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Epic research special report of 10 feb 2016
1. DAILY REPORT
10
th
FEB. 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
Global markets at a glance
European shares fell for a seventh consecutive session on
Tuesday to touch their lowest level in more than two years
as worries about the impact on banks of sustained low in-
terest rates kept sentiment fragile. The pan-European
FTSEurofirst 300 lost 1.6 percent to close at 1,219.82 points
after falling by as much as 2.6 percent to its lowest since
September 2013. The European banking index fell 4 per-
cent, reversing earlier gains after Monday's 5.6 percent
slump. The index was set for its seventh consecutive week
of declines, the worst weekly losing streak since 1998, as
investors fret over the threat to banks' profitability and
capital strength from compressed interest rate margins.
Monkeys threw a wrench into Asian markets in the Lunar
New Year's first week of trading, with sell-offs in Japan, Sin-
gapore and Down Under on Wednesday. In Australia, the
S&P/ASX 200 lost 1.69 percent, extended Tuesday's 2.88
percent drop, with the market weighed by the energy, ma-
terials and financial sectors, which were down 2.62, 1.78,
and 1.19 percent respectively.
In Japan, the Nikkei 225 initially halted its losing run to
open 0.38 percent higher, but quickly erased gains to trade
down 1.82 percent. Yesterday, the index plunged 5.4 per-
cent, falling for five of the past six sessions. Singapore's
Straits Times index, which resumed trading after being shut
Monday and Tuesday for the Lunar New Year holidays at
the start of the Year of the Monkey, was down 2.75 per-
cent in early trade.
Previous day Roundup
Global jitters and low interest from institutional investors
push further pressure on Indian market. Flows were muted
and there was a lack of buying interest from institutional
investors throughout the day. After a lot of struggle, the
market ended with severe losses. The Sensex slipped
266.44 points or 1.1 percent at 24020.98, and the Nifty
ended down 89.05 points or 1.2 percent at 7298.20. About
856 shares have advanced, 1747 shares declined, and 119
shares are unchanged.
Index stats
The Market was very volatile in last session. The sartorial
indices performed as follow; Consumer Durables [down
94.58pts], Capital Goods [down 162.16Pts], PSU [down
77.78pts], FMCG [down 63.65Pts], Realty [down 17.58pts],
Power [down 3.00pts], Auto [down 296.34Pts], Healthcare
[down 13.72Pts], IT [down 373.55pts], Metals [down
168.80Pts], TECK [down 174.77pts], Oil& Gas [up 17.77pts].
World Indices
Index Value % Change
D J l 16014.38 -0.08
S&P 500 1852.21 -0.07
NASDAQ 4268.76 -0.35
FTSE 100 5632.19 -1.00
Nikkei 225 15699.85 -2.40
Hong Kong 19288.17 +0.55
Top Gainers
Company CMP Change % Chg
LUPIN 1,903.70 82.80 4.55
SUNPHARMA 857.00 21.35 2.55
NTPC 125.80 2.55 2.07
TATAPOWER 59.85 0.90 1.53
BAJAJ-AUTO 2,385.90 30.85 1.31
Top Losers
Company CMP Change % Chg
PNB 88.00 6.30 -6.68
TECHM 447.95 22.70 -4.82
COALINDIA 308.05 15.30 -4.73
BANKBARODA 124.60 6.05 -4.63
HCLTECH 815.00 34.75 -4.09
Stocks at 52 Week’s HIGH
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
- -
Indian Indices
Company CMP Change % Chg
NIFTY 7298.20 -89.05 -1.21
SENSEX 24020.98 -266.44 -1.10
Stocks at 52 Week’s LOW
Symbol Prev. Close Change %Chg
ABAN 169.00 -4.15 -2.40
DEN 73.40 -3.60 -4.68
JINDALSAW 42.95 -1.40 -3.16
JKCEMENT 447.00 -13.40 -2.91
JUSTDIAL 502.00 -39.40 -7.28
KALPATPOWR 179.80 3.20 1.81
MASTEK 128.00 -1.45 -1.12
TECHM 447.95 -22.70 -4.82
2. DAILY REPORT
10
th
FEB. 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
3. INTELLECT
In last January INTELLECT got support from 201.50 where
it was trend line support as well as psychological level but
in last session it broke this trend line support so we advise
to sell it below 205 for target 202 while below 200 target
will be 195 with stop loss of 210
MACRO NEWS
PNB Q3 net sinks 93.4% at Rs 51cr, provisions climb
100%
Dr Reddy's Q3 net at Rs 579 cr, India biz grows 34%
Aim to grow biz at 20-25% CAGR: Strides Shasun
SpiceJet plans to start door-to-door cargo delivery.
