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Enquirica Research – Eric Sprott on Silver Prices
Enquirica Reserch - October 2011
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                     	
  

       Eric Sprott on Silver Prices – 2011 Silver Summit

       Some	
  highlights	
  from	
  hedge	
  fund	
  manager	
  Eric	
  Sprott's	
  speech	
  at	
  the	
  2011	
  
       Silver	
  Summit.	
  	
  Sprott	
  of	
  course	
  created	
  and	
  is	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  largest	
  investors	
  in	
  
       the	
  Sprott	
  physical	
  silver	
  fund	
  that	
  trades	
  on	
  the	
  TSX	
  so	
  he	
  has	
  a	
  significant	
  
       personal	
  stake	
  in	
  the	
  outcome	
  of	
  the	
  debate	
  as	
  to	
  where	
  silver	
  prices	
  are	
  
       heading.	
  
       	
  
       •	
        The	
  US	
  Mint	
  sells	
  approximately	
  the	
  same	
  dollar	
  amount	
  of	
  gold	
  and	
  
                  silver	
  coins,	
  which	
  means	
  it	
  sells	
  50	
  ounces	
  of	
  silver	
  for	
  every	
  ounce	
  of	
  
                  gold.	
  	
  
       	
  
       •	
        Ten	
  times	
  more	
  silver	
  than	
  gold	
  is	
  produced	
  each	
  year,	
  and	
  the	
  ratio	
  
                  in	
  the	
  earth's	
  crust	
  is	
  15:1.	
  	
  This	
  begs	
  the	
  question	
  how	
  the	
  silver/gold	
  
                  ratio	
  can	
  be	
  50:1?	
  	
  	
  Sprott	
  expects	
  a	
  return	
  to	
  the	
  historical	
  norm	
  of	
  
                  15:1,	
  which	
  implies	
  that	
  silver	
  will	
  outperform	
  gold.	
  
       	
  
       •	
        The	
  paper	
  silver	
  markets	
  trade	
  a	
  billion	
  ounces	
  a	
  day	
  and	
  the	
  world	
  
                  only	
  produces	
  900	
  million	
  ounces	
  a	
  year.	
  The	
  amount	
  available	
  for	
  
                  settlement	
  of	
  these	
  futures	
  contracts	
  is	
  approximately	
  1.5	
  million	
  
                  ounces	
  –	
  very	
  little	
  compared	
  to	
  the	
  amount	
  of	
  paper.	
  
       	
  
       •	
        According	
  to	
  Sprott:	
  
                  o	
           "On	
  the	
  physical	
  side	
  I'm	
  seeing	
  only	
  buyers."	
  	
  	
  	
  
                  o	
           "There	
  are	
  a	
  lot	
  more	
  people	
  who	
  can	
  afford	
  a	
  one-­‐ounce	
  silver	
  
                                coin	
  than	
  an	
  ounce	
  of	
  gold."	
  
                  o	
           "We	
  tried	
  to	
  buy	
  15	
  million	
  ounces	
  of	
  silver	
  and	
  had	
  to	
  wait	
  
                                three	
  months	
  -­‐	
  and	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  silver	
  we	
  got	
  was	
  
                                manufactured	
  after	
  we	
  ordered.	
  So	
  there's	
  not	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  silver	
  
                                sitting	
  on	
  shelves	
  waiting	
  for	
  people	
  to	
  buy	
  it."	
  
                  o	
           "Somewhere	
  along	
  the	
  line	
  some	
  manufacturer	
  will	
  say	
  'I	
  can't	
  
                                get	
  the	
  silver	
  I	
  want'	
  and	
  the	
  jig's	
  up."	
  
       	
  
       	
  
 
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
                                                                                                                                 	
  
       	
  
              Counterparty	
  risk	
  of	
  exposing	
  savings	
  to	
  banks	
  will	
  increasingly	
  drive	
  
               people	
  to	
  prefer	
  gold	
  and	
  silver	
  to	
  having	
  money	
  in	
  a	
  bank.	
  	
  Witness	
  
               that	
  up	
  until	
  very	
  shortly	
  before	
  it	
  was	
  nationalized,	
  Dexia	
  was	
  
               considered	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  best	
  capitalized	
  European	
  bank	
  and	
  passed	
  what	
  
               was	
  alleged	
  to	
  be	
  a	
  stringent	
  “Stress	
  Test”.	
  	
  Counterparty	
  risk	
  is	
  not	
  
               theoretical	
  any	
  longer.	
  
       	
  
       •	
     Sprott	
  believes	
  that	
  silver	
  is	
  still	
  underrepresented	
  in	
  institutional	
  
               portfolios.	
  	
  According	
  to	
  him	
  "You	
  go	
  to	
  some	
  of	
  the	
  biggest	
  names	
  
               who	
  own	
  gold	
  and	
  ask	
  them	
  about	
  silver	
  and	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  them	
  haven't	
  
               even	
  looked	
  at	
  it."	
  
