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China ETF Investment Fund Raise Marketing
1.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions Accessing China More Efficiently September 2019 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
2.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Content Market Updates and Near-term Focus Long-term Investment Thesis Intact S&P China 500 Index: New, Better Barometer for “Total China” ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P 500 UCITS ETF Appendix: More About ICBC Credit Suisse S&P CHINA 500 Index Supplement China Capital Market Access Guide 2 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
3.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Market Updates and Near-term Focus Section 1 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
4.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Decent Market Performance For 8M2019 Decent performance YTD: SPC 500 Index up 15.1% vs 7.7% of MSCI China & 2.5%/2.1% of HSI/HSCEI. Most of the YTD performance was driven by valuation expansion A shares remains resilient despite of trade uncertainties S&P China 500 and Other Major Index Performance YTD MSCI China Annual Price Return Breakdown Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, China Securities Index, Hang Seng Indexes, S&P Dow Jones Indices; As of August 22, 2019 | PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS AND AN INVESTMENT CAN LOSE VALUE Source: Factset, Bloomberg, CICC Research; Data as of 30 Aug, 2019 58% 14% -48% 41% -17% -29% 20% -10% 5% 6% 13% 17% -24% 15% 13% 43% -8% 13% 23% 13% -1% 12% -1% -15% -13% 30% 5% 0% 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 P/E expansion EPS contribution 23.3% 27.7% 2.1% 2.5% 7.7% 15.1% CSI 300 FTSE A50 HSI HSCEI MSCI China SPC 500 Index 4 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
5.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Fund Flows Associated With the Rally and Retreat Strong overseas fund outflow recently as a result of the trade war and the CNY depreciation Hong Kong is more vulnerable than A-share market Cumulative Fund Flows Weekly Fund Flows vs HSCEI Source: EPFR, CICC Research; Data as of August, 2019 Source: EPFR, CICC Research; Data as of August, 2019 0 20 40 60 80 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 Jan-17 Jan-19 (USDbn) Cumulative Inflow to HK ▼ ▲Cumulative Inflow to HK and A share 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 14,000 15,000 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 Thousands (USDbn) HSCEI (Right Axis) H share A share 5 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
6.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Update on Sino-US Trade Tension 2017 2018 10 May 2019 1 Sep 2019 1 Oct 2019 15 Dec 2019 MFN Tariff 3.1% 12.4% 18.3% 21.2% 22.2% Section 301: 10% tariff on $200bn; 25% tariff on $50bn Section 301: 10% tariff on $200bn; raised to 25% Section 301: new 15% tariff on first part of $300bn ($112bn) Section 301: 25% tariff on $250bn raised to 30% Section 301: 15% tariff on second part of $300bn ($160bn) 24.3% +0.8pp Other tariffs +8.5pp +5.9pp +2.9pp +0.9pp +2.2pp Two rounds of existing tariff with 25% effective on $200bn of China imports Recent trade escalation raises further concerns over upcoming tariffs on China Imports Average Tariff Rate on US Imports from China Chart Data: Updated on 28 Aug 2019. MFN = most favored nation | Source: Peterson Institute for International Economics, ICBCCSI 6 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
7.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 … this is more than trade but also Tech Race Ordered US companies not to use foreign telecom equipment citing cyber-espionage fears Placed Huawei & 70 affiliates on its “Entity List” with a 90-day temporary license Targeted to add more Chinese tech companies and 5 names mentioned including HikVision Top 10 countries by PCT Applications Published * PCT Top 10 Global Applicants * Chart Note: * China-based telecoms giant Huawei technology was the top filer of international patent applications in 2018 (based on published applications). It was followed by Mitsubishi Electric of Japan, Intel of the U.S., and Qualcomm of the US. | Source: WIPO Statistic Database, May 2019 4,411 4,358 4,650 5,714 8,009 18,375 20,857 51,243 58,199 55,637 Netherlands Sweden Switzerland UK France Korea Germany Japan China US 2018 2017 Huawei: 5,405 ZTE:2,080 BOE:1,813 China Intel: 2,499 Qualcomm: 2,404 US Samsung: 1,997 LG: 1,697 S. Korea Mitsubishi Electric: 2,812 Japan Telefonaktiebolaget: 1,645 Sweden Robert Bosch: 1,525 Germany 7 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
8.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Potential End-game Scenarios for Resetting US-China Tension True Reciprocal Access Low intensity China opens its market to US digital-services exports and IP US rolls back broad-based tariffs and restrictions; supply chain shifts are drive by market forces Managed Trade Moderate intensity China maintains non-tariff restrictions to build technology competitiveness Selective US import tariffs focus on sectors/products regarded as strategic Walls and Drawbridges Moderate intensity Structural issues remain unresolved; frequent frictions in IP, cross-border M&A, antitrust, or cyber security US broadens and deepens tariffs, which may include consumer electronics Technology Cold War High intensity Escalation of non-tariff restrictions, such as US export bans and investment curbs, and Chinese antitrust actions High US tariffs and even import bans on security grounds; severe supply chain disruption Technology Competition Managed Broad and sweeping Tariffs Narrow and targeted Source: BCG Analysis, ICBCCSI Open 8 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
9.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Potential Impact and Possible Policy Responses Path 1 Path 2 Path 3 Path 4 Working towards a deal Uncertain pause 15% tariffs 25% tariffs China's Policy Response • Fiscal stimulus of 1.75% of GDP (US$250bn) • Broad credit growth to reach 12- 12.5%Y by end-2019 (from 11.7%Y currently) • Fiscal stimulus of 2.25% of GDP • Broad credit growth to reach 12.5-13%Y by end-2019 • Fiscal stimulus of 2.5 - 2.75% of GDP • Broad credit growth to reach 12.5-13%Y by end-2019 • Fiscal stimulus of 3.5% of GDP • Broad credit growth to reach 14- 15%Y by end-2019 China Impact • Growth: 4Q19 growth stays flat at 6.4%Y • Growth: 4Q19 growth slows to 6.2%Y • Growth: 4Q19 growth slows to 5.7Y • Growth: 4Q19 growth slows to 6.0%Y US Policy Response • The Fed remains nimble should financial conditions change for the worse • The Fed cuts rates by an additional 25 bp in October, emphasizes continued downside risks and stands ready to deliver more • Rising fears of a looming recession prompt the Fed to cut rates twice more before the cut rates all the way to zero by end of 2019. • Rising fears of a looming recession prompt the Fed to spring 2020 US Impact • Growth: Slows from 2.9%Y in 1H19 to 2.3%Y in 4Q19 • Growth: Slows further to 2.2%Y in 4Q19 • Additional slowdown of 30- 40bp in 2020, depending on policy support • Growth: Growth slips to 2.0%Y in 4Q19 • Additional slowdown of 30-50bps in 2020, depending on policy support • Growth: Growth slips to 1.2%Y in 4Q19, outright recession in 2020 • Additional slowdown of 150- 250bps in 2020, depending on policy support Global Growth Impact • Trade tensions already impacting corporate confidence and growth • Global growth stagnates and stays at sub-par trend of 3.1%Y in 2019 before recovering modestly to 3.4%Y in 2020 • Policy easing helps but will not be enough to lift corporate confidence • Lingering uncertainty leads global growth to decelerate further from 3.1%Y in 1Q19 to 2.9%Y in 4Q19 • If these tariffs stay in place for 4- 6 months, corporate confidence dips further, financial conditions tighten • Global growth remains weak at 2.8-3.0%Y in 1H2020 despite policy easing measures • If these tariffs stay in place for 4- 6 months, corporate confidence dips even more, financial conditions tighten sharply, bringing non-linear impact on growth • Global economy enters recession by 1Q20 Source: Morgan Stanley Research Forecasts 9 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
10.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Valuation Attractive Across Asia-Pacific After Recent Retreat 10.8 x 10.7 x 9.0 x 16.0 x 16.0 x 15.3 x 15.3 x 15.3 x 14.8 x 13.7 x 12.8 x 12.4 x 12.2 x 10.6 x MSCI China CSI 300 HSCEI New Zealand Malaysia Australia Philippines Indonesia Thailand Taiwan Hong Kong MXAP Japan Singapore Korea 25.0x Regional Valuation (12M Forward PE and PB TTM) 1.6 x 1.4 x 1.3 x 3.2 x 2.6 x 2.0 x 2.0 x 2.0 x 1.7 x 1.6 x 1.4 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 1.2 x 0.9 x MSCI China CSI 300 HSCEI New Zealand Indonesia Philippines Australia Thailand Taiwan Malaysia MXAP Hong Kong Singapore Japan Korea Chart Data: As of Aug 30, 2019. | Source: Bloomberg, CICC Research, ICBCCI 10 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
11.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Capital Inflows to China Still a Long-term Trend China economy is transforming from current surplus to deficit going forward This implies capital import: foreign direct investment, debt inflows, and equity inflows On top of this, there is also global indices inclusion MS estimates USD 75-120bn in 2019 from USD 49bn in 2018 into A-shares and USD100-220bn annually in the longer term, while temporary outflow due to trade war risk doesn’t change the long-term trend Capital Inflow to China China (Equity + Bonds) MS Estimates Increase in HKEX’ ADV Due to Inflow Chart Data: Dotted bar indicates Bull Case Scenario; Sources: CEIC, Morgan Stanley ResearchesSources: HKEX, Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley Researches 40 49 75 100 29 78 80 76 120 220 100 120 0 50 100 150 200 250 2017 2018 2019F L-T Inflow 2017 2018 2019F L-T Inflow Equity Bond (USDbn) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019F 2021F (USDm) 2004-08 saw big H- share listings. Strong markets drove turnover higher. The next leg up in ADV came with launch of Stock Connect in 2014 Next 3 years should see a jump in ADV driven by capital inflows into China 11 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
