SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 47
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
OTC COLLATERALIZATION, CVA AND FVA
         The practical challenges of untangling
                       credit and funding costs


                                  Alexandre Bon




                       RI$KMINDS 2011
                                         Geneva
                                December the 8th
Where have all the flowers gone?



« Too big to fail » have become « too big to save »
Massive re-regulation & changing standards
– Basel III, Dodd Frank-Emir, IFRS 13…

Where is the risk-free asset ?
– OIS-LIBOR basis
– Multi-curve environment
– Risky sovereigns

What about the « Law of One Price? »
– Valuation adjustments
– Close-out value vs. Profitability measure

Evolving business models
– CCPs, CVA desks, Collateral transformation…




         Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved   2
Introducing the Collateral Agreement


A bit of terminology : Collateral, ISDA & CSA
 –   CSA : credit support annex
 –   Non-mandatory appendix to the ISDA master agreement (which enforces close-
     out netting for eligible contracts)
 –   Defines the scope and terms of bilateral remargining agreement
 –   CSA is the most common (but not the sole) collateral agreement for OTC
     derivatives
 –   Standard templates but varied implementations (differences in clauses and
     jurisdictions)
Main clauses
 –   Eligibility of positions to close-out netting and collateralization
 –   Eligibility of pledge-able assets and applicable haircuts
 –   Remargining process : valuation, frequency, settlement, reconciliation, dispute
     resolution
 –   Determination of the collateral balance: symmetry, thresholds, independent
     amounts, minimum transfer amounts, rounding rules…
 –   Legal framework: pledge or title-transfer, rights of re-use & rehypothecation
 –   Remuneration of the collateral account (most often based on an OIS rate, but
     not always!)
               Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                     3
Collateral Mitigation



Collateralization does not fully eliminate counterparty
risk but reduces it greatly.


A collateral contract can be seen as a derivatives
contract of the portfolio value.

Collateral pay-off function :
– Risk-free value of the collateralized portfolio at the re-margining date
– Thresholds, Minimum Transfer Amount, Independent amounts, rounding
  rules
– Outstanding balance
– Haircuts applicable to the collateral asset




               Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved             4
CVA - Collateral Modeling



                                                                           Margining
                     Counterparties                    Netting Nodes
                                                                            Nodes



Eligibility rules
                                                                              CSA
Exposures are
                                                         ISDA - ABC
mapped to Netting
and Margining sets                                                        No collateral

Upon close-out the
                        Bank ABC
collateral balance                                            GMRA           GMRA
is offset against
the netting node
positions
                                                          No netting      No collateral


                      Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                   5
CVA - Collateral Modeling

                    Exposure at t is the difference of the Close-Out value of the portfolio
                    and Outstanding collateral balance
                    Considering the simulation date correspond to the close-out date
                    following default one identify the previous effective re-margining date
                    Common modeling options


                                                          Margin Period of Risk
                                   previous                                               grace
                                                    dispute             fail                       close-out
                                 remargining                                              period




        Unsecured exposure
         (collateralised set)
                                                                                                                  Exposure



                                                         Collateral Balance                                       Threshold


Simulation                                                                                                Simulation
                           Ti - MPR
 date Ti-1                                                                                                  date Ti

                                      Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                                6
CVA - Collateral Modeling

             A path-dependent issue
             Common modeling options:
             –   Short-cut method
             –   Dynamically identify the previous margining date and revalue (only) the
                 collateralized set’s positions by full simulation
             –   Analytical (portfolio volatility) approximations
             –   Pros/Cons


                                               Margin Period of Risk




                                                                                                 Exposure

                                                                                 Threshold



Simulation                                                                               Simulation
                  Ti - MPR
 date Ti-1                                                                                 date Ti

                             Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                        7
Collateralization & typical portfolio mix


An institution’s OTC portfolio will commonly contain a mix of:
 – Bilateral CSAs with 0 threshold and daily margining (cash)
 – Positions cleared on CCPs : daily or intraday exchange of Variation and
   Initial Margin
 – CSAs with asymmetric terms
      •   One-way with SSAs
      •   Over-collateralized agreements (IAs, Thresholds, IM) and security collateral (e.g.
          PB agreements) : small funds and corporates
 – No CSA
 – Multiple “collateral sets” with a single credit entity (by products : CSA,
   GMRA, OSLA, GMSLA … or entities)


Some local variations, but the interbank market is mostly on
bilateral CSAs and daily cash margining


Imperfect collateralization bears additional risks & and
warrants further valuation adjustments (credit and funding)

                  Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                        8
CVA – Collateralization Efficiency

Main collateralization risks and issues:
  Lack of standardization across CSAs
  Costs and risks of operation (bilateral & 0-threshold)
  Concentration risk
  Credit dependent clauses
  Eligibility of collateral assets & haircuts
  Execution : rounding, split differences, disputes
   – In practice collateral amount will never exactly match the exposure
     levels
   – The former are typically ignored in the model, the latter managed by
     adjusting the MPR of problem counterparties (dispute history).
  Rehypothecation and re-characterization risks
  Gap Risk
   – Model risk & close-out value
   – JTD & Wrong way risk


             Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved              9
Rehypothecation

Rehypothecation:
 –   The collateral taker uses pledged assets as security for his own obligations to a third
     party
Right of re-use:
 –   Covers rehypothecation as well as any use of the collateral asset in line with
     ownership of the property (e.g. sale, lending to a third party)
Depending on the jurisdictions and legal phrasing, collateral
exchange can be performed under:
 –   A Title Transfer Arrangement (implicit re-use rights)
 –   A Pledged Collateral Agreement, where the rehypothecation right may be explicitely
     granted (often the case with non-bank counterparties)
Similar question with cash collateral and margin segregation


Some remarks:
 –   Rehypothecation and “re-pledging chains” have played an essential part in providing
     liquidity (and leverage) to the financial markets
 –   The GFC showed how damaging the combined effects of reduced collateral velocity
     (cf. Lehman close-out) and collateral squeeze (haircuts) can be in a systemic shock.
 –   Not a desirable feature from a CCR mitigation point of view, but forfeiting this right
     represents a funding cost.

                Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                         10
Risk-free or risky close-out


ISDA documentation not 100% clear on how we
should price the liquidation value of derivatives.
Open issue for default close-out as well as
valuations for Unwinds and ATEs
Introduces a recursive pricing issue
Theoretical justifications for both approaches: the
need for another Valuation Adjustment
(RVA/ATEVA) ?
Practical questions:
– Pricing of DVA or funding cost in distressed markets
– Joint-default
– Going-concern collateral balance is determined based on risk-free
  valuation



            Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved         11
One-Way Collateral Agreements
                                                                                Part I
                                Sovereigns, Supranationals and Agencies (SSAs)
                                Small non-bank counterparties without a collateral
                                management function
                                Potentially large exposures for the un-collateralized
                                party
                                Bilateral CVA ~ Unilateral CVA




Exposures vs. Liabilities
     distributions




                            Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved           12
Collateral gap risk

Instantaneous jump in exposure and counterparty default
leaving a portion of the portfolio un-collateralized
•   More prevalent with imperfect CSAs
    (large thresholds & MTAs, longer remargining frequencies)
•   Credit protection bought from related entity
•   Simply settlement effects (warrant special treatment?)
•   Liquidity effects upon counterparty default




              Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved     13
A Familiar Horror Story

A SME wishes to hedge away the FX risk of its
exports against the steady appreciation of its
local currency against USD:
             => a right-way situation




    Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved   14
A Familiar Horror Story

A SME wishes to hedge away the FX risk of its
exports against the steady appreciation of its
local currency against USD:


We can sell him a strip of put options
We make the product cheaper by limiting our
downside (KO)
The product is very popular but the market is
highly competitive: we can make it cheaper by
buying a call option that gets activated after
an OTM barrier level (or rather two or three).

