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© Euromonitor International
1
CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR FOOD MANUFACTURERS
MARKET TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS IN PACKAGED FOOD AND NUTRITION
Presented by:
Dimitrios Dimakakos, Lead Analyst, Western Europe
Lianne van den Bos, Food Analyst
Lauren Bandy, Senior Nutrition Analyst
#TUTTOFOOD
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE: CHALLENGES
AND OPPORTUNITIES IN A TOUGH ECONOMIC
ENVIRONMENT
DIMITRIOS DIMAKAKOS
LEAD ANALYST
AIDEPI EUROMONITOR SEMINAR
TUTTOFOOD 2015
4TH MAY 2015
@DimiDimakakos
© Euromonitor International
3
Euromonitor International: Strategic Global Market Research
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
• PASTA
• BAKERY
• CONFECTIONERY
• ICE CREAM
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
5
Key Facts of Packaged Food in Western Europe
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
Total Size 2014
641 bn $
Growth 2009-2014
5%
Per Cap Expenditure in 2014
1,297 $
© Euromonitor International
6
GDP Growth Directly Affects Packaged Food Performance
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
08 to 09 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13 13 to 14
%Growth
Real GDP Growth Vs Packaged Food Performance 2009-2014
Real GDP Growth Packaged Food Growth
© Euromonitor International
7
Consumer Expenditure Increases Because of Higher Prices
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
150
160
170
180
190
200
210
1,040
1,060
1,080
1,100
1,120
1,140
1,160
1,180
1,200
1,220
1,240
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
IndexOfConsumerPrices2009-2014
ConsumerExpenditureinRetailValueTermsUS$fixed-exg-YrCur
Consumer Expenditure on Food Vs Consumer Price Index
Consumer Expenditure on Food Index of Consumer Prices
© Euromonitor International
8
Packaged Food Growth Across Western Europe in 2014
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
Country 2014%
Turkey 8.5
Norway 4.4
Austria 3.3
Finland 3.3
United Kingdom 2.3
Sweden 2.3
Belgium 1.9
Ireland 1.9
Germany 1.8
France 1.6
Denmark 1.5
Spain 1.0
Netherlands 1.0
Switzerland 0.9
Portugal 0.4
Italy -0.3
Greece -2.2
US$ Current Value Growth
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
• PASTA
• BAKERY
• CONFECTIONERY
• ICE CREAM
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
10
Pasta Sales in Western Europe
PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE
10.3 Bn US$ Retail Value Sales
0.5% Value Growth
0.4% Increase in Retail Unit
Price in 2014
Gluten-free Pasta was the fastest growing
category in 2014 with 8% Value Growth
© Euromonitor International
11
Price Continues to Play an Important Role in Volume Consumption
PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Italy Greece Switzerland France Germany
PerCapitaConsumptioninKg
Per Capita Consumption of Pasta in Kg
2009 2014
© Euromonitor International
12
Increased Sales for Chilled Pasta in Western Europe
PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE
2%
25%
73%
Value Sales in 2009
Canned/Preserved Pasta Chilled Pasta Dried Pasta
2%
28%
70%
Value Sales in 2014
Canned/Preserved Pasta Chilled Pasta Dried Pasta
Chilled Pasta 2%
CAGR in 2009-2014
© Euromonitor International
13
New Product Developments for Pasta across Western Europe
PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE
Gluten-
free
Pasta
New
Flavours
Packaging
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
• PASTA
• BAKERY
• CONFECTIONERY
• ICE CREAM
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
15
Sales of Bakery Have Been Rising Steadily
BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
Baked Goods Biscuits Breakfast Cereals
RetailValueGrowthinUS$
RetailValueSalesinUS$
Bakery Value Sales in Western Europe in 2014
Retail Value Sales Retail Value Growth
© Euromonitor International
16
Multi-grain, Seeds and Whole-wheat Add Value in Packaged Bread
BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
27,000
28,000
29,000
30,000
31,000
32,000
33,000
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
RetailValueSalesinUS$
RetailValueGrowthinUS$
Value Sales of Bread Vs Value Growth of NH Bread
Bread NH High Fibre Bread
© Euromonitor International
17
HEALTH &
WELLNESS
More nutritional
benefits
CONVENIENCE
Changing
lifestyle, small
day-to-day
luxuries
NATURALNESS
Distrust for
„artificial‟
ingredients,
sustainability
The Pursuit of Health Remains Key
BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
© Euromonitor International
18
New Product Launches in Bakery
BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
Flavours Indulgence Health and
Wellness
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
• PASTA
• BAKERY
• CONFECTIONERY
• ICE CREAM
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
20CONFECTIONERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
Chocolate Confectionery Continues to Dominate
66%
9%
25%
% 2014 Value Sales
Breakdown Confectionery
Chocolate Confectionery Gum Sugar Confectionery
%CAGRGrowthinRetailValueTerms
-1 0 1 2 3 4 5
Bagged Selflines/Softlines
Tablets
Seasonal Chocolate
Countlines
Other Chocolate Confectionery
Boxed Assortments
