 9. We’ve also come to this… Guy Dauncey 2011 Smithore Dreamstime.com www.earthfuture.com
  • 22. David, 1504. Raised on 100% local organic food. Risk of injury or death in combat with Goliath. Guy Dauncey 2012 www.earthfuture.com
  • 23. David, 2012 Raised on junk food. Risk of diabetes, cancer, heart disease, stroke, Alzheimer’s, liver damage, sleep apnea, respiratory problems, dyslipidemia, arthritis and erectile dysfunction. Guy Dauncey 2012 www.earthfuture.com
  • 25. Chinese people who eat American-style fast food four or more times a week are nearly twice as likely to die of cardiac illness than those who eat no fast food.
  • 26.
  • 27. Food grown using chemical pesticides… • Over 45 pesticides are known or potential carcinogens: almost half are still used in North America. • Farmers in industrialized countries develop and die of more cancers than the general population. • In a 2001 study of 96 Seattle children, only one child, who had eaten exclusively organic food, showed no measurable concentration of organophosphates from pesticides.
  • 29. Alzheimer's Disease Worldwide, 36 million people have the disease 115 million people will get Alzheimer's by 2050 36% of people in the US are obese, putting them at greater risk of Alzheimer's 5.4 million adults in the US have Alzheimer’s. Their healthcare cost $130 billion in 2011.
  • 30. Alzheimer's Disease Current science – Alzheimer’s may be Diabetes Type 3 and is its cause may be linked to the consumption of junk food.
  • 31.
  • 32. The way we eat …
  • 33. The way we eat …
  • 34. The way we farm
  • 35. Eager to kill the bugs, we spray with pesticides and herbicides
  • 36. Advert in TIME Magazine, late 1940s
  • 37. When the soil is no longer fed with organic nutrients, farmers turn to chemical fertilizers
  • 38.
  • 39. Conventional Organic
  • 40. . Since the 1940s & 1950s, the mineral content of non-organic food has fallen: 50% less iron 50% less calcium 50% less sodium 50% less copper 50% less magnesium 50% less selenium Meat / cheese: 50% less iron Broccoli: 63% less calcium Potatoes: 100% less vitamin A
  • 41. Non-organic tomatoes: 61% less calcium 43% less Vitamin A 25% less iron 23% less protein 17% less Vitamin C 11% less phosphorus 8% less niacin 65% more fat 200% more sodium (salt)
  • 42. Non-Organic Potatoes: 100% less vitamin A 57% less vitamin C 50% less iron 50% less riboflavin 28% less calcium 18% less thiamine Source: Globe & Mail, June 6, 2002. Story by Andre Picard quoted in The End of Food by Thomas Pawlick
  • 43. Plants have evolved on the land over 400 million years. They know every trick in the book. When they are attacked by a fungus, they produce phytochemicals and metabolites to defend themselves.
  • 44. When plants are sprayed against pests and fungi they are never attacked, so they have no need to defend themselves.
  • 45. Since they are not attacked, they don’t use energy generating defensive phytochemical compounds.
  • 46. Organic crops must still defend themselves, and we are the beneficiaries: Organic corn: 58% more antioxidants Organic strawberries: 19% more antioxidants Organic produce: higher levels of vitamin C Organic fruits: higher levels of salvestrols
  • 47. When humans and animals eat the phytochemicals that are abundant in organic food, they play an important role in protecting against cancer. Vitamins Antioxidants Salvestrols Salicylic acid
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 CO2 100 million tonnes a day = 4 million tonnes an hour = 67,000 tonnes a minute As we burn the fossil fuels… = 1,000 tonnes a second Guy Dauncey 2011 Guy Dauncey 2007 www.earthfuture.com www.earthfuture.com
  • 51.
  • 52. The Melting Arctic BCSEA 2012 www.bcsea.org
  • 53. California In a worst case, up to 90% of the Sierra snowpack could disappear, all but eliminating the natural storage system that feeds the valleys at the heart of the farm industry. California supplies more than half of America’s fruits, vegetables and nuts.
  • 55.
  • 56.
  • 57. “The rule of thumb is that we lose about 10% of world food production for every rise of one degree C in average global temperature. So the shortages will grow and the price of food will rise inexorably over the years. The riots will return again and again.” - Gwynne Dyer, author of Climate Wars
  • 58.
  • 59.
  • 60.
  • 61.
  • 62. There are 7,702 hectares of land in the Alberni Valley ALR. Only 3,171 hectares ‐ about 41% - are actively farmed. 4,531 hectares of ALR farmland are not being farmed. Over 90% of the farmed land is used for livestock production or feed for the livestock industry. Only 239 hectares are used for vegetables, berries, grapes and other horticultural food crops. 3% of the farmland. The valley produces between 5% and 11% of the food consumed locally. Clearly, there is significant capacity for increased agricultural production in the Alberni Valley. So why isn’t it happening? Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
  • 63. 89-95% of Port Alberni’s Food is imported…
  • 64.
  • 65. Profitability, or lack thereof, is probably the main reason. The combined gross farm receipts for the 89 farms in the area are $5.49 million – average $61,797 per farm. Total operating expenses are $5.08 million. The farmer keeps about 8 cents of every dollar sold – an average of about $4,606 per farm to cover overhead costs. Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
  • 66. Agricultural capability maps indicate that 5,184 ha could be improved to prime capability with irrigation – only 554 ha are currently irrigated. Land could be converted to higher value crops, with better margins, if there was more water available for irrigation. The average farm operator is 55 years old It is expensive and time consuming and it may take different resources to convert to higher valued crops, so long term farmers are resisting changing. Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
  • 67. Production is down from historic levels. Processing and distribution facilities have shifted to other areas so access to markets is more challenging for many producers. The livestock industry is in a state of decline. In the past decade, the number of dairy farms has dropped from seven or eight down to one active farm. Long‐term livestock farmers are not inclined to switch to horticultural enterprises. Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
  • 68. Despite this, the demand for local food has never been stronger. Consumers want to buy food they trust from people they trust. The Alberni Valley has experienced farmers and quality soils. There are opportunities to increase direct‐marketed products to local consumer and to tourists. … food for thought for developing a vision and plan for agriculture in the Alberni Valley. Alberni Valley Agricultural Plan, 2011-2031
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72. Good farmland Young people sits empty want to farm
  • 73. + Goal 13: Find and create new ways for young people to be able to access farmland, and start farming.
  • 74. Alberni Valley Farmland 4,531 hectares are not being farmed
  • 75. The Agricultural Land Reserve is a great piece of policy. But it is preventing young farmers from moving onto the land.
  • 76. Young people want to farm!
  • 77. PROPOSED ALR RULE CHANGE #1: Allow any farm of more than than 20 hectares to build a clustered farm village on 1 hectare. The residents must obtain at least 50% of income from farm-related work. Build or self-build the village as strata-title community housing. Assign 1 hectare of farmland per household to be bought or leased by the new farm villagers.
  • 78. PROPOSED RULE CHANGE #2 (Carolyn’s Rule) Require an ALR land-holder to grow food (not hay) on at least 10% of the land. If a farm-owner is unable to do so, he or she must lease the land to another farmer or pay increased tax on the land.
  • 79. Farm Villages are as old as the hills…
  • 80. Hida Farming Village near Takayama, Japan
  • 82.
  • 87. Haliburton Farm, Saanich, Victoria Municipal land ownership
  • 88.
  • 89. Araxi Longtable, North Arm Farm, Pemberton, BC
  • 90.