This is still right-way, right?
Very limited downside, nice upside, covered
with collateral, in some instances back-to-
back : how bad can it get?

                        Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved   15
A Familiar Horror Story




Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved   16
A Familiar Horror Story

   520 companies holding for over US$ 10b of
   KIKOs
   Average hedge ratio to annual export between
   35% and 40%
   68 SMEs with an average hedge ratio of 194%
   Class-Action suit for mis-selling
   Déjà vu - and though, firms in HK, India,
   Indonesia, Taiwan, Brazil, Mexico, Poland posted
   at least $30 billion losses on FXD in 2008.




Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved   17
A Familiar Horror Story: The
                                  Gremlin Trade


From right-way to wrong-                            Collateralization questions:
way                                                   – Did CVA desks spot these CCR
                                                        concentrations?
– Trade size vs. turnover : an
                                                      – Many of those contracts were
  extremely large exposure will                         collateralized on favorable terms
  trigger a default                                     to the banks, but with large
– Crowded trade                                         remargining periods and with
                                                        KRW bonds.
Credit risk                                           – Incidentally, an interesting
– Counterparty risk                                     stress-test case for regional
                                                        CCPs and aspiring clearing
– Assimilation / Model risk
                                                        brokers (cf. IM calculation
– Reputation risk                                       methods)
– Legal risk                                        Some practical IT fixes
– Systemic risk



                      Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                 18
From Credit to Funding




                               Discounting
    Credit risk




             Calibration




                                                    Valuation




Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved               19
Funding un-collateralized trades

In any derivatives contract future cash-flow exchanges need to
be “funded”.


A bilateral position with an open negative MtM can be seen as an
overnight loan granted by the counterparty : logically this funding
benefit is financed at our cost of funds.


A positive MtM represents a funding cost : by unwinding the trade
and investing this amount with my treasury (or buying back my
own bond issue) I could get the same rate.


Hence an uncollateralized transaction’s Cash Flows should be
discounted at my senior unsecured cost of debt.


Neglecting the CDS-Bond basis, my senior unsecured cost of funds
is in line with the assumptions PDs and Recovery of the CVA
calculation. Hence at a single contract level (i.e. single deal or
netting set): DVA = Funding Benefit.

          Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved      20
Funding cost: the (non-)effect of netting


     2 parties A & B have two exactly offsetting trades but no
     netting agreements between them:
      –   Both parties will have non-zero CVA & DVA terms (and bilateral CVA)
      –   They both have 0 funding cost as CFs will offset.



                                               In practice whether a set of
                                               transactions is covered by a
                                               close-out netting provision
                                               (ISDA) or not, has no implication
                                               on their funding cost (and thus
                                               the discounting curve to be used)


                                               For non-fully netted portfolios the
                                               Funding Benefit is not equal to
                                               DVA!
                                                 –    No close-out netting agreement
                                                 –    Multiple netting sets



      Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                                21
Funding collateralized trades


If a CSA is in place, the “lender” typically receives a collateral
for a value ~ equal to the MtM of the position, either as:
 – a Cash amount, which can be re-invested (overnight) and on which a pre-
   specified interest is paid back to the poster (typically compounded OIS
   index).
 – a Security. If the CSA agreement allows for re-hypothecation, that collateral
   can be repo-ed to another party to fund at a much lower rate than an
   unsecured funding rate.
 – Simplifying assumptions: 0 Thresholds & MTAs, daily remargining, one
   currency, no haircuts on securities, no dispute…
Hence CSA-covered positions can be funded by using an OIS
discount curve
Non CSA-covered positions are funded using the internal cost
of funds (senior unsecured debt)




                Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved            22
The Ideal CSA Hypotheses

Bilateral Agreement
Continuous Margining
Instantaneous settlement of margin calls
0 Threshold and Minimum Transfer Amount
No Independent Amounts
No haircuts
Cash (or equivalent instrument) collateral, independent from exposure
No valuation differences
No disputes
Netting set = Margining set
No Initial Margin
CCR :
 –   No rehypothecation / segregation of collateral accounts
 –   No Initial Margin with risky entities
 –   No settlement risk on margin flows
Funding :
 –   Rehypothecation / no segregation of collateral accounts
 –   No Initial Margin
 –   Single risk-free collateral asset (e.g. no currency basis arbitrage)

            Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved               23
New FO and Risk systems needs

Front-Office systems require flexible curve allocation
mechanisms:
–   Collateral documentation is pricing data!
–   Rule-based dynamic allocation of curves based on both the leg currency and underlying
    collateral currency

Proper allocation of risk and sensitivities
–   E.g. Uncollateralised CMS swap (CMS rate derived from collateralised instruments)

Need a multiple curve calibration engine:
                                                                     –   Able to detect the
                                                                         dependencies
                                                                     –   Wider selection of curve
                                                                         building instruments
                                                                     –   Simultaneous bootstrapping of
                                                                         all involved curves with
                                                                         accuracy and speed.




                 Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                                  24
Pricing example

Uncollateralized          USD CSA

                                                                   In-the-money XCCY
                                                                   swap EUR/USD with 5Y
                                                                   outstanding maturity


                                                                   P&L impact of 36bp


                                                                   Forward MtM, vs.
                                                                   Expected Exposure &
                                                                   Expected Liability
                                                                   evolution.




                   Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                     25
Pricing in a Multiple Curve Environment


Forwarding curves are derived from collateralized quotes
 –   Joint bootstrapping of discounting and forwarding curves
 –   E.g. EONIA and EURIBOR 3M, then EURIBOR 6M vs. 3M…
 –   Triangular calibration with XCCY basis curves or markets with varying liquid swap
     tenors depending on the horizon.


Different discounting curves depending on the CSA clauses.
 –   EURIBOR swap collateralized in EUR is discounted on an EONIA curve
 –   EURIBOR swap collateralized in USD is discounted on a EUR/USD XCCY basis curve
     built upon a USD Feds Funds curve.




                Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                        26
Pricing in a Multiple Curve Environment


The new funding paradigm requires multi-curve
evolutions for derivatives pricing and CVA
estimation.
 – Current standard market practice: deterministic basis spreads
   curves on top of a risk-free OIS curve
 – Currently testing a HJM 2F stochastic basis spread model,
   calibrated to historical data (results to be presented soon).



Another difficult question pertains to
correlations
(OIS-LIBOR spread vs. rates, bond-CDS basis vs. LIBOR basis and
credit…)




            Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved      27
Main issue: the CSA is not perfect

When exposure is in-between thresholds, we fund at
LIBOR + spread and not at OIS flat
Non-cash asset: haircuts and rehypothecation rights?
Choice of collateral currency:
 – Steep XCCY basis spreads with the current USD squeeze
 – Apparently comparable to a contingent Bermudan XCCY swaption on
   the portfolio (hint at American Monte Carlo pricing)
 – In practice varying implementation approaches
 – However, uncertain execution / enforceability
     •   Different legal interpretations (US vs. UK law – do we require the consent of
         the receiving party? Is full substitution always possible when there is no
         margin call?...)
     •   Will the collateral management team deliver the adequate collateral?
 – Will the issue disappear with the Standard CSA?
Does the local market even have a liquid OIS instrument?
One-way CSA case is another tricky case of funding
asymmetry (one threshold pushed to infinity)
               Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                         28
One-Way Collateral Agreements
                                                                         Part II
   Funding cost at OIS flat
   Funding benefit at unsecured debt level
   Double hit: CVA & FVA
        Usually SSAs will have much lower credit spreads than the institution so
        the Funding risk effect would dominate the Credit risk one.
   Difficult to value in the simple discount switch setting,
   however actual quoted price is unlikely to be the “fair-one”.