Hero MotoCorp poaches expats from Honda, Yamaha,
BMW to strengthen R&D
No significant hit from Nepal unrest in Q4 juice sales:
Dabur
India likely to spend $1 trillion on power by 2030
Government exempts ONGC, Oil India from fuel subsidy
payment in Q3 over slump in oil prices
Will resolve issues raised by USFDA in a timely manner:
DRL
Pharma sector hiring expected to see 20% growth in
2016
Yield on 10-year Japan govt bond hits zero for first time
Allahabad Bank to issue shares worth Rs 1,000 crore to
government on preferential basis
Bharat Forge Arm Kalyani Strategic Systems Executes JV
With Rafael
Voltamp Q3 Net Profit At Rs 11.6 Cr Vs Rs 4.6 Cr (YoY)
Jet Airways Looks to lease more narrow plans fro local
business.
Tea Cos/Dairy, Ice Cream Cos Budget may kill excise ex-
emptions for some grocery items in preparations for GST
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1. TITAN [FUTURE]
TITAN FUTURE last week given smart recovery from 346 but
around 376 it is facing selling pressure for that on daily chart
it is making long upper shadow candle from last two session
but it has support at 365 for that it would be sell around 372
-373 with stop loss of 378 for target of 367 360.
2. TECHM [FUTURE]
Last session TECHM broke bottom of 468 and closed at 450
with loss of 4% but in mid of day it was getting support at
psychological level 450 since Yesterday it made low of
448.75 where according to flag pattern the target will be 418
so we advise to sell it below 448 with stop loss of 456 for
target of 441 430 418.
3. DAILY REPORT
10
th
FEB. 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
FUTURE & OPTION
MOST ACTIVE CALL OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY CE 7,500 49.00 3,21,228 54,07,275
NIFTY CE 7,600 25.00 2,55,350 64,71,675
BANKNIFTY CE 15,500 99.90 76,590 5,96,790
PNB CE 100 0.90 4,841 48,12,000
RELIANCE CE 1,000 10.90 3,415 10,42,000
RELAIANCE CE 980 16.30 3,280 6,20,000
DRREDDY CE 3,200 20.15 2,667 1,35,750
SBIN CE 180 3.65 2,540 46,40,000
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol Op-
tion
Type
Strike
Price
LTP Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY PE 7,200 74.00 2,93,697 51,11,775
NIFTY PE 7,300 108.40 2,43,833 42,77,025
BANKNIFTY PE 14,500 165.00 58,404 4,79,550
PNB PE 85 3.10 2,576 25,36,000
PNB PE 90 5.80 2,308 15,96,000
DRREDDY PE 3,000 104.00 2,074 48,900
SBIN PE 160 5.00 2,016 24,90,000
ICICIBANK PE 200 3.70 1,940 27,52,300
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
BUY OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAYSELL
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
No. of
Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES 46340 2485.68 36538 1877.96 217868 11420.33 607.72
INDEX OPTIONS 692560 36891.58 631182 33756.70 1221245 65853.98 3134.88
STOCK FUTURES 88036 3909.90 116106 5204.06 1128917 49244.31 -1294.16
STOCK OPTIONS 54394 2389.96 54682 2406.17 61560 2664.50 -16.21
TOTAL 2432.24
STOCKS IN NEWS
Tata Marcopolo Motors declares lockout at Dharwad
plant
CSE slams JLR; equates claim to cars being 'air purifiers'
IOB modernises banking system with Infosys’ Finacle
10
Essar to focus on cost cuts, retail foray to boost UK re-
finery show
JSW crude steel output drops 17% in January
Jindal Power, GMR ask NHPC to take over hydro pro-
jects or form JV
NIFTY FUTURE
Nifty in yesterday trading session remained range-bound
to bearish. The present structure where Nifty opened
with great losses and ended too at losses but with a
green candlestick somewhere shows that Nifty may re-
peat the same behavior. So We advise you to buy it on
dips around 7220 to 7250 for the targets of 7320 and
7450 with strict stop loss of 7150
INDICES R2 R1 PIVOT S1 S2
NIFTY 7,348.00 7,323.00 7,299.00 7,274.00 7,250.00
BANK NIFTY 15,071.00 14,973.00 14,866.00 14,768.00 14,661.00
4. DAILY REPORT
10
th
FEB. 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RECOMMENDATIONS
GOLD
TRADING STRATEGY:
GOLD BUY ABOVE 28520 TARGET 28620 28720 SL 28400
GOLD SELL BELOW 28180 TARGET 28080 27980 SL 28300
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
SELL SILVER BELOW 36850 TARGET 36500 36200 SL 37200
BUY SILVER ABOVE 37350 TARGET 37550 37800 SL 37020
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Silver prices were up by 0.30% to Rs 37,615 per kg in futures
trading as traders increased their bets amid firming global
trends. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, silver for delivery
in May month moved up by Rs 111, or 0.30% to Rs 37,615
per kg in business turnover of 96 lots. Similarly, the metal
for delivery in March contracts traded higher by Rs 71, or
0.19% to Rs 37,198 per kg in 1,903 lots. Analysts attributed
the rise in silver prices at futures trade to a firming trend in
the precious metal overseas and pick up in demand in the
spot market. Meanwhile, silver rose 0.46% to $15.38 an
ounce in Singapore.
