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Why change management fails: 
The data is in 
Midwest Academy of Management 
October 3, 2014 
1
About Ron Koller
Acknowledgements 
Dr. Rick Fenwick (instigator) 
Dr. Paula Fremont (chair) 
Dr. Angela Bruch (committee) 
Dr. Suzanna Reynolds (committee) 
Dr. Diana Wong (EMU & MAOM member) 
Dr. Greg Huszczo 
Dr. James LeBreton 
Dr. Therese Yaeger & Dr. Peter Sorensen 
3
3 learning points 
1. Resistance is no longer Change’s biggest 
enemy 
2. Too much of a good thing (i.e. commitment) 
is a bad thing 
3. Nonlinear statistics portray organizational 
psychology phenomenon (i.e. behavior) more 
accurately than linear statistics 
4
Agenda 
1. 4-component Commitment Model 
2. Literature 
3. Methodology 
4. Results 
5. Conclusions, implications, and 
recommendations 
5
Commitment to change concept
To much of a good thing is bad 
7
Coetsee Nonlinear Model 
8
H1: Commitment < R + Compliance 
9
H2: Each Predictor Separately 
Affective Commitment 
to Change (AC2C) 
Likert scale 1-7 
6-items 
Continuance 
Commitment to 
Change (CC2C) 
Likert scale 1-7 
6-items 
Normative 
Commitment to 
Change (NC2C) 
Likert scale 1-7 
6-items 
Supported by 
Morin et al., 2013 
Behavioral Support for 
Change (BSC) 
1-100 continuum 
1-item 
3 Predictors 
1 Outcome 
• Active Resistance 
• Passive Resistance 
• Compliance 
• Cooperation 
• Championing 
10
H3: Curvilinear Relationship 
(together) 
Behavioral Support for 
Change (BSC) 
1-100 continuum 
1-item 
3 Predictors 
1 Outcome 
• Active Resistance 
• Passive Resistance 
• Compliance 
• Cooperation 
• Championing 
11
H1: Practical Results
H2 Result 
13
H3 Result 
NC2C x 
CC2C 
two-way 
14 
AC2C 
one-way 
AC2C x 
CC2C 
two-way 
NC2C 
one-way 
AC2C x 
CC2C 
two-way 
AC2C x 
NC2C x 
CC2C 
three-way
H3 Breakdown 
Behavioral 
Support for 
Change 
15 
AC2C 
NC2C 
AC2C x NC2C 
two-way interaction
Limits of Linear Regression 
Behavioral 
Support for 
Change 
Linear can only 
explain additive 
contributions 
Linear regression cannot explain what is REALLY happening 
16 
SIMULTANEOUS contributions
No Δ in variance ≠ no contribution 
17 
CC2C’s contribution 
Is MASKED
Double the two-way interaction 
NC2C x 
CC2C 
two-way 
18 
AC2C 
one-way 
AC2C x 
CC2C 
two-way 
NC2C 
one-way 
AC2C x 
CC2C 
two-way 
AC2C x 
NC2C x 
CC2C 
three-way
Recommendations 
1. Practitioners: 
 stop spending so much time worrying about resistance 
 start paying more attention to compliance/ambivalence 
2. Researchers: 
a. Use (new) squared terms of predictor variables to run a 
nonlinear regression 
• how much commitment/resistance is optimal versus sub-optimal? 
• what types of commitment/resistance are optimal versus sub-optimal? 
b. Use the tools at http://relativeimportance.davidson.edu 
to more accurately decompose the variance
What this study showed us 
1. Resistance is no longer Change’s biggest 
enemy (hypothesis 1) 
2. Too much of a good thing (i.e. commitment) 
is a bad thing (hypothesis 2) 
3. Nonlinear statistics portray organizational 
psychology phenomenon (i.e. behavior) more 
accurately than linear statistics (hypothesis 3) 
20

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2014 maom why cm fails

  • 1. Why change management fails: The data is in Midwest Academy of Management October 3, 2014 1
  • 3. Acknowledgements Dr. Rick Fenwick (instigator) Dr. Paula Fremont (chair) Dr. Angela Bruch (committee) Dr. Suzanna Reynolds (committee) Dr. Diana Wong (EMU & MAOM member) Dr. Greg Huszczo Dr. James LeBreton Dr. Therese Yaeger & Dr. Peter Sorensen 3
  • 4. 3 learning points 1. Resistance is no longer Change’s biggest enemy 2. Too much of a good thing (i.e. commitment) is a bad thing 3. Nonlinear statistics portray organizational psychology phenomenon (i.e. behavior) more accurately than linear statistics 4
  • 5. Agenda 1. 4-component Commitment Model 2. Literature 3. Methodology 4. Results 5. Conclusions, implications, and recommendations 5
  • 7. To much of a good thing is bad 7
  • 9. H1: Commitment < R + Compliance 9
  • 10. H2: Each Predictor Separately Affective Commitment to Change (AC2C) Likert scale 1-7 6-items Continuance Commitment to Change (CC2C) Likert scale 1-7 6-items Normative Commitment to Change (NC2C) Likert scale 1-7 6-items Supported by Morin et al., 2013 Behavioral Support for Change (BSC) 1-100 continuum 1-item 3 Predictors 1 Outcome • Active Resistance • Passive Resistance • Compliance • Cooperation • Championing 10
  • 11. H3: Curvilinear Relationship (together) Behavioral Support for Change (BSC) 1-100 continuum 1-item 3 Predictors 1 Outcome • Active Resistance • Passive Resistance • Compliance • Cooperation • Championing 11
  • 14. H3 Result NC2C x CC2C two-way 14 AC2C one-way AC2C x CC2C two-way NC2C one-way AC2C x CC2C two-way AC2C x NC2C x CC2C three-way
  • 15. H3 Breakdown Behavioral Support for Change 15 AC2C NC2C AC2C x NC2C two-way interaction
  • 16. Limits of Linear Regression Behavioral Support for Change Linear can only explain additive contributions Linear regression cannot explain what is REALLY happening 16 SIMULTANEOUS contributions
  • 17. No Δ in variance ≠ no contribution 17 CC2C’s contribution Is MASKED
  • 18. Double the two-way interaction NC2C x CC2C two-way 18 AC2C one-way AC2C x CC2C two-way NC2C one-way AC2C x CC2C two-way AC2C x NC2C x CC2C three-way
  • 19. Recommendations 1. Practitioners:  stop spending so much time worrying about resistance  start paying more attention to compliance/ambivalence 2. Researchers: a. Use (new) squared terms of predictor variables to run a nonlinear regression • how much commitment/resistance is optimal versus sub-optimal? • what types of commitment/resistance are optimal versus sub-optimal? b. Use the tools at http://relativeimportance.davidson.edu to more accurately decompose the variance
  • 20. What this study showed us 1. Resistance is no longer Change’s biggest enemy (hypothesis 1) 2. Too much of a good thing (i.e. commitment) is a bad thing (hypothesis 2) 3. Nonlinear statistics portray organizational psychology phenomenon (i.e. behavior) more accurately than linear statistics (hypothesis 3) 20