Chocolate with Toys
2009-2014 Value CAGR Chocolate Confectionery
Categories
09 to 14 CAGR
© Euromonitor International
21
Key Trends
Fair Trade
Premiumisa
tion
Sharing
The Biggest Themes for Confectionery Brands to Consider
CONFECTIONERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
© Euromonitor International
22
New Product Launches in Confectionery
CONFECTIONERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
Functionality Cross
Category
Products
Healthier
Options
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
• PASTA
• BAKERY
• CONFECTIONERY
• ICE CREAM
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
24
Key Figures for Ice Cream in 2014 in Western Europe
ICE CREAM IN WESTERN EUROPE
23 mn US$ Retail Value Sales
2% Increase in Retail Value Sales
Frozen yoghurt was the fastest growing
category with 27% increase in Retail Value
Sales
Multipacks continue to gain ground within
take-home ice cream
© Euromonitor International
25
Northern Europe Performs Better than Southern Europe
ICE CREAM IN WESTERN EUROPE
Strongest Performance
Country Growth 2013-2014
Turkey 9.8
Sweden 7.3
Norway 5.1
United Kingdom 4.2
Belgium 3.8
Weakest Performance
Country Growth 2013-2014
Switzerland 1.4
Austria 1.2
Spain -0.1
Italy -0.3
Greece -7.3
Ice Cream Value Growth
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Frozen YoghurtRetail ArtisanalRetail ArtisanalFrozen Yoghurt Multi-Pack
Sweden Norway Turkey United
Kingdom
Belgium
%ValueGrowth
Fastest Growing Categories in the Top Five
Markets
Value Growth 2013-2014
© Euromonitor International
26
New Product Developments In Ice Cream
ICE CREAM IN WESTERN EUROPE
Premium
Packaging
Dairy
Free
New
Flavours
EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD
PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
• PASTA
• BAKERY
• CONFECTIONERY
• ICE CREAM
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
© Euromonitor International
28
Forecast of Value Growth in Western Europe
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD
Country 14 to 19 CAGR
Norway 1.8
Ireland 1.8
Turkey 1.2
Finland 1.1
Austria 0.9
Denmark 0.9
Sweden 0.7
Spain 0.6
Switzerland 0.6
Belgium 0.6
Germany 0.5
Portugal 0.5
France 0.5
United Kingdom 0.4
Netherlands -0.1
Italy -0.3
Greece -2.1
US$ Constant Value Growth
© Euromonitor International
29
Indulgent Products to Perform Better in the Future
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
14 to 15 15 to 16 16 to 17 17 to 18 18 to 19
RetailValueGrowthinUS$
Value Growth in Western Europe 2014-2019
Bakery Ice Cream Pasta Confectionery
© Euromonitor International
30
Different Performance Across the Biggest European Economies
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD
© Euromonitor International
31
Packaged Food Success Factors
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD
GrowthPrice
Sustainability
Concerns
Distribution
Health &
Wellness
New Product
Developments
© Euromonitor International
32
Key Takeaways
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD
Innovation
Positive growth for indulgent products
Health conscious consumers
Germany, UK, Turkey and Scandinavian
countries are the ones to watch
© Euromonitor International
33
THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
ANY QUESTIONS?
Dimitrios.Dimakakos@Euromonitor.com
© Euromonitor International
34
CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR FOOD MANUFACTURERS
MARKET TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS IN PACKAGED FOOD AND NUTRITION
Presented by:
Dimitrios Dimakakos, Lead Analyst, Western Europe
Lianne van den Bos, Food Analyst
Lauren Bandy, Senior Nutrition Analyst
#TUTTOFOOD
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET
SNACKS CONSUMPTION
LIANNE VAN DEN BOS, FOOD ANALYST
AIDEPI EUROMONITOR SEMINAR
TUTTOFOOD 2015
4TH MAY 2014
@LIANNE_VD_BOS
© Euromonitor International
36
Defining Sweet Snacks
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
Sweet
Snacks
Confec-
tionery
Cakes
Sweet
Biscuits
Pastries
Ice
Cream
Snack Bars
Nuts
Fruit Snacks
Savoury Snacks
WHERE IS SWEET SNACKS NOW
WHAT IS DRIVING SWEET SNACKS GROWTH
WHAT ARE FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN
SWEET SNACKS
© Euromonitor International
38
Over 20% of the packaged food we eat
today are Sweet Snacks…
Sweet Snacks: a Vast Chunk of Packaged Food Sales
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
41%
17%
16%
14%
13%
Sweet Snacks
21%
Proportion of Global Sweet Snacks of Total Packaged Food, 2014
Confectionery
Cakes
Ice Cream
Sweet Biscuits
Pastries
© Euromonitor International
39
… and it is the second largest growth
category compared to other packaged
food items in absolute growth
Sweet Snacks: a Vast Chunk of Packaged Food Sales
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
0 50 100 150
Soup
Snack Bars
Meal Replacement
Pasta
Spreads
Ready Meals
Canned/Preserved Food
Noodles
Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
Frozen Processed Food
Baby Food
Chilled Processed Food
Bread
Oils and Fats
Dried Processed Food
Sweet Snacks
Dairy
US$ billion
Packaged Food Absolute Value Growth 2009-2014
© Euromonitor International
40
Choice of Sweets Across the Globe…..