Taking positive cues from the global market, lead futures
inched up by 0.48% to Rs 125.25 per kg in futures trading as
participants raised their bets. At the Multi Commodity Ex-
change, Lead for delivery in February month edged up by 60
paise, or 0.48% to Rs 125.25 per kg in business turnover of
1,681 lots. Likewise, the metal for delivery in far-month
March traded higher by 55 paise, or 0.44% to Rs 125.75 per
kg in 60 lots. Apart from a firm trend overseas, increased
demand from battery makers in the spot market, influenced
lead prices at futures trade.
Gold carved out steady gains in intraday moves, recovering
from lows amid sustained weariness in global equities and
good bargain buying in the yellow metal after recent gains,
European banking worries continued to weigh on the senti-
ments. Japanese stocks tumbled more than 5% to approach
precariously near its 16-month low. Gold recovered after
edging near $1190 per ounce mark and currently trades at
$1197 per ounce, almost unchanged on the day. The yellow
metal tested $1200 per ounce yesterday- its highest mark in
around eight months. MCX Gold futures also mimicked the
same moves, recovering from lows near Rs28200 per 10
grams and currently trade at Rs 28420 per 10 grams, down
0.13% on the day.
Nickel prices gained 0.69% to Rs 567.50 per kg in futures
trade as participants widened their bets, driven by pick up
in demand in the spot market amid a better global cues. At
Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel for delivery in February
month rose by Rs 3.90, or 0.69% to Rs 567.50 per kg in busi-
ness turnover of 1511 lots. On similar lines, the metal for
delivery in far-month March contracts traded higher by Rs
3.50, or 0.62% to Rs 572.50 per kg in 72 lots. Analysts attrib-
uted rise in nickel futures to widening of positions by trad-
ers on the back of pick up in demand from alloy-makers in
the spot market and a firming trend in base metals over-
seas.
5. DAILY REPORT
10
th
FEB. 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NCDEX
NCDEX INDICES
Index Value % Change
CHANA 4289 +1.20
CORIANDER 6516 +1.75
COTTON SEED 2042 -1.16
GUAR SEED 3020 -0.17
JEERA 14260 +2.00
MUSTARDSEED 3933 +1.63
SOY BEAN 3718 -0.35
SUGAR M GRADE 3068 +0.46
TURMERIC 8930 +3.28
RECOMMENDATIONS
DHANIYA
BUY CORIANDER APR ABOVE 6540 TARGET 6585 6735 SL
BELOW 6475
SELL CORIANDER APR BELOW 6450 TARGET 6405 6255 SL
ABOVE 6515
GUARGUM
BUY GUARGUM FEB ABOVE 5720 TARGET 5770 5840 SL
BELOW 5660
SELL GUARGUM FEB BELOW 5600 TARGET 5550 5480 SL
ABOVE 5660
Malaysia's imports of unmilled wheat fell 23.9% year on
year to 77,888 mt in December, and were down 17.3%
mom. The yoy fall was attributed to a depreciation of the
ringgit against the US dollar that made imports more ex-
pensive. Over January-December, the country imported
1.35mn mt of unmilled wheat, up 11.4% year on year.
Around 60% of Malaysia's wheat imports are sourced from
Australia, with the balance coming mostly from the US and
Canada. Meanwhile, the Trans-Pacific Partnership signed by
12 Pacific Rim countries Thursday will remove import taxes
on wheat and wheat products from the US that were previ-
ously as high as 7%. The impact of the change was not im-
mediately clear, as US cargoes will remain more expensive
for Asian buyers than other sources of supply.
Amid profit-booking by speculators and subdued spot de-
mand, cardamom prices were down by 2.98% to Rs 633.50
per kg in futures trade. Furthermore, adequate stocks posi-
tion in the physical market on account of higher supply
from the producing belts too weighed on cardamom prices.
At MCX cardamom for delivery in Feb fell Rs 19.50, or
2.98%, to Rs 633.50 per kg, in a business turnover of 240
lots. Similarly, the spice for delivery in March traded lower
by Rs 4.40, or 0.61%, to Rs 710.80 per kg in six lots. Apart
from profit-booking by speculators, sluggish demand in the
spot markets, mainly kept pressure on cardamom.
