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Investors Education Forum
   www.iedforum.com
Historical performances of DOW since 1979.
 Also follows a brief analytical study giving a
 view on behavioral pattern of DOW.

The following slides only shows glimpses of DOW. To
    understand the details and latest developments;
     visit our website IEDForum or contact us at
         contact@iedforum.com / 8108-310-310
DOW Rolling Return
        14000




        12000




        10000




         8000
Value




         6000




         4000




         2000




            0



                          Year
YEAR   SENSEX value (Rs.)                The Rolling Return-CAGR(%)
         (Avg. values)
             No. of years     1        2        3       5       7       10      15      20      25
1979          847.185
1980          869.67          2.65
1981          919.22          5.70     4.16
1982          924.22          0.54     3.09     2.94
1983          1155.19        24.99    12.10     9.93
1984         1187.195         2.77    13.34     8.90     6.98
1985         1376.865        15.98     9.17    14.21     9.62
1986          1731.74        25.77    20.78    14.45    13.50   10.75
1987          2181.43        25.97    25.87    22.48    18.74   14.04
1988          1906.83        -12.59    4.93    11.47    10.54   10.99
1989          2468.11        29.44     6.37    12.54    15.76   15.06   11.29
1990         2684.285         8.76    18.65     7.16    14.28   12.80   11.93
1991         2834.205         5.59     7.16    14.12    10.35   13.24   11.92
1992          3261.34        15.07    10.23     9.73     8.38   13.11   13.44
1993         3519.085         7.90    11.43     9.45    13.04   10.66   11.78
1994          3761.82         6.90     7.40     9.90     8.79   8.10    12.22   10.45
1995         4530.545        20.43    13.46    11.58    11.04   13.16   12.65   11.63
1996         5812.015        28.29    24.30    18.20    15.45   13.02   12.87   13.08
1997          7327.99        26.08    27.18    24.89    17.58   15.43   12.88   14.80
1998         8418.825        14.89    20.35    22.94    19.06   16.83   16.01   14.16
1999         10326.47        22.66    18.71    21.12    22.38   17.90   15.39   15.51   13.32
2000         10739.95         4.00    12.95    13.59    18.84   17.28   14.87   14.68   13.39
2001         9681.675         -9.85    -3.17    4.77    10.75   14.46   13.07   12.16   12.49
2002          8955.17         -7.50    -8.69    -4.64    4.09   10.22   10.63    9.87   12.02
2003         8976.135         0.23     -3.71    -5.80    1.29   6.41     9.82   10.88   10.80
2004         10277.64        14.50     7.13     2.01    -0.09   4.95    10.57    9.98   11.40   10.50
2005        10494.335         2.11     8.13     5.43    -0.46   3.20     8.76    9.52   10.69   10.48
2006        11586.765        10.41     6.18     8.88     3.66   1.66     7.14    9.84    9.97   10.67
2007        13103.375        13.09    11.74     8.43     7.91   2.88     5.98    9.71    9.38   11.19
2008         10291.88        -21.46    -5.75    -0.65    2.77   0.88     2.03    7.42    8.80    9.14
2009         7807.635        -24.14   -22.81   -12.33   -5.35   -1.94   -2.76    4.99    5.93    7.83
2010         10675.77        36.73     1.85     -6.60    0.34   2.51    -0.06    5.88    7.15    8.54
2011         11937.01        11.81    23.65     5.07     0.60   2.16     2.12    4.92    7.45    8.03
No. of Years            1        2        3       5       7       10      15      20      25




Average Return (%)    10.44    9.23     8.81     9.28    9.61    9.76    10.53   10.21   9.55




Probability of Loss   5/32     5/31     5/30     3/28    1/26    2/23    0/18    0/13    0/8




Mean (%)              6.30     2.19     6.28     8.52    7.98    6.63    10.21   9.66    9.51




Maximum growth (%)    36.73    27.18    24.89    22.38   17.90   16.01   15.51   13.39   11.19




Minimum growth (%)    -24.14   -22.81   -12.33   -5.35   -1.94   -2.76   4.92    5.93    7.83
Max v/s Avg v/s Min – Rolling Return
             40.00




             30.00




             20.00
percentage




             10.00

                                                                                max
                                                                                avg

              0.00                                                              min
                      1   2       3      5        7         10   15   20   25




             -10.00




             -20.00




             -30.00
                                             no. of years
 The term "Dow" is used to mean the Dow Jones
  Industrial Average, an index of 30 blue chip
  stocks that serves as the most widely used
  measure of the U.S. stock market.
 Best-known for the Dow Jones Industrial
  Average, Dow Jones Indexes offers more than
  130,000 equity indexes as well as fixed-income
  and alternative indexes, including measures of
  hedge funds, commodities and real estate.
 Often referred to as "the Dow", the DJIA is the
  oldest and single most watched index in the
  world. The DJIA includes companies like
  General Electric, Disney, Exxon and Microsoft.
  When the TV networks say "the market is up
  today", they are generally referring to the Dow.
 This company publishes the Wall Street
  Journal, the largest business and finance
  publication in the world.
Name of the Company           Name of the Company

            3M                      Home Depot
           Alcoa                     Honeywell
        Altria Group                    IBM
     American Express                   Intel
American International Group     Johnson & Johnson
           AT&T                   JPMorgan Chase
          Boeing                     McDonald's
        Caterpillar                    Merck
         Citigroup                    Microsoft
         Coca-Cola                     Pfizer
          DuPont                  Procter & Gamble
        Exxon Mobil              United Technologies
      General Electric         Verizon Communications
      General Motors                  Wal-Mart
      Hewlett-Packard               Walt Disney
DOW

