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Refinement of regionally modeled coastal zone population data 
 
  enabling more accurate vulnerability and exposure assessments C. Aubrecht , M. Levy, A. de Sherbinin, G. Yetman, M. Jaiteh, K. Steinnocher, S. Metzler IDRC Davos 2010 | International Disaster and Risk Conference Davos, Switzerland | June 1, 2010
Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10
Societal Risk Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10
Societal Risk Assessment ,[object Object],06/09/10
Societal Risk Assessment ,[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10 SRTM 90m horizontal res. GPW, GRUMP
Societal Risk Assessment 06/09/10
Societal Risk Assessment 06/09/10 Around  10 % of the world’s population (i.e. more than 600 million people) live in a  low elevation coastal zone  (LECZ) of less than 10 m above sea level McGranahan et al. (2006, 2007) based on population data for the year 2000
Societal Risk Assessment 06/09/10 Globally, the  population density in the coastal zone (175 persons/kmÂČ) is  much higher  than for any other ecosystem Levy (2009), McGranahan et al. (2005)   Millennium Ecosystem Assessment System  Overall  Urban  Rural  (persons per sq. km.) Coastal zone  175  1,119  69  Cultivated  119  793  70  Dryland  36  749  20  Forest  27  478  18  Inland Water  51  826  25  Mountain  36  636  26  World  46  770  25
Societal Risk Assessment http://www.gitews.de 06/09/10
Concept of Disaster Management “ The Global Earth Observation System of Systems [GEOSS] is  integrate Earth observations with other information  to help planners  reduce vulnerability ,  strengthen preparedness  and  early-warning measures  and, after disaster strikes,  rebuild  housing and infrastructure in ways that  limit future risks .” [Group on Earth Observations GEO - GEOSS Disasters Theme] 06/09/10
Concept of Disaster Management [Federal Emergency Management Agency FEMA (2005) The life cycle of disasters.  www.fema.gov .] 06/09/10
Concept of Disaster Management [Jon Stewart, Comedy Central’s Daily show, Oct 2005] Commenting on  FEMA's controversial response to Katrina , Jon Stewart said, "What should FEMA have done? Perhaps the answer can be found on their website
" 06/09/10 "This chart, clearly depicting the agencies responsibilities in the event of a  disaster 
 It begins with a  response  to a disaster, leads to  recovery ,  mitigation ,  risk reduction ,  prevention ,  preparedness 
 (dramatic pause) and ends up  BACK IN DISASTER !“ "In truth, FEMA did exactly what they said they were going to do."
Disaster management – vulnerability concept 06/09/10
Disaster management – vulnerability concept ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10
Broad-scale approaches to population distribution modeling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10
Broad-scale approaches to population distribution modeling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10
New ISciences coastline data 06/09/10 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New ISciences coastline data 06/09/10 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
New ISciences coastline data 06/09/10 ,[object Object],[object Object],Madagascar North
New ISciences coastline data 06/09/10 ,[object Object],[object Object],Madagascar North Maledives North
New ISciences coastline data 06/09/10 ,[object Object],[object Object],Java West
Exposure and vulnerability mapping 06/09/10
Conclusions and outlook ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10
Conclusions and outlook ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],06/09/10
www.earthzine.or g Observing the Oceans Theme Issue Q2/2010 IEEE Committee on Earth Observation NASA National Aeronautics & Space Administration EuroGEOSS South Africa Dept. of Science & Technology Q1 – Earth Information Systems Q3  – Global Human Health Q4  – Ecosystems Christoph Aubrecht Deputy Editor in Chief [email_address]
Christoph Aubrecht Thank you for your attention! Christoph Aubrecht Foresight & Policy Development Department Regional and Infrastructure Policy AIT Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH Donau-City-Straße 1 | 1220 Vienna | Austria T +43(0) 50550-4522 | F +43(0) 50550-4599 [email_address]  |  http://www.ait.ac.at http://homepage.univie.ac.at/christoph.aubrecht

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Refinement of regionally modeled coastal zone population data enabling more accurate vulnerability and exposure assessments

  • 1. Refinement of regionally modeled coastal zone population data 
 
 enabling more accurate vulnerability and exposure assessments C. Aubrecht , M. Levy, A. de Sherbinin, G. Yetman, M. Jaiteh, K. Steinnocher, S. Metzler IDRC Davos 2010 | International Disaster and Risk Conference Davos, Switzerland | June 1, 2010
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 7. Societal Risk Assessment 06/09/10 Around 10 % of the world’s population (i.e. more than 600 million people) live in a low elevation coastal zone (LECZ) of less than 10 m above sea level McGranahan et al. (2006, 2007) based on population data for the year 2000
  • 8. Societal Risk Assessment 06/09/10 Globally, the population density in the coastal zone (175 persons/kmÂČ) is much higher than for any other ecosystem Levy (2009), McGranahan et al. (2005) Millennium Ecosystem Assessment System Overall Urban Rural (persons per sq. km.) Coastal zone 175 1,119 69 Cultivated 119 793 70 Dryland 36 749 20 Forest 27 478 18 Inland Water 51 826 25 Mountain 36 636 26 World 46 770 25
  • 9. Societal Risk Assessment http://www.gitews.de 06/09/10
  • 10. Concept of Disaster Management “ The Global Earth Observation System of Systems [GEOSS] is integrate Earth observations with other information to help planners reduce vulnerability , strengthen preparedness and early-warning measures and, after disaster strikes, rebuild housing and infrastructure in ways that limit future risks .” [Group on Earth Observations GEO - GEOSS Disasters Theme] 06/09/10
  • 11. Concept of Disaster Management [Federal Emergency Management Agency FEMA (2005) The life cycle of disasters. www.fema.gov .] 06/09/10
  • 12. Concept of Disaster Management [Jon Stewart, Comedy Central’s Daily show, Oct 2005] Commenting on FEMA's controversial response to Katrina , Jon Stewart said, "What should FEMA have done? Perhaps the answer can be found on their website
" 06/09/10 "This chart, clearly depicting the agencies responsibilities in the event of a disaster 
 It begins with a response to a disaster, leads to recovery , mitigation , risk reduction , prevention , preparedness 
 (dramatic pause) and ends up BACK IN DISASTER !“ "In truth, FEMA did exactly what they said they were going to do."
  • 13. Disaster management – vulnerability concept 06/09/10
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
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  • 26. Christoph Aubrecht Thank you for your attention! Christoph Aubrecht Foresight & Policy Development Department Regional and Infrastructure Policy AIT Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH Donau-City-Straße 1 | 1220 Vienna | Austria T +43(0) 50550-4522 | F +43(0) 50550-4599 [email_address] | http://www.ait.ac.at http://homepage.univie.ac.at/christoph.aubrecht

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Also the pop. increase is highest in coastal zones