A presentation on how the energy industry affects the relationship between Russia and Europe. It uses constructivism and neoliberalism as international relations theories and three case studies to explain the situation. The conclusion, it seems, is that the interdependence is making peace between the two groups more attractive.
2. Evolution of Relations
Europe
(the West) and Russia (USSR)
fought a 40 year war, with Russia being
defeated economically
Europe
is now dependent on Russia‟s
huge energy reserves (Van Der Meulen, 2009)
Yet,
they are closer than ever (Padget, 2011)
3. Purpose
With
all of the potential
struggles, how can
Europe and Russia be so
close?
I
will argue this is
because of the business
of energy and energy
security
4. Factors
Development
of a large web of
international institutions
A
large amount of foreign direct
investment
5. Overview
Introduction
The current state of energy security
The opposing view
Literature
International Institutions-Neoliberalism
International Institutions-Constructivism
Methodology
Case 1- Partnership and Cooperation
Agreements
Case 2- The Energy Dialogue
Case 3- Foreign Direct Investment
Analysis
Conclusion
References
6. Eu-Russia Energy Security
Europe needs
(Van Der Meulen, 2009)
Russia‟s energy
Russia
has the largest
reserves of natural gas
(Ndefo & Geng, 2007).
Russia
has the second largest coal reserves
has the eighth largest oil reserves
Is the largest exporter and producer of oil in
the world (Shiryaevskaya, 2010).
7. Eu-Russia Energy Security
Russia
needs Europe to buy Russian
energy
Europe is the destination of
70% of Russian exported gas
80% of exported oil
50% of exported coal (European Commission, 2009)
Russia
needs European investment for
technology and to replace its rapidly
aging energy infrastructure (Orttung & Overland,
2011)
8. The Two Sides
Russia
is using its abundance of
energy, and Europe‟s dependency as a
weapon against the EU (Stegen, 2011)
The
EU and Russia are becoming more
cooperative due to mutual benefits
fostered by international institutions and
shared norms (Splidsboel-Hansen, 2002)
11. Constructivism
International
Institutions- Checkel ,Finnemore, Sikkink, Haas
“When normative suasion takes place, agents actively and reflectively
internalize new under-standings of appropriateness” (Checkel, 2005)
Agents of change (Sikkink, Finnemore)
“…the location in which reflexive new practices and policies develop.” (Haas
& Haas, 2002)
“Institutions provide the receptive and supportive milieu for the conduct of
appropriate discourse to a much greater extent than would be the case if
individuals worked in isolation.” (Haas & Haas, 2002)
12. Methodology
Cooperation
To have cooperation there must be incentive to change,
through a process, to bring both sides into conformity
(Keohane, 1984)
Case Study: Partnership and Cooperation Agreements
Case Study: Energy Dialogue
evidence of integrating Russian and European markets
and economy on all levels
evidence of facilitating greater energy interdependence,
and preventing past conflict
Case Study: Foreign Direct Investment
evidence of increased FDI flow in the energy sector
creating an institution
13. Case 1: Partnership and
Cooperation Agreements
Began in 1994
Put into force in 1997
Series of meetings and agreements to set up
a legally binding framework for relations
In part created to simulate WTO conditions
Primary concern is to promote trade,
investment and harmonious economic sectors
14. Partnership and Cooperation
Agreements
Created
the Four Common Spaces (2005)
Freedom, Security, Justice Space
External Security Space
Research, Education, Culture Space
Economic
Space
15. Economic Space (PCA)
Economic
Space
Enforce WTO “Technical Barriers to Trade”
Regulatory Dialogue
Transportation
16.
17. Economic Space (PCA)
Investment
Germany needs Russian labor
Russia needs European investment
Predictability and Transparency by
standardization
Combining
financial sectors
Interdependence and independence
18. Economic Space (PCA)
Trade
Standardize and Automate
Universal use of security checks and risk
assessment
Use of international institutions
Technical assistance to Russia
20. Economic Space (PCA)
Information and Communication
The
Information Society
Approximate legislation
Increase interoperability of Russian and European
business through E-Businesses
Research and Development
21. Theory Application (PCA)
International institutions were created to incorporate
and combine Europe and Russian economies on
every level
Information is shared at a faster rate and more
accurately, which takes out guess work and reduces
risk
Transparency and Standardization creates the
platform for increased trade and investment
Cooperation instead of antagonism is seen as the
appropriate action
22. Case 2: Energy Dialogue
Created on October 30, 2000
More than 60% of Russia‟s export revenue
comes from the energy sector.