                                                         Borrow at LIBOR + spread




                                                         Receive funding at OIS flat




     Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                          29
Introducing the Standard CSA


New collateral support annex protocol promoted by
ISDA
Aim to standardize valuation practices
– Specify OIS discounting
– Remove the collateral switch optionality
– Align CSA to the margining mechanics of CCPs
0 Threshold, no MTA, daily margining
Cash collateral only for variation margin
Phased implementation in 2012 : transactions can
be moved from legacy CSA to S-CSA
Transactions pooled in 5 Designated Collateral
Currency buckets



           Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved   30
Introducing the Standard CSA
                                                                                                            Phase I

                                                                                                  Discounting on USD
                           Local currency OIS discounting                                     Feds Funds & corresponding
                                  (EONIA, SONIA…)                                                   FX basis curves



                                                                                                     CCS and
         CHF trades       EUR trades             GBP trades                   JPY trades              other
                                                                                                    currencies

                CHF           EUR                     GBP                           JPY                 USD
             collateral     collateral              collateral                   collateral           collateral
              balance        balance                 balance                      balance              balance

     Margin
Calls / Deliveries




                                            Counterparty


                 Herstatt Risk!
                                  Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                                 31
Introducing the Standard CSA
                                                                                                     Phase II


                                                                                                CCS and
         CHF trades        EUR trades             GBP trades                   JPY trades        other
                                                                                               currencies

                CHF            EUR                     GBP                           JPY           USD
             collateral      collateral              collateral                   collateral     collateral
              balance         balance                 balance                      balance        balance

     Margin
Calls / Deliveries


                      Safe settlement: PvP platform operated by ISDA
                           Swap margins to USD (ISA method)




                                             Counterparty

                                   Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                          32
Moving to S-CSA: system implication


Straight-forward
adaptation of the
CVA Monte Carlo                                                              Margining
                      Counterparties                      Netting Nodes
                                                                              Nodes
Engine thanks to
dynamic
construction of the                                                         CSA – EUR
netting and
margining sets
(rule-based)                                                                     …
                                                            ISDA - ABC

In practice, need                                                           CSA – USD*
to follow closely
migration of trade
                       Bank ABC
blocks (by                                                                  Legacy CSA
products, entities)                                                  …
from legacy CSA to
SCSA margining.                                                             No collateral


                        Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                33
S-CSA implementation challenges

ISDA : “Regardless of approach, firms will need to undertake considerable internal
technology and process re-engineering work to implement the SCSA.”

   Collateral systems impact:
     – Electronic messaging
     – Exposure pooling and collateral accounts by currency buckets & flexible
       mechanism to migrate positions off legacy CSA
     – Mandatory OIS discounting
     – Implementation of ISA & PvP processes

   Front-office:
     – Availability of collateral eligibility criteria at point of pricing
     – Discount curve allocation mechanism based on CSA / SCSA mappings
     – For a period of time maintain local OIS curves and Basis OIS curves

   CVA / FVA units
     – Consistent mapping of the positions to currency buckets
     – Multiple margining sets per netting set
     – Value margin conversion via ISA-type method and capture FX risk over
       MPR
                   Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved           34
FVA - Collateral Modeling

An alternative approach to the Discount Method consists in
looking at the question from a portfolio level by representing the
funding cost as another valuation adjustment
(the OIS curve providing a proxy for the risk-free rate).


Evolve market rates and explicitly model the collateral balances
and a funding strategy. E.g.
 –   Collateral balance : funded at OIS flat
 –   Portfolio value – balance : shortfall funded at own cost of funds


Extend existing CVA simulation framework since this will provide:
 –   A consistent pricing framework for CVA and FVA (calibration, deal aging and termination
     events)
 –   The CVA engine already has all required business logic (margining set mapping, curve and
     spreads evolution)
 –   A validated & controlled infrastructure : inter-system data flows, interfaces, reconciliation
     processes
 –   A low & managed TCO, as one can leverage existing infrastructure (e.g. grid, GPU farm) :
     running FVA calculations on top of a CVA simulation is computationally efficient (provided i.
     consistent modeling assumptions and ii. that collateralized positions are already included)

                         Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                           35
FVA - Collateral Modeling

Rates curves are
evolved jointly
                                                                           Margining
                    Counterparties                      Netting Nodes
                                                                            Nodes
Collateral
Balances are
obtained at the                                                           CSA – EUR
margining node
level
                                                                               …
                                                          ISDA - ABC
Collateral assets
are funded at the                                                         CSA – USD*
Agreement’s
                     Bank ABC
specified rate
source                                                                    Legacy CSA
                                                                   …
Collateral
shortfalls funded                                                         No collateral
on funding curve

                      Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                36
FVA - Collateral Modeling

             Practical simulation implementation : DVA is not the FVA
             benefit (MPR vs. Settlement lag).


                                                    Margin Period of Risk


                                                                                           Settlement
                                                                                              Lag




                                                                                                             Collateral
                                                                                                             Funding
                                                                           Collateral Balance (FVA)

                            Collateral Balance (CVA)

Simulation                                                                                            Simulation
                 Ti - MPR                                                        Ti - SL
 date Ti-1                                                                                              date Ti




                            Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                                      37
FVA - Collateral Modeling




                                   Reducing the MPR (10 days)
                                   to the Settlement lag (3
                                   days) halves the DVA
                                   estimate.


                                   Final FVA impact would be
                                   stronger on portfolios with
                                   imbalanced EPE/ENE profiles
                                   or asymmetric collateral
                                   terms (thresholds, IAs, one-
                                   way CSA).




Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                 38
What about FVA for CCP-cleared products?


Margin requirement broadly split in IM and VM
IM typically much larger and aimed at covering gap risk over the
auctioning period (so as to preserve default funds contributions)
IM models are typically VaR-based (adjusted with credit and
liquidity factors)
The IM funding requirement will then depend on the
“directionality” of the cleared portfolio!


Should this additional cost be modeled on an incremental basis
(consistent with CVA and OTC FVA), or handled as a post trade
operational cost? Incentives may differ vastly depending on the
institution.
Extending the CVA/FVA model to provide estimation of forward
Initial Margin requirements would require a forward approximation
of the margining sets VaR. Computationally, the issue is similar to
the estimation of the incremental RWA cost of capital.

                    Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved   39
Variation Margin and Initial Margin

           FVA for cleared products should, in theory, account for the
           incremental cost of funding the Initial Margin


                                                       5 days to close the auctioning process

                                                                                                High C.L.
                                                                                                VaR


   Initial Margin




Variation Margin




                          Position at Ti-1    Position at T
                       Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                                40
An open question

Should we look at aligning the industry’s modeling of MPR and close-
out gap risk for CVA/PFE with the CCPs’ I.M. estimation models?

–   Standard I.M. models implemented at CCPs
–   Volatility vs. time-acceleration
–   Directionality of underlying netting
    sets exposures
–   Adjustments for systematically important
     financial institutions.                             Initial Margin
–   Contingent funding stress
    vs. WWR models




                                                                            Position at T

                                  Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved         41
Questions and practical issues


Vanillas are de-facto level-2 derivatives and market prices are not
transparent (difficulty to unwind off-market positions)
Broker quotes need to be reinterpreted (e.g. B&S vols)
New premium quotation modes (unfortunately not applicable for all
types of options)
Sensitivities and hedge ratios differ between collateralized and
uncollateralized cases
Perfect hedge can only be achieved under identical collateralization
terms
Pricing effects are complex to quantify for imperfect
collateralization cases and embedded optionalities
Difficult /costly hedging of basis risks
Convexity and wrong-way funding effects deemed small (price
impact smaller than bid-ask) but traders need to be aware of them
Which CSA clauses should be modeled / can be hedged ?




           Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved       42
Questions and practical issues


Internal organization challenges:
   Need to implement consistent pricing of new transactions, unwinds
   and legacy books
   Fair pricing of internal positions
   Ownership of the funding issue and hedging
   Ensure that the Collateral Management & Treasury functions
   provide optimal funding (as supposed in the pricing)
   Integration of data flows and inter-operability : both a processes
   and systems challenge !
   Establish clear-cut transfer pricing and cost management policies




              Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved         43
Two modeling and organizational models

Discount curves method                                             Global FVA/CVA exposure method

Simpler to implement in a crude way,                                Requires significant investments (starting with
additional complexity with curves                                   a simulation framework)
management and FO assignments                                       Global hybrid pricing consistent across desks
Trade pricing compatible with local desk                            and with CVA.
models.                                                             Flexible handling of CSA agreements and
Fail to account for corner cases                                    explicit modeling of the funding strategy
 –   asymmetric funding terms                                         –    Reproduces the previous method results under
 –   convexity effects (e.g. spread / rates correlation)                   specific cases
 –   liquidation value different from risk-free value                 –    Can include funding impact of credit mitigants

Non-explicit link with DVA                                          Isolates clearly funding cost from valuation and
                                                                    CVA/DVA

Deal-level and easily understood by traders                         Portfolio-level, cost reallocated to the trades
Funding and convexity risk owned by the                             (like CVA)
traders                                                             Funding and convexity risk transferred to a
Works best with smaller decentralized                               centralized Funding / Treasury desk
operations well collateralized                                      Works best when bringing together Treasury,
                                                                    CVA and Collateral trading operations

 Open question : what should be the regulatory treatment of the FVA market risk in the
 second setting? FVA VaR integrated in the IMA model?

                                      Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                                     44
Some useful references

Collateralization & Counterparty Risk:


    D. Brigo & A. Pallavicini (2011) – Arbitrage-Free Counterparty Risk Valuation
    under Collateral Margining
    D. Brigo (2011) – Counterparty Risk FAQ: Credit VaR, PFE, CVA, DVA, Closeout,
    Netting, Collateral, Re-Hypothecation, WWR, Basel, Funding, CCDS and Margin
    Lending.
    J. Gregory (2009) – Being two-faced over counterparty risk
    J. Hull & A. White (2011) – CVA and Wrong Way Risk.
    ISDA (2011) – Overview of ISDA Standard Credit Support Annex (SCSA).
    M. Pykhtin (2010) – Collateralised credit exposure, in Counterparty Credit Risk,
    edited by E. Canabarro, Risk Books.
    M. Pykhtin & D. Rosen (2010) – Pricing Counterparty Risk at the Trade Level and
    CVA Allocations.


Books:
    J. Gregory – Counterparty credit risk – The new challenge for global financial
    markets. Wiley Finance.
    G. Cesari & al. – Modelling, Pricing, and Hedging Counterparty Credit Exposure.



                   Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved                 45
Some useful references

Collateralization & Funding:


    C. Fries (2010) – Discounting Revisited: Valuation Under, Funding, Counterparty
    Risk and Collateralisation.
    M. Fuji, Y. Shimada & A. Takahashi (2010) – Collateral Posting and Choice of
    Collateral Currency.
    A. Green (2011) – Engineering a CVA and FVA solution, talk given at the WBS
    Discounting and Funding conference , November.
    M. Morini & A. Prampolini (2010) – Risky funding: a unified framework for
    counterparty and liquidity charges.
    V. Piterbarg (2010) – Funding beyond discounting: collateral agreements and
    derivatives pricing, Risk Magazine, February issue.
    Risk Magazine (2011) – The evolution of swap pricing. Nick Sawyer, March issue.
    M. Singh & J. Aitken (2010) – The (sizable) Role of Rehypothecation in the
    Shadow Banking System.




Blogs:
    Deus ex Macchiatto (blog.rivast.com).
    FT Alphaville (ftalphaville.ft.com).


                   Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved               46
THANK       YOU
        alexandre.bon@murex.com




                          47

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Introduction to fixed income securities
Introduction to fixed income securitiesIntroduction to fixed income securities
Introduction to fixed income securitiesSameen Zaidi
 
Chapter 5 fx forwards
Chapter 5   fx forwardsChapter 5   fx forwards
Chapter 5 fx forwardsQuan Risk
 
VaR Or Expected Shortfall
VaR Or Expected ShortfallVaR Or Expected Shortfall
VaR Or Expected ShortfallAlex Kouam
 
Counterparty credit risk. general review
Counterparty credit risk. general reviewCounterparty credit risk. general review
Counterparty credit risk. general reviewRoman Kornyliuk
 
Treasury organization & structure
Treasury organization & structureTreasury organization & structure
Treasury organization & structureKrishal Gwachha
 
Currency derivatives
Currency derivativesCurrency derivatives
Currency derivativesManas Saha
 
Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data Challenges
Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data ChallengesFundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data Challenges
Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data Challengesaccenture
 
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)VadivelM9
 
FRTB Overview & Implementation Notes
FRTB Overview & Implementation NotesFRTB Overview & Implementation Notes
FRTB Overview & Implementation NotesSteve Hicks, FRM
 
Interest rate derivatives
Interest rate derivativesInterest rate derivatives
Interest rate derivativesIndia Forex
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

Value at risk
Value at riskValue at risk
Value at risk
 
Murex (MX3) Architecture
Murex (MX3) ArchitectureMurex (MX3) Architecture
Murex (MX3) Architecture
 
Introduction to fixed income securities
Introduction to fixed income securitiesIntroduction to fixed income securities
Introduction to fixed income securities
 
Chapter 5 fx forwards
Chapter 5   fx forwardsChapter 5   fx forwards
Chapter 5 fx forwards
 
Discount markets
Discount marketsDiscount markets
Discount markets
 
VaR Or Expected Shortfall
VaR Or Expected ShortfallVaR Or Expected Shortfall
VaR Or Expected Shortfall
 
Counterparty credit risk. general review
Counterparty credit risk. general reviewCounterparty credit risk. general review
Counterparty credit risk. general review
 
Forward contracts
Forward contractsForward contracts
Forward contracts
 
Treasury organization & structure
Treasury organization & structureTreasury organization & structure
Treasury organization & structure
 
Value at Risk
Value at RiskValue at Risk
Value at Risk
 
Currency derivatives
Currency derivativesCurrency derivatives
Currency derivatives
 
Chapter (16)
Chapter (16)Chapter (16)
Chapter (16)
 
Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data Challenges
Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data ChallengesFundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data Challenges
Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) – Data Challenges
 
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
 
MUTUAL FUND
MUTUAL FUNDMUTUAL FUND
MUTUAL FUND
 
FRTB Overview & Implementation Notes
FRTB Overview & Implementation NotesFRTB Overview & Implementation Notes
FRTB Overview & Implementation Notes
 
Mutual Fund
Mutual FundMutual Fund
Mutual Fund
 
Interest rate derivatives
Interest rate derivativesInterest rate derivatives
Interest rate derivatives
 
Mishkin ch01
Mishkin ch01Mishkin ch01
Mishkin ch01
 
Mishkin fmi9ge ppt_c11
Mishkin fmi9ge ppt_c11Mishkin fmi9ge ppt_c11
Mishkin fmi9ge ppt_c11
 

Andere mochten auch

Mindtree's Murex service offerings.
Mindtree's Murex service offerings.Mindtree's Murex service offerings.
Mindtree's Murex service offerings.Mindtree Ltd.
 