       	
  
 
          	
  
          	
  
          	
  
          	
  
          	
  
          	
  
          	
  
          	
  
                                                                                                      	
  


Disclaimer: Material contained in this document (‘Content”) is for information purposes only and is not intended
to and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction, nor
should it be used for the purpose of making investment decisions. The information presented in this document
has been reprinted with permission of the author. Enquirica believes it has been researched and is thought to
be reasonable however, in general, investments are speculative, prices can go up but they can also go down,
and thus ENQUIRICA AND/OR ITS AGENTS CANNOT AND DO NOT GUARANTEE ANY RATE OF RETURN
OR INVESTED AMOUNT OR INVESTMENT TIMELINE. You acknowledge and agree that Enquirica and/or its
agents are not in the business of investment advice and are not classified, or presenting themselves as experts
but are only preliminary providers of general information. You should not rely on any opinion or other
information set out in the Content when making business, financial, personal or other decisions as it has not
been tailored to your specific needs. Please contact your registered adviser for information specific to your
requirements. Principals with Enquirica and/or other Content providers to the site may at times be engaged in
the distribution of exempt market securities through registered Exempt Market Dealers. Enquirica and its
service providers do not endorse the opinions of any third party expressed on the document. While any
information and material contained in the Content are reasonably believed by Enquirica to be accurate and
complete in all material respects at the time of posting, and although Enquirica makes reasonable efforts to
ensure that all such information and material remain current, accurate and complete, Enquirica accepts no
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material or the Content or any portion thereof except as may be required by applicable law. You acknowledge
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Sprott's Views on Silver - October 2011

  • 1.                     Enquirica Research – Eric Sprott on Silver Prices Enquirica Reserch - October 2011
  • 2.                     Eric Sprott on Silver Prices – 2011 Silver Summit Some  highlights  from  hedge  fund  manager  Eric  Sprott's  speech  at  the  2011   Silver  Summit.    Sprott  of  course  created  and  is  one  of  the  largest  investors  in   the  Sprott  physical  silver  fund  that  trades  on  the  TSX  so  he  has  a  significant   personal  stake  in  the  outcome  of  the  debate  as  to  where  silver  prices  are   heading.     •   The  US  Mint  sells  approximately  the  same  dollar  amount  of  gold  and   silver  coins,  which  means  it  sells  50  ounces  of  silver  for  every  ounce  of   gold.       •   Ten  times  more  silver  than  gold  is  produced  each  year,  and  the  ratio   in  the  earth's  crust  is  15:1.    This  begs  the  question  how  the  silver/gold   ratio  can  be  50:1?      Sprott  expects  a  return  to  the  historical  norm  of   15:1,  which  implies  that  silver  will  outperform  gold.     •   The  paper  silver  markets  trade  a  billion  ounces  a  day  and  the  world   only  produces  900  million  ounces  a  year.  The  amount  available  for   settlement  of  these  futures  contracts  is  approximately  1.5  million   ounces  –  very  little  compared  to  the  amount  of  paper.     •   According  to  Sprott:   o   "On  the  physical  side  I'm  seeing  only  buyers."         o   "There  are  a  lot  more  people  who  can  afford  a  one-­‐ounce  silver   coin  than  an  ounce  of  gold."   o   "We  tried  to  buy  15  million  ounces  of  silver  and  had  to  wait   three  months  -­‐  and  some  of  the  silver  we  got  was   manufactured  after  we  ordered.  So  there's  not  a  lot  of  silver   sitting  on  shelves  waiting  for  people  to  buy  it."   o   "Somewhere  along  the  line  some  manufacturer  will  say  'I  can't   get  the  silver  I  want'  and  the  jig's  up."      
  • 3.                        Counterparty  risk  of  exposing  savings  to  banks  will  increasingly  drive   people  to  prefer  gold  and  silver  to  having  money  in  a  bank.    Witness   that  up  until  very  shortly  before  it  was  nationalized,  Dexia  was   considered  to  be  the  best  capitalized  European  bank  and  passed  what   was  alleged  to  be  a  stringent  “Stress  Test”.    Counterparty  risk  is  not   theoretical  any  longer.     •   Sprott  believes  that  silver  is  still  underrepresented  in  institutional   portfolios.    According  to  him  "You  go  to  some  of  the  biggest  names   who  own  gold  and  ask  them  about  silver  and  a  lot  of  them  haven't   even  looked  at  it."    
  • 4.                     Disclaimer: Material contained in this document (‘Content”) is for information purposes only and is not intended to and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction, nor should it be used for the purpose of making investment decisions. The information presented in this document has been reprinted with permission of the author. Enquirica believes it has been researched and is thought to be reasonable however, in general, investments are speculative, prices can go up but they can also go down, and thus ENQUIRICA AND/OR ITS AGENTS CANNOT AND DO NOT GUARANTEE ANY RATE OF RETURN OR INVESTED AMOUNT OR INVESTMENT TIMELINE. You acknowledge and agree that Enquirica and/or its agents are not in the business of investment advice and are not classified, or presenting themselves as experts but are only preliminary providers of general information. You should not rely on any opinion or other information set out in the Content when making business, financial, personal or other decisions as it has not been tailored to your specific needs. Please contact your registered adviser for information specific to your requirements. Principals with Enquirica and/or other Content providers to the site may at times be engaged in the distribution of exempt market securities through registered Exempt Market Dealers. Enquirica and its service providers do not endorse the opinions of any third party expressed on the document. While any information and material contained in the Content are reasonably believed by Enquirica to be accurate and complete in all material respects at the time of posting, and although Enquirica makes reasonable efforts to ensure that all such information and material remain current, accurate and complete, Enquirica accepts no liability, responsibility or obligation whatsoever to post, update, amend, review or remove such information, material or the Content or any portion thereof except as may be required by applicable law. You acknowledge that such facts, information and material may change quickly and without notice and that such changes will take time to be incorporate into Content, if they are incorporated at all. Enquirica may, at its sole discretion, post, delete and amend Content without notice. Please see the Enquirica website for further disclaimer information – www.enquirica.com.