12.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Potential Macro Policy Responses Yet to Factor In Full fiscal stimulus package (VAT cut; local government special bond issuance quota; lower social pension contribution ratio for corporates) announced in Mar. 2019 just starts to implement Nationwide property market loosening unlikely but always a possibility Industry specific measurers were stimulus tools used before and highly likely be implemented again Scenario Analysis of Fiscal Deficit Expansion Source: CEIC, Wind, Morgan Stanley Research estimates Source: CEIC, Wind, Morgan Stanley Research estimates China Augmented Fiscal Balance Trajectory (% of GDP) -7.6 -9.4 -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019F -9.9 Augmented fiscal deficit can widen further by 0.5ppt of GDP if trade tensions persist for longer 10.5 2.6 2.3 2.3 2.5 3.5 14.8 5.7 4 2.4 2.4 4.4 2019 2013 2015-16 2019F (uncertain pause) 2019F (escalation- 15% tariffs) 2019F (escalation- 25% tariffs) ▼Aggregate Fiscal Deficit Expansion, ppt of GDP ◄Rebound in Broad Credit Growth, ppt of GDP 12 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
13.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 June 18 Monetary: PBoC expanded the scope of securities as collateral for MLF; announced 50bps RRR cut effective from Jul 5, Released new AMP Rule provided some flexibility in shadow bank tightening 23 Jul 2018 Policy Guidance: State Council called for more proactive fiscal policy Aug 10-14 2018 Fiscal NDRC resumed approval for metro projects (for the first time since Nov 2017), for projects in Changchun (Aug 19) and Suzhou (Aug 14). The Ministry of Finance ordered to accelerate issuance for local government special bonds. 30 Aug 2018 Fiscal: The State Council announced Rmb45bn tax cuts for: (1) firms undergoing structural adjustment and capacity cut, (2) social security fund investment, (3) interest income from agricultural loans 31 Aug 2018 Fiscal: The Government announced to raise personal income tax exemption (from Rmb3,500 to Rmb5,000) and widen the range for lower tax brackets from 1 Oct 2018 26 Sep 2018 Fiscal: Cut import tax rate on capital goods and intermediate goods (1,585 items), effective Nov 1 7 Oct 18 Monetary: The PBoC announced 100bps RRR cut, effective Oct 24 20 Oct 2018 Fiscal: The government announced detailed plan on personal income tax deduction, effective 1 Jan 2019 31 Oct 2018 Policy Guidance: The quarterly politburo meeting recognized rising downside risks to growth, called for more preemptive and prompt policy measures, and pledged more support to private companies. It raised the importance of capital market confidence to the highest Politburo level 1 Nov 18 Policy Guidance: China's top leadership laid out the first comprehensive framework to boost the private sector 18 Dec 2018 Monetary: PBoC Launched the new "targeted MLF", which has lower interest rate (by 15bps) and longer term (1-3 years) than ordinary MLF, and added RMB 100bn relending to small banks to support lending to private sector 18 Dec 2018 Property: Several cities (Guangzhou and Heze in Shandong) marginally loosened property restrictions 21 Dec 2018 Policy Guidance: CEWC Pledged more counter cyclical policy easing 29 Dec 2019 Fiscal: NPC Standing Committee approves front-loading 2019 local government construction bond 2 Jan 2019 Monetary: PBoC relaxes requirements for inclusive financing, making more banks eligible for Targeted RRR Cut announced before Tracking Policy Easing Measures in This Cycle 2 Jan 2019 Policy Guidance: China's Premier pledged to step up counter-cyclical efforts and make full use of broad-based RRR cuts 4 Jan 2019 Monetary: The PBoC announced two 50bps broad-based RRR cuts for Jan 15 and Jan 25 9 Jan 2019 Fiscal: VAT cuts and exemptions for small and micro business 15 Jan 2019 Policy guidance: Stronger and clearer easing signals. PBoC implied that interest rate cut is in the policy toolkit if the economy deteriorates, NDRC said to introduce pro- consumpiton measures 24 Jan 2019 Monetary: PBoC introduced Central Bank Bills Swap to boost liquidity for banks' perpetual bonds, so as to support banks to replenish their capital 5 Mar 2019 Fiscal: Announced fiscal easing package of 1.75% of GDP, introducing Rmb700- 800bn VAT cut. Rmb800bn more local construction bond issuance, and 2-4ppt cut in social pension mandatory payment ratio. 1 Apr 2019 Fiscal: Rmb 700bn VAT cut came into effect 1 May 2019 Fiscal: Formally cut social pension in mandatory contribution ratio from 18-20% to 16% 10 Jun 2019 Fiscal: Allowed local gov special bond proceeds to be used as seed capital for infrastructure projects with national impact 10 Jun 2019 Monetary: Financial Institutions are encouraged to finance projects eligible for LGSB funds 1 Jul 20919 Fiscal: A package of RMB300bn fee and tariff cut came into effect 17 Aug 2019 Monetary: the PBoC announced a new pricing mechanism for the loan Prime Rate (LPR) Expecting more policy easing if 10% tariff hike is imposed on the remaining USD300bn of Chinese goods 2H19 Fiscal: Additional fiscal stimulus of 0.75-1.0ppt of GDP, focusing on public spending 2H19 Monetary: More cuts in OMO and MLF rates and further interest rate reform to lower the loan Prime Rate (LPR) to accommodate fiscal easing Source: CEIC, PBoC, State Council, Xinhua, Morgan Stanley Research, ICBCCS Policy Easing Measures since Jun 2018 13 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
14.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Downward EPS Revisions Partially Factored In the Impact MSCI China Consensus EPS Trend (HKD) MSCI China Index Sector Earnings Revision (CNY) Source: FactSet, MSCI, CICC Research 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 MSCI China EPS Consensus Estimates YoY Growth: 2019F: 0.32%;2020F: 12.6% 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 Dec-17 Apr-18 Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 IT Real Estate Energ yStaples Utilities Materials Financials Industrials MSCI China Healthcare Discretionary Communication Source: FactSet, MSCI, CICC Research 14 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
15.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Long-term Investment Thesis Intact The Transformation of China Section 2 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
16.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 The Transformation to New China China Urban Migration Rising Consumerism Technology Drive Innovation Focus Environmenta l Remediation Responsible Governance China’s "new normal" growth model is consumption-led, rather than investment-driven From a low-cost manufacturer to a major value-added service provider China’s Key Thesis Source: World Economic Forum Strategic Intelligence, ICBCCSI 16 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
17.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 City Clusters Get Larger and larger… Charting Data: * 2011-17 Total Population Growth CAGR, # percent of residents optimistic about job market prospect | Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit, CEIC, Morgan Stanley Research, ICBCCSI Ongoing Urbanization Leads to Five City Clusters And Metropolitan Population Gain in 2016-30F Faster Population Growth in Key Clusters (11-17 CAGR %)* 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.5 Greater Bay Jing-jin-ji Yangtze River Delta Mid- Yangtze River Chengdu- Chongqing Key City Clusters National …And Better Job Prospects in the Five City Clusters # 73.9 71.6 68.1 59.7 53.3 67.1 52.6 Yangtze River Delta Mid- Yangtze River Greater Bay Jing-jin-ji Chengdu- Chongqing Key City Clusters Others Chengdu-Chongqing Mid-Yangtze River Greater Bay Yangtze River Delta Jing-jin-ji 17 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
18.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 China Consumption in a Global Perspective Total household consumption by comparison (USDtrn) Chart Data: Assumes annual GDP growth rate of 5.5% | Source: OECD, Economist Intelligence Unit, BCG Analysis, ICBCCSI US 2016: $13trn 2020F: $15trn China 2016: $4.5trn 2020F: $7.8trn 2030F: $11.8trn India 2016: $1.3trn 2020F: $3trn Japan 2016: $2.4trn 2020F: 2.8trn Germany 2016: $1.8trn 2020F $2.2trn UK 2016: $1.8trn 2020F $2.1trn France 2016: $1.3trn 2020F: $1.7trn Forces of Shaping China’s Consumption The Rise of the Upper-Middle Class The Emergence of a New Generation The Increasingly Powerful Role of E-commerce 18 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
19.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Huge Consumption Potential… Especially in Smaller Cities Total consumption sets to grow 1.5 times to USD12trn by 2030 Lower-tier Household consumption triple to by 2030 Smaller cities contribute two-thirds to incremental consumption Annual Household Consumption (USDtrn) Contribution to Total Consumption Growth by City Tiers Source: CEIC, Morgan Stanley Research Estimates, ICBCCSI 0.5 0.9 2.3 1.01 2.3 7.0 1.5 Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3&Below Rural Consumption 2017 2030F 2017 2030 USD4.7trn Tier-1 Cities USD0.6trn Rise 8% Tier-2 Cities USD1.4trn Rise 20% Low Tier Cities USD4.6trn Rise 64% Rural Area USD0.7trn Rise 7% Total Consumption USD11.8trn1.5 Times in 12 years 19 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
20.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 An Innovation Focused Economy Total Domestic R&D Spending (USDbn) International Patent Applications (‘000 files) China’s office received a record total of 1.38 million patent applications in 2017, more than double the number received by that of the U.S. (606,956). The office of Japan ranked third with 318,479 applications, followed by the office of the Republic of Korea (204,775) and the EPO (166,585) Chart Data: 2001-17 | Source, OECD, WIPO, ICBCCSI China Japan Germany UK US -50 50 150 250 350 450 550 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 China’s surging R&D spending narrows gap with United States New patents filed by China increased rapidly driven by aggressive investment China USA Japan Korea EPO Others Worldwide patent applications 20 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential 100% 3,168,900 applications
