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Localised manufacturing

 Is this the path to sustainable
          development?
Globalisation


                                          1970s /          1980s /         1990s /
              1950s / 60s
                                            80s              90s            2000s

          Post war recovery
                                Growth of conglomerates
                                Privatisation of national assets

                                                     Outsourcing / down sizing


                                                                      Off-shoring
•   2000 – 2009: 5 five fold increase in Chinese exports
    • 3.9% to 9.7% of the global export market
•   Shipping containers lined up reach 1/3rd way to the moon

         Real political and social benefits from global wealth distribution
We have reached another watershed
                                     - we are living in unprecedented times.

•   Longest and deepest financial crisis of a generation
•   Threat of man made climate change
•   Record number of people on the planet
•   Drive for ethical purchasing

Public increasingly recognise the need for sustainable development

                                              Climate change
           Social
       accountability       Economic                                Food
                           polarisation                           shortage
                                              Ecological
                                              imbalance
                 Social
               imbalance                                       Energy security
                             Water shortage

                                                    Poverty
The balance is changing


Offshoring                       Localised manufacture
Low cost skilled labour          Quality perception
Low cost shipping                Cultural challenges
Availability of resources        Lead times
Chasing growth markets           Supply chain stock
Availability of skills
The balance is changing


Offshoring                         Localised manufacture
Low cost skilled labour            Labour cost inflation (China >20%)
Low cost shipping                  Transportation / oil price inflation
Availability of resources          Local job creation
Chasing the growing markets        Rebalancing import / exports
Availability of skills             Rebalancing service / manufacturing
                                   Currency depreciation
                                   Ethical behaviours impact brand value
                                   Need supply chain responsiveness
                                   Climate change
Early signs

• Since 2010, US has grown 300,000 manufacturing jobs
   – First growth since 1990s

• 37% of large US manufacturers either planning or actively
  considering bringing back production (BCG survey, 2012)
• With shipping cost inflation of 5% pa and wage inflation at 30%
  pa, by 2015 it will be just as cheap to manufacture in North
  America for local deliveries as in China (Economist, 2012)

• Job creation prime political issue

         Global economic crisis is driving new behaviours
What is localised manufacturing

Rebalancing of centralised / local production


                                              Industry and application
                                              dependant




    Economy of scale           Local responsiveness
    Centralised skills         Local jobs in response to local demand
                               Reduced financial risk
The debate

• Is this trend a good thing for sustainable development?

• How can policy makers create the environment to support?

• What do businesses need to do to capture the benefits?

• What do we all need to do to promote this change?

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Russell codling slides

  • 1. Localised manufacturing Is this the path to sustainable development?
  • 2. Globalisation 1970s / 1980s / 1990s / 1950s / 60s 80s 90s 2000s Post war recovery Growth of conglomerates Privatisation of national assets Outsourcing / down sizing Off-shoring • 2000 – 2009: 5 five fold increase in Chinese exports • 3.9% to 9.7% of the global export market • Shipping containers lined up reach 1/3rd way to the moon Real political and social benefits from global wealth distribution
  • 3. We have reached another watershed - we are living in unprecedented times. • Longest and deepest financial crisis of a generation • Threat of man made climate change • Record number of people on the planet • Drive for ethical purchasing Public increasingly recognise the need for sustainable development Climate change Social accountability Economic Food polarisation shortage Ecological imbalance Social imbalance Energy security Water shortage Poverty
  • 4. The balance is changing Offshoring Localised manufacture Low cost skilled labour Quality perception Low cost shipping Cultural challenges Availability of resources Lead times Chasing growth markets Supply chain stock Availability of skills
  • 5. The balance is changing Offshoring Localised manufacture Low cost skilled labour Labour cost inflation (China >20%) Low cost shipping Transportation / oil price inflation Availability of resources Local job creation Chasing the growing markets Rebalancing import / exports Availability of skills Rebalancing service / manufacturing Currency depreciation Ethical behaviours impact brand value Need supply chain responsiveness Climate change
  • 6. Early signs • Since 2010, US has grown 300,000 manufacturing jobs – First growth since 1990s • 37% of large US manufacturers either planning or actively considering bringing back production (BCG survey, 2012) • With shipping cost inflation of 5% pa and wage inflation at 30% pa, by 2015 it will be just as cheap to manufacture in North America for local deliveries as in China (Economist, 2012) • Job creation prime political issue Global economic crisis is driving new behaviours
  • 7. What is localised manufacturing Rebalancing of centralised / local production Industry and application dependant Economy of scale Local responsiveness Centralised skills Local jobs in response to local demand Reduced financial risk
  • 8. The debate • Is this trend a good thing for sustainable development? • How can policy makers create the environment to support? • What do businesses need to do to capture the benefits? • What do we all need to do to promote this change?