Niche financial software vendor profiles
Niche financial software vendor profilesNiche financial software vendor profiles
Niche financial software vendor profilesaravindiyengar1729
 
RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...
RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...
RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...Alexandre Bon
 
Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk
Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk
Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk Alexandre Bon
 
FIX Protocol Overview.
FIX Protocol Overview.FIX Protocol Overview.
FIX Protocol Overview.aiQUANT
 
The Internet Presentation
The Internet Presentation The Internet Presentation
The Internet Presentation guest9e3d59
 

Andere mochten auch (8)

Opportunities for Murex Consultants in 2016
Opportunities for Murex Consultants in 2016Opportunities for Murex Consultants in 2016
Opportunities for Murex Consultants in 2016
 
Mindtree's Murex service offerings.
Mindtree's Murex service offerings.Mindtree's Murex service offerings.
Mindtree's Murex service offerings.
 
CV_Nitin_Kumar
CV_Nitin_KumarCV_Nitin_Kumar
CV_Nitin_Kumar
 
Niche financial software vendor profiles
Niche financial software vendor profilesNiche financial software vendor profiles
Niche financial software vendor profiles
 
RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...
RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...
RiskMinds - Did Basel & IOSCO put the final nail in the coffin of CSA-discoun...
 
Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk
Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk
Long horizon simulations for counterparty risk
 
FIX Protocol Overview.
FIX Protocol Overview.FIX Protocol Overview.
FIX Protocol Overview.
 
The Internet Presentation
The Internet Presentation The Internet Presentation
The Internet Presentation
 

Ähnlich wie Collateralisation: CVA & FVA - Murex - Alexandre Bon

An overview of cat bond
An overview of cat bondAn overview of cat bond
An overview of cat bondShuo Li
 
2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Management
2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Management2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Management
2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Managementlciterneschi
 
Roles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance Industry
Roles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance IndustryRoles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance Industry
Roles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance IndustryFrank Zhang
 
Corporate Hedging of Bitumen
Corporate Hedging of BitumenCorporate Hedging of Bitumen
Corporate Hedging of BitumenFrank Albrecht
 
Optimization By Simulated Annealing
Optimization By Simulated AnnealingOptimization By Simulated Annealing
Optimization By Simulated Annealingmisterval
 
Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008
Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008
Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008CF Yam
 
SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011
SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011
SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011JohnOwenWaller
 
A Framework For Portfolio Optimization
A Framework For Portfolio OptimizationA Framework For Portfolio Optimization
A Framework For Portfolio Optimizationmisterval
 
Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...
Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...
Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...Zanders Treasury, Risk and Finance
 
2016-09-29 GS1 Session Slides
2016-09-29 GS1 Session Slides2016-09-29 GS1 Session Slides
2016-09-29 GS1 Session SlidesMichael Solomon
 
Exposure Measurement
Exposure MeasurementExposure Measurement
Exposure Measurementnikatmalik
 
Risk Management: One CRO’s thoughts
Risk Management: One CRO’s thoughtsRisk Management: One CRO’s thoughts
Risk Management: One CRO’s thoughtsCapco
 
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09guest4823993
 
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09Frank Zhang
 
(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational Risk
(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational Risk(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational Risk
(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational RiskMarkus Krebsz
 

Ähnlich wie Collateralisation: CVA & FVA - Murex - Alexandre Bon (20)

An overview of cat bond
An overview of cat bondAn overview of cat bond
An overview of cat bond
 
2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Management
2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Management2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Management
2011 Fiche Offre Collateral Management
 
Roles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance Industry
Roles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance IndustryRoles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance Industry
Roles for Financial Engineering In the Life Insurance Industry
 
Corporate Hedging of Bitumen
Corporate Hedging of BitumenCorporate Hedging of Bitumen
Corporate Hedging of Bitumen
 
Optimization By Simulated Annealing
Optimization By Simulated AnnealingOptimization By Simulated Annealing
Optimization By Simulated Annealing
 
Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008
Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008
Soa Equity Based Insurance Guarantees Conference 2008
 
SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011
SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011
SCI CVA Special Report Oct2011
 
A Framework For Portfolio Optimization
A Framework For Portfolio OptimizationA Framework For Portfolio Optimization
A Framework For Portfolio Optimization
 
OFSAA-ALM
OFSAA-ALMOFSAA-ALM
OFSAA-ALM
 
Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...
Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...
Risk Appetite: A new Menu under Basel 3? Pieter Klaassen (UBS) voor het Zande...
 
Lecture 4
Lecture 4Lecture 4
Lecture 4
 
2016-09-29 GS1 Session Slides
2016-09-29 GS1 Session Slides2016-09-29 GS1 Session Slides
2016-09-29 GS1 Session Slides
 
Exposure Measurement
Exposure MeasurementExposure Measurement
Exposure Measurement
 
Risk Management: One CRO’s thoughts
Risk Management: One CRO’s thoughtsRisk Management: One CRO’s thoughts
Risk Management: One CRO’s thoughts
 
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
 
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
Va G Mx B Pricing 5 16 09
 
Garp Inteview
Garp InteviewGarp Inteview
Garp Inteview
 
Lecture 4
Lecture 4Lecture 4
Lecture 4
 
(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational Risk
(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational Risk(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational Risk
(R)isk Revolution - Current trends and challenges in Credit & Operational Risk
 
Risk Dashboard
Risk Dashboard Risk Dashboard
Risk Dashboard
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith PereraKenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Pereraictsugar
 
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent ChirchirMarketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchirictsugar
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...lizamodels9
 
NewBase 19 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdf
NewBase  19 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdfNewBase  19 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdf
NewBase 19 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdfKhaled Al Awadi
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Kirill Klimov
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadIslamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadAyesha Khan
 
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...Seta Wicaksana
 
Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737
Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737
Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737Riya Pathan
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...lizamodels9
 
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted VersionFuture Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted VersionMintel Group
 
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...lizamodels9
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCRashishs7044
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis UsageNeil Kimberley
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deckHajeJanKamps
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaoncallgirls2057
 
Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...
Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...
Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...lizamodels9
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesKeppelCorporation
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCRashishs7044
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Uttam Nagar Delhi NCR
 
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith PereraKenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
Kenya Coconut Production Presentation by Dr. Lalith Perera
 
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent ChirchirMarketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
Marketplace and Quality Assurance Presentation - Vincent Chirchir
 
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In.../:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
/:Call Girls In Indirapuram Ghaziabad ➥9990211544 Independent Best Escorts In...
 
NewBase 19 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdf
NewBase  19 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdfNewBase  19 April  2024  Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdf
NewBase 19 April 2024 Energy News issue - 1717 by Khaled Al Awadi.pdf
 
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
Flow Your Strategy at Flight Levels Day 2024
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Tughlakabad Delhi NCR
 
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in IslamabadIslamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
Islamabad Escorts | Call 03070433345 | Escort Service in Islamabad
 
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
Ten Organizational Design Models to align structure and operations to busines...
 
Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737
Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737
Independent Call Girls Andheri Nightlaila 9967584737
 
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
Call Girls In Sikandarpur Gurgaon ❤️8860477959_Russian 100% Genuine Escorts I...
 
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted VersionFuture Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
Future Of Sample Report 2024 | Redacted Version
 
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
Call Girls In Radisson Blu Hotel New Delhi Paschim Vihar ❤️8860477959 Escorts...
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in New Ashok Nagar Delhi NCR
 
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
2024 Numerator Consumer Study of Cannabis Usage
 
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deckPitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
Pitch Deck Teardown: Geodesic.Life's $500k Pre-seed deck
 
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City GurgaonCall Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
Call Us 📲8800102216📞 Call Girls In DLF City Gurgaon
 
Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...
Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...
Call Girls In Connaught Place Delhi ❤️88604**77959_Russian 100% Genuine Escor...
 