21.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 China Leads Mobility Globally Total numbers of smartphone and mobile internet users exceed 800 million in China Mobile penetration is only 57% vs. 80% in US, implying substantial room to grow further User Base Comparison Between US and China (m people/penetration rate) Chart Data: As of Dec 2018 | Source: US Census Bureau, Pew Research, Newzoo, Statista, eMarketer, CNNIC, IMF, ICBCCSI 829 (59%) 748 (53%) 802 (57%) 583 (43%) 312 (92%) 228 (70%) 262 (80%) 55 (17%) China Total Population: 1.4bn US Total Population: 327m Internet Smartphone Mobile Internet Mobile Payment 21 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
22.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 US and China Take Lead in Global Internet Market Capitalization Source: Bloomberg Collected on 28 Aug 2019, BOND Internet Trends, ICBCCSI | Table Data: % Change only applies to companies that were publicly traded on 31 Jul 2016, private valuations are not considered, Companies like Meituan Dianping were not listed in 2016. Rank Market Cap Value (USDbn) 2019 Company Region 31 Jul 2019 31 Jul 2016 % Change 1 Microsoft US $1,042bn $442bn 136% 2 Apple US 963 562 71% 3 Amazon US 923 360 157% 4 Alphabet US 844 535 58% 5 Facebook US 554 356 56% 6 Alibaba China 451 206 119% 7 Tencent China 449 226 99% 8 Adobe US 145 49 198% 9 Netflix US 141 39 261% 10 Paypal US 130 45 189% 11 Salesforce US 120 55 117% 12 Booking.com US 82 67 22% 13 Uber US 71 -- -- 14 Recruit Japan 58 22 168% 15 ServiceNow US 51 12 322% 16 Meituan Dianping China 47 -- -- 17 WorkDay US 45 16 175% 18 JD.com China 43 30 45% 19 Baidu China 39 55 -29% 20 Activision Blizzard US 37 30 26% 21 Shopify Canada 36 3 1134% 22 eBay US 35 35 -2% 23 Square US 34 3 897% 24 Atlassian Australia 34 6 428% 25 Twitter US 33 12 180% 26 MercadoLibre Argentina 31 7 353% 27 Netease China 30 27 10% 28 Spotify Sweden 28 -- -- 29 Xiaomi China 28 -- -- 30 Electronic Arts US 27 23 19% $6,552 3,223 103% China Stable @ 7 of 30 US at 18 of 30 Top 30 Internet Companies Ranking 22 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
23.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Chinese Biopharma Innovation Enter New Era 110 innovative assets entering clinical development in 2017 ~800 innovative molecules in pipeline; 70-80 phase III moleculesExpanding pipeline ¼ of phase II/III innovative assets developed globally Cross border deals increased by 70% since 2012Going global 2x VC investment in China healthcare in 2017 (vs 2016) $2.8 bil+ raised through IPO by China biotech firms in 2017 (vs $4 bil in US)Attracting more capital Source: McKinsey, Wellington Management 23 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
24.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Capital Market Opening Up Still a Long-term Trend Source: Morgan Stanley Research Capital Market Opening Up: Previous Achievements Equity inflows FDIBond inflows Nov-14: Launch of Shanghai/HK stock connect program Aug-16: Removal of aggregate quota on Shanghai/HK stock connect Dec-16: Launch of Shenzhen/HK stock connect Jun-17: A-share entry to MSCI with inclusion factor at 5% Sep-18: A-share inclusion in FTSE Russell Emerging Index Mar-19: MSCI announced plans to increase the A-share inclusion factor from 5% to 20% throughout 2019 Jul-15: Elimination of approval requirements and quota limits for foreign public institutions on onshore bond market Feb-16: Elimination of approval requirements and quota limits for most foreign private institutions on onshore bond market Feb-17: Opening up of FX hedging tools to foreign investors Jul-17: Launch of Mainland-HK Bond Connect Apr-19: China’s inclusion in Bloomberg Barclays Global Aggregate Index Dec-16: The “negative list” for foreign investment was shortened from 93 items to 63 Mar-18: 1ppt VAT cut on 17% and 11% brackets (equivalent to Rmb240bn cut) Jun-18: The “negative list” for foreign investment was shortened from 63 items to 48 Mar-19: 3ppt VAT cut on 16% bracket and 1ppt cut on 10% bracket (equivalent to Rmb700- 800bn cut) Mar-19: A 2-4ppt cut in social pension contribution ratio for firms, to 16% Mar-19: NPC approval for draft foreign investment law 24 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
25.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Capital Market Opening Up Still a Long-term Trend (Con’t) Source: Morgan Stanley Research Future Moves to Attract Foreign Capital Inflows Equity inflows FDIBond inflows May-19: MSCI to increase the index inclusion factor for all China A Large Cap shares from 5% to 10% Jun-19: FTSE RUSSELL to include A shares into its global indices Aug-19: MSCI to increase the index inclusion factor for all China A Large Cap shares from 10% to 15% Nov-19: MSCI to increase the index inclusion factor for all China A Large Cap shares from 15% to 20% 2019: Launch of London- Shanghai Connect 2019-2020: More Hedging Tools for onshore stock market Sept-19: FTSE finalizes decision on reclassification of CNY bonds from level 1 to level 2 2019-20: Further enhancement for domestic bond credit rating system (2019-20) 2019-20: Further improvement on interest rate curve of China government bonds, with more issuance of longer-term bonds (30-50Y) (2019-20) 2019-20: China’s potential inclusion to Citi WGBI and JPM GBI-EM indices 1H2019: Approval of Draft Patent Law 2019-2022: Gradually removing JV shareholding restrictions in most sectors 25 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
26.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 MSCI and FTSE Index Inclusion Leads to Capital Inflow A 1.7% China ex. A 30.0 % Non- China 68.4 % MSCI EM Index A 2.5% China ex. A 29.7 % Non- China 67.8 % MSCI EM Index A 4.0% China ex. A 29.3 % Non- China 66.7 % MSCI EM Index A 17% China ex. A 25.2 % Non- China 57.5 % MSCI EM Index A 5.3% China ex. A 94.7 % MSCI China Index A 7.7% China ex. A 92.3 % MSCI China Index A 12.0 % China ex. A 88.0 % MSCI China Index A 40.6 %China ex. A 59.4 % MSCI China Index Now (inclusion factor 10%, Large cap) Full inclusion (inclusion factor 100%, Large + mid cap) Aug. 2019 (inclusion factor 15%, Large cap) Nov. 2019 (inclusion factor 20%, Large + mid cap) Source: CICC Research, ICBCCSI 26 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
27.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Estimated A-share Inclusion Capital Inflow MSCI's inclusion of A-shares May. 2019 Sep. 2019 Nov. 2019 Bear case Base case Inclusion factor and eligible stocks 10% (Large cap) 15% (Large cap) 20% (Large + Mid cap) 50% (Large + Mid cap) 100% (Large + Mid cap) Estimated weight of A-shares MSCI China Index 5.3% 7.7% 12.0% 25.5% 40.6% MSCI Asia ex. Japan Index 2.0% 2.9% 4.7% 10.9% 19.7% MSCI EM Index 1.7% 2.5% 4.0% 9.4% 17.3% MSCI AC World Index 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% Est. fund inflow amount (US$ bn) MSCI China Index 4.2 6.2 9.6 20.4 32.5 MSCI Asia ex. Japan Index 7.9 11.7 18.7 43.8 78.9 MSCI EM Index 28.5 42.3 68.1 160.5 293.4 MSCI AC World Index 6.1 9.2 14.9 37.1 73.3 Cumulative inflow (US$bn) 46.7 69.4 111.4 261.8 478.1 Incremental inflow in each step (US$bn) 23.3 22.7 42.0 150.4 216.3 Incremental inflow in each step (Rmb bn) 162.0 157.5 291.4 1,043.8 1,501.1 Estimated inflow in 10 years (US$bn) 16.7 24.0 FTSE's inclusion of A-shares Jun. 2019 Sep. 2019 Nov. 2019 Base case Inclusion factor and eligible stocks 5% (Large+Mid+Small cap) 15% (Large+Mid+Small cap) 25% (Large+Mid+Small cap) 100% (Large+Mid+Small cap) Estimated weight of A-shares FTSE Emerging Index 1.2% 3.4% 5.5% 18.0% FTSE Global Index 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 2.3% Est. fund inflow amount (US$ bn) Cumulative inflow (US$bn) 2.0 5.9 9.7 38.0 Incremental inflow in each step (US$bn) 2.0 3.9 3.8 28.3 Incremental inflow in each step (Rmb bn) 13.9 27.1 26.4 196.4 Estimated inflow in 10 years (US$bn) 2.8 Source: CICC Research, ICBCCSI 27 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
28.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Diversifications and Return Enhancement 100% MSCI EM 90/10 80/20 70/30 60/40 50/50 40/60 30/70 20/80 10/90 100% MSCI A Onshore 8 8.2 8.4 8.6 8.8 9 9.2 9.4 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 Annualized Volatility (%) AnnualizedReturn(%) Potential Diversification and Return Enhancement from A-shares Chart Data: 31 December 2004 –31 December 2018 | Sources: MSCI, Wellington Management, ICBCCSI | FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS AND AN INVESTMENT CAN LOSE VALUE. DIVERSIFICATION DOES NOT ENSURE AGAINST LOSS. INVESTMENTS MAY NOT BE MADE INTO AN INDEX. We see potential diversification benefit from China allocation A-shares are an important part of the opportunity set 28 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
29.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Key Favorable Sectors in New Economy Policy Focus Favorable Sectors Quality Growth Consumption upgrade and industrialization Moving up the value chain R&D and Innovation Beautiful China Electrical Vehicle Services Advanced Manufacturing Consumer I.T. Telecommunicatio n Health Care Renewabl e Energy Environmental Protection Equipment Sources: ICBCCSI 29 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
30.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Key Favorable Sectors in Old Economy Policy Focus Favorable Sectors 1. Rebalancing of Resources Allocation SOEs reform / mixed ownership reform Supply-side reforms 2. Deleveraging 3. Direct Finance to Private Sectors 4. Easier Access 5. One Belt One Road 6. Rural Development Commodity & Materials Oil & Gas Electricity Chemicals Banking & Finance Infrastructure Construction Materials Sources: ICBCCSI 30 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
