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Natural Gas and Minnesota’s Energy Future
      Bill Grant, Department of Commerce
}    Current and projected price of natural gas
      ◦  Impacts of hydrofracking
      ◦  Demand for electric generation, exports

}    Characteristics of gas for utility planners
      ◦  Environmental considerations
      ◦  Natural gas vs. coal, vs. renewables, vs. energy
         efficiency
      ◦  Electricity generation as valley-filler
      ◦  Fuel of choice for repowering projects
}    Resource plans
      ◦  How will customer needs be met over next 15 yrs.
}    Certificate of Need
      ◦  Size, type, timing for facilities over 50 MW
}    Siting and routing
      ◦  Mitigation of environmental impacts
      ◦  Public involvement
}    Rate case
      ◦  Prudency of costs; who pays
Alternatives           Forecast                                                 Alternatives
                                                                                                                Environment	
  &	
  
                                                                          Forecast                              Socioeconomics

                                                  Existing	
  
  DSM
                                                 Generation
                     Strategist	
  
                      Model
                                                                                         Facility	
  Approved

                                               Size,	
  Type,	
  &	
  
                                                  Timing	
  
                                                 Approved




               Finance	
  
                                      Assign	
  Costs                                      Alternatives
             Adjustments
                                                                                                                Environmental	
  
                                                                            Public	
                               Review
                                                                         Participation

  Forecast	
  
                                                     Design	
  Rates
Adjustments
                            Rate	
  
                          Increase	
                                                      Siting/Routing	
  
                          Approved                                                         Approved	
  &	
  
                                                                                           Constructed
}    Natural gas for electric generation likely to
      grow in near to medium term

}    Minnesota well positioned with gas supply

}    Drivers include:
      ◦  Continued low cost
      ◦  Need for replacement of older coal capacity
      ◦  Load following support for variable renewables
      ◦  Valley-filling profile

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Policy Forum Series: Grant - Role of Natural Gas in Electricity Generation

  • 1. Natural Gas and Minnesota’s Energy Future Bill Grant, Department of Commerce
  • 2. }  Current and projected price of natural gas ◦  Impacts of hydrofracking ◦  Demand for electric generation, exports }  Characteristics of gas for utility planners ◦  Environmental considerations ◦  Natural gas vs. coal, vs. renewables, vs. energy efficiency ◦  Electricity generation as valley-filler ◦  Fuel of choice for repowering projects
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. }  Resource plans ◦  How will customer needs be met over next 15 yrs. }  Certificate of Need ◦  Size, type, timing for facilities over 50 MW }  Siting and routing ◦  Mitigation of environmental impacts ◦  Public involvement }  Rate case ◦  Prudency of costs; who pays
  • 7. Alternatives Forecast Alternatives Environment  &   Forecast Socioeconomics Existing   DSM Generation Strategist   Model Facility  Approved Size,  Type,  &   Timing   Approved Finance   Assign  Costs Alternatives Adjustments Environmental   Public   Review Participation Forecast   Design  Rates Adjustments Rate   Increase   Siting/Routing   Approved Approved  &   Constructed
  • 8. }  Natural gas for electric generation likely to grow in near to medium term }  Minnesota well positioned with gas supply }  Drivers include: ◦  Continued low cost ◦  Need for replacement of older coal capacity ◦  Load following support for variable renewables ◦  Valley-filling profile