45% of Russian imports originate in Europe
88% of Russian oil and 70% of Russia‟s gas
exports are sent to Europe
75% of Russian FDI originates from Europe
24. Energy Dialogue
Europe‟s
only real option for energy is
Russia
Russia‟s only real option for energy sales is
in Europe
European demand is growing since the
expansions of 2004 and 2007
27. Energy Dialogue
Thematic
Russian Energy Strategy until 2030
New
Groups
technology and tap new resources
Web based platform to quickly share
scenarios and solve problems
Fair use of pipelines
28. Energy Dialogue
Create
a dialogue from
raw material providers to
end users
Synchronizing
the
electricity system and
unbundling
Tacis
program
29. Energy Dialogue
Early
Warning System
Solves the problems of the 2006 and 2009
gas crises
Direct line between Moscow and the
European Commission
Obligates each side to inform of looming
problems
Allows 3rd party experts to contribute to
solutions and forecasting
30. Theory Application
Improves security of supply to
Europe(predictability)
Allows Russia to extract more resources (increased
mutual benefits)
Creates mechanisms to prevent past conflicts
(mitigating conflict through institutions before the
fact)
Creates arena for change towards a mutual free
market
31. Case 3: Foreign Direct
Investment
Siemens AG announced that it will invest €1 Billion into Russia over
the next 3 years
"Our far-reaching investments underscore Russia's great importance as
a strategic core market for Siemens. By entering into a technology
partnership, we're supporting the country's ambitious modernization
plans and placing our close cooperation with our Russian partners on a
new, even broader basis," said Peter Löscher (Siemens AG CEO)
Siemen‟s repowering project (March 2012)
increased productivity almost 3 times and reduced emissions and
amount of gas used
Demonstrated the value of European investment
32.
33. Foreign Direct Investment
The
Russian South Stream Project (2008-2015)
15% -German Wintershall
15% -French Electricite de France (EDF)
20% -Italian Eni
50% -Russian Gazprom
Bypasses
transit countries to directly connect
Russia with Europe
Attracting European Investment Bank interest
34.
35. Foreign Direct Investment
Russia investing into Eurozone
"We are ready to invest all financial means to
back the European economy and the
eurozone”-Medvedev
15 billion euros to International Monetary Fund
resources intended for use in stabilizing the
eurozone
41% of Russian currency is invested in the Euro
36. Theory Application
Increased
investment creates a situation
where it is in each side‟s interest for the
other to succeed
European
investment in Russian energy
combines both business sectors
Creates
an institution of confident
investments with precedents
37. Analysis
International
Institutions have integrated
European and Russian Economies at almost
every level
This
has spurred efforts to prevent conflict in
the future and invest in each other‟s futures
The
identities of Russia and Europe have
been changing from all perspectives into a
more cohesive and cooperative image
39. Conclusion
Russia and Europe need each other for capital
and the energy necessary to exist
Institutions have been setup to facilitate this fact
Mechanisms have been set into place to minimize
conflict and maximize mutual gain
Russia and Europe are slowly but surely becoming
closer and more cooperative through institutions
on all levels
40.
41. References
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Commission presents energy security, solidarity
and efficiency proposals.
42. References
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43. References
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44. References
Edf, wintershall to each get 15% in south stream gazprom head. (2011, September 06). RIA Novosti
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Hinweis der Redaktion
WTO- take away arbitrary creation of trade law, level playing fieldRegdiag-consult mechanism between legislators to approximateTransport-interoperability, remove tech differences, investment, corridors of trade, carried out by many IOs
Germn-christian culture,modernization
Consultation dialogueIndependent national regulatory authority