31.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 China Low Trade Dependent Country China’s trade surplus to GDP is 1.5% in 2018 from 5.5% in 2005 US MNCs’ direct investment in China is much higher than China’s direct investment in US US and China’s Bilateral Imports in Each Other’s Territory China’s Trade Surplus to GDP Source: Factset, CEIC, Morgan Stanley Research Source: Factset, CEIC, Morgan Stanley Research 550 170 620 470 180 25 US Imports from China China's Imports from US Total Assets Total Sales Total Assets Total Sales US MNCs China MNCs 2.4 5.5 3.6 3.2 1.5 2000 2005 2010 2015 2018 ▼ China Entered WTO in 2001 31 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
32.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 US Importers Scramble to Find Replacements -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 -1.5 -1.0 -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 1. Successful Substitutions Lower reliance on China and increase in total imports 2. Constrained Supply Lower reliance on China but decline in total imports 4. Ineffective Tariffs Increase in total imports, driven by higher imports from China 3. Weak demand Decrease in total imports, driven by lower imports from the rest of the world 1 3 42 >50% of imports came from China in 2017 <50% of imports came from China in 2017 Change in imports from China Contributions to changes in the US imports, Top 400 tariffed categories, 1H18 to 1H19 ChangeinimportsfromtheROW Original Article: Global Insight: 700,000 Data Points Reveal China Trade War Edge. 27 Aug 2019. | Chart Data: Mapping US Imports Across Top 400 Tariffed Categories. | The westerly quadrant (numbered 2 in the chart) is the part to focus on. It shows the categories in which US imports from China have fallen and imports from the rest of the world have been inadequate to make up the shortfall. Products that land there are the ones that U.S. importers have found hardest to source from other suppliers. | Source: USITC DataWeb, Bloomberg Economics, ICBCI 32 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
33.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Is China or China Consumer Indebted? China total debt as percentage of GDP is on par with other countries Enterprise debt is mainly from SOEs in cyclical industries where current reform measurers are focusing on Household leverage remains manageable at a reasonable level versus other major countries Total Debt as % of GDP (%) Household Credit as percentage of GDP (%) Chart Data: As of Feb 2019 | Source: BIS, CICC Research, ICBCCSI Chart Data: As of Dec 2018 | Source: Morgan Stanley Research, ICBCCSI 16 20 20 10 42 72 86 47 China US UK Japan Credit/GDP (Incl. Mortgage) ► ▼Credit/GDP (excl. Mortgage) 359 302 287 257 253 249 235 169 Japan France Canada UK China USA Korea Germany Residential Gov Non-Financial Enterprises 33 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
34.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 New home price index growth turned double-digit for tier - 1cities New home price index growth accelerated slightly for tier - 2/3 cities Inventory turnover in Tier1/2 cities remains moderate China 70-city Property Price: New Constructed Sellable Area/monthly Sales by City Tiers (3mma) Source: CEIC, CICC Research Source: CEIC, CICC Research -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 01 03 05 07 09 11 13 15 17 19 (%) Tier 1 Tier 2 Tier 3 Tier-1: 9 Tier-2: 9 Tier-3: 12 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 (Months) 12 months Property Market Concerns Overdone 34 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
35.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Forex Risks Ahead, But China Surely Intervene Rising risks to China’s growth amid trade tension… suggesting more policy responses ahead PBoC still focuses on managing FX volatility and avoid disruptive deprecation USD/CNY stay largely flat at 7.15-7.30 against other constituent currencies in basket Recent CNY Moves Chart Data: Indexed Jul-3 = 100 | Source: Bloomberg, Morgan Stanley Research, ICBCCSI 80 85 90 95 100 105 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 ▼ Depreciating CNY Appreciating USD Aug-18: PBoC lift RRR for FX forwards from 0% to 20% ► Dec-18: G20 and start of US-China 90-day trade talk Aug-19: US announced to impose 10% tariff on the remaining US$300bn of Chinese goods on Sep 1 ▼ Depreciating CNY Appreciating USD ► 35 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
36.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 S&P CHINA 500 Index A New, Better Barometer for “Total China” Section 3 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
37.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 S&P China 500 index1 : A New, Better Barometer For China GICS2 Sector Breakdown (Weight %, as of Aug 30, 2019) Exchange of Listing (Weight %, as of Aug 30, 2019) 24% 17% 11% 10% 46% 7% 7% 37% 5% 3%3% Financials Consumer Discretionary Communication Services Industrials Information Technology Materials Consumer Staples Real Estate Health Care Energy Utilities 51% 36% 12% 0.1% China Hong Kong USA Singapore Largest 500 (by total market cap including all share classes) are selected, based on: Float-adjusted market cap weighting Semi-annual rebalancing in Jun and Dec Entire universe of Chinese companies is examined (A, B, H, Red Chip, P Chip and Chinese securities listed in the U.S. or any other overseas exchanges) USD 300 million minimum float-adjusted market cap USD 1 million minimum 6-mth median daily value traded 60% minimum annual turnover Chart Note: 1: Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices 2: The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®) was developed by and is the exclusive property and a trademark of S&P and MSCI. | Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices, as of Aug 30, 2019. | FIGURES ARE ROUNDED FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSE ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO INDEX DISCLAIMERS AND INDEX PERFORMANCE DISCLOSURE AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION 37 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
38.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 How is S&P China 500 a better “Total China” index? Lower sector concentration in Financials, more weights in new economy 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Financials I.T. Cons Disc Industrials Materials Cons Staples Health Care Real Estate Energy Utilities Communication CSI 300 FTSE A50 HSCEI MSCI China S&P China 500 Sector Exposure Comparison By GICS1 sectors weight (%) as of Aug 30, 2019 Chart Note: 1:The Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®) was developed by and is the exclusive property and a trademark of S&P and MSCI. | Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, China Securities Index, Hang Seng Indexes, S&P Dow Jones Indices; As of Aug 30, 2019; | PLEASE REFER TO INDEX DISCLAIMERS AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION. Onshore Offshore 38 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
39.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 How is S&P China 500 a better “Total China” index? Diversified exchange listing, hedged currency exposure Exchange of listing of S&P China 500 vs. other China indices* (Weight %) Onshore Offshore Onshore/ Offshore Indices CSI 300 FTSE A50 HSCEI MSCI China* S&P China 500 China A-shares 100 100 - 7.9 51.3 China B-shares - - - 0.13 0.1 Hong Kong - - 100 66.5 36.1 US - - - 24.5 12.5 Singapore - - - - 0.1 S&P China 500:Currency Exposure (%) 51.4 36.0 12.5 0.1 CNY HKD USD SGD HKD Pegs USD Chart Note: *In absence of data information from MSCI index, the exchange listing weighting is approximated by using the exchange weighting of MSCI China ETF (2801 HK) underlying holding | Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, China Securities Index, Hang Seng Indexes, S&P Dow Jones Indices; As of Aug 30, 2019 | PLEASE REFER TO INDEX DISCLAIMERS AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION. 39 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
40.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Divergence of Onshore and Offshore China Indices Performance Performance Since S&P China 500 Index Base Date (Jun 16, 2006) -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 S&P China HSCEI CSI300 FTSE A50 MSCI China HSI Chart Note: 1: S&P China 500 (USD), based on back-test performance, annualized net total return. Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. Calculation starts from June 16,2006 to August 30, 2019. Index performance based on price return local currency. |Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, HSI, CSI, S&P Dow Jones Indices; CHARTS AND GRAPHS ARE PROVIDED FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT AN INDICATION OR GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THESE CHARTS AND GRAPHS MAY REFLECT HYPOTHETICAL HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE. PLEASE REFER TO INDEX DISCLAIMERS AND INDEX PERFORMANCE DISCLOSURE AT THE END OF THIS DOCUMENT 40 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
41.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 S&P China 500 Index outperform other Chinese indices 1 Net Total Return Currency 1 Month 3 Months YTD 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Since Index base date (16 Jun 2006) CSI 300 USD -4.44% 2.58% 23.25% 10.54% 13.49% 49.92% 49.96% 296.35% FTSE A50 USD -4.35% 4.48% 27.70% 16.82% 38.75% 80.40% 64.52% 293.58% HSI USD -7.26% -3.18% 2.12% -5.45% 22.64% 22.08% 82.86% N/A HSCEI USD -5.55% -0.92% 2.49% -4.82% 15.30% 7.82% 23.42% N/A MSCI China USD -4.19% 2.95% 7.65% -6.14% 27.23% 25.32% 69.72% 204.61% SPC 500 Index USD -4.21% 2.58% 15.05% 1.33% 21.44% 38.35% 74.55% 279.19% Indices Historical Performance Table Note: 1. Outperforms in 10 Years cumulative return. Data As of August 30, 2019. June 16, 2006 is the index base date of S&P China 500 Index | Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, China Securities Index, Hang Seng Indexes, S&P Dow Jones Indices; PLEASE REFER TO INDEX DISCLAIMERS AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION. 41 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