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
Relative Per Capita consumption of Sweet Snacks, 2014
© Euromonitor International
41
Asia Pacific
• Accounts for the majority of
global growth of pastries
• China, largest growth market
• Western style bakeries popular
such as BreadTalk and 85° Café
• Affordable, pastries US$3/kg vs
confectionery US$10/kg
Western Europe
• Confectionery accounts for the
majority of Sweet Snack growth
• Consumers in Western Europe
eat 7 times more confectionery
than in Asia Pacific
• UK, Germany, France and Italy in
top 10 largest confectionery
markets
• Tablets and Countlines highest
performance
…What is Causing Such a Difference in Our Sweet Tooth?
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
WHERE IS SWEET SNACKS NOW
WHAT IS DRIVING SWEET SNACKS GROWTH
WHAT ARE FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN
SWEET SNACKS
© Euromonitor International
43
Why do we Snack?
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
© Euromonitor International
44
Why do we Snack?
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
Lifestyle Nutritious Indulgence
To indulgeHungryBreak
To be social Refreshment
Performance
To celebrate
BoredHabit
Changing Lifestyles Fundamentally Change Eating Habits
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
34%
OF CONSUMERS
PREPARE BREAKFAST
UNDER 5 MINUTES
70%OF GLOBAL
HOUSEHOLDS WILL LIVE
IN URBAN AREAS BY
2030
20%OF GLOBAL
HOUSEHOLDS WILL BE
SINGLE BY 2030
Lifestyle
© Euromonitor International
46
Consumers Wake up to More Breakfast Options
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Breakfast Cereals
Breakfast Bars
Bread
Chilled Meat
Pastries
Cheese
Plain Biscuits
Spreads
Drinking Milk
% CAGR
Retail Value vs Volume Historic Growth
CAGRs for Various Breakfast Items
RSP 2009-14 CAGR % Retail Volume 2009-14 CAGR
Lifestyle
© Euromonitor International
47
“Healthy” Fuel
All Natural
Where Do We Get Our Fuel From?
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
Images: Courtesy of Flickr user Alpha
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
%CAGRGrowth
US$million Global Snack Bar Performance by
Category
2009-14 Absolute 2009-14 CAGR %
Nutritious
© Euromonitor International
48
Time of day
Novel
ingredients
Healthy
snacks
Best of Both Worlds…
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTIONNutritious
© Euromonitor International
49
Tablets
Countlines
New Retail Value Sales Global
Chocolate Confectionery 2009-2014
Tablets Countlines
Bagged Selflines/Softlines Boxed Assortments
Seasonal Chocolate Chocolate with Toys
Other Chocolate Confectionery
Sophisticating the Chocolate Experience
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTIONIndulgence
WHERE IS SWEET SNACKS NOW
WHAT IS DRIVING SWEET SNACKS GROWTH
WHAT ARE FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN
SWEET SNACKS
© Euromonitor International
51
The Future of Sweet Snacks
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0
Savoury Biscuits and Crackers
Chips/Crisps
Countlines
Spreads
Dairy
Oils and Fats
Dried Processed Food
Extruded Snacks
Tablets
Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks
Snack Bars
Fruit Snacks
Nuts
Meal Replacement
Baby Food
Retail Value % CAGR Growth
Other
Snacks
Top 15 Fastest Growing Categories 2014-2019
Majority will be
snacks
No time to eat
On the go
© Euromonitor International
52
Millennials…..
Aged 20-34
A lot to prove
Snacking as a
meal replacement
A lot to share
Which Consumers will Drive Sweet Snacks Growth?
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
© Euromonitor International
53
Choice of Sweets Across the Globe…..
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
Relative Per Capita consumption of Sweet Snacks, 2014
© Euromonitor International
54
Asia…..Mixing it up
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
Relative Per Capita consumption of Sweet Snacks, 2014
© Euromonitor International
55
THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
ANY QUESTIONS?
Lianne.VanDenBos@Euromonitor.com
© Euromonitor International
56
CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR FOOD MANUFACTURERS
MARKET TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS IN PACKAGED FOOD AND NUTRITION
Presented by:
Dimitrios Dimakakos, Lead Analyst, Western Europe
Lianne van den Bos, Food Analyst
Lauren Bandy, Senior Nutrition Analyst
#TUTTOFOOD
WHERE ARE OUR CALORIES COMING FROM?
CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN NUTRITION
LAUREN BANDY
SENIOR NUTRITION ANALYST
AIDEPI EUROMONITOR SEMINAR
TUTTOFOOD 2015
4TH May 2015
@LaurenKBandy
INTRODUCTION
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE
KEY MESSAGES
© Euromonitor International
59
Passport Nutrition
INTRODUCTION
Packaged
Food
Soft drinks
Retail volume
INTRODUCTION
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE
KEY MESSAGES
© Euromonitor International
61
The Public Health Problem: The World’s Expanding Waistline
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
%ofglobalpopulation
Population(„000)
Global Prevalence of Overweight and Obesity 2004-2013
Overweight Obese Overweight & obese
3.4 mnADULTS DIE A YEAR AS A
RESULT OF BEING
OVERWEIGHT OR OBESE
23%OF DEATHS FROM HEART
DISEASE ARE A RESULT
OF OVERWEIGHT AND
OBESITY
$2 trillionESTIMATED GLOBAL
ECONOMIC IMPACT 2013
Sources: WHO/McKinsey
© Euromonitor International
63
Belgium
France
Germany
Spain
UK
China
India
Mexico
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000
%populationoverweightandobese
Calories per person per day
Obesity Prevalence vs Calorie Purchasing by Country 2014
Developed Emerging
The More Calories Consumed, the Higher the Obesity Levels
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
© Euromonitor International
64
Calorie Purchase from Packaged Food and Soft Drinks in Western
Europe, 2014
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
492
239
222
97
93
79
74
58
54
45
31
170
Baked Goods
Oils and Fats
Dairy
Dried Processed Food
Confectionery
Chilled Processed Food
Biscuits
Frozen Processed Food
Sweet and Savoury Snacks
Carbonates
Ice Cream
Others
1,654
© Euromonitor International
65
Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands Top the List in Europe
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
Kcalpercapitaperday
Calories purchased by category and country
Sweet and Savoury
Snacks
Biscuits
Carbonates
Dried Processed Food
Frozen Processed Food
Chilled Processed Food
Confectionery
Oils and Fats
Others
Dairy
Baked Goods
© Euromonitor International
66
Western European Countries Consume the Most Protein…
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
© Euromonitor International
67
…Western Markets Buy the Most Fat Too
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Western
Europe
North
America
Eastern
Europe
Australasia Middle East
and Africa
Asia Pacific
goffat,percapitaperday
Purchase of fat from packaged food and soft drinks by region, 2014
INTRODUCTION
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE
KEY MESSAGES
© Euromonitor International
69
Is Europe Heading Towards a Price Policy Environment?
ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
© Euromonitor International
70
Voluntary Actions vs Legislation
ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
Legislation
- Advertising restrictions
- Taxes
- Age restrictions
- Education
- School food
Government
Voluntary actions
- Reformulation
- Low-calorie variants
- Portion control
- Labelling
- Funding sports and healthy eating clubs
Industry
© Euromonitor International
71
Fat is Still a Target for Reformulation
CASE STUDY: DENMARK
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Fat Purchased From Packaged Food and Soft Drinks Western Europe by
Category 2014
Oils and Fats Bakery
Dairy Sweet and Savoury Snacks
Chilled Processed Food Sauces, Dressings and Condiments
Confectionery Others
CaseStudy:Denmark
© Euromonitor International
72
Industry Pressure Leads to Danish Fat Tax Being Rescinded
CASE STUDY: DENMARK
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0
2
4
6
8
10
Butter Cheese Cream Chilled
Processed
Meat
Chocolate
Confectionery
Biscuits Cakes Chocolate
Spreads
Fatcontentper100g
Grammespercapita
perday Purchase of Fat by Product Category in Denmark 2014
Fat purchase Fat content per 100g
$2.8
Tax added to products
containing more than 2.3%
saturated fat per 100g
$215m
Amount of revenue generated
that was ring-fenced for public
health
1000
Number of jobs reportedly lost
as a direct results of
implementing the tax
CaseStudy:Denmark
© Euromonitor International
73
Retailers Role Just as Important as Manufacturers
CASE STUDY: UNITED KINGDOM
12%
Of calories in Western
Europe purchased
through top 10
companies‟ products
8%
Of calories in Western
Europe purchased
through private label
products
-$1.4bn
Value decline in sales
of better-for-you food
and beverages, 2009-
2014
CaseStudy:UnitedKingdom
INTRODUCTION
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE
KEY MESSAGES
© Euromonitor International
75
Number of Calories Purchased Could Potentially Rise Up to 2019
CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE
-50
-30
-10
10
30
50
70
90
110
130
150
World
AsiaPacific
MiddleEastandAfrica
EasternEurope
LatinAmerica
Australasia
WesternEurope
NorthAmerica
Absolutegrowth(kcal)
Forecast Growth in Food and Drink Calorie Purchasing
by Region 2014-2019
© Euromonitor International
76
What Would happen if Consumers Bought 100kcal Less?
CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE
100kcal = 21g
1-2 biscuits less per
person per day
-4%
100kcal = 51g
~1 bar
-13%
100kcal = 22g
Half a serving
-3%
100kcal = 30g
~1 serving
-4%
Biscuits Ice Cream
Chocolate
confectionery
Pasta
INTRODUCTION
THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE
KEY MESSAGES
© Euromonitor International
78
Double Current Efforts or Prepare for Tighter Legislation
RECOMMENDATIONS
Sales of packaged food reached
US$614 billion in 2014 in
Western Europe, with 20% of
these sales from sweet snacks
With volume sales starting to
stagnate, manufacturers need to
focus on premiumisation,
innovation and indulgence to
ensure they see value growth
The number of calories that will
be purchased in 2019 from
packaged products is expected
to rise globally and in Western
Europe compared to 2014
Manufacturers have already
made a large effort to improve
the nutritional content of their
products, but more effort is
needed
© Euromonitor International
79
THANK YOU FOR LISTENING
ANY QUESTIONS?