Crude palm oil futures gained 0.92% to Rs 468.90 per 10 kg
in futures trading as traders enlarged speculative positions
following rise in demand at the spot markets. At MCX crude
palm oil for delivery in February rose by Rs 4.30 or 0.92% to
Rs 468.90 per 10 kg in a business turnover of 193 lots. Also,
the oil for delivery in March was up by Rs 3.60 or 0.76% to
Rs 474.20 per 10 kg in 348 lots. Speculative positions built
by participants following pick-up in spot demand mainly led
to the rise in crude palm oil prices at futures trade.
6. DAILY REPORT
10
th
FEB. 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
RBI Reference Rate
Currency Rate Currency Rate
Rupee- $ 68.1623 Yen-100 59.3900
Euro 76.3827 GBP 98.2696
CURRENCY
USD/INR
BUY USD/INR FEB ABOVE 68.2 TARGET 68.33 68.48 SL BE-
LOW 68
SELL USD/INR FEB BELOW 68.1 TARGET 67.97 67.82 SL
ABOVE 68.3
EUR/INR
BUY EUR/INR FEB ABOVE 76.4 TARGET 76.55 76.75 SL BE-
LOW 76.2
SELL EUR/INR FEB BELOW 76.16 TARGET 76.01 75.81 SL
ABOVE 76.36
CURRENCY MARKET UPDATES:
In a volatile trade today, the rupee snapped its two-day
losing streak against the US currency by recovering 4 paise
to 67.90 on fresh selling of dollars by banks and exporters
despite sustained fall in equities. The weaker dollar in the
overseas market also boosted the rupee value. The domes-
tic unit resumed lower at 68.14 per dollar as against Mon-
day’s closing level of 67.94 at the Interbank Foreign Ex-
change (Forex) market and dropped further to 68.22 on
initial dollar demand from banks and importers. However,
it recovered from initial losses to 67.89 on selling of dollars
by banks and exporters before concluding at 67.90, show-
ing a gain of four paise or 0.06 per cent. It has dropped by
39 paise or 0.57 per cent in two days. The domestic cur-
rency moved in a range of 67.89 and 68.22 per dollar dur-
ing the day.
The dollar index was down by 0.21 per cent against a bas-
ket of six currencies in the late afternoon trade. In New
York, the US dollar fell to a 15-month low against the yen
yesterday, as a renewed slide in oil prices and doubts
about the effectiveness of the Bank of Japan’s negative
interest-rate policy drove investors back into the safe-
haven currency. The dollar tumbled today to its weakest
level against the yen since late 2014 in the international
market, as plunging oil prices dragged global stocks lower,
helping to support haven assets like the Japanese currency
and US Treasuries.
The European unit eased up 0.10% to trade at 1.1204 ver-
sus the greenback. German industrial output unexpectedly
fell 1.2% in December, indicating that the region's largest
economy ended 2015 on a weak footing. The yen strength-
ened as Japan's Nikkei closed down 5.4% overnight, the
largest drop in three years amid mounting fears over the
health of the global economy and the financial sector.
USD/JPY dropped 0.41% to a more than one-year low of
115.38. As against the pound, dollar was lower with GBP/
USD up 0.29% at 1.4474. UK total trade deficit widened to
£10.3 billion in the fourth quarter from £8.5 billion pounds
in the previous quarter, marking the biggest trade gap
since the start of 2015. The annual trade deficit widened to
£34.7 billion in 2015, up from £0.3 billion in 2014.
8. DAILY REPORT
10
th
FEB. 2016
YOUR MINTVISORY Call us at +91-731-6642300
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
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TIME REPORT PERIOD ACTUAL
CONSENSUS
FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, FEB. 08
NONE SCHEDULED
TUESDAY, FEB. 09
6 AM NFIB SMALL BUSINESS INDEX JAN. -- 95.2
10 AM JOB OPENINGS DEC. -- 5.4 MLN
10 AM WHOLESALE INVENTORIES DEC. -- -0.3%
WEDNESDAY, FEB. 10
10 AM JANET YELLEN TESTIMONY
2 PM FEDERAL BUDGET JAN. -- -$18 BLN
THURSDAY, FEB. 11
8:30 AM WEEKLY JOBLESS CLAIMS 2/6 N/A N/A
10 AM JANET YELLEN TESTIMONY
FRIDAY, FEB. 12
8:30 AM RETAIL SALES JAN. -- -0.1%
8:30 AM RETAIL SALES EX-AUTOS JAN. -- -0.1%
8:30 AM IMPORT PRICE INDEX JAN. -- -1.2%
10 AM CONSUMER SENTIMENT FEB. -- 92.0
10 AM BUSINESS INVENTORIES DEC. -- -0.2%