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ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Better Long-term Risk-adjusted Return Return Matrix of S&P China 500 and Other China Indices 1 Chart Note. 1:Calculation starts from 31-Dec-08 to 30-Aug-19. All data are converted to USD. 2: S&P China 500 (USD), based on back-test performance, annualized net total return. 3. Return is calculated between 31 Dec 2018 and 30 Aug 2019. | Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, HSI, CSI, S&P Dow Jones Indices; Index performance based on net total returns USD. | CHARTS AND GRAPHS ARE PROVIDED FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT AN INDICATION OR GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS. THESE CHARTS AND GRAPHS MAY REFLECT HYPOTHETICAL HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE. PLEASE SEE THE PERFORMANCE DISCLOSURE AT THE END OF THIS DOCUMENT FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING THE INHERENT LIMITATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH BACK-TESTED PERFORMANCE. 9.60% 8.60% 9.20% 8.50% 5.60% 22.20% 26.90% 27.90% 21.60% 23.80% 0.43 0.32 0.33 0.39 0.24HSCEI MSCI China FTSE A50 CSI300 S&P 500 2 Annualized Return 3 (%) Annualized Volatility (%) Sharp Ratio (%) 42 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
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ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Financials U/W allows for New Economy O/W S&P 500 Weighting vs Ticker Name S&P China 500 HSCEI CSI 300 HSCEI CSI 300 700 HK Tencent Holdings Ltd 7.83% 9.90% - -2.07% 7.83% BABA UN Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 7.76% - - 7.76% 7.76% 601318 CH Ping An Insurance Group A 4.11% - 7.67% 4.11% -3.56% 939 HK China Construction Bank 2.75% 9.56% - -6.81% 2.75% 600036 CH China Merchants Bank 2.57% - 2.87% -2.57% -0.30% 600519 CH Kweichow Moutai Co Ltd A 2.19% - 4.65% -2.19% 2.46% 2318 HK Ping An Insurance Group H 1.99% 10.14% - 8.15% -1.99% 1398 HK ICBC 1.69% 7.37% - -5.68% 1.69% 941 HK China Mobile 1.57% 8.06% - -6.49% 1.57% 3690 HK Meituan Dianping H 1.29% - - -1.29% -1.29% Top 10 Index Holdings Source: Bloomberg, China Securities Index, Hang Seng Indexes, S&P Dow Jones Indices; As of Aug 30, 2019; | PLEASE REFER TO INDEX DISCLAIMERS AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION Tencent + Alibaba + Pingan = ~20% 43 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
44.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Valuation of S&P China 500 Index Table Note: 1, The price to earnings ratio for an equity index. Calculated as Last price divided by the trailing 12 months EPS aggregate. 2, Index estimated dividend yield current year. Calculated as estimated dividends FY divided by last price. 3, Index estimated price/cash flow current year. Calculated as last price divided by estimated cash flow. | Source: Bloomberg, FTSE, MSCI, China Securities Index, Hang Seng Indexes, S&P Dow Jones Indices; As of August 30, 2019; | PLEASE REFER TO INDEX DISCLAIMERS AT THE END OF THIS PRESENTATION. Index P/E1 Dividend Yield2 P/CF3 Debt/Equity Return Volatility ROE CSI 300 13.95 2.46 10.02 197.60 30.60 12.75 FTSE A50 10.61 3.09 9.16 243.04 34.57 14.88 HSI 9.99 3.96 7.75 106.82 2.06 11.61 HSCEI 8.04 4.11 5.82 142.23 3.13 12.91 MSCI China 13.04 2.41 8.31 125.58 7.87 12.69 SPC 500 13.20 2.49 8.91 150.62 21.00 12.58 44 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
45.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 S&P China 500 Index – the “Total China” Barometer Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices. Note: 1. Calculation starts from 31-Dec-08 to 30-Aug-19. Broader market coverage Covers the 500 largest and most liquid Chinese companies regardless of their listing venue Includes the entire universe of Chinese companies (A, B, H, Red Chip, P Chip and Chinese securities listed in the U.S. or any other overseas exchange.) Diversified Sector Exposure Much less concentration in Financials (24.23%) comparing to FTSE A50 (52.26%), CSI300 (34.34%) and HSCEI (48.36%) as of August 30, 2019. More weights are distributed to new economy sectors, such as Communication Services(11.18%), Consumer Discretionary(17.43%) and Information Technology (7.46%) comparing to CSI300 (1.71%, 9.39% and 8.25%,respectively) Balanced RMB/USD Currency Exposure Approximately 51.38% exposure in RMB (A-shares), and remaining mostly in USD or USD-pegged HKD which provides natural hedge against each other Better risk-adjusted return Based on back-testing results1, the SPC500 showed solid return and relatively low volatility vs other major China indices 45 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
46.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Section 4 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
47.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Introducing ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Fund Exchange Ticker ISIN Base Currency Listing Currency ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Class B USD LSE CHIN LU1440654330 CNH USD ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Class B USD LSE CHIP LU1440654330 CNH GBX ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Class B USD LSE CHIC LU1440654330 CNH CNH ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Class B USD BIT CHIN LU1440654330 CNH EUR ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Class B USD XETRA ICW5 LU1440654330 CNH EUR Asset Class Equities Registration DE, FI, FR, GB, IT, LU, NL, SE Replication Method Physical (Optimised/Sampling) Depositary State Street Bank Luxembourg S.C.A Total Expense Ratio 0.75% p.a. Administrator State Street Bank Luxembourg S.C.A Use of Income Distributing (Annually) Investment Manager ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management (International) Co. Ltd. UCITS Compliant Management Company Carne Global Fund Managers (Luxembourg) S.A. Fund Overview Listings and Codes 47 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
48.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Introducing ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF Fund Performance and Tracking Error vs. S&P China 500 Index (Net Total Returns USD) List of AP and Liquidity Provider 1 Month 3 Month YTD 1 Year Since Inception (26 Jul 2016) S&P China 500 ETF -4.28% 2.53% 14.15% 0.62% 23.40% S&P China 500 Index* -4.21% 2.58% 15.05% 1.33% 25.45% Tracking Difference -0.08% -0.06% -0.89% -0.71% -2.05% Authorized Participants Liquidity Provider Goldman Sachs Commerzbank Optiver Flowtrader Commerzbank Jane Street Goldenberg Hehmeyer LLP Merrill Lynch Societe Generale** Goldenberg Hehmeyer LLP Table Note: * * Authorized Participants Agreement is under compliance review progress. | Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. Data as of August 30, 2019. Index performance based on net total returns USD. 48 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
49.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Introducing ICBCCS WisdomTree S&P China 500 UCITS ETF CHIN LN has the broadest coverage and relatively low TER vs. popular pure onshore or pure offshore China ETFs Tickers Name Underlying index # of constitue nts AUM (USDm) Listing exchanges of underlying Replication strategy TER CHIN LN ICBCCS WT SPC500 UCITS ETF S&P China 500 521 58.7 China A (51%), China B, HK, US, SG Physical (optimized) 0.75% XCS6 GR Xtrackers MSCI China UCITS ETF MSCI China 504 911.6 China A (5%), China B, HK, US Physical (optimized) 0.65% FXC LN iShares China Large Cap UCITS ETF FTSE China 50 50 590.5 HK (H-shares only) Physical (Full) 0.74% RQFI GR Xtrackers Harvest CSI300 UCITS ETF CSI 300 Index 302 561.0 China A Physical (Full) 0.65% CHNA LN CSOP Source FTSE China A50 UCITS ETF FTSE China A50 50 19.5 China A Physical (Full) 0.65% CASH LN L&G E Fund MSCI China A UCITS ETF MSCI China 481 24.6 China A (5%), China B, HK, US Physical (optimized) 0.91% C2BC GR BOCI SHANGHAI 50 A SHR-AEURD UCITS ETF SSE 50 48 13.8 China A Physical (Full) 0.98% Source: Bloomberg. Data as of Aug 30, 2019. 49 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
50.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Our Goal To Be An Important “China” Building Block for Global and Emerging Market Portfolios The Ideal Building Block Cost-efficient passive buy-and- hold strategies; and, Tactical allocation during risk- on/ risk-off market conditions S&P China 500 Efficient • Low cost passive strategy with efficient market access • Minimized risks and nuisance of selecting the appropriate active manager for first-timer to China market • Better liquidity than the underlying market Diversified • Comprehensive coverage of China economy • One-click solution to obtain China exposure across multiple markets Physical replication Transparent physical index that truly tracks China Designed to be a cross-market index that is feasible to replicate Other Emerging Markets Other Global Markets 50 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
51.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 More About ICBC Credit Suisse Appendix A 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
52.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 ICBCCS: A Leading Asset Manager in China Our Profile Shareholder s ICBC: 80% Credit Suisse: 20% AUM USD208bn (~RMB 1.3trn) Clients approximately 22 million clients Business Mutual and Private Funds, Listed and Non-listed Instruments, Domestic and Cross-boarder Businesses Headcount 648 personnel Subsidiaries Three branches (Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen) Two subsidiaries: • ICBC Credit Suisse Investment Management Company Limited - (Shanghai) • ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management (International) Company Limited - (Hong Kong) Our Mission A prudent approach to manage clients’ wealth Our Investment Philosophy Prudent Investment Value Investment Long-term Investment Our Goals Well-aligned with shareholders’ strategic development Be influential in global capital market Be well-respected in the industry 52 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
