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Paul van den noord 2010 11 08 growth drivers com

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AmaliaKhachatryan

1) Many OECD countries face large output gaps, severe fiscal imbalances with high debt levels, and rising current account imbalances. 2) Faster fiscal consolidation could reduce short-term growth but lead to higher medium-term growth through lower interest rates and cost of capital. 3) Additional structural reforms and exchange rate adjustments are also needed along with fiscal consolidation to achieve balanced long-term growth across countries.

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How to hit three birds with one stone: growth, fiscal sustainability and global rebalancing Paul van den Noord OECD
Objectives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tools ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
OECD potential output reduced after crisis
Key fiscal & x-rate assumptions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Large increase in government debt ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global current account imbalances still large
Faster consolidation scenario ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Main results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fiscal consolidation scenario
Additional structural reform ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Main results ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A more balanced scenario
A more balanced scenario
A more balanced scenario
A more balanced scenario
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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