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation SlidesAnnual General Meeting Presentation Slides
Annual General Meeting Presentation Slides
 
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
8447779800, Low rate Call girls in Kotla Mubarakpur Delhi NCR
 

Collateralisation: CVA & FVA - Murex - Alexandre Bon

  • 1. OTC COLLATERALIZATION, CVA AND FVA The practical challenges of untangling credit and funding costs Alexandre Bon RI$KMINDS 2011 Geneva December the 8th
  • 2. Where have all the flowers gone? « Too big to fail » have become « too big to save » Massive re-regulation & changing standards – Basel III, Dodd Frank-Emir, IFRS 13… Where is the risk-free asset ? – OIS-LIBOR basis – Multi-curve environment – Risky sovereigns What about the « Law of One Price? » – Valuation adjustments – Close-out value vs. Profitability measure Evolving business models – CCPs, CVA desks, Collateral transformation… Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 2
  • 3. Introducing the Collateral Agreement A bit of terminology : Collateral, ISDA & CSA – CSA : credit support annex – Non-mandatory appendix to the ISDA master agreement (which enforces close- out netting for eligible contracts) – Defines the scope and terms of bilateral remargining agreement – CSA is the most common (but not the sole) collateral agreement for OTC derivatives – Standard templates but varied implementations (differences in clauses and jurisdictions) Main clauses – Eligibility of positions to close-out netting and collateralization – Eligibility of pledge-able assets and applicable haircuts – Remargining process : valuation, frequency, settlement, reconciliation, dispute resolution – Determination of the collateral balance: symmetry, thresholds, independent amounts, minimum transfer amounts, rounding rules… – Legal framework: pledge or title-transfer, rights of re-use & rehypothecation – Remuneration of the collateral account (most often based on an OIS rate, but not always!) Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 3
  • 4. Collateral Mitigation Collateralization does not fully eliminate counterparty risk but reduces it greatly. A collateral contract can be seen as a derivatives contract of the portfolio value. Collateral pay-off function : – Risk-free value of the collateralized portfolio at the re-margining date – Thresholds, Minimum Transfer Amount, Independent amounts, rounding rules – Outstanding balance – Haircuts applicable to the collateral asset Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 4
  • 5. CVA - Collateral Modeling Margining Counterparties Netting Nodes Nodes Eligibility rules CSA Exposures are ISDA - ABC mapped to Netting and Margining sets No collateral Upon close-out the Bank ABC collateral balance GMRA GMRA is offset against the netting node positions No netting No collateral Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 5
  • 6. CVA - Collateral Modeling Exposure at t is the difference of the Close-Out value of the portfolio and Outstanding collateral balance Considering the simulation date correspond to the close-out date following default one identify the previous effective re-margining date Common modeling options Margin Period of Risk previous grace dispute fail close-out remargining period Unsecured exposure (collateralised set) Exposure Collateral Balance Threshold Simulation Simulation Ti - MPR date Ti-1 date Ti Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 6
  • 7. CVA - Collateral Modeling A path-dependent issue Common modeling options: – Short-cut method – Dynamically identify the previous margining date and revalue (only) the collateralized set’s positions by full simulation – Analytical (portfolio volatility) approximations – Pros/Cons Margin Period of Risk Exposure Threshold Simulation Simulation Ti - MPR date Ti-1 date Ti Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 7
  • 8. Collateralization & typical portfolio mix An institution’s OTC portfolio will commonly contain a mix of: – Bilateral CSAs with 0 threshold and daily margining (cash) – Positions cleared on CCPs : daily or intraday exchange of Variation and Initial Margin – CSAs with asymmetric terms • One-way with SSAs • Over-collateralized agreements (IAs, Thresholds, IM) and security collateral (e.g. PB agreements) : small funds and corporates – No CSA – Multiple “collateral sets” with a single credit entity (by products : CSA, GMRA, OSLA, GMSLA … or entities) Some local variations, but the interbank market is mostly on bilateral CSAs and daily cash margining Imperfect collateralization bears additional risks & and warrants further valuation adjustments (credit and funding) Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 8
  • 9. CVA – Collateralization Efficiency Main collateralization risks and issues: Lack of standardization across CSAs Costs and risks of operation (bilateral & 0-threshold) Concentration risk Credit dependent clauses Eligibility of collateral assets & haircuts Execution : rounding, split differences, disputes – In practice collateral amount will never exactly match the exposure levels – The former are typically ignored in the model, the latter managed by adjusting the MPR of problem counterparties (dispute history). Rehypothecation and re-characterization risks Gap Risk – Model risk & close-out value – JTD & Wrong way risk Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 9
  • 10. Rehypothecation Rehypothecation: – The collateral taker uses pledged assets as security for his own obligations to a third party Right of re-use: – Covers rehypothecation as well as any use of the collateral asset in line with ownership of the property (e.g. sale, lending to a third party) Depending on the jurisdictions and legal phrasing, collateral exchange can be performed under: – A Title Transfer Arrangement (implicit re-use rights) – A Pledged Collateral Agreement, where the rehypothecation right may be explicitely granted (often the case with non-bank counterparties) Similar question with cash collateral and margin segregation Some remarks: – Rehypothecation and “re-pledging chains” have played an essential part in providing liquidity (and leverage) to the financial markets – The GFC showed how damaging the combined effects of reduced collateral velocity (cf. Lehman close-out) and collateral squeeze (haircuts) can be in a systemic shock. – Not a desirable feature from a CCR mitigation point of view, but forfeiting this right represents a funding cost. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 10
  • 11. Risk-free or risky close-out ISDA documentation not 100% clear on how we should price the liquidation value of derivatives. Open issue for default close-out as well as valuations for Unwinds and ATEs Introduces a recursive pricing issue Theoretical justifications for both approaches: the need for another Valuation Adjustment (RVA/ATEVA) ? Practical questions: – Pricing of DVA or funding cost in distressed markets – Joint-default – Going-concern collateral balance is determined based on risk-free valuation Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 11
  • 12. One-Way Collateral Agreements Part I Sovereigns, Supranationals and Agencies (SSAs) Small non-bank counterparties without a collateral management function Potentially large exposures for the un-collateralized party Bilateral CVA ~ Unilateral CVA Exposures vs. Liabilities distributions Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 12
  • 13. Collateral gap risk Instantaneous jump in exposure and counterparty default leaving a portion of the portfolio un-collateralized • More prevalent with imperfect CSAs (large thresholds & MTAs, longer remargining frequencies) • Credit protection bought from related entity • Simply settlement effects (warrant special treatment?) • Liquidity effects upon counterparty default Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 13
  • 14. A Familiar Horror Story A SME wishes to hedge away the FX risk of its exports against the steady appreciation of its local currency against USD: => a right-way situation Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 14
  • 15. A Familiar Horror Story A SME wishes to hedge away the FX risk of its exports against the steady appreciation of its local currency against USD: We can sell him a strip of put options We make the product cheaper by limiting our downside (KO) The product is very popular but the market is highly competitive: we can make it cheaper by buying a call option that gets activated after an OTM barrier level (or rather two or three). This is still right-way, right? Very limited downside, nice upside, covered with collateral, in some instances back-to- back : how bad can it get? Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 15
  • 16. A Familiar Horror Story Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 16
  • 17. A Familiar Horror Story 520 companies holding for over US$ 10b of KIKOs Average hedge ratio to annual export between 35% and 40% 68 SMEs with an average hedge ratio of 194% Class-Action suit for mis-selling Déjà vu - and though, firms in HK, India, Indonesia, Taiwan, Brazil, Mexico, Poland posted at least $30 billion losses on FXD in 2008. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 17
