San Diego County's water supply faces ongoing challenges due to its semi-arid climate, reliance on imported water sources like the Colorado River and Bay-Delta, and potential impacts of climate change. While the recent drought has ended, maintaining water use efficiency remains important. The San Diego County Water Authority is in ongoing rate disputes with the Metropolitan Water District, arguing that MWD's rate structure overcharges water agencies like itself. A court decision on the lawsuit is expected in early 2012.
Approval of Shortage Management Actions in Response to MWD Supply Cutbacks an...
San Diego County Water Supply Challenges Despite Drought's End
1. May 31, 2011
Dennis Cushman
Assistant General Manager
San Diego County Water Authority
2. Latest Drought Over, But Challenges Remain
San Diego County is semi-arid region
◦ Dry years more common than wet years
Supply reliability
◦ Bay-Delta
◦ Colorado River
◦ Climate change
◦ Maintaining water use efficiency
Protecting ratepayers
◦ MWD rate challenge
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3. Average Water Year Statewide Runoff
175%
173%
150%
145%
125%
100%
91%
75%
60% 65%
50% 53%
25%
0%
2006 2008 2010
*Forecast as of May 1, 2011
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5. Bay-Delta Issues Need Resolution
Pumping restrictions to protect
threatened species have cut deliveries
Restrictions mitigated this year
◦ Extremely high river flows
Delta smelt
◦ Temporary judicial actions
No long-term plan in place for water
reliability, ecosystem recovery
Central Valley
steelhead
Green sturgeon
Chinook salmon
Longfin smelt
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6. Colorado River Supplies
Drought 9 of last 11
years
Lake Mead elevation
earlier this year: 1,082‟
◦ Lowest level since 1930s
Storage levels now rising
Lake Mead – 2010 Several more wet years
needed for recovery
Growing demand in
Southwest on river‟s
limited supply
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7. Potential Impacts from Climate Change
More rain, less
snow
◦ Decreases storage
held as snowpack
Earlier snowmelt
◦ Runoff comes earlier
than needed
Less weather
Lake Oroville – April 2010 predictability
Water Authority
working with other
utilities to study
effects and impacts
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8. Maintaining Water Use Efficiency
State mandate for 20
percent reduction in water
use by 2020
Maintain recent gains in
conservation
◦ Regional water use down about
20% since 2007
Efficiency needs to be social
norm Water efficient planting and rotating nozzle
Emphasis on outdoor
efficiency
◦ Market transformation
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9. The amount of money the Water Authority sent to
the Metropolitan Water District last year:
$241,000,000
The amount of money at dispute in the Water
Authority‟s rate lawsuit vs. MWD (over 45 years):
$1,300,000,000 -
$2,100,000,000
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10. Supply challenges key driver of MWD rates
MWD sales declining while rates are
increasing
MWD‟s flawed rate structure overcharges the
Water Authority for wheeling transfer
supplies
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11. 11
2,500,000 $2,500
-32%
2,000,000 $2,000
1,500,000 $1,500
$/AF
Acre-feet
1,000,000 +55% MWD‟s Projected Sales in
$1,000
2020 are 24% Lower than
2000-2009 Average
Actual Sales
Projected - Expected
500,000 $500
MWD rates (actual/projected)
FS Tier 1-LRFP Forecast 2010-2020
LRFP Forecast with annual 6% rate increases
- $0
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12. MWD misallocates supply costs to
transportation rate categories in violation of
state law
MWD Overcharge Forecast
(in millions) $2,105
$1,637
$1,311
$1,033
$330 $330
Low High
Next 10 Years 35 Year Term 45 Year Term
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13. State Water Project Facilities
MWD Water Facilities
Colorado River Aqueduct
Water Authority Facilities
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14. But they are unwilling to do so:
◦ “…to date, most of our board members have said „we‟re
not so sure about that.‟ And, most of our member
agencies have said „No. Thanks, but no thanks, because
we prefer this the way it is.‟”
◦ “Should people make those firm commitments going into
the future? So far, the member agencies have opted not
to. They prefer it the way it is.”
-- Excerpts of remarks by MWD General Manager Jeffrey Kightlinger, speaking at an
August 10, 2010 public meeting in San Diego on MWD‟s draft 2010 Integrated
Resources Plan (IRP).
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15. Undercharge Overcharge
-$0.6 City of Anaheim
-$0.3 City of Beverly Hills
-$0.2 City of Burbank
-$2.5 Calleguas MWD
-$1.5 Central Basin MWD
-$0.1 City of Compton
-$2.1 Eastern MWD
-$0.2 Foothill MWD
-$0.3 City of Fullerton
-$0.4 City of Glendale
-$1.6 Inland Empire Utilities Agency
-$0.5 Las Virgenes MWD
-$0.8 City of Long Beach
-$6.3 City of Los Angeles
-$5.3 MWD of Orange County
-$0.5 City of Pasadena
San Diego County Water Authority $31.0
$0.0 City of San Fernando
$0.0 City of San Marino
-$0.4 City of Santa Ana
-$0.3 City of Santa Monica
-$1.4 Three Valleys MWD
-$0.4 City of Torrance
-$0.5 Upper San Gabriel MWD
-$2.9 West Basin MWD
-$2.0 Western MWD
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16. 15 member agencies buy less than
2% of MWD‟s water and pay less
than 2% of MWD‟s bills
Average MWD Water Purchases
by Member Agency (2000-09)
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17. 20 member agencies buy less than
5% of MWD‟s water and pay less
than 5% of MWD‟s bills
Average MWD Water Purchases
by Member Agency (2000-09)
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18. One member agency buys more
than 25% of MWD‟s water and pays
more than 25% of MWD‟s bills
Average MWD Water Purchases
by Member Agency (2000-09)
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19. Case assigned to San Francisco Superior
Court Judge Kramer
Estimate trial court decision in early 2012
MWD has proposed terminating funding
agreements with Water Authority in
response to lawsuit
◦ Local supply agreements
◦ Local access to MWD conservation incentives
◦ Water Authority ratepayers contribute $22 million
annually; MWD would return $0 to county
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20. Water Authority striving to provide reliable
water supply for region‟s $186 billion
economy, 1.3 million full-time jobs, and the
quality of life for 3.1 million people
Water Authority needs a reliable supply from
MWD, at an affordable and equitable cost
Water Authority needs a fiscally sustainable
MWD
◦ With sound fiscal policies, stable revenues and that
respects ratepayers
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