53.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Demonstrated Strong Growth Momentum Over a Decade Total AUM of ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management (USDbn) With a total AUM of nearly USD208bn as at the end of December 2018, ICBCCS is one of the largest asset managers in China with 60% compound annual growth rate over the past 13 years. In terms of industry ranking, by the end of December 2018, ICBCCS is among the Top 3 largest in mutual funds, the No. 1 biggest in enterprise annuity & government pensions business. Source: ICBCCS, Asset Management Association of China (AMAC), Galaxy Securities, AMAC MOHRSS 1 5 12 15 14 14 17 25 37 94 152 179 206 208 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 53 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
54.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Highly Specialized Investment Team ICBC Credit Suisse has one of the largest research and investment teams in China, with 12 specialized units located in different parts of China focusing on different asset classes and sectors - 7 for equity, 4 for Fixed Income, 1 for FOF. Investment decision is supported by both macro analysis as well as rigorous bottom-up research, focusing on listed companies and specific sectors. Macro Value Team Growth Team Industry Team Quant Team Absolute Return Team Index Investment Team International Investment Team Industries International Quant Commodities Energy Infrastructure Logistics & Auto Food & Beverage Entertainment Healthcare Financial & Real Estate TMT ST Bond Team Bond Team Balanced Bond Team Pension Team Macro Strategy Convertible Bond/New Listing FI Allocatio n FOF Investment Team Credit Rating Credit Strategy Asset Allocation Fund Selection Equity Investment Fixed Income Investment Fund Investment Investment Capability Centers Research Teams 54 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
55.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Highly Specialized Investment Team Four levels of risk management system was established to ensure risks are monitored and contained effectively. More than 600 Investment portfolios are monitored by a robust compliance monitoring system with 3600 risk indicators. Board of directors Corporate Governance and Risk Control Committee Compliance Department 4th Level Management Team Risk Management Committee Internal Control and Audit Department Risk Management Department All Business Departments 2th Level 1th Level 3th Level Risk Management System Methodologies Structure Procedure Philosophy Rigorous Risk Management Compliance policies, portfolio monitoring, internal control, and standardized operation procedures. 55 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
56.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Our Risk Management System ICBCCS became the first Chinese asset manager who received the GIPS verification in 2007, and remained certified for the following 10 years. ICBCCS was certified by ISAE3402 (previously SAS70). ICBCCS established an industry-leading BCP infrastructure with strong local support in every major cities in China. Systems:A combination of self developed and third- party system with industry-leading BCP infrastructure Rigorous risk management system covering investment risk, operation risk, and compliance risk Four levels of risk management system Management philosophy focusing on compliance policies, portfolio monitoring, internal control, and standardized operation procedures. 56 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
57.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Our Milestones ICBC Credit Suisse Asset Management (International) Company Limited, or the Hong Kong subsidiary, is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICBCCS in Hong Kong, was established in July 2011 with a registered capital of HKD 250 million. Since establishment, the subsidiary has inherited ICBC’s prudent operation philosophy and Credit Suisse over a hundred years of successful management experiences, and constructed a complete organizational structure, clear demarcation of duties, effective checks and balances, and rational incentives & constraints. • Granted of Type 4 (advising on securities) and Type 9 (asset management) licenses by HK SFC • Became one of two domestic-funded overseas asset managers for NSSF funds • Participated in Bond Connect Scheme, completed 1st trading with the first batch of market- makers • Launched ICBCCS S&P China 500 ETF and was listed on NYSE • Launched 2 mutual recognition funds approved by HK SFC 2011 2012 2013 2015 2016 2017 • Launched RQFII RMB bond fund • Set up distribution channel with ICBC Asia、 BOCI、CS、 NOMURA, etc,. 2014 • Among the very first to get the qualification as QFII investment manager of Chinese stocks • Launched ICBCCS S&P China 500 ETF in Canada 2018 • Launched the first RMB cash management fund using the amortized cost method in HK • Obtained investment adviser license granted by US SEC • Launched the first UCITS ETF tracking S&P China 500 Index, distributed in Luxemburg etc. • Got Type 1 (securities trade) license by HK SFC 57 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
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ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 S&P 500 China Index Appendix B 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
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ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Top 10 constituents of S&P China 500 vs. other China indices “Total” China Onshore Onshore Offshore Offshore S&P China 500 CSI 300 FTSE A50 HSCEI MSCI China Tencent Ping An Insurance - A Ping An Insurance - A Pingan Insurance - H Tencent Alibaba Kweichow Moutai China Merchants Bank CCB – H Alibaba Ping An A China Merchants Bank Kweichow Moutai ICBC CCB-H China Construction Bank Industrial Bank Industrial Bank Bank of China Baidu China Merchants Bank Gree Electric Appliances China Minsheng Bank China Mobile China Mobile Kweichow Moutai Midea Group Gree Electric Appliances China Petroleum & Chemical Corp Ping An Insurance – H Ping An Insurance H China Minsheng Bank Midea Group Tencent ICBC ICBC Bank of Communications China Vanke Co. Ltd PetroChina CNOOC China Mobile YILI SPDB Co. China Life Insurance Bank of China Meituan Dianping Agricultural Bank of China Ltd Agricultural Bank of China Ltd China Merchants Bank China Petroleum & Chemical Corp Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, CSI, Hang Seng, Bloomberg as of September 30, 2018. | REFERENCES TO INDIVIDUAL STOCK NAMES ARE NOT TO BE TAKEN AS RECOMMENDATION OR INVESTMENT ADVICE. NO REPRESENTATION IS MADE THAT STOCKS MENTIONED HERE WILL BE CONTAINED IN ANY PARTICULAR PORTFOLIO. CHART IS PROVIDED FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES. 59 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
60.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Index Methodology Screening & selection, Weighting, Rebalancing Index Universe: The index universe is defined as all constituents of the S&P Total China BMI (~3000 securities) that meet the following criteria as of the rebalancing reference date: Float-adjusted market capitalization must be at least US$ 300 million (US$ 250 million for existing constituents). Six-month median daily value traded must be at least US$ 1 million (US$ 0.8 million for existing constituents). Annual trade turnover must be at least 60% (50% for existing constituents). Annual trade turnover is defined as the ratio of annual dollar value traded to float-adjusted market capitalization. Constituent Selection. Constituent selection is as follows: 1. Eligible stocks are ranked by total market capitalization within each GICS sector in descending order. 2. Select largest company based on total market capitalization within each sector, including all listings of the company. 3. Compare the sector breakdowns (by float-adjusted market capitalization) of the selected stocks to the index universe and find the most underweighted sector. Add the next largest company (by total capitalization) in that sector, including all eligible listings of the company. 4. Repeat Step 3 until the number of selected companies reaches 350. All selected companies and their eligible listings are included in the index. 5. Repeat Step 3 to select 300 additional companies (including all eligible listings) to form a buffer zone. 6. Add the existing constituent companies in the buffer zone to the index by repeating Step 3 until they are all exhausted or the total number of selected companies in the index reaches 500. 7. If after Step 6, the total number of selected companies is still less than 500, new candidate companies and all their eligible listings in the buffer zone are added by repeating Step 3 until the total number of selected companies in the index reaches 500. Weighting: The index is weighted by float-adjusted market capitalization. Rebalance: Semi-annual - The indices are rebalanced semi-annually, effective at the close of trading on the third Friday of June and December. The rebalancing reference dates are the last trading day of May and November, respectively. 60 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
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ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 China Capital Market Access Guide Appendix C 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
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ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Foreign Investor Access to China Chinese Investors Foreign Investors Qualified Foreign Investors Foreign Listings P Chips (HKD) Red Chips (HKD) H Shares (HKD) B Shares (HKD/USD) A Shares (CNY) Non-state-owned Issuers Incorporated Outside of China State-owned Issuers Incorporated Outside of China Issuers Incorporated in China Issuers Incorporated in China or Outside of China Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges Hong Kong Exchanges Foreign Exchanges (Singapore, NY, London Etc) 62 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