  • 18. A Familiar Horror Story: The Gremlin Trade From right-way to wrong- Collateralization questions: way – Did CVA desks spot these CCR concentrations? – Trade size vs. turnover : an – Many of those contracts were extremely large exposure will collateralized on favorable terms trigger a default to the banks, but with large – Crowded trade remargining periods and with KRW bonds. Credit risk – Incidentally, an interesting – Counterparty risk stress-test case for regional CCPs and aspiring clearing – Assimilation / Model risk brokers (cf. IM calculation – Reputation risk methods) – Legal risk Some practical IT fixes – Systemic risk Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 18
  • 19. From Credit to Funding Discounting Credit risk Calibration Valuation Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 19
  • 20. Funding un-collateralized trades In any derivatives contract future cash-flow exchanges need to be “funded”. A bilateral position with an open negative MtM can be seen as an overnight loan granted by the counterparty : logically this funding benefit is financed at our cost of funds. A positive MtM represents a funding cost : by unwinding the trade and investing this amount with my treasury (or buying back my own bond issue) I could get the same rate. Hence an uncollateralized transaction’s Cash Flows should be discounted at my senior unsecured cost of debt. Neglecting the CDS-Bond basis, my senior unsecured cost of funds is in line with the assumptions PDs and Recovery of the CVA calculation. Hence at a single contract level (i.e. single deal or netting set): DVA = Funding Benefit. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 20
  • 21. Funding cost: the (non-)effect of netting 2 parties A & B have two exactly offsetting trades but no netting agreements between them: – Both parties will have non-zero CVA & DVA terms (and bilateral CVA) – They both have 0 funding cost as CFs will offset. In practice whether a set of transactions is covered by a close-out netting provision (ISDA) or not, has no implication on their funding cost (and thus the discounting curve to be used) For non-fully netted portfolios the Funding Benefit is not equal to DVA! – No close-out netting agreement – Multiple netting sets Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 21
  • 22. Funding collateralized trades If a CSA is in place, the “lender” typically receives a collateral for a value ~ equal to the MtM of the position, either as: – a Cash amount, which can be re-invested (overnight) and on which a pre- specified interest is paid back to the poster (typically compounded OIS index). – a Security. If the CSA agreement allows for re-hypothecation, that collateral can be repo-ed to another party to fund at a much lower rate than an unsecured funding rate. – Simplifying assumptions: 0 Thresholds & MTAs, daily remargining, one currency, no haircuts on securities, no dispute… Hence CSA-covered positions can be funded by using an OIS discount curve Non CSA-covered positions are funded using the internal cost of funds (senior unsecured debt) Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 22
  • 23. The Ideal CSA Hypotheses Bilateral Agreement Continuous Margining Instantaneous settlement of margin calls 0 Threshold and Minimum Transfer Amount No Independent Amounts No haircuts Cash (or equivalent instrument) collateral, independent from exposure No valuation differences No disputes Netting set = Margining set No Initial Margin CCR : – No rehypothecation / segregation of collateral accounts – No Initial Margin with risky entities – No settlement risk on margin flows Funding : – Rehypothecation / no segregation of collateral accounts – No Initial Margin – Single risk-free collateral asset (e.g. no currency basis arbitrage) Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 23
  • 24. New FO and Risk systems needs Front-Office systems require flexible curve allocation mechanisms: – Collateral documentation is pricing data! – Rule-based dynamic allocation of curves based on both the leg currency and underlying collateral currency Proper allocation of risk and sensitivities – E.g. Uncollateralised CMS swap (CMS rate derived from collateralised instruments) Need a multiple curve calibration engine: – Able to detect the dependencies – Wider selection of curve building instruments – Simultaneous bootstrapping of all involved curves with accuracy and speed. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 24
  • 25. Pricing example Uncollateralized USD CSA In-the-money XCCY swap EUR/USD with 5Y outstanding maturity P&L impact of 36bp Forward MtM, vs. Expected Exposure & Expected Liability evolution. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 25
  • 26. Pricing in a Multiple Curve Environment Forwarding curves are derived from collateralized quotes – Joint bootstrapping of discounting and forwarding curves – E.g. EONIA and EURIBOR 3M, then EURIBOR 6M vs. 3M… – Triangular calibration with XCCY basis curves or markets with varying liquid swap tenors depending on the horizon. Different discounting curves depending on the CSA clauses. – EURIBOR swap collateralized in EUR is discounted on an EONIA curve – EURIBOR swap collateralized in USD is discounted on a EUR/USD XCCY basis curve built upon a USD Feds Funds curve. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 26
  • 27. Pricing in a Multiple Curve Environment The new funding paradigm requires multi-curve evolutions for derivatives pricing and CVA estimation. – Current standard market practice: deterministic basis spreads curves on top of a risk-free OIS curve – Currently testing a HJM 2F stochastic basis spread model, calibrated to historical data (results to be presented soon). Another difficult question pertains to correlations (OIS-LIBOR spread vs. rates, bond-CDS basis vs. LIBOR basis and credit…) Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 27
  • 28. Main issue: the CSA is not perfect When exposure is in-between thresholds, we fund at LIBOR + spread and not at OIS flat Non-cash asset: haircuts and rehypothecation rights? Choice of collateral currency: – Steep XCCY basis spreads with the current USD squeeze – Apparently comparable to a contingent Bermudan XCCY swaption on the portfolio (hint at American Monte Carlo pricing) – In practice varying implementation approaches – However, uncertain execution / enforceability • Different legal interpretations (US vs. UK law – do we require the consent of the receiving party? Is full substitution always possible when there is no margin call?...) • Will the collateral management team deliver the adequate collateral? – Will the issue disappear with the Standard CSA? Does the local market even have a liquid OIS instrument? One-way CSA case is another tricky case of funding asymmetry (one threshold pushed to infinity) Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 28
  • 29. One-Way Collateral Agreements Part II Funding cost at OIS flat Funding benefit at unsecured debt level Double hit: CVA & FVA Usually SSAs will have much lower credit spreads than the institution so the Funding risk effect would dominate the Credit risk one. Difficult to value in the simple discount switch setting, however actual quoted price is unlikely to be the “fair-one”. Borrow at LIBOR + spread Receive funding at OIS flat Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 29
  • 30. Introducing the Standard CSA New collateral support annex protocol promoted by ISDA Aim to standardize valuation practices – Specify OIS discounting – Remove the collateral switch optionality – Align CSA to the margining mechanics of CCPs 0 Threshold, no MTA, daily margining Cash collateral only for variation margin Phased implementation in 2012 : transactions can be moved from legacy CSA to S-CSA Transactions pooled in 5 Designated Collateral Currency buckets Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 30
  • 31. Introducing the Standard CSA Phase I Discounting on USD Local currency OIS discounting Feds Funds & corresponding (EONIA, SONIA…) FX basis curves CCS and CHF trades EUR trades GBP trades JPY trades other currencies CHF EUR GBP JPY USD collateral collateral collateral collateral collateral balance balance balance balance balance Margin Calls / Deliveries Counterparty Herstatt Risk! Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 31
  • 32. Introducing the Standard CSA Phase II CCS and CHF trades EUR trades GBP trades JPY trades other currencies CHF EUR GBP JPY USD collateral collateral collateral collateral collateral balance balance balance balance balance Margin Calls / Deliveries Safe settlement: PvP platform operated by ISDA Swap margins to USD (ISA method) Counterparty Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 32
  • 33. Moving to S-CSA: system implication Straight-forward adaptation of the CVA Monte Carlo Margining Counterparties Netting Nodes Nodes Engine thanks to dynamic construction of the CSA – EUR netting and margining sets (rule-based) … ISDA - ABC In practice, need CSA – USD* to follow closely migration of trade Bank ABC blocks (by Legacy CSA products, entities) … from legacy CSA to SCSA margining. No collateral Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 33