Lauren.Bandy@Euromonitor.com
© Euromonitor International
80
Follow us on Twitter
@Euromonitor
Email us:
Violetta.scola@euromonitor.com
Visit our website:
www.euromonitor.com
#TUTTOFOOD
© Euromonitor International
81
Research methodology for Passport Nutrition
INTRODUCTION

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Challenges and Opportunities for Food Manufacturers: Market Trends and Future Prospects in Packaged Food and Nutrition

  • 1. © Euromonitor International 1 CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR FOOD MANUFACTURERS MARKET TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS IN PACKAGED FOOD AND NUTRITION Presented by: Dimitrios Dimakakos, Lead Analyst, Western Europe Lianne van den Bos, Food Analyst Lauren Bandy, Senior Nutrition Analyst #TUTTOFOOD
  • 2. PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE: CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN A TOUGH ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT DIMITRIOS DIMAKAKOS LEAD ANALYST AIDEPI EUROMONITOR SEMINAR TUTTOFOOD 2015 4TH MAY 2015 @DimiDimakakos
  • 3. © Euromonitor International 3 Euromonitor International: Strategic Global Market Research PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE
  • 4. EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE • PASTA • BAKERY • CONFECTIONERY • ICE CREAM PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 5. © Euromonitor International 5 Key Facts of Packaged Food in Western Europe EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD Total Size 2014 641 bn $ Growth 2009-2014 5% Per Cap Expenditure in 2014 1,297 $
  • 6. © Euromonitor International 6 GDP Growth Directly Affects Packaged Food Performance EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 08 to 09 09 to 10 10 to 11 11 to 12 12 to 13 13 to 14 %Growth Real GDP Growth Vs Packaged Food Performance 2009-2014 Real GDP Growth Packaged Food Growth
  • 7. © Euromonitor International 7 Consumer Expenditure Increases Because of Higher Prices EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 1,040 1,060 1,080 1,100 1,120 1,140 1,160 1,180 1,200 1,220 1,240 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 IndexOfConsumerPrices2009-2014 ConsumerExpenditureinRetailValueTermsUS$fixed-exg-YrCur Consumer Expenditure on Food Vs Consumer Price Index Consumer Expenditure on Food Index of Consumer Prices
  • 8. © Euromonitor International 8 Packaged Food Growth Across Western Europe in 2014 EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD Country 2014% Turkey 8.5 Norway 4.4 Austria 3.3 Finland 3.3 United Kingdom 2.3 Sweden 2.3 Belgium 1.9 Ireland 1.9 Germany 1.8 France 1.6 Denmark 1.5 Spain 1.0 Netherlands 1.0 Switzerland 0.9 Portugal 0.4 Italy -0.3 Greece -2.2 US$ Current Value Growth
  • 9. EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE • PASTA • BAKERY • CONFECTIONERY • ICE CREAM PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 10. © Euromonitor International 10 Pasta Sales in Western Europe PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE 10.3 Bn US$ Retail Value Sales 0.5% Value Growth 0.4% Increase in Retail Unit Price in 2014 Gluten-free Pasta was the fastest growing category in 2014 with 8% Value Growth
  • 11. © Euromonitor International 11 Price Continues to Play an Important Role in Volume Consumption PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Italy Greece Switzerland France Germany PerCapitaConsumptioninKg Per Capita Consumption of Pasta in Kg 2009 2014
  • 12. © Euromonitor International 12 Increased Sales for Chilled Pasta in Western Europe PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE 2% 25% 73% Value Sales in 2009 Canned/Preserved Pasta Chilled Pasta Dried Pasta 2% 28% 70% Value Sales in 2014 Canned/Preserved Pasta Chilled Pasta Dried Pasta Chilled Pasta 2% CAGR in 2009-2014
  • 13. © Euromonitor International 13 New Product Developments for Pasta across Western Europe PASTA IN WESTERN EUROPE Gluten- free Pasta New Flavours Packaging
  • 14. EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE • PASTA • BAKERY • CONFECTIONERY • ICE CREAM PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 15. © Euromonitor International 15 Sales of Bakery Have Been Rising Steadily BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE 0.00 1.00 2.00 3.00 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 140,000 Baked Goods Biscuits Breakfast Cereals RetailValueGrowthinUS$ RetailValueSalesinUS$ Bakery Value Sales in Western Europe in 2014 Retail Value Sales Retail Value Growth
  • 16. © Euromonitor International 16 Multi-grain, Seeds and Whole-wheat Add Value in Packaged Bread BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE 27,000 28,000 29,000 30,000 31,000 32,000 33,000 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 RetailValueSalesinUS$ RetailValueGrowthinUS$ Value Sales of Bread Vs Value Growth of NH Bread Bread NH High Fibre Bread
  • 17. © Euromonitor International 17 HEALTH & WELLNESS More nutritional benefits CONVENIENCE Changing lifestyle, small day-to-day luxuries NATURALNESS Distrust for „artificial‟ ingredients, sustainability The Pursuit of Health Remains Key BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
  • 18. © Euromonitor International 18 New Product Launches in Bakery BAKERY IN WESTERN EUROPE Flavours Indulgence Health and Wellness