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ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Chinese Share Classes Definition Listings Share Class Definition Example Onshore A Shares These are shares of companies incorporated in mainland China and traded on the Shanghai or Shenzhen Stock Exchanges in Chinese renminbi. ICBC Ltd. (China) (601398 CH) B Shares These are shares of Chinese companies that trade in U.S. dollars on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and in Hong Kong dollars on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Chongqing Changan Automobile Co. (200625 CH) Offshore H Shares These are shares of companies that are incorporated in mainland China, but trade on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. They are traded in Hong Kong dollars and are accessible to non-residents of China. ICBC Ltd. (Hong Kong) (1398 HK) Red Chips These are shares of Chinese companies that are incorporated outside of mainland China and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Red Chips, which are controlled by mainland Chinese entities, are traded in Hong Kong dollars and are available to non-residents of China. China Mobile Ltd. (941 HK) P Chips These are shares of non-state-owned Chinese companies that are incorporated outside of the mainland in domiciles of convenience such as the Cayman Islands, Bermuda, etc. and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Tencent Holdings Ltd. (700 HK) U.S.-Listed Chinese Companies U.S.-listed Chinese companies are defined as companies that primarily operate in mainland China but whose primary listings are on a U.S. exchange. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA US) Source: S&P China Indices Methodology | Disclaimers: References to individual stock names are not to be taken as recommendation or investment advice. No representation is made that stocks mentioned here will be contained in any portfolio. 63 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
64.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Chinese Share Classes Definition Share Class Country of Incorporation Country of Listing Trading Currency Available to mainland Chinese investors Available to Global investors A People’s Republic of China (PRC) China CNY Yes Yes under QFII/ RQFII/ Stock Connect programs B PRC China USD (Shanghai) HKD (Shenzhen) Yes (if they have appropriate currency accounts) Yes H PRC Hong Kong HKD Yes if Stock-connect or QDII approved Yes Red Chip Non-PRC Hong Kong HKD Yes if Stock-connect or QDII approved Yes P Chip Non-PRC Hong Kong HKD Yes if Stock-connect or QDII approved Yes S Chip Non-PRC Singapore SGD Yes if Stock-connect or QDII approved Yes N Chip Non-PRC United States USD Yes if QDII approved Yes Source: FTSE Russell. Guide to Chinese Share Classes, v1.8. 64 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
65.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Access to China A shares via Stock Connect, QFII & RQFII SH/SZ Northbound Stock Connect QFII RQFII Clearing HKSCC (a.k.a. CCASS) CSDCC (a.k.a. ChinaClear) ID & quota application No aggregate quota; Daily quota of RMB13 billion, calculate separately for SH and SZ Connect Subject to CSRC & SAFE approvals Broker Origination Hong Kong China Scope of investments All constituent stocks of the SSE180 and 380, SZSE Component Index, SZSE Small/Mid Cap Innovation Index with market capitalization > RMB 6 billion All dual-listed shares i.e. SSE-SEHK A+H and SZSE-SEHK A+H Exceptions: Shares that are not traded in RMB, Shares under “risk alert”, IPOs All stocks in Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges Fixed Income: Corporate, government, enterprise, convertible and interbank bond market Securities investment funds including closed end, open- ended and ETFs Others such as warrants, index futures, IPOs Source: CSRC, SSE, HKEX, Goldman Sachs, Citi, ICBCCSI 65 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
66.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 Access to China A shares via Stock Connect, QFII & RQFII (Cont’d) SH/SZ Northbound Stock Connect QFII RQFII Order types (Street side) Limited only (no amend) Market Order, Limit Order, Block Trade (no amend) Pre-trade checks Broker/ SPSA level checks on Sells Client-Broker level checks on Buys and Sells Inflow currency RMB (CNH) Flows should be in FX, need FX accounts onshore; FX conversion happens onshore Flows in RMB (CNH), no need to open FX account onshore Repatriation and principal lockup No repatriation limit; No lockup Repatriations of principals no longer deduct quotas Repatriations of principals deduct quotas Minimum inflow amount No minimum amount No more minimum inflow amount; though note minimum quota grants of US$20mn; Quotas are now counted on cumulative net buy basis for all accounts. Source: CSRC, SSE, HKEX, Goldman Sachs, Citi, ICBCCSI 66 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
67.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 INDEX PROVIDER DISCLAIMER STANDARD & POOR’S® AND S&P® ARE REGISTERED TRADEMARKS OF STANDARD & POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC (“S&P”) AND DOW JONES® IS A REGISTERED TRADEMARK OF DOW JONES TRADEMARK HOLDINGS LLC (“DOW JONES”) AND HAVE BEEN LICENSED FOR USE BY S&P DOW JONES INDICES LLC AND SUBLICENSED FOR CERTAIN PURPOSES BY ICBC CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT (INTERNATIONAL) CO., LTD. ("ICBCCSI"). THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX IS A PRODUCT OF S&P DOW JONES INDICES LLC OR ITS AFFILIATES (“SPDJI”), AND HAS BEEN LICENSED FOR USE BY ICBCCSI. ICBCCS WISDOMTREE S&P CHINA 500 UCITS ETF (“ETF FUND”) IS NOT SPONSORED, ENDORSED, SOLD OR PROMOTED BY SPDJI, DOW JONES, S&P, OR ANY OF THEIR RESPECTIVE AFFILIATES (COLLECTIVELY, “S&P DOW JONES INDICES”). S&P DOW JONES INDICES MAKE NO REPRESENTATION REGARDING THE ADVISABILITY OF INVESTING IN SUCH PRODUCT. INDEX PERFORMANCE DISCLAIMER THE S&P CHINA 500 WAS LAUNCHED ON AUGUST 28, 2015. ALL INFORMATION FOR AN INDEX PRIOR TO ITS LAUNCH DATE IS BACK-TESTED. BACK-TESTED PERFORMANCE IS NOT ACTUAL PERFORMANCE, BUT IS HYPOTHETICAL. THE BACK-TEST CALCULATIONS ARE BASED ON THE SAME METHODOLOGY THAT WAS IN EFFECT ON THE LAUNCH DATE. COMPLETE INDEX METHODOLOGY DETAILS ARE AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPDJI.COM. IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO INVEST DIRECTLY IN AN INDEX. S&P DOW JONES INDICES DEFINES VARIOUS DATES TO ASSIST OUR CLIENTS IN PROVIDING TRANSPARENCY ON THEIR PRODUCTS. THE FIRST VALUE DATE IS THE FIRST DAY FOR WHICH THERE IS A CALCULATED VALUE (EITHER LIVE OR BACK-TESTED) FOR A GIVEN INDEX. THE BASE DATE IS THE DATE AT WHICH THE INDEX IS SET AT A FIXED VALUE FOR CALCULATION PURPOSES. THE LAUNCH DATE DESIGNATES THE DATE UPON WHICH THE VALUES OF AN INDEX ARE FIRST CONSIDERED LIVE: INDEX VALUES PROVIDED FOR ANY DATE OR TIME PERIOD PRIOR TO THE INDEX’S LAUNCH DATE ARE CONSIDERED BACK-TESTED. S&P DOW JONES INDICES DEFINES THE LAUNCH DATE AS THE DATE BY WHICH THE VALUES OF AN INDEX ARE KNOWN TO HAVE BEEN RELEASED TO THE PUBLIC, FOR EXAMPLE VIA THE COMPANY’S PUBLIC WEBSITE OR ITS DATAFEED TO EXTERNAL PARTIES. FOR DOW JONES-BRANDED INDICATES INTRODUCED PRIOR TO MAY 31, 2013, THE LAUNCH DATE (WHICH PRIOR TO MAY 31, 2013, WAS TERMED “DATE OF INTRODUCTION”) IS SET AT A DATE UPON WHICH NO FURTHER CHANGES WERE PERMITTED TO BE MADE TO THE INDEX METHODOLOGY, BUT THAT MAY HAVE BEEN PRIOR TO THE INDEX’S PUBLIC RELEASE DATE. PAST PERFORMANCE OF THE INDEX IS NOT AN INDICATION OF FUTURE RESULTS. PROSPECTIVE APPLICATION OF THE METHODOLOGY USED TO CONSTRUCT THE INDEX MAY NOT RESULT IN PERFORMANCE COMMENSURATE WITH THE BACK-TEST RETURNS SHOWN. THE BACK-TEST PERIOD DOES NOT NECESSARILY CORRESPOND TO THE ENTIRE AVAILABLE HISTORY OF THE INDEX. PLEASE REFER TO THE METHODOLOGY PAPER FOR THE INDEX, AVAILABLE AT WWW.SPDJI.COM FOR MORE DETAILS ABOUT THE INDEX, INCLUDING THE MANNER IN WHICH IT IS REBALANCED, THE TIMING OF SUCH REBALANCING, CRITERIA FOR ADDITIONS AND DELETIONS, AS WELL AS ALL INDEX CALCULATIONS. ANOTHER LIMITATION OF USING BACK-TESTED INFORMATION IS THAT THE BACK-TESTED CALCULATION IS PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. BACK-TESTED INFORMATION REFLECTS THE APPLICATION OF THE INDEX METHODOLOGY AND SELECTION OF INDEX CONSTITUENTS IN HINDSIGHT. NO HYPOTHETICAL RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THERE ARE NUMEROUS FACTORS RELATED TO THE EQUITIES, FIXED INCOME, OR COMMODITIES MARKETS IN GENERAL WHICH CANNOT BE, AND HAVE NOT BEEN ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF THE INDEX INFORMATION SET FORTH, ALL OF WHICH CAN AFFECT ACTUAL PERFORMANCE. THE INDEX RETURNS SHOWN DO NOT REPRESENT THE RESULTS OF ACTUAL TRADING OF INVESTABLE ASSETS/SECURITIES. S&P DOW JONES INDICES LLC MAINTAINS THE INDEX AND CALCULATES THE INDEX LEVELS AND PERFORMANCE SHOWN OR DISCUSSED, BUT DOES NOT MANAGE ACTUAL ASSETS. INDEX RETURNS DO NOT REFLECT PAYMENT OF ANY SALES CHARGES OR FEES AN INVESTOR MAY PAY TO PURCHASE THE SECURITIES UNDERLYING THE INDEX OR INVESTMENT FUNDS THAT ARE INTENDED TO TRACK THE PERFORMANCE OF THE INDEX. THE IMPOSITION OF THESE FEES AND CHARGES WOULD CAUSE ACTUAL AND BACK-TESTED PERFORMANCE OF THE SECURITIES/FUND TO BE LOWER THAN THE INDEX PERFORMANCE SHOWN. AS A SIMPLE EXAMPLE, IF AN INDEX RETURNED 10% ON A US $100,000 INVESTMENT FOR A 12-MONTH PERIOD (OR US $10,000) AND AN ACTUAL ASSET-BASED FEE OF 1.5% WAS IMPOSED AT THE END OF THE PERIOD ON THE INVESTMENT PLUS ACCRUED INTEREST (OR US $1,650), THE NET RETURN WOULD BE 8.35% (OR US $8,350) FOR THE YEAR. OVER A THREE YEAR PERIOD, AN ANNUAL 1.5% FEE TAKEN AT YEAR END WITH AN ASSUMED 10% RETURN PER YEAR WOULD RESULT IN A CUMULATIVE GROSS RETURN OF 33.10%, A TOTAL FEE OF US $5,375, AND A CUMULATIVE NET RETURN OF 27.2% (OR US $27,200). DISCLAIMER 67 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential
68.