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DOW

  • 1. Investors Education Forum www.iedforum.com
  • 2. Historical performances of DOW since 1979. Also follows a brief analytical study giving a view on behavioral pattern of DOW. The following slides only shows glimpses of DOW. To understand the details and latest developments; visit our website IEDForum or contact us at contact@iedforum.com / 8108-310-310
  • 3. DOW Rolling Return 14000 12000 10000 8000 Value 6000 4000 2000 0 Year
  • 4. YEAR SENSEX value (Rs.) The Rolling Return-CAGR(%) (Avg. values) No. of years 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25 1979 847.185 1980 869.67 2.65 1981 919.22 5.70 4.16 1982 924.22 0.54 3.09 2.94 1983 1155.19 24.99 12.10 9.93 1984 1187.195 2.77 13.34 8.90 6.98 1985 1376.865 15.98 9.17 14.21 9.62 1986 1731.74 25.77 20.78 14.45 13.50 10.75 1987 2181.43 25.97 25.87 22.48 18.74 14.04 1988 1906.83 -12.59 4.93 11.47 10.54 10.99 1989 2468.11 29.44 6.37 12.54 15.76 15.06 11.29 1990 2684.285 8.76 18.65 7.16 14.28 12.80 11.93 1991 2834.205 5.59 7.16 14.12 10.35 13.24 11.92 1992 3261.34 15.07 10.23 9.73 8.38 13.11 13.44 1993 3519.085 7.90 11.43 9.45 13.04 10.66 11.78 1994 3761.82 6.90 7.40 9.90 8.79 8.10 12.22 10.45 1995 4530.545 20.43 13.46 11.58 11.04 13.16 12.65 11.63 1996 5812.015 28.29 24.30 18.20 15.45 13.02 12.87 13.08 1997 7327.99 26.08 27.18 24.89 17.58 15.43 12.88 14.80 1998 8418.825 14.89 20.35 22.94 19.06 16.83 16.01 14.16 1999 10326.47 22.66 18.71 21.12 22.38 17.90 15.39 15.51 13.32 2000 10739.95 4.00 12.95 13.59 18.84 17.28 14.87 14.68 13.39 2001 9681.675 -9.85 -3.17 4.77 10.75 14.46 13.07 12.16 12.49 2002 8955.17 -7.50 -8.69 -4.64 4.09 10.22 10.63 9.87 12.02 2003 8976.135 0.23 -3.71 -5.80 1.29 6.41 9.82 10.88 10.80 2004 10277.64 14.50 7.13 2.01 -0.09 4.95 10.57 9.98 11.40 10.50 2005 10494.335 2.11 8.13 5.43 -0.46 3.20 8.76 9.52 10.69 10.48 2006 11586.765 10.41 6.18 8.88 3.66 1.66 7.14 9.84 9.97 10.67 2007 13103.375 13.09 11.74 8.43 7.91 2.88 5.98 9.71 9.38 11.19 2008 10291.88 -21.46 -5.75 -0.65 2.77 0.88 2.03 7.42 8.80 9.14 2009 7807.635 -24.14 -22.81 -12.33 -5.35 -1.94 -2.76 4.99 5.93 7.83 2010 10675.77 36.73 1.85 -6.60 0.34 2.51 -0.06 5.88 7.15 8.54 2011 11937.01 11.81 23.65 5.07 0.60 2.16 2.12 4.92 7.45 8.03
  • 5. No. of Years 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25 Average Return (%) 10.44 9.23 8.81 9.28 9.61 9.76 10.53 10.21 9.55 Probability of Loss 5/32 5/31 5/30 3/28 1/26 2/23 0/18 0/13 0/8 Mean (%) 6.30 2.19 6.28 8.52 7.98 6.63 10.21 9.66 9.51 Maximum growth (%) 36.73 27.18 24.89 22.38 17.90 16.01 15.51 13.39 11.19 Minimum growth (%) -24.14 -22.81 -12.33 -5.35 -1.94 -2.76 4.92 5.93 7.83
  • 6. Max v/s Avg v/s Min – Rolling Return 40.00 30.00 20.00 percentage 10.00 max avg 0.00 min 1 2 3 5 7 10 15 20 25 -10.00 -20.00 -30.00 no. of years
  • 7.  The term "Dow" is used to mean the Dow Jones Industrial Average, an index of 30 blue chip stocks that serves as the most widely used measure of the U.S. stock market.  Best-known for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Dow Jones Indexes offers more than 130,000 equity indexes as well as fixed-income and alternative indexes, including measures of hedge funds, commodities and real estate.
  • 8.  Often referred to as "the Dow", the DJIA is the oldest and single most watched index in the world. The DJIA includes companies like General Electric, Disney, Exxon and Microsoft. When the TV networks say "the market is up today", they are generally referring to the Dow.  This company publishes the Wall Street Journal, the largest business and finance publication in the world.
  • 9. Name of the Company Name of the Company 3M Home Depot Alcoa Honeywell Altria Group IBM American Express Intel American International Group Johnson & Johnson AT&T JPMorgan Chase Boeing McDonald's Caterpillar Merck Citigroup Microsoft Coca-Cola Pfizer DuPont Procter & Gamble Exxon Mobil United Technologies General Electric Verizon Communications General Motors Wal-Mart Hewlett-Packard Walt Disney