  • 19. EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE • PASTA • BAKERY • CONFECTIONERY • ICE CREAM PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 20. © Euromonitor International 20CONFECTIONERY IN WESTERN EUROPE Chocolate Confectionery Continues to Dominate 66% 9% 25% % 2014 Value Sales Breakdown Confectionery Chocolate Confectionery Gum Sugar Confectionery %CAGRGrowthinRetailValueTerms -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Bagged Selflines/Softlines Tablets Seasonal Chocolate Countlines Other Chocolate Confectionery Boxed Assortments Chocolate with Toys 2009-2014 Value CAGR Chocolate Confectionery Categories 09 to 14 CAGR
  • 21. © Euromonitor International 21 Key Trends Fair Trade Premiumisa tion Sharing The Biggest Themes for Confectionery Brands to Consider CONFECTIONERY IN WESTERN EUROPE
  • 22. © Euromonitor International 22 New Product Launches in Confectionery CONFECTIONERY IN WESTERN EUROPE Functionality Cross Category Products Healthier Options
  • 23. EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE • PASTA • BAKERY • CONFECTIONERY • ICE CREAM PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 24. © Euromonitor International 24 Key Figures for Ice Cream in 2014 in Western Europe ICE CREAM IN WESTERN EUROPE 23 mn US$ Retail Value Sales 2% Increase in Retail Value Sales Frozen yoghurt was the fastest growing category with 27% increase in Retail Value Sales Multipacks continue to gain ground within take-home ice cream
  • 25. © Euromonitor International 25 Northern Europe Performs Better than Southern Europe ICE CREAM IN WESTERN EUROPE Strongest Performance Country Growth 2013-2014 Turkey 9.8 Sweden 7.3 Norway 5.1 United Kingdom 4.2 Belgium 3.8 Weakest Performance Country Growth 2013-2014 Switzerland 1.4 Austria 1.2 Spain -0.1 Italy -0.3 Greece -7.3 Ice Cream Value Growth 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Frozen YoghurtRetail ArtisanalRetail ArtisanalFrozen Yoghurt Multi-Pack Sweden Norway Turkey United Kingdom Belgium %ValueGrowth Fastest Growing Categories in the Top Five Markets Value Growth 2013-2014
  • 26. © Euromonitor International 26 New Product Developments In Ice Cream ICE CREAM IN WESTERN EUROPE Premium Packaging Dairy Free New Flavours
  • 27. EUROPEAN ECONOMY AND PACKAGED FOOD PACKAGED FOOD IN WESTERN EUROPE • PASTA • BAKERY • CONFECTIONERY • ICE CREAM PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
  • 28. © Euromonitor International 28 Forecast of Value Growth in Western Europe PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD Country 14 to 19 CAGR Norway 1.8 Ireland 1.8 Turkey 1.2 Finland 1.1 Austria 0.9 Denmark 0.9 Sweden 0.7 Spain 0.6 Switzerland 0.6 Belgium 0.6 Germany 0.5 Portugal 0.5 France 0.5 United Kingdom 0.4 Netherlands -0.1 Italy -0.3 Greece -2.1 US$ Constant Value Growth
  • 29. © Euromonitor International 29 Indulgent Products to Perform Better in the Future PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 14 to 15 15 to 16 16 to 17 17 to 18 18 to 19 RetailValueGrowthinUS$ Value Growth in Western Europe 2014-2019 Bakery Ice Cream Pasta Confectionery
  • 30. © Euromonitor International 30 Different Performance Across the Biggest European Economies PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD
  • 31. © Euromonitor International 31 Packaged Food Success Factors PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD GrowthPrice Sustainability Concerns Distribution Health & Wellness New Product Developments
  • 32. © Euromonitor International 32 Key Takeaways PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES IN PACKAGED FOOD Innovation Positive growth for indulgent products Health conscious consumers Germany, UK, Turkey and Scandinavian countries are the ones to watch
  • 33. © Euromonitor International 33 THANK YOU FOR LISTENING ANY QUESTIONS? Dimitrios.Dimakakos@Euromonitor.com
  • 34. © Euromonitor International 34 CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR FOOD MANUFACTURERS MARKET TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS IN PACKAGED FOOD AND NUTRITION Presented by: Dimitrios Dimakakos, Lead Analyst, Western Europe Lianne van den Bos, Food Analyst Lauren Bandy, Senior Nutrition Analyst #TUTTOFOOD
  • 35. KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION LIANNE VAN DEN BOS, FOOD ANALYST AIDEPI EUROMONITOR SEMINAR TUTTOFOOD 2015 4TH MAY 2014 @LIANNE_VD_BOS
  • 36. © Euromonitor International 36 Defining Sweet Snacks KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION Sweet Snacks Confec- tionery Cakes Sweet Biscuits Pastries Ice Cream Snack Bars Nuts Fruit Snacks Savoury Snacks
  • 37. WHERE IS SWEET SNACKS NOW WHAT IS DRIVING SWEET SNACKS GROWTH WHAT ARE FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN SWEET SNACKS
  • 38. © Euromonitor International 38 Over 20% of the packaged food we eat today are Sweet Snacks… Sweet Snacks: a Vast Chunk of Packaged Food Sales KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION 41% 17% 16% 14% 13% Sweet Snacks 21% Proportion of Global Sweet Snacks of Total Packaged Food, 2014 Confectionery Cakes Ice Cream Sweet Biscuits Pastries
  • 39. © Euromonitor International 39 … and it is the second largest growth category compared to other packaged food items in absolute growth Sweet Snacks: a Vast Chunk of Packaged Food Sales KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION 0 50 100 150 Soup Snack Bars Meal Replacement Pasta Spreads Ready Meals Canned/Preserved Food Noodles Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Frozen Processed Food Baby Food Chilled Processed Food Bread Oils and Fats Dried Processed Food Sweet Snacks Dairy US$ billion Packaged Food Absolute Value Growth 2009-2014