  • 34. S-CSA implementation challenges ISDA : “Regardless of approach, firms will need to undertake considerable internal technology and process re-engineering work to implement the SCSA.” Collateral systems impact: – Electronic messaging – Exposure pooling and collateral accounts by currency buckets & flexible mechanism to migrate positions off legacy CSA – Mandatory OIS discounting – Implementation of ISA & PvP processes Front-office: – Availability of collateral eligibility criteria at point of pricing – Discount curve allocation mechanism based on CSA / SCSA mappings – For a period of time maintain local OIS curves and Basis OIS curves CVA / FVA units – Consistent mapping of the positions to currency buckets – Multiple margining sets per netting set – Value margin conversion via ISA-type method and capture FX risk over MPR Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 34
  • 35. FVA - Collateral Modeling An alternative approach to the Discount Method consists in looking at the question from a portfolio level by representing the funding cost as another valuation adjustment (the OIS curve providing a proxy for the risk-free rate). Evolve market rates and explicitly model the collateral balances and a funding strategy. E.g. – Collateral balance : funded at OIS flat – Portfolio value – balance : shortfall funded at own cost of funds Extend existing CVA simulation framework since this will provide: – A consistent pricing framework for CVA and FVA (calibration, deal aging and termination events) – The CVA engine already has all required business logic (margining set mapping, curve and spreads evolution) – A validated & controlled infrastructure : inter-system data flows, interfaces, reconciliation processes – A low & managed TCO, as one can leverage existing infrastructure (e.g. grid, GPU farm) : running FVA calculations on top of a CVA simulation is computationally efficient (provided i. consistent modeling assumptions and ii. that collateralized positions are already included) Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 35
  • 36. FVA - Collateral Modeling Rates curves are evolved jointly Margining Counterparties Netting Nodes Nodes Collateral Balances are obtained at the CSA – EUR margining node level … ISDA - ABC Collateral assets are funded at the CSA – USD* Agreement’s Bank ABC specified rate source Legacy CSA … Collateral shortfalls funded No collateral on funding curve Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 36
  • 37. FVA - Collateral Modeling Practical simulation implementation : DVA is not the FVA benefit (MPR vs. Settlement lag). Margin Period of Risk Settlement Lag Collateral Funding Collateral Balance (FVA) Collateral Balance (CVA) Simulation Simulation Ti - MPR Ti - SL date Ti-1 date Ti Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 37
  • 38. FVA - Collateral Modeling Reducing the MPR (10 days) to the Settlement lag (3 days) halves the DVA estimate. Final FVA impact would be stronger on portfolios with imbalanced EPE/ENE profiles or asymmetric collateral terms (thresholds, IAs, one- way CSA). Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 38
  • 39. What about FVA for CCP-cleared products? Margin requirement broadly split in IM and VM IM typically much larger and aimed at covering gap risk over the auctioning period (so as to preserve default funds contributions) IM models are typically VaR-based (adjusted with credit and liquidity factors) The IM funding requirement will then depend on the “directionality” of the cleared portfolio! Should this additional cost be modeled on an incremental basis (consistent with CVA and OTC FVA), or handled as a post trade operational cost? Incentives may differ vastly depending on the institution. Extending the CVA/FVA model to provide estimation of forward Initial Margin requirements would require a forward approximation of the margining sets VaR. Computationally, the issue is similar to the estimation of the incremental RWA cost of capital. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 39
  • 40. Variation Margin and Initial Margin FVA for cleared products should, in theory, account for the incremental cost of funding the Initial Margin 5 days to close the auctioning process High C.L. VaR Initial Margin Variation Margin Position at Ti-1 Position at T Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 40
  • 41. An open question Should we look at aligning the industry’s modeling of MPR and close- out gap risk for CVA/PFE with the CCPs’ I.M. estimation models? – Standard I.M. models implemented at CCPs – Volatility vs. time-acceleration – Directionality of underlying netting sets exposures – Adjustments for systematically important financial institutions. Initial Margin – Contingent funding stress vs. WWR models Position at T Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 41
  • 42. Questions and practical issues Vanillas are de-facto level-2 derivatives and market prices are not transparent (difficulty to unwind off-market positions) Broker quotes need to be reinterpreted (e.g. B&S vols) New premium quotation modes (unfortunately not applicable for all types of options) Sensitivities and hedge ratios differ between collateralized and uncollateralized cases Perfect hedge can only be achieved under identical collateralization terms Pricing effects are complex to quantify for imperfect collateralization cases and embedded optionalities Difficult /costly hedging of basis risks Convexity and wrong-way funding effects deemed small (price impact smaller than bid-ask) but traders need to be aware of them Which CSA clauses should be modeled / can be hedged ? Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 42
  • 43. Questions and practical issues Internal organization challenges: Need to implement consistent pricing of new transactions, unwinds and legacy books Fair pricing of internal positions Ownership of the funding issue and hedging Ensure that the Collateral Management & Treasury functions provide optimal funding (as supposed in the pricing) Integration of data flows and inter-operability : both a processes and systems challenge ! Establish clear-cut transfer pricing and cost management policies Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 43
  • 44. Two modeling and organizational models Discount curves method Global FVA/CVA exposure method Simpler to implement in a crude way, Requires significant investments (starting with additional complexity with curves a simulation framework) management and FO assignments Global hybrid pricing consistent across desks Trade pricing compatible with local desk and with CVA. models. Flexible handling of CSA agreements and Fail to account for corner cases explicit modeling of the funding strategy – asymmetric funding terms – Reproduces the previous method results under – convexity effects (e.g. spread / rates correlation) specific cases – liquidation value different from risk-free value – Can include funding impact of credit mitigants Non-explicit link with DVA Isolates clearly funding cost from valuation and CVA/DVA Deal-level and easily understood by traders Portfolio-level, cost reallocated to the trades Funding and convexity risk owned by the (like CVA) traders Funding and convexity risk transferred to a Works best with smaller decentralized centralized Funding / Treasury desk operations well collateralized Works best when bringing together Treasury, CVA and Collateral trading operations Open question : what should be the regulatory treatment of the FVA market risk in the second setting? FVA VaR integrated in the IMA model? Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 44
  • 45. Some useful references Collateralization & Counterparty Risk: D. Brigo & A. Pallavicini (2011) – Arbitrage-Free Counterparty Risk Valuation under Collateral Margining D. Brigo (2011) – Counterparty Risk FAQ: Credit VaR, PFE, CVA, DVA, Closeout, Netting, Collateral, Re-Hypothecation, WWR, Basel, Funding, CCDS and Margin Lending. J. Gregory (2009) – Being two-faced over counterparty risk J. Hull & A. White (2011) – CVA and Wrong Way Risk. ISDA (2011) – Overview of ISDA Standard Credit Support Annex (SCSA). M. Pykhtin (2010) – Collateralised credit exposure, in Counterparty Credit Risk, edited by E. Canabarro, Risk Books. M. Pykhtin & D. Rosen (2010) – Pricing Counterparty Risk at the Trade Level and CVA Allocations. Books: J. Gregory – Counterparty credit risk – The new challenge for global financial markets. Wiley Finance. G. Cesari & al. – Modelling, Pricing, and Hedging Counterparty Credit Exposure. Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 45
  • 46. Some useful references Collateralization & Funding: C. Fries (2010) – Discounting Revisited: Valuation Under, Funding, Counterparty Risk and Collateralisation. M. Fuji, Y. Shimada & A. Takahashi (2010) – Collateral Posting and Choice of Collateral Currency. A. Green (2011) – Engineering a CVA and FVA solution, talk given at the WBS Discounting and Funding conference , November. M. Morini & A. Prampolini (2010) – Risky funding: a unified framework for counterparty and liquidity charges. V. Piterbarg (2010) – Funding beyond discounting: collateral agreements and derivatives pricing, Risk Magazine, February issue. Risk Magazine (2011) – The evolution of swap pricing. Nick Sawyer, March issue. M. Singh & J. Aitken (2010) – The (sizable) Role of Rehypothecation in the Shadow Banking System. Blogs: Deus ex Macchiatto (blog.rivast.com). FT Alphaville (ftalphaville.ft.com). Copyright ® 2011 Murex S.A.S. All rights reserved 46
  • 47. THANK YOU alexandre.bon@murex.com 47