This document discusses key energy and sustainability issues and goals for the year 2016. It outlines three main objectives: 1) Support the UN Sustainable Development Goals, 2) Implement the Paris Agreement on climate change, and 3) Enable the rise of sustainable societies and provide energy for economies. It also discusses levels of maturity in driving change, from integration to transition to transformation. Finally, it explores constructing an integrative framework for steering the transition to a more sustainable energy system and world.
Mapping Customer Expectations Through Kano Analysis
Leaders of Energy without Borders : Managing energy transition in Cross-Border / Complex-Stakeholder Situations
1. 2016 Year of Organization for Change on
Energy, Climate Change Agreement and the Sustainable
Development post-2015 Agenda
Leaders of Energy without Borders:
Managing Energy Transition in Cross-
Border/ Complex Stakeholder
Situations
th February 2015: Open Google Hangout
Adriaan Kamp
2. 2
2014
2030-2050
7 Billion
People
9 Billion
People
90 trillion
USD
economy
180-210
trillion
USD
225 million
oil eq/day
500- 750
million
oil eq/day
400 ppm CO2 and Carbon Budget
consumed for 2 degrees/ 21st century
??? ppm CO2 and
Climate Change Effects
3. The State of Our World Energy System
Three wise moves:
• The Western (OECD-) countries could do well if they were able to “make room” and reduce
their average fossil energy footprint significantly, in order to-
• Allow and facilitate the non-OECD countries to grow and allow their benefits and wealth
creation (opportunity) from fossil energy.
• The general predicted increase in world average energy consumption per capita should
ideally be generated by non-fossil fuels such as renewable energy. Overall world fossil fuel
production is not to rise further significantly if we do not wish to cross levels which can no
longer be sustained or guaranteed for our economies, societies or nature.
And an action agenda:
• A political agenda: “We need better oversight and agreement on the rules of the
game on sustainability and the dynamic developments in the world energy
system.”
• A business and large (energy) corporation agenda: “making room for the new:
enabling the development of energy architectures of the 21st century”
• A social agenda: “we need to allow for the poor and middle-class incomes:
ensuring that energy once and when made available – remains affordable.”
• We need leadership values of the 21st century : allowing for better integration of
sustainability in the energy value chains and across borders.
3
5. UN FCCC COP21 Paris (3)
Paris Agreement
Adaptation
capacity-building
climate finance
Compliance
intended nationally determined
contributions (INDC)
loss and damage
Mitigation
national reporting
Paris Outcome
REDD/REDD+
Technology
technology mechanism
6. Year 2016 Agenda
How can we organize ourselves to support and achieve these Three (3)
Objectives?
1. Support the UN Sustainable Development Goals
2. Implement the Paris Agreement
3. Enable the rise of Sustainable Societies and provide Energy to our
Economies
12. Leadership and Vision:
The Opportunity is shaped in the
beginning.
•The possibility for Value Creation is largest in the Early Stages of any opportunity
How good is your
Opportunity
Framing ?
Energy For One World- 2012, All Rights
Reserved
13. Levels of Maturity of Change
Integration- Transition- Transformation
• Level 1
• Level 2
• Level 3
• Level 4
• Change and No Change. Resistance to Change. Policy,
Administrative and Derivative Change (CO2 tax, ETS,
Accounting). Coal vs. Gas. Continued backroom lobbying
• Full Integration of Renewables (cleantech, energy
conservations, smartness, etc.) in the Energy Architecture -
but not with a system change. Retained regulations,
ownership , revenue, tax and capital control structures
• Transition to a New Energy Architecture and Newly shared
socio-economic and corporate business models- also in
international trade
• Transformation of Economies and Societies. Eco-modernity
and New human consciousness
18. Dialogue and Conversation
Roles and Opportunities
• Scandinavia
• NW Europe/ Germany
• US Markets/ America’s
(e./g. Mexico, Argentine)
• Middle-East
• India/ SE Asia
• Africa
23. Networked
Society
Away with traditional country and/or
corporate borders : City-Hubs.
Horizontal, cross-border collaborations
Cultural awareness and tolerance
A new world of sharing and abundance
Power to the People
24. Expansion of wealth, ownership and new growth
Continued Consumerism and Hedonistic life-styles.
Short-termism, Schumpeter, Ayn Rand, Resilience
A world of larger inequalities and divisions:
Rich and poor. Have’s and Have Not’s
Money First
Shared
Capitalism
25. A world of Power , Principles and Politics
Polarisation between Beliefs and/or Power
Blocks
The Geo-politics of Emotions
Darwin’s Survival of the Fittest
Power to the Strongest, First
Darwin
26. Techno
Modernity
The world of Prof. Michio Kaku and
Kurz Weill Singularity
Game-changers and Disruptive Innovations
A world of Smart Cities, New Surprises ,
Exponential Growth and Abundance
The Rule of Science &
Technology
27. Conscious Capitalism
The rise of new (global and business)
leadership: Gandhi’s and Mandela’s
Neuroscience , psychology and spirituality
Gaia, Oneness and Global Mind-set.
Transformative leadership
Conscious
Humanity