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PEOPLE + AI
“Ta” Virot Chiraphadhanakul
virot.ch@skooldio.com
Human intelligence meets machine intelligence
Virot Chiraphadhanakul
วิโรจน์ จิรพัฒนกุล (ต้า)
B.Eng. (Computer), Chulalongkorn

Ph.D. in Operations Research, MIT
ex-Data Scientist, Facebook
Google Developers Expert in Machine Learning
Lecturer @ Chula Business School

Managing Director @ Skooldio
www.skooldio.com
“I believe in a world that will
have an abundance of artificial
intelligence, but what will be
scarce is real intelligence and
human qualities, like empathy”
— Satya Nadella, Microsoft CEO
Human-Centered Data Science
Human-Centered
Data Science
Source: www.google.com
Do we actually need machine learning?
Source: https://newsfeed.fb.com/customization
Source: Once more with feeling: Supportive responses to social sharing on Facebook (Burke and Develin, 2016)
Source: https://medium.com/google-design/human-centered-machine-learning-a770d10562cd
Source: https://www.facebook.com/editor
Source: https://medium.com/google-design/human-centered-machine-learning-a770d10562cd
Describe ways human experts 

might solve the task today
data models decisions
DATA
Representativeness
Garbage in, garbage out.
Source: http://www.google.org/flutrends/
“The problems may be due to widespread
media coverage of this year’s severe US flu
season […] The press reports may have
triggered many flu-related searches by
people who were not ill.”
When
Google got
flu wrong
Source: http://www.nature.com/news/when-google-got-flu-wrong-1.12413
Bias
Source: http://www.streetbump.org/
Source: Machine Learning and Human Bias (Google / Youtube)
Avoid Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
“the decisions you make today
affect the training data you collect
tomorrow. Once your machine
learning system embeds biases
into its model, it can continue
generating new training data that
reinforces those biases.”
Source: https://medium.com/@dtunkelang/10-things-everyone-should-know-about-machine-learning-15279c27ce96
Collect more data, if needed
MODEL
Human-in-the-Loop Machine Learning
Bring the best of both worlds
Source: https://facebook.github.io/prophet/
Source: Forecasting at Scale (Sean J Taylor and Benjamin Letham)
capacity

changepoints
seasonality and holidays

smoothing parameters
Source: www.slideshare.net/BradKlingenberg/making-fashion-recommendations-with-humanintheloop-machine-learning
Styling at Stitch Fix: personalized recommendations
Inventory
Algorithmic
recommendations
Machine learning
Source: www.slideshare.net/BradKlingenberg/making-fashion-recommendations-with-humanintheloop-machine-learning
Styling at Stitch Fix: personalized recommendations
Inventory
Algorithmic
recommendations
Machine learning
Styling at Stitch Fix: expert human curation
Human curation
Algorithmic
recommendations
Improvement through a Feedback Loop
Source: www.slideshare.net/BradKlingenberg/making-fashion-recommendations-with-humanintheloop-machine-learning
Learning through feedback
Source: https://medium.com/google-design/human-centered-machine-learning-a770d10562cd
Human Evaluation
Source: https://webmasters.googleblog.com/2015/11/updating-our-search-quality-rating.html
DECISION
Costs of Mistakes
• Consider the following scenarios
• A customer is wrongly alerted
(false positive)
• A customer is wrongly charged for
a fraudulent transaction (false
negative)
Unequal
Costs and
Benefits
ROC Curve
Source: https://stripe.com/radar/guide
Receiver Operating
Characteristic
Know Your Limits
Source: https://hbr.org/2016/05/when-to-trust-robots-with-decisions-and-when-not-to
Prototyping
Wizard of Oz
Source: ‘Mystery Van’ Helping Self-Driving Cars Communicate with People (Ford Motor Company / Youtube)
Source: Natural Language Generation at Google Research (Google Cloud / Youtube)
Test. Test. Test.
data models decisions
We choose We determine
We’re affected
PEOPLE + AI
“Ta” Virot Chiraphadhanakul
virot.ch@skooldio.com
Human intelligence meets machine intelligence

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