  • 40. © Euromonitor International 40 Choice of Sweets Across the Globe….. KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION Relative Per Capita consumption of Sweet Snacks, 2014
  • 41. © Euromonitor International 41 Asia Pacific • Accounts for the majority of global growth of pastries • China, largest growth market • Western style bakeries popular such as BreadTalk and 85° Café • Affordable, pastries US$3/kg vs confectionery US$10/kg Western Europe • Confectionery accounts for the majority of Sweet Snack growth • Consumers in Western Europe eat 7 times more confectionery than in Asia Pacific • UK, Germany, France and Italy in top 10 largest confectionery markets • Tablets and Countlines highest performance …What is Causing Such a Difference in Our Sweet Tooth? KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
  • 42. WHERE IS SWEET SNACKS NOW WHAT IS DRIVING SWEET SNACKS GROWTH WHAT ARE FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN SWEET SNACKS
  • 43. © Euromonitor International 43 Why do we Snack? KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
  • 44. © Euromonitor International 44 Why do we Snack? KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION Lifestyle Nutritious Indulgence To indulgeHungryBreak To be social Refreshment Performance To celebrate BoredHabit
  • 45. Changing Lifestyles Fundamentally Change Eating Habits KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION 34% OF CONSUMERS PREPARE BREAKFAST UNDER 5 MINUTES 70%OF GLOBAL HOUSEHOLDS WILL LIVE IN URBAN AREAS BY 2030 20%OF GLOBAL HOUSEHOLDS WILL BE SINGLE BY 2030 Lifestyle
  • 46. © Euromonitor International 46 Consumers Wake up to More Breakfast Options KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Breakfast Cereals Breakfast Bars Bread Chilled Meat Pastries Cheese Plain Biscuits Spreads Drinking Milk % CAGR Retail Value vs Volume Historic Growth CAGRs for Various Breakfast Items RSP 2009-14 CAGR % Retail Volume 2009-14 CAGR Lifestyle
  • 47. © Euromonitor International 47 “Healthy” Fuel All Natural Where Do We Get Our Fuel From? KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION Images: Courtesy of Flickr user Alpha 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 %CAGRGrowth US$million Global Snack Bar Performance by Category 2009-14 Absolute 2009-14 CAGR % Nutritious
  • 48. © Euromonitor International 48 Time of day Novel ingredients Healthy snacks Best of Both Worlds… KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTIONNutritious
  • 49. © Euromonitor International 49 Tablets Countlines New Retail Value Sales Global Chocolate Confectionery 2009-2014 Tablets Countlines Bagged Selflines/Softlines Boxed Assortments Seasonal Chocolate Chocolate with Toys Other Chocolate Confectionery Sophisticating the Chocolate Experience KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTIONIndulgence
  • 50. WHERE IS SWEET SNACKS NOW WHAT IS DRIVING SWEET SNACKS GROWTH WHAT ARE FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES WITHIN SWEET SNACKS
  • 51. © Euromonitor International 51 The Future of Sweet Snacks KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 Savoury Biscuits and Crackers Chips/Crisps Countlines Spreads Dairy Oils and Fats Dried Processed Food Extruded Snacks Tablets Other Sweet and Savoury Snacks Snack Bars Fruit Snacks Nuts Meal Replacement Baby Food Retail Value % CAGR Growth Other Snacks Top 15 Fastest Growing Categories 2014-2019 Majority will be snacks No time to eat On the go
  • 52. © Euromonitor International 52 Millennials….. Aged 20-34 A lot to prove Snacking as a meal replacement A lot to share Which Consumers will Drive Sweet Snacks Growth? KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION
  • 53. © Euromonitor International 53 Choice of Sweets Across the Globe….. KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION Relative Per Capita consumption of Sweet Snacks, 2014
  • 54. © Euromonitor International 54 Asia…..Mixing it up KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN GLOBAL SWEET SNACKS CONSUMPTION Relative Per Capita consumption of Sweet Snacks, 2014
  • 55. © Euromonitor International 55 THANK YOU FOR LISTENING ANY QUESTIONS? Lianne.VanDenBos@Euromonitor.com
  • 56. © Euromonitor International 56 CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR FOOD MANUFACTURERS MARKET TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS IN PACKAGED FOOD AND NUTRITION Presented by: Dimitrios Dimakakos, Lead Analyst, Western Europe Lianne van den Bos, Food Analyst Lauren Bandy, Senior Nutrition Analyst #TUTTOFOOD
  • 57. WHERE ARE OUR CALORIES COMING FROM? CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES IN NUTRITION LAUREN BANDY SENIOR NUTRITION ANALYST AIDEPI EUROMONITOR SEMINAR TUTTOFOOD 2015 4TH May 2015 @LaurenKBandy
  • 58. INTRODUCTION THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE KEY MESSAGES
  • 59. © Euromonitor International 59 Passport Nutrition INTRODUCTION Packaged Food Soft drinks Retail volume
  • 60. INTRODUCTION THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE KEY MESSAGES
  • 61. © Euromonitor International 61 The Public Health Problem: The World’s Expanding Waistline THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 %ofglobalpopulation Population(„000) Global Prevalence of Overweight and Obesity 2004-2013 Overweight Obese Overweight & obese
  • 62. 3.4 mnADULTS DIE A YEAR AS A RESULT OF BEING OVERWEIGHT OR OBESE 23%OF DEATHS FROM HEART DISEASE ARE A RESULT OF OVERWEIGHT AND OBESITY $2 trillionESTIMATED GLOBAL ECONOMIC IMPACT 2013 Sources: WHO/McKinsey