ICBC Credit Suisse
Asset Management (International) S&P CHINA 500 Index Solutions | Sep 2019 ETF FUND DISCLAIMER STANDARD & POOR’S® AND S&P® ARE REGISTERED TRADEMARKS OF STANDARD & POOR’S FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC (“S&P”) AND DOW JONES® IS A REGISTERED TRADEMARK OF DOW JONES TRADEMARK HOLDINGS LLC (“DOW JONES”). THE TRADEMARKS HAVE BEEN LICENSED TO SPDJI AND HAVE BEEN SUBLICENSED FOR USE FOR CERTAIN PURPOSES BY ICBC CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT (INTERNATIONAL) CO., LTD. ("ICBCCSI"). THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX IS A PRODUCT OF S&P DOW JONES INDICES LLC OR ITS AFFILIATES (“SPDJI”), AND HAS BEEN LICENSED FOR USE BY ICBCCSI. ICBCCS WISDOMTREE S&P CHINA 500 UCITS ETF (“ETF FUND”) IS NOT SPONSORED, ENDORSED, SOLD OR PROMOTED BY SPDJI, DOW JONES, S&P, OR ANY OF THEIR RESPECTIVE AFFILIATES (COLLECTIVELY, “S&P DOW JONES INDICES”). S&P DOW JONES INDICES MAKE NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, TO THE OWNERS OF THE ETF FUND OR ANY MEMBER OF THE PUBLIC REGARDING THE ADVISABILITY OF INVESTING IN SECURITIES GENERALLY OR IN ETF FUND PARTICULARLY OR THE ABILITY OF THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX TO TRACK GENERAL MARKET PERFORMANCE. S&P DOW JONES INDICES' ONLY RELATIONSHIP TO ICBCCSI WITH RESPECT TO THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX IS THE LICENSING OF THE INDEX AND CERTAIN TRADEMARKS, SERVICE MARKS AND/OR TRADE NAMES OF S&P DOW JONES INDICES AND/OR ITS LICENSORS. THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX IS DETERMINED, COMPOSED AND CALCULATED BY S&P DOW JONES INDICES WITHOUT REGARD TO ICBCCSI OR THE ETF FUND. S&P DOW JONES INDICES HAVE NO OBLIGATION TO TAKE THE NEEDS OF ICBCCSI OR THE OWNERS OF ETF FUND INTO CONSIDERATION IN DETERMINING, COMPOSING OR CALCULATING THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX. S&P DOW JONES INDICES ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR AND HAVE NOT PARTICIPATED IN THE DETERMINATION OF THE PRICES, AND AMOUNT OF ETF FUND OR THE TIMING OF THE ISSUANCE OR SALE OF ETF FUND OR IN THE DETERMINATION OR CALCULATION OF THE EQUATION BY WHICH ETF FUND IS TO BE CONVERTED INTO CASH, SURRENDERED OR REDEEMED, AS THE CASE MAY BE. S&P DOW JONES INDICES HAVE NO OBLIGATION OR LIABILITY IN CONNECTION WITH THE ADMINISTRATION, MARKETING OR TRADING OF ETF FUND. THERE IS NO ASSURANCE THAT INVESTMENT PRODUCTS BASED ON THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX WILL ACCURATELY TRACK INDEX PERFORMANCE OR PROVIDE POSITIVE INVESTMENT RETURNS. S&P DOW JONES INDICES LLC IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVISOR. INCLUSION OF A SECURITY WITHIN AN INDEX IS NOT A RECOMMENDATION BY S&P DOW JONES INDICES TO BUY, SELL, OR HOLD SUCH SECURITY, NOR IS IT CONSIDERED TO BE INVESTMENT ADVICE. S&P DOW JONES INDICES DO NOT GUARANTEES THE ADEQUACY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS AND/OR THE COMPLETENESS OF THE S&P CHINA 500 INDEX ("INDEX") OR ANY DATA RELATED THERETO OR ANY COMMUNICATION, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ORAL OR WRITTEN COMMUNICATION (INCLUDING ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS) WITH RESPECT THERETO. S&P DOW JONES INDICES SHALL NOT BE SUBJECT TO ANY DAMAGES OR LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS, OMISSIONS, OR DELAYS THEREIN. S&P DOW JONES INDICES MAKE NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES, OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE OR AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY ICBC CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT (INTERNATIONAL) COMPANY LIMITED ("ICBCCSI"), OWNERS OF THE ICBCCSI WISDOMTREE S&P CHINA 500 UCITS ETF (“ETF FUND”) , OR ANY OTHER PERSON OR ENTITY FROM THE USE OF THE S&P CHINA 500 OR WITH RESPECT TO ANY DATA RELATED THERETO. WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT WHATSOEVER SHALL S&P DOW JONES INDICES BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, PUNITIVE, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, LOSS OF PROFITS, TRADING LOSSES, LOST TIME OR GOODWILL, EVEN IF THEY HAVE BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, TORT, STRICT LIABILITY, OR OTHERWISE. THERE ARE NO THIRD PARTY BENEFICIARIES OF ANY AGREEMENTS OR ARRANGEMENTS BETWEEN S&P DOW JONES INDICES AND ICBCCSI, OTHER THAN THE LICENSORS OF S&P DOW JONES INDICES. IN THIS DOCUMENT, ICBC CREDIT SUISSE REFERS TO ICBC CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT COMPANY LIMITED AND ITS SUBSIDIARY, ICBC CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT (INTERNATIONAL) COMPANY LIMITED (“ICBCCSI”). ICBCCSI IS A REGULATED ENTITY UNDER THE HONG KONG SECURITIES AND FUTURES COMMISSION. NO ACCOUNT HAS BEEN TAKEN OF ANY PERSON’S INVESTMENT OBJECTIVES, FINANCIAL SITUATION OR PARTICULAR NEEDS WHEN PREPARING THIS DOCUMENT. THIS IS NOT AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL, OR A SOLICITATION OR INCITEMENT OF OFFER TO BUY OR SELL, ANY PARTICULAR SECURITY, STRATEGY, INVESTMENT PRODUCT OR SERVICES NOR DOES THIS CONSTITUTE INVESTMENT ADVICE OR RECOMMENDATION. THE VIEWS AND OPINIONS EXPRESSED IN THIS DOCUMENT, WHICH ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE, ARE THOSE OF S&P DOW JONES INDICES LLC, ICBC CREDIT SUISSE AND/OR ITS AFFILIATED COMPANIES AT THE TIME OF PUBLICATION. WHILE S&P DOW JONES INDICES LLC, ICBC CREDIT SUISSE AND/OR ITS AFFILIATED COMPANIES (COLLECTIVELY AS “WE” OR “US”) BELIEVE THAT THE INFORMATION IS CORRECT AT THE DATE OF THIS PRESENTATION, NO WARRANTY OF REPRESENTATION IS GIVEN TO THIS EFFECT AND NO RESPONSIBILITY CAN BE ACCEPTED BY US TO ANY INTERMEDIARIES OR END USERS FOR ANY ACTION TAKEN ON THE BASIS OF THIS INFORMATION. SOME OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN INCLUDING ANY EXPRESSION OF OPINION OR FORECAST HAS BEEN OBTAINED FROM OR IS BASED ON SOURCES BELIEVED BY US TO BE RELIABLE AS AT THE DATE IT IS MADE, BUT IS NOT GUARANTEED AND WE DO NOT WARRANT NOR DO WE ACCEPT LIABILITY AS TO ADEQUACY, ACCURACY, RELIABILITY OR COMPLETENESS OF SUCH INFORMATION. THE INFORMATION IS GIVEN ON THE UNDERSTANDING THAT ANY PERSON WHO ACTS UPON IT OR OTHERWISE CHANGES HIS OR HER POSITION IN RELIANCE THEREON DOES SO ENTIRELY AT HIS OR HER OWN RISK WITHOUT LIABILITY ON OUR PART. THIS DOCUMENT SHALL BE DISTRIBUTABLE IN COUNTRIES WHERE IT IS PERMITTED. THIS MATERIAL HAS NOT BEEN REVIEWED BY THE HONG KONG SECURITIES AND FUTURES COMMISSION. ISSUER OF THIS MATERIAL: ICBC CREDIT SUISSE ASSET MANAGEMENT (INTERNATIONAL) COMPANY LIMITED DISCLAIMER (Con’t) 68 20190903-EU-PI-F-02 Copyright © All rights Reserved Intended Users Only | Confidential