  • 63. © Euromonitor International 63 Belgium France Germany Spain UK China India Mexico 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 %populationoverweightandobese Calories per person per day Obesity Prevalence vs Calorie Purchasing by Country 2014 Developed Emerging The More Calories Consumed, the Higher the Obesity Levels THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
  • 64. © Euromonitor International 64 Calorie Purchase from Packaged Food and Soft Drinks in Western Europe, 2014 THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE 492 239 222 97 93 79 74 58 54 45 31 170 Baked Goods Oils and Fats Dairy Dried Processed Food Confectionery Chilled Processed Food Biscuits Frozen Processed Food Sweet and Savoury Snacks Carbonates Ice Cream Others 1,654
  • 65. © Euromonitor International 65 Germany, Belgium and the Netherlands Top the List in Europe THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 Kcalpercapitaperday Calories purchased by category and country Sweet and Savoury Snacks Biscuits Carbonates Dried Processed Food Frozen Processed Food Chilled Processed Food Confectionery Oils and Fats Others Dairy Baked Goods
  • 66. © Euromonitor International 66 Western European Countries Consume the Most Protein… THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE
  • 67. © Euromonitor International 67 …Western Markets Buy the Most Fat Too THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Western Europe North America Eastern Europe Australasia Middle East and Africa Asia Pacific goffat,percapitaperday Purchase of fat from packaged food and soft drinks by region, 2014
  • 68. INTRODUCTION THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE KEY MESSAGES
  • 69. © Euromonitor International 69 Is Europe Heading Towards a Price Policy Environment? ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES
  • 70. © Euromonitor International 70 Voluntary Actions vs Legislation ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES Legislation - Advertising restrictions - Taxes - Age restrictions - Education - School food Government Voluntary actions - Reformulation - Low-calorie variants - Portion control - Labelling - Funding sports and healthy eating clubs Industry
  • 71. © Euromonitor International 71 Fat is Still a Target for Reformulation CASE STUDY: DENMARK 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Fat Purchased From Packaged Food and Soft Drinks Western Europe by Category 2014 Oils and Fats Bakery Dairy Sweet and Savoury Snacks Chilled Processed Food Sauces, Dressings and Condiments Confectionery Others CaseStudy:Denmark
  • 72. © Euromonitor International 72 Industry Pressure Leads to Danish Fat Tax Being Rescinded CASE STUDY: DENMARK 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 0 2 4 6 8 10 Butter Cheese Cream Chilled Processed Meat Chocolate Confectionery Biscuits Cakes Chocolate Spreads Fatcontentper100g Grammespercapita perday Purchase of Fat by Product Category in Denmark 2014 Fat purchase Fat content per 100g $2.8 Tax added to products containing more than 2.3% saturated fat per 100g $215m Amount of revenue generated that was ring-fenced for public health 1000 Number of jobs reportedly lost as a direct results of implementing the tax CaseStudy:Denmark
  • 73. © Euromonitor International 73 Retailers Role Just as Important as Manufacturers CASE STUDY: UNITED KINGDOM 12% Of calories in Western Europe purchased through top 10 companies‟ products 8% Of calories in Western Europe purchased through private label products -$1.4bn Value decline in sales of better-for-you food and beverages, 2009- 2014 CaseStudy:UnitedKingdom
  • 74. INTRODUCTION THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE KEY MESSAGES
  • 75. © Euromonitor International 75 Number of Calories Purchased Could Potentially Rise Up to 2019 CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 90 110 130 150 World AsiaPacific MiddleEastandAfrica EasternEurope LatinAmerica Australasia WesternEurope NorthAmerica Absolutegrowth(kcal) Forecast Growth in Food and Drink Calorie Purchasing by Region 2014-2019
  • 76. © Euromonitor International 76 What Would happen if Consumers Bought 100kcal Less? CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE 100kcal = 21g 1-2 biscuits less per person per day -4% 100kcal = 51g ~1 bar -13% 100kcal = 22g Half a serving -3% 100kcal = 30g ~1 serving -4% Biscuits Ice Cream Chocolate confectionery Pasta
  • 77. INTRODUCTION THE WORLD’S EXPANDING WAISTLINE ACTIONS TO CURB APPETITES CHALLENGES FOR THE FUTURE KEY MESSAGES
  • 78. © Euromonitor International 78 Double Current Efforts or Prepare for Tighter Legislation RECOMMENDATIONS Sales of packaged food reached US$614 billion in 2014 in Western Europe, with 20% of these sales from sweet snacks With volume sales starting to stagnate, manufacturers need to focus on premiumisation, innovation and indulgence to ensure they see value growth The number of calories that will be purchased in 2019 from packaged products is expected to rise globally and in Western Europe compared to 2014 Manufacturers have already made a large effort to improve the nutritional content of their products, but more effort is needed
  • 79. © Euromonitor International 79 THANK YOU FOR LISTENING ANY QUESTIONS? Lauren.Bandy@Euromonitor.com
  • 80. © Euromonitor International 80 Follow us on Twitter @Euromonitor Email us: Violetta.scola@euromonitor.com Visit our website: www.euromonitor.com #TUTTOFOOD
  • 81. © Euromonitor International 81 Research methodology for Passport Nutrition INTRODUCTION